2024.6.20 美股大盘复盘_老虎社区_美港股上老虎 - 老虎社区

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2024.6.20 美股大盘复盘

Jacob_Kuang
2024-06-21

声明：本文为作者每日盘后日记，仅供分享参考，不构成任何投资建议，未经授权，其他自媒体不得转载。

作者：Jacob，前所罗门兄弟/花旗YieldBook组Quant，副总裁/董事；前结构师/交易员；华尔街Structured Products最佳设计奖

2024年6月20日

大盘是否开始做顶，不知道。但是今天出现了个日线熊形态。大盘高开，冲ATH5505.53，回落低走，收阴收跌，出当日熊反转形态，量增。

VIX高开高走，收阳收涨，三个指标全部变强。

VVIX一根长阳线从布林中线涨上布林上线。这种情况会走两个路经：推着布林上线上升或者触布林上线掉头直下。前者概率大。

NYMO逆大盘小涨，看上去无济于事，其实表达了市场强度：它就差RSI上50来改变熊趋势了。也许这次大盘靠大众救助。

大盘ATH转换跌，固然是熊形态。但历史表明，不一定是坏事。如果，它能在下面5天内克服熊形态，新高可期。不过，史上所有的熊市都是从一个日线熊形态开始的。关键看熊形态出现后，怎么走。

近一周复盘回顾

2024.6.18 美股大盘复盘

2024.6.17 美股大盘复盘

2024.6.14 美股大盘复盘（周记）

2024.6.13 美股大盘复盘

部分技术指标解释

1. VIX：SP500指数未来30天的隐含波动率

2. VVIX: VIX的波动率

3. NYMO：NYSE McClellan Oscllator用纽NYSE的上涨家数和下跌家数来判断市场（1）计算（上涨家数-下跌家数）的19日和30日指数移动平均；（2）绘制（19日指数平均-39日移动平均）的计算结果

★ END ★

如果觉得还不错

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

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37927LEE
·2024-06-22
几个月没看到大神的分析了，终于回来了
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JUDY1976
·2024-06-23
感谢大神分享
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年年有于姨
·2024-06-24
已阅
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超越666888
·2024-06-23
阅
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NYMO：NYSE McClellan Oscllator用纽NYSE的上涨家数和下跌家数来判断市场（1）计算（上涨家数-下跌家数）的19日和30日指数移动平均；（2）绘制（19日指数平均-39日移动平均）的计算结果 ★ END ★ 如果觉得还不错","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319518221590552","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12916,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["VXX","SVXY","VIX","UVXY","TVIX","VIXY"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1084,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[{"id":319561412591664,"commentId":"319561412591664","gmtCreate":1719048001923,"gmtModify":1719048005690,"authorId":3573261653613334,"author":{"id":3573261653613334,"idStr":"3573261653613334","authorId":3573261653613334,"name":"37927LEE","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":319518221590552,"objectIdStr":"319518221590552","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"<p>几个月没看到大神的分析了，终于回来了</p>","text":"<p>几个月没看到大神的分析了，终于回来了</p>","html":"<p>几个月没看到大神的分析了，终于回来了</p>","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":319964422889640,"commentId":"319964422889640","gmtCreate":1719146212228,"gmtModify":1719146215893,"authorId":3576790050773511,"author":{"id":3576790050773511,"idStr":"3576790050773511","authorId":3576790050773511,"name":"JUDY1976","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e3414fb9b20f2c698cc2992388d6db1","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":319518221590552,"objectIdStr":"319518221590552","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"感谢大神分享","text":"感谢大神分享","html":"感谢大神分享","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":320119589187640,"commentId":"320119589187640","gmtCreate":1719184219932,"gmtModify":1719184223422,"authorId":4125470478750332,"author":{"id":4125470478750332,"idStr":"4125470478750332","authorId":4125470478750332,"name":"年年有于姨","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":319518221590552,"objectIdStr":"319518221590552","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"<u>已阅</u>","text":"<u>已阅</u>","html":"<u>已阅</u>","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":319768704086208,"commentId":"319768704086208","gmtCreate":1719098705069,"gmtModify":1719098708667,"authorId":4120115595748460,"author":{"id":4120115595748460,"idStr":"4120115595748460","authorId":4120115595748460,"name":"超越666888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7091f180a159a1aca5e96e89241744c","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d74dcc2cd4f8a347d0fe15c68026c85f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":319518221590552,"objectIdStr":"319518221590552","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"阅","text":"阅","html":"阅","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0}],"hasMoreComment":true,"orderType":2}