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2021-03-15

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U.S. Core Inflation to Rise, As Suggested by the NFIB Price Changes<blockquote>NFIB价格变化表明美国核心通胀将上升</blockquote>

The Federal Reserve of the United States (Fed) and the U.S. Treasury are not concerned with higher i

U.S. Core Inflation to Rise, As Suggested by the NFIB Price Changes<blockquote>NFIB价格变化表明美国核心通胀将上升</blockquote>

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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":322623950,"tweetId":"322623950","gmtCreate":1615804225170,"gmtModify":1703493206817,"author":{"id":3574339568035371,"idStr":"3574339568035371","authorId":3574339568035371,"authorIdStr":"3574339568035371","name":"Bruuccee去月球","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d78b0d86087fe217c19e07da5180f8ad","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":1,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Nice 👍🏽&nbsp;</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Nice 👍🏽&nbsp;</body></html>","text":"Nice 👍🏽","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322623950","repostId":1184295996,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184295996","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615802070,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184295996?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-15 17:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Core Inflation to Rise, As Suggested by the NFIB Price Changes<blockquote>NFIB价格变化表明美国核心通胀将上升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184295996","media":"VantagePoint","summary":"The Federal Reserve of the United States (Fed) and the U.S. Treasury are not concerned with higher i","content":"The Federal Reserve of the United States (Fed) and the U.S. Treasury are not concerned with higher inflation. Both institutions expressed their confidence that they will know how to deal with higher inflation, should it come. Through the voices of their leaders, Jerome Powell, respectively Janet Yellen, the two institutions expect higher inflation but do not fear it.<blockquote>美联储（Fed）和美国财政部并不担心通胀上升。两家机构都表示相信，如果通胀上升，他们将知道如何应对。通过各自领导人杰罗姆·鲍威尔和珍妮特·耶伦的声音，这两个机构预计通胀会上升，但并不担心。</blockquote>After all, the fear was greater when inflation threatened to break below zero than now when it is barely close to 2% (the original Fed’s target). Yet, their wish may come true quicker than expected.<blockquote>毕竟，当通胀威胁跌破零时，人们的恐惧比现在勉强接近2%（美联储最初的目标）时更大。然而，他们的愿望可能会比预期的更快实现。</blockquote>This week, on Wednesday, the U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index) was the top economic data on the trader’s agenda. It shows a moderate increase in headline inflation and even a decrease in core inflation (i.e., that excludes energy prices as they are too volatile). Where is the inflation, one might ask?<blockquote>本周，周三，美国CPI（消费者价格指数）是交易员议程上的首要经济数据。它显示总体通胀温和上升，甚至核心通胀下降（即，不包括能源价格，因为它们太不稳定）。有人可能会问，通货膨胀在哪里？</blockquote><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87c3ad18f3b453b41c46cb078c55fc4e\" tg-width=\"861\" tg-height=\"538\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">NFIB Leads U.S. Core CPI By Six Months<blockquote>NFIB领先美国核心CPI六个月</blockquote>Those claiming higher inflation is imminent have two main arguments. One is that the aggressiveness of the monetary and fiscal stimulus would inevitably lead to a lower dollar, hence, higher inflation. Another is that the advances in the price of oil will further fuel the move lower in the dollar. Both arguments are sound but not necessarily compelling.<blockquote>那些声称通胀即将上升的人有两个主要论点。一是激进的货币和财政刺激将不可避免地导致美元贬值，从而导致通胀上升。另一个原因是油价上涨将进一步推动美元走低。这两个论点都是合理的，但不一定令人信服。</blockquote>Not everything in the monetary and fiscal stimulus is inflationary. To exemplify, think of quantitative easing or asset purchasing – it is mainly an exchange of swaps. No inflation comes out of it, and the evidence lies in the last decade of quantitative easing around the world with no increase in inflation.<blockquote>并非所有货币和财政刺激措施都是通胀性的。举个例子，想想量化宽松或资产购买——它主要是互换的交换。没有通货膨胀，证据就在过去十年世界各地的量化宽松政策中，通货膨胀没有增加。</blockquote>Furthermore, higher oil prices lead to inflation, but that is viewed as temporary. Therefore, is the fear of inflation granted, considering the counter-arguments from above and the recent inflation data? The right answer is that yes, the fear is granted; only the timing lags.<blockquote>此外，油价上涨会导致通货膨胀，但这被视为暂时的。因此，考虑到上面的反驳和最近的通胀数据，对通胀的担忧是理所当然的吗？正确的答案是，是的，恐惧是理所当然的；只是时间滞后。</blockquote>NFIB is an association of small businesses in the United States, and it runs a survey showing both the optimism in the sector as well as price changes over a period. It releases a leading inflation indicator by about six months compared to the actual core inflation. In other words, right by the end of the summer of 2021, the Fed and the Treasury should face higher inflation.<blockquote>NFIB是美国小企业协会，它进行了一项调查，显示了该行业的乐观情绪以及一段时间内的价格变化。它发布的领先通胀指标比实际核心通胀提前了约六个月。换句话说，到2021年夏末，美联储和财政部应该会面临更高的通胀。</blockquote>The Fed changed its mandate last year to accommodate higher inflation via its new Average Inflation Targeting (AIT) framework. If the NFIB leading proves accurate, the first test of the AIT framework will come sooner than the Fed is expecting – with ripple effects on financial markets.<blockquote>美联储去年改变了其使命，通过新的平均通胀目标（AIT）框架来适应更高的通胀。如果NFIB的领先被证明是准确的，AIT框架的首次测试将比美联储预期的更早到来——这将对金融市场产生连锁反应。</blockquote>","source":"lsy1615437168461","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Core Inflation to Rise, As Suggested by the NFIB Price Changes<blockquote>NFIB价格变化表明美国核心通胀将上升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Core Inflation to Rise, As Suggested by the NFIB Price Changes<blockquote>NFIB价格变化表明美国核心通胀将上升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nVantagePoint2021-03-15 17:54\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nThe Federal Reserve of the United States (Fed) and the U.S. Treasury are not concerned with higher inflation. Both institutions expressed their confidence that they will know how to deal with higher inflation, should it come. Through the voices of their leaders, Jerome Powell, respectively Janet Yellen, the two institutions expect higher inflation but do not fear it.<blockquote>美联储（Fed）和美国财政部并不担心通胀上升。两家机构都表示相信，如果通胀上升，他们将知道如何应对。通过各自领导人杰罗姆·鲍威尔和珍妮特·耶伦的声音，这两个机构预计通胀会上升，但并不担心。</blockquote>After all, the fear was greater when inflation threatened to break below zero than now when it is barely close to 2% (the original Fed’s target). Yet, their wish may come true quicker than expected.<blockquote>毕竟，当通胀威胁跌破零时，人们的恐惧比现在勉强接近2%（美联储最初的目标）时更大。然而，他们的愿望可能会比预期的更快实现。</blockquote>This week, on Wednesday, the U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index) was the top economic data on the trader’s agenda. It shows a moderate increase in headline inflation and even a decrease in core inflation (i.e., that excludes energy prices as they are too volatile). Where is the inflation, one might ask?<blockquote>本周，周三，美国CPI（消费者价格指数）是交易员议程上的首要经济数据。它显示总体通胀温和上升，甚至核心通胀下降（即，不包括能源价格，因为它们太不稳定）。有人可能会问，通货膨胀在哪里？</blockquote><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87c3ad18f3b453b41c46cb078c55fc4e\" tg-width=\"861\" tg-height=\"538\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">NFIB Leads U.S. Core CPI By Six Months<blockquote>NFIB领先美国核心CPI六个月</blockquote>Those claiming higher inflation is imminent have two main arguments. One is that the aggressiveness of the monetary and fiscal stimulus would inevitably lead to a lower dollar, hence, higher inflation. Another is that the advances in the price of oil will further fuel the move lower in the dollar. Both arguments are sound but not necessarily compelling.<blockquote>那些声称通胀即将上升的人有两个主要论点。一是激进的货币和财政刺激将不可避免地导致美元贬值，从而导致通胀上升。另一个原因是油价上涨将进一步推动美元走低。这两个论点都是合理的，但不一定令人信服。</blockquote>Not everything in the monetary and fiscal stimulus is inflationary. To exemplify, think of quantitative easing or asset purchasing – it is mainly an exchange of swaps. No inflation comes out of it, and the evidence lies in the last decade of quantitative easing around the world with no increase in inflation.<blockquote>并非所有货币和财政刺激措施都是通胀性的。举个例子，想想量化宽松或资产购买——它主要是互换的交换。没有通货膨胀，证据就在过去十年世界各地的量化宽松政策中，通货膨胀没有增加。</blockquote>Furthermore, higher oil prices lead to inflation, but that is viewed as temporary. Therefore, is the fear of inflation granted, considering the counter-arguments from above and the recent inflation data? The right answer is that yes, the fear is granted; only the timing lags.<blockquote>此外，油价上涨会导致通货膨胀，但这被视为暂时的。因此，考虑到上面的反驳和最近的通胀数据，对通胀的担忧是理所当然的吗？正确的答案是，是的，恐惧是理所当然的；只是时间滞后。</blockquote>NFIB is an association of small businesses in the United States, and it runs a survey showing both the optimism in the sector as well as price changes over a period. It releases a leading inflation indicator by about six months compared to the actual core inflation. In other words, right by the end of the summer of 2021, the Fed and the Treasury should face higher inflation.<blockquote>NFIB是美国小企业协会，它进行了一项调查，显示了该行业的乐观情绪以及一段时间内的价格变化。它发布的领先通胀指标比实际核心通胀提前了约六个月。换句话说，到2021年夏末，美联储和财政部应该会面临更高的通胀。</blockquote>The Fed changed its mandate last year to accommodate higher inflation via its new Average Inflation Targeting (AIT) framework. If the NFIB leading proves accurate, the first test of the AIT framework will come sooner than the Fed is expecting – with ripple effects on financial markets.<blockquote>美联储去年改变了其使命，通过新的平均通胀目标（AIT）框架来适应更高的通胀。如果NFIB的领先被证明是准确的，AIT框架的首次测试将比美联储预期的更早到来——这将对金融市场产生连锁反应。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://vantagepointtrading.com/news/u-s-core-inflation-to-rise-as-suggested-by-the-nfib-price-changes/\">VantagePoint</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://vantagepointtrading.com/news/u-s-core-inflation-to-rise-as-suggested-by-the-nfib-price-changes/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184295996","content_text":"The Federal Reserve of the United States (Fed) and the U.S. Treasury are not concerned with higher inflation. Both institutions expressed their confidence that they will know how to deal with higher inflation, should it come. Through the voices of their leaders, Jerome Powell, respectively Janet Yellen, the two institutions expect higher inflation but do not fear it.After all, the fear was greater when inflation threatened to break below zero than now when it is barely close to 2% (the original Fed’s target). Yet, their wish may come true quicker than expected.This week, on Wednesday, the U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index) was the top economic data on the trader’s agenda. It shows a moderate increase in headline inflation and even a decrease in core inflation (i.e., that excludes energy prices as they are too volatile). Where is the inflation, one might ask?NFIB Leads U.S. Core CPI By Six MonthsThose claiming higher inflation is imminent have two main arguments. One is that the aggressiveness of the monetary and fiscal stimulus would inevitably lead to a lower dollar, hence, higher inflation. Another is that the advances in the price of oil will further fuel the move lower in the dollar. Both arguments are sound but not necessarily compelling.Not everything in the monetary and fiscal stimulus is inflationary. To exemplify, think of quantitative easing or asset purchasing – it is mainly an exchange of swaps. No inflation comes out of it, and the evidence lies in the last decade of quantitative easing around the world with no increase in inflation.Furthermore, higher oil prices lead to inflation, but that is viewed as temporary. Therefore, is the fear of inflation granted, considering the counter-arguments from above and the recent inflation data? The right answer is that yes, the fear is granted; only the timing lags.NFIB is an association of small businesses in the United States, and it runs a survey showing both the optimism in the sector as well as price changes over a period. It releases a leading inflation indicator by about six months compared to the actual core inflation. In other words, right by the end of the summer of 2021, the Fed and the Treasury should face higher inflation.The Fed changed its mandate last year to accommodate higher inflation via its new Average Inflation Targeting (AIT) framework. If the NFIB leading proves accurate, the first test of the AIT framework will come sooner than the Fed is expecting – with ripple effects on financial markets.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":935,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":8,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}