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2021-04-27

Only two is certain, one of them is tax .....

If Biden hikes capital gains taxes on millionaires, some new investors see a ‘buying opportunity’<blockquote>如果拜登提高百万富翁的资本利得税，一些新投资者会看到“买入机会”</blockquote>

‘I look at something like this as an opportunity to buy and hold,’ said one millennial investor who’

If Biden hikes capital gains taxes on millionaires, some new investors see a ‘buying opportunity’<blockquote>如果拜登提高百万富翁的资本利得税，一些新投资者会看到“买入机会”</blockquote>

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Coupled with a pre-existing 3.8% tax linked to the Affordable Care Act, that would be 43.4% rate. The capital gains rate on profits from investment securities is currently 20% for top earners.<blockquote>据报道，拜登计划兑现竞选承诺，对百万富翁及以上人士实行39.6%的资本利得税率。再加上与患者保护与平价医疗法案相关的3.8%的税率，这将是43.4%。目前，高收入者的投资证券利润资本利得税率为20%。</blockquote> If history is any guide — and if Biden can even get the idea through Congress — there’s going to be a stock market sell-off in some form as some rich investors take advantage of lower rates before they climb.<blockquote>如果以史为鉴——如果拜登能够在国会通过这一想法——股市将会出现某种形式的抛售，因为一些富有的投资者在利率攀升之前利用了较低的利率。</blockquote> And Zagorski, a 27-year-old mechanical engineer from Detroit, Mich. with years of investing experience, will be there waiting. “My opinion on investing is very long-term,” he told MarketWatch. “I look at something like this as an opportunity to buy and hold.”<blockquote>扎戈尔斯基是一位来自密歇根州底特律市的27岁机械工程师。凭借多年的投资经验，将在那里等待。“我对投资的看法是非常长期的，”他告诉MarketWatch。“我认为这样的事情是买入并持有的机会。”</blockquote> Martin Sanchez, another relatively new investor, who started buying individual stocks in 2018, agrees. “I think there’s a buying opportunity for millennials if we do see a huge sell-off,” said the 27-year-old Winston Salem, N.C. resident, who works in the tech sector.<blockquote>另一位相对较新的投资者马丁·桑切斯(Martin Sanchez)对此表示同意，他于2018年开始购买个股。这位在科技行业工作的27岁北卡罗来纳州温斯顿塞勒姆居民表示：“我认为，如果我们确实看到大幅抛售，千禧一代就有买入机会。”</blockquote> If Sanchez sees the opening, he might buy up some shares in companies that focus on web security, giving him a chance to spread out his holdings, which are heavier in stocks like DisneyDIS,0.38%and TeslaDIS,0.38%.Sanchez is watching Biden’s tax proposals closely.<blockquote>如果桑切斯看到了这一机会，他可能会购买一些专注于网络安全的公司的股票，这让他有机会分散自己的持股，其中包括迪士尼DIS（0.38%）和特斯拉DIS（0.38%）等股票。桑切斯正在密切关注拜登的税收提案。</blockquote> There are a lot of open questions about the possible capital gains rate hike. Will Biden include the idea in the “American Families Plan” that he’s expected to unveil on Wednesday? How many other tax hikes targeting rich household will that plan include? Will it pass Congress?<blockquote>关于可能的资本利得加息，有很多悬而未决的问题。拜登会将这一想法纳入他预计将于周三公布的“美国家庭计划”吗？该计划还将包括多少针对富裕家庭的其他增税措施？它会通过国会吗？</blockquote> But another question is: What does this potential tax increase mean for a new generation of retail investors?<blockquote>但另一个问题是：这种潜在的增税对新一代散户意味着什么？</blockquote> By now, newer investors have gone through the 2020 market’s fall and rise, and weathered the meme stock trading frenzy that put companies like GameStopGME,3.18%on a share price rollercoaster. Do they stand to gain from an estimated$178 billionin selling that could occur prior to the rate increase?<blockquote>到目前为止，新投资者已经经历了2020年市场的跌宕起伏，并经受住了meme股票交易狂潮，这使得GameStopGME(3.18%)等公司的股价经历了过山车。他们能否从加息前可能发生的估计1780亿美元的抛售中获益？</blockquote> “There are some who may view it as, ‘Oh, here’s my opportunity to get on board,’” said James Angel, a professor at Georgetown University’s McDonough School of Business.<blockquote>乔治城大学麦克多诺商学院教授詹姆斯·安吉尔说：“有些人可能会认为，‘哦，这是我加入的机会。’”</blockquote> But like so much else based on the potential rate hikes, there are big open questions on how new investors — and investors in general — will react. “Does it create opportunity? Well, maybe,” Angel said. “But you have to look carefully on stock-by-stock basis.”<blockquote>但就像许多其他基于潜在加息的事情一样，新投资者以及一般投资者将如何反应也存在很大的悬而未决的问题。“它会创造机会吗？嗯，也许吧，”安吉尔说。“但你必须逐个股票仔细观察。”</blockquote> Indeed,a share price might have little to do with the tax environment,one investor note said Friday. “Ultimately, other factors such as the outlook for economic growth, monetary policy, and interest rates are much more powerful drivers of equity market returns and valuations,” wrote Mark Haefele, chief investment officer for global wealth management at UBS.<blockquote>事实上，一份投资者报告周五表示，股价可能与税收环境关系不大。瑞银全球财富管理首席投资官马克·海菲尔写道：“最终，经济增长前景、货币政策和利率等其他因素是股市回报和估值的更强大驱动因素。”</blockquote> ‘One would expect people to start selling off’<blockquote>“人们会预计人们会开始抛售”</blockquote> When President Ronald Reagan signed theTax Reform Act of 1986,he lowered the top income-tax rate from 50% to 28%.<blockquote>当罗纳德·里根总统签署1986年税收改革法案时，他将最高所得税税率从50%降至28%。</blockquote> The Republican president also changed the tax code in order to treat long-term capital gains as ordinary income, instead of giving capital gains a preferential rate. That bumped the capital gains rate up to 28% for rich households.<blockquote>这位共和党总统还修改了税法，以便将长期资本利得视为普通收入，而不是给予资本利得优惠税率。这使得富裕家庭的资本利得税率高达28%。</blockquote> In the lead up to the changes during tax year 1986, there was a 60% rise in sales on all sorts of capital assets, according to researchers at the nonpartisan U.S. Congress committee Joint Committee on Taxation, and the Tax Policy Center, a think tank.<blockquote>据无党派的美国研究人员称，在1986纳税年度发生变化之前，各种资本资产的销售额增长了60%。国会税收联合委员会和智库税收政策中心。</blockquote> Ahead of a 2013 change — which brought the long-term capital gains rate from 15% to 20% and tacked on the 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax — there was a 40% rise in capital gains “realizations,”the researchers said, meaning investors were selling their holdings.<blockquote>研究人员表示，在2013年的变化之前——将长期资本利得税从15%提高到20%，并增加了3.8%的净投资所得税——资本利得“变现”增加了40%，这意味着投资者正在出售他们持有的股份。</blockquote> History could repeat itself, one of the authors told MarketWatch.<blockquote>一位作者告诉MarketWatch，历史可能会重演。</blockquote> “Certainly, one would expect people to start selling off,” said Robert McClelland, a senior fellow at the Tax Policy Center. “How much, I don’t know.”<blockquote>“当然，人们会预计人们会开始抛售，”税收政策中心高级研究员罗伯特·麦克莱兰说。“多少钱，我不知道。”</blockquote> But McClelland noted it’s important to remember that many stock market buyers are foreign investors and retirement accounts, including 401(k) plans or pension plans, rather than individual investors operating through a brokerage account.<blockquote>但麦克莱兰指出，重要的是要记住，许多股市买家是外国投资者和退休账户，包括401(k)计划或养老金计划，而不是通过经纪账户运作的个人投资者。</blockquote> Foreign investors own about 40% of stock market equity and retirement accounts own about 30%, according toestimateslast year from McClelland’s Tax Policy Center colleagues. Taxable accounts, like a brokerage account, own another 25% in stock market equity.<blockquote>根据麦克莱兰税收政策中心同事去年的估计，外国投资者拥有约40%的股市股权，退休账户拥有约30%。应税账户（例如经纪账户）拥有另外25%的股市股本。</blockquote> Another thing to remember is if rich people are selling, it hardly means they are walking away. “I would still be buying for my clients,” said David Haas, owner of Cereus Financial Advisors in Franklin Lakes, N.J. “In other words, selling does not mean getting out of the market. I would sell a client’s gains and buy something similar to continue participation in the market. The point is to take gains, not stop investing.”<blockquote>另一件要记住的事情是，如果富人在出售，这并不意味着他们要离开。“我仍然会为我的客户购买，”新泽西州富兰克林湖Cereus Financial Advisors的老板大卫·哈斯(David Haas)说。“换句话说，卖出并不意味着退出市场。我会卖掉一个客户的收益，然后买一些类似的东西来继续参与市场。重点是获取收益，而不是停止投资。”</blockquote> As markets digested news Thursday of Biden’s possible capital gains tax hike, they ended the day on a down note. By Friday, they rebounded, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,0.12%ending 228 points higher, up 0.7%, and the S&amp;P 500SPX,0.28%finishing up 1.1%higher.<blockquote>随着市场周四消化拜登可能提高资本利得税的消息，当天收盘下跌。到周五，它们出现反弹，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA上涨0.12%，收盘上涨228点，上涨0.7%，标准普尔500SPX指数上涨0.28%，收盘上涨1.1%。</blockquote> Zagorski says he might be able to profit from any future sell off, but that still doesn’t erase his personal concerns about a rate hike. With any capital gains rate increase, in his view, “you’re just taking away money from people who would be investing in the market.”<blockquote>扎戈尔斯基表示，他也许能够从未来的抛售中获利，但这仍然不能消除他个人对加息的担忧。在他看来，随着资本利得税率的提高，“你只是从愿意投资市场的人那里拿走了钱。”</blockquote> But going forward, the buying opportunities might not be crystal clear. Some less experienced retail investors might not be able to determine if stock sales and potentially dropping prices have to do with tax strategy — and that might cause them to sell too, he said.<blockquote>但展望未来，购买机会可能并不明朗。他说，一些经验不足的散户投资者可能无法确定股票销售和潜在的价格下跌是否与税收策略有关，这也可能导致他们抛售。</blockquote> “When you see people at the top doing things, it’s instinctual to mimic them, even if it’s not in your best interest,” he said.<blockquote>“当你看到高层的人做事时，你会本能地模仿他们，即使这不符合你的最佳利益，”他说。</blockquote>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If Biden hikes capital gains taxes on millionaires, some new investors see a ‘buying opportunity’<blockquote>如果拜登提高百万富翁的资本利得税，一些新投资者会看到“买入机会”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf Biden hikes capital gains taxes on millionaires, some new investors see a ‘buying opportunity’<blockquote>如果拜登提高百万富翁的资本利得税，一些新投资者会看到“买入机会”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nMarketWatch2021-04-26 23:30\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n‘I look at something like this as an opportunity to buy and hold,’ said one millennial investor who’s on the lookout for a stock market sell-off if capital gains tax rates increase.<blockquote>一位千禧一代投资者说，我认为这是一个买入并持有的机会，如果资本利得税率提高，股市就会出现抛售。</blockquote> Alex Zagorski will be on the lookout for stock market bargains if President Joe Biden goes through with a reported plan to effectively double the capital gains tax rate on people who earn at least $1 million a year.<blockquote>如果乔·拜登总统实施据报道的将年收入至少100万美元的人的资本利得税率提高一倍的计划，亚历克斯·扎戈尔斯基将关注股市便宜货。</blockquote> Biden is reportedly planning tofollow through on a campaign pledgeto apply a 39.6% capital gains rate for millionaires and above. Coupled with a pre-existing 3.8% tax linked to the Affordable Care Act, that would be 43.4% rate. The capital gains rate on profits from investment securities is currently 20% for top earners.<blockquote>据报道，拜登计划兑现竞选承诺，对百万富翁及以上人士实行39.6%的资本利得税率。再加上与患者保护与平价医疗法案相关的3.8%的税率，这将是43.4%。目前，高收入者的投资证券利润资本利得税率为20%。</blockquote> If history is any guide — and if Biden can even get the idea through Congress — there’s going to be a stock market sell-off in some form as some rich investors take advantage of lower rates before they climb.<blockquote>如果以史为鉴——如果拜登能够在国会通过这一想法——股市将会出现某种形式的抛售，因为一些富有的投资者在利率攀升之前利用了较低的利率。</blockquote> And Zagorski, a 27-year-old mechanical engineer from Detroit, Mich. with years of investing experience, will be there waiting. “My opinion on investing is very long-term,” he told MarketWatch. “I look at something like this as an opportunity to buy and hold.”<blockquote>扎戈尔斯基是一位来自密歇根州底特律市的27岁机械工程师。凭借多年的投资经验，将在那里等待。“我对投资的看法是非常长期的，”他告诉MarketWatch。“我认为这样的事情是买入并持有的机会。”</blockquote> Martin Sanchez, another relatively new investor, who started buying individual stocks in 2018, agrees. “I think there’s a buying opportunity for millennials if we do see a huge sell-off,” said the 27-year-old Winston Salem, N.C. resident, who works in the tech sector.<blockquote>另一位相对较新的投资者马丁·桑切斯(Martin Sanchez)对此表示同意，他于2018年开始购买个股。这位在科技行业工作的27岁北卡罗来纳州温斯顿塞勒姆居民表示：“我认为，如果我们确实看到大幅抛售，千禧一代就有买入机会。”</blockquote> If Sanchez sees the opening, he might buy up some shares in companies that focus on web security, giving him a chance to spread out his holdings, which are heavier in stocks like DisneyDIS,0.38%and TeslaDIS,0.38%.Sanchez is watching Biden’s tax proposals closely.<blockquote>如果桑切斯看到了这一机会，他可能会购买一些专注于网络安全的公司的股票，这让他有机会分散自己的持股，其中包括迪士尼DIS（0.38%）和特斯拉DIS（0.38%）等股票。桑切斯正在密切关注拜登的税收提案。</blockquote> There are a lot of open questions about the possible capital gains rate hike. Will Biden include the idea in the “American Families Plan” that he’s expected to unveil on Wednesday? How many other tax hikes targeting rich household will that plan include? Will it pass Congress?<blockquote>关于可能的资本利得加息，有很多悬而未决的问题。拜登会将这一想法纳入他预计将于周三公布的“美国家庭计划”吗？该计划还将包括多少针对富裕家庭的其他增税措施？它会通过国会吗？</blockquote> But another question is: What does this potential tax increase mean for a new generation of retail investors?<blockquote>但另一个问题是：这种潜在的增税对新一代散户意味着什么？</blockquote> By now, newer investors have gone through the 2020 market’s fall and rise, and weathered the meme stock trading frenzy that put companies like GameStopGME,3.18%on a share price rollercoaster. Do they stand to gain from an estimated$178 billionin selling that could occur prior to the rate increase?<blockquote>到目前为止，新投资者已经经历了2020年市场的跌宕起伏，并经受住了meme股票交易狂潮，这使得GameStopGME(3.18%)等公司的股价经历了过山车。他们能否从加息前可能发生的估计1780亿美元的抛售中获益？</blockquote> “There are some who may view it as, ‘Oh, here’s my opportunity to get on board,’” said James Angel, a professor at Georgetown University’s McDonough School of Business.<blockquote>乔治城大学麦克多诺商学院教授詹姆斯·安吉尔说：“有些人可能会认为，‘哦，这是我加入的机会。’”</blockquote> But like so much else based on the potential rate hikes, there are big open questions on how new investors — and investors in general — will react. “Does it create opportunity? Well, maybe,” Angel said. “But you have to look carefully on stock-by-stock basis.”<blockquote>但就像许多其他基于潜在加息的事情一样，新投资者以及一般投资者将如何反应也存在很大的悬而未决的问题。“它会创造机会吗？嗯，也许吧，”安吉尔说。“但你必须逐个股票仔细观察。”</blockquote> Indeed,a share price might have little to do with the tax environment,one investor note said Friday. “Ultimately, other factors such as the outlook for economic growth, monetary policy, and interest rates are much more powerful drivers of equity market returns and valuations,” wrote Mark Haefele, chief investment officer for global wealth management at UBS.<blockquote>事实上，一份投资者报告周五表示，股价可能与税收环境关系不大。瑞银全球财富管理首席投资官马克·海菲尔写道：“最终，经济增长前景、货币政策和利率等其他因素是股市回报和估值的更强大驱动因素。”</blockquote> ‘One would expect people to start selling off’<blockquote>“人们会预计人们会开始抛售”</blockquote> When President Ronald Reagan signed theTax Reform Act of 1986,he lowered the top income-tax rate from 50% to 28%.<blockquote>当罗纳德·里根总统签署1986年税收改革法案时，他将最高所得税税率从50%降至28%。</blockquote> The Republican president also changed the tax code in order to treat long-term capital gains as ordinary income, instead of giving capital gains a preferential rate. That bumped the capital gains rate up to 28% for rich households.<blockquote>这位共和党总统还修改了税法，以便将长期资本利得视为普通收入，而不是给予资本利得优惠税率。这使得富裕家庭的资本利得税率高达28%。</blockquote> In the lead up to the changes during tax year 1986, there was a 60% rise in sales on all sorts of capital assets, according to researchers at the nonpartisan U.S. Congress committee Joint Committee on Taxation, and the Tax Policy Center, a think tank.<blockquote>据无党派的美国研究人员称，在1986纳税年度发生变化之前，各种资本资产的销售额增长了60%。国会税收联合委员会和智库税收政策中心。</blockquote> Ahead of a 2013 change — which brought the long-term capital gains rate from 15% to 20% and tacked on the 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax — there was a 40% rise in capital gains “realizations,”the researchers said, meaning investors were selling their holdings.<blockquote>研究人员表示，在2013年的变化之前——将长期资本利得税从15%提高到20%，并增加了3.8%的净投资所得税——资本利得“变现”增加了40%，这意味着投资者正在出售他们持有的股份。</blockquote> History could repeat itself, one of the authors told MarketWatch.<blockquote>一位作者告诉MarketWatch，历史可能会重演。</blockquote> “Certainly, one would expect people to start selling off,” said Robert McClelland, a senior fellow at the Tax Policy Center. “How much, I don’t know.”<blockquote>“当然，人们会预计人们会开始抛售，”税收政策中心高级研究员罗伯特·麦克莱兰说。“多少钱，我不知道。”</blockquote> But McClelland noted it’s important to remember that many stock market buyers are foreign investors and retirement accounts, including 401(k) plans or pension plans, rather than individual investors operating through a brokerage account.<blockquote>但麦克莱兰指出，重要的是要记住，许多股市买家是外国投资者和退休账户，包括401(k)计划或养老金计划，而不是通过经纪账户运作的个人投资者。</blockquote> Foreign investors own about 40% of stock market equity and retirement accounts own about 30%, according toestimateslast year from McClelland’s Tax Policy Center colleagues. Taxable accounts, like a brokerage account, own another 25% in stock market equity.<blockquote>根据麦克莱兰税收政策中心同事去年的估计，外国投资者拥有约40%的股市股权，退休账户拥有约30%。应税账户（例如经纪账户）拥有另外25%的股市股本。</blockquote> Another thing to remember is if rich people are selling, it hardly means they are walking away. “I would still be buying for my clients,” said David Haas, owner of Cereus Financial Advisors in Franklin Lakes, N.J. “In other words, selling does not mean getting out of the market. I would sell a client’s gains and buy something similar to continue participation in the market. The point is to take gains, not stop investing.”<blockquote>另一件要记住的事情是，如果富人在出售，这并不意味着他们要离开。“我仍然会为我的客户购买，”新泽西州富兰克林湖Cereus Financial Advisors的老板大卫·哈斯(David Haas)说。“换句话说，卖出并不意味着退出市场。我会卖掉一个客户的收益，然后买一些类似的东西来继续参与市场。重点是获取收益，而不是停止投资。”</blockquote> As markets digested news Thursday of Biden’s possible capital gains tax hike, they ended the day on a down note. By Friday, they rebounded, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,0.12%ending 228 points higher, up 0.7%, and the S&amp;P 500SPX,0.28%finishing up 1.1%higher.<blockquote>随着市场周四消化拜登可能提高资本利得税的消息，当天收盘下跌。到周五，它们出现反弹，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA上涨0.12%，收盘上涨228点，上涨0.7%，标准普尔500SPX指数上涨0.28%，收盘上涨1.1%。</blockquote> Zagorski says he might be able to profit from any future sell off, but that still doesn’t erase his personal concerns about a rate hike. With any capital gains rate increase, in his view, “you’re just taking away money from people who would be investing in the market.”<blockquote>扎戈尔斯基表示，他也许能够从未来的抛售中获利，但这仍然不能消除他个人对加息的担忧。在他看来，随着资本利得税率的提高，“你只是从愿意投资市场的人那里拿走了钱。”</blockquote> But going forward, the buying opportunities might not be crystal clear. Some less experienced retail investors might not be able to determine if stock sales and potentially dropping prices have to do with tax strategy — and that might cause them to sell too, he said.<blockquote>但展望未来，购买机会可能并不明朗。他说，一些经验不足的散户投资者可能无法确定股票销售和潜在的价格下跌是否与税收策略有关，这也可能导致他们抛售。</blockquote> “When you see people at the top doing things, it’s instinctual to mimic them, even if it’s not in your best interest,” he said.<blockquote>“当你看到高层的人做事时，你会本能地模仿他们，即使这不符合你的最佳利益，”他说。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/if-biden-hikes-capital-gains-taxes-on-millionaires-some-new-investors-see-a-buying-opportunity-11619450737?mod=mw_latestnews\">MarketWatch</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/if-biden-hikes-capital-gains-taxes-on-millionaires-some-new-investors-see-a-buying-opportunity-11619450737?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126815616","content_text":"‘I look at something like this as an opportunity to buy and hold,’ said one millennial investor who’s on the lookout for a stock market sell-off if capital gains tax rates increase.\nAlex Zagorski will be on the lookout for stock market bargains if President Joe Biden goes through with a reported plan to effectively double the capital gains tax rate on people who earn at least $1 million a year.\nBiden is reportedly planning tofollow through on a campaign pledgeto apply a 39.6% capital gains rate for millionaires and above. Coupled with a pre-existing 3.8% tax linked to the Affordable Care Act, that would be 43.4% rate. The capital gains rate on profits from investment securities is currently 20% for top earners.\nIf history is any guide — and if Biden can even get the idea through Congress — there’s going to be a stock market sell-off in some form as some rich investors take advantage of lower rates before they climb.\nAnd Zagorski, a 27-year-old mechanical engineer from Detroit, Mich. with years of investing experience, will be there waiting. “My opinion on investing is very long-term,” he told MarketWatch. “I look at something like this as an opportunity to buy and hold.”\nMartin Sanchez, another relatively new investor, who started buying individual stocks in 2018, agrees. “I think there’s a buying opportunity for millennials if we do see a huge sell-off,” said the 27-year-old Winston Salem, N.C. resident, who works in the tech sector.\nIf Sanchez sees the opening, he might buy up some shares in companies that focus on web security, giving him a chance to spread out his holdings, which are heavier in stocks like DisneyDIS,0.38%and TeslaDIS,0.38%.Sanchez is watching Biden’s tax proposals closely.\nThere are a lot of open questions about the possible capital gains rate hike. Will Biden include the idea in the “American Families Plan” that he’s expected to unveil on Wednesday? How many other tax hikes targeting rich household will that plan include? Will it pass Congress?\nBut another question is: What does this potential tax increase mean for a new generation of retail investors?\nBy now, newer investors have gone through the 2020 market’s fall and rise, and weathered the meme stock trading frenzy that put companies like GameStopGME,3.18%on a share price rollercoaster. Do they stand to gain from an estimated$178 billionin selling that could occur prior to the rate increase?\n“There are some who may view it as, ‘Oh, here’s my opportunity to get on board,’” said James Angel, a professor at Georgetown University’s McDonough School of Business.\nBut like so much else based on the potential rate hikes, there are big open questions on how new investors — and investors in general — will react. “Does it create opportunity? Well, maybe,” Angel said. “But you have to look carefully on stock-by-stock basis.”\nIndeed,a share price might have little to do with the tax environment,one investor note said Friday. “Ultimately, other factors such as the outlook for economic growth, monetary policy, and interest rates are much more powerful drivers of equity market returns and valuations,” wrote Mark Haefele, chief investment officer for global wealth management at UBS.\n‘One would expect people to start selling off’\nWhen President Ronald Reagan signed theTax Reform Act of 1986,he lowered the top income-tax rate from 50% to 28%.\nThe Republican president also changed the tax code in order to treat long-term capital gains as ordinary income, instead of giving capital gains a preferential rate. That bumped the capital gains rate up to 28% for rich households.\nIn the lead up to the changes during tax year 1986, there was a 60% rise in sales on all sorts of capital assets, according to researchers at the nonpartisan U.S. Congress committee Joint Committee on Taxation, and the Tax Policy Center, a think tank.\nAhead of a 2013 change — which brought the long-term capital gains rate from 15% to 20% and tacked on the 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax — there was a 40% rise in capital gains “realizations,”the researchers said, meaning investors were selling their holdings.\nHistory could repeat itself, one of the authors told MarketWatch.\n“Certainly, one would expect people to start selling off,” said Robert McClelland, a senior fellow at the Tax Policy Center. “How much, I don’t know.”\nBut McClelland noted it’s important to remember that many stock market buyers are foreign investors and retirement accounts, including 401(k) plans or pension plans, rather than individual investors operating through a brokerage account.\nForeign investors own about 40% of stock market equity and retirement accounts own about 30%, according toestimateslast year from McClelland’s Tax Policy Center colleagues. Taxable accounts, like a brokerage account, own another 25% in stock market equity.\nAnother thing to remember is if rich people are selling, it hardly means they are walking away. “I would still be buying for my clients,” said David Haas, owner of Cereus Financial Advisors in Franklin Lakes, N.J. “In other words, selling does not mean getting out of the market. I would sell a client’s gains and buy something similar to continue participation in the market. The point is to take gains, not stop investing.”\nAs markets digested news Thursday of Biden’s possible capital gains tax hike, they ended the day on a down note. By Friday, they rebounded, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,0.12%ending 228 points higher, up 0.7%, and the S&P 500SPX,0.28%finishing up 1.1%higher.\nZagorski says he might be able to profit from any future sell off, but that still doesn’t erase his personal concerns about a rate hike. With any capital gains rate increase, in his view, “you’re just taking away money from people who would be investing in the market.”\nBut going forward, the buying opportunities might not be crystal clear. Some less experienced retail investors might not be able to determine if stock sales and potentially dropping prices have to do with tax strategy — and that might cause them to sell too, he said.\n“When you see people at the top doing things, it’s instinctual to mimic them, even if it’s not in your best interest,” he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1682,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["AONE.U","MKFG"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":36,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}

If Biden hikes capital gains taxes on millionaires, some new investors see a ‘buying opportunity’<blockquote>如果拜登提高百万富翁的资本利得税，一些新投资者会看到“买入机会”</blockquote>

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