Technical Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) as of 25 Feb 2025
1. Current Price Action:
- Tesla's stock is down 18% year-to-date (YTD) in 2025, reflecting significant bearish momentum.
2. Key Support Levels:
- $315: This is a critical technical support level. If Tesla fails to hold this level, it could trigger further selling pressure.
- $296–$300: This range represents the next major support zone. Historically, this area has acted as a strong floor for Tesla's price during previous corrections.
- $265: If the bearish momentum intensifies, this level could come into play as a long-term support level.
3. Moving Averages:
- Tesla has broken below the 100-day simple moving average (100 SMA), which is a bearish signal. The 100 SMA often acts as dynamic support, and a break below it indicates weakening momentum.
- The 200-day SMA is currently around $276-280, which could serve as a strong support level if the stock continues to decline.
4. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
- The RSI on 4hr chart is currently in oversold territory, which could indicate a potential short-term bounce or consolidation. However, oversold conditions can persist in strong downtrends, so caution is advised.
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Fundamental Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) as of 25 Feb 2025.
1. Macroeconomic Factors:
- Rising interest rates and inflationary pressures have weighed on high-growth stocks like Tesla. Higher borrowing costs could impact consumer demand for EVs and Tesla's ability to fund its expansion plans.
- Geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions remain key risks for Tesla's global operations.
2. Innovation and Growth Drivers:
- Tesla continues to invest heavily in autonomous driving technology and energy storage solutions, which could be significant growth drivers in the long term.
- The company's Gigafactories are scaling production, but delays or inefficiencies could impact profitability.
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Key Levels to Watch:
- Support Levels: $325 (immediate), $315 (triple daily top), $296–$300 (next major zone), $265 (long-term).
- Resistance Levels: $350, $343 (100 SMA), $362.62.
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Investment Strategy:
Personally, I will wait for a clear reversal signal or a bounce from key support levels ($315 or $296–$300) before considering an entry.
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Conclusion:
Tesla's stock is currently in a bearish trend, with key technical levels and fundamental challenges weighing on the price. While the stock could see a bounce from oversold conditions, the overall trend remains weak. Investors should monitor key support levels ($315 and $296–$300) and wait for confirmation of a reversal before making significant moves. Long-term investors may find value at lower prices, but short-term traders should remain cautious.
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