高盛一直做空特斯拉，_老虎社区_美港股上老虎 - 老虎社区

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小鹏2020
06-06

高盛一直做空特斯拉，一套一套的。

需求疲软信号愈发清晰，高盛大砍特斯拉交付预期

需求疲软、竞争加剧、品牌形象崩坏之际，高盛将特斯拉二季度交付预期从41万辆大幅下调至36.5万辆，远低于共识预期的41.7万辆。长期前景同样黯淡，高盛大幅下调了特斯拉未来三年的交付预期。

需求疲软信号愈发清晰，高盛大砍特斯拉交付预期

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Alpha共识预期的41.7万辆。</strong>截至5月的行业和注册数据显示，包括美国、中国和欧洲在内的全球关键市场持续出现同比下滑。</p>\n<p>比交付数据更令人担忧的是消费者情绪的系统性恶化。高盛引用HundredX和Morning Consult的数据显示，特斯拉在北美和欧洲的品牌关注度和购买意向双双下滑。地区差异尤为明显：加拿大、法国、德国和英国的消费者情绪表现尤其疲软。</p>\n<h2>长期前景同样黯淡：三年预期全线下调</h2>\n<p>高盛的悲观情绪并非短期现象，而是对特斯拉长期前景的系统性重估。<strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600532\">未来</a>三年的交付预期遭遇全面下调</strong>：</p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>2025年：从170万辆下调至157.5万辆</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p>2026年：从195万辆下调至186.5万辆</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p>2027年：从220万辆下调至215万辆</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n<p>伴随销量预期的下滑，特斯拉盈利能力同样面临压力。高盛下调了未来三年的每股收益(EPS)预期：</p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>2025年：从1.25美元下调至1.10美元</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p>2026年：从2.15美元下调至2.05美元</p>\n</li>\n<li>\n<p>2027年：从3.10美元下调至3.00美元</p>\n</li>\n</ul>\n<h2>从190美元到500美元的巨大分歧</h2>\n<p>高盛将特斯拉12个月目标价从295美元下调至285美元（与周四的收盘价基本持平），维持中性评级。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/11d67d79-fef4-4c15-8028-407ae5c5e959.png\"/></p>\n<p>高盛的谨慎态度得到了瑞银的呼应。</p>\n<p>根据华尔街见闻此前文章，瑞银分析师Joseph Spak上周警告称，全球消费者对特斯拉品牌的热情正在减退。“总体而言，我们对特斯拉股票保持谨慎态度，”Spak在报告中表示。瑞银维持卖出评级，<strong>12个月目标价为190美元，较周四收盘价低33%。</strong></p>\n<p>不过，华尔街也有不同的声音。“马斯克铁粉”、Wedbush Securities的Daniel Ives最近将特斯拉12个月目标价从350美元大幅上调至500美元，创下华尔街最高预期。</p>\n<p>Ives将特斯拉自动驾驶出租车Cybercab的即将推出视为重大催化剂，认为这将开启“自动驾驶的黄金时代”。</p>\n<p>另据华尔街见闻，大摩认为，特斯拉在制造、材料科学、导航自主系统、电机研发和机器人技术领域的核心能力使其在无人机领域占据竞争优势——无论是商用还是军用。大摩预计，特斯拉进军航空市场的价值可能为每股100-1000美元，这尚未纳入当前估值。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>需求疲软信号愈发清晰，高盛大砍特斯拉交付预期</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n需求疲软信号愈发清晰，高盛大砍特斯拉交付预期\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-06-06 21:51 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3748641><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>当华尔街最具影响力的投行开始大幅下调特斯拉的交付预期时，这家电动车巨头面临的困境已不再是秘密。\n高盛周四发布报告，将特斯拉二季度交付预期从41万辆下调至36.5万辆。其传达的信息很明确：需求正在减弱，竞争正在加剧，消费者热情正在消退。这一判断与瑞银的悲观预测形成呼应，共同描绘出特斯拉品牌光环褪色的严峻现实。\n全球核心市场同步下滑，高盛大砍特斯拉交付预期\n在最新报告中，高盛分析师Mark ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3748641\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1791807156.HKD":"BGF WORLD FINANCIALS \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU1366192091.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY PLUS \"AM\" (USD) INC","TSYW.SI":"TESLA 3xLongSG261006","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU1868837300.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN FUND \"9\" (USD) ACC","BK4543":"AI","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4588":"碎股","IE00BFXG1179.USD":"BNY MELLON U.S. EQUITY INCOME \"B\" (USD) INC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1868836591.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"1U\"(USD) ACC","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134952.CNY":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (CNYHDG) INC","LU0106831901.USD":"贝莱德世界金融基金A2","LU1868836757.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN FUND \"2\" (USD) ACC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0096364046.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"DU\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1674673428.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES 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H2-SGD"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3748641","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2541886326","content_text":"当华尔街最具影响力的投行开始大幅下调特斯拉的交付预期时，这家电动车巨头面临的困境已不再是秘密。\n高盛周四发布报告，将特斯拉二季度交付预期从41万辆下调至36.5万辆。其传达的信息很明确：需求正在减弱，竞争正在加剧，消费者热情正在消退。这一判断与瑞银的悲观预测形成呼应，共同描绘出特斯拉品牌光环褪色的严峻现实。\n全球核心市场同步下滑，高盛大砍特斯拉交付预期\n在最新报告中，高盛分析师Mark Delaney、Dan Duggan等人毫不掩饰对特斯拉前景的担忧。他们明确表示：\n\n我们正在下调特斯拉汽车交付预期和每股收益预估，以更好地反映关键地区（如中国、美国和欧洲）疲软的月度数据，以及HundredX和Morning Consult的特斯拉消费者调研数据。\n\n数据的残酷性体现在每一个关键数字上。高盛将2025年第二季度交付预期从41万辆大幅下调至36.5万辆，远低于Visible Alpha共识预期的41.7万辆。截至5月的行业和注册数据显示，包括美国、中国和欧洲在内的全球关键市场持续出现同比下滑。\n比交付数据更令人担忧的是消费者情绪的系统性恶化。高盛引用HundredX和Morning Consult的数据显示，特斯拉在北美和欧洲的品牌关注度和购买意向双双下滑。地区差异尤为明显：加拿大、法国、德国和英国的消费者情绪表现尤其疲软。\n长期前景同样黯淡：三年预期全线下调\n高盛的悲观情绪并非短期现象，而是对特斯拉长期前景的系统性重估。未来三年的交付预期遭遇全面下调：\n\n\n2025年：从170万辆下调至157.5万辆\n\n\n2026年：从195万辆下调至186.5万辆\n\n\n2027年：从220万辆下调至215万辆\n\n\n伴随销量预期的下滑，特斯拉盈利能力同样面临压力。高盛下调了未来三年的每股收益(EPS)预期：\n\n\n2025年：从1.25美元下调至1.10美元\n\n\n2026年：从2.15美元下调至2.05美元\n\n\n2027年：从3.10美元下调至3.00美元\n\n\n从190美元到500美元的巨大分歧\n高盛将特斯拉12个月目标价从295美元下调至285美元（与周四的收盘价基本持平），维持中性评级。\n\n高盛的谨慎态度得到了瑞银的呼应。\n根据华尔街见闻此前文章，瑞银分析师Joseph Spak上周警告称，全球消费者对特斯拉品牌的热情正在减退。“总体而言，我们对特斯拉股票保持谨慎态度，”Spak在报告中表示。瑞银维持卖出评级，12个月目标价为190美元，较周四收盘价低33%。\n不过，华尔街也有不同的声音。“马斯克铁粉”、Wedbush Securities的Daniel Ives最近将特斯拉12个月目标价从350美元大幅上调至500美元，创下华尔街最高预期。\nIves将特斯拉自动驾驶出租车Cybercab的即将推出视为重大催化剂，认为这将开启“自动驾驶的黄金时代”。\n另据华尔街见闻，大摩认为，特斯拉在制造、材料科学、导航自主系统、电机研发和机器人技术领域的核心能力使其在无人机领域占据竞争优势——无论是商用还是军用。大摩预计，特斯拉进军航空市场的价值可能为每股100-1000美元，这尚未纳入当前估值。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":26,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":30,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}