避险买盘只是导火索，_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

阿呆宝
10-21

避险买盘只是导火索，真正推动美债走强的，，是“降息预期”。随着就业放缓、通胀回落，市场普遍相信美联储将在本月底降息25个基点。利率下行将推升债券价格，从而带动美债ETF上涨。简单来说：降息 → 收益率下降 → 债券价格上涨 → 美债ETF走强。举例来说，如果十年期美债收益率从5%下降到4%，长期国债价格可能上涨 10% 以上。

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