说说你对这篇新闻的看_老虎社区_美港股上老虎 - 老虎社区

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TigerWW
03-27 08:17

说说你对这篇新闻的看法...

昨夜今晨｜谈判僵局重燃市场恐慌，标普、纳指创开战后最大单日跌幅；SpaceX据称拟将至多30%新股留给散户！特斯拉Q1交付预期36.6万辆

标普500指数和纳斯达克指数最终录得2月28日美以伊开战后的最大单日跌幅。截至收盘，标普500指数跌1.74%，报6477.16点；纳斯达克综合指数跌2.38%，报21408.08点；道琼斯工业平均指数跌1.01%，报45960.11点。两年期美债收益率涨10.05个基点，报3.9858%。这是特朗普自3月21日上周六首次发出威胁后第二次延长设定的打击截止期。本周第三次拍卖疲弱，美债跌势加剧。

昨夜今晨｜谈判僵局重燃市场恐慌，标普、纳指创开战后最大单日跌幅；SpaceX据称拟将至多30%新股留给散户！特斯拉Q1交付预期36.6万辆

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>提前给Q1交付“划线”，卖方预计约36.6万辆，同比增长8%，环比下降24%</p></li><li><p>SpaceX据称已安排四月进行IPO投资者会议，拟将至多30%新股留给散户</p></li><li><p>Meta德州数据中心投资暴增6倍，追加至100亿美元，全力押注AI算力</p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>AI战略转向：拟开放Siri接入更多模型</p></li><li><p>特朗普推迟十天打击伊朗能源设施，最后期限延至4月6日，称美伊谈判“非常顺利”</p></li><li><p>今日关注：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">比亚迪股份</a>将公布财报；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06636\">极视角</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02526\">德适-B</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02726\">瀚天天成</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02667\">同仁堂医养</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01021\">华沿机器人</a>暗盘交易</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c1303d76877618aa9a3877294dc86b9\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"2160\" tg-height=\"3840\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_2172820323\">01 股市</h2><p>谈判僵局重燃市场恐慌！随着特朗普本周初调整的“攻击伊朗能源设施”期限将至，且美伊双方毫无谈拢的迹象，美股市场迎来全天候匀速下跌。标普500指数和纳斯达克指数最终录得2月28日美以伊开战后的最大单日跌幅。黄金、白银下跌，油价再度冲高。</p><p>截至收盘，标普500指数跌1.74%，报6477.16点；纳斯达克综合指数跌2.38%，报21408.08点；道琼斯工业平均指数跌1.01%，报45960.11点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b9d40110308f2b3f7db91864494703e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"142\"/></p><p>看走势不难理解，昨日中东局势并没有积极进展。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据央视新闻等媒体报道，伊朗方面已经通过中间人回复了美国的“15点停火提议”，明确提出“四个必须”：必须<strong>停止敌方的侵略与恐怖行径</strong>；必须创造客观条件，<strong>确保战争不再重演</strong>；必须<strong>明确承诺赔偿战争损失</strong>并加以落实；必须<strong>推动所有战线及地区内参与战事的抵抗组织结束行动</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伊朗同时强调，<strong>其对霍尔木兹海峡的主权是“自然且合法的权利”</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时，美国方面被曝正在制定针对伊朗的所谓“最后一击”军事选项，包括动用地面部队和大规模空袭行动等，涵盖伊朗主要石油出口枢纽和核设施。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">以色列方面则表示，在前一晚对伊朗南部阿巴斯港实施空袭，造成包括伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队海军司令<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里</a>礼萨·坦格西里及海军情报局局长贝赫纳姆·雷扎伊在内的多名伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队海军高层人员身亡。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">令股票市场雪上加霜的是，特朗普还在周四的内阁会议直播期间，直言<strong>油价飙升与股市下跌的程度，都没有他预期得那么严重</strong>。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf092cedda8eb20ff404a6156579f1a6\" title=\"（当地时间2026年3月26日，美国华盛顿，美国总统特朗普在白宫举行的内阁会议上发言）\" tg-width=\"980\" tg-height=\"653\"/><span>（当地时间2026年3月26日，美国华盛顿，美国总统特朗普在白宫举行的内阁会议上发言）</span></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在当地时间周四收盘仅11分钟后，特朗普在社交媒体上发帖称，应伊朗政府请求，<strong>将暂停对伊朗能源设施的打击行动10天，至美东时间4月6日晚8时恢复。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">他还表示，当前相关谈判“进展顺利”，并否认部分媒体关于谈判不顺的说法。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">LPL Financial的首席技术面策略师Adam Turnquist评论称：“伊朗战争及由此引发的油价飙升继续抑制风险偏好，任何可持续的市场复苏都需要在达成和平协议，以及重新开放霍尔木兹海峡方面取得实质性进展。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>热门股表现：</strong>英伟达跌4.16%、苹果涨0.11%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>-A跌3.44%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>跌1.37%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌1.97%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>跌6.53%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>跌6.22%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>跌2.95%、特斯拉跌3.59%、Meta跌7.96%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其中，Meta大跌与前一天美国法院判决公司（和谷歌旗下Youtube）需要向一名自幼对社交媒体成瘾的20岁女性支付300万美元赔偿有关。此案以及后续的审理，可能会对社交媒体平台的运营方式形成重大影响。</p><p>光通信概念股全线回调，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">Applied</a> Optoelectronics跌近15%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LITE\">Lumentum</a>跌超11%，Coherent跌超10%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">美光科技</a>周四下跌6.97%，闪迪下跌11.02%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STX\">希捷</a>跌8.33%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDC\">西部数据</a>跌7.7%。分析指出，除了大盘不景气外，谷歌TurboQuant AI压缩算法也加剧了抛售情绪。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">中概股也受大盘拖累走弱，纳斯达克中国金龙指数周四收跌2.55%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>跌3.43%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>跌1.94%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>跌2.76%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>跌1.92%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>跌4.92%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">携程</a>跌2.18%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌2.77%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>跌4.67%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>跌3.81%。</p><h2 id=\"id_3362810918\">02 其他市场</h2><p>美国10年期基准国债收益率涨7.95个基点，报4.4117%。两年期美债收益率涨10.05个基点，报3.9858%。</p><p>纽约商品交易所5月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨4.16美元，收于每桶94.48美元，涨幅为4.61%；5月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨5.79美元，收于每桶108.01美元，涨幅为5.66%。</p><p>现货黄金跌2.77%，报4380.96美元；现货白银微涨，报68.127美元。</p><h2 id=\"id_1808842819\">03 国际宏观</h2><p><strong>特朗普推迟十天打击伊朗能源设施，最后期限延至4月6日，称美伊谈判“非常顺利”</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据新华社，特朗普26日周四在社交媒体发文，称对伊朗能源设施空袭再推迟十天，至美东时间4月6日晚8时。据央视，特朗普在其社交媒体“真实社交”上发文表示：“应伊朗政府请求，特此声明：我将把针对（伊朗）能源设施的打击再推迟10天，至美国东部时间2026年4月6日晚8点。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">央视提到，特朗普还称：“（与伊朗的）谈判正在进行中，虽然假新闻媒体及其他方面发表了错误的相反言论，但谈判进展非常顺利。”</p><p>这是特朗普自3月21日上周六首次发出威胁后第二次延长设定的打击截止期。3月21日他曾扬言，若伊朗不迅速重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的商业航运，美国将袭击伊朗的发电厂。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特朗普最初给伊朗设定了48小时的最后期限。而在本周一，即期限截止前数小时，特朗普就以美伊双方进行了“富有成效的对话”为由，宣布将袭击行动推迟五天，延至本周五。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本周四稍早，特朗普在白宫的内阁会议上暗示，本周五这个他给伊朗设定的开放霍尔木兹海峡最后期限有灵活性。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">被问及周五这个截止期是否已推迟时，特朗普在会上表示现在还不清楚。特朗普说，他目前还不确定会不会严格要求伊朗遵守这个截止期，如果参与谈判的总统特使威特科夫等人告知，谈判进展并不顺利，可能就得遵守这个期限。</p><p><strong>伊朗局势冲击美债！本周第三次拍卖疲弱，美债跌势加剧</strong></p><p>美国本周发行的2年期、5年期和7年期美债的中标收益率均高于拍卖截止时的市场水平，这是自2024年5月以来首次，一个月内三场拍卖表现糟糕。除了伊朗冲突打压降息预期、甚至有加息预期，市场波动还提高了交易成本，尤其是在短期限债券方面，这也可能是本周拍卖表现疲弱的部分原因之一。</p><p><strong>商务部部长王文涛部长会见美国贸易代表格里尔</strong></p><p>3月26日，商务部部长王文涛在喀麦隆雅温得出席世贸组织第14届部长级会议期间，会见美国贸易代表格里尔。双方就中美经贸关系、多边和区域经贸合作等问题深入交换意见。</p><p>王文涛强调，中方愿与美方加强多边与区域经贸合作，共同推进世贸组织改革，推动世贸组织第14届部长级会议取得务实成果。王文涛还就美方以所谓“产能过剩”和“未禁止进口强迫劳动产品”为由，对包括中国在内的多个经济体发起301调查等表达严正关切。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>黄金大买家的重大转向！土耳其央行在伊朗战争期间抛售80亿美元黄金</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在伊朗战争爆发后的两周内，土耳其央行出售并通过掉期操作动用了约60吨黄金，价值超过80亿美元，这对黄金价格构成了下行压力。其中一部分被直接出售，而大部分则通过掉期协议用于换取外汇或里拉流动性。此次出售标志着土耳其政策的明显转向。过去十年中，土耳其一直是全球最积极的黄金买家之一。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>SEC开始质疑评级机构诚信，私募信贷“甩锅大战”正式打响</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国证券交易委员会（SEC）近期就信用评级机构Egan-Jones能否&#34;持续以诚信方式出具信用评级&#34;展开问询，这一表态并非例行审查，而是监管机构公开质疑私募信贷市场核心机制的可靠性。私募信贷随着赎回闸门陆续关闭、资产估值受到质疑，市场参与者之间的责任归咎正在加速。</p><p><strong>特朗普签名将出现在美国纸币上</strong></p><p>美国财政部周四宣布，为纪念美国建国250周年，特朗普的签名将与财政部长贝森特的签名一同出现在未来的美国纸币上，这也是史上首次有在任总统的签名出现在流通纸币上。按照美国法律，美元纸币必须印有财政部长和国库长的签名。</p><h2 id=\"id_3687450863\">04 公司新闻</h2><p><strong>特斯拉提前给Q1交付“划线”，卖方预计约36.6万辆，同比增长8%，环比下降24%</strong></p><p>在正式披露季度交付数据前，特斯拉罕见发布自行汇总的华尔街一致预期，为市场“定锚”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当地时间周四，特斯拉官方网站发布题为“一季度交付量共识预期”的公告，汇总23家卖方机构模型测算结果，给出了市场当前的“共识答案”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">根据公告，卖方分析师普遍预计，特斯拉2026年第一季度交付36.5645万辆，环比明显回落、同比仍保持增长。其中，一季度预计交付Model 3和Model Y合计35.1179万辆，其他车型合计约1.3946万辆。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这一数字与多家媒体披露的卖方一致预期一致，均指向约36.6万辆的水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从节奏上看，这一预期呈现出典型季节性特征：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>同比：2025年一季度的33.6681万辆有所增长，增幅约8%；</p></li><li><p>环比：较2025年四季度的41.8227万辆明显回落，降幅约24%。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场普遍认为，一季度通常是汽车销售淡季，加之年底冲量后需求透支，环比回落属于行业常态。</p><p><strong>SpaceX据称已安排四月进行IPO投资者会议，拟将至多30%新股留给散户</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">最新消息称，SpaceX计划在复活节假期（4月3日-6日）后举行所谓的“试水”路演，向潜在投资者展示更多支持其1.75万亿美元估值目标的细节。周四也有消息称，此次IPO预计将包含大量散户配售，SpaceX可能会将多达30%的发行份额分配给散户投资者。</p><p>据北京时间周五凌晨的最新消息显示，马斯克正在讨论将高达30%的SpaceX新股分配给个人投资者，依靠他的狂热粉丝群体在上市后帮助稳定股价。在美股IPO惯例中，上市公司通常只会把5%至10%的股票分配给没有禁售限制的散户。</p><p>按照此前爆料，SpaceX上市的募资规模可能达到700-750亿美元，目标估值1.75万亿美元。而此前的全球IPO融资纪录是沙特阿美2019年在本土市场创下的290亿美元。</p><p>知情人士补充称，马斯克制定的计划由SpaceX首席财务官布雷特·约翰森传达给华尔街，该计划将超大规模的散户配售与一种异常亲力亲为的投行选择方式结合起来。民营<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00031\">航天</a>巨头正在根据私人关系和以往渊源，严格限定各家投行在IPO过程中的角色，而不是放任他们进行广泛竞争。</p><p>市场参与者表示，SpaceX已经为各家投行划分了“车道”，指示各机构专注于股票发行的特定部分。</p><p>据消息人士称，各方均预期SpaceX的IPO将迎来十分强劲的散户投资需求，既有多年以来支持马斯克的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F13.SI\">富裕</a>家族办公室，也有被马斯克科技愿景吸引的小散户。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">SpaceX也在押注这些投资者不会在拿到股票后立刻抛售离场，或进行所谓的“冲高出货”（pop-and-dump）交易。</p><p><strong>苹果AI战略转向：拟开放Siri接入更多模型</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据知名科技爆料人马克·古尔曼透露，苹果正计划在iOS 27中向更多第三方AI助手开放Siri接口。除现有ChatGPT合作外，未来可能支持Anthropic Claude、谷歌Gemini等模型接入，允许用户在系统层直接调用不同AI服务。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">举例而言，假设用户在iPhone上安装了谷歌Gemini或Anthropic的Claude，就可以像目前“苹果智能”调用ChatGPT那样，从Siri语音助理内部向这些服务发送查询。通过这一变化，苹果也能通过在设备上销售AI订阅获得更多抽成。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>谷歌发布最高质量音频模型Gemini 3.1 Flash Live，低延迟、高精度响应，打造实时语音交互新范式</strong></p><p>谷歌正式推出Gemini 3.1 Flash Live模型。这一主打音频与语音实时能力的新模型，不仅强化低延迟对话体验，还进一步扩展至开发者生态，标志着Gemini体系正从“多模态理解”迈向“实时智能代理”的关键一步</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Gemini 3.1 Flash Live专为实时音频和语音交互设计，帮助开发者和企业构建能够大规模执行复杂任务的“语音优先”智能体，主打实时对话+连续理解，可在多轮语音互动中保持上下文一致性；在基准测试ComplexFuncBench Audio中得分90.8%，远超前代。新模型优先服务开发者生态，向开发者全面开放，API与多场景接入。</p><p><strong>Anthropic赢得法院支持，阻止特朗普对其AI工具的使用禁令</strong></p><p>Anthropic PBC赢得了一项法院命令，暂时阻止了特朗普政府对该公司人工<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>技术在政府层面使用的禁令。美国地方法院法官Rita F. Lin于周四发布了初步禁令，在旧金山联邦法院进行法律诉讼期间，暂停了政府切断与Anthropic所有联系的计划。法官称政府的禁令“令人不安”，并表示这“看起来像是企图削弱Anthropic”。（彭博）</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Meta德州数据中心投资暴增6倍，追加至100亿美元，全力押注AI算力</strong></p><p>Meta宣布将位于得克萨斯州埃尔帕索的数据中心项目投资额扩大至惊人的100亿美元，比最初承诺的15亿美元增长了六倍。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这座数据中心的目标是到2028年实现1吉瓦的电力容量上线，未来将承担Meta大语言模型的训练与推理工作负载，为下一代AI产品提供算力支撑，覆盖范围包括Meta AI助手以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Facebook</a>、Instagram和WhatsApp等平台的内容推荐系统。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与依赖云服务提供商或第三方基础设施的路径不同，Meta正在自主建设专为其AI工作负载定制优化的数据中心，以期在每单位成本的算力效能上形成差异化优势。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meta首席执行官马克·扎克伯格此前已多次表态，认为基础设施领先地位是AI竞争制胜的前提条件。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在谷歌主导搜索、微软深度绑定OpenAI、OpenAI持续强化消费级AI产品的格局下，Meta若在算力储备上落后，将在下一轮技术突破到来时面临规模扩张的瓶颈制约。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析认为大规模数据中心建设在某种程度上构成对技术落伍风险的&#34;对冲保险&#34;，代价是可观的前期资本投入。</p><p><strong>马斯克放出Optimus最新视频，称有望在今年夏季启动生产，2027年剑指百万台产能</strong></p><p>。特斯拉官方发布Optimus最新视频，首次集中展示了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">机器人</a>的减速齿轮箱、灵巧手等核心硬件设计及研发环境，呈现出工程进展的具体程度，百余个专项职位同步开放。马斯克宣布Optimus 3今夏启动量产，2027年剑指年产百万台、终极目标10万亿美元营收。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a>全面上调订阅价格</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">奈飞已再次上调美国市场全部订阅套餐价格，其中广告版标准计划涨价1美元至8.99美元/月，无广告标准计划与高级套餐均涨价2美元，分别升至每月19.99美元和26.99美元，同时额外成员费用也同步上涨。这是公司自2025年1月以来首次全面调价。</p><h2 id=\"id_1153438510\">05 今日关注</h2><p>经济数据：中国1—2月规模以上工业企业利润数据将于 9:30 发布。</p><p>业绩：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">比亚迪股份</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06869\">长飞光纤光缆</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02318\">中国平安</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01766\">中国中车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06099\">招商证券</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02333\">长城汽车</a>等港股将公布财报。</p><p>新股：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02526\">德适-B</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02726\">瀚天天成</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06636\">极视角</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02667\">同仁堂医养</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01021\">华沿机器人</a>暗盘交易。</p><p></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>昨夜今晨｜谈判僵局重燃市场恐慌，标普、纳指创开战后最大单日跌幅；SpaceX据称拟将至多30%新股留给散户！特斯拉Q1交付预期36.6万辆</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨｜谈判僵局重燃市场恐慌，标普、纳指创开战后最大单日跌幅；SpaceX据称拟将至多30%新股留给散户！特斯拉Q1交付预期36.6万辆\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-03-27 07:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><strong>摘要：</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>美股收盘 | 谈判僵局重燃市场恐慌，标普、纳指创开战后最大单日跌幅；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDK\">闪迪</a>下跌11%，Meta跌近8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>跌超4%</p></li><li><p>光通信概念股全线回调，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAOI\">Applied Optoelectronics</a>跌近15%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LITE\">Lumentum</a>跌超11%，Coherent跌超10%</p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>提前给Q1交付“划线”，卖方预计约36.6万辆，同比增长8%，环比下降24%</p></li><li><p>SpaceX据称已安排四月进行IPO投资者会议，拟将至多30%新股留给散户</p></li><li><p>Meta德州数据中心投资暴增6倍，追加至100亿美元，全力押注AI算力</p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>AI战略转向：拟开放Siri接入更多模型</p></li><li><p>特朗普推迟十天打击伊朗能源设施，最后期限延至4月6日，称美伊谈判“非常顺利”</p></li><li><p>今日关注：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">比亚迪股份</a>将公布财报；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06636\">极视角</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02526\">德适-B</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02726\">瀚天天成</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02667\">同仁堂医养</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01021\">华沿机器人</a>暗盘交易</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c1303d76877618aa9a3877294dc86b9\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"2160\" tg-height=\"3840\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_2172820323\">01 股市</h2><p>谈判僵局重燃市场恐慌！随着特朗普本周初调整的“攻击伊朗能源设施”期限将至，且美伊双方毫无谈拢的迹象，美股市场迎来全天候匀速下跌。标普500指数和纳斯达克指数最终录得2月28日美以伊开战后的最大单日跌幅。黄金、白银下跌，油价再度冲高。</p><p>截至收盘，标普500指数跌1.74%，报6477.16点；纳斯达克综合指数跌2.38%，报21408.08点；道琼斯工业平均指数跌1.01%，报45960.11点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b9d40110308f2b3f7db91864494703e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"142\"/></p><p>看走势不难理解，昨日中东局势并没有积极进展。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据央视新闻等媒体报道，伊朗方面已经通过中间人回复了美国的“15点停火提议”，明确提出“四个必须”：必须<strong>停止敌方的侵略与恐怖行径</strong>；必须创造客观条件，<strong>确保战争不再重演</strong>；必须<strong>明确承诺赔偿战争损失</strong>并加以落实；必须<strong>推动所有战线及地区内参与战事的抵抗组织结束行动</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伊朗同时强调，<strong>其对霍尔木兹海峡的主权是“自然且合法的权利”</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时，美国方面被曝正在制定针对伊朗的所谓“最后一击”军事选项，包括动用地面部队和大规模空袭行动等，涵盖伊朗主要石油出口枢纽和核设施。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">以色列方面则表示，在前一晚对伊朗南部阿巴斯港实施空袭，造成包括伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队海军司令<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里</a>礼萨·坦格西里及海军情报局局长贝赫纳姆·雷扎伊在内的多名伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队海军高层人员身亡。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">令股票市场雪上加霜的是，特朗普还在周四的内阁会议直播期间，直言<strong>油价飙升与股市下跌的程度，都没有他预期得那么严重</strong>。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf092cedda8eb20ff404a6156579f1a6\" title=\"（当地时间2026年3月26日，美国华盛顿，美国总统特朗普在白宫举行的内阁会议上发言）\" tg-width=\"980\" tg-height=\"653\"/><span>（当地时间2026年3月26日，美国华盛顿，美国总统特朗普在白宫举行的内阁会议上发言）</span></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在当地时间周四收盘仅11分钟后，特朗普在社交媒体上发帖称，应伊朗政府请求，<strong>将暂停对伊朗能源设施的打击行动10天，至美东时间4月6日晚8时恢复。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">他还表示，当前相关谈判“进展顺利”，并否认部分媒体关于谈判不顺的说法。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">LPL Financial的首席技术面策略师Adam Turnquist评论称：“伊朗战争及由此引发的油价飙升继续抑制风险偏好，任何可持续的市场复苏都需要在达成和平协议，以及重新开放霍尔木兹海峡方面取得实质性进展。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>热门股表现：</strong>英伟达跌4.16%、苹果涨0.11%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>-A跌3.44%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>跌1.37%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌1.97%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>跌6.53%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>跌6.22%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>跌2.95%、特斯拉跌3.59%、Meta跌7.96%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其中，Meta大跌与前一天美国法院判决公司（和谷歌旗下Youtube）需要向一名自幼对社交媒体成瘾的20岁女性支付300万美元赔偿有关。此案以及后续的审理，可能会对社交媒体平台的运营方式形成重大影响。</p><p>光通信概念股全线回调，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">Applied</a> Optoelectronics跌近15%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LITE\">Lumentum</a>跌超11%，Coherent跌超10%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">美光科技</a>周四下跌6.97%，闪迪下跌11.02%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STX\">希捷</a>跌8.33%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDC\">西部数据</a>跌7.7%。分析指出，除了大盘不景气外，谷歌TurboQuant AI压缩算法也加剧了抛售情绪。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">中概股也受大盘拖累走弱，纳斯达克中国金龙指数周四收跌2.55%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>跌3.43%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>跌1.94%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>跌2.76%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>跌1.92%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>跌4.92%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">携程</a>跌2.18%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌2.77%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>跌4.67%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>跌3.81%。</p><h2 id=\"id_3362810918\">02 其他市场</h2><p>美国10年期基准国债收益率涨7.95个基点，报4.4117%。两年期美债收益率涨10.05个基点，报3.9858%。</p><p>纽约商品交易所5月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨4.16美元，收于每桶94.48美元，涨幅为4.61%；5月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨5.79美元，收于每桶108.01美元，涨幅为5.66%。</p><p>现货黄金跌2.77%，报4380.96美元；现货白银微涨，报68.127美元。</p><h2 id=\"id_1808842819\">03 国际宏观</h2><p><strong>特朗普推迟十天打击伊朗能源设施，最后期限延至4月6日，称美伊谈判“非常顺利”</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据新华社，特朗普26日周四在社交媒体发文，称对伊朗能源设施空袭再推迟十天，至美东时间4月6日晚8时。据央视，特朗普在其社交媒体“真实社交”上发文表示：“应伊朗政府请求，特此声明：我将把针对（伊朗）能源设施的打击再推迟10天，至美国东部时间2026年4月6日晚8点。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">央视提到，特朗普还称：“（与伊朗的）谈判正在进行中，虽然假新闻媒体及其他方面发表了错误的相反言论，但谈判进展非常顺利。”</p><p>这是特朗普自3月21日上周六首次发出威胁后第二次延长设定的打击截止期。3月21日他曾扬言，若伊朗不迅速重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的商业航运，美国将袭击伊朗的发电厂。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特朗普最初给伊朗设定了48小时的最后期限。而在本周一，即期限截止前数小时，特朗普就以美伊双方进行了“富有成效的对话”为由，宣布将袭击行动推迟五天，延至本周五。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本周四稍早，特朗普在白宫的内阁会议上暗示，本周五这个他给伊朗设定的开放霍尔木兹海峡最后期限有灵活性。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">被问及周五这个截止期是否已推迟时，特朗普在会上表示现在还不清楚。特朗普说，他目前还不确定会不会严格要求伊朗遵守这个截止期，如果参与谈判的总统特使威特科夫等人告知，谈判进展并不顺利，可能就得遵守这个期限。</p><p><strong>伊朗局势冲击美债！本周第三次拍卖疲弱，美债跌势加剧</strong></p><p>美国本周发行的2年期、5年期和7年期美债的中标收益率均高于拍卖截止时的市场水平，这是自2024年5月以来首次，一个月内三场拍卖表现糟糕。除了伊朗冲突打压降息预期、甚至有加息预期，市场波动还提高了交易成本，尤其是在短期限债券方面，这也可能是本周拍卖表现疲弱的部分原因之一。</p><p><strong>商务部部长王文涛部长会见美国贸易代表格里尔</strong></p><p>3月26日，商务部部长王文涛在喀麦隆雅温得出席世贸组织第14届部长级会议期间，会见美国贸易代表格里尔。双方就中美经贸关系、多边和区域经贸合作等问题深入交换意见。</p><p>王文涛强调，中方愿与美方加强多边与区域经贸合作，共同推进世贸组织改革，推动世贸组织第14届部长级会议取得务实成果。王文涛还就美方以所谓“产能过剩”和“未禁止进口强迫劳动产品”为由，对包括中国在内的多个经济体发起301调查等表达严正关切。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>黄金大买家的重大转向！土耳其央行在伊朗战争期间抛售80亿美元黄金</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在伊朗战争爆发后的两周内，土耳其央行出售并通过掉期操作动用了约60吨黄金，价值超过80亿美元，这对黄金价格构成了下行压力。其中一部分被直接出售，而大部分则通过掉期协议用于换取外汇或里拉流动性。此次出售标志着土耳其政策的明显转向。过去十年中，土耳其一直是全球最积极的黄金买家之一。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>SEC开始质疑评级机构诚信，私募信贷“甩锅大战”正式打响</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国证券交易委员会（SEC）近期就信用评级机构Egan-Jones能否&#34;持续以诚信方式出具信用评级&#34;展开问询，这一表态并非例行审查，而是监管机构公开质疑私募信贷市场核心机制的可靠性。私募信贷随着赎回闸门陆续关闭、资产估值受到质疑，市场参与者之间的责任归咎正在加速。</p><p><strong>特朗普签名将出现在美国纸币上</strong></p><p>美国财政部周四宣布，为纪念美国建国250周年，特朗普的签名将与财政部长贝森特的签名一同出现在未来的美国纸币上，这也是史上首次有在任总统的签名出现在流通纸币上。按照美国法律，美元纸币必须印有财政部长和国库长的签名。</p><h2 id=\"id_3687450863\">04 公司新闻</h2><p><strong>特斯拉提前给Q1交付“划线”，卖方预计约36.6万辆，同比增长8%，环比下降24%</strong></p><p>在正式披露季度交付数据前，特斯拉罕见发布自行汇总的华尔街一致预期，为市场“定锚”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当地时间周四，特斯拉官方网站发布题为“一季度交付量共识预期”的公告，汇总23家卖方机构模型测算结果，给出了市场当前的“共识答案”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">根据公告，卖方分析师普遍预计，特斯拉2026年第一季度交付36.5645万辆，环比明显回落、同比仍保持增长。其中，一季度预计交付Model 3和Model Y合计35.1179万辆，其他车型合计约1.3946万辆。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这一数字与多家媒体披露的卖方一致预期一致，均指向约36.6万辆的水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从节奏上看，这一预期呈现出典型季节性特征：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>同比：2025年一季度的33.6681万辆有所增长，增幅约8%；</p></li><li><p>环比：较2025年四季度的41.8227万辆明显回落，降幅约24%。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场普遍认为，一季度通常是汽车销售淡季，加之年底冲量后需求透支，环比回落属于行业常态。</p><p><strong>SpaceX据称已安排四月进行IPO投资者会议，拟将至多30%新股留给散户</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">最新消息称，SpaceX计划在复活节假期（4月3日-6日）后举行所谓的“试水”路演，向潜在投资者展示更多支持其1.75万亿美元估值目标的细节。周四也有消息称，此次IPO预计将包含大量散户配售，SpaceX可能会将多达30%的发行份额分配给散户投资者。</p><p>据北京时间周五凌晨的最新消息显示，马斯克正在讨论将高达30%的SpaceX新股分配给个人投资者，依靠他的狂热粉丝群体在上市后帮助稳定股价。在美股IPO惯例中，上市公司通常只会把5%至10%的股票分配给没有禁售限制的散户。</p><p>按照此前爆料，SpaceX上市的募资规模可能达到700-750亿美元，目标估值1.75万亿美元。而此前的全球IPO融资纪录是沙特阿美2019年在本土市场创下的290亿美元。</p><p>知情人士补充称，马斯克制定的计划由SpaceX首席财务官布雷特·约翰森传达给华尔街，该计划将超大规模的散户配售与一种异常亲力亲为的投行选择方式结合起来。民营<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00031\">航天</a>巨头正在根据私人关系和以往渊源，严格限定各家投行在IPO过程中的角色，而不是放任他们进行广泛竞争。</p><p>市场参与者表示，SpaceX已经为各家投行划分了“车道”，指示各机构专注于股票发行的特定部分。</p><p>据消息人士称，各方均预期SpaceX的IPO将迎来十分强劲的散户投资需求，既有多年以来支持马斯克的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F13.SI\">富裕</a>家族办公室，也有被马斯克科技愿景吸引的小散户。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">SpaceX也在押注这些投资者不会在拿到股票后立刻抛售离场，或进行所谓的“冲高出货”（pop-and-dump）交易。</p><p><strong>苹果AI战略转向：拟开放Siri接入更多模型</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据知名科技爆料人马克·古尔曼透露，苹果正计划在iOS 27中向更多第三方AI助手开放Siri接口。除现有ChatGPT合作外，未来可能支持Anthropic Claude、谷歌Gemini等模型接入，允许用户在系统层直接调用不同AI服务。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">举例而言，假设用户在iPhone上安装了谷歌Gemini或Anthropic的Claude，就可以像目前“苹果智能”调用ChatGPT那样，从Siri语音助理内部向这些服务发送查询。通过这一变化，苹果也能通过在设备上销售AI订阅获得更多抽成。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>谷歌发布最高质量音频模型Gemini 3.1 Flash Live，低延迟、高精度响应，打造实时语音交互新范式</strong></p><p>谷歌正式推出Gemini 3.1 Flash Live模型。这一主打音频与语音实时能力的新模型，不仅强化低延迟对话体验，还进一步扩展至开发者生态，标志着Gemini体系正从“多模态理解”迈向“实时智能代理”的关键一步</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Gemini 3.1 Flash Live专为实时音频和语音交互设计，帮助开发者和企业构建能够大规模执行复杂任务的“语音优先”智能体，主打实时对话+连续理解，可在多轮语音互动中保持上下文一致性；在基准测试ComplexFuncBench Audio中得分90.8%，远超前代。新模型优先服务开发者生态，向开发者全面开放，API与多场景接入。</p><p><strong>Anthropic赢得法院支持，阻止特朗普对其AI工具的使用禁令</strong></p><p>Anthropic PBC赢得了一项法院命令，暂时阻止了特朗普政府对该公司人工<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>技术在政府层面使用的禁令。美国地方法院法官Rita F. Lin于周四发布了初步禁令，在旧金山联邦法院进行法律诉讼期间，暂停了政府切断与Anthropic所有联系的计划。法官称政府的禁令“令人不安”，并表示这“看起来像是企图削弱Anthropic”。（彭博）</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Meta德州数据中心投资暴增6倍，追加至100亿美元，全力押注AI算力</strong></p><p>Meta宣布将位于得克萨斯州埃尔帕索的数据中心项目投资额扩大至惊人的100亿美元，比最初承诺的15亿美元增长了六倍。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这座数据中心的目标是到2028年实现1吉瓦的电力容量上线，未来将承担Meta大语言模型的训练与推理工作负载，为下一代AI产品提供算力支撑，覆盖范围包括Meta AI助手以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Facebook</a>、Instagram和WhatsApp等平台的内容推荐系统。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与依赖云服务提供商或第三方基础设施的路径不同，Meta正在自主建设专为其AI工作负载定制优化的数据中心，以期在每单位成本的算力效能上形成差异化优势。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meta首席执行官马克·扎克伯格此前已多次表态，认为基础设施领先地位是AI竞争制胜的前提条件。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在谷歌主导搜索、微软深度绑定OpenAI、OpenAI持续强化消费级AI产品的格局下，Meta若在算力储备上落后，将在下一轮技术突破到来时面临规模扩张的瓶颈制约。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析认为大规模数据中心建设在某种程度上构成对技术落伍风险的&#34;对冲保险&#34;，代价是可观的前期资本投入。</p><p><strong>马斯克放出Optimus最新视频，称有望在今年夏季启动生产，2027年剑指百万台产能</strong></p><p>。特斯拉官方发布Optimus最新视频，首次集中展示了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">机器人</a>的减速齿轮箱、灵巧手等核心硬件设计及研发环境，呈现出工程进展的具体程度，百余个专项职位同步开放。马斯克宣布Optimus 3今夏启动量产，2027年剑指年产百万台、终极目标10万亿美元营收。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a>全面上调订阅价格</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">奈飞已再次上调美国市场全部订阅套餐价格，其中广告版标准计划涨价1美元至8.99美元/月，无广告标准计划与高级套餐均涨价2美元，分别升至每月19.99美元和26.99美元，同时额外成员费用也同步上涨。这是公司自2025年1月以来首次全面调价。</p><h2 id=\"id_1153438510\">05 今日关注</h2><p>经济数据：中国1—2月规模以上工业企业利润数据将于 9:30 发布。</p><p>业绩：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">比亚迪股份</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06869\">长飞光纤光缆</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02318\">中国平安</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01766\">中国中车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06099\">招商证券</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02333\">长城汽车</a>等港股将公布财报。</p><p>新股：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02526\">德适-B</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02726\">瀚天天成</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06636\">极视角</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02667\">同仁堂医养</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01021\">华沿机器人</a>暗盘交易。</p><p></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{"BK4614":"Manus概念股","LU1868837136.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"8\" (USD) ACC","LU1181866309.USD":"摩根大通环球策略总报酬基金A (acc)","LU2257852520.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - 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股市谈判僵局重燃市场恐慌！随着特朗普本周初调整的“攻击伊朗能源设施”期限将至，且美伊双方毫无谈拢的迹象，美股市场迎来全天候匀速下跌。标普500指数和纳斯达克指数最终录得2月28日美以伊开战后的最大单日跌幅。黄金、白银下跌，油价再度冲高。截至收盘，标普500指数跌1.74%，报6477.16点；纳斯达克综合指数跌2.38%，报21408.08点；道琼斯工业平均指数跌1.01%，报45960.11点。看走势不难理解，昨日中东局势并没有积极进展。据央视新闻等媒体报道，伊朗方面已经通过中间人回复了美国的“15点停火提议”，明确提出“四个必须”：必须停止敌方的侵略与恐怖行径；必须创造客观条件，确保战争不再重演；必须明确承诺赔偿战争损失并加以落实；必须推动所有战线及地区内参与战事的抵抗组织结束行动。伊朗同时强调，其对霍尔木兹海峡的主权是“自然且合法的权利”。与此同时，美国方面被曝正在制定针对伊朗的所谓“最后一击”军事选项，包括动用地面部队和大规模空袭行动等，涵盖伊朗主要石油出口枢纽和核设施。以色列方面则表示，在前一晚对伊朗南部阿巴斯港实施空袭，造成包括伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队海军司令阿里礼萨·坦格西里及海军情报局局长贝赫纳姆·雷扎伊在内的多名伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队海军高层人员身亡。令股票市场雪上加霜的是，特朗普还在周四的内阁会议直播期间，直言油价飙升与股市下跌的程度，都没有他预期得那么严重。（当地时间2026年3月26日，美国华盛顿，美国总统特朗普在白宫举行的内阁会议上发言）在当地时间周四收盘仅11分钟后，特朗普在社交媒体上发帖称，应伊朗政府请求，将暂停对伊朗能源设施的打击行动10天，至美东时间4月6日晚8时恢复。他还表示，当前相关谈判“进展顺利”，并否认部分媒体关于谈判不顺的说法。LPL Financial的首席技术面策略师Adam Turnquist评论称：“伊朗战争及由此引发的油价飙升继续抑制风险偏好，任何可持续的市场复苏都需要在达成和平协议，以及重新开放霍尔木兹海峡方面取得实质性进展。”热门股表现：英伟达跌4.16%、苹果涨0.11%、谷歌-A跌3.44%、微软跌1.37%、亚马逊跌1.97%、英特尔跌6.53%、台积电跌6.22%、博通跌2.95%、特斯拉跌3.59%、Meta跌7.96%。其中，Meta大跌与前一天美国法院判决公司（和谷歌旗下Youtube）需要向一名自幼对社交媒体成瘾的20岁女性支付300万美元赔偿有关。此案以及后续的审理，可能会对社交媒体平台的运营方式形成重大影响。光通信概念股全线回调，Applied Optoelectronics跌近15%，Lumentum跌超11%，Coherent跌超10%。美光科技周四下跌6.97%，闪迪下跌11.02%、希捷跌8.33%、西部数据跌7.7%。分析指出，除了大盘不景气外，谷歌TurboQuant AI压缩算法也加剧了抛售情绪。中概股也受大盘拖累走弱，纳斯达克中国金龙指数周四收跌2.55%。阿里巴巴跌3.43%、拼多多跌1.94%、网易跌2.76%、京东跌1.92%、百度跌4.92%、携程跌2.18%、理想汽车跌2.77%、哔哩哔哩跌4.67%、蔚来跌3.81%。02 其他市场美国10年期基准国债收益率涨7.95个基点，报4.4117%。两年期美债收益率涨10.05个基点，报3.9858%。纽约商品交易所5月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨4.16美元，收于每桶94.48美元，涨幅为4.61%；5月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨5.79美元，收于每桶108.01美元，涨幅为5.66%。现货黄金跌2.77%，报4380.96美元；现货白银微涨，报68.127美元。03 国际宏观特朗普推迟十天打击伊朗能源设施，最后期限延至4月6日，称美伊谈判“非常顺利”据新华社，特朗普26日周四在社交媒体发文，称对伊朗能源设施空袭再推迟十天，至美东时间4月6日晚8时。据央视，特朗普在其社交媒体“真实社交”上发文表示：“应伊朗政府请求，特此声明：我将把针对（伊朗）能源设施的打击再推迟10天，至美国东部时间2026年4月6日晚8点。”央视提到，特朗普还称：“（与伊朗的）谈判正在进行中，虽然假新闻媒体及其他方面发表了错误的相反言论，但谈判进展非常顺利。”这是特朗普自3月21日上周六首次发出威胁后第二次延长设定的打击截止期。3月21日他曾扬言，若伊朗不迅速重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的商业航运，美国将袭击伊朗的发电厂。特朗普最初给伊朗设定了48小时的最后期限。而在本周一，即期限截止前数小时，特朗普就以美伊双方进行了“富有成效的对话”为由，宣布将袭击行动推迟五天，延至本周五。本周四稍早，特朗普在白宫的内阁会议上暗示，本周五这个他给伊朗设定的开放霍尔木兹海峡最后期限有灵活性。被问及周五这个截止期是否已推迟时，特朗普在会上表示现在还不清楚。特朗普说，他目前还不确定会不会严格要求伊朗遵守这个截止期，如果参与谈判的总统特使威特科夫等人告知，谈判进展并不顺利，可能就得遵守这个期限。伊朗局势冲击美债！本周第三次拍卖疲弱，美债跌势加剧美国本周发行的2年期、5年期和7年期美债的中标收益率均高于拍卖截止时的市场水平，这是自2024年5月以来首次，一个月内三场拍卖表现糟糕。除了伊朗冲突打压降息预期、甚至有加息预期，市场波动还提高了交易成本，尤其是在短期限债券方面，这也可能是本周拍卖表现疲弱的部分原因之一。商务部部长王文涛部长会见美国贸易代表格里尔3月26日，商务部部长王文涛在喀麦隆雅温得出席世贸组织第14届部长级会议期间，会见美国贸易代表格里尔。双方就中美经贸关系、多边和区域经贸合作等问题深入交换意见。王文涛强调，中方愿与美方加强多边与区域经贸合作，共同推进世贸组织改革，推动世贸组织第14届部长级会议取得务实成果。王文涛还就美方以所谓“产能过剩”和“未禁止进口强迫劳动产品”为由，对包括中国在内的多个经济体发起301调查等表达严正关切。黄金大买家的重大转向！土耳其央行在伊朗战争期间抛售80亿美元黄金在伊朗战争爆发后的两周内，土耳其央行出售并通过掉期操作动用了约60吨黄金，价值超过80亿美元，这对黄金价格构成了下行压力。其中一部分被直接出售，而大部分则通过掉期协议用于换取外汇或里拉流动性。此次出售标志着土耳其政策的明显转向。过去十年中，土耳其一直是全球最积极的黄金买家之一。SEC开始质疑评级机构诚信，私募信贷“甩锅大战”正式打响美国证券交易委员会（SEC）近期就信用评级机构Egan-Jones能否\"持续以诚信方式出具信用评级\"展开问询，这一表态并非例行审查，而是监管机构公开质疑私募信贷市场核心机制的可靠性。私募信贷随着赎回闸门陆续关闭、资产估值受到质疑，市场参与者之间的责任归咎正在加速。特朗普签名将出现在美国纸币上美国财政部周四宣布，为纪念美国建国250周年，特朗普的签名将与财政部长贝森特的签名一同出现在未来的美国纸币上，这也是史上首次有在任总统的签名出现在流通纸币上。按照美国法律，美元纸币必须印有财政部长和国库长的签名。04 公司新闻特斯拉提前给Q1交付“划线”，卖方预计约36.6万辆，同比增长8%，环比下降24%在正式披露季度交付数据前，特斯拉罕见发布自行汇总的华尔街一致预期，为市场“定锚”。当地时间周四，特斯拉官方网站发布题为“一季度交付量共识预期”的公告，汇总23家卖方机构模型测算结果，给出了市场当前的“共识答案”。根据公告，卖方分析师普遍预计，特斯拉2026年第一季度交付36.5645万辆，环比明显回落、同比仍保持增长。其中，一季度预计交付Model 3和Model Y合计35.1179万辆，其他车型合计约1.3946万辆。这一数字与多家媒体披露的卖方一致预期一致，均指向约36.6万辆的水平。从节奏上看，这一预期呈现出典型季节性特征：同比：2025年一季度的33.6681万辆有所增长，增幅约8%；环比：较2025年四季度的41.8227万辆明显回落，降幅约24%。市场普遍认为，一季度通常是汽车销售淡季，加之年底冲量后需求透支，环比回落属于行业常态。SpaceX据称已安排四月进行IPO投资者会议，拟将至多30%新股留给散户最新消息称，SpaceX计划在复活节假期（4月3日-6日）后举行所谓的“试水”路演，向潜在投资者展示更多支持其1.75万亿美元估值目标的细节。周四也有消息称，此次IPO预计将包含大量散户配售，SpaceX可能会将多达30%的发行份额分配给散户投资者。据北京时间周五凌晨的最新消息显示，马斯克正在讨论将高达30%的SpaceX新股分配给个人投资者，依靠他的狂热粉丝群体在上市后帮助稳定股价。在美股IPO惯例中，上市公司通常只会把5%至10%的股票分配给没有禁售限制的散户。按照此前爆料，SpaceX上市的募资规模可能达到700-750亿美元，目标估值1.75万亿美元。而此前的全球IPO融资纪录是沙特阿美2019年在本土市场创下的290亿美元。知情人士补充称，马斯克制定的计划由SpaceX首席财务官布雷特·约翰森传达给华尔街，该计划将超大规模的散户配售与一种异常亲力亲为的投行选择方式结合起来。民营航天巨头正在根据私人关系和以往渊源，严格限定各家投行在IPO过程中的角色，而不是放任他们进行广泛竞争。市场参与者表示，SpaceX已经为各家投行划分了“车道”，指示各机构专注于股票发行的特定部分。据消息人士称，各方均预期SpaceX的IPO将迎来十分强劲的散户投资需求，既有多年以来支持马斯克的富裕家族办公室，也有被马斯克科技愿景吸引的小散户。SpaceX也在押注这些投资者不会在拿到股票后立刻抛售离场，或进行所谓的“冲高出货”（pop-and-dump）交易。苹果AI战略转向：拟开放Siri接入更多模型据知名科技爆料人马克·古尔曼透露，苹果正计划在iOS 27中向更多第三方AI助手开放Siri接口。除现有ChatGPT合作外，未来可能支持Anthropic Claude、谷歌Gemini等模型接入，允许用户在系统层直接调用不同AI服务。举例而言，假设用户在iPhone上安装了谷歌Gemini或Anthropic的Claude，就可以像目前“苹果智能”调用ChatGPT那样，从Siri语音助理内部向这些服务发送查询。通过这一变化，苹果也能通过在设备上销售AI订阅获得更多抽成。谷歌发布最高质量音频模型Gemini 3.1 Flash Live，低延迟、高精度响应，打造实时语音交互新范式谷歌正式推出Gemini 3.1 Flash Live模型。这一主打音频与语音实时能力的新模型，不仅强化低延迟对话体验，还进一步扩展至开发者生态，标志着Gemini体系正从“多模态理解”迈向“实时智能代理”的关键一步Gemini 3.1 Flash Live专为实时音频和语音交互设计，帮助开发者和企业构建能够大规模执行复杂任务的“语音优先”智能体，主打实时对话+连续理解，可在多轮语音互动中保持上下文一致性；在基准测试ComplexFuncBench Audio中得分90.8%，远超前代。新模型优先服务开发者生态，向开发者全面开放，API与多场景接入。Anthropic赢得法院支持，阻止特朗普对其AI工具的使用禁令Anthropic PBC赢得了一项法院命令，暂时阻止了特朗普政府对该公司人工智能技术在政府层面使用的禁令。美国地方法院法官Rita F. Lin于周四发布了初步禁令，在旧金山联邦法院进行法律诉讼期间，暂停了政府切断与Anthropic所有联系的计划。法官称政府的禁令“令人不安”，并表示这“看起来像是企图削弱Anthropic”。（彭博）Meta德州数据中心投资暴增6倍，追加至100亿美元，全力押注AI算力Meta宣布将位于得克萨斯州埃尔帕索的数据中心项目投资额扩大至惊人的100亿美元，比最初承诺的15亿美元增长了六倍。这座数据中心的目标是到2028年实现1吉瓦的电力容量上线，未来将承担Meta大语言模型的训练与推理工作负载，为下一代AI产品提供算力支撑，覆盖范围包括Meta AI助手以及Facebook、Instagram和WhatsApp等平台的内容推荐系统。与依赖云服务提供商或第三方基础设施的路径不同，Meta正在自主建设专为其AI工作负载定制优化的数据中心，以期在每单位成本的算力效能上形成差异化优势。Meta首席执行官马克·扎克伯格此前已多次表态，认为基础设施领先地位是AI竞争制胜的前提条件。在谷歌主导搜索、微软深度绑定OpenAI、OpenAI持续强化消费级AI产品的格局下，Meta若在算力储备上落后，将在下一轮技术突破到来时面临规模扩张的瓶颈制约。分析认为大规模数据中心建设在某种程度上构成对技术落伍风险的\"对冲保险\"，代价是可观的前期资本投入。马斯克放出Optimus最新视频，称有望在今年夏季启动生产，2027年剑指百万台产能。特斯拉官方发布Optimus最新视频，首次集中展示了机器人的减速齿轮箱、灵巧手等核心硬件设计及研发环境，呈现出工程进展的具体程度，百余个专项职位同步开放。马斯克宣布Optimus 3今夏启动量产，2027年剑指年产百万台、终极目标10万亿美元营收。奈飞全面上调订阅价格奈飞已再次上调美国市场全部订阅套餐价格，其中广告版标准计划涨价1美元至8.99美元/月，无广告标准计划与高级套餐均涨价2美元，分别升至每月19.99美元和26.99美元，同时额外成员费用也同步上涨。这是公司自2025年1月以来首次全面调价。05 今日关注经济数据：中国1—2月规模以上工业企业利润数据将于 9:30 发布。业绩：比亚迪股份、长飞光纤光缆、中国平安、中国中车、招商证券、长城汽车等港股将公布财报。新股：德适-B 、瀚天天成 、极视角、同仁堂医养、华沿机器人暗盘交易。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":2,".SPX":2,".DJI":2,"MU":2,".IXIC":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":25,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}