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2022-02-26

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Ukraine-Russia Crisis: $125 Oil Is a Clear Risk, Says Goldman Sachs<blockquote>乌克兰-俄罗斯危机：高盛表示，125美元的油价是一个明显的风险</blockquote>

Russia's invasion of Ukraine risks sending oil prices far higher than current levels, warned top com

Ukraine-Russia Crisis: $125 Oil Is a Clear Risk, Says Goldman Sachs<blockquote>乌克兰-俄罗斯危机：高盛表示，125美元的油价是一个明显的风险</blockquote>

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Crucially, we see a clear risk of $125/bbl in crude should the global market need to balance by summer 2022, as opposed to our current summer 2023 base case, in the face of these supply concerns, as we believe oil demand destruction would be required around the world to drive the faster rebalancing in global oil markets,&#34; Currie said in a new research note.<blockquote>“在我们看来，在迅速升级的局势的不确定性得到解决之前，大宗商品价格风险仍然偏向上行，进一步升级可能会导致欧洲天然气、小麦、玉米和石油价格从已经上涨的水平走高。至关重要的是，面对这些供应担忧，如果全球市场需要在2022年夏季之前实现平衡，我们认为原油价格明显存在125美元/桶的风险，而不是我们目前的2023年夏季基本情况，因为我们认为，全球需要破坏石油需求才能推动全球石油市场更快地实现再平衡，”柯里在一份新的研究报告中表示。</blockquote>Currie told Yahoo Finance Live earlier in the week a &#34;super spike&#34; in commodities prices must not be ruled out amid the geopolitical chaos. He recommends investors have exposure to oil, copper and aluminum.<blockquote>柯里本周早些时候告诉雅虎财经直播，在地缘政治混乱的情况下，不能排除大宗商品价格出现“超级飙升”的可能性。他建议投资者投资石油、铜和铝。</blockquote>To be sure, that is what they have done this week as the situation between Russia and Ukraine has escalated.<blockquote>可以肯定的是，这就是他们本周在俄乌局势升级之际所做的事情。</blockquote>Brent crude oil prices popped to $105 a barrel on Thursday as Russia invaded Ukraine, sparking concern production from Russia would stop as the West ramps up sanctions. Russia is the world&#39;s third-largest producer of oil.<blockquote>由于俄罗斯入侵乌克兰，布伦特原油价格周四飙升至每桶105美元，引发了人们对随着西方加大制裁力度，俄罗斯生产将停止的担忧。俄罗斯是世界第三大石油生产国。</blockquote>Natural gas prices surged by double-digit percentages in Europe Thursday.<blockquote>周四欧洲天然气价格飙升两位数百分比。</blockquote>Prices for Brent crude fell back to $98 a barrel Friday morning as risk sentiment in global markets stabilized.<blockquote>随着全球市场风险情绪企稳，布伦特原油价格周五上午回落至每桶98美元。</blockquote>Meanwhile, price rallies have persisted in areas such as gold, wheat, and corn, ratcheting up recession risk around the world.<blockquote>与此同时，黄金、小麦和玉米等领域的价格持续上涨，加剧了全球经济衰退的风险。</blockquote>Adds Currie on oil, &#34;While the range of near-term price outcomes is wide, our longer-term, bullish underinvestment thesis is very much intact and reinforced by these events.&#34;<blockquote>柯里在谈到石油时补充道，“虽然近期价格结果的范围很广，但我们长期看涨的投资不足论点仍然完好无损，并因这些事件而得到强化。”</blockquote></body></html><blockquote></blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ukraine-Russia Crisis: $125 Oil Is a Clear Risk, Says Goldman Sachs<blockquote>乌克兰-俄罗斯危机：高盛表示，125美元的油价是一个明显的风险</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUkraine-Russia Crisis: $125 Oil Is a Clear Risk, Says Goldman Sachs<blockquote>乌克兰-俄罗斯危机：高盛表示，125美元的油价是一个明显的风险</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nReuters2022-02-25 19:48\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body>Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine risks sending oil prices far higher than current levels, warned top commodities strategist Jeffrey Currie at Goldman Sachs on Friday.<blockquote><html><head></head><body>高盛首席大宗商品策略师杰弗里·柯里周五警告称，俄罗斯入侵乌克兰可能会导致油价远高于当前水平。</body></html></blockquote>&#34;In our view, until the uncertainty around the rapidly escalating situation is resolved, commodity price risk remains skewed to the upside, with further escalation likely to send European natural gas, wheat, corn and oil prices higher from already-elevated levels. Crucially, we see a clear risk of $125/bbl in crude should the global market need to balance by summer 2022, as opposed to our current summer 2023 base case, in the face of these supply concerns, as we believe oil demand destruction would be required around the world to drive the faster rebalancing in global oil markets,&#34; Currie said in a new research note.<blockquote>“在我们看来，在迅速升级的局势的不确定性得到解决之前，大宗商品价格风险仍然偏向上行，进一步升级可能会导致欧洲天然气、小麦、玉米和石油价格从已经上涨的水平走高。至关重要的是，面对这些供应担忧，如果全球市场需要在2022年夏季之前实现平衡，我们认为原油价格明显存在125美元/桶的风险，而不是我们目前的2023年夏季基本情况，因为我们认为，全球需要破坏石油需求才能推动全球石油市场更快地实现再平衡，”柯里在一份新的研究报告中表示。</blockquote>Currie told Yahoo Finance Live earlier in the week a &#34;super spike&#34; in commodities prices must not be ruled out amid the geopolitical chaos. He recommends investors have exposure to oil, copper and aluminum.<blockquote>柯里本周早些时候告诉雅虎财经直播，在地缘政治混乱的情况下，不能排除大宗商品价格出现“超级飙升”的可能性。他建议投资者投资石油、铜和铝。</blockquote>To be sure, that is what they have done this week as the situation between Russia and Ukraine has escalated.<blockquote>可以肯定的是，这就是他们本周在俄乌局势升级之际所做的事情。</blockquote>Brent crude oil prices popped to $105 a barrel on Thursday as Russia invaded Ukraine, sparking concern production from Russia would stop as the West ramps up sanctions. Russia is the world&#39;s third-largest producer of oil.<blockquote>由于俄罗斯入侵乌克兰，布伦特原油价格周四飙升至每桶105美元，引发了人们对随着西方加大制裁力度，俄罗斯生产将停止的担忧。俄罗斯是世界第三大石油生产国。</blockquote>Natural gas prices surged by double-digit percentages in Europe Thursday.<blockquote>周四欧洲天然气价格飙升两位数百分比。</blockquote>Prices for Brent crude fell back to $98 a barrel Friday morning as risk sentiment in global markets stabilized.<blockquote>随着全球市场风险情绪企稳，布伦特原油价格周五上午回落至每桶98美元。</blockquote>Meanwhile, price rallies have persisted in areas such as gold, wheat, and corn, ratcheting up recession risk around the world.<blockquote>与此同时，黄金、小麦和玉米等领域的价格持续上涨，加剧了全球经济衰退的风险。</blockquote>Adds Currie on oil, &#34;While the range of near-term price outcomes is wide, our longer-term, bullish underinvestment thesis is very much intact and reinforced by these events.&#34;<blockquote>柯里在谈到石油时补充道，“虽然近期价格结果的范围很广，但我们长期看涨的投资不足论点仍然完好无损，并因这些事件而得到强化。”</blockquote></body></html><blockquote></blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ukraine-russia-crisis-125-oil-is-a-clear-risk-warns-goldman-114032293.html\">Reuters</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ukraine-russia-crisis-125-oil-is-a-clear-risk-warns-goldman-114032293.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152219361","content_text":"Russia's invasion of Ukraine risks sending oil prices far higher than current levels, warned top commodities strategist Jeffrey Currie at Goldman Sachs on Friday.\"In our view, until the uncertainty around the rapidly escalating situation is resolved, commodity price risk remains skewed to the upside, with further escalation likely to send European natural gas, wheat, corn and oil prices higher from already-elevated levels. Crucially, we see a clear risk of $125/bbl in crude should the global market need to balance by summer 2022, as opposed to our current summer 2023 base case, in the face of these supply concerns, as we believe oil demand destruction would be required around the world to drive the faster rebalancing in global oil markets,\" Currie said in a new research note.Currie told Yahoo Finance Live earlier in the week a \"super spike\" in commodities prices must not be ruled out amid the geopolitical chaos. He recommends investors have exposure to oil, copper and aluminum.To be sure, that is what they have done this week as the situation between Russia and Ukraine has escalated.Brent crude oil prices popped to $105 a barrel on Thursday as Russia invaded Ukraine, sparking concern production from Russia would stop as the West ramps up sanctions. Russia is the world's third-largest producer of oil.Natural gas prices surged by double-digit percentages in Europe Thursday.Prices for Brent crude fell back to $98 a barrel Friday morning as risk sentiment in global markets stabilized.Meanwhile, price rallies have persisted in areas such as gold, wheat, and corn, ratcheting up recession risk around the world.Adds Currie on oil, \"While the range of near-term price outcomes is wide, our longer-term, bullish underinvestment thesis is very much intact and reinforced by these events.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2234,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["OMG"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":3,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}