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2021-12-16

Fed heads for the exits despite Omicron. Who will follow?<blockquote>尽管面临奥密克戎，美联储仍走向退出。谁会跟着？</blockquote>

(Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve didn't beat around the bush on Wednesday when it signaled that

Fed heads for the exits despite Omicron. Who will follow?<blockquote>尽管面临奥密克戎，美联储仍走向退出。谁会跟着？</blockquote>

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Who will follow?<blockquote>尽管面临奥密克戎，美联储仍走向退出。谁会跟着？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143095001","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve didn't beat around the bush on Wednesday when it signaled that ","content":"(Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve didn't beat around the bush on Wednesday when it signaled that raging inflation is its biggest risk and not the potential economic damage from the fast-spreading Omicron variant.<blockquote>（路透社） - 美国美联储周三并没有拐弯抹角，当时它发出信号称，飙升的通胀是其最大的风险，而不是快速蔓延的奥密克戎变种带来的潜在经济损失。</blockquote> The Fed doubled the pace at which it will reduce its bond purchases, while new forecasts from policymakers signaled as many as three interest rate increases next year. Chair Jerome Powell then waxed enthusiastically about the strength of the U.S. job market.<blockquote>美联储将减少债券购买的步伐加倍，而政策制定者的新预测表明明年将加息多达三次。主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔随后热情地谈到了美国就业市场的实力。</blockquote> \"The economy no longer needs increasing amounts of policy support,\" Powell told a news conference. \"In my view, we are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"<blockquote>鲍威尔在新闻发布会上表示：“经济不再需要越来越多的政策支持。”“在我看来，我们正在朝着最大限度就业的方向取得快速进展。”</blockquote> Whether any of the Fed's peers are ready to follow its lead, however, will become clear in the next 24 hours with a rapid-fire succession of meetings by the Bank of England, European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan.<blockquote>然而，随着英国央行、欧洲央行和日本央行的一系列快速会议，美联储的同行是否准备好追随其脚步，将在未来24小时内变得明朗起来。</blockquote> Of the three, however, only the BoE is likely to take more than a baby step in trimming the monumental support provided to its economy through the pandemic. That could set the stage for a choppy 2022 with a Fed determined to end its asset purchases as fast as possible and kick off interest rates soon after, while others will be more hesitant to shift so decisively in that direction.<blockquote>然而，在这三家公司中，只有英国央行可能会在削减通过疫情向其经济提供的巨额支持方面迈出一小步。这可能会为动荡的 2022 年创造条件，美联储决心尽快结束资产购买，并在不久后启动加息，而其他人则会更加犹豫是否要如此果断地朝着这个方向转变。</blockquote> The BoE could become the first of the major central banks to raise interest rates at Thursday's policy meeting, but the United Kingdom is also where friction between Omicron and way-over-target inflation is playing out most vividly.<blockquote>英国央行可能成为周四政策会议上第一家加息的主要央行，但英国也是奥密克戎与超出目标通胀之间摩擦最为明显的地方。</blockquote> UK daily coronavirus infections are now at their highest since the earliest days of the pandemic, forcing Prime Minister Boris Johnson this week to join with opposition lawmakers in imposing new restrictions.<blockquote>英国每日冠状病毒感染人数目前处于疫情爆发初期以来的最高水平，迫使首相鲍里斯·约翰逊本周与反对派议员一起实施新的限制。</blockquote> On the other hand, shocking data on Wednesday showed consumer price inflation at a decade-high rate and bets in financial markets on a December rate hike jumped to 60% from about a third.<blockquote>另一方面，周三令人震惊的数据显示，消费者价格通胀率达到十年来的最高水平，金融市场对 12 月加息的押注从约三分之一跃升至 60%。</blockquote> \"There is now the real risk of inflation becoming entrenched – especially considering the signs of second-round effects in terms of rising wages, supported by a strong labour market – but this is balanced against the threat to the economic recovery from the new Omicron variant,\" said Ellie Henderson, an economist at bank Investec.<blockquote>“现在确实存在通胀根深蒂固的风险——特别是考虑到在强劲劳动力市场的支持下，工资上涨出现了第二轮效应的迹象——但这与新奥密克戎变体对经济复苏的威胁相平衡，”天达银行经济学家 Ellie Henderson 表示。</blockquote> Investors and economists are not expecting anything nearly as bold this week from either the ECB or BOJ.<blockquote>投资者和经济学家预计欧洲央行或日本央行本周不会有任何大胆的举措。</blockquote> The ECB is expected to be among the last to tighten policy, and the current unusually vibrant debate is focused on whether to dial back an exceptionally generous stimulus scheme just a notch. The caution is easy to understand. The bank has undershot its inflation target for most of the past decade, so it would rather move too late than too early, fearing that a misguided policy tweak could unravel years of work.<blockquote>欧洲央行预计将是最后收紧政策的机构之一，当前异常激烈的辩论集中在是否将异常慷慨的刺激计划再降低一个档次。这种谨慎很容易理解。在过去十年的大部分时间里，央行的通胀目标都低于预期，因此它宁愿为时已晚，也不愿为时过早，因为它担心误导性的政策调整可能会导致多年的工作付诸东流。</blockquote> The euro zone's recovery is also trailing others. The bloc is just getting back to its pre-pandemic size and the job market could take another two years to recover. Debt levels are also at record highs, particularly in the bloc's south, so any big retreat could widen the spread between German and Italian debt, raising questions about the sustainability of these debt levels.<blockquote>欧元区的复苏也落后于其他国家。欧盟刚刚恢复到大流行前的规模，就业市场可能还需要两年时间才能复苏。债务水平也处于历史高位，特别是在欧盟南部，因此任何大幅撤退都可能扩大德国和意大利债务之间的利差，引发人们对这些债务水平可持续性的质疑。</blockquote> Given that the risk of moving too quick appears to far outweigh the risk of moving too slow, the ECB is likely to take only the smallest step towards removing extraordinary stimulus this week and will signal copious support, including thorough record low rates, at least through next year.<blockquote>鉴于行动过快的风险似乎远远超过行动过慢的风险，欧洲央行本周可能只会朝着取消特别刺激措施迈出最小的一步，并将发出充足的支持信号，包括彻底创纪录的低利率，至少到明年。</blockquote> In Japan, the consumer-level inflation that is tearing through other parts of the globe remains largely absent. As such, only a marginal reduction in corporate asset purchases is under discussion at Friday's BOJ meeting.<blockquote>在日本，席卷全球其他地区的消费级通货膨胀在很大程度上仍然不存在。因此，周五的日本央行会议仅讨论小幅减少企业资产购买。</blockquote> Even if the others are not hard on the Fed's heels, Powell and the Fed appear to have set the agenda for a tumultuous 2022 as central bankers chart their ways to the exits, albeit at dramatically different paces.<blockquote>即使其他人没有紧随其后，鲍威尔和美联储似乎也为动荡的 2022 年制定了议程，因为各国央行行长们正在制定退出之路，尽管步伐截然不同。</blockquote> \"You saw it in his congressional remarks that were more about tightening sooner than it was about worrying about the health of the global economy,\" said Vincent Reinhart, chief economist for Dreyfuss &amp; Mellon. The Fed and other central banks are \"conveying a sense that they are heading for the exits. Modern central banking is much about managing expectations and they do not want to be seen as behind the curve.\"<blockquote>德雷福斯梅隆首席经济学家文森特·莱因哈特表示：“你可以从他的国会讲话中看到这一点，这些讲话更多的是关于尽快收紧货币政策，而不是担心全球经济的健康状况。”美联储和其他央行“传达了一种他们正在走向退出的感觉。现代央行在很大程度上是为了管理预期，他们不想被视为落后于曲线。”</blockquote>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed heads for the exits despite Omicron. Who will follow?<blockquote>尽管面临奥密克戎，美联储仍走向退出。谁会跟着？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed heads for the exits despite Omicron. Who will follow?<blockquote>尽管面临奥密克戎，美联储仍走向退出。谁会跟着？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nReuters2021-12-16 14:13\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n(Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve didn't beat around the bush on Wednesday when it signaled that raging inflation is its biggest risk and not the potential economic damage from the fast-spreading Omicron variant.<blockquote>（路透社） - 美国美联储周三并没有拐弯抹角，当时它发出信号称，飙升的通胀是其最大的风险，而不是快速蔓延的奥密克戎变种带来的潜在经济损失。</blockquote> The Fed doubled the pace at which it will reduce its bond purchases, while new forecasts from policymakers signaled as many as three interest rate increases next year. Chair Jerome Powell then waxed enthusiastically about the strength of the U.S. job market.<blockquote>美联储将减少债券购买的步伐加倍，而政策制定者的新预测表明明年将加息多达三次。主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔随后热情地谈到了美国就业市场的实力。</blockquote> \"The economy no longer needs increasing amounts of policy support,\" Powell told a news conference. \"In my view, we are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"<blockquote>鲍威尔在新闻发布会上表示：“经济不再需要越来越多的政策支持。”“在我看来，我们正在朝着最大限度就业的方向取得快速进展。”</blockquote> Whether any of the Fed's peers are ready to follow its lead, however, will become clear in the next 24 hours with a rapid-fire succession of meetings by the Bank of England, European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan.<blockquote>然而，随着英国央行、欧洲央行和日本央行的一系列快速会议，美联储的同行是否准备好追随其脚步，将在未来24小时内变得明朗起来。</blockquote> Of the three, however, only the BoE is likely to take more than a baby step in trimming the monumental support provided to its economy through the pandemic. That could set the stage for a choppy 2022 with a Fed determined to end its asset purchases as fast as possible and kick off interest rates soon after, while others will be more hesitant to shift so decisively in that direction.<blockquote>然而，在这三家公司中，只有英国央行可能会在削减通过疫情向其经济提供的巨额支持方面迈出一小步。这可能会为动荡的 2022 年创造条件，美联储决心尽快结束资产购买，并在不久后启动加息，而其他人则会更加犹豫是否要如此果断地朝着这个方向转变。</blockquote> The BoE could become the first of the major central banks to raise interest rates at Thursday's policy meeting, but the United Kingdom is also where friction between Omicron and way-over-target inflation is playing out most vividly.<blockquote>英国央行可能成为周四政策会议上第一家加息的主要央行，但英国也是奥密克戎与超出目标通胀之间摩擦最为明显的地方。</blockquote> UK daily coronavirus infections are now at their highest since the earliest days of the pandemic, forcing Prime Minister Boris Johnson this week to join with opposition lawmakers in imposing new restrictions.<blockquote>英国每日冠状病毒感染人数目前处于疫情爆发初期以来的最高水平，迫使首相鲍里斯·约翰逊本周与反对派议员一起实施新的限制。</blockquote> On the other hand, shocking data on Wednesday showed consumer price inflation at a decade-high rate and bets in financial markets on a December rate hike jumped to 60% from about a third.<blockquote>另一方面，周三令人震惊的数据显示，消费者价格通胀率达到十年来的最高水平，金融市场对 12 月加息的押注从约三分之一跃升至 60%。</blockquote> \"There is now the real risk of inflation becoming entrenched – especially considering the signs of second-round effects in terms of rising wages, supported by a strong labour market – but this is balanced against the threat to the economic recovery from the new Omicron variant,\" said Ellie Henderson, an economist at bank Investec.<blockquote>“现在确实存在通胀根深蒂固的风险——特别是考虑到在强劲劳动力市场的支持下，工资上涨出现了第二轮效应的迹象——但这与新奥密克戎变体对经济复苏的威胁相平衡，”天达银行经济学家 Ellie Henderson 表示。</blockquote> Investors and economists are not expecting anything nearly as bold this week from either the ECB or BOJ.<blockquote>投资者和经济学家预计欧洲央行或日本央行本周不会有任何大胆的举措。</blockquote> The ECB is expected to be among the last to tighten policy, and the current unusually vibrant debate is focused on whether to dial back an exceptionally generous stimulus scheme just a notch. The caution is easy to understand. The bank has undershot its inflation target for most of the past decade, so it would rather move too late than too early, fearing that a misguided policy tweak could unravel years of work.<blockquote>欧洲央行预计将是最后收紧政策的机构之一，当前异常激烈的辩论集中在是否将异常慷慨的刺激计划再降低一个档次。这种谨慎很容易理解。在过去十年的大部分时间里，央行的通胀目标都低于预期，因此它宁愿为时已晚，也不愿为时过早，因为它担心误导性的政策调整可能会导致多年的工作付诸东流。</blockquote> The euro zone's recovery is also trailing others. The bloc is just getting back to its pre-pandemic size and the job market could take another two years to recover. Debt levels are also at record highs, particularly in the bloc's south, so any big retreat could widen the spread between German and Italian debt, raising questions about the sustainability of these debt levels.<blockquote>欧元区的复苏也落后于其他国家。欧盟刚刚恢复到大流行前的规模，就业市场可能还需要两年时间才能复苏。债务水平也处于历史高位，特别是在欧盟南部，因此任何大幅撤退都可能扩大德国和意大利债务之间的利差，引发人们对这些债务水平可持续性的质疑。</blockquote> Given that the risk of moving too quick appears to far outweigh the risk of moving too slow, the ECB is likely to take only the smallest step towards removing extraordinary stimulus this week and will signal copious support, including thorough record low rates, at least through next year.<blockquote>鉴于行动过快的风险似乎远远超过行动过慢的风险，欧洲央行本周可能只会朝着取消特别刺激措施迈出最小的一步，并将发出充足的支持信号，包括彻底创纪录的低利率，至少到明年。</blockquote> In Japan, the consumer-level inflation that is tearing through other parts of the globe remains largely absent. As such, only a marginal reduction in corporate asset purchases is under discussion at Friday's BOJ meeting.<blockquote>在日本，席卷全球其他地区的消费级通货膨胀在很大程度上仍然不存在。因此，周五的日本央行会议仅讨论小幅减少企业资产购买。</blockquote> Even if the others are not hard on the Fed's heels, Powell and the Fed appear to have set the agenda for a tumultuous 2022 as central bankers chart their ways to the exits, albeit at dramatically different paces.<blockquote>即使其他人没有紧随其后，鲍威尔和美联储似乎也为动荡的 2022 年制定了议程，因为各国央行行长们正在制定退出之路，尽管步伐截然不同。</blockquote> \"You saw it in his congressional remarks that were more about tightening sooner than it was about worrying about the health of the global economy,\" said Vincent Reinhart, chief economist for Dreyfuss &amp; Mellon. The Fed and other central banks are \"conveying a sense that they are heading for the exits. Modern central banking is much about managing expectations and they do not want to be seen as behind the curve.\"<blockquote>德雷福斯梅隆首席经济学家文森特·莱因哈特表示：“你可以从他的国会讲话中看到这一点，这些讲话更多的是关于尽快收紧货币政策，而不是担心全球经济的健康状况。”美联储和其他央行“传达了一种他们正在走向退出的感觉。现代央行在很大程度上是为了管理预期，他们不想被视为落后于曲线。”</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-exits-despite-omicron-060632193.html\">Reuters</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-exits-despite-omicron-060632193.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143095001","content_text":"(Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve didn't beat around the bush on Wednesday when it signaled that raging inflation is its biggest risk and not the potential economic damage from the fast-spreading Omicron variant.\nThe Fed doubled the pace at which it will reduce its bond purchases, while new forecasts from policymakers signaled as many as three interest rate increases next year. Chair Jerome Powell then waxed enthusiastically about the strength of the U.S. job market.\n\"The economy no longer needs increasing amounts of policy support,\" Powell told a news conference. \"In my view, we are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"\nWhether any of the Fed's peers are ready to follow its lead, however, will become clear in the next 24 hours with a rapid-fire succession of meetings by the Bank of England, European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan.\nOf the three, however, only the BoE is likely to take more than a baby step in trimming the monumental support provided to its economy through the pandemic. That could set the stage for a choppy 2022 with a Fed determined to end its asset purchases as fast as possible and kick off interest rates soon after, while others will be more hesitant to shift so decisively in that direction.\nThe BoE could become the first of the major central banks to raise interest rates at Thursday's policy meeting, but the United Kingdom is also where friction between Omicron and way-over-target inflation is playing out most vividly.\nUK daily coronavirus infections are now at their highest since the earliest days of the pandemic, forcing Prime Minister Boris Johnson this week to join with opposition lawmakers in imposing new restrictions.\nOn the other hand, shocking data on Wednesday showed consumer price inflation at a decade-high rate and bets in financial markets on a December rate hike jumped to 60% from about a third.\n\"There is now the real risk of inflation becoming entrenched – especially considering the signs of second-round effects in terms of rising wages, supported by a strong labour market – but this is balanced against the threat to the economic recovery from the new Omicron variant,\" said Ellie Henderson, an economist at bank Investec.\nInvestors and economists are not expecting anything nearly as bold this week from either the ECB or BOJ.\nThe ECB is expected to be among the last to tighten policy, and the current unusually vibrant debate is focused on whether to dial back an exceptionally generous stimulus scheme just a notch. The caution is easy to understand. The bank has undershot its inflation target for most of the past decade, so it would rather move too late than too early, fearing that a misguided policy tweak could unravel years of work.\nThe euro zone's recovery is also trailing others. The bloc is just getting back to its pre-pandemic size and the job market could take another two years to recover. Debt levels are also at record highs, particularly in the bloc's south, so any big retreat could widen the spread between German and Italian debt, raising questions about the sustainability of these debt levels.\nGiven that the risk of moving too quick appears to far outweigh the risk of moving too slow, the ECB is likely to take only the smallest step towards removing extraordinary stimulus this week and will signal copious support, including thorough record low rates, at least through next year.\nIn Japan, the consumer-level inflation that is tearing through other parts of the globe remains largely absent. As such, only a marginal reduction in corporate asset purchases is under discussion at Friday's BOJ meeting.\nEven if the others are not hard on the Fed's heels, Powell and the Fed appear to have set the agenda for a tumultuous 2022 as central bankers chart their ways to the exits, albeit at dramatically different paces.\n\"You saw it in his congressional remarks that were more about tightening sooner than it was about worrying about the health of the global economy,\" said Vincent Reinhart, chief economist for Dreyfuss & Mellon. The Fed and other central banks are \"conveying a sense that they are heading for the exits. Modern central banking is much about managing expectations and they do not want to be seen as behind the curve.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4053,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}

Fed heads for the exits despite Omicron. Who will follow?<blockquote>尽管面临奥密克戎，美联储仍走向退出。谁会跟着？</blockquote>

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