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Jade78
2021-12-21

Always prudent to have an exit strategy but easier said then done when you are gasping for air when drowning in the swirling torrents of volatility

Apple Stock: If You're Buying the Dip, Here's What You Need to Know<blockquote>苹果股票：如果您逢低买入，以下是您需要了解的内容</blockquote>

Bargain hunters may start to consider buying Apple stock on the dip, following the December selloff. Here is what they should know first.Apple stock remains in a funk. Only one week to the dayafter I tossed around the ideaof trimming the position, shares of the Cupertino company dipped 7% from the $180 peak against the Nasdaq’s 4% decline, nearly entering correction territory.A few brave investors and traders must be taking this opportunity to start buying the dip. The Apple Maven highlights thr

Apple Stock: If You're Buying the Dip, Here's What You Need to Know<blockquote>苹果股票：如果您逢低买入，以下是您需要了解的内容</blockquote>

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Here is what they should know first.Apple stock remains in a funk. Only one week to the dayafter I tossed around the ideaof trimming the position, shares of the Cupertino company dipped 7% from the $180 peak against the Nasdaq’s 4% decline, nearly entering correction territory.A few brave investors and traders must be taking this opportunity to start buying the dip. The Apple Maven highlights thr","content":"Bargain hunters may start to consider buying Apple stock on the dip, following the December selloff. Here is what they should know first.<blockquote>继12月抛售之后，逢低买入苹果股票的人可能会开始考虑逢低买入。以下是他们首先应该知道的。</blockquote> Apple stock&nbsp;remains in a funk. Only one week to the dayafter I tossed around the ideaof trimming the position, shares of the Cupertino company dipped 7% from the $180 peak against the Nasdaq’s 4% decline, nearly entering correction territory.<blockquote>苹果股票仍然处于恐慌状态。就在我提出削减头寸的想法一周后，这家库比蒂诺公司的股价从180美元的峰值下跌了7%，而纳斯达克则下跌了4%，几乎进入回调区域。</blockquote> A few brave investors and traders must be taking this opportunity to start buying the dip. The Apple Maven highlights three facts that these bargain hunters should keep in mind.<blockquote>一些勇敢的投资者和交易者一定会借此机会开始逢低买入。这位苹果专家强调了这些抄底者应该记住的三个事实。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a182a349bbd4ca16a13dace221ec341e\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple store in China.<blockquote>图1：苹果国内门店。</blockquote> #1. Valuations are looking more attractive<blockquote>#1.估值看起来更具吸引力</blockquote> AAPL is far from being a dirt cheap stock. The price-to-earnings ratio today is still higher than it had been for at least the full decade prior to the start of the pandemic (see chart below). However, with the recent decline in share price but still resilient business fundamentals, valuations are starting to look more compelling.<blockquote>苹果公司远非一只非常便宜的股票。如今的市盈率仍高于疫情开始前至少整整十年的水平（见下图）。然而，随着近期股价下跌但业务基本面仍有弹性，估值开始看起来更具吸引力。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75ae50cce66d14520a3db0ce721b79a3\" tg-width=\"827\" tg-height=\"389\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: AAPL's historical price-to-earnings ratio.<blockquote>图2：AAPL的历史市盈率。</blockquote> The last read on the graph above shows a P/E of 29.0 times as of November 30. As of last check, on December 20, the fiscal 2022 multiple had dropped to 27.5 times. These are roughly the same levels of June 2020, after which Apple stock moved 85% higher in a year and a half.<blockquote>上图的最后一次读数显示，截至11月30日，市盈率为29.0倍。截至12月20日上次检查，2022财年市盈率已降至27.5倍。这些水平与2020年6月大致相同，此后苹果股价在一年半内上涨了85%。</blockquote> #2. The deeper the hole, the higher the gains<blockquote>#2.洞越深，收益越高</blockquote> “Buy low, sell high”. The mantra may seem overly simplistic, but the strategy has worked wonders in the case of AAPL.<blockquote>“低买高卖”。这个口号可能看起来过于简单，但这一策略在苹果公司的案例中创造了奇迹。</blockquote> We have often mentioned here, on the Apple Maven channel, that shares of the Cupertino company&nbsp;do best when bought after a selloff. Historically, the one-year gains have been 22% when the stock is bought near a peak, but nearly 40% when bought after a 15% drawdown.<blockquote>我们在苹果Maven频道上经常提到，库比蒂诺公司的股票在抛售后买入时表现最好。从历史上看，当该股接近峰值时，一年涨幅为22%，但在下跌15%后买入时，一年涨幅接近40%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9439be7d48cbf04254a822d9d57576f3\" tg-width=\"601\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 3: Average one-year return on AAPL, by strategy.<blockquote>图3：按策略划分的AAPL平均一年回报率。</blockquote> Could this time be different for dip buyers? I think not. To be clear, I do not believe that every stock is worth owning on weakness, as “40% of all stocks have&nbsp;suffered&nbsp;a permanent 70%-plus decline from their peak value”.<blockquote>对于逢低买入者来说，这次会有所不同吗？我不这么认为。需要明确的是，我不认为每只股票都值得在疲软时持有，因为“40%的股票从峰值永久下跌了70%以上”。</blockquote> But in the case of Apple, it is highly likely that share price will eventually head higher again, shaking off short-term bearishness and chasing the strong business fundamentals. Having the patience to wait for the next rally is crucial.<blockquote>但就苹果而言，股价最终极有可能再次走高，摆脱短期看跌情绪，追逐强劲的商业基本面。有耐心等待下一次反弹至关重要。</blockquote> #3. Don’t underestimate volatility<blockquote>#3.不要低估波动性</blockquote> All the above sounds bullish at first glance, and an incentive to buy Apple at the current share price of around $168. But if doing so, I urge traders and investors to pay attention to volatility.<blockquote>乍一看，以上所有这些听起来都是看涨的，也是以目前168美元左右的股价买入苹果的动力。但如果这样做，我敦促交易者和投资者注意波动性。</blockquote> The emotional and psychological aspects of investing can be as important as the quantitative considerations, in my view. Those who buy dips must be willing to endure higher volatility, which has increased sharply for AAPL in the past few weeks — see below.<blockquote>在我看来，投资的情感和心理方面与定量考虑一样重要。那些逢低买入的人必须愿意忍受更高的波动性，过去几周苹果公司的波动性急剧增加——见下文。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eace3c9293acb54a4dc217debd6a44be\" tg-width=\"618\" tg-height=\"370\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 4: Annual volatility in AAPL, 1-month rolling.<blockquote>图4：AAPL年度波动率，1个月滚动。</blockquote> Because Apple stock price is likely to ricochet in the short term, some might be tempted to sell their shares prematurely, should they drop well below current levels. If buying AAPL, be sure to have a clear exit strategy to avoid falling victim to spur-of-the-moment decisions.<blockquote>由于苹果股价可能会在短期内反弹，如果股价远低于当前水平，一些人可能会过早出售股票。如果购买AAPL，请务必制定明确的退出策略，以避免成为一时冲动决定的受害者。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: If You're Buying the Dip, Here's What You Need to Know<blockquote>苹果股票：如果您逢低买入，以下是您需要了解的内容</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: If You're Buying the Dip, Here's What You Need to Know<blockquote>苹果股票：如果您逢低买入，以下是您需要了解的内容</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-21 11:10\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nBargain hunters may start to consider buying Apple stock on the dip, following the December selloff. Here is what they should know first.<blockquote>继12月抛售之后，逢低买入苹果股票的人可能会开始考虑逢低买入。以下是他们首先应该知道的。</blockquote> Apple stock&nbsp;remains in a funk. Only one week to the dayafter I tossed around the ideaof trimming the position, shares of the Cupertino company dipped 7% from the $180 peak against the Nasdaq’s 4% decline, nearly entering correction territory.<blockquote>苹果股票仍然处于恐慌状态。就在我提出削减头寸的想法一周后，这家库比蒂诺公司的股价从180美元的峰值下跌了7%，而纳斯达克则下跌了4%，几乎进入回调区域。</blockquote> A few brave investors and traders must be taking this opportunity to start buying the dip. The Apple Maven highlights three facts that these bargain hunters should keep in mind.<blockquote>一些勇敢的投资者和交易者一定会借此机会开始逢低买入。这位苹果专家强调了这些抄底者应该记住的三个事实。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a182a349bbd4ca16a13dace221ec341e\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple store in China.<blockquote>图1：苹果国内门店。</blockquote> #1. Valuations are looking more attractive<blockquote>#1.估值看起来更具吸引力</blockquote> AAPL is far from being a dirt cheap stock. The price-to-earnings ratio today is still higher than it had been for at least the full decade prior to the start of the pandemic (see chart below). However, with the recent decline in share price but still resilient business fundamentals, valuations are starting to look more compelling.<blockquote>苹果公司远非一只非常便宜的股票。如今的市盈率仍高于疫情开始前至少整整十年的水平（见下图）。然而，随着近期股价下跌但业务基本面仍有弹性，估值开始看起来更具吸引力。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75ae50cce66d14520a3db0ce721b79a3\" tg-width=\"827\" tg-height=\"389\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: AAPL's historical price-to-earnings ratio.<blockquote>图2：AAPL的历史市盈率。</blockquote> The last read on the graph above shows a P/E of 29.0 times as of November 30. As of last check, on December 20, the fiscal 2022 multiple had dropped to 27.5 times. These are roughly the same levels of June 2020, after which Apple stock moved 85% higher in a year and a half.<blockquote>上图的最后一次读数显示，截至11月30日，市盈率为29.0倍。截至12月20日上次检查，2022财年市盈率已降至27.5倍。这些水平与2020年6月大致相同，此后苹果股价在一年半内上涨了85%。</blockquote> #2. The deeper the hole, the higher the gains<blockquote>#2.洞越深，收益越高</blockquote> “Buy low, sell high”. The mantra may seem overly simplistic, but the strategy has worked wonders in the case of AAPL.<blockquote>“低买高卖”。这个口号可能看起来过于简单，但这一策略在苹果公司的案例中创造了奇迹。</blockquote> We have often mentioned here, on the Apple Maven channel, that shares of the Cupertino company&nbsp;do best when bought after a selloff. Historically, the one-year gains have been 22% when the stock is bought near a peak, but nearly 40% when bought after a 15% drawdown.<blockquote>我们在苹果Maven频道上经常提到，库比蒂诺公司的股票在抛售后买入时表现最好。从历史上看，当该股接近峰值时，一年涨幅为22%，但在下跌15%后买入时，一年涨幅接近40%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9439be7d48cbf04254a822d9d57576f3\" tg-width=\"601\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 3: Average one-year return on AAPL, by strategy.<blockquote>图3：按策略划分的AAPL平均一年回报率。</blockquote> Could this time be different for dip buyers? I think not. To be clear, I do not believe that every stock is worth owning on weakness, as “40% of all stocks have&nbsp;suffered&nbsp;a permanent 70%-plus decline from their peak value”.<blockquote>对于逢低买入者来说，这次会有所不同吗？我不这么认为。需要明确的是，我不认为每只股票都值得在疲软时持有，因为“40%的股票从峰值永久下跌了70%以上”。</blockquote> But in the case of Apple, it is highly likely that share price will eventually head higher again, shaking off short-term bearishness and chasing the strong business fundamentals. Having the patience to wait for the next rally is crucial.<blockquote>但就苹果而言，股价最终极有可能再次走高，摆脱短期看跌情绪，追逐强劲的商业基本面。有耐心等待下一次反弹至关重要。</blockquote> #3. Don’t underestimate volatility<blockquote>#3.不要低估波动性</blockquote> All the above sounds bullish at first glance, and an incentive to buy Apple at the current share price of around $168. But if doing so, I urge traders and investors to pay attention to volatility.<blockquote>乍一看，以上所有这些听起来都是看涨的，也是以目前168美元左右的股价买入苹果的动力。但如果这样做，我敦促交易者和投资者注意波动性。</blockquote> The emotional and psychological aspects of investing can be as important as the quantitative considerations, in my view. Those who buy dips must be willing to endure higher volatility, which has increased sharply for AAPL in the past few weeks — see below.<blockquote>在我看来，投资的情感和心理方面与定量考虑一样重要。那些逢低买入的人必须愿意忍受更高的波动性，过去几周苹果公司的波动性急剧增加——见下文。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eace3c9293acb54a4dc217debd6a44be\" tg-width=\"618\" tg-height=\"370\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 4: Annual volatility in AAPL, 1-month rolling.<blockquote>图4：AAPL年度波动率，1个月滚动。</blockquote> Because Apple stock price is likely to ricochet in the short term, some might be tempted to sell their shares prematurely, should they drop well below current levels. If buying AAPL, be sure to have a clear exit strategy to avoid falling victim to spur-of-the-moment decisions.<blockquote>由于苹果股价可能会在短期内反弹，如果股价远低于当前水平，一些人可能会过早出售股票。如果购买AAPL，请务必制定明确的退出策略，以避免成为一时冲动决定的受害者。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-3-key-facts-dip-buyers-must-know\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-3-key-facts-dip-buyers-must-know","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112391676","content_text":"Bargain hunters may start to consider buying Apple stock on the dip, following the December selloff. Here is what they should know first.\nApple stock remains in a funk. Only one week to the dayafter I tossed around the ideaof trimming the position, shares of the Cupertino company dipped 7% from the $180 peak against the Nasdaq’s 4% decline, nearly entering correction territory.\nA few brave investors and traders must be taking this opportunity to start buying the dip. The Apple Maven highlights three facts that these bargain hunters should keep in mind.\nFigure 1: Apple store in China.\n#1. Valuations are looking more attractive\nAAPL is far from being a dirt cheap stock. The price-to-earnings ratio today is still higher than it had been for at least the full decade prior to the start of the pandemic (see chart below). However, with the recent decline in share price but still resilient business fundamentals, valuations are starting to look more compelling.\nFigure 2: AAPL's historical price-to-earnings ratio.\nThe last read on the graph above shows a P/E of 29.0 times as of November 30. As of last check, on December 20, the fiscal 2022 multiple had dropped to 27.5 times. These are roughly the same levels of June 2020, after which Apple stock moved 85% higher in a year and a half.\n#2. The deeper the hole, the higher the gains\n“Buy low, sell high”. The mantra may seem overly simplistic, but the strategy has worked wonders in the case of AAPL.\nWe have often mentioned here, on the Apple Maven channel, that shares of the Cupertino company do best when bought after a selloff. Historically, the one-year gains have been 22% when the stock is bought near a peak, but nearly 40% when bought after a 15% drawdown.\nFigure 3: Average one-year return on AAPL, by strategy.\nCould this time be different for dip buyers? I think not. To be clear, I do not believe that every stock is worth owning on weakness, as “40% of all stocks have suffered a permanent 70%-plus decline from their peak value”.\nBut in the case of Apple, it is highly likely that share price will eventually head higher again, shaking off short-term bearishness and chasing the strong business fundamentals. Having the patience to wait for the next rally is crucial.\n#3. Don’t underestimate volatility\nAll the above sounds bullish at first glance, and an incentive to buy Apple at the current share price of around $168. But if doing so, I urge traders and investors to pay attention to volatility.\nThe emotional and psychological aspects of investing can be as important as the quantitative considerations, in my view. Those who buy dips must be willing to endure higher volatility, which has increased sharply for AAPL in the past few weeks — see below.\nFigure 4: Annual volatility in AAPL, 1-month rolling.\nBecause Apple stock price is likely to ricochet in the short term, some might be tempted to sell their shares prematurely, should they drop well below current levels. If buying AAPL, be sure to have a clear exit strategy to avoid falling victim to spur-of-the-moment decisions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2065,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":122,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}

Apple Stock: If You're Buying the Dip, Here's What You Need to Know<blockquote>苹果股票：如果您逢低买入，以下是您需要了解的内容</blockquote>

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