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LHC0511
2021-12-28

History will repeat itself

It’s December 1999 Based on the NYSE Shares Touching New Lows<blockquote>现在是1999年12月，纽约证券交易所股价触及新低</blockquote>

(Bloomberg) -- Amid all the celebration of a rousing year-end in stocks, Doug Ramsey has a sobering

It’s December 1999 Based on the NYSE Shares Touching New Lows<blockquote>现在是1999年12月，纽约证券交易所股价触及新低</blockquote>

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That’s happened only three other times in history -- all of them in December 1999, according to Ramsey, who is chief investment officer for Leuthold Group.<blockquote>上周，当标普500收于52周高点时，纽约证券交易所交易的334家公司触及52周低点，是一年新高的两倍多。Leuthold Group首席投资官拉姆齐表示，这种情况在历史上只发生过三次，全部发生在1999年12月。</blockquote> And it’s not just a one-week phenomenon: NYSE new lows now also outnumber new highs on a six-week moving-average basis. The last time that happened as the S&amp;P 500 hit a one-year high was in July 2015, right before a six-month correction that saw the index lose around 14%.<blockquote>这不仅仅是一周的现象：按六周移动平均线计算，纽约证券交易所的新低数量现在也超过了新高。上一次标普500触及一年高点是在2015年7月，就在六个月调整之前，该指数下跌了约14%。</blockquote> “The Fed had months to taper when the economy was red hot and the stock market tape was very broad and healthy,” Ramsey said. “Now, they are finally poised to do so with the economy cooling off a bit and stock market internals looking weaker than an at time during the entire rally from the pandemic lows.”<blockquote>拉姆齐表示：“当经济炙手可热、股市行情非常广泛且健康时，美联储有几个月的时间来缩减规模。”“现在，随着经济有所降温，股市内部看起来比从大流行低点反弹期间的某个时候还要疲软，他们终于准备好这样做了。”</blockquote> The Federal Reserve announced earlier this month that it would speed up its withdrawal of economic stimulus, whipping up volatility as investors fretted over the central bank’s policy path as well as the rapidly spreading new coronavirus variant. But strong corporate earnings and some positive Covid-19 news have helped propel stocks higher, with the S&amp;P 500 on Monday notching its 69th all-time high of the year.<blockquote>美联储本月早些时候宣布将加快退出经济刺激措施，由于投资者对央行的政策路径以及迅速传播的新型冠状病毒变种感到担忧，这加剧了波动性。但强劲的企业盈利和一些积极的Covid-19消息帮助推动股市走高，标普500周一创下今年第69个历史新高。</blockquote> Few things stir agita for traders like comparisons to 1999 crash times. But Ramsey says that his analysis doesn’t mean a correction is imminent. The smoothed-out six-week moving-average condition happened several times throughout 1999 up until March 24, 2000, when it “proved to be the final nail in the coffin.”<blockquote>很少有什么比与1999年崩盘时期的比较更能让交易者兴奋的了。但拉姆齐表示，他的分析并不意味着调整即将到来。平滑六周移动平均线的情况在1999年发生了几次，直到2000年3月24日，当时它“被证明是棺材上的最后一颗钉子”。</blockquote> “The trouble is these warnings can persist for several months before the blue chips finally take a hit,” he said.<blockquote>“问题是，在蓝筹股最终受到打击之前，这些警告可能会持续几个月，”他说。</blockquote>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It’s December 1999 Based on the NYSE Shares Touching New Lows<blockquote>现在是1999年12月，纽约证券交易所股价触及新低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt’s December 1999 Based on the NYSE Shares Touching New Lows<blockquote>现在是1999年12月，纽约证券交易所股价触及新低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nBloomberg2021-12-28 07:22\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n(Bloomberg) -- Amid all the celebration of a rousing year-end in stocks, Doug Ramsey has a sobering observation about a situation below the market’s surface.<blockquote>（彭博社）——在股市欢庆激动人心的年终之际，道格·拉姆齐对市场表面下的情况有一个发人深省的观察。</blockquote> Last week, when the S&amp;P 500 closed at a 52-week high, 334 companies trading on the New York Stock Exchange hit a 52-week low, more than double the amount that marked new one-year highs. That’s happened only three other times in history -- all of them in December 1999, according to Ramsey, who is chief investment officer for Leuthold Group.<blockquote>上周，当标普500收于52周高点时，纽约证券交易所交易的334家公司触及52周低点，是一年新高的两倍多。Leuthold Group首席投资官拉姆齐表示，这种情况在历史上只发生过三次，全部发生在1999年12月。</blockquote> And it’s not just a one-week phenomenon: NYSE new lows now also outnumber new highs on a six-week moving-average basis. The last time that happened as the S&amp;P 500 hit a one-year high was in July 2015, right before a six-month correction that saw the index lose around 14%.<blockquote>这不仅仅是一周的现象：按六周移动平均线计算，纽约证券交易所的新低数量现在也超过了新高。上一次标普500触及一年高点是在2015年7月，就在六个月调整之前，该指数下跌了约14%。</blockquote> “The Fed had months to taper when the economy was red hot and the stock market tape was very broad and healthy,” Ramsey said. “Now, they are finally poised to do so with the economy cooling off a bit and stock market internals looking weaker than an at time during the entire rally from the pandemic lows.”<blockquote>拉姆齐表示：“当经济炙手可热、股市行情非常广泛且健康时，美联储有几个月的时间来缩减规模。”“现在，随着经济有所降温，股市内部看起来比从大流行低点反弹期间的某个时候还要疲软，他们终于准备好这样做了。”</blockquote> The Federal Reserve announced earlier this month that it would speed up its withdrawal of economic stimulus, whipping up volatility as investors fretted over the central bank’s policy path as well as the rapidly spreading new coronavirus variant. But strong corporate earnings and some positive Covid-19 news have helped propel stocks higher, with the S&amp;P 500 on Monday notching its 69th all-time high of the year.<blockquote>美联储本月早些时候宣布将加快退出经济刺激措施，由于投资者对央行的政策路径以及迅速传播的新型冠状病毒变种感到担忧，这加剧了波动性。但强劲的企业盈利和一些积极的Covid-19消息帮助推动股市走高，标普500周一创下今年第69个历史新高。</blockquote> Few things stir agita for traders like comparisons to 1999 crash times. But Ramsey says that his analysis doesn’t mean a correction is imminent. The smoothed-out six-week moving-average condition happened several times throughout 1999 up until March 24, 2000, when it “proved to be the final nail in the coffin.”<blockquote>很少有什么比与1999年崩盘时期的比较更能让交易者兴奋的了。但拉姆齐表示，他的分析并不意味着调整即将到来。平滑六周移动平均线的情况在1999年发生了几次，直到2000年3月24日，当时它“被证明是棺材上的最后一颗钉子”。</blockquote> “The trouble is these warnings can persist for several months before the blue chips finally take a hit,” he said.<blockquote>“问题是，在蓝筹股最终受到打击之前，这些警告可能会持续几个月，”他说。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/december-1999-based-nyse-shares-215249905.html\">Bloomberg</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/december-1999-based-nyse-shares-215249905.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142783552","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Amid all the celebration of a rousing year-end in stocks, Doug Ramsey has a sobering observation about a situation below the market’s surface.\nLast week, when the S&P 500 closed at a 52-week high, 334 companies trading on the New York Stock Exchange hit a 52-week low, more than double the amount that marked new one-year highs. That’s happened only three other times in history -- all of them in December 1999, according to Ramsey, who is chief investment officer for Leuthold Group.\nAnd it’s not just a one-week phenomenon: NYSE new lows now also outnumber new highs on a six-week moving-average basis. The last time that happened as the S&P 500 hit a one-year high was in July 2015, right before a six-month correction that saw the index lose around 14%.\n“The Fed had months to taper when the economy was red hot and the stock market tape was very broad and healthy,” Ramsey said. “Now, they are finally poised to do so with the economy cooling off a bit and stock market internals looking weaker than an at time during the entire rally from the pandemic lows.”\nThe Federal Reserve announced earlier this month that it would speed up its withdrawal of economic stimulus, whipping up volatility as investors fretted over the central bank’s policy path as well as the rapidly spreading new coronavirus variant. But strong corporate earnings and some positive Covid-19 news have helped propel stocks higher, with the S&P 500 on Monday notching its 69th all-time high of the year.\nFew things stir agita for traders like comparisons to 1999 crash times. But Ramsey says that his analysis doesn’t mean a correction is imminent. The smoothed-out six-week moving-average condition happened several times throughout 1999 up until March 24, 2000, when it “proved to be the final nail in the coffin.”\n“The trouble is these warnings can persist for several months before the blue chips finally take a hit,” he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2343,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":23,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}