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2021-10-17

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The Dow is on track for its best October in 6 years and third-quarter earnings are strong so far. What could go wrong?<blockquote>道琼斯指数有望创下6年来最好的10月份，迄今为止第三季度收益强劲。会出什么问题？</blockquote>

A traditionally troublesome month is turning out to be anything but for the stock market...so far. W

The Dow is on track for its best October in 6 years and third-quarter earnings are strong so far. What could go wrong?<blockquote>道琼斯指数有望创下6年来最好的10月份，迄今为止第三季度收益强劲。会出什么问题？</blockquote>

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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":827838412,"tweetId":"827838412","gmtCreate":1634440467544,"gmtModify":1634440467802,"author":{"id":3578467063156657,"idStr":"3578467063156657","authorId":3578467063156657,"authorIdStr":"3578467063156657","name":"pianhua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fe016149cfce241ec0da0576393d835","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":13,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Hello</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Hello</body></html>","text":"Hello","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827838412","repostId":2176144952,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2176144952","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1634520290,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2176144952?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-18 09:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Dow is on track for its best October in 6 years and third-quarter earnings are strong so far. What could go wrong?<blockquote>道琼斯指数有望创下6年来最好的10月份，迄今为止第三季度收益强劲。会出什么问题？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2176144952","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"A traditionally troublesome month is turning out to be anything but for the stock market...so far. W","content":"A traditionally troublesome month is turning out to be anything but for the stock market...so far. Who would have thought, based on the way things ended last month, and the start to the first full week of October, that investors would be sitting pretty now. Certainly not Dennis Gartman.<blockquote>到目前为止，传统上麻烦不断的一个月对股市来说却一点也不一样。谁会想到，根据上个月事情的结束方式以及10月第一周的开始，投资者现在会坐得很好。当然不是丹尼斯·加特曼。</blockquote> Indeed, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is on track for its best month since March when it rose 6.62%, FactSet data show.<blockquote>FactSet数据显示，事实上，道琼斯工业平均指数有望创下自3月份以来的最佳月份，当时该指数上涨了6.62%。</blockquote> The rally, in what is typically one of the weakest months of the year, has put blue-chips within 1% of its Aug. 16 record closing high at 35,625.40. And our colleagues at Dow Jones Market Data said that the index's performance so far represents the best start to October since, 2015.<blockquote>在通常是一年中最疲软的月份之一，蓝筹股的上涨使其距离8月16日创纪录的收盘高点35,625.40点不到1%。道琼斯市场数据公司的同事表示，该指数迄今为止的表现代表了自2015年以来10月份的最佳开局。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01b35bd415f790716b7eedca1decd372\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"656\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> The S&amp;P 500 is off 1.45% from its record high at 4,536.95 and the Nasdaq Composite is 3.1% of from its Sept. 7 all-time high finish at 15,374.33.<blockquote>标普500指数较历史高点4,536.95点下跌1.45%，纳斯达克综合指数较9月7日历史高点15,374.33点下跌3.1%。</blockquote> It is very early days, with only 8% of the S&amp;P 500 index companies reporting third-quarter results thus far, but at least 80% of companies are beating expectations on earnings and revenue, according to John Butters, FactSet's senior earnings analyst.<blockquote>FactSet高级收益分析师John Butters表示，目前还处于早期阶段，迄今为止只有8%的标普500指数公司公布了第三季度业绩，但至少80%的公司的盈利和收入超出了预期。</blockquote> Butters says that the blended growth rate (estimates and actual results) of reporting S&amp;P 500 companies is 30%, which would, if it holds, represent the earnings growth rate in over a decade.<blockquote>巴特斯表示，报告标普500公司的混合增长率（估计和实际结果）为30%，如果保持不变，这将代表十多年来的盈利增长率。</blockquote> On top of that, the blended net profit margin of 12.3% would mark the third-highest recorded by FactSet since it began tracking that metric in 2008. On June 30, the estimated net profit margin for the third quarter was 12%.<blockquote>最重要的是，12.3%的混合净利润率将是FactSet自2008年开始跟踪该指标以来的第三高记录。6月30日，预计三季度净利润率为12%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d334df52ecfa86600e9eec622bc922e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"406\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> It certainly didn't hurt that JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>, some of the biggest banks in the country, bested earnings estimates, Butters said.<blockquote>摩根大通、高盛、美国银行、花旗集团、富国银行和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>巴特斯表示，美国一些最大的银行的盈利超出了预期。</blockquote> To be sure, it isn't as if an all-clear signal has sounded for the bulls, with investors still harboring agita centered on surging inflation, stagflation, the Evergrande-fueled China property saga and an ongoing energy crisis, among other concerns.<blockquote>可以肯定的是，对于多头来说，这并没有发出明确的信号，投资者仍然对通胀飙升、滞胀、恒大推动的中国房地产传奇以及持续的能源危机等担忧感到不安。</blockquote> However, the drift higher in U.S. stocks has defied the gravitational pull of those bearish factors. Maybe bulls can thank investor and market prognosticator Dennis Gartman, who after a particularly bad day in October declared the bull market dead.<blockquote>然而，美国股市的走高克服了这些看跌因素的引力。也许多头应该感谢投资者和市场预言家丹尼斯·加特曼（Dennis Gartman），他在10月份经历了特别糟糕的一天后宣布牛市已经死亡。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4609678407ea462cc72ec3dce790b129\" tg-width=\"604\" tg-height=\"684\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> That prediction may yet turn out to be true but market analyst and founder of NorthmanTrader.com, Sven Henrich, was't going to miss the opportunity to rib Gartman.<blockquote>这一预测可能会被证明是正确的，但市场分析师兼NorthmanTrader.com创始人斯文·亨里奇(Sven Henrich)不会错过嘲笑加特曼的机会。</blockquote> However, the market is far from out of the woods. The Federal Reserve seems poised to start tapering its monthly purchases of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.<blockquote>然而，市场远未走出困境。美联储似乎准备开始缩减每月购买美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券的规模。</blockquote> And MarketWatch's Vivien Lou Chen has written that stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data for September has bond investors considering the risk that the Federal Reserve may end up being forced to tighten interest rates into a stagnating economy with persistently higher price rises.<blockquote>MarketWatch的Vivien Lou Chen写道，强于预期的美国9月份通胀数据让债券投资者考虑到美联储最终可能被迫收紧利率以应对经济停滞、物价持续上涨的风险。</blockquote> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is slated to give a speech at the end of this coming week that will mark the final comments from policy makers before the central bank's Nov. 2-3 policy meeting, when it's possible the start of the tapering of its bond purchases could be launched.<blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)定于下周末发表讲话，这将标志着政策制定者在央行11月2日至3日政策会议之前的最终评论，届时可能会开始缩减购债规模。可以启动。</blockquote> Will another pop in 10-year Treasury yields stall out further gains in growth or technology stocks? Will the U.S. dollar rear back up to new highs? Will bad guidance from corporations and steadily retreating profit margins ultimately darken the mood on Wall Street? Not even Gartman knows.<blockquote>10年期国债收益率的再次上涨是否会阻碍成长股或科技股的进一步上涨？美元会回升至新高吗？企业的糟糕指导和利润率的稳步下降最终会使华尔街的情绪变得黯淡吗？连加特曼都不知道。</blockquote> But for now, the bulls are riding high in October.<blockquote>但就目前而言，多头在10月份表现强劲。</blockquote> What’s ahead in U.S. economic data this week?<blockquote>本周美国经济数据前景如何？</blockquote> Monday<blockquote>周一</blockquote> <ul> <li>Data on industrial production and capacity utilization rate for September at 9:15 a.m. ET</li> <li>National Association of Home Builders index or October at 10 a.m.</li> </ul> Tuesday<blockquote><ul><li>美国东部时间上午9:15 9月份工业生产和产能利用率数据</li><li>全国住宅建筑商协会指数或10月上午10点。</li></ul>周二</blockquote> Building permits and housing starts for September at 8:30 a.m.<blockquote>9月份的建筑许可和房屋开工时间为上午8:30。</blockquote> Wednesday<blockquote>星期三</blockquote> Fed Beige Book at 2 p.m.<blockquote>下午2点美联储褐皮书。</blockquote> Thursday<blockquote>星期四</blockquote> <ul> <li>Initial jobless claims at 8:30 a.m.</li> <li>Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index for October at 8:30 a.m.</li> <li>Existing home sales for September due at 10 a.m.</li> <li>Leading economic indicators due at 10 a.m.</li> </ul> Friday<blockquote><ul><li>上午8:30首次申请失业救济人数。</li><li>上午8:30费城联储10月份制造业指数。</li><li>上午10点到期的9月份现房销售。</li><li>领先经济指标将于上午10点公布。</li></ul>星期五</blockquote> A flash reading of manufacturing PMIs and services from IHS Markit due at 9:45 a.m.<blockquote>IHS Markit将于上午9:45发布制造业PMI和服务业快照。</blockquote> Earnings reports to watch this week<blockquote>本周值得关注的盈利报告</blockquote> Tuesday<blockquote>周二</blockquote> <ul> <li>Johnson &amp; Johnson</li> <li>Procter &amp; Gamble</li> <li>Travelers</li> <li>Netflix</li> </ul> Wednesday<blockquote><ul><li>强生公司</li><li>宝洁公司</li><li>旅行者</li><li>Netflix</li></ul>星期三</blockquote> <ul> <li>Verizon Communications</li> <li>IBM</li> <li>Tesla Inc.</li> <li>Baker Hughes Co.</li> <li>Biogen Inc.</li> <li>United Airlines Holdings</li> <li>Las Vegas Sands Corp.</li> </ul> Thursday<blockquote><ul><li>Verizon通信</li><li>IBM</li><li>特斯拉公司。</li><li>贝克休斯公司。</li><li>百健公司。</li><li>联合航空控股公司</li><li>拉斯维加斯金沙公司。</li></ul>星期四</blockquote> <ul> <li>Intel Corp.</li> <li>American Airlines Group Inc.</li> <li>Southwest Airlines Co.</li> <li>AT&amp;TT</li> <li>Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.</li> <li>Tractor Supply Co.</li> <li>Snap-On</li> <li>KeyCorp.</li> </ul> Friday<blockquote><ul><li>英特尔公司。</li><li>美国航空集团公司。</li><li>西南航空公司。</li><li>AT&amp;TT</li><li>墨西哥烧烤公司。</li><li>拖拉机供应公司。</li><li>Snap-On</li><li>钥匙公司。</li></ul>星期五</blockquote> <ul> <li>American Express Co.</li> <li>Honeywell International Inc.</li> <li>Whirlpool Corp.</li> <li>Seagate Technology Holdings</li> </ul><blockquote><ul><li>美国运通公司。</li><li>霍尼韦尔国际公司。</li><li>惠而浦公司。</li><li>希捷科技控股</li></ul></blockquote>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Dow is on track for its best October in 6 years and third-quarter earnings are strong so far. What could go wrong?<blockquote>道琼斯指数有望创下6年来最好的10月份，迄今为止第三季度收益强劲。会出什么问题？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Dow is on track for its best October in 6 years and third-quarter earnings are strong so far. What could go wrong?<blockquote>道琼斯指数有望创下6年来最好的10月份，迄今为止第三季度收益强劲。会出什么问题？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nMarketWatch2021-10-18 09:24\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nA traditionally troublesome month is turning out to be anything but for the stock market...so far. Who would have thought, based on the way things ended last month, and the start to the first full week of October, that investors would be sitting pretty now. Certainly not Dennis Gartman.<blockquote>到目前为止，传统上麻烦不断的一个月对股市来说却一点也不一样。谁会想到，根据上个月事情的结束方式以及10月第一周的开始，投资者现在会坐得很好。当然不是丹尼斯·加特曼。</blockquote> Indeed, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is on track for its best month since March when it rose 6.62%, FactSet data show.<blockquote>FactSet数据显示，事实上，道琼斯工业平均指数有望创下自3月份以来的最佳月份，当时该指数上涨了6.62%。</blockquote> The rally, in what is typically one of the weakest months of the year, has put blue-chips within 1% of its Aug. 16 record closing high at 35,625.40. And our colleagues at Dow Jones Market Data said that the index's performance so far represents the best start to October since, 2015.<blockquote>在通常是一年中最疲软的月份之一，蓝筹股的上涨使其距离8月16日创纪录的收盘高点35,625.40点不到1%。道琼斯市场数据公司的同事表示，该指数迄今为止的表现代表了自2015年以来10月份的最佳开局。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01b35bd415f790716b7eedca1decd372\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"656\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> The S&amp;P 500 is off 1.45% from its record high at 4,536.95 and the Nasdaq Composite is 3.1% of from its Sept. 7 all-time high finish at 15,374.33.<blockquote>标普500指数较历史高点4,536.95点下跌1.45%，纳斯达克综合指数较9月7日历史高点15,374.33点下跌3.1%。</blockquote> It is very early days, with only 8% of the S&amp;P 500 index companies reporting third-quarter results thus far, but at least 80% of companies are beating expectations on earnings and revenue, according to John Butters, FactSet's senior earnings analyst.<blockquote>FactSet高级收益分析师John Butters表示，目前还处于早期阶段，迄今为止只有8%的标普500指数公司公布了第三季度业绩，但至少80%的公司的盈利和收入超出了预期。</blockquote> Butters says that the blended growth rate (estimates and actual results) of reporting S&amp;P 500 companies is 30%, which would, if it holds, represent the earnings growth rate in over a decade.<blockquote>巴特斯表示，报告标普500公司的混合增长率（估计和实际结果）为30%，如果保持不变，这将代表十多年来的盈利增长率。</blockquote> On top of that, the blended net profit margin of 12.3% would mark the third-highest recorded by FactSet since it began tracking that metric in 2008. On June 30, the estimated net profit margin for the third quarter was 12%.<blockquote>最重要的是，12.3%的混合净利润率将是FactSet自2008年开始跟踪该指标以来的第三高记录。6月30日，预计三季度净利润率为12%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d334df52ecfa86600e9eec622bc922e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"406\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> It certainly didn't hurt that JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>, some of the biggest banks in the country, bested earnings estimates, Butters said.<blockquote>摩根大通、高盛、美国银行、花旗集团、富国银行和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>巴特斯表示，美国一些最大的银行的盈利超出了预期。</blockquote> To be sure, it isn't as if an all-clear signal has sounded for the bulls, with investors still harboring agita centered on surging inflation, stagflation, the Evergrande-fueled China property saga and an ongoing energy crisis, among other concerns.<blockquote>可以肯定的是，对于多头来说，这并没有发出明确的信号，投资者仍然对通胀飙升、滞胀、恒大推动的中国房地产传奇以及持续的能源危机等担忧感到不安。</blockquote> However, the drift higher in U.S. stocks has defied the gravitational pull of those bearish factors. Maybe bulls can thank investor and market prognosticator Dennis Gartman, who after a particularly bad day in October declared the bull market dead.<blockquote>然而，美国股市的走高克服了这些看跌因素的引力。也许多头应该感谢投资者和市场预言家丹尼斯·加特曼（Dennis Gartman），他在10月份经历了特别糟糕的一天后宣布牛市已经死亡。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4609678407ea462cc72ec3dce790b129\" tg-width=\"604\" tg-height=\"684\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> That prediction may yet turn out to be true but market analyst and founder of NorthmanTrader.com, Sven Henrich, was't going to miss the opportunity to rib Gartman.<blockquote>这一预测可能会被证明是正确的，但市场分析师兼NorthmanTrader.com创始人斯文·亨里奇(Sven Henrich)不会错过嘲笑加特曼的机会。</blockquote> However, the market is far from out of the woods. The Federal Reserve seems poised to start tapering its monthly purchases of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.<blockquote>然而，市场远未走出困境。美联储似乎准备开始缩减每月购买美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券的规模。</blockquote> And MarketWatch's Vivien Lou Chen has written that stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data for September has bond investors considering the risk that the Federal Reserve may end up being forced to tighten interest rates into a stagnating economy with persistently higher price rises.<blockquote>MarketWatch的Vivien Lou Chen写道，强于预期的美国9月份通胀数据让债券投资者考虑到美联储最终可能被迫收紧利率以应对经济停滞、物价持续上涨的风险。</blockquote> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is slated to give a speech at the end of this coming week that will mark the final comments from policy makers before the central bank's Nov. 2-3 policy meeting, when it's possible the start of the tapering of its bond purchases could be launched.<blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)定于下周末发表讲话，这将标志着政策制定者在央行11月2日至3日政策会议之前的最终评论，届时可能会开始缩减购债规模。可以启动。</blockquote> Will another pop in 10-year Treasury yields stall out further gains in growth or technology stocks? Will the U.S. dollar rear back up to new highs? Will bad guidance from corporations and steadily retreating profit margins ultimately darken the mood on Wall Street? Not even Gartman knows.<blockquote>10年期国债收益率的再次上涨是否会阻碍成长股或科技股的进一步上涨？美元会回升至新高吗？企业的糟糕指导和利润率的稳步下降最终会使华尔街的情绪变得黯淡吗？连加特曼都不知道。</blockquote> But for now, the bulls are riding high in October.<blockquote>但就目前而言，多头在10月份表现强劲。</blockquote> What’s ahead in U.S. economic data this week?<blockquote>本周美国经济数据前景如何？</blockquote> Monday<blockquote>周一</blockquote> <ul> <li>Data on industrial production and capacity utilization rate for September at 9:15 a.m. ET</li> <li>National Association of Home Builders index or October at 10 a.m.</li> </ul> Tuesday<blockquote><ul><li>美国东部时间上午9:15 9月份工业生产和产能利用率数据</li><li>全国住宅建筑商协会指数或10月上午10点。</li></ul>周二</blockquote> Building permits and housing starts for September at 8:30 a.m.<blockquote>9月份的建筑许可和房屋开工时间为上午8:30。</blockquote> Wednesday<blockquote>星期三</blockquote> Fed Beige Book at 2 p.m.<blockquote>下午2点美联储褐皮书。</blockquote> Thursday<blockquote>星期四</blockquote> <ul> <li>Initial jobless claims at 8:30 a.m.</li> <li>Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index for October at 8:30 a.m.</li> <li>Existing home sales for September due at 10 a.m.</li> <li>Leading economic indicators due at 10 a.m.</li> </ul> Friday<blockquote><ul><li>上午8:30首次申请失业救济人数。</li><li>上午8:30费城联储10月份制造业指数。</li><li>上午10点到期的9月份现房销售。</li><li>领先经济指标将于上午10点公布。</li></ul>星期五</blockquote> A flash reading of manufacturing PMIs and services from IHS Markit due at 9:45 a.m.<blockquote>IHS Markit将于上午9:45发布制造业PMI和服务业快照。</blockquote> Earnings reports to watch this week<blockquote>本周值得关注的盈利报告</blockquote> Tuesday<blockquote>周二</blockquote> <ul> <li>Johnson &amp; Johnson</li> <li>Procter &amp; Gamble</li> <li>Travelers</li> <li>Netflix</li> </ul> Wednesday<blockquote><ul><li>强生公司</li><li>宝洁公司</li><li>旅行者</li><li>Netflix</li></ul>星期三</blockquote> <ul> <li>Verizon Communications</li> <li>IBM</li> <li>Tesla Inc.</li> <li>Baker Hughes Co.</li> <li>Biogen Inc.</li> <li>United Airlines Holdings</li> <li>Las Vegas Sands Corp.</li> </ul> Thursday<blockquote><ul><li>Verizon通信</li><li>IBM</li><li>特斯拉公司。</li><li>贝克休斯公司。</li><li>百健公司。</li><li>联合航空控股公司</li><li>拉斯维加斯金沙公司。</li></ul>星期四</blockquote> <ul> <li>Intel Corp.</li> <li>American Airlines Group Inc.</li> <li>Southwest Airlines Co.</li> <li>AT&amp;TT</li> <li>Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.</li> <li>Tractor Supply Co.</li> <li>Snap-On</li> <li>KeyCorp.</li> </ul> Friday<blockquote><ul><li>英特尔公司。</li><li>美国航空集团公司。</li><li>西南航空公司。</li><li>AT&amp;TT</li><li>墨西哥烧烤公司。</li><li>拖拉机供应公司。</li><li>Snap-On</li><li>钥匙公司。</li></ul>星期五</blockquote> <ul> <li>American Express Co.</li> <li>Honeywell International Inc.</li> <li>Whirlpool Corp.</li> <li>Seagate Technology Holdings</li> </ul><blockquote><ul><li>美国运通公司。</li><li>霍尼韦尔国际公司。</li><li>惠而浦公司。</li><li>希捷科技控股</li></ul></blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dow-is-on-track-for-its-best-october-in-6-years-and-third-quarter-earnings-are-strong-so-far-what-could-go-wrong-11634405448?mod=mw_latestnews\">MarketWatch</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MS":"摩根士丹利","T":"At&T","BAC":"美国银行","WHR":"惠而浦","GS":"高盛","PG":"宝洁","IBM":"IBM","AAL":"美国航空","VZ":"Verizon Comms","AXP":"美国运通","NFLX":"奈飞","HON":"霍尼韦尔","LUV":"西南航空","JPM":"摩根大通","INTC":"英特尔","UAL":"联合大陆航空","BKR":"Baker Hughes Co","KEY":"KeyCorp","CMG":"墨式烧烤","BIIB":"渤健公司","JNJ":"强生","WFC":"富国银行","SNA":"施耐宝","TSLA":"特斯拉","TRV":"旅行者财产险集团","LVS":"金沙集团","TSCO":"拖拉机供应公司"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dow-is-on-track-for-its-best-october-in-6-years-and-third-quarter-earnings-are-strong-so-far-what-could-go-wrong-11634405448?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2176144952","content_text":"A traditionally troublesome month is turning out to be anything but for the stock market...so far. Who would have thought, based on the way things ended last month, and the start to the first full week of October, that investors would be sitting pretty now. Certainly not Dennis Gartman.\nIndeed, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is on track for its best month since March when it rose 6.62%, FactSet data show.\nThe rally, in what is typically one of the weakest months of the year, has put blue-chips within 1% of its Aug. 16 record closing high at 35,625.40. And our colleagues at Dow Jones Market Data said that the index's performance so far represents the best start to October since, 2015.\n\nThe S&P 500 is off 1.45% from its record high at 4,536.95 and the Nasdaq Composite is 3.1% of from its Sept. 7 all-time high finish at 15,374.33.\nIt is very early days, with only 8% of the S&P 500 index companies reporting third-quarter results thus far, but at least 80% of companies are beating expectations on earnings and revenue, according to John Butters, FactSet's senior earnings analyst.\nButters says that the blended growth rate (estimates and actual results) of reporting S&P 500 companies is 30%, which would, if it holds, represent the earnings growth rate in over a decade.\nOn top of that, the blended net profit margin of 12.3% would mark the third-highest recorded by FactSet since it began tracking that metric in 2008. On June 30, the estimated net profit margin for the third quarter was 12%.\n\nIt certainly didn't hurt that JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley, some of the biggest banks in the country, bested earnings estimates, Butters said.\nTo be sure, it isn't as if an all-clear signal has sounded for the bulls, with investors still harboring agita centered on surging inflation, stagflation, the Evergrande-fueled China property saga and an ongoing energy crisis, among other concerns.\nHowever, the drift higher in U.S. stocks has defied the gravitational pull of those bearish factors. Maybe bulls can thank investor and market prognosticator Dennis Gartman, who after a particularly bad day in October declared the bull market dead.\n\nThat prediction may yet turn out to be true but market analyst and founder of NorthmanTrader.com, Sven Henrich, was't going to miss the opportunity to rib Gartman.\nHowever, the market is far from out of the woods. The Federal Reserve seems poised to start tapering its monthly purchases of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.\nAnd MarketWatch's Vivien Lou Chen has written that stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data for September has bond investors considering the risk that the Federal Reserve may end up being forced to tighten interest rates into a stagnating economy with persistently higher price rises.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell is slated to give a speech at the end of this coming week that will mark the final comments from policy makers before the central bank's Nov. 2-3 policy meeting, when it's possible the start of the tapering of its bond purchases could be launched.\nWill another pop in 10-year Treasury yields stall out further gains in growth or technology stocks? Will the U.S. dollar rear back up to new highs? Will bad guidance from corporations and steadily retreating profit margins ultimately darken the mood on Wall Street? Not even Gartman knows.\nBut for now, the bulls are riding high in October.\nWhat’s ahead in U.S. economic data this week?\nMonday\n\nData on industrial production and capacity utilization rate for September at 9:15 a.m. ET\nNational Association of Home Builders index or October at 10 a.m.\n\nTuesday\nBuilding permits and housing starts for September at 8:30 a.m.\nWednesday\nFed Beige Book at 2 p.m.\nThursday\n\nInitial jobless claims at 8:30 a.m.\nPhiladelphia Fed manufacturing index for October at 8:30 a.m.\nExisting home sales for September due at 10 a.m.\nLeading economic indicators due at 10 a.m.\n\nFriday\nA flash reading of manufacturing PMIs and services from IHS Markit due at 9:45 a.m.\nEarnings reports to watch this week\nTuesday\n\nJohnson & Johnson\nProcter & Gamble\nTravelers\nNetflix\n\nWednesday\n\nVerizon Communications\nIBM\nTesla Inc.\nBaker Hughes Co.\nBiogen Inc.\nUnited Airlines Holdings\nLas Vegas Sands Corp.\n\nThursday\n\nIntel Corp.\nAmerican Airlines Group Inc.\nSouthwest Airlines Co.\nAT&TT\nChipotle Mexican Grill Inc.\nTractor Supply Co.\nSnap-On\nKeyCorp.\n\nFriday\n\nAmerican Express Co.\nHoneywell International Inc.\nWhirlpool Corp.\nSeagate Technology Holdings","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PG":0.9,"TRV":0.9,"SNA":0.9,"MS":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"AXP":0.9,"BKR":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"IBM":0.9,"LUV":0.9,"KEY":0.9,"AAL":0.9,"WFC":0.9,"BIIB":0.9,"CMG":0.9,"HON":0.9,"UAL":0.9,"JNJ":0.9,"T":0.9,"NFLX":0.9,"TSCO":0.9,"WHR":0.9,"GS":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"VZ":0.9,"LVS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2147,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":5,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}

The Dow is on track for its best October in 6 years and third-quarter earnings are strong so far. What could go wrong?<blockquote>道琼斯指数有望创下6年来最好的10月份，迄今为止第三季度收益强劲。会出什么问题？</blockquote>

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