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薪伊
2024-11-01
$英伟达(NVDA)$
$美国超微公司(AMD)$
芯片的竞争核心是什么,其实很多投资人一直存在误区。英伟达卖的好是因为他贵吗?是因为他研发多吗?不是,是因为他便宜。这一个是非常反直觉的判断。芯片从来是追求性价比的,英伟达是做到了,在同等价格下,提供了更强大的算力,导致了客户用有溢价的
$英伟达(NVDA)$
,也比便宜的
$美国超微公司(AMD)$
更便宜。注意,英伟达是赢在了便宜。同理,判断一个公司的竞争力,真不是他做的产品线是多高端,而是他在同等投入下,能不能提供性能更高的产品,所谓“性价比”。芯片从来是一个追求方案整体最优解的生意。所以有时候过分追捧nm的变化,“概念”的高端,其实是非常外行的行为。但其实很多芯片的老板也存在这种误区,往往强调我们要做更高端的产品。对客户而言,你做的东西是先进的,成本是没法看的,那就是没有。反过来,你的工艺“落后”,但是性能表现是强劲的,这就是“高端产品”。为什么TI、英飞凌这种百年老店日子过得非常滋润,并不是制程多牛逼,是真的能给客户提供性价比。所以有时候看着市场一股脑追捧企业创造概念,
薪伊
2024-11-29
$美国超微公司(AMD)$
??希望你别启动,再往下走一走,我还没买够呢。120下方给个机会。拜托能到100我做梦笑醒,能到60我在补你30万刀。如果AMD现在年底就开始拉起来我可能考虑未来调仓了。我做股票除了价值投资最注重的就是好的成本。成本我不满意赚钱都不开心。
薪伊
2024-11-06
$台积电(TSM)$
台积电的长期增长预期预计由于AI设备的普及,台积电将有长期的上涨空间。台积电的AI芯片需求即使到2025年也仍供不应求,显示了AI芯片市场的强劲需求。整合上述信息,我们可以看到台积电在半导体代工市场中的领导地位,特别是在AI芯片领域。同时,苹果和OpenAI的芯片开发计划进一步证明了AI技术在推动行业发展中的重要性。三星电子的案例则提醒了行业参与者AI技术在未来发展中的战略地位。
薪伊
01-22
$新东方(EDU)$
韭菜献身的时候到了,抄底炒在山顶上,下一波再跌30%至22-23。[愤怒]
薪伊
01-23
$中芯国际(00981)$
外资行对 中芯国际的收入前景持乐观态度,继续看好中芯国际作为本地代工领导者的地位,这得益于中国客户对本地化生产的需求不断增长。预计2024年第四季度收入将环比增长1%至22亿美元,毛利率为18.5%(而2023年第四季度为16.4%,2024年第三季度为20.5%),与管理层的指导范围一致。虽然终端市场的需求复苏情况各不相同,但预计2025年受到库存正常化的影响,行业将逐渐改善。但该行仍认为成熟节点产能的供应增加、竞争加剧和地缘政治风险是公司估值的担忧和悬念。维持对中芯国际A/H股的中性评级。
薪伊
01-23
$台积电(TSM)$
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
$甲骨文(ORCL)$
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
第1次产业革命投资铁路基建造就了一堆钢铁大亨、铁路大亨。第2次计算机革命、互联网革命造就了一批网络新贵。第3次信息革命是ai人工智能革命,投资ai,虽然有巨大的泡沫,需要慧眼识珠。压注芯片英伟达、台积电,pltr,orcl甲骨文,比特币coinbase,算力竞争终点是核电oklo。后摩尔时代的光子芯片,关注全球三大妮酸锂开发团队:中国光库科技、日本富士通、日本住友集团、ITF technologies inc.electro-optics technology
薪伊
2024-11-29
在半导体的江湖里,AMD(超微半导体)一直都是那个不甘示弱的挑战者,尽管目前它在数据中心GPU市场上还没能超越英伟达这座“大山”,但它正在全力冲刺,力求超越自我。最近,虽然AMD的股价表现有些让人失望,甚至一度被市场冷落,但也正是这种低迷的状态,会给嗅觉敏锐的投资者一个潜在的“黄金买入”机会。
薪伊
2024-11-26
$美国超微公司(AMD)$
横盘一周之后,果然开启了上涨行情。目前为反弹初期,似弱实强,盘中走势会跟随大盘但会略强于大盘。本轮反弹第一目标170
薪伊
2024-11-04
$中芯国际 (00981.HK)$
美国要搞中国的芯片,AI,那么国家必然出台对等政策反制,信创,必然有利于科技股,毕竟中国不差钱,美国佬搞中国是必然的,尤其是高科技,走向内循环为主,外循环为辅,是没得选的,而且只能成功,不许失败关于钱,居民存款150万亿,企业存款150万亿,钱在银行空转,降低银行利率,倒闭资金流向实体,流向企业,流向股市,而这就是国家的政策思路,也是本轮牛市的基础原因所在
薪伊
2024-11-04
$美国超微公司 (AMD.US)$
AI加速器现在市场上的就两家被认可,英伟达是主导,AMD收入也在增长,逐渐被大客户接受,股价迟早涨上去。
薪伊
2024-11-08
$美国超微公司 (AMD.US)$
企稳145-146 就准备往上飞
薪伊
2024-11-07
$中芯国际 (00981.HK)$
外资做空中芯真是无所不用其极了,给的Q3季度财报预期是营收同比增加32%,每股收益增长145%。如果达不到就不及预期?你特么的咋不给个每股收益要增长300%?
薪伊
2024-12-17
$超微电脑(SMCI)$
多方的一些观点,自己辨别吧
薪伊
2024-11-04
$美国超微公司(AMD)$
美国养老基金减持英伟达加仓amd,既然这样的话,那么。。。。。
薪伊
01-21
$美光科技(MU)$
$英伟达(NVDA)$
$博通(AVGO)$
大摩(亚洲):将SK海力士目标价上调至15万韩元,1)我们去年的预测并未实现,所以“不要与市场趋势作对”;2)关于HBM的市场叙述是股价阻力最小路径,对传统内存仍保持谨慎;3)在这个阶段,对战术性买入持谨慎态度,25H2仍有许多未知数;4)本周的财报将提供更多地验证。
薪伊
01-07
$英伟达(NVDA)$
涨啊,给我涨啊!今晚到200[微笑]
薪伊
2024-12-17
$美国超微公司(AMD)$
薪伊
2024-11-04
$超微电脑(SMCI)$
垃圾老板 垃圾公司 也可以参考瑞幸 所以没有输掉100%的打算 建议不要买。
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">$联合健康(UNH)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 联合健康(UNH)近期一系列事件引发市场剧烈波动。首先,公司原先预计2025财年每股收益(EPS)将下滑5%,但管理层突然取消业绩指引,反映出对未来盈利前景的不确定性急剧上升。市场对此高度敏感,尤其是将UNH视为防御型价值股的投资者,此举令信心瞬间崩塌,股价出现大幅跳水。与此同时,现任CEO Andrew宣布离职,董事会紧急召回曾任CEO的Hemsley,却尚未明确新任长期接班人选。这一“换帅求变”策略,表面看似自愿离职,实则揭示公司当前经营压力与管理层内部矛盾;董事会显然希望借助Hemsley在危机管理上的丰富经验迅速稳住局面。市场还被流传的美国司法部或对UNH展开刑事医疗保险欺诈调查所震动,尽管公司官方已否认该消息为假新闻,但传闻已足以对投资者情绪造成实质冲击。作为长期面临各类政府调查的行业龙头,UNH需密切关注后续事态发展,以防潜在法律风险进一步放大市场恐慌。另一方面,特朗普政府针对药品福利管理机构(PBM)的行政令虽然被解读为可能重创UNH旗下OptumRx业务,但实际上新政仅要求回扣透明化,并未禁止回扣收取。鉴于PBM在美国医疗体系中的中介角色根深蒂固,此次监管更像是一种“姿态展示”,短期内对OptumRx的商业模式影响有限。根源上,美国高昂的药品与医疗费用,源于PBM的中间利润机制、缺乏统一药品采购与全民医保体系,以及医疗资本对政策的深度影响。UNH在这个体系中既是利益的守护者,也被制度性弊端所制约,难以彻底摆脱成本与监管双重压力。在股价大跌之际,老CEO Hemsley与CFO本周罕见地合计斥资约3000万美元买入公司股票,均价约290美元。高管“自掏腰包”增持既彰显了他们认为","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">$联合健康(UNH)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 联合健康(UNH)近期一系列事件引发市场剧烈波动。首先,公司原先预计2025财年每股收益(EPS)将下滑5%,但管理层突然取消业绩指引,反映出对未来盈利前景的不确定性急剧上升。市场对此高度敏感,尤其是将UNH视为防御型价值股的投资者,此举令信心瞬间崩塌,股价出现大幅跳水。与此同时,现任CEO Andrew宣布离职,董事会紧急召回曾任CEO的Hemsley,却尚未明确新任长期接班人选。这一“换帅求变”策略,表面看似自愿离职,实则揭示公司当前经营压力与管理层内部矛盾;董事会显然希望借助Hemsley在危机管理上的丰富经验迅速稳住局面。市场还被流传的美国司法部或对UNH展开刑事医疗保险欺诈调查所震动,尽管公司官方已否认该消息为假新闻,但传闻已足以对投资者情绪造成实质冲击。作为长期面临各类政府调查的行业龙头,UNH需密切关注后续事态发展,以防潜在法律风险进一步放大市场恐慌。另一方面,特朗普政府针对药品福利管理机构(PBM)的行政令虽然被解读为可能重创UNH旗下OptumRx业务,但实际上新政仅要求回扣透明化,并未禁止回扣收取。鉴于PBM在美国医疗体系中的中介角色根深蒂固,此次监管更像是一种“姿态展示”,短期内对OptumRx的商业模式影响有限。根源上,美国高昂的药品与医疗费用,源于PBM的中间利润机制、缺乏统一药品采购与全民医保体系,以及医疗资本对政策的深度影响。UNH在这个体系中既是利益的守护者,也被制度性弊端所制约,难以彻底摆脱成本与监管双重压力。在股价大跌之际,老CEO Hemsley与CFO本周罕见地合计斥资约3000万美元买入公司股票,均价约290美元。高管“自掏腰包”增持既彰显了他们认为","text":"$联合健康(UNH)$ 联合健康(UNH)近期一系列事件引发市场剧烈波动。首先,公司原先预计2025财年每股收益(EPS)将下滑5%,但管理层突然取消业绩指引,反映出对未来盈利前景的不确定性急剧上升。市场对此高度敏感,尤其是将UNH视为防御型价值股的投资者,此举令信心瞬间崩塌,股价出现大幅跳水。与此同时,现任CEO 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Hemsley与CFO本周罕见地合计斥资约3000万美元买入公司股票,均价约290美元。高管“自掏腰包”增持既彰显了他们认为","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edf3ae7973939ac50bae1995a500a417","width":"800","height":"533"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/436758204645608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2540,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":395608002867480,"gmtCreate":1737615203881,"gmtModify":1737616760108,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">$博通(AVGO)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">$戴尔(DELL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Stargate 的初始股权出资者包括软银、OpenAI、甲骨文和 MGX。软银和 OpenAI 是 Stargate 的主要合作伙伴,软银负责财务,OpenAI 负责运营。孙正义将担任董事长。Arm、微软、NVIDIA、Oracle 和 OpenAI 是主要的初始技术合作伙伴。扩建工作目前正在进行中,从德克萨斯州开始,我们正在评估全国各地的潜在地点,以建立更多园区,并最终确定最终协议。哪些行业将可得益?直接参与者和合作伙伴:甲骨文英伟达Arm Holdings微软半导体产业链:博通代工厂台积电半导体材料和设备供应商阿斯麦美光科技服务器 戴尔","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">$博通(AVGO)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">$戴尔(DELL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Stargate 的初始股权出资者包括软银、OpenAI、甲骨文和 MGX。软银和 OpenAI 是 Stargate 的主要合作伙伴,软银负责财务,OpenAI 负责运营。孙正义将担任董事长。Arm、微软、NVIDIA、Oracle 和 OpenAI 是主要的初始技术合作伙伴。扩建工作目前正在进行中,从德克萨斯州开始,我们正在评估全国各地的潜在地点,以建立更多园区,并最终确定最终协议。哪些行业将可得益?直接参与者和合作伙伴:甲骨文英伟达Arm Holdings微软半导体产业链:博通代工厂台积电半导体材料和设备供应商阿斯麦美光科技服务器 戴尔","text":"$台积电(TSM)$ $博通(AVGO)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ $戴尔(DELL)$ $甲骨文(ORCL)$ Stargate 的初始股权出资者包括软银、OpenAI、甲骨文和 MGX。软银和 OpenAI 是 Stargate 的主要合作伙伴,软银负责财务,OpenAI 负责运营。孙正义将担任董事长。Arm、微软、NVIDIA、Oracle 和 OpenAI 是主要的初始技术合作伙伴。扩建工作目前正在进行中,从德克萨斯州开始,我们正在评估全国各地的潜在地点,以建立更多园区,并最终确定最终协议。哪些行业将可得益?直接参与者和合作伙伴:甲骨文英伟达Arm Holdings微软半导体产业链:博通代工厂台积电半导体材料和设备供应商阿斯麦美光科技服务器 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technology","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dd54b27592cda50b5c77ec59288b772","width":"1052","height":"594"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/395556249415880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9962,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"10000000000010322","authorId":"10000000000010322","name":"四十退休","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916d922cdb12fb6f658dbad7646c76a5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"10000000000010322","authorIdStr":"10000000000010322"},"content":"这轮投资确实要谨慎,泡沫太大了,明智者需静观其变","text":"这轮投资确实要谨慎,泡沫太大了,明智者需静观其变","html":"这轮投资确实要谨慎,泡沫太大了,明智者需静观其变"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":395325459366168,"gmtCreate":1737546223533,"gmtModify":1737546226942,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 大家对明天日本可能的加息怎么看?也许我还等着日元贬值加仓nvda呢[黑眼圈]","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 大家对明天日本可能的加息怎么看?也许我还等着日元贬值加仓nvda呢[黑眼圈]","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 大家对明天日本可能的加息怎么看?也许我还等着日元贬值加仓nvda呢[黑眼圈]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83bac1ba96b1a178f0e909ff8e33f88e","width":"358","height":"306"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/395325459366168","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":395293704429768,"gmtCreate":1737538376172,"gmtModify":1737538381990,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">$新东方(EDU)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 韭菜献身的时候到了,抄底炒在山顶上,下一波再跌30%至22-23。[愤怒]","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">$新东方(EDU)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 韭菜献身的时候到了,抄底炒在山顶上,下一波再跌30%至22-23。[愤怒]","text":"$新东方(EDU)$ 韭菜献身的时候到了,抄底炒在山顶上,下一波再跌30%至22-23。[愤怒]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4889d2cd87d0c8a884d0774085ed4f19","width":"784","height":"708"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/395293704429768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1877,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4195804750944690","authorId":"4195804750944690","name":"Nitedive","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b521eff12cf56451459485f189e9a044","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4195804750944690","authorIdStr":"4195804750944690"},"content":"不要慌教育业务还是很好的","text":"不要慌教育业务还是很好的","html":"不要慌教育业务还是很好的"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":394975940370712,"gmtCreate":1737460891747,"gmtModify":1737460901049,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">$博通(AVGO)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 大摩(亚洲):将SK海力士目标价上调至15万韩元,1)我们去年的预测并未实现,所以“不要与市场趋势作对”;2)关于HBM的市场叙述是股价阻力最小路径,对传统内存仍保持谨慎;3)在这个阶段,对战术性买入持谨慎态度,25H2仍有许多未知数;4)本周的财报将提供更多地验证。","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">$博通(AVGO)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 大摩(亚洲):将SK海力士目标价上调至15万韩元,1)我们去年的预测并未实现,所以“不要与市场趋势作对”;2)关于HBM的市场叙述是股价阻力最小路径,对传统内存仍保持谨慎;3)在这个阶段,对战术性买入持谨慎态度,25H2仍有许多未知数;4)本周的财报将提供更多地验证。","text":"$美光科技(MU)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ $博通(AVGO)$ 大摩(亚洲):将SK海力士目标价上调至15万韩元,1)我们去年的预测并未实现,所以“不要与市场趋势作对”;2)关于HBM的市场叙述是股价阻力最小路径,对传统内存仍保持谨慎;3)在这个阶段,对战术性买入持谨慎态度,25H2仍有许多未知数;4)本周的财报将提供更多地验证。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee8b13fbb87e7660b34a4cf82a46c577","width":"1008","height":"749"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/394975940370712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4087,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":390710489039088,"gmtCreate":1736406772307,"gmtModify":1736407509016,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">$高通(QCOM)$</a> 这拜登走前又搞事,对美国先进芯片的出口实施全球限制,搞什么三级芯片贸易限制,就是恶心中俄。限制英伟达和AMD等厂商的AI芯片出口,前提是这项政策真的能落地,并且能一直实施。懂王虽然对于AI出口限制态度不明确,但是对经济态度明确,你说他会不会接这颗雷?","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">$高通(QCOM)$</a> 这拜登走前又搞事,对美国先进芯片的出口实施全球限制,搞什么三级芯片贸易限制,就是恶心中俄。限制英伟达和AMD等厂商的AI芯片出口,前提是这项政策真的能落地,并且能一直实施。懂王虽然对于AI出口限制态度不明确,但是对经济态度明确,你说他会不会接这颗雷?","text":"$美国超微公司(AMD)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ $台积电(TSM)$ $美光科技(MU)$ $高通(QCOM)$ 这拜登走前又搞事,对美国先进芯片的出口实施全球限制,搞什么三级芯片贸易限制,就是恶心中俄。限制英伟达和AMD等厂商的AI芯片出口,前提是这项政策真的能落地,并且能一直实施。懂王虽然对于AI出口限制态度不明确,但是对经济态度明确,你说他会不会接这颗雷?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96ec7af08a209c91b718643a1ac1a784","width":"720","height":"300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/390710489039088","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":390710193967112,"gmtCreate":1736406614360,"gmtModify":1736406619340,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 释出一张魔法牌[微笑]","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 释出一张魔法牌[微笑]","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 释出一张魔法牌[微笑]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24ebb236116fd040d7c5e6d6547302e4","width":"603","height":"851"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/390710193967112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":389906461601856,"gmtCreate":1736221181662,"gmtModify":1736221185180,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 涨啊,给我涨啊!今晚到200[微笑]","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 涨啊,给我涨啊!今晚到200[微笑]","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 涨啊,给我涨啊!今晚到200[微笑]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c19875de81d09ba3724ac52c7df6c9da","width":"566","height":"449"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/389906461601856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2507,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":387500161114200,"gmtCreate":1735634938861,"gmtModify":1735635142587,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">$中芯国际(00981)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 说实话,我认为布局指数确实是大多人的最佳选择,包括标普和纳指,实在是稳!提前布局中芯的逻辑在芯片的制裁和业绩开始有些看头,买龙头就对了!","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">$中芯国际(00981)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 说实话,我认为布局指数确实是大多人的最佳选择,包括标普和纳指,实在是稳!提前布局中芯的逻辑在芯片的制裁和业绩开始有些看头,买龙头就对了!","text":"$中芯国际(00981)$ 说实话,我认为布局指数确实是大多人的最佳选择,包括标普和纳指,实在是稳!提前布局中芯的逻辑在芯片的制裁和业绩开始有些看头,买龙头就对了!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/387500161114200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":386163153092808,"gmtCreate":1735287705702,"gmtModify":1735287803669,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 从估值看潜力,AMD是否值得入场?随着股价的回调,AMD的市盈率(P/E)变得极具吸引力。根据目前的盈利预测,AMD的2025年每股收益(EPS)预计为5美元,某些分析师认为这一预期数字可能被低估,实际盈利可能更高,达到5.50至6美元之间。考虑到AMD强劲的增长潜力,这一预期看起来并不夸张。如果我们进一步推测AMD的未来盈利,2026年每股收益的普遍预期是7美元,但部分乐观分析师认为AMD的每股收益可以达到9美元。这意味着,即使在较为温和的情况下,AMD的市盈率仍然非常具吸引力。以每股收益8美元为例,当前的股价仅为125美元,那么AMD的市盈率大约为15.6倍。如果AMD的盈利达到9美元,那么市盈率将降至13.9倍,显得更加便宜。","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 从估值看潜力,AMD是否值得入场?随着股价的回调,AMD的市盈率(P/E)变得极具吸引力。根据目前的盈利预测,AMD的2025年每股收益(EPS)预计为5美元,某些分析师认为这一预期数字可能被低估,实际盈利可能更高,达到5.50至6美元之间。考虑到AMD强劲的增长潜力,这一预期看起来并不夸张。如果我们进一步推测AMD的未来盈利,2026年每股收益的普遍预期是7美元,但部分乐观分析师认为AMD的每股收益可以达到9美元。这意味着,即使在较为温和的情况下,AMD的市盈率仍然非常具吸引力。以每股收益8美元为例,当前的股价仅为125美元,那么AMD的市盈率大约为15.6倍。如果AMD的盈利达到9美元,那么市盈率将降至13.9倍,显得更加便宜。","text":"$美国超微公司(AMD)$ 从估值看潜力,AMD是否值得入场?随着股价的回调,AMD的市盈率(P/E)变得极具吸引力。根据目前的盈利预测,AMD的2025年每股收益(EPS)预计为5美元,某些分析师认为这一预期数字可能被低估,实际盈利可能更高,达到5.50至6美元之间。考虑到AMD强劲的增长潜力,这一预期看起来并不夸张。如果我们进一步推测AMD的未来盈利,2026年每股收益的普遍预期是7美元,但部分乐观分析师认为AMD的每股收益可以达到9美元。这意味着,即使在较为温和的情况下,AMD的市盈率仍然非常具吸引力。以每股收益8美元为例,当前的股价仅为125美元,那么AMD的市盈率大约为15.6倍。如果AMD的盈利达到9美元,那么市盈率将降至13.9倍,显得更加便宜。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a5d83370d97976f7c7a44c457ee3a1c","width":"954","height":"289"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386163153092808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3699,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":385794664095832,"gmtCreate":1735197834857,"gmtModify":1735199524129,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0658d8f9d08fb083a349d5f934019ad1","width":"876","height":"627"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/385794664095832","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":383292058063048,"gmtCreate":1734600284206,"gmtModify":1734600286054,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 虽然该股在数周接近100美元后跌至90美元左右,但这可能是一个长期的买入机会。然而,对于像我这样围绕收益进行交易的人来说,这看起来像是一种损失——有时你赢了,有时你输了。鉴于其目前的市场价格约为90-120美元,根据内在估值方法,该股可能会被高估,尽管一些分析师仍然看好其在人工智能和数据中心领域的增长潜力,这可能会证明未来估值更高是合理的。","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 虽然该股在数周接近100美元后跌至90美元左右,但这可能是一个长期的买入机会。然而,对于像我这样围绕收益进行交易的人来说,这看起来像是一种损失——有时你赢了,有时你输了。鉴于其目前的市场价格约为90-120美元,根据内在估值方法,该股可能会被高估,尽管一些分析师仍然看好其在人工智能和数据中心领域的增长潜力,这可能会证明未来估值更高是合理的。","text":"$美光科技(MU)$ 虽然该股在数周接近100美元后跌至90美元左右,但这可能是一个长期的买入机会。然而,对于像我这样围绕收益进行交易的人来说,这看起来像是一种损失——有时你赢了,有时你输了。鉴于其目前的市场价格约为90-120美元,根据内在估值方法,该股可能会被高估,尽管一些分析师仍然看好其在人工智能和数据中心领域的增长潜力,这可能会证明未来估值更高是合理的。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383292058063048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":382949709304112,"gmtCreate":1734518618723,"gmtModify":1734518620617,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">$博通(AVGO)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 花旗:近期AVGO和MRVL引发了投资者对老生常谈的「GPU与定制ASIC」之争的新疑问,我们强调两者将共存,通过CUDA对不同工作负载进行软件重新编程的能力是GPU/英伟达最大的优势。预计到2028年年底,AI 加速器的TAM将达到3800亿美元(AI GPU 75%,ASIC 25%)。近期的供应链讨论表明,英伟达的CoWoS产能分配预计将从今年的56%增长到明年的60%,这表明25年仍将保持增长势头。","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">$博通(AVGO)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 花旗:近期AVGO和MRVL引发了投资者对老生常谈的「GPU与定制ASIC」之争的新疑问,我们强调两者将共存,通过CUDA对不同工作负载进行软件重新编程的能力是GPU/英伟达最大的优势。预计到2028年年底,AI 加速器的TAM将达到3800亿美元(AI GPU 75%,ASIC 25%)。近期的供应链讨论表明,英伟达的CoWoS产能分配预计将从今年的56%增长到明年的60%,这表明25年仍将保持增长势头。","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ $迈威尔科技(MRVL)$ $博通(AVGO)$ 花旗:近期AVGO和MRVL引发了投资者对老生常谈的「GPU与定制ASIC」之争的新疑问,我们强调两者将共存,通过CUDA对不同工作负载进行软件重新编程的能力是GPU/英伟达最大的优势。预计到2028年年底,AI 加速器的TAM将达到3800亿美元(AI GPU 75%,ASIC 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Ai控盘?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c27ba22dbbb9a2e833fba61b7db79706","width":"348","height":"212"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382487055274032","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":737,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":382486795907120,"gmtCreate":1734404388698,"gmtModify":1734404391919,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$美国超微公司(AMD)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb688994d6585bde7272d7d213e534a","width":"562","height":"673"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382486795907120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1874,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3505477207458695","authorId":"3505477207458695","name":"慧慧子吖","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02a596c9b30a090ff8572543e95d622d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3505477207458695","authorIdStr":"3505477207458695"},"content":"[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]真不争气 这两周2了还上不来,真不敢再买了","text":"[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]真不争气 这两周2了还上不来,真不敢再买了","html":"[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]真不争气 这两周2了还上不来,真不敢再买了"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":382486194520176,"gmtCreate":1734404177635,"gmtModify":1734404189129,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMCI\">$超微电脑(SMCI)$</a> 多方的一些观点,自己辨别吧","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMCI\">$超微电脑(SMCI)$</a> 多方的一些观点,自己辨别吧","text":"$超微电脑(SMCI)$ 多方的一些观点,自己辨别吧","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adf116ea5710fd3516ea4013ba9f6349","width":"1284","height":"2322"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382486194520176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1948,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3553256311875125","authorId":"3553256311875125","name":"老当益壮铁树开花","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe9bdf2e928a90ce7307de1ff8b30ff","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3553256311875125","authorIdStr":"3553256311875125"},"content":"XAi总共号称才融资61.35亿美金,哪来的250亿啊","text":"XAi总共号称才融资61.35亿美金,哪来的250亿啊","html":"XAi总共号称才融资61.35亿美金,哪来的250亿啊"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":382485584085104,"gmtCreate":1734404028603,"gmtModify":1734404033051,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"10000000000010489","authorIdStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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晶片的发展和语音助手功能的升级,苹果未来的产品将更加智能化,并为消费者提供更加优质的使用体验。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cc78d968666361bce1a4d8775819750","width":"540","height":"232"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382485584085104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":366253583466896,"gmtCreate":1730442632686,"gmtModify":1730897798672,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010489","idStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>芯片的竞争核心是什么,其实很多投资人一直存在误区。英伟达卖的好是因为他贵吗?是因为他研发多吗?不是,是因为他便宜。这一个是非常反直觉的判断。芯片从来是追求性价比的,英伟达是做到了,在同等价格下,提供了更强大的算力,导致了客户用有溢价的 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> ,也比便宜的 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 更便宜。注意,英伟达是赢在了便宜。同理,判断一个公司的竞争力,真不是他做的产品线是多高端,而是他在同等投入下,能不能提供性能更高的产品,所谓“性价比”。芯片从来是一个追求方案整体最优解的生意。所以有时候过分追捧nm的变化,“概念”的高端,其实是非常外行的行为。但其实很多芯片的老板也存在这种误区,往往强调我们要做更高端的产品。对客户而言,你做的东西是先进的,成本是没法看的,那就是没有。反过来,你的工艺“落后”,但是性能表现是强劲的,这就是“高端产品”。为什么TI、英飞凌这种百年老店日子过得非常滋润,并不是制程多牛逼,是真的能给客户提供性价比。所以有时候看着市场一股脑追捧企业创造概念,","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>芯片的竞争核心是什么,其实很多投资人一直存在误区。英伟达卖的好是因为他贵吗?是因为他研发多吗?不是,是因为他便宜。这一个是非常反直觉的判断。芯片从来是追求性价比的,英伟达是做到了,在同等价格下,提供了更强大的算力,导致了客户用有溢价的 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> ,也比便宜的 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 更便宜。注意,英伟达是赢在了便宜。同理,判断一个公司的竞争力,真不是他做的产品线是多高端,而是他在同等投入下,能不能提供性能更高的产品,所谓“性价比”。芯片从来是一个追求方案整体最优解的生意。所以有时候过分追捧nm的变化,“概念”的高端,其实是非常外行的行为。但其实很多芯片的老板也存在这种误区,往往强调我们要做更高端的产品。对客户而言,你做的东西是先进的,成本是没法看的,那就是没有。反过来,你的工艺“落后”,但是性能表现是强劲的,这就是“高端产品”。为什么TI、英飞凌这种百年老店日子过得非常滋润,并不是制程多牛逼,是真的能给客户提供性价比。所以有时候看着市场一股脑追捧企业创造概念,","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ $美国超微公司(AMD)$ 芯片的竞争核心是什么,其实很多投资人一直存在误区。英伟达卖的好是因为他贵吗?是因为他研发多吗?不是,是因为他便宜。这一个是非常反直觉的判断。芯片从来是追求性价比的,英伟达是做到了,在同等价格下,提供了更强大的算力,导致了客户用有溢价的 $英伟达(NVDA)$ ,也比便宜的 $美国超微公司(AMD)$ 更便宜。注意,英伟达是赢在了便宜。同理,判断一个公司的竞争力,真不是他做的产品线是多高端,而是他在同等投入下,能不能提供性能更高的产品,所谓“性价比”。芯片从来是一个追求方案整体最优解的生意。所以有时候过分追捧nm的变化,“概念”的高端,其实是非常外行的行为。但其实很多芯片的老板也存在这种误区,往往强调我们要做更高端的产品。对客户而言,你做的东西是先进的,成本是没法看的,那就是没有。反过来,你的工艺“落后”,但是性能表现是强劲的,这就是“高端产品”。为什么TI、英飞凌这种百年老店日子过得非常滋润,并不是制程多牛逼,是真的能给客户提供性价比。所以有时候看着市场一股脑追捧企业创造概念,","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366253583466896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":376195754582240,"gmtCreate":1732869032747,"gmtModify":1732869034772,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010489","idStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> ??希望你别启动,再往下走一走,我还没买够呢。120下方给个机会。拜托能到100我做梦笑醒,能到60我在补你30万刀。如果AMD现在年底就开始拉起来我可能考虑未来调仓了。我做股票除了价值投资最注重的就是好的成本。成本我不满意赚钱都不开心。","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> ??希望你别启动,再往下走一走,我还没买够呢。120下方给个机会。拜托能到100我做梦笑醒,能到60我在补你30万刀。如果AMD现在年底就开始拉起来我可能考虑未来调仓了。我做股票除了价值投资最注重的就是好的成本。成本我不满意赚钱都不开心。","text":"$美国超微公司(AMD)$ ??希望你别启动,再往下走一走,我还没买够呢。120下方给个机会。拜托能到100我做梦笑醒,能到60我在补你30万刀。如果AMD现在年底就开始拉起来我可能考虑未来调仓了。我做股票除了价值投资最注重的就是好的成本。成本我不满意赚钱都不开心。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376195754582240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3548177839588460","authorId":"3548177839588460","name":"王满意","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91d325d8eb3688b38a82a03a87e198f0","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3548177839588460","idStr":"3548177839588460"},"content":"严重心理扭曲,见不得穷人吃汉堡,最基本的技术形态都不懂,为什么要给你机会?","text":"严重心理扭曲,见不得穷人吃汉堡,最基本的技术形态都不懂,为什么要给你机会?","html":"严重心理扭曲,见不得穷人吃汉堡,最基本的技术形态都不懂,为什么要给你机会?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368001285079072,"gmtCreate":1730861655349,"gmtModify":1730861657814,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010489","idStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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韭菜献身的时候到了,抄底炒在山顶上,下一波再跌30%至22-23。[愤怒]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4889d2cd87d0c8a884d0774085ed4f19","width":"784","height":"708"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/395293704429768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1877,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4195804750944690","authorId":"4195804750944690","name":"Nitedive","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b521eff12cf56451459485f189e9a044","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4195804750944690","idStr":"4195804750944690"},"content":"不要慌教育业务还是很好的","text":"不要慌教育业务还是很好的","html":"不要慌教育业务还是很好的"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":395559396929816,"gmtCreate":1737603337196,"gmtModify":1737615352260,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010489","idStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 第1次产业革命投资铁路基建造就了一堆钢铁大亨、铁路大亨。第2次计算机革命、互联网革命造就了一批网络新贵。第3次信息革命是ai人工智能革命,投资ai,虽然有巨大的泡沫,需要慧眼识珠。压注芯片英伟达、台积电,pltr,orcl甲骨文,比特币coinbase,算力竞争终点是核电oklo。后摩尔时代的光子芯片,关注全球三大妮酸锂开发团队:中国光库科技、日本富士通、日本住友集团、ITF technologies inc.electro-optics technology","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 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technology","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dd54b27592cda50b5c77ec59288b772","width":"1052","height":"594"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/395556249415880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9962,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"10000000000010322","authorId":"10000000000010322","name":"四十退休","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916d922cdb12fb6f658dbad7646c76a5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010322","idStr":"10000000000010322"},"content":"这轮投资确实要谨慎,泡沫太大了,明智者需静观其变","text":"这轮投资确实要谨慎,泡沫太大了,明智者需静观其变","html":"这轮投资确实要谨慎,泡沫太大了,明智者需静观其变"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":376195939360848,"gmtCreate":1732869151003,"gmtModify":1732869156754,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010489","idStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"在半导体的江湖里,AMD(超微半导体)一直都是那个不甘示弱的挑战者,尽管目前它在数据中心GPU市场上还没能超越英伟达这座“大山”,但它正在全力冲刺,力求超越自我。最近,虽然AMD的股价表现有些让人失望,甚至一度被市场冷落,但也正是这种低迷的状态,会给嗅觉敏锐的投资者一个潜在的“黄金买入”机会。","listText":"在半导体的江湖里,AMD(超微半导体)一直都是那个不甘示弱的挑战者,尽管目前它在数据中心GPU市场上还没能超越英伟达这座“大山”,但它正在全力冲刺,力求超越自我。最近,虽然AMD的股价表现有些让人失望,甚至一度被市场冷落,但也正是这种低迷的状态,会给嗅觉敏锐的投资者一个潜在的“黄金买入”机会。","text":"在半导体的江湖里,AMD(超微半导体)一直都是那个不甘示弱的挑战者,尽管目前它在数据中心GPU市场上还没能超越英伟达这座“大山”,但它正在全力冲刺,力求超越自我。最近,虽然AMD的股价表现有些让人失望,甚至一度被市场冷落,但也正是这种低迷的状态,会给嗅觉敏锐的投资者一个潜在的“黄金买入”机会。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/976c74f8724cec909241d682fe2bfdd1","width":"1555","height":"651"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376195939360848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2720,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375074233295000,"gmtCreate":1732592151749,"gmtModify":1732592153448,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010489","idStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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大摩(亚洲):将SK海力士目标价上调至15万韩元,1)我们去年的预测并未实现,所以“不要与市场趋势作对”;2)关于HBM的市场叙述是股价阻力最小路径,对传统内存仍保持谨慎;3)在这个阶段,对战术性买入持谨慎态度,25H2仍有许多未知数;4)本周的财报将提供更多地验证。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee8b13fbb87e7660b34a4cf82a46c577","width":"1008","height":"749"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/394975940370712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4087,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":389906461601856,"gmtCreate":1736221181662,"gmtModify":1736221185180,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010489","idStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 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这两周2了还上不来,真不敢再买了"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":367380814418152,"gmtCreate":1730705172287,"gmtModify":1730705605948,"author":{"id":"10000000000010489","authorId":"10000000000010489","name":"薪伊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3705c3ffeed261c93ea4350970a07907","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010489","idStr":"10000000000010489"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMCI\">$超微电脑(SMCI)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 垃圾老板 垃圾公司 也可以参考瑞幸 所以没有输掉100%的打算 建议不要买。","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMCI\">$超微电脑(SMCI)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 垃圾老板 垃圾公司 也可以参考瑞幸 所以没有输掉100%的打算 建议不要买。","text":"$超微电脑(SMCI)$ 垃圾老板 垃圾公司 也可以参考瑞幸 所以没有输掉100%的打算 建议不要买。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b63bf24449b4be15c67c84df9420dbcb","width":"1224","height":"948"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367380814418152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":976,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}