一瓢慢饮的个人主页 - 老虎社区

一瓢慢饮

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IP属地：广东

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01-16

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 才哪跟哪这就砸

01-14

这个张勇不是阿里出来的张勇吧？关阿里什么事？推送到阿里的新闻里[笑哭]

花旗：对张勇重掌海底捞首席执行官看法正面，维持“买入”评级

01-14

$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 冲啊

01-14

$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 放手涨吧！

01-12

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 报复性上涨！直接一字板！[龇牙]

01-12

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 最近折磨的我都不敢加仓了，赶紧起飞吧！

01-12

$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 请起飞！

01-12

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 咋这么没有政治格局？亏我还在长期看好，得考虑换一个了

01-09

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 莫名其妙跌莫名其妙涨

01-07

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 淘宝为啥还不上线ai导购功能？

2025-12-30

$百度(BIDU)$ 这是忽悠了多少国际资本，外国人还是不懂百度的尿性

2025-12-30

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 是要倒闭了吗？

2025-12-05

还是你会出新产品！通义改千问，饿了么改闪购

阿里加码对即时零售长期投入新信号：饿了么App正式焕新为淘宝闪购

2025-11-25

$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 敢不敢下来，我要加仓啊

2025-11-17

改个名字有啥不同？

阿里千问APP公测引爆软件板块：估值与盈利双见底，AI应用加速落地，行业初现复苏曙光！

2025-11-11

$腾讯控股(00700)$ 司庆也没点利好？

2025-11-11

$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 完犊子了吗你

2025-10-24

现在才买入阿里巴巴？你个菜鸡！

抱歉，原内容已删除

2025-10-07

$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 为啥昨天中秋不休盘，今天才休？

2025-09-25

百度早已是市场的弃儿。

百度美股走出两年新高！大行却力挺阿里：风险收益比更优

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1392764.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>花旗发布研报称，海底捞(06862)创始人兼主席张勇重掌首席执行官一职。该行认为，在内地消费品领域，这不仅是执行力提升的强烈讯号，亦是增长重新加速的领先指标。该行维持海底捞“买入”评级，续予目标价19.7港元。该行对张勇回归持正面看法，因为创办人往往更聚焦于收入带动的利润增长，并具备强大的执行力与突破创新能力。该行相信，海底捞在去年下半年翻台率趋稳、翻新门店效率提升，及新业务的销售贡献所支持下，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1392764.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23f2c25e060d113f3768c45cafc16292","relate_stocks":{"89988":"阿里巴巴-WR","LU0117844026.USD":"JPM ASIA PACIFIC INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0228659784.USD":"施罗德金砖四国基金","LU0784639295.USD":"JPM ASIA PACIFIC INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC (M)","LU0051755006.USD":"摩根大通中国A (dist)","LU0054237671.USD":"FIDELITY ASIAN SPECIAL SITUATIONS \"A\" INC","LU0449509016.USD":"HSBC GIF BRIC EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU0572944931.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon China Opportunities A2 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08:26","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"阿里加码对即时零售长期投入新信号：饿了么App正式焕新为淘宝闪购","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174683875","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"12月5日，据淘宝闪购消息，即日起，“饿了么”App在更新至最新版本后将全面焕新为“淘宝闪购”。与此同时，原涉及“饿了么”品牌表达的各个场景，近期也将陆续完成向“淘宝闪购”的焕新升级。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>12月5日，经过过去半年快速增长后，站在全新市场格局下的淘宝闪购，迈出新阶段的重要步伐。12月5日上午，其官方正式宣布：即日起“饿了么”App在更新至最新版本后将全面焕新为 “淘宝闪购”。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10a69a76bcde9a9fad5f61621454aa1a\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1071\" tg-height=\"858\"/></p><p>“更新是为了更好，更好也激励我们常新。”淘宝闪购表示，“这是饿了么多年沉淀的服务和履约能力、产品技术、用户信任与组织韧性的全面检验和焕新升级，由此将更深度融入阿里集团‘大消费平台’战略，释放更大价值，在服务用户、商家、骑士的道路上迈出更关键的一步。”</p><p>在近期财报电话会上，阿里巴巴管理层强调：淘宝闪购在第一阶段完成了规模的快速扩张，第二阶段的经济效益优化符合预期，这为外卖业务长期可持续发展奠定了基础，也增加了在即时零售长期投入的决心。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-12-05 08:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>12月5日，经过过去半年快速增长后，站在全新市场格局下的淘宝闪购，迈出新阶段的重要步伐。12月5日上午，其官方正式宣布：即日起“饿了么”App在更新至最新版本后将全面焕新为 “淘宝闪购”。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10a69a76bcde9a9fad5f61621454aa1a\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1071\" tg-height=\"858\"/></p><p>“更新是为了更好，更好也激励我们常新。”淘宝闪购表示，“这是饿了么多年沉淀的服务和履约能力、产品技术、用户信任与组织韧性的全面检验和焕新升级，由此将更深度融入阿里集团‘大消费平台’战略，释放更大价值，在服务用户、商家、骑士的道路上迈出更关键的一步。”</p><p>在近期财报电话会上，阿里巴巴管理层强调：淘宝闪购在第一阶段完成了规模的快速扩张，第二阶段的经济效益优化符合预期，这为外卖业务长期可持续发展奠定了基础，也增加了在即时零售长期投入的决心。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35f3ced78269d3db971c74f32a474a4b","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174683875","content_text":"12月5日，经过过去半年快速增长后，站在全新市场格局下的淘宝闪购，迈出新阶段的重要步伐。12月5日上午，其官方正式宣布：即日起“饿了么”App在更新至最新版本后将全面焕新为 “淘宝闪购”。“更新是为了更好，更好也激励我们常新。”淘宝闪购表示，“这是饿了么多年沉淀的服务和履约能力、产品技术、用户信任与组织韧性的全面检验和焕新升级，由此将更深度融入阿里集团‘大消费平台’战略，释放更大价值，在服务用户、商家、骑士的道路上迈出更关键的一步。”在近期财报电话会上，阿里巴巴管理层强调：淘宝闪购在第一阶段完成了规模的快速扩张，第二阶段的经济效益优化符合预期，这为外卖业务长期可持续发展奠定了基础，也增加了在即时零售长期投入的决心。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":2,"09988":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":503858436752136,"gmtCreate":1764034708488,"gmtModify":1764034710317,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$&nbsp;</a> 敢不敢下来，我要加仓啊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$&nbsp;</a> 敢不敢下来，我要加仓啊","text":"$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 敢不敢下来，我要加仓啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/503858436752136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":501066317402992,"gmtCreate":1763371349380,"gmtModify":1763371351675,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"改个名字有啥不同？","listText":"改个名字有啥不同？","text":"改个名字有啥不同？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/501066317402992","repostId":"2584861720","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2584861720","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1763367933,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2584861720?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-11-17 16:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"阿里千问APP公测引爆软件板块：估值与盈利双见底，AI应用加速落地，行业初现复苏曙光！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2584861720","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"华西证券指出，阿里巴巴AI战略正向C端突破，“千问”的品牌升级标志着产品进入全新发展阶段，并认为C端AI应用有望成为2026年的重要突破方向。国盛证券以行业业绩数据证实AI已成为增长“赋能者”，并分析指出当前计算机板块的“低配”状态，在政策催化下可能迎来资金回流，驱动行业景气度持续回升。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>华西证券指出，阿里巴巴AI战略正向C端突破，“千问”的品牌升级标志着产品进入全新发展阶段，并认为C端AI应用有望成为2026年的重要突破方向。国盛证券以行业业绩数据证实AI已成为增长“赋能者”，并分析指出当前计算机软件板块的“低配”状态，在政策催化下可能迎来资金回流，驱动行业景气度持续回升。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">随着阿里巴巴宣布旗下AI应用“千问”开启公测，一场关于人工智能从企业端（B端）走向消费端（C端）的竞速赛正式拉开帷幕。这一标志性事件不仅点燃了资本市场对AI应用商业化的热情，也为长期处于估值与盈利双重底部的软件板块注入了强心剂，预示着行业复苏的曙光或已初现。</p><p>11月16日，阿里巴巴官宣其旗舰AI应用正式由“通义”更名为“千问”，并向公众开放测试。市场的反应立竿见影，在千问APP上线消息的刺激下，周一AI应用板块集体大涨，三六零、宣亚国际等多只软件相关个股触及涨停，东方国信、蓝色光标跟涨。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa73ff803b3530d08a842e31576b1673\" tg-width=\"834\" tg-height=\"414\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析人士认为，阿里千问APP的推出，是其AI战略从重资产扩张转向高效变现阶段的体现。华西证券在一份报告中明确指出：“我们认为，伴随阿里最新季报中阿里云AI收入超预期的增长，AI产品正在逐渐成为阿里云增长的核心驱动力，‘通义’App正式完成品牌升级更名为‘千问’，软件版本从3.60.0升级至5.0.0，标志产品进入全新发展阶段。<strong>在当前时点，我们认为重点关注阿里在AI侧从to B向to C突破进展，C端AI 应用有望成为2026年重要突破方向之一。”</strong></p><h2 id=\"c\">阿里战略转向，全力押注C端超级入口</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“千问”APP的推出，是阿里巴巴AI战略的一次重大升级。据媒体报道，这是继AI基建和淘宝闪购之后，阿里今年宣布的又一个集团战略级项目，由CEO吴泳铭亲自拍板，意在打造一个AI原生的C端超级应用入口。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此次从“通义”到“千问”的更名，更是一次精心策划的品牌统一行动，旨在将开发者社区中已颇具影响力的“Qwen”模型品牌，与面向大众的消费级产品直接关联。据华尔街见闻此前文章，有知情人士透露，阿里计划将旗下多个AI应用整合至“千问”品牌下，打造一款消费者首选的一站式应用，未来还将逐步增加代理式AI功能，以支持在淘宝等平台上的购物体验。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此次公测的版本，不仅搭载了阿里性能最强的Qwen3-Max模型，还采用了极简设计，并默认开启联网搜索功能以确保信息的时效性，试图解决大模型固有的“幻觉”问题。此举标志着阿里正全面参与到与字节跳动“豆包”、腾讯“元宝”等应用的竞争中，争夺AI时代稀缺的用户注意力入口。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是，据中国基金报消息，华为即将于11月21日发布一项AI领域的突破性技术，旨在解决算力资源利用效率的难题。该技术通过软件创新，可将GPU、NPU等算力资源的利用率从行业平均的30%至40%显著提升至70%，从而大幅释放算力硬件潜能。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据悉，这项技术能够实现对英伟达、昇腾及其他三方算力的统一资源管理与利用，屏蔽硬件差异，为AI训练和推理提供更高效的资源支撑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是，<strong>华为此次的技术路线与以色列AI初创公司Run:ai存在共同性</strong>。Run:ai自2018年成立以来，一直专注于GPU调度技术，致力于打造能将AI模型拆分并行运行的平台，<strong>其核心产品是基于Kubernetes构建的软件平台，通过动态调度、池化、分片等技术优化GPU资源利用率。</strong>该公司在2024年底被英伟达以7亿美元收购，凸显了算力资源调度技术在AI产业中的战略价值。</p><h2 id=\"5c3e77a0\">行业景气回暖，业绩超预期打消市场疑虑</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此前，“AI吞噬软件”论调曾一度给计算机软件板块蒙上阴影，加剧了投资者的观望情绪。然而，最新的行业财报数据正有力地驱散这一疑虑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">根据国盛证券的研究报告，多家计算机领军企业在2025年第三季度的业绩表现优异，增长显著提速。报告数据显示，金山办公、海康威视、深信服、合合信息等公司，其单季度营收或归母净利润同比增长率相较二季度均有明显提升。以金山办公为例，其25Q3归母净利润同比增长高达35.42%，远超Q2的-2.83%，主要得益于AI新产品的落地推广和信创业务的加速。这表明，对于具备核心竞争力和强大执行力的公司而言，AI非但不是“吞噬者”，反而成为驱动增长的“赋能者”。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9eef20856ac3961d41297b95d4476668\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"403\"/></p><h2 id=\"c767104b\">机构配置处低位，政策与监管新规构成潜在催化</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从资金配置角度看，软件行业正处于一个有利的起点。据基金三季报重仓持股数据显示，2025Q3基金重仓持股总市值中，计算机板块占比仅为2.68%，处于近年来的相对低位，且已连续两个季度下降。与此同时，年初至今该行业的涨幅也落后于通信、电子等其他科技板块。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7170a0ec516686c0c1a0e4fd1242bb37\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"469\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">国盛证券认为，这种“低配”状态可能迎来转机。中国证监会近期就《公开募集证券投资基金业绩比较基准指引》征求意见，旨在强化业绩基准的约束作用，限制基金投资风格的过度偏离。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析认为，该新规一旦实施，将利好计算机等当前被低配的板块，可能引导资金回流。此外，国家发改委等部门印发的《深化智慧城市发展推进全域数字化转型行动计划》以及国务院常务会议部署加快场景培育等政策利好，也为行业景气度的持续回升提供了坚实支撑。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>阿里千问APP公测引爆软件板块：估值与盈利双见底，AI应用加速落地，行业初现复苏曙光！</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3759527\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7064c4d7d0e0e65c6e1138157a714384","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3759527","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2584861720","content_text":"华西证券指出，阿里巴巴AI战略正向C端突破，“千问”的品牌升级标志着产品进入全新发展阶段，并认为C端AI应用有望成为2026年的重要突破方向。国盛证券以行业业绩数据证实AI已成为增长“赋能者”，并分析指出当前计算机软件板块的“低配”状态，在政策催化下可能迎来资金回流，驱动行业景气度持续回升。随着阿里巴巴宣布旗下AI应用“千问”开启公测，一场关于人工智能从企业端（B端）走向消费端（C端）的竞速赛正式拉开帷幕。这一标志性事件不仅点燃了资本市场对AI应用商业化的热情，也为长期处于估值与盈利双重底部的软件板块注入了强心剂，预示着行业复苏的曙光或已初现。11月16日，阿里巴巴官宣其旗舰AI应用正式由“通义”更名为“千问”，并向公众开放测试。市场的反应立竿见影，在千问APP上线消息的刺激下，周一AI应用板块集体大涨，三六零、宣亚国际等多只软件相关个股触及涨停，东方国信、蓝色光标跟涨。分析人士认为，阿里千问APP的推出，是其AI战略从重资产扩张转向高效变现阶段的体现。华西证券在一份报告中明确指出：“我们认为，伴随阿里最新季报中阿里云AI收入超预期的增长，AI产品正在逐渐成为阿里云增长的核心驱动力，‘通义’App正式完成品牌升级更名为‘千问’，软件版本从3.60.0升级至5.0.0，标志产品进入全新发展阶段。在当前时点，我们认为重点关注阿里在AI侧从to B向to C突破进展，C端AI 应用有望成为2026年重要突破方向之一。”阿里战略转向，全力押注C端超级入口“千问”APP的推出，是阿里巴巴AI战略的一次重大升级。据媒体报道，这是继AI基建和淘宝闪购之后，阿里今年宣布的又一个集团战略级项目，由CEO吴泳铭亲自拍板，意在打造一个AI原生的C端超级应用入口。此次从“通义”到“千问”的更名，更是一次精心策划的品牌统一行动，旨在将开发者社区中已颇具影响力的“Qwen”模型品牌，与面向大众的消费级产品直接关联。据华尔街见闻此前文章，有知情人士透露，阿里计划将旗下多个AI应用整合至“千问”品牌下，打造一款消费者首选的一站式应用，未来还将逐步增加代理式AI功能，以支持在淘宝等平台上的购物体验。此次公测的版本，不仅搭载了阿里性能最强的Qwen3-Max模型，还采用了极简设计，并默认开启联网搜索功能以确保信息的时效性，试图解决大模型固有的“幻觉”问题。此举标志着阿里正全面参与到与字节跳动“豆包”、腾讯“元宝”等应用的竞争中，争夺AI时代稀缺的用户注意力入口。值得注意的是，据中国基金报消息，华为即将于11月21日发布一项AI领域的突破性技术，旨在解决算力资源利用效率的难题。该技术通过软件创新，可将GPU、NPU等算力资源的利用率从行业平均的30%至40%显著提升至70%，从而大幅释放算力硬件潜能。据悉，这项技术能够实现对英伟达、昇腾及其他三方算力的统一资源管理与利用，屏蔽硬件差异，为AI训练和推理提供更高效的资源支撑。值得注意的是，华为此次的技术路线与以色列AI初创公司Run:ai存在共同性。Run:ai自2018年成立以来，一直专注于GPU调度技术，致力于打造能将AI模型拆分并行运行的平台，其核心产品是基于Kubernetes构建的软件平台，通过动态调度、池化、分片等技术优化GPU资源利用率。该公司在2024年底被英伟达以7亿美元收购，凸显了算力资源调度技术在AI产业中的战略价值。行业景气回暖，业绩超预期打消市场疑虑此前，“AI吞噬软件”论调曾一度给计算机软件板块蒙上阴影，加剧了投资者的观望情绪。然而，最新的行业财报数据正有力地驱散这一疑虑。根据国盛证券的研究报告，多家计算机领军企业在2025年第三季度的业绩表现优异，增长显著提速。报告数据显示，金山办公、海康威视、深信服、合合信息等公司，其单季度营收或归母净利润同比增长率相较二季度均有明显提升。以金山办公为例，其25Q3归母净利润同比增长高达35.42%，远超Q2的-2.83%，主要得益于AI新产品的落地推广和信创业务的加速。这表明，对于具备核心竞争力和强大执行力的公司而言，AI非但不是“吞噬者”，反而成为驱动增长的“赋能者”。机构配置处低位，政策与监管新规构成潜在催化从资金配置角度看，软件行业正处于一个有利的起点。据基金三季报重仓持股数据显示，2025Q3基金重仓持股总市值中，计算机板块占比仅为2.68%，处于近年来的相对低位，且已连续两个季度下降。与此同时，年初至今该行业的涨幅也落后于通信、电子等其他科技板块。国盛证券认为，这种“低配”状态可能迎来转机。中国证监会近期就《公开募集证券投资基金业绩比较基准指引》征求意见，旨在强化业绩基准的约束作用，限制基金投资风格的过度偏离。分析认为，该新规一旦实施，将利好计算机等当前被低配的板块，可能引导资金回流。此外，国家发改委等部门印发的《深化智慧城市发展推进全域数字化转型行动计划》以及国务院常务会议部署加快场景培育等政策利好，也为行业景气度的持续回升提供了坚实支撑。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":1.5,"09988":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":783,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":498936192499736,"gmtCreate":1762836014130,"gmtModify":1762848773895,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a 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完犊子了吗你","text":"$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 完犊子了吗你","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/498884786991296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":492513996787944,"gmtCreate":1761263965045,"gmtModify":1761269713019,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"现在才买入阿里巴巴？你个菜鸡！","listText":"现在才买入阿里巴巴？你个菜鸡！","text":"现在才买入阿里巴巴？你个菜鸡！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/492513996787944","repostId":"2577940376","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1065,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":486480365704056,"gmtCreate":1759798571276,"gmtModify":1759798573345,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$&nbsp;</a> 为啥昨天中秋不休盘，今天才休？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$&nbsp;</a> 为啥昨天中秋不休盘，今天才休？","text":"$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 为啥昨天中秋不休盘，今天才休？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/486480365704056","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1096,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":482349664579648,"gmtCreate":1758790213146,"gmtModify":1758791784358,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"百度早已是市场的弃儿。","listText":"百度早已是市场的弃儿。","text":"百度早已是市场的弃儿。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/482349664579648","repostId":"1106244430","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1106244430","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1758783423,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106244430?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-09-25 14:57","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"百度美股走出两年新高！大行却力挺阿里：风险收益比更优","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106244430","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"2021年初，百度股价曾突破300美元峰值，此后大幅回落，多数时间在80至150美元区间震荡，当前股价已创两年新高。这两位分析师还表示，他们担忧的是，百度目前加大力度推进 AI 搜索，似乎并未遏制其搜索 APP 用户数与使用时长的下滑，这一现象可能意味着百度 AI 搜索未能获得用户认可，在当前价位下，他们认为阿里股票的风险收益比优于百度。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>百度是今年受人工智能乐观情绪推动而走高的中概股之一，这一上升趋势似乎扭转了其多年来受增长压力导致的股价波动表现。</p><p>百度美股在周三收涨近6%，股价到132.9美元，今年已经累升超57.66%。2021年初，百度股价曾突破300美元峰值，此后大幅回落，多数时间在80至150美元区间震荡，当前股价已创两年新高。</p><p>不过，投资者或需保持谨慎。野村证券分析师上周末指出，尽管百度近期表现优于科技及 AI 同行阿里巴巴，过去一个月百度涨近50%，阿里涨32%—— 但阿里或许是更优选择。</p><p>分析师施佳龙（Jialong Shi）与郭瑞秋（Rachel Guo）在报告中表示，阿里巴巴是更具吸引力的替代标的。给予百度 “中性” 评级，目标价为135美元。</p><p>野村观点的核心是，<strong>尽管百度核心 AI 业务中的芯片板块前景向好，但其核心搜索与广告业务正受到推高股价的 AI 热潮冲击</strong>。百度常被比作 “中国版谷歌”。</p><p>两位分析师表示，百度昆仑芯（KLX）与阿里平头哥（T-head）在芯片技术与性能方面，均属于国内顶尖的芯片设计企业。考虑到中国政府对海外芯片采购的监管趋严，他们认为这两家企业都有望受益于国内大语言模型（LLM）日益增长的推理需求。</p><p>不过野村认为，百度搜索与广告业务面临的阻力，可能会抵消 AI 及芯片业务为其股价带来的利好。</p><p>分析师指出，与美国同行谷歌不同，即便在 AI 搜索快速兴起之前，百度在传统搜索市场的根基就已大幅削弱。这一情况与中国互联网生态相关，大量移动流量集中在百度难以渗透的第三方应用中，例如拼多多相关的微信。</p><p>野村团队还表示，AI 驱动搜索的兴起对百度而言是另一重威胁，腾讯、阿里等竞争对手正不断强化自身的 AI 搜索能力。尽管百度在发力 AI 搜索，且野村<strong>认为这是留住用户的正确策略，但百度此举要以牺牲搜索引擎广告这一核心收入为代价</strong>。</p><p>这两位分析师还表示，他们担忧的是，百度目前加大力度推进 AI 搜索，似乎并未遏制其搜索 APP 用户数与使用时长的下滑，这一现象可能意味着百度 AI 搜索未能获得用户认可，在当前价位下，<strong>他们认为阿里股票的风险收益比优于百度</strong>。</p><p>野村给予阿里巴巴 “买入” 评级，目标价为 170 美元。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>百度美股走出两年新高！大行却力挺阿里：风险收益比更优</title>\n<style 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14:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>百度是今年受人工智能乐观情绪推动而走高的中概股之一，这一上升趋势似乎扭转了其多年来受增长压力导致的股价波动表现。</p><p>百度美股在周三收涨近6%，股价到132.9美元，今年已经累升超57.66%。2021年初，百度股价曾突破300美元峰值，此后大幅回落，多数时间在80至150美元区间震荡，当前股价已创两年新高。</p><p>不过，投资者或需保持谨慎。野村证券分析师上周末指出，尽管百度近期表现优于科技及 AI 同行阿里巴巴，过去一个月百度涨近50%，阿里涨32%—— 但阿里或许是更优选择。</p><p>分析师施佳龙（Jialong Shi）与郭瑞秋（Rachel Guo）在报告中表示，阿里巴巴是更具吸引力的替代标的。给予百度 “中性” 评级，目标价为135美元。</p><p>野村观点的核心是，<strong>尽管百度核心 AI 业务中的芯片板块前景向好，但其核心搜索与广告业务正受到推高股价的 AI 热潮冲击</strong>。百度常被比作 “中国版谷歌”。</p><p>两位分析师表示，百度昆仑芯（KLX）与阿里平头哥（T-head）在芯片技术与性能方面，均属于国内顶尖的芯片设计企业。考虑到中国政府对海外芯片采购的监管趋严，他们认为这两家企业都有望受益于国内大语言模型（LLM）日益增长的推理需求。</p><p>不过野村认为，百度搜索与广告业务面临的阻力，可能会抵消 AI 及芯片业务为其股价带来的利好。</p><p>分析师指出，与美国同行谷歌不同，即便在 AI 搜索快速兴起之前，百度在传统搜索市场的根基就已大幅削弱。这一情况与中国互联网生态相关，大量移动流量集中在百度难以渗透的第三方应用中，例如拼多多相关的微信。</p><p>野村团队还表示，AI 驱动搜索的兴起对百度而言是另一重威胁，腾讯、阿里等竞争对手正不断强化自身的 AI 搜索能力。尽管百度在发力 AI 搜索，且野村<strong>认为这是留住用户的正确策略，但百度此举要以牺牲搜索引擎广告这一核心收入为代价</strong>。</p><p>这两位分析师还表示，他们担忧的是，百度目前加大力度推进 AI 搜索，似乎并未遏制其搜索 APP 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这还能继续上啊？买进的你们都不懂技术的吗！[喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/405835468845520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4200055339781672","authorId":"4200055339781672","name":"xxfc","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4200055339781672","authorIdStr":"4200055339781672"},"content":"[笑哭]技术只是重要指标不是唯一指标，现在是情绪和重建估值的大势主导","text":"[笑哭]技术只是重要指标不是唯一指标，现在是情绪和重建估值的大势主导","html":"[笑哭]技术只是重要指标不是唯一指标，现在是情绪和重建估值的大势主导"},{"author":{"id":"3537393537121745","authorId":"3537393537121745","name":"聚四氟乙烯","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40fcfd0b443e417724b2e655224f6efb","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3537393537121745","authorIdStr":"3537393537121745"},"content":"[得意]没在车上吗？","text":"[得意]没在车上吗？","html":"[得意]没在车上吗？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":374844012405032,"gmtCreate":1732543839204,"gmtModify":1732543841323,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$&nbsp;</a> 我错了我错了[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp; 我错了还不行吗[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$&nbsp;</a> 我错了我错了[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp; 我错了还不行吗[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 我错了我错了[流泪] [流泪] [流泪] [流泪] [流泪] [流泪] 我错了还不行吗[流泪] [流泪] [流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/404853411553616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4198978185958942","authorId":"4198978185958942","name":"Bikyhai","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4198978185958942","authorIdStr":"4198978185958942"},"content":"我35就卖了[笑哭]","text":"我35就卖了[笑哭]","html":"我35就卖了[笑哭]"},{"author":{"id":"3488664072136456","authorId":"3488664072136456","name":"咬咬领先","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69aa0a897d4984f7cc34d204d83f444e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3488664072136456","authorIdStr":"3488664072136456"},"content":"不会做空了吧","text":"不会做空了吧","html":"不会做空了吧"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":406868412080680,"gmtCreate":1740377819030,"gmtModify":1740377820667,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> 这些风险都还好，暗s风险才是个雷","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> 这些风险都还好，暗s风险才是个雷","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 这些风险都还好，暗s风险才是个雷","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/406868412080680","repostId":"1103660322","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1103660322","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1740374420,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103660322?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-02-24 13:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉股价面临50%跌幅风险？马斯克曾经的忠实信徒详解四大危机","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103660322","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"现在，他加倍强调了特斯拉股票在2025年将遭受重创的原因。在大选后最初的飙升之后，特斯拉的股价在2025年迄今下跌了16%，自格伯去年12月发表上述言论以来，特斯拉的股价下跌了约4%。去年是特斯拉电动汽车销量首次出现年度下滑。特斯拉面临的另一个威胁是马斯克与美国总统特朗普的密切关系。尽管投资者最初热情高涨，但该行表示，特斯拉股票的目标价仍为135美元，这意味着特斯拉股价可能较当前水平下跌60%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>他曾是埃隆-马斯克最忠实的信徒。现在，他加倍强调了特斯拉股票在2025年将遭受重创的原因。</p></blockquote><p>2月24日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>投资者、格伯川崎财富管理公司CEO罗斯·格伯最近再次对这只股票发表看空观点，认为四大因素可能导致特斯拉股票今年下跌至多50%。</p><p>去年年中格伯透露，由于担心特斯拉汽车的受欢迎程度正在下降，他已出售了约6000万美元的特斯拉股票。然后，在特朗普赢得大选后，格伯在12月初表示，马斯克与总统的关系即使有任何积极因素，也不会对特斯拉产生多大影响。</p><p>这些警告现在看来很有先见之明。在大选后最初的飙升之后，特斯拉的股价在2025年迄今下跌了16%，自格伯去年12月发表上述言论以来，特斯拉的股价下跌了约4%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/265b400e1d43f3603ff06b5dda26ea58\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>格伯认为，在一系列熟悉的问题中，这一趋势仍在继续，包括估值过高、对该公司全自动驾驶（FSD）能力的担忧，以及马斯克不可预测的行为带来的连锁反应。</p><p>在最新的一次采访中，格伯进一步阐述了他的悲观观点，概述了他认为特斯拉很容易受到高达50%的下跌影响的原因。</p><p>监管文件显示，格伯在2024年将持有的特斯拉股份减少了31%，截至去年年底，他仍持有26.2万股特斯拉股票，价值1.06亿美元。</p><p><strong>以下是格伯预测特斯拉将面临艰难一年的四个原因：</strong></p><p><strong>1． FSD“行不通”</strong></p><p>格伯认为，今年特斯拉的股票将遭遇灾难，因为马斯克6月份在德克萨斯州奥斯汀推出自动驾驶出租车网络的目标过于雄心勃勃。</p><p>“所有这些东西都将在今年实现，因为他把实现全自动驾驶的最后期限定为几个月后。这似乎不可能发生，”格伯说。</p><p>“我们在机器人出租车和自动驾驶方面远远落后，这是毫无疑问的，”戈伯说，并补充说他认为Waymo的方法是“一个更安全的系统”。</p><p>他说：“我现在认为，你需要激光雷达来拥有一个足够安全的全自动驾驶系统。他们（特斯拉）将会碰壁，除非他们改变硬件，否则他们无法变得更好。”</p><p><strong>2． 马斯克分心了</strong></p><p>从经营特斯拉、SpaceX和xAI等多家公司，到在X上发表大量文章，到在DOGE牵头提高政府效率，再到成为十几个孩子的父亲，可以肯定地说，马斯克一天中的时间可能不够用。</p><p>格伯认为，这对特斯拉股东来说是个问题，尤其是考虑到马斯克最近几个月的唯一关注点似乎是人工智能。</p><p>格伯表示：“他100%专注于人工智能，这对特斯拉的不利影响大于对xAI和其他所有业务的有利影响，因为他已经不在特斯拉工作了。”</p><p>“如果他把所有的时间都投入到全自动驾驶上，我对特斯拉会更有信心。”</p><p><strong>3． 电动汽车销售放缓</strong></p><p>虽然投资者对特斯拉的炒作主要集中在其自动驾驶和机器人的雄心上，但销售汽车仍然是该公司的核心业务，而这一业务开始放缓。</p><p>去年是特斯拉电动汽车销量首次出现年度下滑。在预测2025年增长20%-30%之后，该公司管理层在最新的财报电话会议上表示，预计今年将“恢复增长”。</p><p>对于格伯来说，来自比亚迪日益激烈的竞争，对特斯拉在美国以外的电动汽车业务构成了真正的威胁。他说。“比亚迪是一家如此优秀的公司，新兴市场的每个人都在购买比亚迪。”</p><p>特斯拉面临的另一个威胁是马斯克与美国总统特朗普的密切关系。</p><p>格伯解释道：“这只会制造愤怒。我从未见过这种对特斯拉的愤怒，但这不是对特斯拉这个公司的愤怒，而是因为埃隆，这是人们发泄愤怒的唯一途径。”</p><p>美国歌手谢丽尔·克劳（Sheryl Crow）上周在Instagram上发布了一段视频，向她的特斯拉挥手告别，她卖掉了特斯拉以示抗议。</p><p>这一趋势可能会在美国以外的地区加速发展，据报道，特斯拉1月份在法国、德国和挪威的汽车销量分别下降了63%、60%和38%。</p><p>“我们必须卖车，但人们已经不想要了，”格伯说。</p><p><strong>4． 特斯拉估值较高</strong></p><p>相对于其他汽车制造商和市值巨大的科技同行，特斯拉的估值一直较高，但如果特斯拉的汽车销售持续放缓，这种溢价可能会大幅降低。</p><p>YCharts的数据显示，尽管特斯拉去年的利润仅为丰田的20%，但其市值高达1.1万亿美元，是丰田的近5倍。其预期市盈率为118倍，是“七巨头”股票中第二高的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>（Nvidia）的三倍多，也高于其84倍的5年平均水平。</p><p>“对我来说，问题是，我以125倍的市盈率持有1亿美元的特斯拉股票，它甚至不接近’七巨头”中任何正常股票的市盈率，”格伯说，“因此，特斯拉的弱点是，如果今年情况不顺利，它可能会下跌50%。所以我们卖出特斯拉的股票。我们仍然有大量的股票，我们卖掉它们，因为我们认为它们被高估了。”</p><p>华尔街的一些大公司可能会同意格伯的观点。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>对特斯拉最新的盈利发布持悲观态度。尽管投资者最初热情高涨，但该行表示，特斯拉股票的目标价仍为135美元，这意味着特斯拉股价可能较当前水平下跌60%。</p><p><em>本文编译自 BUSINESS INSIDER 《He was once Elon Musk&#39;s biggest believer. Now he&#39;s doubling down on why Tesla stock will feel serious pain in 2025.》</em></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉股价面临50%跌幅风险？马斯克曾经的忠实信徒详解四大危机</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉股价面临50%跌幅风险？马斯克曾经的忠实信徒详解四大危机\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-02-24 13:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>他曾是埃隆-马斯克最忠实的信徒。现在，他加倍强调了特斯拉股票在2025年将遭受重创的原因。</p></blockquote><p>2月24日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>投资者、格伯川崎财富管理公司CEO罗斯·格伯最近再次对这只股票发表看空观点，认为四大因素可能导致特斯拉股票今年下跌至多50%。</p><p>去年年中格伯透露，由于担心特斯拉汽车的受欢迎程度正在下降，他已出售了约6000万美元的特斯拉股票。然后，在特朗普赢得大选后，格伯在12月初表示，马斯克与总统的关系即使有任何积极因素，也不会对特斯拉产生多大影响。</p><p>这些警告现在看来很有先见之明。在大选后最初的飙升之后，特斯拉的股价在2025年迄今下跌了16%，自格伯去年12月发表上述言论以来，特斯拉的股价下跌了约4%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/265b400e1d43f3603ff06b5dda26ea58\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>格伯认为，在一系列熟悉的问题中，这一趋势仍在继续，包括估值过高、对该公司全自动驾驶（FSD）能力的担忧，以及马斯克不可预测的行为带来的连锁反应。</p><p>在最新的一次采访中，格伯进一步阐述了他的悲观观点，概述了他认为特斯拉很容易受到高达50%的下跌影响的原因。</p><p>监管文件显示，格伯在2024年将持有的特斯拉股份减少了31%，截至去年年底，他仍持有26.2万股特斯拉股票，价值1.06亿美元。</p><p><strong>以下是格伯预测特斯拉将面临艰难一年的四个原因：</strong></p><p><strong>1． FSD“行不通”</strong></p><p>格伯认为，今年特斯拉的股票将遭遇灾难，因为马斯克6月份在德克萨斯州奥斯汀推出自动驾驶出租车网络的目标过于雄心勃勃。</p><p>“所有这些东西都将在今年实现，因为他把实现全自动驾驶的最后期限定为几个月后。这似乎不可能发生，”格伯说。</p><p>“我们在机器人出租车和自动驾驶方面远远落后，这是毫无疑问的，”戈伯说，并补充说他认为Waymo的方法是“一个更安全的系统”。</p><p>他说：“我现在认为，你需要激光雷达来拥有一个足够安全的全自动驾驶系统。他们（特斯拉）将会碰壁，除非他们改变硬件，否则他们无法变得更好。”</p><p><strong>2． 马斯克分心了</strong></p><p>从经营特斯拉、SpaceX和xAI等多家公司，到在X上发表大量文章，到在DOGE牵头提高政府效率，再到成为十几个孩子的父亲，可以肯定地说，马斯克一天中的时间可能不够用。</p><p>格伯认为，这对特斯拉股东来说是个问题，尤其是考虑到马斯克最近几个月的唯一关注点似乎是人工智能。</p><p>格伯表示：“他100%专注于人工智能，这对特斯拉的不利影响大于对xAI和其他所有业务的有利影响，因为他已经不在特斯拉工作了。”</p><p>“如果他把所有的时间都投入到全自动驾驶上，我对特斯拉会更有信心。”</p><p><strong>3． 电动汽车销售放缓</strong></p><p>虽然投资者对特斯拉的炒作主要集中在其自动驾驶和机器人的雄心上，但销售汽车仍然是该公司的核心业务，而这一业务开始放缓。</p><p>去年是特斯拉电动汽车销量首次出现年度下滑。在预测2025年增长20%-30%之后，该公司管理层在最新的财报电话会议上表示，预计今年将“恢复增长”。</p><p>对于格伯来说，来自比亚迪日益激烈的竞争，对特斯拉在美国以外的电动汽车业务构成了真正的威胁。他说。“比亚迪是一家如此优秀的公司，新兴市场的每个人都在购买比亚迪。”</p><p>特斯拉面临的另一个威胁是马斯克与美国总统特朗普的密切关系。</p><p>格伯解释道：“这只会制造愤怒。我从未见过这种对特斯拉的愤怒，但这不是对特斯拉这个公司的愤怒，而是因为埃隆，这是人们发泄愤怒的唯一途径。”</p><p>美国歌手谢丽尔·克劳（Sheryl Crow）上周在Instagram上发布了一段视频，向她的特斯拉挥手告别，她卖掉了特斯拉以示抗议。</p><p>这一趋势可能会在美国以外的地区加速发展，据报道，特斯拉1月份在法国、德国和挪威的汽车销量分别下降了63%、60%和38%。</p><p>“我们必须卖车，但人们已经不想要了，”格伯说。</p><p><strong>4． 特斯拉估值较高</strong></p><p>相对于其他汽车制造商和市值巨大的科技同行，特斯拉的估值一直较高，但如果特斯拉的汽车销售持续放缓，这种溢价可能会大幅降低。</p><p>YCharts的数据显示，尽管特斯拉去年的利润仅为丰田的20%，但其市值高达1.1万亿美元，是丰田的近5倍。其预期市盈率为118倍，是“七巨头”股票中第二高的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>（Nvidia）的三倍多，也高于其84倍的5年平均水平。</p><p>“对我来说，问题是，我以125倍的市盈率持有1亿美元的特斯拉股票，它甚至不接近’七巨头”中任何正常股票的市盈率，”格伯说，“因此，特斯拉的弱点是，如果今年情况不顺利，它可能会下跌50%。所以我们卖出特斯拉的股票。我们仍然有大量的股票，我们卖掉它们，因为我们认为它们被高估了。”</p><p>华尔街的一些大公司可能会同意格伯的观点。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>对特斯拉最新的盈利发布持悲观态度。尽管投资者最初热情高涨，但该行表示，特斯拉股票的目标价仍为135美元，这意味着特斯拉股价可能较当前水平下跌60%。</p><p><em>本文编译自 BUSINESS INSIDER 《He was once Elon Musk&#39;s biggest believer. Now he&#39;s doubling down on why Tesla stock will feel serious pain in 2025.》</em></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74682068d49f2901bc7ff0be69cf3e49","relate_stocks":{"TSLL":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-Direxion","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103660322","content_text":"他曾是埃隆-马斯克最忠实的信徒。现在，他加倍强调了特斯拉股票在2025年将遭受重创的原因。2月24日，特斯拉投资者、格伯川崎财富管理公司CEO罗斯·格伯最近再次对这只股票发表看空观点，认为四大因素可能导致特斯拉股票今年下跌至多50%。去年年中格伯透露，由于担心特斯拉汽车的受欢迎程度正在下降，他已出售了约6000万美元的特斯拉股票。然后，在特朗普赢得大选后，格伯在12月初表示，马斯克与总统的关系即使有任何积极因素，也不会对特斯拉产生多大影响。这些警告现在看来很有先见之明。在大选后最初的飙升之后，特斯拉的股价在2025年迄今下跌了16%，自格伯去年12月发表上述言论以来，特斯拉的股价下跌了约4%。格伯认为，在一系列熟悉的问题中，这一趋势仍在继续，包括估值过高、对该公司全自动驾驶（FSD）能力的担忧，以及马斯克不可预测的行为带来的连锁反应。在最新的一次采访中，格伯进一步阐述了他的悲观观点，概述了他认为特斯拉很容易受到高达50%的下跌影响的原因。监管文件显示，格伯在2024年将持有的特斯拉股份减少了31%，截至去年年底，他仍持有26.2万股特斯拉股票，价值1.06亿美元。以下是格伯预测特斯拉将面临艰难一年的四个原因：1． FSD“行不通”格伯认为，今年特斯拉的股票将遭遇灾难，因为马斯克6月份在德克萨斯州奥斯汀推出自动驾驶出租车网络的目标过于雄心勃勃。“所有这些东西都将在今年实现，因为他把实现全自动驾驶的最后期限定为几个月后。这似乎不可能发生，”格伯说。“我们在机器人出租车和自动驾驶方面远远落后，这是毫无疑问的，”戈伯说，并补充说他认为Waymo的方法是“一个更安全的系统”。他说：“我现在认为，你需要激光雷达来拥有一个足够安全的全自动驾驶系统。他们（特斯拉）将会碰壁，除非他们改变硬件，否则他们无法变得更好。”2． 马斯克分心了从经营特斯拉、SpaceX和xAI等多家公司，到在X上发表大量文章，到在DOGE牵头提高政府效率，再到成为十几个孩子的父亲，可以肯定地说，马斯克一天中的时间可能不够用。格伯认为，这对特斯拉股东来说是个问题，尤其是考虑到马斯克最近几个月的唯一关注点似乎是人工智能。格伯表示：“他100%专注于人工智能，这对特斯拉的不利影响大于对xAI和其他所有业务的有利影响，因为他已经不在特斯拉工作了。”“如果他把所有的时间都投入到全自动驾驶上，我对特斯拉会更有信心。”3． 电动汽车销售放缓虽然投资者对特斯拉的炒作主要集中在其自动驾驶和机器人的雄心上，但销售汽车仍然是该公司的核心业务，而这一业务开始放缓。去年是特斯拉电动汽车销量首次出现年度下滑。在预测2025年增长20%-30%之后，该公司管理层在最新的财报电话会议上表示，预计今年将“恢复增长”。对于格伯来说，来自比亚迪日益激烈的竞争，对特斯拉在美国以外的电动汽车业务构成了真正的威胁。他说。“比亚迪是一家如此优秀的公司，新兴市场的每个人都在购买比亚迪。”特斯拉面临的另一个威胁是马斯克与美国总统特朗普的密切关系。格伯解释道：“这只会制造愤怒。我从未见过这种对特斯拉的愤怒，但这不是对特斯拉这个公司的愤怒，而是因为埃隆，这是人们发泄愤怒的唯一途径。”美国歌手谢丽尔·克劳（Sheryl Crow）上周在Instagram上发布了一段视频，向她的特斯拉挥手告别，她卖掉了特斯拉以示抗议。这一趋势可能会在美国以外的地区加速发展，据报道，特斯拉1月份在法国、德国和挪威的汽车销量分别下降了63%、60%和38%。“我们必须卖车，但人们已经不想要了，”格伯说。4． 特斯拉估值较高相对于其他汽车制造商和市值巨大的科技同行，特斯拉的估值一直较高，但如果特斯拉的汽车销售持续放缓，这种溢价可能会大幅降低。YCharts的数据显示，尽管特斯拉去年的利润仅为丰田的20%，但其市值高达1.1万亿美元，是丰田的近5倍。其预期市盈率为118倍，是“七巨头”股票中第二高的英伟达（Nvidia）的三倍多，也高于其84倍的5年平均水平。“对我来说，问题是，我以125倍的市盈率持有1亿美元的特斯拉股票，它甚至不接近’七巨头”中任何正常股票的市盈率，”格伯说，“因此，特斯拉的弱点是，如果今年情况不顺利，它可能会下跌50%。所以我们卖出特斯拉的股票。我们仍然有大量的股票，我们卖掉它们，因为我们认为它们被高估了。”华尔街的一些大公司可能会同意格伯的观点。摩根大通对特斯拉最新的盈利发布持悲观态度。尽管投资者最初热情高涨，但该行表示，特斯拉股票的目标价仍为135美元，这意味着特斯拉股价可能较当前水平下跌60%。本文编译自 BUSINESS INSIDER 《He was once Elon Musk's biggest believer. Now he's doubling down on why Tesla stock will feel serious pain in 2025.》","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLL":1,"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3474273072027739","authorId":"3474273072027739","name":"卡尔洋","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5bb61521c38f41b9c93c2497a4237ef","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3474273072027739","authorIdStr":"3474273072027739"},"content":"瞎说，暗鲨才是最大的利好","text":"瞎说，暗鲨才是最大的利好","html":"瞎说，暗鲨才是最大的利好"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373040884392360,"gmtCreate":1732120011932,"gmtModify":1732120013603,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">法拉第未来</a>美股夜盘短线拉升，现涨超5%！该公司宣布，将在北京时间11月26日宣布关于公司股票代码更换的结果，并进一步更新AI战略进展。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1943519c405505354ba9fb57125798f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"861\" tg-height=\"835\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e72d9f35850b138accbfb25553ec4af\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1099\" tg-height=\"666\"/></p><p>今年919 FX战略发布会上，FF启动了最后一轮股票代码更换的意见征集。这一共创活动得到了全球用户的热情参与，为FF做出这一重要决策提供了宝贵的数据参考。</p><p>随着FX战略的发布和项目取得重大进展，我们的AI战略即将迈入新阶段。希望通过FF的AI技术积淀对FX产品的赋能，把握住美国AIEV市场的蓝海机遇，全力实现“让每个人都能拥有一辆AIEV”的愿景。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cc67cab502b1b1978c4afacd84f032e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"1080\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78ac86bdab506d9898920e00d5d818b2","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154823825","content_text":"11月22日，法拉第未来美股夜盘短线拉升，现涨超5%！该公司宣布，将在北京时间11月26日宣布关于公司股票代码更换的结果，并进一步更新AI战略进展。今年919 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