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一瓢慢饮

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08-06 09:16

$南方两倍做多海力士(07709)$ 涨不到正股2被，下跌是正股六七倍！！！

08-06 09:02

$南方两倍做多海力士(07709)$ 还得是你，一夜回到解放前

08-05

$南方两倍做多海力士(07709)$ 这么lj，还没正股涨的多

08-04

$南方两倍做多海力士(07709)$ 看看闪迪，再看看你

07-31

$南方两倍做多海力士(07709)$ 啥意思？才 14 个点？

07-20

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ 分钱不赚，圈走十万亿，赶紧归零

07-17

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ 赶紧归零，害人精

07-03

那是它自己进展慢了，关行业啥事

Meta算力过剩疑云背后：扎克伯格说AI进展慢了，AI负责人新模型说已追上GPT-5.5

07-03

$美光科技(MU)$ 可笑可笑，财报炸裂，股价崩盘

06-29

有没有拿着刀架你脖子上让你买？

三星、SK海力士、美光在美遭集体诉讼，涉嫌操纵内存价格

06-25

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ 害人精，害大盘分钱不赚的公司，靠吹泡泡就吸走几万亿，赶紧砸归零

06-25

这些预期次次都错，预期来干嘛

财报炸裂，华尔街密集上调美光目标价！

06-25

$美光科技(MU)$ 能高开高走吗

06-25

$美光科技(MU)$ 爆炸了

06-12

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ 也发个帖纪念一下，未来人类最伟大的企业！

05-13

看多英伟达

阿里巴巴CEO吴泳铭：阿里服务器几乎没有一张卡是空的

05-08

$宁德时代(03750)$ 每天假装高开，查查是哪个xd在挂虚假订单！

04-16

$华虹半导体(01347)$ 在这躲行情

04-08

$MINIMAX-WP(00100)$ 弱鸡

04-08

停火就好好停，别搞

消息称停火期间伊朗和阿曼将对通过霍尔木兹海峡船只收费

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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这么lj，还没正股涨的多","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/593419170514056","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":593266802937920,"gmtCreate":1785855081283,"gmtModify":1785855083183,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/07709\">$南方两倍做多海力士(07709)$ </a> 看看闪迪，再看看你","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/07709\">$南方两倍做多海力士(07709)$ </a> 看看闪迪，再看看你","text":"$南方两倍做多海力士(07709)$ 看看闪迪，再看看你","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/593266802937920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":591592092628280,"gmtCreate":1785459798160,"gmtModify":1785459800267,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/07709\">$南方两倍做多海力士(07709)$ </a> 啥意思？才 14 个点？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/07709\">$南方两倍做多海力士(07709)$ </a> 啥意思？才 14 个点？","text":"$南方两倍做多海力士(07709)$ 啥意思？才 14 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分钱不赚，圈走十万亿，赶紧归零","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/587903323559288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":586620660376248,"gmtCreate":1784249364432,"gmtModify":1784249366464,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCX\">$SpaceX(SPCX)$ </a> 赶紧归零，害人精","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCX\">$SpaceX(SPCX)$ </a> 赶紧归零，害人精","text":"$SpaceX(SPCX)$ 赶紧归零，害人精","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/586620660376248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":581795980112096,"gmtCreate":1783070133932,"gmtModify":1783070136081,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"那是它自己进展慢了，关行业啥事","listText":"那是它自己进展慢了，关行业啥事","text":"那是它自己进展慢了，关行业啥事","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/581795980112096","repostId":"2648550156","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2648550156","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1783064765,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2648550156?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-07-03 15:46","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Meta算力过剩疑云背后：扎克伯格说AI进展慢了，AI负责人新模型说已追上GPT-5.5","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2648550156","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"Meta同一场内部员工大会上出现两个声音：扎克伯格承认AI智能体过去四个月进展慢于预期，AI负责人Alexandr Wang则透露，代号“西瓜”的新模型已在基准测试上追上OpenAI的GPT-5.5，且算力投入比上一代高出一个数量级。Meta算力到底过没过剩？争议还在继续。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta</a>一句“卖算力”的消息持续令AI硬件板块重挫，这两天市场关于Meta“算力过剩”的讨论不绝于耳。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">7月3日，Meta一场内部员工大会召开。路透社拿到了CEO扎克伯格的讲话录音，克伯格在周四的内部全员会议上坦承，<strong>公司今年推行的大规模重组“尚未结出果实”，AI智能体技术的发展轨迹在过去至少四个月里“并未如预期般加速”。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>这难道坐实了Meta“算力过剩”？</strong>于是有小作文开始流传称：这就是Meta“卖算力”的背后原因。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而，在这同一场会议上，Meta超级智能负责人Alexandr Wang却向员工传递了截然相反的乐观信号——<strong>Meta即将推出的新模型代号“Watermelon（西瓜）”已在基准测试上追上OpenAI的旗舰模型GPT-5.5。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">与此同时，行业研究机构普遍呼吁保持冷静。研究机构SemiAnalysis在7月3日的报告中认为，对外租赁算力并不等同于行业拐点或算力过剩，Meta未来的数据中心和算力采购非但不会放缓，反而将进一步加速。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">信息纷繁复杂，哪些是杂音，哪些是真正的内幕，市场仍然无从得知。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">扎克伯格罕见承认：进展比预期慢，重组节奏出现误判</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据路透社听到的一段录音，扎克伯格在7月3日的内部员工大会上罕见地作出了自我批评。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>他说：&#34;回过头来看，至少在过去四个月里，AI智能体的发展轨迹并没有按照我们预期的方式加速。&#34;</strong>他补充道，公司对新架构的布局&#34;目前也暂未见成效&#34;。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他所说的&#34;新架构&#34;，指的是Meta今年5月推行的大规模重组——裁减约10%的全球员工，将约7000名员工转岗至AI相关团队。这场重组的前提假设，是AI智能体工具将快速成熟，从而帮助公司提升效率。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">扎克伯格说，今年一二月筹划重组时，公司核心管理层&#34;非常担心我们的调整步伐跟不上行业节奏&#34;，当时大家对Anthropic的Claude Code这类工具&#34;超级乐观&#34;。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但现实是，智能体技术的落地速度低于预期。他承认，重组执行得不够&#34;干净利落&#34;，高管们在时间节点上出现了误判。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">尽管如此，扎克伯格仍告诉员工，他预计&#34;未来三到六个月内&#34;公司将从AI投资中获得&#34;更显著的回报&#34;。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Alexandr Wang：下一代模型已追平GPT-5.5</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据两名知情人士向Business Insider透露，Alexandr Wang在大会上表示，Meta下一代模型——代号&#34;Watermelon&#34;——在AI基准测试上已经追上了OpenAI的旗舰模型GPT-5.5。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他在大会上说：&#34;Watermelon是我们继Avocado之后的下一款模型，目前正在训练中。&#34;&#34;Watermelon所使用的算力，比Avocado高出了一个数量级。&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这里需要理清几个代号的关系：Avocado是Meta内部对&#34;Muse Spark&#34;的代号——Muse Spark是Meta今年4月发布的一系列模型中的第一款，在基准测试中表现不错，但普遍被认为尚未达到OpenAI或Anthropic的顶级水平。Watermelon则是Avocado之后的下一代。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">GPT-5.5是OpenAI今年4月发布的模型。值得注意的是，OpenAI上个月底又推出了更新一代的GPT-5.6，但尚未对外全面开放。也就是说，如果Alexandr Wang的说法属实，Meta追上的是OpenAI的次新旗舰，而非最新旗舰。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Alexandr Wang也在X平台上公开发文，暗示了相关进展：他表示Muse Spark的更新版即将推出，将在编程和智能体能力上有&#34;重大提升&#34;。有用户问到何时能有对标Anthropic Claude Opus水平的编程模型，他回应称&#34;很快&#34;，并称用户会喜欢公司&#34;正在烹饪的东西&#34;。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/284be6d195e5ea82f170921d75ab1bf5\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"1012\" tg-height=\"1200\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Meta目前的AI战略目标直指OpenAI和Anthropic等行业前沿。值得注意的是，OpenAI在上个月底已推出了更强大的GPT-5.6模型，但由于美国政府的要求，目前尚未公开发布。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">两个信号，一个背景：算力到底过没过剩？</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这场内部大会发生在一个敏感时间节点。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">就在大会前一天，媒体报道Meta正在制定计划，拟推出云基础设施业务，向外部客户出售AI算力和模型访问权限。消息一出，Meta股价单日大涨8.8%，但全球芯片股随即遭遇大面积抛售——市场担忧的是：Meta出售闲置算力，意味着AI芯片需求或已见顶。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">扎克伯格随后在大会上承认AI智能体进展慢于预期，相当于部分佐证了&#34;算力利用不足&#34;的悲观解读。Meta股价周四回吐大部分涨幅，收跌4.9%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">费城半导体指数周四跌5.44%，30只成分股全线下跌。光通信概念、存储概念均大幅走低，Roundhill存储ETF（DRAM）跌7.94%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">对于Meta对外出售算力，市场存在两种解读：乐观派认为这是新变现通道，改善现金流；悲观派认为这说明大模型落地不及预期，Meta在&#34;放弃前沿AI&#34;。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但另一面，王晓峰关于Watermelon追上GPT-5.5的表态，以及Meta持续上调的资本开支预算——从此前预计的1150亿至1350亿美元，上调至1250亿至1450亿美元——又显示Meta并未放弃在前沿模型上的竞争。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">目前，Meta和OpenAI均未就相关内容作出回应。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">高薪揽才、巨额投入，Meta押注全面提速</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这两种截然不同的内部评估，均建立在Meta史无前例的资本与人力投入之上。为了在AI竞赛中取得领先，扎克伯格去年任命Alexandr Wang领导更名后的Meta超级智能实验室，并重金招募了名为TBD的精英AI研究团队。此前有报道称，Meta向顶尖AI人才开出了数亿美元的薪酬。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在组织架构上，Meta在今年5月解雇了约10%的全球员工，并将约7000名员工重新分配到专注于AI的团队。这一举措曾引发员工的抵触情绪，并引发了对内部士气的担忧。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在基础设施方面，Meta的支出规模仍在不断膨胀。公司向投资者表示，由于零部件成本上升和数据中心支出增加，预计今年的相关资本支出将达到1250亿美元至1450亿美元，高于此前1150亿美元至1350亿美元的预测。这也构成了大型科技公司超7000亿美元AI技术总支出的重要组成部分。此外，市场预计到2030年将有50万吨的相关需求上线，推动全球铜需求上升。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">数据安全审查：监控软件转为自愿使用</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在全员会上，除了AI模型的进展，Meta的内部数据管理也成为焦点。据路透社报道，Meta首席技术官Andrew Bosworth通报了针对一款争议性员工鼠标跟踪软件的安全审查结果。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">该软件用于跟踪员工的鼠标移动和数字活动以进行AI训练。上个月，由于发生敏感数据暴露的安全事件，Meta暂停了该项目。Andrew Bosworth在会上确认，审查表明没有任何员工数据被包含在AI训练中。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他同时宣布了政策的转变。当Meta在4月份首次在美国员工的电脑上安装该程序时，员工无法选择退出。但Andrew Bosworth表示，一旦审查完成并重新启用该程序，将改为“自愿加入”（opt-in）模式。他强调，对于不愿意参与的员工来说，这不再是一个强制性问题。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Meta算力过剩疑云背后：扎克伯格说AI进展慢了，AI负责人新模型说已追上GPT-5.5</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMeta算力过剩疑云背后：扎克伯格说AI进展慢了，AI负责人新模型说已追上GPT-5.5\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-07-03 15:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta</a>一句“卖算力”的消息持续令AI硬件板块重挫，这两天市场关于Meta“算力过剩”的讨论不绝于耳。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">7月3日，Meta一场内部员工大会召开。路透社拿到了CEO扎克伯格的讲话录音，克伯格在周四的内部全员会议上坦承，<strong>公司今年推行的大规模重组“尚未结出果实”，AI智能体技术的发展轨迹在过去至少四个月里“并未如预期般加速”。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>这难道坐实了Meta“算力过剩”？</strong>于是有小作文开始流传称：这就是Meta“卖算力”的背后原因。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而，在这同一场会议上，Meta超级智能负责人Alexandr Wang却向员工传递了截然相反的乐观信号——<strong>Meta即将推出的新模型代号“Watermelon（西瓜）”已在基准测试上追上OpenAI的旗舰模型GPT-5.5。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">与此同时，行业研究机构普遍呼吁保持冷静。研究机构SemiAnalysis在7月3日的报告中认为，对外租赁算力并不等同于行业拐点或算力过剩，Meta未来的数据中心和算力采购非但不会放缓，反而将进一步加速。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">信息纷繁复杂，哪些是杂音，哪些是真正的内幕，市场仍然无从得知。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">扎克伯格罕见承认：进展比预期慢，重组节奏出现误判</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据路透社听到的一段录音，扎克伯格在7月3日的内部员工大会上罕见地作出了自我批评。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>他说：&#34;回过头来看，至少在过去四个月里，AI智能体的发展轨迹并没有按照我们预期的方式加速。&#34;</strong>他补充道，公司对新架构的布局&#34;目前也暂未见成效&#34;。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他所说的&#34;新架构&#34;，指的是Meta今年5月推行的大规模重组——裁减约10%的全球员工，将约7000名员工转岗至AI相关团队。这场重组的前提假设，是AI智能体工具将快速成熟，从而帮助公司提升效率。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">扎克伯格说，今年一二月筹划重组时，公司核心管理层&#34;非常担心我们的调整步伐跟不上行业节奏&#34;，当时大家对Anthropic的Claude Code这类工具&#34;超级乐观&#34;。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但现实是，智能体技术的落地速度低于预期。他承认，重组执行得不够&#34;干净利落&#34;，高管们在时间节点上出现了误判。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">尽管如此，扎克伯格仍告诉员工，他预计&#34;未来三到六个月内&#34;公司将从AI投资中获得&#34;更显著的回报&#34;。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Alexandr Wang：下一代模型已追平GPT-5.5</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据两名知情人士向Business Insider透露，Alexandr Wang在大会上表示，Meta下一代模型——代号&#34;Watermelon&#34;——在AI基准测试上已经追上了OpenAI的旗舰模型GPT-5.5。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他在大会上说：&#34;Watermelon是我们继Avocado之后的下一款模型，目前正在训练中。&#34;&#34;Watermelon所使用的算力，比Avocado高出了一个数量级。&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这里需要理清几个代号的关系：Avocado是Meta内部对&#34;Muse Spark&#34;的代号——Muse Spark是Meta今年4月发布的一系列模型中的第一款，在基准测试中表现不错，但普遍被认为尚未达到OpenAI或Anthropic的顶级水平。Watermelon则是Avocado之后的下一代。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">GPT-5.5是OpenAI今年4月发布的模型。值得注意的是，OpenAI上个月底又推出了更新一代的GPT-5.6，但尚未对外全面开放。也就是说，如果Alexandr Wang的说法属实，Meta追上的是OpenAI的次新旗舰，而非最新旗舰。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Alexandr Wang也在X平台上公开发文，暗示了相关进展：他表示Muse Spark的更新版即将推出，将在编程和智能体能力上有&#34;重大提升&#34;。有用户问到何时能有对标Anthropic Claude Opus水平的编程模型，他回应称&#34;很快&#34;，并称用户会喜欢公司&#34;正在烹饪的东西&#34;。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/284be6d195e5ea82f170921d75ab1bf5\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"1012\" tg-height=\"1200\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Meta目前的AI战略目标直指OpenAI和Anthropic等行业前沿。值得注意的是，OpenAI在上个月底已推出了更强大的GPT-5.6模型，但由于美国政府的要求，目前尚未公开发布。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">两个信号，一个背景：算力到底过没过剩？</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这场内部大会发生在一个敏感时间节点。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">就在大会前一天，媒体报道Meta正在制定计划，拟推出云基础设施业务，向外部客户出售AI算力和模型访问权限。消息一出，Meta股价单日大涨8.8%，但全球芯片股随即遭遇大面积抛售——市场担忧的是：Meta出售闲置算力，意味着AI芯片需求或已见顶。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">扎克伯格随后在大会上承认AI智能体进展慢于预期，相当于部分佐证了&#34;算力利用不足&#34;的悲观解读。Meta股价周四回吐大部分涨幅，收跌4.9%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">费城半导体指数周四跌5.44%，30只成分股全线下跌。光通信概念、存储概念均大幅走低，Roundhill存储ETF（DRAM）跌7.94%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">对于Meta对外出售算力，市场存在两种解读：乐观派认为这是新变现通道，改善现金流；悲观派认为这说明大模型落地不及预期，Meta在&#34;放弃前沿AI&#34;。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但另一面，王晓峰关于Watermelon追上GPT-5.5的表态，以及Meta持续上调的资本开支预算——从此前预计的1150亿至1350亿美元，上调至1250亿至1450亿美元——又显示Meta并未放弃在前沿模型上的竞争。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">目前，Meta和OpenAI均未就相关内容作出回应。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">高薪揽才、巨额投入，Meta押注全面提速</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这两种截然不同的内部评估，均建立在Meta史无前例的资本与人力投入之上。为了在AI竞赛中取得领先，扎克伯格去年任命Alexandr Wang领导更名后的Meta超级智能实验室，并重金招募了名为TBD的精英AI研究团队。此前有报道称，Meta向顶尖AI人才开出了数亿美元的薪酬。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在组织架构上，Meta在今年5月解雇了约10%的全球员工，并将约7000名员工重新分配到专注于AI的团队。这一举措曾引发员工的抵触情绪，并引发了对内部士气的担忧。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在基础设施方面，Meta的支出规模仍在不断膨胀。公司向投资者表示，由于零部件成本上升和数据中心支出增加，预计今年的相关资本支出将达到1250亿美元至1450亿美元，高于此前1150亿美元至1350亿美元的预测。这也构成了大型科技公司超7000亿美元AI技术总支出的重要组成部分。此外，市场预计到2030年将有50万吨的相关需求上线，推动全球铜需求上升。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">数据安全审查：监控软件转为自愿使用</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在全员会上，除了AI模型的进展，Meta的内部数据管理也成为焦点。据路透社报道，Meta首席技术官Andrew Bosworth通报了针对一款争议性员工鼠标跟踪软件的安全审查结果。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">该软件用于跟踪员工的鼠标移动和数字活动以进行AI训练。上个月，由于发生敏感数据暴露的安全事件，Meta暂停了该项目。Andrew Bosworth在会上确认，审查表明没有任何员工数据被包含在AI训练中。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他同时宣布了政策的转变。当Meta在4月份首次在美国员工的电脑上安装该程序时，员工无法选择退出。但Andrew Bosworth表示，一旦审查完成并重新启用该程序，将改为“自愿加入”（opt-in）模式。他强调，对于不愿意参与的员工来说，这不再是一个强制性问题。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/810181a67265cdc57324d44a8abe2f1d","relate_stocks":{"SOCL":"社交媒体ETF-Global X","AIPO":"Defiance AI and Power Infrastructure ETF","BK7087":"多样化房地产投资信托v","BULZ":"MicroSectors FANG & Innovation 3X Leveraged ETN","GOOG":"谷歌","MSFT":"微软","AGIX":"通用人工智能 ETF-AGIX","AAPL":"苹果","NVDA":"英伟达","YMAG":"YieldMax Magnificent 7 Fund of Option Income ETF","CHAT":"ROUNDHILL GENERATIVE AI & TECHNOLOGY ETF","GPT":"Intelligent alpha atlas ETF","BK7510":"REITs概念","MAGY":"Roundhill Magnificent Seven Covered Call ETF","GPT.AU":"GPT GROUP","TSLA":"特斯拉","ARTY":"ISHARES FUTURE AI & TECH ETF","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc."},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3776134","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2648550156","content_text":"Meta一句“卖算力”的消息持续令AI硬件板块重挫，这两天市场关于Meta“算力过剩”的讨论不绝于耳。7月3日，Meta一场内部员工大会召开。路透社拿到了CEO扎克伯格的讲话录音，克伯格在周四的内部全员会议上坦承，公司今年推行的大规模重组“尚未结出果实”，AI智能体技术的发展轨迹在过去至少四个月里“并未如预期般加速”。这难道坐实了Meta“算力过剩”？于是有小作文开始流传称：这就是Meta“卖算力”的背后原因。然而，在这同一场会议上，Meta超级智能负责人Alexandr Wang却向员工传递了截然相反的乐观信号——Meta即将推出的新模型代号“Watermelon（西瓜）”已在基准测试上追上OpenAI的旗舰模型GPT-5.5。与此同时，行业研究机构普遍呼吁保持冷静。研究机构SemiAnalysis在7月3日的报告中认为，对外租赁算力并不等同于行业拐点或算力过剩，Meta未来的数据中心和算力采购非但不会放缓，反而将进一步加速。信息纷繁复杂，哪些是杂音，哪些是真正的内幕，市场仍然无从得知。扎克伯格罕见承认：进展比预期慢，重组节奏出现误判据路透社听到的一段录音，扎克伯格在7月3日的内部员工大会上罕见地作出了自我批评。他说：\"回过头来看，至少在过去四个月里，AI智能体的发展轨迹并没有按照我们预期的方式加速。\"他补充道，公司对新架构的布局\"目前也暂未见成效\"。他所说的\"新架构\"，指的是Meta今年5月推行的大规模重组——裁减约10%的全球员工，将约7000名员工转岗至AI相关团队。这场重组的前提假设，是AI智能体工具将快速成熟，从而帮助公司提升效率。扎克伯格说，今年一二月筹划重组时，公司核心管理层\"非常担心我们的调整步伐跟不上行业节奏\"，当时大家对Anthropic的Claude Code这类工具\"超级乐观\"。但现实是，智能体技术的落地速度低于预期。他承认，重组执行得不够\"干净利落\"，高管们在时间节点上出现了误判。尽管如此，扎克伯格仍告诉员工，他预计\"未来三到六个月内\"公司将从AI投资中获得\"更显著的回报\"。Alexandr Wang：下一代模型已追平GPT-5.5据两名知情人士向Business Insider透露，Alexandr Wang在大会上表示，Meta下一代模型——代号\"Watermelon\"——在AI基准测试上已经追上了OpenAI的旗舰模型GPT-5.5。他在大会上说：\"Watermelon是我们继Avocado之后的下一款模型，目前正在训练中。\"\"Watermelon所使用的算力，比Avocado高出了一个数量级。\"这里需要理清几个代号的关系：Avocado是Meta内部对\"Muse Spark\"的代号——Muse Spark是Meta今年4月发布的一系列模型中的第一款，在基准测试中表现不错，但普遍被认为尚未达到OpenAI或Anthropic的顶级水平。Watermelon则是Avocado之后的下一代。GPT-5.5是OpenAI今年4月发布的模型。值得注意的是，OpenAI上个月底又推出了更新一代的GPT-5.6，但尚未对外全面开放。也就是说，如果Alexandr Wang的说法属实，Meta追上的是OpenAI的次新旗舰，而非最新旗舰。Alexandr Wang也在X平台上公开发文，暗示了相关进展：他表示Muse Spark的更新版即将推出，将在编程和智能体能力上有\"重大提升\"。有用户问到何时能有对标Anthropic Claude Opus水平的编程模型，他回应称\"很快\"，并称用户会喜欢公司\"正在烹饪的东西\"。Meta目前的AI战略目标直指OpenAI和Anthropic等行业前沿。值得注意的是，OpenAI在上个月底已推出了更强大的GPT-5.6模型，但由于美国政府的要求，目前尚未公开发布。两个信号，一个背景：算力到底过没过剩？这场内部大会发生在一个敏感时间节点。就在大会前一天，媒体报道Meta正在制定计划，拟推出云基础设施业务，向外部客户出售AI算力和模型访问权限。消息一出，Meta股价单日大涨8.8%，但全球芯片股随即遭遇大面积抛售——市场担忧的是：Meta出售闲置算力，意味着AI芯片需求或已见顶。扎克伯格随后在大会上承认AI智能体进展慢于预期，相当于部分佐证了\"算力利用不足\"的悲观解读。Meta股价周四回吐大部分涨幅，收跌4.9%。费城半导体指数周四跌5.44%，30只成分股全线下跌。光通信概念、存储概念均大幅走低，Roundhill存储ETF（DRAM）跌7.94%。对于Meta对外出售算力，市场存在两种解读：乐观派认为这是新变现通道，改善现金流；悲观派认为这说明大模型落地不及预期，Meta在\"放弃前沿AI\"。但另一面，王晓峰关于Watermelon追上GPT-5.5的表态，以及Meta持续上调的资本开支预算——从此前预计的1150亿至1350亿美元，上调至1250亿至1450亿美元——又显示Meta并未放弃在前沿模型上的竞争。目前，Meta和OpenAI均未就相关内容作出回应。高薪揽才、巨额投入，Meta押注全面提速这两种截然不同的内部评估，均建立在Meta史无前例的资本与人力投入之上。为了在AI竞赛中取得领先，扎克伯格去年任命Alexandr Wang领导更名后的Meta超级智能实验室，并重金招募了名为TBD的精英AI研究团队。此前有报道称，Meta向顶尖AI人才开出了数亿美元的薪酬。在组织架构上，Meta在今年5月解雇了约10%的全球员工，并将约7000名员工重新分配到专注于AI的团队。这一举措曾引发员工的抵触情绪，并引发了对内部士气的担忧。在基础设施方面，Meta的支出规模仍在不断膨胀。公司向投资者表示，由于零部件成本上升和数据中心支出增加，预计今年的相关资本支出将达到1250亿美元至1450亿美元，高于此前1150亿美元至1350亿美元的预测。这也构成了大型科技公司超7000亿美元AI技术总支出的重要组成部分。此外，市场预计到2030年将有50万吨的相关需求上线，推动全球铜需求上升。数据安全审查：监控软件转为自愿使用在全员会上，除了AI模型的进展，Meta的内部数据管理也成为焦点。据路透社报道，Meta首席技术官Andrew Bosworth通报了针对一款争议性员工鼠标跟踪软件的安全审查结果。该软件用于跟踪员工的鼠标移动和数字活动以进行AI训练。上个月，由于发生敏感数据暴露的安全事件，Meta暂停了该项目。Andrew Bosworth在会上确认，审查表明没有任何员工数据被包含在AI训练中。他同时宣布了政策的转变。当Meta在4月份首次在美国员工的电脑上安装该程序时，员工无法选择退出。但Andrew Bosworth表示，一旦审查完成并重新启用该程序，将改为“自愿加入”（opt-in）模式。他强调，对于不愿意参与的员工来说，这不再是一个强制性问题。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"META":0.6,"MAGY":1.5,"AGIX":1.5,"ARTY":1.5,"GPT.AU":1.5,"GOOG":0.6,"AAPL":0.6,"NVDA":0.6,"AIPO":1.5,"SOCL":1.5,"BULZ":1.5,"YMAG":1.5,"MSFT":0.6,"CHAT":1.5,"TSLA":0.6,"GPT":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":581543565541416,"gmtCreate":1783009828092,"gmtModify":1783009830375,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$&nbsp;</a> 可笑可笑，财报炸裂，股价崩盘","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$&nbsp;</a> 可笑可笑，财报炸裂，股价崩盘","text":"$美光科技(MU)$ 可笑可笑，财报炸裂，股价崩盘","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/581543565541416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":580460564328480,"gmtCreate":1782744174579,"gmtModify":1782744176544,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"有没有拿着刀架你脖子上让你买？","listText":"有没有拿着刀架你脖子上让你买？","text":"有没有拿着刀架你脖子上让你买？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/580460564328480","repostId":"1187092008","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1187092008","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1782737781,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1187092008?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-06-29 20:56","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"三星、SK海力士、美光在美遭集体诉讼，涉嫌操纵内存价格","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187092008","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"三星电子、SK海力士和美光科技被美国部分消费者起诉，指控其涉嫌合谋操纵内存价格。原告指控，这三家生产全球绝大部分DRAM的企业自2022年起在供应和定价上进行串通，导致过去四年间价格飙升约700%。他们还表示，苹果近期全面上调产品价格是此次诉讼的导火索。若原告最终在集体诉讼中胜诉，被告企业将须支付三倍赔偿。三星电子和SK海力士此前在美国曾因合谋行为被定罪，这一点也令人担忧。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">三星电子、SK海力士和美光科技被美国部分消费者起诉，指控其涉嫌合谋操纵内存价格。随着近期“芯片通胀”加剧——包括苹果产品提价——当地消费者和小企业已采取法律行动。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据美国科技媒体Wccftech及法律刊物LAW360报道，14名个人消费者以及包括个人电脑零售商在内的三家小企业，于本月25日向加利福尼亚州联邦法院提起了诉讼。原告指控，这三家生产全球绝大部分DRAM的企业自2022年起在供应和定价上进行串通，导致过去四年间价格飙升约700%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">原告称，这三家公司以向高带宽内存（HBM）转型为由，减少了DRAM的供应。“这些DRAM寡头企业系统性地协调了向HBM的转移，以及DDR3和DDR4的停产。”他们还表示，苹果近期全面上调产品价格是此次诉讼的导火索。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这起诉讼目前规模尚小，但如果法院认可原告主张并正式批准为集体诉讼，规模可能进一步扩大。代表原告的反垄断律师事务所Bathaee Dunne正争取将此案定性为集体诉讼，以代表所有购买含DRAM产品的普通消费者和企业。该律所此前曾在一起指控谷歌数字广告串通的案件中胜诉。若原告最终在集体诉讼中胜诉，被告企业将须支付三倍赔偿。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">三星电子和SK海力士此前在美国曾因合谋行为被定罪，这一点也令人担忧。这两家公司均被认定在21世纪初在美国从事价格操纵，不仅被处以巨额罚款，还导致高管被判入狱。不过，包括投资银行杰富瑞（Jefferies）在内的业内机构预计，该诉讼至少在今年年底前不会影响内存价格。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>三星、SK海力士、美光在美遭集体诉讼，涉嫌操纵内存价格</title>\n<style 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left;\">三星电子、SK海力士和美光科技被美国部分消费者起诉，指控其涉嫌合谋操纵内存价格。随着近期“芯片通胀”加剧——包括苹果产品提价——当地消费者和小企业已采取法律行动。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据美国科技媒体Wccftech及法律刊物LAW360报道，14名个人消费者以及包括个人电脑零售商在内的三家小企业，于本月25日向加利福尼亚州联邦法院提起了诉讼。原告指控，这三家生产全球绝大部分DRAM的企业自2022年起在供应和定价上进行串通，导致过去四年间价格飙升约700%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">原告称，这三家公司以向高带宽内存（HBM）转型为由，减少了DRAM的供应。“这些DRAM寡头企业系统性地协调了向HBM的转移，以及DDR3和DDR4的停产。”他们还表示，苹果近期全面上调产品价格是此次诉讼的导火索。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这起诉讼目前规模尚小，但如果法院认可原告主张并正式批准为集体诉讼，规模可能进一步扩大。代表原告的反垄断律师事务所Bathaee Dunne正争取将此案定性为集体诉讼，以代表所有购买含DRAM产品的普通消费者和企业。该律所此前曾在一起指控谷歌数字广告串通的案件中胜诉。若原告最终在集体诉讼中胜诉，被告企业将须支付三倍赔偿。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">三星电子和SK海力士此前在美国曾因合谋行为被定罪，这一点也令人担忧。这两家公司均被认定在21世纪初在美国从事价格操纵，不仅被处以巨额罚款，还导致高管被判入狱。不过，包括投资银行杰富瑞（Jefferies）在内的业内机构预计，该诉讼至少在今年年底前不会影响内存价格。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97dc49a1c38f37d8c33d7241fccf9976","relate_stocks":{"MUD":"1倍做空MU ETF-Direxion","MUU":"2倍做多MU 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害人精，害大盘分钱不赚的公司，靠吹泡泡就吸走几万亿，赶紧砸归零","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/579036538503312","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":579032065073184,"gmtCreate":1782395419878,"gmtModify":1782395812245,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这些预期次次都错，预期来干嘛","listText":"这些预期次次都错，预期来干嘛","text":"这些预期次次都错，预期来干嘛","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/579032065073184","repostId":"2646087223","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2646087223","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1782387032,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2646087223?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-06-25 19:30","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"财报炸裂，华尔街密集上调美光目标价！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2646087223","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美银上调目标价至1550美元（原1500美元）；Baird大幅上调至1280美元（原500美元）；DA Davidson上调至2000美元；高盛上调至1100美元（原900美元）。美光当季营收、毛利率、EPS均超预期，NAND营收较预期高近三成，下季度指引再度上修，印证存储涨价周期加速，行业景气度持续强化。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>美银上调目标价至1550美元（原1500美元）；Baird大幅上调至1280美元（原500美元）；DA Davidson上调至2000美元；高盛上调至1100美元（原900美元）。美光当季营收、毛利率、EPS均超预期，NAND营收较预期高近三成，下季度指引再度上修，印证存储涨价周期加速，行业景气度持续强化。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美光科技交出本财年迄今最强季报，营收、盈利与毛利率三大核心指标全面大幅超出市场预期，并给出显著高于共识的下季度指引，推动存储行业景气度预期进一步上修。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">财报公布后，<strong>华尔街机构随即掀起密集上调目标价潮</strong>。美银证券将目标价从1500美元上调至1550美元，维持“买入”评级；投行Baird将目标价由500美元大幅上调至1280美元；金融机构DA Davidson亦上调至2000美元（华尔街最高目标价），维持“买入”评级；高盛也将目标价从900美元上调至1100美元，维持“中性”评级。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高盛方面进一步指出，在DRAM与NAND价格持续上涨背景下，本季财报验证存储行业仍处加速上行周期。市场后续关注焦点将集中于管理层对16项战略客户协议进展、FY2027资本开支规划，以及传统存储需求结构变化的进一步指引。</p><h2 id=\"id_3667675630\" style=\"text-align: left;\">业绩全面超预期，NAND表现最为突出</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">截至2026年5月的第三财季，美光三大核心指标全面显著优于市场预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">公司实现营收414.56亿美元，同比大幅增长，较华尔街一致预期高出约14%。分业务看，DRAM营收313.28亿美元，整体高于市场预期约11%；<strong>NAND营收99.43亿美元，较预期高出约27.9%，成为本季最大超预期来源。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">价格与出货双轮驱动下，DA Davidson指出，NAND比特出货量环比中个位数增长，而平均售价环比涨幅进入“低80%区间”；DRAM平均售价环比涨幅同样达到“低60%区间”，显示存储价格上行趋势显著强化。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">盈利端同样大幅超预期。非GAAP每股收益25.11美元，较市场预期高出约19%；毛利率达84.9%，较共识水平高出约240个基点。花旗援引FactSet数据指出（含股权激励口径），<strong>营收、毛利率与EPS同样全面显著领先市场一致预期</strong>。</p><h2 id=\"id_4170032041\" style=\"text-align: left;\">下季度指引再度上修，需求与定价同步走强</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美光对第四财季给出的指引进一步强化行业上行趋势。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">公司预计营收区间490亿至510亿美元，中值500亿美元，较市场共识高出约14%，对应环比增长约20%。毛利率指引升至86%，继续高于市场预期约100个基点以上。非GAAP EPS指引30至32美元，中值31美元，同样显著高于市场一致预期约两成。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">花旗数据显示，该指引明显高于其自身预估（营收420亿美元、毛利率82%、EPS 24.27美元），也显著领先FactSet一致预期。<strong>高盛指出，更关键的是，本次指引未显示超预期幅度收敛，意味着存储价格上行周期仍在延续。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_969364391\" style=\"text-align: left;\">战略客户协议锁定长期需求，资本开支同步加速</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">需求侧，美光本季度与数据中心、消费电子及汽车领域客户签署16项战略长期协议，平均期限约五年，覆盖约20%的DRAM出货量及三分之一的NAND出货量。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">其中多数协议采用“照付不议”（take-or-pay）结构，在现行市场价格基础上设置价格上下限机制。公司披露，相关协议最低价格条款合计对应约1000亿美元潜在收入，并预计将获得约220亿美元现金预付款，用于支持供应链扩张。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">与此同时，<strong>公司预计第四财季资本开支将达到100亿美元，用于新增产能建设，并强调存储供需偏紧格局至少将延续至2027年。</strong></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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}\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n财报炸裂，华尔街密集上调美光目标价！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-06-25 19:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>美银上调目标价至1550美元（原1500美元）；Baird大幅上调至1280美元（原500美元）；DA Davidson上调至2000美元；高盛上调至1100美元（原900美元）。美光当季营收、毛利率、EPS均超预期，NAND营收较预期高近三成，下季度指引再度上修，印证存储涨价周期加速，行业景气度持续强化。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美光科技交出本财年迄今最强季报，营收、盈利与毛利率三大核心指标全面大幅超出市场预期，并给出显著高于共识的下季度指引，推动存储行业景气度预期进一步上修。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">财报公布后，<strong>华尔街机构随即掀起密集上调目标价潮</strong>。美银证券将目标价从1500美元上调至1550美元，维持“买入”评级；投行Baird将目标价由500美元大幅上调至1280美元；金融机构DA Davidson亦上调至2000美元（华尔街最高目标价），维持“买入”评级；高盛也将目标价从900美元上调至1100美元，维持“中性”评级。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高盛方面进一步指出，在DRAM与NAND价格持续上涨背景下，本季财报验证存储行业仍处加速上行周期。市场后续关注焦点将集中于管理层对16项战略客户协议进展、FY2027资本开支规划，以及传统存储需求结构变化的进一步指引。</p><h2 id=\"id_3667675630\" style=\"text-align: left;\">业绩全面超预期，NAND表现最为突出</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">截至2026年5月的第三财季，美光三大核心指标全面显著优于市场预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">公司实现营收414.56亿美元，同比大幅增长，较华尔街一致预期高出约14%。分业务看，DRAM营收313.28亿美元，整体高于市场预期约11%；<strong>NAND营收99.43亿美元，较预期高出约27.9%，成为本季最大超预期来源。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">价格与出货双轮驱动下，DA Davidson指出，NAND比特出货量环比中个位数增长，而平均售价环比涨幅进入“低80%区间”；DRAM平均售价环比涨幅同样达到“低60%区间”，显示存储价格上行趋势显著强化。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">盈利端同样大幅超预期。非GAAP每股收益25.11美元，较市场预期高出约19%；毛利率达84.9%，较共识水平高出约240个基点。花旗援引FactSet数据指出（含股权激励口径），<strong>营收、毛利率与EPS同样全面显著领先市场一致预期</strong>。</p><h2 id=\"id_4170032041\" style=\"text-align: left;\">下季度指引再度上修，需求与定价同步走强</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美光对第四财季给出的指引进一步强化行业上行趋势。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">公司预计营收区间490亿至510亿美元，中值500亿美元，较市场共识高出约14%，对应环比增长约20%。毛利率指引升至86%，继续高于市场预期约100个基点以上。非GAAP EPS指引30至32美元，中值31美元，同样显著高于市场一致预期约两成。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">花旗数据显示，该指引明显高于其自身预估（营收420亿美元、毛利率82%、EPS 24.27美元），也显著领先FactSet一致预期。<strong>高盛指出，更关键的是，本次指引未显示超预期幅度收敛，意味着存储价格上行周期仍在延续。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_969364391\" style=\"text-align: left;\">战略客户协议锁定长期需求，资本开支同步加速</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">需求侧，美光本季度与数据中心、消费电子及汽车领域客户签署16项战略长期协议，平均期限约五年，覆盖约20%的DRAM出货量及三分之一的NAND出货量。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">其中多数协议采用“照付不议”（take-or-pay）结构，在现行市场价格基础上设置价格上下限机制。公司披露，相关协议最低价格条款合计对应约1000亿美元潜在收入，并预计将获得约220亿美元现金预付款，用于支持供应链扩张。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">与此同时，<strong>公司预计第四财季资本开支将达到100亿美元，用于新增产能建设，并强调存储供需偏紧格局至少将延续至2027年。</strong></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97dc49a1c38f37d8c33d7241fccf9976","relate_stocks":{"LU0889566641.SGD":"FTSF - Templeton Shariah Global Equity A Acc SGD","LU0081259029.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY FUND - TECH OPPORTUNITY \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4566":"资本集团","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","LU2054465674.USD":"UBS (LUX) KEY SELEC SICAV DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION T \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","BK4605":"半导体精选","MUU":"2倍做多MU ETF-Direxion","SG9999001424.SGD":"United E-Commerce Fund SGD","IE00B7SZLL34.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - 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TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3775518","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2646087223","content_text":"美银上调目标价至1550美元（原1500美元）；Baird大幅上调至1280美元（原500美元）；DA Davidson上调至2000美元；高盛上调至1100美元（原900美元）。美光当季营收、毛利率、EPS均超预期，NAND营收较预期高近三成，下季度指引再度上修，印证存储涨价周期加速，行业景气度持续强化。美光科技交出本财年迄今最强季报，营收、盈利与毛利率三大核心指标全面大幅超出市场预期，并给出显著高于共识的下季度指引，推动存储行业景气度预期进一步上修。财报公布后，华尔街机构随即掀起密集上调目标价潮。美银证券将目标价从1500美元上调至1550美元，维持“买入”评级；投行Baird将目标价由500美元大幅上调至1280美元；金融机构DA Davidson亦上调至2000美元（华尔街最高目标价），维持“买入”评级；高盛也将目标价从900美元上调至1100美元，维持“中性”评级。高盛方面进一步指出，在DRAM与NAND价格持续上涨背景下，本季财报验证存储行业仍处加速上行周期。市场后续关注焦点将集中于管理层对16项战略客户协议进展、FY2027资本开支规划，以及传统存储需求结构变化的进一步指引。业绩全面超预期，NAND表现最为突出截至2026年5月的第三财季，美光三大核心指标全面显著优于市场预期。公司实现营收414.56亿美元，同比大幅增长，较华尔街一致预期高出约14%。分业务看，DRAM营收313.28亿美元，整体高于市场预期约11%；NAND营收99.43亿美元，较预期高出约27.9%，成为本季最大超预期来源。价格与出货双轮驱动下，DA 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24.27美元），也显著领先FactSet一致预期。高盛指出，更关键的是，本次指引未显示超预期幅度收敛，意味着存储价格上行周期仍在延续。战略客户协议锁定长期需求，资本开支同步加速需求侧，美光本季度与数据中心、消费电子及汽车领域客户签署16项战略长期协议，平均期限约五年，覆盖约20%的DRAM出货量及三分之一的NAND出货量。其中多数协议采用“照付不议”（take-or-pay）结构，在现行市场价格基础上设置价格上下限机制。公司披露，相关协议最低价格条款合计对应约1000亿美元潜在收入，并预计将获得约220亿美元现金预付款，用于支持供应链扩张。与此同时，公司预计第四财季资本开支将达到100亿美元，用于新增产能建设，并强调存储供需偏紧格局至少将延续至2027年。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MUU":0.6,"MULL":0.6,"MU":1.97,"MUD":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":579007407661736,"gmtCreate":1782389321776,"gmtModify":1782392028066,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$&nbsp;</a> 能高开高走吗","listText":"<a 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也发个帖纪念一下，未来人类最伟大的企业！","text":"$SpaceX(SPCX)$ 也发个帖纪念一下，未来人类最伟大的企业！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/574498143568408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":563809727993768,"gmtCreate":1778683250794,"gmtModify":1778683253088,"author":{"id":"3437803347689838","authorId":"3437803347689838","name":"一瓢慢饮","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3437803347689838","authorIdStr":"3437803347689838"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"看多英伟达","listText":"看多英伟达","text":"看多英伟达","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/563809727993768","repostId":"2635078232","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2635078232","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1778674710,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2635078232?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-05-13 20:18","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"阿里巴巴CEO吴泳铭：阿里服务器几乎没有一张卡是空的","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2635078232","media":"第一财经","summary":"【阿里巴巴CEO吴泳铭：阿里服务器几乎没有一张卡是空的】5月13日，阿里巴巴CEO吴泳铭在财报电话会上表示，目前AI发展的趋势更像制造业，要获得更多收入必须去建两个核心工厂：AI的训练工厂和AI的推理工厂，背后都是AI数据中心的建设。","content":"<div>\n<p>5月13日，阿里巴巴CEO吴泳铭在财报电话会上表示，目前AI发展的趋势更像制造业，要获得更多收入必须去建两个核心工厂：AI的训练工厂和AI的推理工厂，背后都是AI数据中心的建设。 　　他表示，AI数据中心的建设一定会消耗比较大的集团现金流，但在回报的路径上是清晰的。他透露，现在阿里的服务器内几乎没有一张卡是空的，考虑未来3-5年的需求情况，他认为阿里大量投入AI数据中心的投资回报非常确定。（文章...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202605133736151179.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"stock_eastmoney","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n阿里巴巴CEO吴泳铭：阿里服务器几乎没有一张卡是空的\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-05-13 20:18 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202605133736151179.html><strong>第一财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>5月13日，阿里巴巴CEO吴泳铭在财报电话会上表示，目前AI发展的趋势更像制造业，要获得更多收入必须去建两个核心工厂：AI的训练工厂和AI的推理工厂，背后都是AI数据中心的建设。 　　他表示，AI数据中心的建设一定会消耗比较大的集团现金流，但在回报的路径上是清晰的。他透露，现在阿里的服务器内几乎没有一张卡是空的，考虑未来3-5年的需求情况，他认为阿里大量投入AI数据中心的投资回报非常确定。（文章...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202605133736151179.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1046421795.USD":"富达环球科技A-ACC","BK4565":"NFT概念","BK1610":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0310800965.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Balanced A Acc SGD","LU0738911758.USD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A6 USD","LU0651946864.USD":"贝莱德新兴市场股票收益A2","LU1242518931.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","LU1880383366.USD":"东方汇理中国股票基金 A2 (C)","LU1051768304.USD":"贝莱德新兴市场股票收益A6","LU0979878070.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"A\" (USD) ACC","BABO":"BABA期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","LU1003077747.HKD":"BGF GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A6\" (HKDHDG) INC","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","LU0949170772.SGD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A6 SGD-H","BABU":"Direxion Daily BABA Bull 2X ETF","LU1515016050.SGD":"Blackrock 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