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Should You Buy These 2 Stocks That Crushed Estimates?

Motley Fool2021-11-17

Fiverr (NYSE:FVRR) and PubMatic (NASDAQ:PUBM) delivered their third-quarter results last week, and investors liked what they saw: Their shares jumped by 12% and more than 40% respectively in the wake of those reports. That's good news for their established shareholders, but investors who haven't already gotten in on the action may be wondering if they missed the boat on these high-quality companies.

The answer, simply, is no. When looking at Fiverr and PubMatic, it is clear that both companies still have tons of growth ahead of them, and are early in their stories. Here's why I think they are great investment choices at their current levels.

1. Fiverr: Reinventing work

Fiverr is looking to be more than just a marketplace where employers can find freelance workers. It wants to become an ecosystem where businesses and freelancers alike can grow. While its business model got a boost from the COVID-19 pandemic, it is not a pandemic stock. Businesses have been increasing their use of freelancers for years, and this trend likely won't stop. Some of Fiverr's growth was pulled forward by the pandemic, but that growth is continuing as restrictions are reduced.

In the third quarter, revenue grew by 42% year over year to $74 million, and the number of active clients looking to hire freelancers rose 33% to 4.1 million. Customers have also increased their spending by 20% to $234 per buyer. Fiverr expects 2021 revenue to be 48% to 52% higher than 2020 revenue, reaching about $294 million. It generated $9 million in free cash flow in the third quarter, compared to $6 million in the year-ago quarter, but its net loss represented 19% of revenue -- which is an increase compared to both Q2 2021 and Q3 2020.

The major risk that Fiverr has is competition from Upwork (NASDAQ:UPWK). Upwork makes more revenue, but Fiverr has been growing much faster since before the pandemic. Since 2018, Upwork's top line has grown by 134%, but Fiverr's has grown by 350%, and it looks like the stronger business today. Many investors see Fiverr as solely a pandemic investment, which is likely why shares are 44% off their all-time highs. But this is far from the case.

Looking at its Q3 growth rates and management's guidance, it is obvious that Fiverr can continue growing rapidly even as more companies are able to get back to having more employees on site. Fiverr is helping create the future of work, and its third-quarter figures indicate that it can be successful in a post-pandemic environment. That should give investors the confidence to add this stock to their portfolios today.

2. PubMatic: The soon-to-be leader?

Sell-side adtech player PubMatic is more of an up-and-coming company, but it could quickly become a market leader. It crushed its Q3 estimates, and the stock jumped nearly 30% on the day after it reported earnings last week. Adtech companies, which connect advertisers and publishers, were expected to have a rough third quarter after Apple and Google announced that they were banning cookies on their platforms. Cookies provide adtech companies valuable information about consumers, so losing them was expected to impair their businesses.

However, this was not the case for PubMatic. Unlike its major competitor, Magnite (NASDAQ:MGNI) -- which was hurt by these changes -- PubMatic was barely scratched. There were two main reasons why. First, Pubmatic has been developing a system that does not rely on cookies, obtaining information about consumers in other ways, and this method was successful in Q3. The company noted that over 66% of its revenue came from customers that used alternate identifiers for targeted ads.

Second, the company was successful in connected TV (CTV) advertising -- a medium that will absorb a rapidly growing share of advertising budgets over the coming decade. Last quarter, Pubmatic's CTV revenue grew by more than seven times year over year, and the company reached 154 CTV publishers -- up 25% year over year. Its successes in that arena led to impressive top-line growth: Q3 revenue grew 54% over last year to $58 million, net income grew 118% to $13.5 million, and both of these metrics flew past analysts' estimates. Another impressive milestone for the company was that its net retention rate reached 157%, compared to 110% a year ago.

Although Magnite is the leader on the sell-side of the adtech industry, PubMatic is starting to catch up. Magnite has been growing primarily by acquisition, while PubMatic's growth has been entirely organic. This suggests that if Magnite's spending spree ends, PubMatic could take over as the market leader. Ad spending is expected to reach $526 billion by 2024, and a fast-growing company like PubMatic could really capitalize on this massive market. This company's journey is still in its early stages -- and there's a long road for growth ahead of it.

免责声明:本文观点仅代表作者个人观点,不构成本平台的投资建议,本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证,亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

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评论30

  • Uasbau
    ·2021-11-17
    Good infos. Tqs
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    • Khoo12
      Yes
      2021-11-17
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  • T2huat
    ·2021-11-17
    Like
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  • james_l
    ·2021-11-17
    Need to research more.
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  • Jen88
    ·2021-11-17
    Ok
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  • WilMic
    ·2021-11-17
    Buy 
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    • Jen88
      Ok
      2021-11-17
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  • LennartM
    ·2021-11-17
    like please
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    • T2huat回复T2huat
      ;)
      2021-11-29
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    • T2huat回复LennartM
      thx
      2021-11-25
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    • JeremyKok
      hi. please like and comment back. thank you.
      2021-11-18
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    查看更多 2 条评论
  • mark01bravz
    ·2021-11-17
    Essentially Fiverr and Upwork are 2 different companies that attract different kinds of talents required. Fiverr favours more for freelancers while Upwork favours more for employees.
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  • Gaik11
    ·2021-11-17
    Okay
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    • xemrunx
      Like & buy
      2021-11-17
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    • Gaik11
      Ok
      2021-11-17
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  • yvneyng
    ·2021-11-17
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  • cmg76
    ·2021-11-17
    Yes
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  • JeffRC
    ·2021-11-17
    no
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    • cmg76
      Yes
      2021-11-17
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  • saimatkong
    ·2021-11-17
    Okay 
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    • Waeisiong
      おk
      2021-11-17
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    • Leo_T
      ok
      2021-11-17
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  • Vincentttt
    ·2021-11-17
    Anybody can share more thoughts 
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  • CIG
    ·2021-11-17
    I keep selling my old stocks but you keep recommending new socks.
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    • CIG
      Yes, I'm sick of fool's recommendations. I like to hit and run on few favorite stocks with small gain.
      2021-11-17
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    • EDWINHLC
      OK
      2021-11-17
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    • tkj
      isn't this good? After selling your old stocks, you have nothing left. need to buy in new ones just that I am sceptical of the recommendations by the Fools....
      2021-11-17
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  • nelson21
    ·2021-11-17
    Pls like
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    • JeremyKok
      hi. please like and comment back. thank you.
      2021-11-18
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    • LennartM
      done
      2021-11-17
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    • HBONG
      ok
      2021-11-17
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  • Pluto891
    ·2021-11-17
    find new ways to track our likings?
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  • Limwy
    ·2021-11-17
    Then what are you waiting for?
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    • TJW1991
      k
      2021-11-17
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  • lawgbk
    ·2021-11-17
    Like
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    • 47f9264e
      [Miser]
      2021-11-17
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  • Bill516
    ·2021-11-17
    Like 
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    • lawgbk
      ok
      2021-11-17
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  • ZhiLing
    ·2021-11-17
    no
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