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天行健君子以自强不息

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- 高山流水z高山流水z
  ·04-30
  做低数据，为后续降息铺平道路！
  盘前 | 美国4月“小非农”大幅低于预期，一季度GDP负增长！
  美国4月ADP就业人数增加6.2万人。
  盘前 | 美国4月“小非农”大幅低于预期，一季度GDP负增长！
  15 评论
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- 高山流水z高山流水z
  ·2024-07-13
  ‌$宁圣国际(NISN)$ ‌每股收益4.46美元，按8倍市盈率算也是36美元左右，耐心持有。
  4,437 3
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- 高山流水z高山流水z
  ·2024-01-26
  $百家云(RTC)$ 量价齐升，走势强劲，目标价看到10块以上！
  2,496 评论
  1
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- 高山流水z高山流水z
  ·2024-01-23
  $宁圣国际(NISN)$ 完美走势
  2,149 评论
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- 高山流水z高山流水z
  ·2023-08-25
  ‌$VinFast Auto(VFS)$ ‌逼空大戏继续上演!
  3,416 评论
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- 高山流水z高山流水z
  ·2023-08-18
  伯里看跌的逻辑是什么？
  知名投资人警告：《大空头》原型这次太冒险！
  美国创业真人秀节目《创智赢家》主持人凯文·奥利警告称，迈克尔·伯里做空美股大盘的风险是一个大胆的举动，在此过程中很有可能损失大量现金。
  知名投资人警告：《大空头》原型这次太冒险！
  2,020 评论
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- 高山流水z高山流水z
  ·2023-06-26
  $Nuvve Holding Corp.(NVVE)$ 就这就完了？！[笑哭]
  3,359 评论
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- 高山流水z高山流水z
  ·2023-05-31
  ‌$苹果(AAPL)$ ‌厉害，aapl凭一己之力阻止了纳指下跌！
  3,206 评论
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- 高山流水z高山流水z
  ·2023-05-26
  $尚乘数科(HKD)$ 横久必跌，3.86等你
  3,023 2
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- 高山流水z高山流水z
  ·2022-08-08
  ‌$尚乘数科(HKD)$‌没量了，大概率庄家账户被查了
  2,852 评论
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alse,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":430061223583816,"gmtCreate":1746017611411,"gmtModify":1746017612599,"author":{"id":"193954355787582","authorId":"193954355787582","name":"高山流水z","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5408e65716e57705751f2b890b156d9b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"193954355787582","idStr":"193954355787582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"做低数据，为后续降息铺平道路！","listText":"做低数据，为后续降息铺平道路！","text":"做低数据，为后续降息铺平道路！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/430061223583816","repostId":"1121796783","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121796783","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1746015322,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121796783?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-04-30 20:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"盘前 | 美国4月“小非农”大幅低于预期，一季度GDP负增长！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121796783","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国4月ADP就业人数增加6.2万人。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>美国4月ADP就业人数增加6.2万人，预期11.5万人，前值15.5万人。</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>ADP报告：3月新增就业总人数从15.5万人修正为14.7万人。</p></li><li><p>ADP报告：4月份工资稳步增长。4月就业人员薪资较上年同期增长4.5%，较3月略有放缓。跳槽者的工资同比增长加速，从3月份的6.7%上升至4月份的6.9%。</p></li><li><p>点评：美国公司的招聘在4月份放缓，增幅为九个月以来的最低水平，显示出在经济不确定性中对工人的需求减弱。虽然ADP数据显示招聘有所回落，但失业救济申请仍接近疫情前的平均水平，表明裁员仍然处于低位。</p></li><li><p>ADP首席经济学家Nela Richardson：不安是如今的主题。雇主正试图将政策和消费者的不确定性与一系列大部分积极的经济数据相协调。在这样的环境中做出招聘决定可能很困难。</p></li></ul><p><strong>美国第一季度实际GDP年化季率初值录得-0.3%，创2022年第二季度以来新低。预期：0.3%，前值：2.4%。</strong></p><p>美国第一季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率初值 3.5%，预期3.3%，前值2.60%。</p><p>美国第一季度实际个人消费支出季率初值 1.8%，预期1.2%，前值4.00%。</p><p>数据公布后，美股三大指数期货跌幅不断加深。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5d9cd83393ea5efbdec64fd3da8320d\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"887\" tg-height=\"282\"/></p><h3 id=\"id_3320075591\">个股盘前行情</h3><p>超微电脑大跌超19%，公司第三财季营收、调整后每股收益均低于预期，下调业绩指引。超微电脑在声明中表示，在第三财季期间，由于部分客户平台决策延迟，部分销售顺延至第四财季。此外，公司还面临老旧产品库存增加以及加急费用的影响。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dab280724bc2fe3b035148ba8f7f022\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"132\"/></p><p>同时，部分芯片股盘前走低。截至发稿，英伟达跌3.7%，迈威尔科技跌超4%，美光、ARM、AMD跌超3%，高通跌超1%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f928add1f479e14843735e0dd019dec8\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"130\"/></p><p>大型科技股多数走低。截至发稿，特斯拉跌超4%，Meta、亚马逊跌超2%，苹果、谷歌、微软跌超1%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53515c4be2c2642ee79314f51a41136e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"124\"/></p><p>Snap大跌超16%，公司未能给出二季度业绩指引，理由是宏观环境存在诸多不确定性。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42bf5e62a7b1e9d9dafd0d4ea133fcda\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p>星巴克跌近10%。星巴克第二财季营收同比增长2%至87.6亿美元，低于分析师预期的88.3亿美元。净利润为3.84亿美元，合每股34美分，而去年利润为7.72亿美元，合每股68美分。调整后每股收益为41美分，低于分析师预期的49美分。全球同店销售额下滑了1%，连续第五个季度下滑，市场预期下滑0.8%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da516a9fdc9b2458f84a6f83e2d5ac32\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"131\"/></p><p>第一太阳能跌超11%，第一季度业绩不及分析师预期，并给出了令人失望的全年业绩指引。</p><p>风险敞口管理公司Tenable Holdings大跌超16%。公司一季度业绩超出预期，但第二季度业绩指引令人失望。</p><p>希捷科技涨超5%。希捷科技预计第四季度营收将达到24.0亿美元（上下浮动1.5亿美元），高于分析师此前预期的23亿美元。同时，公司预计第四季度调整后每股收益将达到2.40美元，同样超过分析师预期的2.07美元。这一亮眼的业绩展望显示了公司在大容量存储市场的强劲表现和良好的供需环境。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4a3e20b664158760fcf142792a5b4c4\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"132\"/></p><p>西部数据涨超7%，2025年Q3财报实现营收22.94亿美元，前值为34.57亿美元，预期值为23.5亿美元；每股收益为1.36美元，前值为0.63美元，预期值为1.13美元。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f4b09f06d8994c5da7f1676d54f14c9\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"130\"/></p><p>金山云大涨超11%，小米开源首个为推理(Reasoning)而生的大模型“Xiaomi MiMo”，联动预训练到后训练，全面提升推理能力。申万宏源此前发布研报指，金山云为小米和金山生态最核心云厂，直接受益于小米和金山软件集团加大AI投入。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26f1950354136795d4f21faeed78c7a8\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>盘前 | 美国4月“小非农”大幅低于预期，一季度GDP负增长！</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n盘前 | 美国4月“小非农”大幅低于预期，一季度GDP负增长！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-04-30 20:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><strong>美国4月ADP就业人数增加6.2万人，预期11.5万人，前值15.5万人。</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>ADP报告：3月新增就业总人数从15.5万人修正为14.7万人。</p></li><li><p>ADP报告：4月份工资稳步增长。4月就业人员薪资较上年同期增长4.5%，较3月略有放缓。跳槽者的工资同比增长加速，从3月份的6.7%上升至4月份的6.9%。</p></li><li><p>点评：美国公司的招聘在4月份放缓，增幅为九个月以来的最低水平，显示出在经济不确定性中对工人的需求减弱。虽然ADP数据显示招聘有所回落，但失业救济申请仍接近疫情前的平均水平，表明裁员仍然处于低位。</p></li><li><p>ADP首席经济学家Nela Richardson：不安是如今的主题。雇主正试图将政策和消费者的不确定性与一系列大部分积极的经济数据相协调。在这样的环境中做出招聘决定可能很困难。</p></li></ul><p><strong>美国第一季度实际GDP年化季率初值录得-0.3%，创2022年第二季度以来新低。预期：0.3%，前值：2.4%。</strong></p><p>美国第一季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率初值 3.5%，预期3.3%，前值2.60%。</p><p>美国第一季度实际个人消费支出季率初值 1.8%，预期1.2%，前值4.00%。</p><p>数据公布后，美股三大指数期货跌幅不断加深。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5d9cd83393ea5efbdec64fd3da8320d\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"887\" tg-height=\"282\"/></p><h3 id=\"id_3320075591\">个股盘前行情</h3><p>超微电脑大跌超19%，公司第三财季营收、调整后每股收益均低于预期，下调业绩指引。超微电脑在声明中表示，在第三财季期间，由于部分客户平台决策延迟，部分销售顺延至第四财季。此外，公司还面临老旧产品库存增加以及加急费用的影响。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dab280724bc2fe3b035148ba8f7f022\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"132\"/></p><p>同时，部分芯片股盘前走低。截至发稿，英伟达跌3.7%，迈威尔科技跌超4%，美光、ARM、AMD跌超3%，高通跌超1%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f928add1f479e14843735e0dd019dec8\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"130\"/></p><p>大型科技股多数走低。截至发稿，特斯拉跌超4%，Meta、亚马逊跌超2%，苹果、谷歌、微软跌超1%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53515c4be2c2642ee79314f51a41136e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"124\"/></p><p>Snap大跌超16%，公司未能给出二季度业绩指引，理由是宏观环境存在诸多不确定性。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42bf5e62a7b1e9d9dafd0d4ea133fcda\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p>星巴克跌近10%。星巴克第二财季营收同比增长2%至87.6亿美元，低于分析师预期的88.3亿美元。净利润为3.84亿美元，合每股34美分，而去年利润为7.72亿美元，合每股68美分。调整后每股收益为41美分，低于分析师预期的49美分。全球同店销售额下滑了1%，连续第五个季度下滑，市场预期下滑0.8%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da516a9fdc9b2458f84a6f83e2d5ac32\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"131\"/></p><p>第一太阳能跌超11%，第一季度业绩不及分析师预期，并给出了令人失望的全年业绩指引。</p><p>风险敞口管理公司Tenable Holdings大跌超16%。公司一季度业绩超出预期，但第二季度业绩指引令人失望。</p><p>希捷科技涨超5%。希捷科技预计第四季度营收将达到24.0亿美元（上下浮动1.5亿美元），高于分析师此前预期的23亿美元。同时，公司预计第四季度调整后每股收益将达到2.40美元，同样超过分析师预期的2.07美元。这一亮眼的业绩展望显示了公司在大容量存储市场的强劲表现和良好的供需环境。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4a3e20b664158760fcf142792a5b4c4\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"132\"/></p><p>西部数据涨超7%，2025年Q3财报实现营收22.94亿美元，前值为34.57亿美元，预期值为23.5亿美元；每股收益为1.36美元，前值为0.63美元，预期值为1.13美元。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f4b09f06d8994c5da7f1676d54f14c9\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"130\"/></p><p>金山云大涨超11%，小米开源首个为推理(Reasoning)而生的大模型“Xiaomi MiMo”，联动预训练到后训练，全面提升推理能力。申万宏源此前发布研报指，金山云为小米和金山生态最核心云厂，直接受益于小米和金山软件集团加大AI投入。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26f1950354136795d4f21faeed78c7a8\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4ee39e6b0f45214393093d70ba81a8","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121796783","content_text":"美国4月ADP就业人数增加6.2万人，预期11.5万人，前值15.5万人。ADP报告：3月新增就业总人数从15.5万人修正为14.7万人。ADP报告：4月份工资稳步增长。4月就业人员薪资较上年同期增长4.5%，较3月略有放缓。跳槽者的工资同比增长加速，从3月份的6.7%上升至4月份的6.9%。点评：美国公司的招聘在4月份放缓，增幅为九个月以来的最低水平，显示出在经济不确定性中对工人的需求减弱。虽然ADP数据显示招聘有所回落，但失业救济申请仍接近疫情前的平均水平，表明裁员仍然处于低位。ADP首席经济学家Nela Richardson：不安是如今的主题。雇主正试图将政策和消费者的不确定性与一系列大部分积极的经济数据相协调。在这样的环境中做出招聘决定可能很困难。美国第一季度实际GDP年化季率初值录得-0.3%，创2022年第二季度以来新低。预期：0.3%，前值：2.4%。美国第一季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率初值 3.5%，预期3.3%，前值2.60%。美国第一季度实际个人消费支出季率初值 1.8%，预期1.2%，前值4.00%。数据公布后，美股三大指数期货跌幅不断加深。个股盘前行情超微电脑大跌超19%，公司第三财季营收、调整后每股收益均低于预期，下调业绩指引。超微电脑在声明中表示，在第三财季期间，由于部分客户平台决策延迟，部分销售顺延至第四财季。此外，公司还面临老旧产品库存增加以及加急费用的影响。同时，部分芯片股盘前走低。截至发稿，英伟达跌3.7%，迈威尔科技跌超4%，美光、ARM、AMD跌超3%，高通跌超1%。大型科技股多数走低。截至发稿，特斯拉跌超4%，Meta、亚马逊跌超2%，苹果、谷歌、微软跌超1%。Snap大跌超16%，公司未能给出二季度业绩指引，理由是宏观环境存在诸多不确定性。星巴克跌近10%。星巴克第二财季营收同比增长2%至87.6亿美元，低于分析师预期的88.3亿美元。净利润为3.84亿美元，合每股34美分，而去年利润为7.72亿美元，合每股68美分。调整后每股收益为41美分，低于分析师预期的49美分。全球同店销售额下滑了1%，连续第五个季度下滑，市场预期下滑0.8%。第一太阳能跌超11%，第一季度业绩不及分析师预期，并给出了令人失望的全年业绩指引。风险敞口管理公司Tenable Holdings大跌超16%。公司一季度业绩超出预期，但第二季度业绩指引令人失望。希捷科技涨超5%。希捷科技预计第四季度营收将达到24.0亿美元（上下浮动1.5亿美元），高于分析师此前预期的23亿美元。同时，公司预计第四季度调整后每股收益将达到2.40美元，同样超过分析师预期的2.07美元。这一亮眼的业绩展望显示了公司在大容量存储市场的强劲表现和良好的供需环境。西部数据涨超7%，2025年Q3财报实现营收22.94亿美元，前值为34.57亿美元，预期值为23.5亿美元；每股收益为1.36美元，前值为0.63美元，预期值为1.13美元。金山云大涨超11%，小米开源首个为推理(Reasoning)而生的大模型“Xiaomi MiMo”，联动预训练到后训练，全面提升推理能力。申万宏源此前发布研报指，金山云为小米和金山生态最核心云厂，直接受益于小米和金山软件集团加大AI投入。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":326817515774184,"gmtCreate":1720821039188,"gmtModify":1720821040813,"author":{"id":"193954355787582","authorId":"193954355787582","name":"高山流水z","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5408e65716e57705751f2b890b156d9b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"193954355787582","idStr":"193954355787582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"‌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NISN\">$宁圣国际(NISN)$ 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‌每股收益4.46美元，按8倍市盈率算也是36美元左右，耐心持有。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326817515774184","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4437,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3478904464305389","authorId":"3478904464305389","name":"幸运18","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/930263c29786371e3b04eef31ea03c91","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3478904464305389","idStr":"3478904464305389"},"content":"换的都是精英人物，你不了解公司","text":"换的都是精英人物，你不了解公司","html":"换的都是精英人物，你不了解公司"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":267266184212800,"gmtCreate":1706275013824,"gmtModify":1706275015047,"author":{"id":"193954355787582","authorId":"193954355787582","name":"高山流水z","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5408e65716e57705751f2b890b156d9b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"193954355787582","idStr":"193954355787582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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‌逼空大戏继续上演!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/212713763950744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":210269405237312,"gmtCreate":1692355820686,"gmtModify":1692355822562,"author":{"id":"193954355787582","authorId":"193954355787582","name":"高山流水z","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5408e65716e57705751f2b890b156d9b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"193954355787582","idStr":"193954355787582"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"伯里看跌的逻辑是什么？","listText":"伯里看跌的逻辑是什么？","text":"伯里看跌的逻辑是什么？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/210269405237312","repostId":"2360587378","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2360587378","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1692338634,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2360587378?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-08-18 14:03","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"知名投资人警告： 《大空头》原型这次太冒险！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2360587378","media":"金十数据","summary":"美国创业真人秀节目《创智赢家》主持人凯文·奥利警告称，迈克尔·伯里做空美股大盘的风险是一个大胆的举动，在此过程中很有可能损失大量现金。","content":"<html><body><p>知名投资人、美国创业真人秀节目《创智赢家》主持人凯文·奥利（Kevin O'Leary）表示，电影《大空头》原型迈克尔·伯里做空标普500指数的赌注可能终有一天会获得回报，但这一期间可能充满痛苦。</p><p>周三，奥利在接受采访时谈到伯里近期投资组合的操作，他说，“那些试图依靠市场时机生存的人日子不好过。在次贷危机中，他曾经是幸运的，但<strong>这次他的做法完全是另一回事</strong>”。他说：</p><blockquote><p>“如果自称知道市场什么时候会下跌，他（伯里）总有一天会是对的。但在这一过程中，他将承受多大的痛苦？他的<strong>期权保证金账户里面是否有足够的‘干火药’（即募集来的待投资资金）？</strong>每当市场上涨1-2%，他就会收到催缴保证金的电话。”</p></blockquote><p>就在奥利发表上述言论的几天前。伯里透露，他上个季度持有对标普500指数和纳斯达克100指数的看跌期权，名义价值为16亿美元。奥利表示，考虑到该押注中包含的股票和行业范围之广，这是一个<strong>大胆</strong>的举动。</p><p>奥利补充道，2008年做空次贷危机后，伯里获得了约1亿美元的个人利润，但这一成功不能与现在一概而论，因为<strong>当时他只跟踪单一行业</strong>。</p><p>奥利解释道，“伯里现在所做的和过去完全不同。标普500指数中有500家大型公司，分布在11个经济领域，房地产只是其中之一。<strong>需要每一个行业都出现下滑，或者至少标普成分股中每一家公司的估值都大幅下降，他才能赢得这场押注</strong>”。</p><p>伯里对纳斯达克100指数的押注也是如此，纳斯达克100指数以科技股为主，但也有不同领域的龙头股。</p><p>奥利说，这意味着这位Scion Asset Management首席执行官<strong>很有可能损失大量现金</strong>，特别是考虑到期权卖方理论上亏损无限。“这非常危险”，他补充道。</p><p>不过，值得注意的是，目前没有迹象表明伯里正在卖空两只指数ETF的看跌期权，即他<strong>尚未面临奥利描述的亏损无限风险</strong>。他持有这些看跌期权使其亏损仅限于购买期权的成本。</p><p>伯里的追随者对他的冒险并不感到惊讶。他多年来一直警告股市将出现史诗般的崩盘，此前还告诉投资者，市场正处于“有史以来最大的投机泡沫”之一。伯里去年预测，在市场动荡的最严重时期，标普500指数可能会暴跌57%，至1900点；纳斯达克指数可能会暴跌56%，至6000点。</p></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>知名投资人警告： 《大空头》原型这次太冒险！</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n知名投资人警告： 《大空头》原型这次太冒险！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-08-18 14:03 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=119972&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>知名投资人、美国创业真人秀节目《创智赢家》主持人凯文·奥利（Kevin O'Leary）表示，电影《大空头》原型迈克尔·伯里做空标普500指数的赌注可能终有一天会获得回报，但这一期间可能充满痛苦。周三，奥利在接受采访时谈到伯里近期投资组合的操作，他说，“那些试图依靠市场时机生存的人日子不好过。在次贷危机中，他曾经是幸运的，但这次他的做法完全是另一回事”。他说：“如果自称知道市场什么时候会下跌，他（...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=119972&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://cdn-news.jin10.com/7691f06a-91bb-4da1-8f9d-75851769ec66.png/lite","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=119972&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2360587378","content_text":"知名投资人、美国创业真人秀节目《创智赢家》主持人凯文·奥利（Kevin O'Leary）表示，电影《大空头》原型迈克尔·伯里做空标普500指数的赌注可能终有一天会获得回报，但这一期间可能充满痛苦。周三，奥利在接受采访时谈到伯里近期投资组合的操作，他说，“那些试图依靠市场时机生存的人日子不好过。在次贷危机中，他曾经是幸运的，但这次他的做法完全是另一回事”。他说：“如果自称知道市场什么时候会下跌，他（伯里）总有一天会是对的。但在这一过程中，他将承受多大的痛苦？他的期权保证金账户里面是否有足够的‘干火药’（即募集来的待投资资金）？每当市场上涨1-2%，他就会收到催缴保证金的电话。”就在奥利发表上述言论的几天前。伯里透露，他上个季度持有对标普500指数和纳斯达克100指数的看跌期权，名义价值为16亿美元。奥利表示，考虑到该押注中包含的股票和行业范围之广，这是一个大胆的举动。奥利补充道，2008年做空次贷危机后，伯里获得了约1亿美元的个人利润，但这一成功不能与现在一概而论，因为当时他只跟踪单一行业。奥利解释道，“伯里现在所做的和过去完全不同。标普500指数中有500家大型公司，分布在11个经济领域，房地产只是其中之一。需要每一个行业都出现下滑，或者至少标普成分股中每一家公司的估值都大幅下降，他才能赢得这场押注”。伯里对纳斯达克100指数的押注也是如此，纳斯达克100指数以科技股为主，但也有不同领域的龙头股。奥利说，这意味着这位Scion Asset 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