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老猫证劵
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老猫证劵
老猫证劵
·
08-27 15:49
茅台魔咒显现
A股午后突然异动,发生了什么?
A股突然大调整!午后,富时中国A50指数期货午后突然下跌超1%。随后,A股各大指数亦出现一波回调,沪指最多时跌超60点,全市场一度近4000只股票下跌。那么,究竟发生了什么?与此同时,近期A股涨幅较大,且有局部过热迹象。寒武纪股价午后一度达到1464.98元/股,超越贵州茅台股价,成为A股市场“单价”最贵的股票。昨晚,寒武纪发布亮眼财报。短期A股上涨加速,部分投资者在享受牛市氛围的同时,也在讨论阶段性调整如何择时。
A股午后突然异动,发生了什么?
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老猫证劵
老猫证劵
·
08-06
担心的是国产假药冲击全球市场
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老猫证劵
老猫证劵
·
08-06
$诺和诺德(NVO)$
再低没道理 这么低的市盈率 那么大的市场
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老猫证劵
老猫证劵
·
06-09
$METALIGHT(02605)$
退出港股打新
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老猫证劵
老猫证劵
·
04-21
$SPDR黄金ETF(GLD)$
谁能给说说这啥个啥黄金概念
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老猫证劵
老猫证劵
·
04-18
$霸王茶姬(CHA)$
这玩意还敢往里冲 真是喝奶茶长大的
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老猫证劵
老猫证劵
·
04-10
昨晚一睁眼全抛了
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老猫证劵
老猫证劵
·
03-21
一卖就涨 一买就跌
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老猫证劵
老猫证劵
·
03-03
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
买它就是买美利坚的国运,相信差不到哪去!退一万步讲,即使股票赔点小钱,留着美金本金又能做啥用,愿赌服输😄
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老猫证劵
老猫证劵
·
02-04
$英伟达(NVDA)$
100一下
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tg-height=\"597\"/></p><p>从行盘过程来看,午后出现了反复回调的情况。沪指从跌30点反弹之后,跌幅又再度扩大,并在低位反复震荡,这一点与之前几个交易日强劲的承接盘略有不同。另外,平均股价指数与杀跌个股数量明显背离,平均股价上涨,但杀跌个股数量一度超4000只。这意味着,上涨的个股可能集中在高价股板块,而这个过程就不得不提寒武纪。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">寒武纪股价午后一度达到1464.98元/股,超越贵州茅台股价,成为A股市场“单价”最贵的股票。昨晚,寒武纪发布亮眼财报。有券商点评称,其收入符合预期,利润略超预期:二季度净利率38.6%,本质是规模效应且当季没有一次性的投片费用。机构预计,今年百亿出货,预计80亿—100亿元营收。明年产能和需求预期都比较乐观,预计营收在300亿元以上。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从量能来看,今天成交金额突破100亿元的股票再度超过10只,显示出大盘的虹吸效应有所强化。万得微盘股指数杀跌3%,亦能佐证这一点。</p><blockquote><h2 id=\"id_2842492301\">多家券商喊话“慢牛”</h2></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是,近期券商喊话“慢牛”的多了起来。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">国投证券林荣雄在其研报中表示,盲目参考2014—2015年模式,导致慢牛转快牛甚至形成疯牛实则是不可取的,向上空间大幅打开还是有赖于“三头牛”的逐步兑现。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从短周期来看,区别于2014—2015年牛市增量资金来自于加杠杆与场外配资,这次更多来自于债转股的再均衡,此类资金对估值与基本面匹配性有较高要求,这约束当前纯粹基于流动性牛市的大盘向上空间。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从长周期来看,经过当前国家股市平准资金构建+社保、保险等长期资本入市+ETF类被动长期工具丰富发展+提倡高分红价值创造模式,形成美股化的“震荡慢牛”模式才有望真正实现“居民存款搬家”,背后本质是股市生态升级优化,长期耐心资本掌握最终定价权。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">申万宏源策略认为,全面牛市还需要积极因素的进一步累积:2026年基本面改善预期,供给出清提供安全垫,但也要需求改善提供向上弹性。全面牛市的结构主线,不可能仅限于中国企业更深度融入海外主导的产业链。中国体系出海,中国制造基于竞争优势,获得与之相匹配的产业话语权和盈利能力,可能是更贴近牛市叙事的结构主线。所以,似乎不必把所有对牛市的期待,都映射在眼前的景气线索上。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">股市在经济循环中的重要性提升,绝非“想涨”或者“不想涨”这么简单。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">居民资产向权益市场迁移,如果走基于赚钱效应正循环的老路,那只能是少数人的狂欢。“为了孕育个别成功企业,便奖励所有企业”的粗放资源配置方式,在其他领域已不提倡,A股也有必要从这种模式中走出来。这可能是“反内卷”思想在A股的一种映射。所以,慢下来,会更远、更高、更好。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">短期A股上涨加速,部分投资者在享受牛市氛围的同时,也在讨论阶段性调整如何择时。9月初前后市场势必会出现视角转换,之前市场更多关注短期动量,而之后中期视角、性价比关注回归,这可能放大市场波动。但9月—10月之间即便有调整,也不是大波段,且具体调整节点很难预判,择时调整是低胜率低赔率的。</p></body></html>","source":"cszg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA股午后突然异动,发生了什么?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-08-27 15:14 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/uTO59DhMBF5JayzUb5kIUA><strong>券商中国</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A股突然大调整!午后,富时中国A50指数期货午后突然下跌超1%。随后,A股各大指数亦出现一波回调,沪指最多时跌超60点,全市场一度近4000只股票下跌。国债期货亦于午后拉升,30年期主力合约盘中涨0.2%。10年期涨0.03%。5年期涨0.03%。2年期涨0.01%。那么,究竟发生了什么?分析人士认为,近期外围风险逐渐暴露,特别是长债风险较大。与此同时,近期A股涨幅较大,且有局部过热迹象。近期,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/uTO59DhMBF5JayzUb5kIUA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb146d9df27844cb787ad545c50986d","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/uTO59DhMBF5JayzUb5kIUA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142601356","content_text":"A股突然大调整!午后,富时中国A50指数期货午后突然下跌超1%。随后,A股各大指数亦出现一波回调,沪指最多时跌超60点,全市场一度近4000只股票下跌。国债期货亦于午后拉升,30年期主力合约盘中涨0.2%。10年期涨0.03%。5年期涨0.03%。2年期涨0.01%。那么,究竟发生了什么?分析人士认为,近期外围风险逐渐暴露,特别是长债风险较大。与此同时,近期A股涨幅较大,且有局部过热迹象。近期,连续有券商策略研究表示,慢下来能走得更远。调整8月27日,市场波动如期加大。沪指午后一度下跌超30点,红利指数更是全天受到压制,午后跌幅扩大至1%以上。A50亦于午后一度跌超1%,港股市场亦开始走弱。从行盘过程来看,午后出现了反复回调的情况。沪指从跌30点反弹之后,跌幅又再度扩大,并在低位反复震荡,这一点与之前几个交易日强劲的承接盘略有不同。另外,平均股价指数与杀跌个股数量明显背离,平均股价上涨,但杀跌个股数量一度超4000只。这意味着,上涨的个股可能集中在高价股板块,而这个过程就不得不提寒武纪。寒武纪股价午后一度达到1464.98元/股,超越贵州茅台股价,成为A股市场“单价”最贵的股票。昨晚,寒武纪发布亮眼财报。有券商点评称,其收入符合预期,利润略超预期:二季度净利率38.6%,本质是规模效应且当季没有一次性的投片费用。机构预计,今年百亿出货,预计80亿—100亿元营收。明年产能和需求预期都比较乐观,预计营收在300亿元以上。从量能来看,今天成交金额突破100亿元的股票再度超过10只,显示出大盘的虹吸效应有所强化。万得微盘股指数杀跌3%,亦能佐证这一点。多家券商喊话“慢牛”值得注意的是,近期券商喊话“慢牛”的多了起来。国投证券林荣雄在其研报中表示,盲目参考2014—2015年模式,导致慢牛转快牛甚至形成疯牛实则是不可取的,向上空间大幅打开还是有赖于“三头牛”的逐步兑现。从短周期来看,区别于2014—2015年牛市增量资金来自于加杠杆与场外配资,这次更多来自于债转股的再均衡,此类资金对估值与基本面匹配性有较高要求,这约束当前纯粹基于流动性牛市的大盘向上空间。从长周期来看,经过当前国家股市平准资金构建+社保、保险等长期资本入市+ETF类被动长期工具丰富发展+提倡高分红价值创造模式,形成美股化的“震荡慢牛”模式才有望真正实现“居民存款搬家”,背后本质是股市生态升级优化,长期耐心资本掌握最终定价权。申万宏源策略认为,全面牛市还需要积极因素的进一步累积:2026年基本面改善预期,供给出清提供安全垫,但也要需求改善提供向上弹性。全面牛市的结构主线,不可能仅限于中国企业更深度融入海外主导的产业链。中国体系出海,中国制造基于竞争优势,获得与之相匹配的产业话语权和盈利能力,可能是更贴近牛市叙事的结构主线。所以,似乎不必把所有对牛市的期待,都映射在眼前的景气线索上。股市在经济循环中的重要性提升,绝非“想涨”或者“不想涨”这么简单。居民资产向权益市场迁移,如果走基于赚钱效应正循环的老路,那只能是少数人的狂欢。“为了孕育个别成功企业,便奖励所有企业”的粗放资源配置方式,在其他领域已不提倡,A股也有必要从这种模式中走出来。这可能是“反内卷”思想在A股的一种映射。所以,慢下来,会更远、更高、更好。短期A股上涨加速,部分投资者在享受牛市氛围的同时,也在讨论阶段性调整如何择时。9月初前后市场势必会出现视角转换,之前市场更多关注短期动量,而之后中期视角、性价比关注回归,这可能放大市场波动。但9月—10月之间即便有调整,也不是大波段,且具体调整节点很难预判,择时调整是低胜率低赔率的。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"000001.SH":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":464733233586704,"gmtCreate":1754485199158,"gmtModify":1754485201075,"author":{"id":"3471339643554752","authorId":"3471339643554752","name":"老猫证劵","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4508951e43bda93fa95e2d25e97866f8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471339643554752","authorIdStr":"3471339643554752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"担心的是国产假药冲击全球市场","listText":"担心的是国产假药冲击全球市场","text":"担心的是国产假药冲击全球市场","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/464733233586704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":340,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":464732808970768,"gmtCreate":1754485095492,"gmtModify":1754485096754,"author":{"id":"3471339643554752","authorId":"3471339643554752","name":"老猫证劵","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4508951e43bda93fa95e2d25e97866f8","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471339643554752","authorIdStr":"3471339643554752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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