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超超_6103
超超_6103
·
07-01 11:10
英伟达前几年涨了多少?市值都快五万亿了。还能这么一直高增长下去?估值缓一缓,市场观望一下不是很正常吗?你们这家媒体,真是一年到头可以找到800个角度找美国的负面新闻
对比鲜明!美国芯片股创“史上最佳季度”,而英伟达“相差甚远”
费城半导体指数二季度暴涨88%、上半年翻倍,创1999年互联网泡沫以来最强年度表现,闪迪飙升857%、美光市值突破万亿。然而这场盛宴暗藏裂痕——AI芯片霸主英伟达以7%的年内涨幅垫底,对冲基金以十年最快速度出逃,散户疯狂涌入推高波动率指数涨至83%,一场史诗级狂欢与历史级风险正同步上演。
对比鲜明!美国芯片股创“史上最佳季度”,而英伟达“相差甚远”
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超超_6103
超超_6103
·
06-15
在你们的新闻里,美国不会有一丁点好消息的,美国永远处在崩溃的边缘
为何美伊协议对美联储而言未必是鸽派信号?
美伊和平协议消息令美债大涨、降息预期升温,但美国银行泼下冷水:市场的鸽派解读可能大错特错。若协议推动WTI原油在80至90美元区间企稳,通胀温和上行叠加就业风险消退,美联储反而将面临最偏鹰派的政策环境——降息无望,加息才是正解。
为何美伊协议对美联储而言未必是鸽派信号?
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超超_6103
超超_6103
·
06-10
赶紧回应,天天口嗨,浑身上下就嘴还是硬的
伊朗武装部队发言人:将对美国威胁作出强力回应
6月10日,美股半导体板块跌幅持续扩大,$超微电脑(SMCI)$跌近18%,$安森美半导体(ON)$跌超6%,$博通(AVGO)$、$高通(QCOM)$跌超5%,$台积电(TSM)$、$AMD(AMD)$、$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$跌超3%,$英伟达(NVDA)$跌超2%。
伊朗武装部队发言人:将对美国威胁作出强力回应
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超超_6103
超超_6103
·
05-26
最高领袖开战第一天就挂了,还更猛烈回应,这国家除了放嘴炮还会干啥?
伊朗称若战争重启将更加猛烈回应,并阻止地区石油出口
回应将更加猛烈,且将动用新战术。
伊朗称若战争重启将更加猛烈回应,并阻止地区石油出口
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超超_6103
超超_6103
·
05-26
怎么能发这种新闻?美股药丸啊,太高了都是泡沫[开心]
“黑马”发力:标普500盈利增速创近五年新高
而标普500指数中的其他493家公司,合计盈利增长率为17.4%,为2021年第四季度以来的最高水平。整体来看,标普500指数第一季度盈利同比增长28.4%。长期以来,这七家大型科技公司一直是标普500盈利增长的主要驱动力,但近期指数中的其他公司也开始发力。尽管七巨头中的四家仍是第一季度标普500盈利增长的前五大贡献者,但第五大贡献者是存储芯片制造商美光科技,其对指数盈利的影响力正在上升。
“黑马”发力:标普500盈利增速创近五年新高
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超超_6103
超超_6103
·
05-04
那就是没击中,别口嗨了
伊朗称美军舰遭导弹攻击,美官员否认美船只被伊导弹击中
据新华社,美国媒体4日报道,美国高级官员否认美国船只被伊朗导弹击中。此前据伊朗法尔斯通讯社4日报道,一艘美国军舰意图通过霍尔木兹海峡,在无视伊朗海军的警告后遭到导弹攻击,被迫返航。
伊朗称美军舰遭导弹攻击,美官员否认美船只被伊导弹击中
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超超_6103
超超_6103
·
04-29
快点嘛,看看你们还有啥货
伊朗:若美继续扣押伊船只,将采取前所未有的军事行动
4月29日,美、布两油短线持续拉升!据伊朗媒体Press TV援引一位伊朗高级安全消息人士的话报道称,伊朗已发出警告,若美国继续扣押与伊朗有关的船只,伊朗将采取“前所未有的军事行动”。
伊朗:若美继续扣押伊船只,将采取前所未有的军事行动
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超超_6103
超超_6103
·
04-28
对对对,美股又要完蛋了[开心]
鲍威尔“告别日”+ Mag7 财报夜,市场拿什么硬扛?
明天最危险的剧本,是鲍威尔措辞偏鹰叠上 Mag 7 里某家指引不够强。 两个叙事同向走弱,当天行情会比任何一件事单独出问题都难看。
鲍威尔“告别日”+ Mag7 财报夜,市场拿什么硬扛?
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超超_6103
超超_6103
·
04-02
伊朗人民的敌人就是你们自己
伊朗最高领袖顾问:霍尔木兹海峡对伊朗人民的敌人将永远关闭
冲突的结束取决于伊朗的决策和力量。
伊朗最高领袖顾问:霍尔木兹海峡对伊朗人民的敌人将永远关闭
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超超_6103
超超_6103
·
03-17
马上全绿了
港股期权 | 三大指数齐涨,期权半日成交近44万张;腾讯、小米、美团交投活跃
3月17日,港股三大指数齐涨,恒生指数涨0.98%,恒生科技指数涨1.34%,国企指数涨0.93%。股票期权成交量港股期权半日成交近44万张。$MIU.HK 20260320 35.00 PUT$ $美团-W$涨近4%,期权方面:半日成交超4.2万张合约,其中于3月30日到期行权价95港元的认购期权成交量居前,成交超3900张合约。
港股期权 | 三大指数齐涨,期权半日成交近44万张;腾讯、小米、美团交投活跃
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left;\">与此同时,英伟达的相对落后折射出AI芯片需求正在向更广泛的半导体公司分散,其能否凭借下一代Vera Rubin硬件重夺主导地位,成为市场关注焦点。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">史上最佳季度:内存芯片领跑,涨幅令大盘望尘莫及</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">本轮芯片股行情的最大赢家,集中在内存与存储领域。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDK\">闪迪</a>以857%的年内涨幅位居标普500成分股首位;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">美光</a>以300%的涨幅紧随其后,市值突破1万亿美元,跻身全球最大美国内存芯片制造商之列。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDC\">西部数据</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STX\">希捷科技</a>以及大幅反弹的英特尔共同构成涨幅榜前五。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2686e7bac9d6e886ca4686433d498853\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"604\" tg-height=\"472\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Thornburg Investment Management投资组合经理Sean Sun表示:"我们看到投资者在追逐半导体行业的瓶颈所在,目前这对内存板块有利,对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>作为代工厂的复苏也有利。"</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">与此同时,韩国内存芯片巨头海力士正寻求在美国市场融资294亿美元,进一步印证了内存赛道的资本吸引力。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达掉队:AI芯片需求分散,竞争格局生变</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达是本轮行情中最引人注目的"落后者"。作为全球市值最大的公司和AI芯片的代名词,英伟达今年以来涨幅仅约7%,在费城半导体指数成分股中排名垫底。博通以约7.9%的涨幅同样远落后于板块整体。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/44e9485efd12718647644aa137603d05\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"2236\" tg-height=\"1042\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据分析,英伟达落后的核心原因在于,<strong>AI芯片的庞大支出正被分散至更广泛的半导体公司,竞争已从最初与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>的正面交锋,扩展至定制芯片设计商以及英特尔等CPU专业厂商。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Sean Sun对此解释称:"英伟达和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>正在遭遇那些瓶颈,它们不再像以前那样是高弹性品种。我认为它们仍会表现不错,但现在投资者想要的是对最强主题更大的弹性敞口。"</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">市场目前的关键问题是:英伟达下一代Vera Rubin硬件能否建立足够显著的性能优势,使其重新成为AI基础设施的首选供应商。然而,据巴伦周刊报道,即便性能表现亮眼,大型科技公司也未必愿意过度依赖单一供应商,尤其是在其资本支出规模正面临股东压力的背景下。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">UBS Global Wealth Management首席投资官Mark Haefele在研报中写道:"超大规模云厂商本月股价下跌,表明股东要求其证明支出合理性的压力正在上升,<strong>我们承认资本支出增速放缓的风险在边际上有所上升。"</strong></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">估值分化:英伟达创近年新低,部分个股严重透支</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">尽管整体板块估值已明显偏高,但内部分化极为显著。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">费城半导体指数目前市盈率约为26倍预期盈利,远高于10年均值19倍,接近2024年创下的30倍近期高点。相比之下,纳斯达克100指数市盈率为23倍,标普500为20倍。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>板块内部,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARM\">ARM Holdings</a> Plc的12个月远期市盈率超过140倍,英特尔约为100倍,按传统估值标准均属严重透支。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达则处于另一个极端——其远期市盈率仅约18倍,为2018年以来最低,远低于其10年均值36倍。美光的远期市盈率约为8倍,部分华尔街人士将这一低估值解读为营收和利润已触顶的预警信号。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Bloomberg Intelligence数据显示,<strong>分析师对芯片股前景日趋乐观,预计2027年行业盈利将增长49%,高于4月时预期的35%;营收增速预期也从29%上调至37%,均大幅领先标普500整体预期(盈利增长17%,营收增长7.4%)。</strong></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">波动加剧:散户涌入与对冲基金撤退并存</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高涨幅背后,芯片股的波动性同样创下历史纪录。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据彭博报道,追踪半导体ETF未来波动率的Cboe半导体ETF波动率指数今年以来已上涨83%,若年末维持这一涨幅,将创下该指数有史以来最大年度涨幅,目前已升至2025年4月特朗普关税冲击市场以来的最高水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">本月以来,费城半导体指数单日涨跌幅超过1%的交易日占绝大多数,期间出现过单日最大涨幅7.9%,也出现过单日跌幅逾10%的极端行情。<strong>据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>大宗经纪业务数据,对冲基金正以十年来最快速度抛售科技、媒体和电信类股票,而散户投资者的大量涌入则进一步放大了价格波动。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Cantor Fitzgerald高级董事总经理兼科技分析师CJ Muse表示:"投资者结构的新变化正在加剧波动,与此同时,几乎每周都有新的AI能力白皮书问世。我们将在这种高度波动的市场中持续一段时间。"</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他同时指出,市场当前最大的担忧在于超大规模云厂商能否在2026年之后维持并扩大资本支出,但他本人并不认为这场"烧钱潮"会很快结束。目前,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>、Alphabet和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta</a>均维持着激进的资本支出计划。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>对比鲜明!美国芯片股创“史上最佳季度”,而英伟达“相差甚远”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n对比鲜明!美国芯片股创“史上最佳季度”,而英伟达“相差甚远”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-07-01 08:44</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美国芯片股在2026年上半年创下历史性涨幅,但这场盛宴并非人人共享,AI芯片龙头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>今年以来涨幅仅约7%,在半导体指数成分股中垫底,与整个板块的狂欢形成鲜明反差。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">截止周二收盘,<strong>费城半导体指数第二季度大涨88%,创下该指数有史以来最佳单季表现,上半年累计涨幅达101%</strong>,有望创下自1999年互联网泡沫以来最强年度表现。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">相比之下,纳斯达克100指数同期上涨28%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数上涨15%,均远逊于芯片板块。推动这轮行情的核心动力,是市场对AI基础设施需求的强烈押注。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而,就在庆功时刻,上周半导体指数单周重挫7.9%,创下2025年4月以来最大单周跌幅,本周一盘中更一度下跌3.2%后反弹收涨3.8%,剧烈震荡令投资者开始重新审视这轮涨势的可持续性。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">与此同时,英伟达的相对落后折射出AI芯片需求正在向更广泛的半导体公司分散,其能否凭借下一代Vera Rubin硬件重夺主导地位,成为市场关注焦点。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">史上最佳季度:内存芯片领跑,涨幅令大盘望尘莫及</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">本轮芯片股行情的最大赢家,集中在内存与存储领域。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDK\">闪迪</a>以857%的年内涨幅位居标普500成分股首位;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">美光</a>以300%的涨幅紧随其后,市值突破1万亿美元,跻身全球最大美国内存芯片制造商之列。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDC\">西部数据</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STX\">希捷科技</a>以及大幅反弹的英特尔共同构成涨幅榜前五。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2686e7bac9d6e886ca4686433d498853\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"604\" tg-height=\"472\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Thornburg Investment Management投资组合经理Sean Sun表示:"我们看到投资者在追逐半导体行业的瓶颈所在,目前这对内存板块有利,对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>作为代工厂的复苏也有利。"</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">与此同时,韩国内存芯片巨头海力士正寻求在美国市场融资294亿美元,进一步印证了内存赛道的资本吸引力。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达掉队:AI芯片需求分散,竞争格局生变</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达是本轮行情中最引人注目的"落后者"。作为全球市值最大的公司和AI芯片的代名词,英伟达今年以来涨幅仅约7%,在费城半导体指数成分股中排名垫底。博通以约7.9%的涨幅同样远落后于板块整体。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/44e9485efd12718647644aa137603d05\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"2236\" tg-height=\"1042\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据分析,英伟达落后的核心原因在于,<strong>AI芯片的庞大支出正被分散至更广泛的半导体公司,竞争已从最初与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>的正面交锋,扩展至定制芯片设计商以及英特尔等CPU专业厂商。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Sean Sun对此解释称:"英伟达和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>正在遭遇那些瓶颈,它们不再像以前那样是高弹性品种。我认为它们仍会表现不错,但现在投资者想要的是对最强主题更大的弹性敞口。"</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">市场目前的关键问题是:英伟达下一代Vera Rubin硬件能否建立足够显著的性能优势,使其重新成为AI基础设施的首选供应商。然而,据巴伦周刊报道,即便性能表现亮眼,大型科技公司也未必愿意过度依赖单一供应商,尤其是在其资本支出规模正面临股东压力的背景下。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">UBS Global Wealth Management首席投资官Mark Haefele在研报中写道:"超大规模云厂商本月股价下跌,表明股东要求其证明支出合理性的压力正在上升,<strong>我们承认资本支出增速放缓的风险在边际上有所上升。"</strong></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">估值分化:英伟达创近年新低,部分个股严重透支</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">尽管整体板块估值已明显偏高,但内部分化极为显著。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">费城半导体指数目前市盈率约为26倍预期盈利,远高于10年均值19倍,接近2024年创下的30倍近期高点。相比之下,纳斯达克100指数市盈率为23倍,标普500为20倍。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>板块内部,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARM\">ARM Holdings</a> Plc的12个月远期市盈率超过140倍,英特尔约为100倍,按传统估值标准均属严重透支。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达则处于另一个极端——其远期市盈率仅约18倍,为2018年以来最低,远低于其10年均值36倍。美光的远期市盈率约为8倍,部分华尔街人士将这一低估值解读为营收和利润已触顶的预警信号。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Bloomberg Intelligence数据显示,<strong>分析师对芯片股前景日趋乐观,预计2027年行业盈利将增长49%,高于4月时预期的35%;营收增速预期也从29%上调至37%,均大幅领先标普500整体预期(盈利增长17%,营收增长7.4%)。</strong></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">波动加剧:散户涌入与对冲基金撤退并存</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高涨幅背后,芯片股的波动性同样创下历史纪录。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据彭博报道,追踪半导体ETF未来波动率的Cboe半导体ETF波动率指数今年以来已上涨83%,若年末维持这一涨幅,将创下该指数有史以来最大年度涨幅,目前已升至2025年4月特朗普关税冲击市场以来的最高水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">本月以来,费城半导体指数单日涨跌幅超过1%的交易日占绝大多数,期间出现过单日最大涨幅7.9%,也出现过单日跌幅逾10%的极端行情。<strong>据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>大宗经纪业务数据,对冲基金正以十年来最快速度抛售科技、媒体和电信类股票,而散户投资者的大量涌入则进一步放大了价格波动。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Cantor Fitzgerald高级董事总经理兼科技分析师CJ Muse表示:"投资者结构的新变化正在加剧波动,与此同时,几乎每周都有新的AI能力白皮书问世。我们将在这种高度波动的市场中持续一段时间。"</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他同时指出,市场当前最大的担忧在于超大规模云厂商能否在2026年之后维持并扩大资本支出,但他本人并不认为这场"烧钱潮"会很快结束。目前,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>、Alphabet和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta</a>均维持着激进的资本支出计划。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92a41d20711c9fa4b2aa3cc62ea62948","relate_stocks":{"LU2237438978.USD":"Amundi Funds US Pioneer A2 (C) USD","LU1988902786.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS GLOBAL ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","NVDY":"NVDA期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","LU0274383776.USD":"MANULIFE GF US SMALL CAP EQUITY \"AA\" (USD) 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SGD"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3775904","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2648593022","content_text":"美国芯片股在2026年上半年创下历史性涨幅,但这场盛宴并非人人共享,AI芯片龙头英伟达今年以来涨幅仅约7%,在半导体指数成分股中垫底,与整个板块的狂欢形成鲜明反差。截止周二收盘,费城半导体指数第二季度大涨88%,创下该指数有史以来最佳单季表现,上半年累计涨幅达101%,有望创下自1999年互联网泡沫以来最强年度表现。相比之下,纳斯达克100指数同期上涨28%,标普500指数上涨15%,均远逊于芯片板块。推动这轮行情的核心动力,是市场对AI基础设施需求的强烈押注。然而,就在庆功时刻,上周半导体指数单周重挫7.9%,创下2025年4月以来最大单周跌幅,本周一盘中更一度下跌3.2%后反弹收涨3.8%,剧烈震荡令投资者开始重新审视这轮涨势的可持续性。与此同时,英伟达的相对落后折射出AI芯片需求正在向更广泛的半导体公司分散,其能否凭借下一代Vera Rubin硬件重夺主导地位,成为市场关注焦点。史上最佳季度:内存芯片领跑,涨幅令大盘望尘莫及本轮芯片股行情的最大赢家,集中在内存与存储领域。闪迪以857%的年内涨幅位居标普500成分股首位;美光以300%的涨幅紧随其后,市值突破1万亿美元,跻身全球最大美国内存芯片制造商之列。西部数据、希捷科技以及大幅反弹的英特尔共同构成涨幅榜前五。Thornburg Investment Management投资组合经理Sean Sun表示:\"我们看到投资者在追逐半导体行业的瓶颈所在,目前这对内存板块有利,对英特尔作为代工厂的复苏也有利。\"与此同时,韩国内存芯片巨头海力士正寻求在美国市场融资294亿美元,进一步印证了内存赛道的资本吸引力。英伟达掉队:AI芯片需求分散,竞争格局生变英伟达是本轮行情中最引人注目的\"落后者\"。作为全球市值最大的公司和AI芯片的代名词,英伟达今年以来涨幅仅约7%,在费城半导体指数成分股中排名垫底。博通以约7.9%的涨幅同样远落后于板块整体。据分析,英伟达落后的核心原因在于,AI芯片的庞大支出正被分散至更广泛的半导体公司,竞争已从最初与AMD的正面交锋,扩展至定制芯片设计商以及英特尔等CPU专业厂商。Sean Sun对此解释称:\"英伟达和博通正在遭遇那些瓶颈,它们不再像以前那样是高弹性品种。我认为它们仍会表现不错,但现在投资者想要的是对最强主题更大的弹性敞口。\"市场目前的关键问题是:英伟达下一代Vera Rubin硬件能否建立足够显著的性能优势,使其重新成为AI基础设施的首选供应商。然而,据巴伦周刊报道,即便性能表现亮眼,大型科技公司也未必愿意过度依赖单一供应商,尤其是在其资本支出规模正面临股东压力的背景下。UBS Global Wealth Management首席投资官Mark Haefele在研报中写道:\"超大规模云厂商本月股价下跌,表明股东要求其证明支出合理性的压力正在上升,我们承认资本支出增速放缓的风险在边际上有所上升。\"估值分化:英伟达创近年新低,部分个股严重透支尽管整体板块估值已明显偏高,但内部分化极为显著。费城半导体指数目前市盈率约为26倍预期盈利,远高于10年均值19倍,接近2024年创下的30倍近期高点。相比之下,纳斯达克100指数市盈率为23倍,标普500为20倍。板块内部,ARM Holdings Plc的12个月远期市盈率超过140倍,英特尔约为100倍,按传统估值标准均属严重透支。英伟达则处于另一个极端——其远期市盈率仅约18倍,为2018年以来最低,远低于其10年均值36倍。美光的远期市盈率约为8倍,部分华尔街人士将这一低估值解读为营收和利润已触顶的预警信号。Bloomberg Intelligence数据显示,分析师对芯片股前景日趋乐观,预计2027年行业盈利将增长49%,高于4月时预期的35%;营收增速预期也从29%上调至37%,均大幅领先标普500整体预期(盈利增长17%,营收增长7.4%)。波动加剧:散户涌入与对冲基金撤退并存高涨幅背后,芯片股的波动性同样创下历史纪录。据彭博报道,追踪半导体ETF未来波动率的Cboe半导体ETF波动率指数今年以来已上涨83%,若年末维持这一涨幅,将创下该指数有史以来最大年度涨幅,目前已升至2025年4月特朗普关税冲击市场以来的最高水平。本月以来,费城半导体指数单日涨跌幅超过1%的交易日占绝大多数,期间出现过单日最大涨幅7.9%,也出现过单日跌幅逾10%的极端行情。据高盛大宗经纪业务数据,对冲基金正以十年来最快速度抛售科技、媒体和电信类股票,而散户投资者的大量涌入则进一步放大了价格波动。Cantor Fitzgerald高级董事总经理兼科技分析师CJ Muse表示:\"投资者结构的新变化正在加剧波动,与此同时,几乎每周都有新的AI能力白皮书问世。我们将在这种高度波动的市场中持续一段时间。\"他同时指出,市场当前最大的担忧在于超大规模云厂商能否在2026年之后维持并扩大资本支出,但他本人并不认为这场\"烧钱潮\"会很快结束。目前,微软、亚马逊、Alphabet和Meta均维持着激进的资本支出计划。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDW":0.6,"2NVD.UK":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"NVD3.UK":0.6,"DIPS":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"NVDG":0.6,"NVII":0.6,"ANV":0.6,"NVDB":0.6,"SNVD.UK":0.6,"NVDQ":0.6,"3NVD.UK":0.6,"SOX":1.91,"NVDS":0.6,"NVDA":2.1,"NVDD":0.6,"07788":0.6,"NVDS.UK":0.6,"NVYY":0.6,"07388":0.6,"NVD":0.6,"NVIW.SI":0.6,"NVDL":0.6,"NVD2.UK":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"NVDO":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":63,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":575505331030672,"gmtCreate":1781518190373,"gmtModify":1781518306928,"author":{"id":"3492787339030986","authorId":"3492787339030986","name":"超超_6103","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e178c9f28079df8f96fc5ef22800a38f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492787339030986","authorIdStr":"3492787339030986"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"在你们的新闻里,美国不会有一丁点好消息的,美国永远处在崩溃的边缘","listText":"在你们的新闻里,美国不会有一丁点好消息的,美国永远处在崩溃的边缘","text":"在你们的新闻里,美国不会有一丁点好消息的,美国永远处在崩溃的边缘","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/575505331030672","repostId":"2643275602","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2643275602","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1781513701,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2643275602?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-06-15 16:55","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"为何美伊协议对美联储而言未必是鸽派信号?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2643275602","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美伊和平协议消息令美债大涨、降息预期升温,但美国银行泼下冷水:市场的鸽派解读可能大错特错。若协议推动WTI原油在80至90美元区间企稳,通胀温和上行叠加就业风险消退,美联储反而将面临最偏鹰派的政策环境——降息无望,加息才是正解。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美伊和平协议的消息推动美债大涨、降息预期快速升温,但美国银行提出警示:市场的鸽派解读可能是一厢情愿。若协议促使油价在温和区间企稳,反而可能制造出最偏鹰派的货币政策环境。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">受美伊即将达成和平协议的消息刺激,美债大幅上涨,年底前的美联储降息定价跌破一次完整降息。市场逻辑直觉上似乎成立:油价下行→通胀回落→美联储具备降息条件。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而,据美银研究报告,协议的影响并非单向。协议不仅会缓解通胀上行风险,<strong>同时也将消除此前市场对经济活动与就业市场遭受滞后性冲击的担忧。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>对美联储而言最偏鹰派的结果,恰恰是油价温和上涨——幅度足以令核心PCE上升数个基点,但又不至于对经济与就业造成实质性威胁。若协议促使WTI原油价格在80至90美元区间企稳,正是这一情景的精确映射。</strong></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">鸽派幻觉:市场反应与美银的反驳</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美银认为,单纯将协议与油价下行、通胀缓解、联储转鸽画等号,<strong>忽视了协议对美联储双重使命——稳定通胀与充分就业——的复合影响,是一种失之简单的解读。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美银以WTI原油价格为轴,构建了一套分析美联储双重使命风险的框架。在该框架下,<strong>当油价处于较低水平时,对经济活动和失业率的下行风险占主导;当油价升至80至100美元以上区间时,通胀风险转为核心矛盾,加息预期随之升温。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/346672a06f287098c454cf8201ad781e\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"744\" tg-height=\"450\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">分析师指出,美伊协议若达成,将同时作用于上述两类风险:<strong>一方面,油价大幅飙升的通胀尾部风险得以化解;另一方面,此前困扰市场的"高油价对经济活动造成滞后性冲击"的担忧也随之消散。两种风险的协同弱化意味着,美联储面临的政策权衡将更趋中性,而非单边偏向宽松。这正是市场鸽派逻辑的盲区所在。</strong></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">最鹰派情景:WTI企稳80至90美元</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美银的核心结论是:若美伊协议促使WTI原油在80至90美元区间企稳,这反而可能是对美联储最偏鹰派的政策结果。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在这一价格区间,油价向核心PCE的传导足以带来数个基点的通胀上行压力,但又不至于高到引发对经济活动与就业市场的实质性担忧。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">换言之,<strong>美联储将面临"通胀温和偏高、经济增长尚稳"的组合环境——既无充足理由降息,甚至不排除加息的可能性</strong>。报告明确指出,在WTI均价长期维持80至100美元区间的情景下,加息是最合理的政策路径。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>为何美伊协议对美联储而言未必是鸽派信号?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n为何美伊协议对美联储而言未必是鸽派信号?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-06-15 16:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美伊和平协议的消息推动美债大涨、降息预期快速升温,但美国银行提出警示:市场的鸽派解读可能是一厢情愿。若协议促使油价在温和区间企稳,反而可能制造出最偏鹰派的货币政策环境。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">受美伊即将达成和平协议的消息刺激,美债大幅上涨,年底前的美联储降息定价跌破一次完整降息。市场逻辑直觉上似乎成立:油价下行→通胀回落→美联储具备降息条件。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而,据美银研究报告,协议的影响并非单向。协议不仅会缓解通胀上行风险,<strong>同时也将消除此前市场对经济活动与就业市场遭受滞后性冲击的担忧。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>对美联储而言最偏鹰派的结果,恰恰是油价温和上涨——幅度足以令核心PCE上升数个基点,但又不至于对经济与就业造成实质性威胁。若协议促使WTI原油价格在80至90美元区间企稳,正是这一情景的精确映射。</strong></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">鸽派幻觉:市场反应与美银的反驳</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美银认为,单纯将协议与油价下行、通胀缓解、联储转鸽画等号,<strong>忽视了协议对美联储双重使命——稳定通胀与充分就业——的复合影响,是一种失之简单的解读。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美银以WTI原油价格为轴,构建了一套分析美联储双重使命风险的框架。在该框架下,<strong>当油价处于较低水平时,对经济活动和失业率的下行风险占主导;当油价升至80至100美元以上区间时,通胀风险转为核心矛盾,加息预期随之升温。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/346672a06f287098c454cf8201ad781e\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"744\" tg-height=\"450\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">分析师指出,美伊协议若达成,将同时作用于上述两类风险:<strong>一方面,油价大幅飙升的通胀尾部风险得以化解;另一方面,此前困扰市场的"高油价对经济活动造成滞后性冲击"的担忧也随之消散。两种风险的协同弱化意味着,美联储面临的政策权衡将更趋中性,而非单边偏向宽松。这正是市场鸽派逻辑的盲区所在。</strong></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">最鹰派情景:WTI企稳80至90美元</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美银的核心结论是:若美伊协议促使WTI原油在80至90美元区间企稳,这反而可能是对美联储最偏鹰派的政策结果。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在这一价格区间,油价向核心PCE的传导足以带来数个基点的通胀上行压力,但又不至于高到引发对经济活动与就业市场的实质性担忧。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">换言之,<strong>美联储将面临"通胀温和偏高、经济增长尚稳"的组合环境——既无充足理由降息,甚至不排除加息的可能性</strong>。报告明确指出,在WTI均价长期维持80至100美元区间的情景下,加息是最合理的政策路径。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{"TIP":"通胀债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays","USHY":"iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF","EDV":"美国延期国债ETF-Vanguard","BOXX":"ALPHA ARCHITECT 1-3 MONTH BOX ETF","KBE":"银行指数ETF-SPDR KBW","GBIL":"Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF","TMF":"3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion","SPY":"标普500ETF","VGLT":"美国长期国债ETF-Vanguard","VXX":"短期VIX期货ETN","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","JPST":"JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","ZROZ":"PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","DBND":"DoubleLine 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ETF","VGSH":"美国短期国债ETF-Vanguard","TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","VCIT":"美国中期公司债-Vanguard","UVXY":"1.5倍做多短期期货恐慌指数ETF-Proshares","MUB":"美国市政债ETF-iShares","SVXY":"做空波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares","VGIT":"中期国债ETF-Vanguard","TBIL":"US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3774677","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2643275602","content_text":"美伊和平协议的消息推动美债大涨、降息预期快速升温,但美国银行提出警示:市场的鸽派解读可能是一厢情愿。若协议促使油价在温和区间企稳,反而可能制造出最偏鹰派的货币政策环境。受美伊即将达成和平协议的消息刺激,美债大幅上涨,年底前的美联储降息定价跌破一次完整降息。市场逻辑直觉上似乎成立:油价下行→通胀回落→美联储具备降息条件。然而,据美银研究报告,协议的影响并非单向。协议不仅会缓解通胀上行风险,同时也将消除此前市场对经济活动与就业市场遭受滞后性冲击的担忧。对美联储而言最偏鹰派的结果,恰恰是油价温和上涨——幅度足以令核心PCE上升数个基点,但又不至于对经济与就业造成实质性威胁。若协议促使WTI原油价格在80至90美元区间企稳,正是这一情景的精确映射。鸽派幻觉:市场反应与美银的反驳美银认为,单纯将协议与油价下行、通胀缓解、联储转鸽画等号,忽视了协议对美联储双重使命——稳定通胀与充分就业——的复合影响,是一种失之简单的解读。美银以WTI原油价格为轴,构建了一套分析美联储双重使命风险的框架。在该框架下,当油价处于较低水平时,对经济活动和失业率的下行风险占主导;当油价升至80至100美元以上区间时,通胀风险转为核心矛盾,加息预期随之升温。分析师指出,美伊协议若达成,将同时作用于上述两类风险:一方面,油价大幅飙升的通胀尾部风险得以化解;另一方面,此前困扰市场的\"高油价对经济活动造成滞后性冲击\"的担忧也随之消散。两种风险的协同弱化意味着,美联储面临的政策权衡将更趋中性,而非单边偏向宽松。这正是市场鸽派逻辑的盲区所在。最鹰派情景:WTI企稳80至90美元美银的核心结论是:若美伊协议促使WTI原油在80至90美元区间企稳,这反而可能是对美联储最偏鹰派的政策结果。在这一价格区间,油价向核心PCE的传导足以带来数个基点的通胀上行压力,但又不至于高到引发对经济活动与就业市场的实质性担忧。换言之,美联储将面临\"通胀温和偏高、经济增长尚稳\"的组合环境——既无充足理由降息,甚至不排除加息的可能性。报告明确指出,在WTI均价长期维持80至100美元区间的情景下,加息是最合理的政策路径。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GBIL":1.5,"NGHT":1.5,"TIP":1.5,"IEI":1.5,"SHY":1.5,"QQQ":2,"YMmain":2,".SPX":2,"GOLY":1.5,"LQD":1.5,"MUB":1.5,"BSV":1.5,"US30Y.BOND":1.5,"USHY":1.5,"VXX":2,"TMF":1.5,"TQQQ":2,"EDV":1.5,"TBT":1.5,"VIX":2,"SVXY":0.6,"BOXX":1.5,"ZROZ":1.5,"DBND":1.5,"BOND":1.5,".DJI":2,"TBIL":1.5,"UVIX":0.6,"SKRE":1.5,"US10Y.BOND":1.5,"KBE":1.5,"SVIX":0.6,"VGLT":1.5,"US5Y.BOND":1.5,"UVXY":0.6,"VIXY":2,"UBT":1.5,".IXIC":2,"SCHO":1.5,"VGIT":1.5,"VGSH":1.5,"GOVT":1.5,"VCSH":1.5,"FAZ":1.5,"TLH":1.5,"VIXmain":2,"IEF":1.5,"TYO":1.5,"UDN":1.5,"UUP":1.5,"VCIT":1.5,"PBDC":1.5,"SPY":1.5,"HYG":1.5,"SQQQ":2,"JPST":1.5,"ESmain":2,"NQmain":2,"TLTW":1.5,"US3Y.BOND":1.5,"TLT":1.5,"US2Y.BOND":1.5,"MINT":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":573755592640384,"gmtCreate":1781106710745,"gmtModify":1781107477947,"author":{"id":"3492787339030986","authorId":"3492787339030986","name":"超超_6103","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e178c9f28079df8f96fc5ef22800a38f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492787339030986","authorIdStr":"3492787339030986"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"赶紧回应,天天口嗨,浑身上下就嘴还是硬的","listText":"赶紧回应,天天口嗨,浑身上下就嘴还是硬的","text":"赶紧回应,天天口嗨,浑身上下就嘴还是硬的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/573755592640384","repostId":"1126329590","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126329590","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1781104413,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126329590?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-06-10 23:13","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"伊朗武装部队发言人:将对美国威胁作出强力回应","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126329590","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"6月10日,美股半导体板块跌幅持续扩大,$超微电脑(SMCI)$跌近18%,$安森美半导体(ON)$跌超6%,$博通(AVGO)$、$高通(QCOM)$跌超5%,$台积电(TSM)$、$AMD(AMD)$、$迈威尔科技(MRVL)$跌超3%,$英伟达(NVDA)$跌超2%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>6月10日,美股冲高回落,持续下挫,道琼斯指数跌1.13%,标普500指数跌1.05%,纳斯达克综合指数跌1.33%。据伊朗法尔斯通讯社10日报道,伊朗武装部队发言人阿布法兹勒·谢卡尔希当天就美国总统特朗普打击伊朗基础设施的言论表示,伊朗将对每一个来自美国的威胁作出“比以往更严厉、更强力、更具毁灭性”的回应。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1163d61948af2a7158f200b8d8e2a7ae\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><p>美股半导体板块盘中跌幅扩大,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMCI\">超微电脑</a>跌近18%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>跌超6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>跌超5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">迈威尔科技</a>跌超3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>跌超2%;</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26007c642d9658ac3d59f6b5a00af37d\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>伊朗武装部队发言人:将对美国威胁作出强力回应</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n伊朗武装部队发言人:将对美国威胁作出强力回应\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-06-10 23:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>6月10日,美股冲高回落,持续下挫,道琼斯指数跌1.13%,标普500指数跌1.05%,纳斯达克综合指数跌1.33%。据伊朗法尔斯通讯社10日报道,伊朗武装部队发言人阿布法兹勒·谢卡尔希当天就美国总统特朗普打击伊朗基础设施的言论表示,伊朗将对每一个来自美国的威胁作出“比以往更严厉、更强力、更具毁灭性”的回应。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1163d61948af2a7158f200b8d8e2a7ae\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><p>美股半导体板块盘中跌幅扩大,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMCI\">超微电脑</a>跌近18%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>跌超6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>跌超5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">迈威尔科技</a>跌超3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>跌超2%;</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26007c642d9658ac3d59f6b5a00af37d\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"159582":"半导体","LU0724618433.USD":"BGF NEW ENERGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","BK4605":"半导体精选","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","IE00BFMHRM44.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN GLOBAL EQUITY MEGATRENDS \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1978683503.SGD":"Blackrock Sustainable Energy A2 SGD-H","SPYQ":"2倍做多SPY Quarterly ETF-Tradr","SMCC":"2倍做多SMCI ETF-Corgi","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SOXY":"YieldMax Target 12 Semiconductor Option Income ETF","USD":"ProShares Ultra Semiconductors","VGT":"信息技术ETF-Vanguard","SMH":"半导体指数ETF-HOLDRs","LU1854103824.USD":"M&G (LUX) POSITIVE IMPACT \"A\" (USD) INC","SPY":"标普500ETF","IE00BD6J9T35.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN NEXT GENERATION MOBILITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","XSD":"SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF","SPYU":"MAX S&P 500 4X Leveraged ETN","SMCL":"2倍做多SMCI 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Semiconductors","BK4588":"碎股"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126329590","content_text":"6月10日,美股冲高回落,持续下挫,道琼斯指数跌1.13%,标普500指数跌1.05%,纳斯达克综合指数跌1.33%。据伊朗法尔斯通讯社10日报道,伊朗武装部队发言人阿布法兹勒·谢卡尔希当天就美国总统特朗普打击伊朗基础设施的言论表示,伊朗将对每一个来自美国的威胁作出“比以往更严厉、更强力、更具毁灭性”的回应。美股半导体板块盘中跌幅扩大,超微电脑跌近18%,安森美半导体跌超6%,博通、高通跌超5%,台积电、AMD、迈威尔科技跌超3%,英伟达跌超2%;","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159582":1.5,"SPYQ":0.6,"XSD":1.5,"SPYU":0.6,"SPXL":0.6,"SMHX":1.5,"SOXY":1.5,"CHPY":1.5,"IVV":0.6,".SPX":2,"SH":0.6,"CHPS":1.5,"SMCC":0.6,"SOXL":1.5,"TEKX":1.5,"SMYY":0.6,"SPUU":0.6,"SPXS":0.6,"SMCX":0.6,"SMH":1.5,"SPY":0.6,"SMAX":0.6,"SSG":1.5,"SOXX":1.5,"SMCL":0.6,"MMAX":0.6,"USD":1.5,"SPXU":0.6,"VOO":0.6,"SOXS":1.5,"DMAX":0.6,"SPYM":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"HIBL":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SMCI":1.5,"SPDN":0.6,"SMCY":0.6,"FTXL":1.5,".IXIC":1.5,"PSI":1.5,"VGT":1.5,"UPRO":0.6,"YSPY":0.6,"SPYH":0.6,"SOXQ":1.5,"SMCZ":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":568408760496376,"gmtCreate":1779780794362,"gmtModify":1779781993116,"author":{"id":"3492787339030986","authorId":"3492787339030986","name":"超超_6103","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e178c9f28079df8f96fc5ef22800a38f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492787339030986","authorIdStr":"3492787339030986"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"最高领袖开战第一天就挂了,还更猛烈回应,这国家除了放嘴炮还会干啥?","listText":"最高领袖开战第一天就挂了,还更猛烈回应,这国家除了放嘴炮还会干啥?","text":"最高领袖开战第一天就挂了,还更猛烈回应,这国家除了放嘴炮还会干啥?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/568408760496376","repostId":"1159917239","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159917239","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1779779815,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159917239?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-05-26 15:16","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"伊朗称若战争重启将更加猛烈回应,并阻止地区石油出口","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159917239","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"回应将更加猛烈,且将动用新战术。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">当地时间26日,伊朗武装部队总参谋部发言人谢卡尔希表示,伊朗已为战争做好准备,若美国和以色列发动新的攻击,伊方的回应将更加猛烈,且将动用新战术。他表示,若战争重启且伊朗出口遭禁,伊方将阻止地区石油外运。(央视新闻)</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">此前,伊朗最高领袖表示,区域国家将不再为美国军事基地提供防护,美国在该地区也将不再拥有避风港。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">国际油价短线拉升,跌幅收窄。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23f599d45efaee9904bae69b35241bf0\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"1266\" tg-height=\"501\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-05-26 15:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">当地时间26日,伊朗武装部队总参谋部发言人谢卡尔希表示,伊朗已为战争做好准备,若美国和以色列发动新的攻击,伊方的回应将更加猛烈,且将动用新战术。他表示,若战争重启且伊朗出口遭禁,伊方将阻止地区石油外运。(央视新闻)</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">此前,伊朗最高领袖表示,区域国家将不再为美国军事基地提供防护,美国在该地区也将不再拥有避风港。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">国际油价短线拉升,跌幅收窄。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23f599d45efaee9904bae69b35241bf0\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"1266\" tg-height=\"501\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7aec10468a19ca153d88f05dd7d5e10a","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159917239","content_text":"当地时间26日,伊朗武装部队总参谋部发言人谢卡尔希表示,伊朗已为战争做好准备,若美国和以色列发动新的攻击,伊方的回应将更加猛烈,且将动用新战术。他表示,若战争重启且伊朗出口遭禁,伊方将阻止地区石油外运。(央视新闻)此前,伊朗最高领袖表示,区域国家将不再为美国军事基地提供防护,美国在该地区也将不再拥有避风港。国际油价短线拉升,跌幅收窄。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BZmain":2,"CLmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":568347357773976,"gmtCreate":1779777967934,"gmtModify":1779779877077,"author":{"id":"3492787339030986","authorId":"3492787339030986","name":"超超_6103","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e178c9f28079df8f96fc5ef22800a38f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492787339030986","authorIdStr":"3492787339030986"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"怎么能发这种新闻?美股药丸啊,太高了都是泡沫[开心] ","listText":"怎么能发这种新闻?美股药丸啊,太高了都是泡沫[开心] ","text":"怎么能发这种新闻?美股药丸啊,太高了都是泡沫[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/568347357773976","repostId":"1199619549","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199619549","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1779776444,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199619549?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-05-26 14:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"“黑马”发力:标普500盈利增速创近五年新高","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199619549","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"而标普500指数中的其他493家公司,合计盈利增长率为17.4%,为2021年第四季度以来的最高水平。整体来看,标普500指数第一季度盈利同比增长28.4%。长期以来,这七家大型科技公司一直是标普500盈利增长的主要驱动力,但近期指数中的其他公司也开始发力。尽管七巨头中的四家仍是第一季度标普500盈利增长的前五大贡献者,但第五大贡献者是存储芯片制造商美光科技,其对指数盈利的影响力正在上升。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>根据FactSet周四发布的一份报告,“科技七巨头”(Magnificent Seven)——英伟达、微软、Alphabet、亚马逊、Meta Platforms、苹果和特斯拉——第一季度合计实现了63.2%的每股收益增长,创下自2021年第二季度以来的最大增幅。而标普500指数中的其他493家公司,合计盈利增长率为17.4%,为2021年第四季度以来的最高水平。整体来看,标普500指数第一季度盈利同比增长28.4%(综合已公布及预估数据)。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b4d882a72b741335a2d1f2f6ef37d7f2\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">长期以来,这七家大型科技公司一直是标普500盈利增长的主要驱动力,但近期指数中的其他公司也开始发力。这些涨幅来自一些不如科技股受关注的领域——例如材料行业,受益于化肥和锂等需求的激增。非必需消费品板块的贡献不仅来自亚马逊,还包括福特汽车等公司,后者因获得大额关税退税而利润大增。FactSet追踪的11个行业板块中有10个实现盈利增长,多数为两位数增幅。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/79d6e470816852b85a71b0814e473a70\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">尽管七巨头中的四家(英伟达、Alphabet、亚马逊和Meta)仍是第一季度标普500盈利增长的前五大贡献者,但第五大贡献者是存储芯片制造商美光科技,其对指数盈利的影响力正在上升。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/beb24361f3accf3faac6300905d285a0\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">然而,在盈利超预期的同时,市场也暗藏隐忧。英伟达上周给出了乐观的前景展望,但这似乎不足以让投资者满意——对于一家市值超5万亿美元的公司,华尔街几乎不容许任何差错。分析师不时表达对英伟达潜在竞争、科技巨头AI雄心的高昂成本以及需求前景的担忧,因为AI基础设施建设已是数万亿美元级别的工程。这场技术竞赛已导致存储芯片供应紧张,可能推高电子产品等成本。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">部分分析师指出,2026年第一季度覆盖了伊朗冲突爆发前的两个月,整体消费支出背景相对宽松。但上周美国几家大型零售商的业绩和指引让投资者变得谨慎。家得宝表示消费者状况尚可,但仍不愿投入更大、更昂贵的家装项目。化妆品公司e.l.f. Beauty在需求下滑迹象出现后计划下调部分产品价格。塔吉特称其转型正在见效,但投资者质疑反弹能持续多久。沃尔玛则表示,虽然高收入消费者仍在消费,但顾客为了省钱正减少加油量。沃尔玛CFO John David Rainey在财报电话会上说:“这显示出压力。我认为如果燃油价格维持在当前水平,可能会对平均零售单价产生上行压力。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d246603216786b8ea3a33acbfe105bc1\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Logan Capital Management董事总经理兼投资组合经理Sarah Henry对MarketWatch表示,沃尔玛关于消费者成本的言论比前几个季度更为尖锐。不过她也指出,Ralph Lauren和Williams-Sonoma的乐观情绪值得关注,他们的季度业绩显示至少富裕消费者仍在购物。Henry说,零售商业绩“表明K形复苏变得更加尖锐和明显”——即富裕消费者继续支出,而其他人群则缩减开支。她还指出,零售商业绩是在食品价格较疫情前上涨30%的背景下取得的,而较高的利率则抑制了通常需要融资的大件商品购买。即便如此,公司财报并未变得更糟,她表示:“总体而言,这个财报季的强劲表现是令人瞩目的。”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“黑马”发力:标普500盈利增速创近五年新高</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“黑马”发力:标普500盈利增速创近五年新高\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-05-26 14:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>根据FactSet周四发布的一份报告,“科技七巨头”(Magnificent Seven)——英伟达、微软、Alphabet、亚马逊、Meta Platforms、苹果和特斯拉——第一季度合计实现了63.2%的每股收益增长,创下自2021年第二季度以来的最大增幅。而标普500指数中的其他493家公司,合计盈利增长率为17.4%,为2021年第四季度以来的最高水平。整体来看,标普500指数第一季度盈利同比增长28.4%(综合已公布及预估数据)。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b4d882a72b741335a2d1f2f6ef37d7f2\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">长期以来,这七家大型科技公司一直是标普500盈利增长的主要驱动力,但近期指数中的其他公司也开始发力。这些涨幅来自一些不如科技股受关注的领域——例如材料行业,受益于化肥和锂等需求的激增。非必需消费品板块的贡献不仅来自亚马逊,还包括福特汽车等公司,后者因获得大额关税退税而利润大增。FactSet追踪的11个行业板块中有10个实现盈利增长,多数为两位数增幅。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/79d6e470816852b85a71b0814e473a70\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">尽管七巨头中的四家(英伟达、Alphabet、亚马逊和Meta)仍是第一季度标普500盈利增长的前五大贡献者,但第五大贡献者是存储芯片制造商美光科技,其对指数盈利的影响力正在上升。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/beb24361f3accf3faac6300905d285a0\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">然而,在盈利超预期的同时,市场也暗藏隐忧。英伟达上周给出了乐观的前景展望,但这似乎不足以让投资者满意——对于一家市值超5万亿美元的公司,华尔街几乎不容许任何差错。分析师不时表达对英伟达潜在竞争、科技巨头AI雄心的高昂成本以及需求前景的担忧,因为AI基础设施建设已是数万亿美元级别的工程。这场技术竞赛已导致存储芯片供应紧张,可能推高电子产品等成本。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">部分分析师指出,2026年第一季度覆盖了伊朗冲突爆发前的两个月,整体消费支出背景相对宽松。但上周美国几家大型零售商的业绩和指引让投资者变得谨慎。家得宝表示消费者状况尚可,但仍不愿投入更大、更昂贵的家装项目。化妆品公司e.l.f. Beauty在需求下滑迹象出现后计划下调部分产品价格。塔吉特称其转型正在见效,但投资者质疑反弹能持续多久。沃尔玛则表示,虽然高收入消费者仍在消费,但顾客为了省钱正减少加油量。沃尔玛CFO John David Rainey在财报电话会上说:“这显示出压力。我认为如果燃油价格维持在当前水平,可能会对平均零售单价产生上行压力。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d246603216786b8ea3a33acbfe105bc1\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Logan Capital Management董事总经理兼投资组合经理Sarah Henry对MarketWatch表示,沃尔玛关于消费者成本的言论比前几个季度更为尖锐。不过她也指出,Ralph Lauren和Williams-Sonoma的乐观情绪值得关注,他们的季度业绩显示至少富裕消费者仍在购物。Henry说,零售商业绩“表明K形复苏变得更加尖锐和明显”——即富裕消费者继续支出,而其他人群则缩减开支。她还指出,零售商业绩是在食品价格较疫情前上涨30%的背景下取得的,而较高的利率则抑制了通常需要融资的大件商品购买。即便如此,公司财报并未变得更糟,她表示:“总体而言,这个财报季的强劲表现是令人瞩目的。”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7308276753c5ff6ceaac8e2cceebffd3","relate_stocks":{"TSII":"REX TSLA Growth & Income ETF","TESL":"Simplify Volt TSLA Revolution ETF","TSLI":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-ProShares","07788":"南方两倍做多英伟达","09766":"南方两倍做多特斯拉-U","07388":"XI二南英伟","07366":"XI二南特斯","NVDW":"NVDA周配息ETF-Roundhill","FBY":"META期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","GOU":"GraniteShares 2x Long GOOGL Daily ETF","MSFU":"2倍做多MSFT ETF-Direxion","MSFD":"1倍做空MSFT ETF-Direxion","MULL":"2倍做多MU ETF-GraniteShares","GOOW":"Roundhill GOOGL WeeklyPay ETF","MSFO":"MSFT期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","MSFY":"Kurv Yield Premium Strategy Microsoft (MSFT) ETF","MSFL":"2倍做多MSFT ETF-GraniteShares","NVDL":"2倍做多NVDA ETF-GraniteShares","TSL":"1.25倍做多TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","NVII":"Rex NVDA Growth & Income ETF","METU":"2倍做多META ETF-Direxion","NVDD":"1倍做空NVDA ETF-Direxion","AAPB":"2倍做多AAPL ETF-GraniteShares","APLY":"AAPL期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","AAPL":"苹果","AAPD":"1倍做空AAPL ETF-Direxion","METW":"Roundhill META WeeklyPay™ ETF","GOOY":"GOOGL期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","NVDS":"1.5倍做空NVDA ETF-Tradr","NVDO":"2倍上限加速NVDA ETF-Leverage Shares","AAPU":"2倍做多AAPL ETF-Direxion","DIPS":"做空NVDA期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","FRDU":"2倍做多F ETF-Direxion","TSDD":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","AAPW":"AAPL周配息ETF-Roundhill","GOOP":"KURV YIELD PREMIUM STRATEGY GOOGLE (GOOGL) ETF","AAPX":"2倍做多Apple ETF-T-Rex","TSLO":"2倍上限加速TSLA ETF-Leverage Shares","TEST":"YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF","MUD":"1倍做空MU ETF-Direxion","GOOX":"2倍做多GOOG ETF-T-REX","AAPY":"AAPL收益溢价策略ETF-Kurv","NVDX":"2倍做多NVDA ETF-T-Rex","NVDB":"ProShares Ultra NVDA ETF","NVDY":"NVDA期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","F":"福特汽车","AMZN":"亚马逊","FRDD":"1倍做空F ETF-Direxion","MSFT":"微软","TSLR":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","METD":"1倍做空META ETF-Direxion","MSFX":"2倍做多MSFT ETF-T-Rex","MU":"美光科技","NVDU":"2倍做多NVDA ETF-Direxion","TSLQ":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-Tradr","TSLY":"TSLA期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","WMT":"沃尔玛","CRSH":"做空TSLA 期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","NVDQ":"2倍做空NVDA ETF-T-Rex","AMZD":"1倍做空AMZN ETF-Direxion","MSFW":"Roundhill MSFT WeeklyPay ETF","GGLS":"1倍做空GOOGL ETF-Direxion","MUU":"2倍做多MU ETF-Direxion","AZYY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST AMZN ETF","TLA":"GraniteShares Autocallable TSLA ETF","AMZP":"KURV YIELD PREMIUM STRATEGY AMAZON (AMZN) ETF","AMZU":"2倍做多AMZN ETF-Direxion","TSLP":"TSLA收益溢价策略ETF-Kurv","WMTI":"REX WMT Growth & Income ETF","AMZW":"Roundhill AMZN WeeklyPay™ ETF","TSLL":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-Direxion","TSLZ":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-T-Rex","TSYY":"收益增强TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","FBYY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST META ETF","AMZY":"AMZN期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","07766":"南方两倍做多特斯拉","AMZZ":"2倍做多AMZN ETF-GraniteShares","09366":"XI二南特斯-U","TSLA":"特斯拉","TSLS":"1倍做空TSLA ETF-Direxion","GOOGL":"谷歌A","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","GOOG":"谷歌","NVD":"2倍做空NVDA ETF-GraniteShares","TSLT":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-T-Rex","GGLL":"2倍做多GOOGL-Direxion","ANV":"GraniteShares Autocallable NVDA ETF","FBL":"2倍做多META ETF-GraniteShares","NVDA":"英伟达","NVDG":"2倍做多NVDA ETF- Leverage Shares","TSLG":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-Leverage Shares","TSLW":"TSLA周配息ETF-Roundhill","NVYY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST NVDA ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199619549","content_text":"根据FactSet周四发布的一份报告,“科技七巨头”(Magnificent Seven)——英伟达、微软、Alphabet、亚马逊、Meta Platforms、苹果和特斯拉——第一季度合计实现了63.2%的每股收益增长,创下自2021年第二季度以来的最大增幅。而标普500指数中的其他493家公司,合计盈利增长率为17.4%,为2021年第四季度以来的最高水平。整体来看,标普500指数第一季度盈利同比增长28.4%(综合已公布及预估数据)。长期以来,这七家大型科技公司一直是标普500盈利增长的主要驱动力,但近期指数中的其他公司也开始发力。这些涨幅来自一些不如科技股受关注的领域——例如材料行业,受益于化肥和锂等需求的激增。非必需消费品板块的贡献不仅来自亚马逊,还包括福特汽车等公司,后者因获得大额关税退税而利润大增。FactSet追踪的11个行业板块中有10个实现盈利增长,多数为两位数增幅。尽管七巨头中的四家(英伟达、Alphabet、亚马逊和Meta)仍是第一季度标普500盈利增长的前五大贡献者,但第五大贡献者是存储芯片制造商美光科技,其对指数盈利的影响力正在上升。然而,在盈利超预期的同时,市场也暗藏隐忧。英伟达上周给出了乐观的前景展望,但这似乎不足以让投资者满意——对于一家市值超5万亿美元的公司,华尔街几乎不容许任何差错。分析师不时表达对英伟达潜在竞争、科技巨头AI雄心的高昂成本以及需求前景的担忧,因为AI基础设施建设已是数万亿美元级别的工程。这场技术竞赛已导致存储芯片供应紧张,可能推高电子产品等成本。部分分析师指出,2026年第一季度覆盖了伊朗冲突爆发前的两个月,整体消费支出背景相对宽松。但上周美国几家大型零售商的业绩和指引让投资者变得谨慎。家得宝表示消费者状况尚可,但仍不愿投入更大、更昂贵的家装项目。化妆品公司e.l.f. Beauty在需求下滑迹象出现后计划下调部分产品价格。塔吉特称其转型正在见效,但投资者质疑反弹能持续多久。沃尔玛则表示,虽然高收入消费者仍在消费,但顾客为了省钱正减少加油量。沃尔玛CFO John David Rainey在财报电话会上说:“这显示出压力。我认为如果燃油价格维持在当前水平,可能会对平均零售单价产生上行压力。”Logan Capital Management董事总经理兼投资组合经理Sarah Henry对MarketWatch表示,沃尔玛关于消费者成本的言论比前几个季度更为尖锐。不过她也指出,Ralph 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18:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"伊朗称美军舰遭导弹攻击,美官员否认美船只被伊导弹击中","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133834930","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"据新华社,美国媒体4日报道,美国高级官员否认美国船只被伊朗导弹击中。此前据伊朗法尔斯通讯社4日报道,一艘美国军舰意图通过霍尔木兹海峡,在无视伊朗海军的警告后遭到导弹攻击,被迫返航。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>据新华社,美国媒体4日报道,美国高级官员否认美国船只被伊朗导弹击中。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/42363fb6b12076e4549d16bb297a59bf\" tg-width=\"744\" tg-height=\"337\"/></p><p>此前据伊朗法尔斯通讯社4日报道,一艘美国军舰意图通过霍尔木兹海峡,在无视伊朗海军的警告后遭到导弹攻击,被迫返航。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3b0435e2c99f0702f964f222396233eb\" tg-width=\"759\" tg-height=\"346\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta 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TV援引一位伊朗高级安全消息人士的话报道称,伊朗已发出警告,若美国继续扣押与伊朗有关的船只,伊朗将采取“前所未有的军事行动”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BZmain":2,"CLmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":925,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":558474688954944,"gmtCreate":1777378157336,"gmtModify":1777378160138,"author":{"id":"3492787339030986","authorId":"3492787339030986","name":"超超_6103","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e178c9f28079df8f96fc5ef22800a38f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492787339030986","authorIdStr":"3492787339030986"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"对对对,美股又要完蛋了[开心] ","listText":"对对对,美股又要完蛋了[开心] ","text":"对对对,美股又要完蛋了[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/558474688954944","repostId":"2630037081","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2630037081","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1777377263,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2630037081?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-28 19:54","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"鲍威尔“告别日”+ Mag7 财报夜,市场拿什么硬扛?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2630037081","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"明天最危险的剧本,是鲍威尔措辞偏鹰叠上 Mag 7 里某家指引不够强。 两个叙事同向走弱,当天行情会比任何一件事单独出问题都难看。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>明天最危险的剧本,是鲍威尔措辞偏鹰叠上 Mag 7 某家指引不够强。 两个叙事同向走弱,当天行情会比任何一个事件单独出问题难看。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">4月29日,将是今年最拥挤的一个交易日。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">三件大事挤在了同一天:当地时间上午十点,参议院银行委员会对鲍威尔继任者凯文·沃什提名投票;下午两点,FOMC发表利率声明——这是鲍威尔担任美联储主席的最后一次;盘后,微软、Alphabet、Meta、亚马逊四家公司发布一季度财报。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场的预期状态一目了然——CME FedWatch维持利率不变概率接近 100%,纳斯达克上周收在历史新高,本季度82%的财报公司已超预期。三件事,三个乐观预期,独立排队。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">问题在于,这些乐观预期共享同一块地基:如果美联储可以继续"看穿"108 美元的油价,利率路径不变,科技股25倍的forward P/E就可以“持续”。鲍威尔那边的任何鹰派信号,或者 Mag 7 财报里任何一道裂缝,都会引发地动山摇。</p><h2 id=\"id_787012622\">鲍威尔最后一次开腔</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">鲍威尔的历史评价核心只有一件事:在通胀最难的几年守住了美联储的政策独立性。卸任的最后一次声明,如果显得像是在为市场或政治妥协,代价将比任何决策错误都高。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">偏偏同一天,参议院正在推进他继任者的提名。沃什刚结束国会听证,他说过会"维持独立性",不做特朗普的"传声筒"。两人的立场将在同一天被并排阅读。鲍威尔没有任何空间显得软。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这次是四月会议,没有新点阵图,没有更新的经济预测。<strong>唯一能释放信号的渠道就是声明措辞和发布会回答</strong>,每一句话的权重都比平时高。布伦特原油 108 美元,Fed 三月声明里已经埋下了"中东局势影响仍不确定"——这是为更强硬措辞保留的接口,不是一个定性结论。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">发布会上最值得盯的不是"降不降息",而是他怎么定性油价:说"暂时性供给冲击",市场松一口气;说"通胀上行风险持续存在",2年期美债收益率会在五分钟内给出答案。</p><h2 id=\"id_3252739871\">AI 的第一次真正对账</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">过去两年,Mag 7 集体做了一件事:花了天文数字去建 AI 基础设施,然后用"未来会很大"说服投资者等待。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这个逻辑今晚开始接受检验。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">微软、谷歌、Meta、亚马逊四家的 AI 资本开支加起来已经突破3000亿美元。市场给的时间窗口一直是"等财报,看云收入,看货币化"。现在财报来了——花出去的钱,有多少已经开始变成收入?</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当期数字超预期,几乎已经是定价的一部分。<strong>真正移动股价的是前瞻指引,以及电话会上每一句关于未来支出和回报时间线的表述。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_1905997121\">哪家公司的电话会最危险</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">四家同日发布财报,风险分布并不均匀。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">微软是今晚最先被审视的公司。Azure 增速共识约38%,单纯达到这个数字不够——市场真正想看的是Copilot企业端有没有可量化的收入贡献,那是微软两年AI叙事最终落地的证明。Q2指引若低于36%,是负面信号;超过40%才算真正意外之喜。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Alphabet 的处境比微软更复杂一点。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Google Cloud 预期增速 49.6%,市场给了最高的成长期待,但 Gemini 商业化至今没有给出清晰的财务数字。Alphabet 第一次必须用具体收入而非产品演示来回答这个问题。Cloud 收入超预期但 Gemini 货币化信号依然模糊——那个反应可能比想象中冷淡。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">亚马逊 AWS 上季度增速 24%,AI 服务年化收入超 150 亿美元,今晚需要守住这条线。增速跌破 20% 是今晚整个财报季情绪的分水岭之一。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Meta 是今晚最危险的电话会。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">收入和 EPS 的弹性空间不算大,<strong>真正的悬念是 1350 亿美元的年度资本开支计划。</strong>这个数字每个季度都需要扎克伯格重新解释一次:钱是必要的,回报路径是清晰的,时间线是可信的。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">只要语气里出现任何"持续根据市场反馈评估"的表述,都会被解读成松动。过去几个季度,凡是 capex 表述略有迟疑,Meta 盘后反应都很难看。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">四家同日发报还带来另一个问题:<strong>如果其中一家不符合预期,市场的情绪会被另外三家对冲,还是那一家的裂缝会被放大成整个 AI 叙事的问题?这种分化情景,没有被充分定价。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_409451348\">乐观的预期,建立在同一块地基上</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">明天的信息,按时间顺序落地:下午两点,声明先出,2年期美债是最快的温度计,五分钟内会给出市场的第一判断。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">两点半,鲍威尔发布会开始,这是今天全天信息密度最高的窗口,盯的是"通胀上行风险"还是"暂时性供给冲击",两种定性对应两种完全不同的利率路径预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">盘后,微软 Azure Q2 指引最先落地,Meta capex 表述压轴——那是今晚整个财报季信息最集中的时刻,也是最容易出意外的地方。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">VIX在18,期权保护极度不足。一旦有任何负面触发,回撤速度会比正常情况快得多。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>明天最危险的剧本,是鲍威尔措辞偏鹰叠上 Mag 7 里某家指引不够强。</strong>两个叙事同向走弱,当天行情会比任何一个事件单独出问题难看——因为两件事都在说同一件事:这个市场的乐观,建立在一块正在变窄的地基上。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>鲍威尔“告别日”+ Mag7 财报夜,市场拿什么硬扛?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n鲍威尔“告别日”+ Mag7 财报夜,市场拿什么硬扛?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-28 19:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>明天最危险的剧本,是鲍威尔措辞偏鹰叠上 Mag 7 某家指引不够强。 两个叙事同向走弱,当天行情会比任何一个事件单独出问题难看。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">4月29日,将是今年最拥挤的一个交易日。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">三件大事挤在了同一天:当地时间上午十点,参议院银行委员会对鲍威尔继任者凯文·沃什提名投票;下午两点,FOMC发表利率声明——这是鲍威尔担任美联储主席的最后一次;盘后,微软、Alphabet、Meta、亚马逊四家公司发布一季度财报。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场的预期状态一目了然——CME FedWatch维持利率不变概率接近 100%,纳斯达克上周收在历史新高,本季度82%的财报公司已超预期。三件事,三个乐观预期,独立排队。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">问题在于,这些乐观预期共享同一块地基:如果美联储可以继续"看穿"108 美元的油价,利率路径不变,科技股25倍的forward P/E就可以“持续”。鲍威尔那边的任何鹰派信号,或者 Mag 7 财报里任何一道裂缝,都会引发地动山摇。</p><h2 id=\"id_787012622\">鲍威尔最后一次开腔</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">鲍威尔的历史评价核心只有一件事:在通胀最难的几年守住了美联储的政策独立性。卸任的最后一次声明,如果显得像是在为市场或政治妥协,代价将比任何决策错误都高。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">偏偏同一天,参议院正在推进他继任者的提名。沃什刚结束国会听证,他说过会"维持独立性",不做特朗普的"传声筒"。两人的立场将在同一天被并排阅读。鲍威尔没有任何空间显得软。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这次是四月会议,没有新点阵图,没有更新的经济预测。<strong>唯一能释放信号的渠道就是声明措辞和发布会回答</strong>,每一句话的权重都比平时高。布伦特原油 108 美元,Fed 三月声明里已经埋下了"中东局势影响仍不确定"——这是为更强硬措辞保留的接口,不是一个定性结论。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">发布会上最值得盯的不是"降不降息",而是他怎么定性油价:说"暂时性供给冲击",市场松一口气;说"通胀上行风险持续存在",2年期美债收益率会在五分钟内给出答案。</p><h2 id=\"id_3252739871\">AI 的第一次真正对账</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">过去两年,Mag 7 集体做了一件事:花了天文数字去建 AI 基础设施,然后用"未来会很大"说服投资者等待。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这个逻辑今晚开始接受检验。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">微软、谷歌、Meta、亚马逊四家的 AI 资本开支加起来已经突破3000亿美元。市场给的时间窗口一直是"等财报,看云收入,看货币化"。现在财报来了——花出去的钱,有多少已经开始变成收入?</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当期数字超预期,几乎已经是定价的一部分。<strong>真正移动股价的是前瞻指引,以及电话会上每一句关于未来支出和回报时间线的表述。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_1905997121\">哪家公司的电话会最危险</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">四家同日发布财报,风险分布并不均匀。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">微软是今晚最先被审视的公司。Azure 增速共识约38%,单纯达到这个数字不够——市场真正想看的是Copilot企业端有没有可量化的收入贡献,那是微软两年AI叙事最终落地的证明。Q2指引若低于36%,是负面信号;超过40%才算真正意外之喜。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Alphabet 的处境比微软更复杂一点。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Google Cloud 预期增速 49.6%,市场给了最高的成长期待,但 Gemini 商业化至今没有给出清晰的财务数字。Alphabet 第一次必须用具体收入而非产品演示来回答这个问题。Cloud 收入超预期但 Gemini 货币化信号依然模糊——那个反应可能比想象中冷淡。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">亚马逊 AWS 上季度增速 24%,AI 服务年化收入超 150 亿美元,今晚需要守住这条线。增速跌破 20% 是今晚整个财报季情绪的分水岭之一。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Meta 是今晚最危险的电话会。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">收入和 EPS 的弹性空间不算大,<strong>真正的悬念是 1350 亿美元的年度资本开支计划。</strong>这个数字每个季度都需要扎克伯格重新解释一次:钱是必要的,回报路径是清晰的,时间线是可信的。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">只要语气里出现任何"持续根据市场反馈评估"的表述,都会被解读成松动。过去几个季度,凡是 capex 表述略有迟疑,Meta 盘后反应都很难看。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">四家同日发报还带来另一个问题:<strong>如果其中一家不符合预期,市场的情绪会被另外三家对冲,还是那一家的裂缝会被放大成整个 AI 叙事的问题?这种分化情景,没有被充分定价。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_409451348\">乐观的预期,建立在同一块地基上</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">明天的信息,按时间顺序落地:下午两点,声明先出,2年期美债是最快的温度计,五分钟内会给出市场的第一判断。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">两点半,鲍威尔发布会开始,这是今天全天信息密度最高的窗口,盯的是"通胀上行风险"还是"暂时性供给冲击",两种定性对应两种完全不同的利率路径预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">盘后,微软 Azure Q2 指引最先落地,Meta capex 表述压轴——那是今晚整个财报季信息最集中的时刻,也是最容易出意外的地方。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">VIX在18,期权保护极度不足。一旦有任何负面触发,回撤速度会比正常情况快得多。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>明天最危险的剧本,是鲍威尔措辞偏鹰叠上 Mag 7 里某家指引不够强。</strong>两个叙事同向走弱,当天行情会比任何一个事件单独出问题难看——因为两件事都在说同一件事:这个市场的乐观,建立在一块正在变窄的地基上。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e1353d79c5012de417d98b639e2d0285","relate_stocks":{"SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","MSFT":"微软","BK4581":"高盛持仓","AMZN":"亚马逊","YSPY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST SPY ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SPYI":"NEOS S&P 500 High Income ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4588":"碎股","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","GOOGL":"谷歌A","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SPYQ":"2倍做多SPY Quarterly ETF-Tradr","OEX":"标普100"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3771104","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2630037081","content_text":"明天最危险的剧本,是鲍威尔措辞偏鹰叠上 Mag 7 某家指引不够强。 两个叙事同向走弱,当天行情会比任何一个事件单独出问题难看。4月29日,将是今年最拥挤的一个交易日。三件大事挤在了同一天:当地时间上午十点,参议院银行委员会对鲍威尔继任者凯文·沃什提名投票;下午两点,FOMC发表利率声明——这是鲍威尔担任美联储主席的最后一次;盘后,微软、Alphabet、Meta、亚马逊四家公司发布一季度财报。市场的预期状态一目了然——CME FedWatch维持利率不变概率接近 100%,纳斯达克上周收在历史新高,本季度82%的财报公司已超预期。三件事,三个乐观预期,独立排队。问题在于,这些乐观预期共享同一块地基:如果美联储可以继续\"看穿\"108 美元的油价,利率路径不变,科技股25倍的forward P/E就可以“持续”。鲍威尔那边的任何鹰派信号,或者 Mag 7 财报里任何一道裂缝,都会引发地动山摇。鲍威尔最后一次开腔鲍威尔的历史评价核心只有一件事:在通胀最难的几年守住了美联储的政策独立性。卸任的最后一次声明,如果显得像是在为市场或政治妥协,代价将比任何决策错误都高。偏偏同一天,参议院正在推进他继任者的提名。沃什刚结束国会听证,他说过会\"维持独立性\",不做特朗普的\"传声筒\"。两人的立场将在同一天被并排阅读。鲍威尔没有任何空间显得软。这次是四月会议,没有新点阵图,没有更新的经济预测。唯一能释放信号的渠道就是声明措辞和发布会回答,每一句话的权重都比平时高。布伦特原油 108 美元,Fed 三月声明里已经埋下了\"中东局势影响仍不确定\"——这是为更强硬措辞保留的接口,不是一个定性结论。发布会上最值得盯的不是\"降不降息\",而是他怎么定性油价:说\"暂时性供给冲击\",市场松一口气;说\"通胀上行风险持续存在\",2年期美债收益率会在五分钟内给出答案。AI 的第一次真正对账过去两年,Mag 7 集体做了一件事:花了天文数字去建 AI 基础设施,然后用\"未来会很大\"说服投资者等待。这个逻辑今晚开始接受检验。微软、谷歌、Meta、亚马逊四家的 AI 资本开支加起来已经突破3000亿美元。市场给的时间窗口一直是\"等财报,看云收入,看货币化\"。现在财报来了——花出去的钱,有多少已经开始变成收入?当期数字超预期,几乎已经是定价的一部分。真正移动股价的是前瞻指引,以及电话会上每一句关于未来支出和回报时间线的表述。哪家公司的电话会最危险四家同日发布财报,风险分布并不均匀。微软是今晚最先被审视的公司。Azure 增速共识约38%,单纯达到这个数字不够——市场真正想看的是Copilot企业端有没有可量化的收入贡献,那是微软两年AI叙事最终落地的证明。Q2指引若低于36%,是负面信号;超过40%才算真正意外之喜。Alphabet 的处境比微软更复杂一点。Google Cloud 预期增速 49.6%,市场给了最高的成长期待,但 Gemini 商业化至今没有给出清晰的财务数字。Alphabet 第一次必须用具体收入而非产品演示来回答这个问题。Cloud 收入超预期但 Gemini 货币化信号依然模糊——那个反应可能比想象中冷淡。亚马逊 AWS 上季度增速 24%,AI 服务年化收入超 150 亿美元,今晚需要守住这条线。增速跌破 20% 是今晚整个财报季情绪的分水岭之一。Meta 是今晚最危险的电话会。收入和 EPS 的弹性空间不算大,真正的悬念是 1350 亿美元的年度资本开支计划。这个数字每个季度都需要扎克伯格重新解释一次:钱是必要的,回报路径是清晰的,时间线是可信的。只要语气里出现任何\"持续根据市场反馈评估\"的表述,都会被解读成松动。过去几个季度,凡是 capex 表述略有迟疑,Meta 盘后反应都很难看。四家同日发报还带来另一个问题:如果其中一家不符合预期,市场的情绪会被另外三家对冲,还是那一家的裂缝会被放大成整个 AI 叙事的问题?这种分化情景,没有被充分定价。乐观的预期,建立在同一块地基上明天的信息,按时间顺序落地:下午两点,声明先出,2年期美债是最快的温度计,五分钟内会给出市场的第一判断。两点半,鲍威尔发布会开始,这是今天全天信息密度最高的窗口,盯的是\"通胀上行风险\"还是\"暂时性供给冲击\",两种定性对应两种完全不同的利率路径预期。盘后,微软 Azure Q2 指引最先落地,Meta capex 表述压轴——那是今晚整个财报季信息最集中的时刻,也是最容易出意外的地方。VIX在18,期权保护极度不足。一旦有任何负面触发,回撤速度会比正常情况快得多。明天最危险的剧本,是鲍威尔措辞偏鹰叠上 Mag 7 里某家指引不够强。两个叙事同向走弱,当天行情会比任何一个事件单独出问题难看——因为两件事都在说同一件事:这个市场的乐观,建立在一块正在变窄的地基上。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOGL":1.87,"YSPY":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"IVV":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"AMZN":1.86,"SPYQ":0.6,"SPYI":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"META":1.89,"OEX":0.6,"MSFT":1.91,"ESmain":0.6,"MESmain":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SH":0.6,"OEF":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":549263194211448,"gmtCreate":1775119297322,"gmtModify":1775119299525,"author":{"id":"3492787339030986","authorId":"3492787339030986","name":"超超_6103","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e178c9f28079df8f96fc5ef22800a38f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492787339030986","authorIdStr":"3492787339030986"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"伊朗人民的敌人就是你们自己","listText":"伊朗人民的敌人就是你们自己","text":"伊朗人民的敌人就是你们自己","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/549263194211448","repostId":"1159916026","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159916026","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1775113785,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159916026?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-02 15:09","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"伊朗最高领袖顾问:霍尔木兹海峡对伊朗人民的敌人将永远关闭","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159916026","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"冲突的结束取决于伊朗的决策和力量。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>当地时间4月2日,伊朗最高领袖外事顾问、前外长韦拉亚提在其个人社交媒体平台账号上表示,霍尔木兹海峡对世界开放,但对伊朗人民的敌人及其在该地区的据点将永远关闭。</p><p>韦拉亚提表示,冲突的结束取决于伊朗的决策和力量,而不是侵略者的妄想和傲慢。(央视新闻)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>伊朗最高领袖顾问:霍尔木兹海峡对伊朗人民的敌人将永远关闭</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n伊朗最高领袖顾问:霍尔木兹海峡对伊朗人民的敌人将永远关闭\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-02 15:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>当地时间4月2日,伊朗最高领袖外事顾问、前外长韦拉亚提在其个人社交媒体平台账号上表示,霍尔木兹海峡对世界开放,但对伊朗人民的敌人及其在该地区的据点将永远关闭。</p><p>韦拉亚提表示,冲突的结束取决于伊朗的决策和力量,而不是侵略者的妄想和傲慢。(央视新闻)</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a051916f4c8098f20479e50d9bb8848d","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159916026","content_text":"当地时间4月2日,伊朗最高领袖外事顾问、前外长韦拉亚提在其个人社交媒体平台账号上表示,霍尔木兹海峡对世界开放,但对伊朗人民的敌人及其在该地区的据点将永远关闭。韦拉亚提表示,冲突的结束取决于伊朗的决策和力量,而不是侵略者的妄想和傲慢。(央视新闻)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":2,"BZmain":2,"GCmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":543546792211328,"gmtCreate":1773727350971,"gmtModify":1773727353485,"author":{"id":"3492787339030986","authorId":"3492787339030986","name":"超超_6103","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e178c9f28079df8f96fc5ef22800a38f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3492787339030986","authorIdStr":"3492787339030986"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"马上全绿了","listText":"马上全绿了","text":"马上全绿了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/543546792211328","repostId":"1178611581","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178611581","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1773723225,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178611581?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-03-17 12:53","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"港股期权 | 三大指数齐涨,期权半日成交近44万张;腾讯、小米、美团交投活跃","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178611581","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月17日,港股三大指数齐涨,恒生指数涨0.98%,恒生科技指数涨1.34%,国企指数涨0.93%。股票期权成交量港股期权半日成交近44万张。$MIU.HK 20260320 35.00 PUT$ $美团-W$涨近4%,期权方面:半日成交超4.2万张合约,其中于3月30日到期行权价95港元的认购期权成交量居前,成交超3900张合约。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>3月17日,港股三大指数齐涨,恒生指数涨0.98%,恒生科技指数涨1.34%,国企指数涨0.93%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4365d18eb0057080b1659dd115a78a78\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"137\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_519485299\">股票期权成交量</h2><p>港股期权半日成交近44万张。其中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯控股</a>成交量居前,期权成交近5.8万张;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">小米集团-W</a>名列次席,期权成交超4.9万张;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">美团-W</a>位居第三,期权成交超4.2万张。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e293fcd28b8df2cc8ec1ffacadca74d6\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"1778\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_1988316681\">异动观察</h2><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">小米集团-W</a>涨超2%,期权方面:半日成交超4.9万张合约,其中于3月20日到期行权价35港元的认沽期权成交量居前,成交超2700张合约。</strong> <a class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-id=\"MIU.HK 20260320 35.00 PUT\" data-mention-name=\"小米 260320 35.00 PUT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MIU.HK%2020260320%2035.00%20PUT\">$MIU.HK 20260320 35.00 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07ee5e4452a9a402e711e6f84687aac7\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"1996\"/></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">美团-W</a>涨近4%,期权方面:半日成交超4.2万张合约,其中于3月30日到期行权价95港元的认购期权成交量居前,成交超3900张合约。</strong> <a class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-id=\"MET.HK 20260330 95.00 CALL\" data-mention-name=\"美团 260330 95.00 CALL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MET.HK%2020260330%2095.00%20CALL\">$MET.HK 20260330 95.00 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2fbd456db07fb4e74c19588350b43aa\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"1988\"/></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里巴巴-W</a>涨超2%,期权方面:半日成交超3.6万张合约,其中于3月30日到期行权价150港元的认购期权成交量居前,成交超1900张合约。</strong> <a class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-id=\"ALB.HK 20260330 150.00 CALL\" data-mention-name=\"阿里 260330 150.00 CALL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ALB.HK%2020260330%20150.00%20CALL\">$ALB.HK 20260330 150.00 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/980e068aab16b3a93c98b691d34dc5cf\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"1994\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>港股期权 | 三大指数齐涨,期权半日成交近44万张;腾讯、小米、美团交投活跃</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n港股期权 | 三大指数齐涨,期权半日成交近44万张;腾讯、小米、美团交投活跃\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-03-17 12:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>3月17日,港股三大指数齐涨,恒生指数涨0.98%,恒生科技指数涨1.34%,国企指数涨0.93%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4365d18eb0057080b1659dd115a78a78\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"137\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_519485299\">股票期权成交量</h2><p>港股期权半日成交近44万张。其中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯控股</a>成交量居前,期权成交近5.8万张;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">小米集团-W</a>名列次席,期权成交超4.9万张;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">美团-W</a>位居第三,期权成交超4.2万张。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e293fcd28b8df2cc8ec1ffacadca74d6\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"1778\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_1988316681\">异动观察</h2><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">小米集团-W</a>涨超2%,期权方面:半日成交超4.9万张合约,其中于3月20日到期行权价35港元的认沽期权成交量居前,成交超2700张合约。</strong> <a class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-id=\"MIU.HK 20260320 35.00 PUT\" data-mention-name=\"小米 260320 35.00 PUT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MIU.HK%2020260320%2035.00%20PUT\">$MIU.HK 20260320 35.00 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07ee5e4452a9a402e711e6f84687aac7\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"1996\"/></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">美团-W</a>涨近4%,期权方面:半日成交超4.2万张合约,其中于3月30日到期行权价95港元的认购期权成交量居前,成交超3900张合约。</strong> <a class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-id=\"MET.HK 20260330 95.00 CALL\" data-mention-name=\"美团 260330 95.00 CALL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MET.HK%2020260330%2095.00%20CALL\">$MET.HK 20260330 95.00 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2fbd456db07fb4e74c19588350b43aa\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"1988\"/></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里巴巴-W</a>涨超2%,期权方面:半日成交超3.6万张合约,其中于3月30日到期行权价150港元的认购期权成交量居前,成交超1900张合约。</strong> <a class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-id=\"ALB.HK 20260330 150.00 CALL\" data-mention-name=\"阿里 260330 150.00 CALL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ALB.HK%2020260330%20150.00%20CALL\">$ALB.HK 20260330 150.00 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/980e068aab16b3a93c98b691d34dc5cf\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"1994\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","03690":"美团-W","01810":"小米集团-W"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178611581","content_text":"3月17日,港股三大指数齐涨,恒生指数涨0.98%,恒生科技指数涨1.34%,国企指数涨0.93%。股票期权成交量港股期权半日成交近44万张。其中,腾讯控股成交量居前,期权成交近5.8万张;小米集团-W名列次席,期权成交超4.9万张;美团-W位居第三,期权成交超4.2万张。异动观察小米集团-W涨超2%,期权方面:半日成交超4.9万张合约,其中于3月20日到期行权价35港元的认沽期权成交量居前,成交超2700张合约。 $MIU.HK 20260320 35.00 PUT$ 美团-W涨近4%,期权方面:半日成交超4.2万张合约,其中于3月30日到期行权价95港元的认购期权成交量居前,成交超3900张合约。 $MET.HK 20260330 95.00 CALL$ 阿里巴巴-W涨超2%,期权方面:半日成交超3.6万张合约,其中于3月30日到期行权价150港元的认购期权成交量居前,成交超1900张合约。 $ALB.HK 20260330 150.00 CALL$","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"01810":2,"03690":2,"09988":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}