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阿拉丁神

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- 阿拉丁神阿拉丁神
  ·09-25 20:49
  UBS的分析师应该去做会计师！井底之大蛤蟆
  高盛之后瑞银跟进，华尔街竞相上调特斯拉三季度交付预期
  瑞银将特斯拉第三季度交付预测上调至47.5万辆，高于市场共识，美国通胀削减法案税收优惠到期推动美国市场交付强劲，欧洲、中国市场的交付也表现不俗。尽管如此，瑞银仍维持“卖出”评级，预期第四季度交付将环比下滑，并指出特斯拉股价当前更多由AI题材驱动，而非汽车业务基本面。
  高盛之后瑞银跟进，华尔街竞相上调特斯拉三季度交付预期
  69 评论
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- 阿拉丁神阿拉丁神
  ·08-07
  $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ 还有这种走势，活久见！
  352 评论
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- 阿拉丁神阿拉丁神
  ·06-10
  $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ 这公司的一些董监高，真是蛀虫！该拉出去毙了
  1,602 2
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- 阿拉丁神阿拉丁神
  ·03-03
  $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ SB公司！
  1,335 评论
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- 阿拉丁神阿拉丁神
  ·02-11
  $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ 垃圾中的垃圾[流泪]
  1,678 1
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- 阿拉丁神阿拉丁神
  ·01-08
  $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ 这群减持的董事就是U的蛀虫！挺好一个公司被他们蛀烂了，开始卖股票！一群垃圾！
  1,015 1
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- 阿拉丁神阿拉丁神
  ·01-08
  $中国生物制药(01177)$ 垃圾中的战斗机，有盈利能力不分红，股价跌跌不休不回购！没有一点回报股东的感恩之心！谢氏家族及其管理层毫无廉耻！
  1.66万评论
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- 阿拉丁神阿拉丁神
  ·2024-11-16
  $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ 垃圾中的战斗机 [喷血]
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- 阿拉丁神阿拉丁神
  ·2024-07-10
  $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ 天天买不完的卖单，公司有那么差吗？地板上割肉
  2,390 评论
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- 阿拉丁神阿拉丁神
  ·2024-06-15
  $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ 每天成交量不缩，股价持续阴跌！谁在买，又是谁在卖？持有股票的无一获利，基本面有那么差？
  4,423 3
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justify;\"><strong>“我们认为，我们的新预测更加贴近买方对于47万至47.5万辆区间的预期。”</strong></p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">但他也指出：</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>“尽管最终数据可能符合买方预期，但我们通常发现，股价仍会根据是否超出或低于媒体的‘头条数字’而产生反应。”</strong></p></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e222fca6e46bbf77139138eb88e10025\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"293\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉股价周三收涨近4%，今年迄今涨幅接近10%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3802563c9fe30ce2449b19b890f13f3a\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Spak在报告中指出，瑞银之所以上调预测，是因为第三季度在多个市场的交付表现超出预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">首先，在美国市场，消费者为了赶上2025年9月底即将到期的《通胀削减法案》（IRA）下7500美元电动车税收抵免，推动了特斯拉销量大增。瑞银认为，本季度可能创下自2023年中以来美国季度交付量最高纪录，甚至可能是有史以来最高水平。然而，分析师也警告，当前的强劲需求很可能属于“提前透支”，意味着即使特斯拉在第四季度推出“低价版”Model Y，交付量仍可能环比下降。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">欧洲市场也展现复苏迹象。数据显示，第三季度前两个月，特斯拉在欧洲前八大市场的交付量环比增长约22%。中国市场方面，零售交付量（即批发减去出口）环比增长约45%，表现同样稳健。此外，瑞银指出，土耳其和韩国市场的交付增长也值得关注。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>在库存方面，瑞银预计本季度交付量将超过产量，幅度可能达到7%，这将有助于特斯拉降低库存水平。</strong>相比之下，2025年第二季度产量曾超出交付量约2.6万辆，占比6%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">瑞银同时预计，特斯拉将在财报中披露本季度能源储能系统部署情况。尽管受到会计确认规则的限制，该数据难以即时核实，瑞银预测部署量为10.4GWh，环比增长8%，基本与Visible Alpha市场共识的10.9GWh持平，也高于上一季度的9.6GWh。Spak提醒投资者，能源储能业务具有周期性波动，单季度数据不宜过度解读。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">展望未来，瑞银预计2025年第四季度交付量将为42.8万辆，环比下降10%，同比下降14%。这一预估已经考虑了中国市场Model Y L车型的推出，以及美国市场可能面世的“低价版”Model Y。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">全年方面，瑞银将2025年交付总量预期从151万辆上调至162万辆，尽管同比仍下降9%，但与市场共识持平。2026年交付量预期则略下调至160万辆，较市场共识低14%。瑞银表示，将在10月2日特斯拉公布实际交付数据后更新其财务模型。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">尽管短期交付数据有所改善，Spak在报告最后仍强调：</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>“特斯拉股价的主要驱动力更多来自于人工智能的市场叙事，而非其汽车主业。”</strong></p></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3661ffb4c9afdc6c80a97065821246\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"438\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>高盛之后瑞银跟进，华尔街竞相上调特斯拉三季度交付预期</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高盛之后瑞银跟进，华尔街竞相上调特斯拉三季度交付预期\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-09-25 05:50 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3756211><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>瑞银将特斯拉第三季度交付预测上调至47.5万辆，高于市场共识，美国通胀削减法案税收优惠到期推动美国市场交付强劲，欧洲、中国市场的交付也表现不俗。尽管如此，瑞银仍维持“卖出”评级，预期第四季度交付将环比下滑，并指出特斯拉股价当前更多由AI题材驱动，而非汽车业务基本面。特斯拉预计将在10月初公布2025年第三季度的交付报告，多家投行已提前上调交付预期。高盛分析师此前已上调交付量预测并提高目标价，而瑞银...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3756211\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49ab90f6352b6ebbb45091ad18b5a2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","TSLL":"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3756211","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2570408735","content_text":"瑞银将特斯拉第三季度交付预测上调至47.5万辆，高于市场共识，美国通胀削减法案税收优惠到期推动美国市场交付强劲，欧洲、中国市场的交付也表现不俗。尽管如此，瑞银仍维持“卖出”评级，预期第四季度交付将环比下滑，并指出特斯拉股价当前更多由AI题材驱动，而非汽车业务基本面。特斯拉预计将在10月初公布2025年第三季度的交付报告，多家投行已提前上调交付预期。高盛分析师此前已上调交付量预测并提高目标价，而瑞银（UBS）分析师在本周也上调交付预估至超出市场普遍共识的水平，但仍维持对特斯拉股票的“卖出”（Sell）评级。瑞银最新预测特斯拉第三季度交付量为47.5万辆，较去年同期增长3%，较上一季度增长24%，明显高于此前预估的43.1万辆。这一数字比市场数据平台Visible Alpha的共识高出约8%，但与投资机构买方的预期更加接近，后者普遍预估交付量在47万至47.5万辆之间。瑞银分析师Joseph Spak在周一发布的报告中表示：“我们认为，我们的新预测更加贴近买方对于47万至47.5万辆区间的预期。”但他也指出：“尽管最终数据可能符合买方预期，但我们通常发现，股价仍会根据是否超出或低于媒体的‘头条数字’而产生反应。”特斯拉股价周三收涨近4%，今年迄今涨幅接近10%。Spak在报告中指出，瑞银之所以上调预测，是因为第三季度在多个市场的交付表现超出预期。首先，在美国市场，消费者为了赶上2025年9月底即将到期的《通胀削减法案》（IRA）下7500美元电动车税收抵免，推动了特斯拉销量大增。瑞银认为，本季度可能创下自2023年中以来美国季度交付量最高纪录，甚至可能是有史以来最高水平。然而，分析师也警告，当前的强劲需求很可能属于“提前透支”，意味着即使特斯拉在第四季度推出“低价版”Model Y，交付量仍可能环比下降。欧洲市场也展现复苏迹象。数据显示，第三季度前两个月，特斯拉在欧洲前八大市场的交付量环比增长约22%。中国市场方面，零售交付量（即批发减去出口）环比增长约45%，表现同样稳健。此外，瑞银指出，土耳其和韩国市场的交付增长也值得关注。在库存方面，瑞银预计本季度交付量将超过产量，幅度可能达到7%，这将有助于特斯拉降低库存水平。相比之下，2025年第二季度产量曾超出交付量约2.6万辆，占比6%。瑞银同时预计，特斯拉将在财报中披露本季度能源储能系统部署情况。尽管受到会计确认规则的限制，该数据难以即时核实，瑞银预测部署量为10.4GWh，环比增长8%，基本与Visible Alpha市场共识的10.9GWh持平，也高于上一季度的9.6GWh。Spak提醒投资者，能源储能业务具有周期性波动，单季度数据不宜过度解读。展望未来，瑞银预计2025年第四季度交付量将为42.8万辆，环比下降10%，同比下降14%。这一预估已经考虑了中国市场Model Y L车型的推出，以及美国市场可能面世的“低价版”Model Y。全年方面，瑞银将2025年交付总量预期从151万辆上调至162万辆，尽管同比仍下降9%，但与市场共识持平。2026年交付量预期则略下调至160万辆，较市场共识低14%。瑞银表示，将在10月2日特斯拉公布实际交付数据后更新其财务模型。尽管短期交付数据有所改善，Spak在报告最后仍强调：“特斯拉股价的主要驱动力更多来自于人工智能的市场叙事，而非其汽车主业。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1.5,"TSLL":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":69,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":464783970521256,"gmtCreate":1754497537301,"gmtModify":1754497538492,"author":{"id":"3512215775135523","authorId":"3512215775135523","name":"阿拉丁神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3512215775135523","authorIdStr":"3512215775135523"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$&nbsp;</a> 还有这种走势，活久见！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$&nbsp;</a> 还有这种走势，活久见！","text":"$Unity Software Inc.(U)$ 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