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- 擎天柱9擎天柱9
  ·03-12
  看来见底了
  小米，见底了吗
  手机：全球份额第三（13%），但 Q4 出货同比 - 11%，受存储涨价拖累，毛利率预计降至 8%-9%。互联网：毛利率 76.9%，是主要利润来源。估值低位：市盈率回落至 10-15 倍区间，接近 2019、2022 年历史底部。汽车毛利率下滑：2026 年购置税退坡、竞争加剧，预计毛利率从 24.9% 降至 23% 左右。
  小米，见底了吗
  107 评论
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- 擎天柱9擎天柱9
  ·2025-10-30
  为啥这么多
  @肉松爱老虎：
  $明略科技-W(02718)$ 200%有没有？
  $明略科技-W(02718)$ 200%有没有？
  1,021 评论
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- 擎天柱9擎天柱9
  ·2025-08-07
  啥意思?
  小米集团-W(01810)根据股份计划发行5762.6万股
  智通财经APP讯，小米集团-W(01810)发布公告，于2025年8月4日-8月7日，根据股份计划发行合计5762.6万股。
  小米集团-W(01810)根据股份计划发行5762.6万股
  1,304 评论
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- 擎天柱9擎天柱9
  ·2025-04-17
  $霸王茶姬(CHA)$ 试着打了点中22股[捂脸]
  1,735 1
  2
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- 擎天柱9擎天柱9
  ·2025-03-24
  $南山铝业国际(02610)$ 是不是可以说稳了
  2,473 1
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- 擎天柱9擎天柱9
  ·2025-03-20
  $维升药业-B(02561)$ 还好没中，吓死
  7,631 4
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- 擎天柱9擎天柱9
  ·2021-11-01
  $Synaptics Incorporated(SYNA)$下一个目标价应该是多少呢？
  6,949 2
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- 擎天柱9擎天柱9
  ·2021-10-14
  $老虎证券(TIGR)$发生了什么？
  4,220 评论
  5
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- 擎天柱9擎天柱9
  ·2021-07-14
  $Synaptics Incorporated(SYNA)$下一目标价 200
  4,496 评论
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- 擎天柱9擎天柱9
  ·2021-07-05
  $滴滴(DIDI)$起步腰斩？
  3,796 评论
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13:14","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"小米，见底了吗","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2618539183","media":"前瞻商业评论","summary":"手机：全球份额第三（13%），但 Q4 出货同比 - 11%，受存储涨价拖累，毛利率预计降至 8%-9%。互联网：毛利率 76.9%，是主要利润来源。估值低位：市盈率回落至 10-15 倍区间，接近 2019、2022 年历史底部。汽车毛利率下滑：2026 年购置税退坡、竞争加剧，预计毛利率从 24.9% 降至 23% 左右。","content":"<html><body><article><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20260312145652362v2066y6andny43u\"/><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20260312145655799v206ao2sgz19uni\"/><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/8PHgqN4g7KucdgiaA5qIvQapWbjEl4IiaQeTW7nAXATxJLkBVYUTmg8et4HgQzLRtI08bKW8spwx3QPOpptnL9TSwAePdgym0O92BF77mMdp4/0?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg\"/><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/8PHgqN4g7KvPmqH2CxSSBjVX3vmFYeGtLhy8vpyDDthwZMS8hN1ibMgaJAM0iclfuBRwjhs4EnpIgiaNyt9FK8t0OxyJKnJEibyKoqtr6Y3K248/0?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg\"/><p>一、当前业绩核心概况（截至 2026-03-12）</p><p>整体：2025 年 Q3 营收 1131 亿元（+22.3%），经调整净利 113 亿元（+80.9%），创历史新高。</p><p>手机：全球份额第三（13%），但 Q4 <span>出货</span>同比 - 11%，受存储涨价拖累，毛利率预计降至 8%-9%。</p><p>汽车：2025 年 Q3 首次单季盈利（7 亿元），2026 年 2 月 YU7 销量 2.02 万辆，连续 6 个月中大型 SUV 销冠；2026 年目标 55 万辆，新车型密集上市。</p><p>互联网：毛利率 76.9%，是主要利润来源。</p><p>二、跟随雷军<span>抄底</span>的客观判断（结合业绩）</p><p>1. 支持抄底的业绩逻辑</p><p>汽车业务爆发：已从 “烧钱” 转为盈利，2026 年交付目标明确、新车型储备充足，是业绩增长核心引擎。</p><p>估值低位：市盈率回落至 10-15 倍区间，接近 2019、2022 年历史底部。</p><p><span>回购</span> + 增持：公司巨额回购 + 雷军个人增持，形成双重信心背书。</p><p>基本盘韧性：手机全球份额稳固，高端化对冲部分成本压力。</p><p>2. 必须警惕的业绩风险</p><p>手机盈利承压：存储涨价致毛利率下滑，多家机构下调 2026 年手机盈利预测。</p><p>汽车毛利率下滑：2026 年购置税退坡、竞争加剧，预计毛利率从 24.9% 降至 23% 左右。</p><p>短期业绩增速放缓：里昂、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>等下调 2026 年<span>净利润</span>预期，上半年盈利压力大。</p><p>历史不代表未来：前两次增持成功有特定周期背景，当前宏观与行业环境不同。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n小米，见底了吗\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-12 13:14 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260312145740a4632cfd&s=b><strong>前瞻商业评论</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>一、当前业绩核心概况（截至 2026-03-12）整体：2025 年 Q3 营收 1131 亿元（+22.3%），经调整净利 113 亿元（+80.9%），创历史新高。手机：全球份额第三（13%），但 Q4 出货同比 - 11%，受存储涨价拖累，毛利率预计降至 8%-9%。汽车：2025 年 Q3 首次单季盈利（7 亿元），2026 年 2 月 YU7 销量 2.02 万辆，连续 6 个月中大型 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260312145740a4632cfd&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"81810":"小米集团-WR","XIACY":"小米集团ADR","LU2087589342.USD":"BGF ASIAN MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A6\" (USD) INC","LU0823038988.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS ASIA EQUITY FOCUS  \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU1282648689.USD":"ALLIANZ TOTAL RETURN ASIAN EQUITY \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0348816934.USD":"ALLIANZ TOTAL RETURN ASIAN EQUITY \"AT\" (USD)","LU0823039010.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS ASIA EQUITY FOCUS  \"A2\" (USD) 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20:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"小米集团-W(01810)根据股份计划发行5762.6万股","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2557563976","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP讯，小米集团-W(01810)发布公告，于2025年8月4日-8月7日，根据股份计划发行合计5762.6万股。","content":"<html><body><p>智通财经APP讯，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">小米集团-W</a>(01810)发布公告，于2025年8月4日-8月7日，根据股份计划发行合计5762.6万股。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>小米集团-W(01810)根据股份计划发行5762.6万股</title>\n<style 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href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1327012.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"81810":"小米集团-WR","HXXD.SI":"Xiaomi HK SDR 2to1","LU1328277881.USD":"MANULIFE GF DRAGON GROWTH FUND \"AA\" (USD) INC","01810":"小米集团-W","BK1618":"Manus概念股","LU0588546209.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - China Equity Fund AS SGD","LU0499858602.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF ASIA PACIFIC EQUITY OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0823426308.USD":"法巴中国股票基金","LU1868838027.USD":"CT (LUX) I GLOBAL EMERGING MARKET EQUITIES \"8\" (USD) ACC","LU0235996351.USD":"UBS (LUX) KEY SELECTION SICAV - ASIAN EQUITY (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0823397285.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE ASIA EX-JAPAN EQUITY \"C\" (USD) INC","LU0348735423.USD":"ALLIANZ HONG KONG EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1880383366.USD":"东方汇理中国股票基金 A2 (C)","LU0449515922.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"PC\" (USD)ACC","LU1956131251.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE ASIA EX-JAPAN 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