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IP属地:广东
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Victory_Hi
Victory_Hi
·
2022-02-19
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
预测一波,明年年中后再回来看:按20%回撤来算,3月前后纳斯达克将会摸底,上半年很难上的来,到4季度开始到2023年,随着经济形势和政策的逐渐明朗,以及中概股退市逐渐抽身出来的资金转移(当然这个因素很小),纳指将开始回暖。对比之下,A股最令人失望的地方是,不是喋喋不休,而是政策的不确定性。
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Victory_Hi
Victory_Hi
·
2022-01-14
稳增长:稳住不跌;宽信用:继续放水;大众消费复苏:难,大众收入增长微薄,但强者恒强;居民资产配置结构调整:房产的钱转战股市;海外增量资金:难,三成看国内增长,七成看老美等国。“《2022年中国银行个人全球资产配置白皮书》认为,超配中国A股的主要逻辑是稳增长、宽信用、大众消费复苏、居民资产配置结构调整、PPI与CPI剪刀差收敛、海外增量资金。”那边头铁们都跑步进场,这边在放高炮。
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Victory_Hi
Victory_Hi
·
2022-01-13
稳增长:稳住不跌就算赢;宽信用:继续放水;大众消费复苏:难,大众收入增长微薄,但强者恒强;居民资产配置结构调整:房产上被割的钱拿去股市被割;海外增量资金:资金转移,难,3成看国内增长趋势,7成看老美等国是会更差还是更好。“《2022年中国银行个人全球资产配置白皮书》认为,超配中国A股的主要逻辑是稳增长、宽信用、大众消费复苏、居民资产配置结构调整、PPI与CPI剪刀差收敛、海外增量资金。”
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