个人中心 - 老虎社区

VinayV

IP属地：未知

帖子 · 2帖子 · 2
关注 · 0关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0粉丝 · 0

- VinayVVinayV
  ·2021-08-09
  Excellent article . Nicely articulated[Smile]
  Opinion: Here’s another sign the bull market is near a peak, and this one bears watching<blockquote>观点：这是牛市接近顶峰的另一个迹象，而这个迹象值得关注</blockquote>
  The U.S. stock market is nearing a top, according to a leading indicator that is based on the traili
  Opinion: Here’s another sign the bull market is near a peak, and this one bears watching<blockquote>观点：这是牛市接近顶峰的另一个迹象，而这个迹象值得关注</blockquote>
  1,955 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
- VinayVVinayV
  ·2021-08-09
  Agree. With streaming services competing closely , Apple has to create more content and user base
  Apple Needs To Cut Apple TV Prices Or Cull The Beleaguered Living Room Gadget: Gurman<blockquote>美食家：苹果需要降低苹果电视价格或淘汰陷入困境的客厅小工具</blockquote>
  Apple needs to cut the prices of Apple TV or send it the way of other retired products like iPod HiF
  Apple Needs To Cut Apple TV Prices Or Cull The Beleaguered Living Room Gadget: Gurman<blockquote>美食家：苹果需要降低苹果电视价格或淘汰陷入困境的客厅小工具</blockquote>
  2,396 4
  9
  分享
  举报

热议股票

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3546940454871502","uuid":"3546940454871502","gmtCreate":1583846432373,"gmtModify":1628486863843,"name":"VinayV","pinyin":"vinayv","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af35774765d86980ea6edd8aa1389f83","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":5,"tweetSize":2,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":0,"name":"","nameTw":"","represent":"","factor":"","iconColor":"","bgColor":""},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.04.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-1","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"精英交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到30次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"60.62%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":898856008,"gmtCreate":1628486537404,"gmtModify":1633746755139,"author":{"id":"3546940454871502","authorId":"3546940454871502","name":"VinayV","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af35774765d86980ea6edd8aa1389f83","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546940454871502","idStr":"3546940454871502"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Excellent article . Nicely articulated[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"Excellent article . Nicely articulated[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"Excellent article . Nicely articulated[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898856008","repostId":"1119793781","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119793781","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628477450,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1119793781?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-09 10:50","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Here’s another sign the bull market is near a peak, and this one bears watching<blockquote>观点： 这是牛市接近顶峰的另一个迹象，而这个迹象值得关注</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119793781","media":"Market Wacth","summary":"The U.S. stock market is nearing a top, according to a leading indicator that is based on the traili","content":"<p>The U.S. stock market is nearing a top, according to a leading indicator that is based on the trailing three-month returns of the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;sectors.</p><p><blockquote>根据一项基于标普500板块过去三个月回报的领先指标，美国股市已接近顶部。</blockquote></p><p> Over the three months prior to past bull-market tops, a fairly predictable pattern emerged of which sectors performed best and which fared worst. Currently, a ranking of the sectors’ recent relative strength lines up fairly close with that pattern.</p><p><blockquote>在过去牛市见顶之前的三个月里，出现了一种相当可预测的模式，即哪些行业表现最好，哪些行业表现最差。目前，各板块近期相对强弱的排名与这一模式相当接近。</blockquote></p><p> This is a big change since mid-May when,as I reported, this leading indicator was not detecting any signs of imminent trouble. The sectors with the best trailing three-month returns at that time were not those that typically lead the market prior to tops, and the sectors with the worst trailing three-month returns were not those that typically lag.</p><p><blockquote>这是自 5 月中旬以来的一个重大变化，当时正如我报道的那样，这一领先指标没有检测到任何迫在眉睫的麻烦迹象。当时追踪三个月回报最好的行业并不是那些通常在见顶之前引领市场的行业，追踪三个月回报最差的行业也不是那些通常滞后的行业。</blockquote></p><p> Now, in contrast, there is a distinct correlation between the sectors’ relative strength ranking and the typical pattern that appeared in past tops.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，各板块的相对强度排名与过去顶部出现的典型模式之间存在明显的相关性。</blockquote></p><p> According to research conducted by Ned Davis Research, Utilities, Energy and Financials are the S&amp;P 500 sectors that have performed the worst, on average, in the final three months of all bull markets since 1970. As is clear in the chart below, these three sectors now are at or near the bottom in a ranking of trailing three-month returns.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Ned Davis Research 进行的研究，公用事业、能源和金融是自 1970 年以来所有牛市最后三个月平均表现最差的标普500板块。如下图所示，这三个行业目前在过去三个月回报率排名中处于或接近底部。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46a49a36d04808a2a9b71a01546126de\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"424\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In contrast, according to Ned Davis Research, Consumer <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPLS\">Staples</a>, Health Care and Consumer Discretionary are the sectors that have performed the best, on average, over the three months prior to past bull-market tops. As the chart shows, these three have performed relatively well over the past three months.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，根据内德·戴维斯研究，消费者<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPLS\">订书钉</a>在过去牛市见顶之前的三个月里，医疗保健和非必需消费品是平均表现最好的行业。如图所示，这三者在过去三个月中表现相对较好。</blockquote></p><p> To quantify how much the sector relative strength rankings have shifted in a bearish direction, consider the correlation coefficients that I calculated. This statistic ranges from a high of 1.0 (which would mean that there is a perfect <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-to-one correspondence between a ranking of the sectors’ recent returns and the historical pattern) to minus 1.0 (which would mean a perfectly inverse correlation). A coefficient of zero would mean that there is no detectable relationship.</p><p><blockquote>为了量化行业相对强度排名向看跌方向移动了多少，请考虑我计算的相关系数。这个统计数据的范围从1.0（这意味着有一个完美的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>-行业近期回报排名与历史模式之间的一一对应关系）到负 1.0（这意味着完全负相关）。系数为零意味着没有可检测的关系。</blockquote></p><p> In mid-May, this coefficient stood at a significantly negative minus 0.66. Today, in contrast, it is a positive 0.67. This latest reading is one of the higher coefficients I’ve seen from my periodic monitoring of this indicator.</p><p><blockquote>5月中旬，该系数大幅为负0.66。相比之下，今天是正0.67。这是我在定期监测该指标时看到的较高系数之一。</blockquote></p><p> Needless to say, neither this (nor any indicator, for that matter) is guaranteed to work. One time that it was accurate, for example,was in April 2015, when my column on this indicator ran under the headline “leading indicators signal a market top.”A bear market began one month later, according to the bear-market calendar maintained by Ned Davis Research. The correlation coefficient between the relative strength ranking that then prevailed and the historical pattern stood at 0.43; the current reading is higher and so even more bearish.</p><p><blockquote>不用说，这两个（也不是任何指标，就此而言）都不能保证有效。例如，2015 年 4 月，我关于该指标的专栏文章标题为“领先指标预示着市场见顶”。根据内德-戴维斯研究公司维护的熊市日历，一个月后，熊市开始了。当时盛行的相对强度排名与历史模式之间的相关系数为0.43；目前的读数更高，因此更加悲观。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Here’s another sign the bull market is near a peak, and this one bears watching<blockquote>观点： 这是牛市接近顶峰的另一个迹象，而这个迹象值得关注</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Here’s another sign the bull market is near a peak, and this one bears watching<blockquote>观点： 这是牛市接近顶峰的另一个迹象，而这个迹象值得关注</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Wacth</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-09 10:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The U.S. stock market is nearing a top, according to a leading indicator that is based on the trailing three-month returns of the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;sectors.</p><p><blockquote>根据一项基于标普500板块过去三个月回报的领先指标，美国股市已接近顶部。</blockquote></p><p> Over the three months prior to past bull-market tops, a fairly predictable pattern emerged of which sectors performed best and which fared worst. Currently, a ranking of the sectors’ recent relative strength lines up fairly close with that pattern.</p><p><blockquote>在过去牛市见顶之前的三个月里，出现了一种相当可预测的模式，即哪些行业表现最好，哪些行业表现最差。目前，各板块近期相对强弱的排名与这一模式相当接近。</blockquote></p><p> This is a big change since mid-May when,as I reported, this leading indicator was not detecting any signs of imminent trouble. The sectors with the best trailing three-month returns at that time were not those that typically lead the market prior to tops, and the sectors with the worst trailing three-month returns were not those that typically lag.</p><p><blockquote>这是自 5 月中旬以来的一个重大变化，当时正如我报道的那样，这一领先指标没有检测到任何迫在眉睫的麻烦迹象。当时追踪三个月回报最好的行业并不是那些通常在见顶之前引领市场的行业，追踪三个月回报最差的行业也不是那些通常滞后的行业。</blockquote></p><p> Now, in contrast, there is a distinct correlation between the sectors’ relative strength ranking and the typical pattern that appeared in past tops.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，各板块的相对强度排名与过去顶部出现的典型模式之间存在明显的相关性。</blockquote></p><p> According to research conducted by Ned Davis Research, Utilities, Energy and Financials are the S&amp;P 500 sectors that have performed the worst, on average, in the final three months of all bull markets since 1970. As is clear in the chart below, these three sectors now are at or near the bottom in a ranking of trailing three-month returns.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Ned Davis Research 进行的研究，公用事业、能源和金融是自 1970 年以来所有牛市最后三个月平均表现最差的标普500板块。如下图所示，这三个行业目前在过去三个月回报率排名中处于或接近底部。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46a49a36d04808a2a9b71a01546126de\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"424\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In contrast, according to Ned Davis Research, Consumer <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPLS\">Staples</a>, Health Care and Consumer Discretionary are the sectors that have performed the best, on average, over the three months prior to past bull-market tops. As the chart shows, these three have performed relatively well over the past three months.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，根据内德·戴维斯研究，消费者<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPLS\">订书钉</a>在过去牛市见顶之前的三个月里，医疗保健和非必需消费品是平均表现最好的行业。如图所示，这三者在过去三个月中表现相对较好。</blockquote></p><p> To quantify how much the sector relative strength rankings have shifted in a bearish direction, consider the correlation coefficients that I calculated. This statistic ranges from a high of 1.0 (which would mean that there is a perfect <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-to-one correspondence between a ranking of the sectors’ recent returns and the historical pattern) to minus 1.0 (which would mean a perfectly inverse correlation). A coefficient of zero would mean that there is no detectable relationship.</p><p><blockquote>为了量化行业相对强度排名向看跌方向移动了多少，请考虑我计算的相关系数。这个统计数据的范围从1.0（这意味着有一个完美的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>-行业近期回报排名与历史模式之间的一一对应关系）到负 1.0（这意味着完全负相关）。系数为零意味着没有可检测的关系。</blockquote></p><p> In mid-May, this coefficient stood at a significantly negative minus 0.66. Today, in contrast, it is a positive 0.67. This latest reading is one of the higher coefficients I’ve seen from my periodic monitoring of this indicator.</p><p><blockquote>5月中旬，该系数大幅为负0.66。相比之下，今天是正0.67。这是我在定期监测该指标时看到的较高系数之一。</blockquote></p><p> Needless to say, neither this (nor any indicator, for that matter) is guaranteed to work. One time that it was accurate, for example,was in April 2015, when my column on this indicator ran under the headline “leading indicators signal a market top.”A bear market began one month later, according to the bear-market calendar maintained by Ned Davis Research. The correlation coefficient between the relative strength ranking that then prevailed and the historical pattern stood at 0.43; the current reading is higher and so even more bearish.</p><p><blockquote>不用说，这两个（也不是任何指标，就此而言）都不能保证有效。例如，2015 年 4 月，我关于该指标的专栏文章标题为“领先指标预示着市场见顶”。根据内德-戴维斯研究公司维护的熊市日历，一个月后，熊市开始了。当时盛行的相对强度排名与历史模式之间的相关系数为0.43；目前的读数更高，因此更加悲观。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-another-sign-the-bull-market-is-near-a-peak-and-this-one-bears-watching-11628233932?mod=article_inline\">Market Wacth</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-another-sign-the-bull-market-is-near-a-peak-and-this-one-bears-watching-11628233932?mod=article_inline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119793781","content_text":"The U.S. stock market is nearing a top, according to a leading indicator that is based on the trailing three-month returns of the S&P 500 sectors.\nOver the three months prior to past bull-market tops, a fairly predictable pattern emerged of which sectors performed best and which fared worst. Currently, a ranking of the sectors’ recent relative strength lines up fairly close with that pattern.\nThis is a big change since mid-May when,as I reported, this leading indicator was not detecting any signs of imminent trouble. The sectors with the best trailing three-month returns at that time were not those that typically lead the market prior to tops, and the sectors with the worst trailing three-month returns were not those that typically lag.\nNow, in contrast, there is a distinct correlation between the sectors’ relative strength ranking and the typical pattern that appeared in past tops.\nAccording to research conducted by Ned Davis Research, Utilities, Energy and Financials are the S&P 500 sectors that have performed the worst, on average, in the final three months of all bull markets since 1970. As is clear in the chart below, these three sectors now are at or near the bottom in a ranking of trailing three-month returns.\nIn contrast, according to Ned Davis Research, Consumer Staples, Health Care and Consumer Discretionary are the sectors that have performed the best, on average, over the three months prior to past bull-market tops. As the chart shows, these three have performed relatively well over the past three months.\nTo quantify how much the sector relative strength rankings have shifted in a bearish direction, consider the correlation coefficients that I calculated. This statistic ranges from a high of 1.0 (which would mean that there is a perfect one-to-one correspondence between a ranking of the sectors’ recent returns and the historical pattern) to minus 1.0 (which would mean a perfectly inverse correlation). A coefficient of zero would mean that there is no detectable relationship.\nIn mid-May, this coefficient stood at a significantly negative minus 0.66. Today, in contrast, it is a positive 0.67. This latest reading is one of the higher coefficients I’ve seen from my periodic monitoring of this indicator.\nNeedless to say, neither this (nor any indicator, for that matter) is guaranteed to work. One time that it was accurate, for example,was in April 2015, when my column on this indicator ran under the headline “leading indicators signal a market top.”A bear market began one month later, according to the bear-market calendar maintained by Ned Davis Research. The correlation coefficient between the relative strength ranking that then prevailed and the historical pattern stood at 0.43; the current reading is higher and so even more bearish.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"AONE":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"AONE.U":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1955,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898859653,"gmtCreate":1628486291672,"gmtModify":1633746757811,"author":{"id":"3546940454871502","authorId":"3546940454871502","name":"VinayV","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af35774765d86980ea6edd8aa1389f83","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3546940454871502","idStr":"3546940454871502"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Agree. With streaming services competing closely , Apple has to create more content and user base&nbsp;","listText":"Agree. With streaming services competing closely , Apple has to create more content and user base&nbsp;","text":"Agree. With streaming services competing closely , Apple has to create more content and user base","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898859653","repostId":"1117756865","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117756865","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628485462,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1117756865?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-09 13:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Needs To Cut Apple TV Prices Or Cull The Beleaguered Living Room Gadget: Gurman<blockquote>美食家：苹果需要降低苹果电视价格或淘汰陷入困境的客厅小工具</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117756865","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"Apple needs to cut the prices of Apple TV or send it the way of other retired products like iPod HiF","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> </b>needs to cut the prices of&nbsp;<b>Apple TV</b>&nbsp;or send it the way of other retired products like iPod HiFi and the high-end version of its HomePod speakers, wrote&nbsp;<b>Mark Gurman</b>&nbsp;in the latest edition of his newsletter.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>需要降低价格<b>苹果电视台</b>或者像iPod HiFi和高端版本的HomePod扬声器那样，把它送到其他退役产品那样<b>马克·古尔曼</b>在他最新一期的时事通讯中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;Gurman noted the coming of the “age of streaming” and the abundance of services like those offered by&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a></b>,<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a></b>,<b> </b>and&nbsp;<b>Hulu</b>.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>古尔曼指出 “流媒体时代 ”的到来，以及像这样的服务的大量涌现。<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">网飞</a></b>,<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a></b>,<b></b>和<b>上游</b>.</blockquote></p><p> This, according to Gurman, has made Apple TV a largely “pointless accessory.” The analyst buttressed his point by sharing 2020 data from Strategy Analytics that found that Apple TV only held 2% of the streaming device market.</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼认为，这使得苹果电视在很大程度上成了 “毫无意义的配件”。这位分析师通过分享Strategy Analytics 2020年的数据来支持他的观点，该数据发现苹果电视仅占据流媒体设备市场2%的份额。</blockquote></p><p> “One idea for keeping the Apple TV relevant would be to bundle an Apple TV+ subscription indefinitely at no additional charge,” wrote Gurman.</p><p><blockquote>“古尔曼写道：”保持苹果电视相关性的一个想法是无限期捆绑苹果 TV+ 订阅，无需额外付费。</blockquote></p><p> Gurman’s other ideas include cutting the price of the box or turning it into a 4K capable “stick.”</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼的其他想法还包括降低盒子的价格，或者把它变成一个支持 4K 的 “棒”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>&nbsp;Gurman’s suggestions are unlikely to come to fruition anytime soon. He said that Apple engineers have told him that the iPhone maker “doesn’t have a strong living room hardware strategy and that there isn’t much internal optimism.”</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>古尔曼的建议不太可能在短期内实现。他说，苹果的工程师告诉他，这家 iPhone 制造商 “没有强有力的客厅硬件战略，内部也没有多少乐观情绪”。</blockquote></p><p> In the latest newsletter, Gurman noted that the Apple TV had gone through more “interface overhauls” compared with any other Apple products and “despite nearly 15 years of attempts, Apple hasn’t created anything close to a market leader.”</p><p><blockquote>在最新的通讯中，古尔曼指出，与苹果的任何其他产品相比，苹果电视经历了更多的 “界面大修”，“尽管经过了近 15 年的尝试，苹果还没有创造出任何接近市场领导者的产品”。</blockquote></p><p> The Bloomberg Journalist contributed to 9&nbsp;to&nbsp;5&nbsp;Mac for over six years and isregardedas an authority on the&nbsp;<b>Tim Cook</b>-led company.</p><p><blockquote>这位彭博社记者在六年多的时间里为 9 至 5 Mac 撰稿，并被认为是该领域的权威。<b>蒂姆·库克</b>-领导公司。</blockquote></p><p> Appleunveiled the next generationof its 4K box containing an A12 Bionic chip in April this year. The device comes with a new&nbsp;<b>Siri Remote,</b>which features clickpad and touch controls.</p><p><blockquote>今年4月，苹果推出了包含A12仿生芯片的下一代4K盒子。该设备带有一个新的<b>遥控系列，</b>它具有点击板和触摸控制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;On Friday, Apple shares closed nearly 0.5% lower at $146.14 in the regular session and fell 0.12% in the after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为：</b>周五，苹果股价在常规交易时段收盘下跌近0.5%，至146.14美元，在盘后交易中下跌0.12%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Needs To Cut Apple TV Prices Or Cull The Beleaguered Living Room Gadget: Gurman<blockquote>美食家：苹果需要降低苹果电视价格或淘汰陷入困境的客厅小工具</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Needs To Cut Apple TV Prices Or Cull The Beleaguered Living Room Gadget: Gurman<blockquote>美食家：苹果需要降低苹果电视价格或淘汰陷入困境的客厅小工具</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-09 13:04</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> </b>needs to cut the prices of&nbsp;<b>Apple TV</b>&nbsp;or send it the way of other retired products like iPod HiFi and the high-end version of its HomePod speakers, wrote&nbsp;<b>Mark Gurman</b>&nbsp;in the latest edition of his newsletter.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>需要降低价格<b>苹果电视台</b>或者像iPod HiFi和高端版本的HomePod扬声器那样，把它送到其他退役产品那样<b>马克·古尔曼</b>在他最新一期的时事通讯中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;Gurman noted the coming of the “age of streaming” and the abundance of services like those offered by&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a></b>,<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a></b>,<b> </b>and&nbsp;<b>Hulu</b>.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>古尔曼指出 “流媒体时代 ”的到来，以及像这样的服务的大量涌现。<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">网飞</a></b>,<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a></b>,<b></b>和<b>上游</b>.</blockquote></p><p> This, according to Gurman, has made Apple TV a largely “pointless accessory.” The analyst buttressed his point by sharing 2020 data from Strategy Analytics that found that Apple TV only held 2% of the streaming device market.</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼认为，这使得苹果电视在很大程度上成了 “毫无意义的配件”。这位分析师通过分享Strategy Analytics 2020年的数据来支持他的观点，该数据发现苹果电视仅占据流媒体设备市场2%的份额。</blockquote></p><p> “One idea for keeping the Apple TV relevant would be to bundle an Apple TV+ subscription indefinitely at no additional charge,” wrote Gurman.</p><p><blockquote>“古尔曼写道：”保持苹果电视相关性的一个想法是无限期捆绑苹果 TV+ 订阅，无需额外付费。</blockquote></p><p> Gurman’s other ideas include cutting the price of the box or turning it into a 4K capable “stick.”</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼的其他想法还包括降低盒子的价格，或者把它变成一个支持 4K 的 “棒”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>&nbsp;Gurman’s suggestions are unlikely to come to fruition anytime soon. He said that Apple engineers have told him that the iPhone maker “doesn’t have a strong living room hardware strategy and that there isn’t much internal optimism.”</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>古尔曼的建议不太可能在短期内实现。他说，苹果的工程师告诉他，这家 iPhone 制造商 “没有强有力的客厅硬件战略，内部也没有多少乐观情绪”。</blockquote></p><p> In the latest newsletter, Gurman noted that the Apple TV had gone through more “interface overhauls” compared with any other Apple products and “despite nearly 15 years of attempts, Apple hasn’t created anything close to a market leader.”</p><p><blockquote>在最新的通讯中，古尔曼指出，与苹果的任何其他产品相比，苹果电视经历了更多的 “界面大修”，“尽管经过了近 15 年的尝试，苹果还没有创造出任何接近市场领导者的产品”。</blockquote></p><p> The Bloomberg Journalist contributed to 9&nbsp;to&nbsp;5&nbsp;Mac for over six years and isregardedas an authority on the&nbsp;<b>Tim Cook</b>-led company.</p><p><blockquote>这位彭博社记者在六年多的时间里为 9 至 5 Mac 撰稿，并被认为是该领域的权威。<b>蒂姆·库克</b>-领导公司。</blockquote></p><p> Appleunveiled the next generationof its 4K box containing an A12 Bionic chip in April this year. The device comes with a new&nbsp;<b>Siri Remote,</b>which features clickpad and touch controls.</p><p><blockquote>今年4月，苹果推出了包含A12仿生芯片的下一代4K盒子。该设备带有一个新的<b>遥控系列，</b>它具有点击板和触摸控制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;On Friday, Apple shares closed nearly 0.5% lower at $146.14 in the regular session and fell 0.12% in the after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为：</b>周五，苹果股价在常规交易时段收盘下跌近0.5%，至146.14美元，在盘后交易中下跌0.12%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117756865","content_text":"Apple needs to cut the prices of Apple TV or send it the way of other retired products like iPod HiFi and the high-end version of its HomePod speakers, wrote Mark Gurman in the latest edition of his newsletter.\nWhat Happened: Gurman noted the coming of the “age of streaming” and the abundance of services like those offered by Netflix, Amazon.com, and Hulu.\nThis, according to Gurman, has made Apple TV a largely “pointless accessory.” The analyst buttressed his point by sharing 2020 data from Strategy Analytics that found that Apple TV only held 2% of the streaming device market.\n“One idea for keeping the Apple TV relevant would be to bundle an Apple TV+ subscription indefinitely at no additional charge,” wrote Gurman.\nGurman’s other ideas include cutting the price of the box or turning it into a 4K capable “stick.”\nWhy It Matters: Gurman’s suggestions are unlikely to come to fruition anytime soon. He said that Apple engineers have told him that the iPhone maker “doesn’t have a strong living room hardware strategy and that there isn’t much internal optimism.”\nIn the latest newsletter, Gurman noted that the Apple TV had gone through more “interface overhauls” compared with any other Apple products and “despite nearly 15 years of attempts, Apple hasn’t created anything close to a market leader.”\nThe Bloomberg Journalist contributed to 9 to 5 Mac for over six years and isregardedas an authority on the Tim Cook-led company.\nAppleunveiled the next generationof its 4K box containing an A12 Bionic chip in April this year. The device comes with a new Siri Remote,which features clickpad and touch controls.\nPrice Action: On Friday, Apple shares closed nearly 0.5% lower at $146.14 in the regular session and fell 0.12% in the after-hours trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"草凡借箭","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1859c47e3315b8657b0fdebfe5e173b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000217","idStr":"9000000000000217"},"content":"苹果的股票很稳，持续持有的话收益挺不错的，苹果给我的感觉就是稳定，稳定增长的客户群，其他方面的风险肯定会有，但不会带来大的波动，我是单纯从个股的角度来看。","text":"苹果的股票很稳，持续持有的话收益挺不错的，苹果给我的感觉就是稳定，稳定增长的客户群，其他方面的风险肯定会有，但不会带来大的波动，我是单纯从个股的角度来看。","html":"苹果的股票很稳，持续持有的话收益挺不错的，苹果给我的感觉就是稳定，稳定增长的客户群，其他方面的风险肯定会有，但不会带来大的波动，我是单纯从个股的角度来看。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}