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bitcon
bitcon
·
2020-07-16
$瑞朗2009(CHF2009)$
USDCHF美元瑞郎,威科夫吸筹区间,还是下跌中继形态?我个人认为,目前在走一个教科书版本的威科夫吸筹区间, 而且已经走到C阶段做多理由如下:1, 长期的超卖rsi信号, 量价背离.2, 2011年8月,恐慌抛售,汇率0.7, 但供应已经枯竭,迅速反弹至汇率0.99附近, 自然回落至汇率0.87, 出现需求 (供应几乎殆尽!)3, 紧接着汇率在0.92-1之间震荡, 期间上涨有量,下跌无量, 至3月12号,全球流动性危机, 顺势终极震仓, 紧接着快速反弹, 目前又跌至0.93附近, 个人认为是对终极震仓的二次确认(缩量)长线策略1, 首先接近震荡区域底部布局长线单,分批进入, 止损放区间最下沿2, 区间交易员, 日交易者,也可以在区间内做波段3, 一单出现SOS,巨量突破区间上沿,顺势追单.谨代表个人建议, 本人主要做数字货币,应群友需求,做了外汇分析, 当然我会慢慢做更多相关类别的分析,未来会做些日交易点位分析~目前突破内趋势线,回踩0.94站稳, 则多单继续持有, 止损放前低,或者整个区间底部(对于长线交易员)查看分析https://cn.tradingview.com/chart/USDCHF/HEEnsSkF/
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bitcon
bitcon
·
2020-05-18
原油的负价还会出现的,原油作为战略物资的储备量已经过剩,其管理成本会逐步提升. 原油长期看跌.
$美国原油ETF(USO)$
美国原油WTI6月合约到期临近 油价负值还会再现吗?
一个月前,美国WTI原油2005合约跌到-38美元,但随着下一个油价分水岭----6月合约将在周二到期,尽管目前市场对原油后市普遍感到乐观,但需留意的是目前WTI原油期货7月合约成交量已超过6月合约,多数流动性提供商近期已提前移仓换月成7月合约,投资者仍需警惕在6月合约到期前油价或再度出现如5月期货合约到期因活跃性降低而导致油价崩跌可能。
美国原油WTI6月合约到期临近 油价负值还会再现吗?
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bitcon
bitcon
·
2020-05-18
$比特币基金(GBTC)$
比特币,预计2020年9月 冲击14000美金,回调做多,只要不跌破8100$.目前价格9750$,希望可以看到8700$,并稳住,长线多开启。
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bitcon
bitcon
·
2020-05-18
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
试一试 老虎k线发布功能
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bitcon
bitcon
·
2020-05-18
原油主旋律还是跌
@bitcon:
原油 已经到了物资储备过剩阶段,还会继续跌
原油 已经到了物资储备过剩阶段,还会继续跌
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bitcon
bitcon
·
2020-05-17
$微澳元2006(MAUD2006)$
继续
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bitcon
bitcon
·
2020-05-16
稳扎稳打,成功需要积累
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bitcon
bitcon
·
2020-05-16
$微澳元2006(MAUD2006)$
来吧
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bitcon
bitcon
·
2020-05-15
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$
我92美金买入,119美金卖出,72美金买入,205美金卖出,4年 n倍增长
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bitcon
bitcon
·
2020-05-15
原油 已经到了物资储备过剩阶段,还会继续跌
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止损放前低,或者整个区间底部(对于长线交易员)查看分析https://cn.tradingview.com/chart/USDCHF/HEEnsSkF/","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c0cb77a8a9825998bdcb58251242c40","width":"960","height":"1208"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/941850089","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4046,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":959925112,"gmtCreate":1589749350836,"gmtModify":1704190489446,"author":{"id":"3551972368096543","authorId":"3551972368096543","name":"bitcon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b723498e2b23b206ae4c74e67f5fef9","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551972368096543","authorIdStr":"3551972368096543"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"原油的负价还会出现的,原油作为战略物资的储备量已经过剩,其管理成本会逐步提升. 原油长期看跌.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USO\">$美国原油ETF(USO)$</a>","listText":"原油的负价还会出现的,原油作为战略物资的储备量已经过剩,其管理成本会逐步提升. 原油长期看跌.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USO\">$美国原油ETF(USO)$</a>","text":"原油的负价还会出现的,原油作为战略物资的储备量已经过剩,其管理成本会逐步提升. 原油长期看跌.$美国原油ETF(USO)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/959925112","repostId":"2036904695","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2036904695","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1589743200,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2036904695?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-05-18 03:20","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"美国原油WTI6月合约到期临近 油价负值还会再现吗?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2036904695","media":"新浪美股","summary":"一个月前,美国WTI原油2005合约跌到-38美元,但随着下一个油价分水岭----6月合约将在周二到期,尽管目前市场对原油后市普遍感到乐观,但需留意的是目前WTI原油期货7月合约成交量已超过6月合约,多数流动性提供商近期已提前移仓换月成7月合约,投资者仍需警惕在6月合约到期前油价或再度出现如5月期货合约到期因活跃性降低而导致油价崩跌可能。","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p> 一个月前,美国WTI原油2005合约跌到-38美元,但随着下一个油价分水岭----6月合约将在周二(5月19日)到期,尽管目前市场对原油后市普遍感到乐观,但需留意的是目前WTI原油期货7月合约成交量已超过6月合约,多数流动性提供商近期已提前移仓换月成7月合约,<strong>投资者仍需警惕在6月合约到期前油价或再度出现如5月期货合约到期因活跃性降低而导致油价崩跌可能</strong>。</p>\n<p> 上个月时,由于新冠疫情在全球范围内的流行,对原油产业造成了不可估量的损害。随着各个国家实施疫情封锁禁令,数十亿人停止旅行造成了燃料需求的巨量崩溃,以至于全球路基油储设施也几近饱和,新生产的原油除了大型油轮和管道几乎没有地方可以储存。</p>\n<p> 因此,在WTI 原油5月合约到期的前一天(4月20日),持有未平仓原油合约的投资者不得不付钱给石油买家。WTI 2005合约一度暴跌至近-40美元....</p>\n<p> <strong>油价有所回收</strong></p>\n<p> 油价出现负值的一个月后,世界各国政府都在慢慢解除旅行限制,有迹象表明,原油需求正从最低点回升。</p>\n<p> 目前,油价出现了一定程度的回升,美国原油价格接近每桶30美元。随着全球原油生产商迅速减产,库存压力正在缓解:美国政府本周公布的数据显示,原油库存下降。</p>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/transform/792/w550h242/20200518/3569-itriatt1411419.png\"/><span></span></div>\n<p> OANDA高级市场分析师克雷格-埃尔拉姆(Craig Erlam)表示:“随着原油合约即将到期,原油市场显然有了不同的感受,全球都在实施减产,无论是通过协议还是单方面的减产。”“<strong>但这是否足以避免另一个恐慌性抛售时刻?几率确实降低了……自信和自满之间只有一线之隔</strong>,我们只能希望这条线没有被越过,否则下周初它可能很快就会被打破。”</p>\n<p> <strong>CFTC发出罕见负价警告</strong></p>\n<p> 不过,美国期货和期权交易的监管机构美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)上周三向交易所运营商和经纪商发出了罕见的负价警告:衍生品经纪商、交易所以及清算所应该为期货合约可能在疫情期间再次以负价进行交易做好准备。考虑到WTI原油5月合约出现负价以及市场存在非同寻常的高度波动性,提醒各大流动性供应商负有评估市场环境变化以及在合约即将到期时采取适当措施应对的义务。</p>\n<p> <strong>CME提高6月份合约保证金</strong></p>\n<p> 主办WTI期货交易的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CME\">芝加哥商品交易所</a>(CME)上周将6月份期货合约的维持保证金提高了20%。这将使一些规模较小的散户投资者在合约到期前持有大量未平仓头寸的会有这较高的成本。当被问及CME的预期时,一位发言人表示,该交易所不会猜测任何产品的价格是否会为负,并让投资者参考有关其系统适应负定价能力的通知。</p>\n<p> <strong>交易商限制6月合约存货</strong></p>\n<p> 自油价暴跌以来,包括巨头TD Ameritrade在内的多家券商或期货经纪上(FCM)已限制客户购买部分原油合约的新仓位。</p>\n<p> 上个月,芝加哥商品交易所命令美国最大的原油交易所交易产品——美国石油基金(USO)将其在6月合约中的头寸限制在不超过1万手。该基金已向投资者提交了相关文件,并通过将于7月、8月和9月到期的合约来分散持股。</p>\n<p> Refinitiv Eikon的数据显示,受这些举措影响,6月未平仓合约数量已经在减少,周四约为75000手。这一价格较周三的近13.5万手有所下降。而在4月17日,也就是5月合约到期前两天,未平仓合约约有108600手。</p>\n<p> <strong>油价暴跌的影响</strong></p>\n<p> WTI原油合约的实际结算意味着到期的持有者必须在俄克拉荷马州库欣提取原油。而只热衷交易期货合约的散户投资者往往对交接原油实物并不感兴趣。上个月,散户投资者发现未平仓的合约即将到期时市场上买家稀缺,而库欣地区的库存实际上已经被订满,这促使他们疯狂抛售合约,以致于价格跌到负值。</p>\n<p> 风险管理顾问公司Winhall risk Analytics的亨利•利希滕斯坦(Henry Lichtenstein)和布雷特•弗里德曼(Brett Friedman)表示:“<strong>坦率地说,当时</strong><strong>在5月份合约交易中,</strong><strong>小散户根本无利可图。</strong>”他们表示,<strong>这些交易员的FCMs、交易所或CFTC本应介入,禁止他们进行交易。</strong>“这本来可以避免至少38亿美元的金融影响。”</p>\n<p> 受影响的投资者包括WTI衍生品合约的投资者,这些合约在远至中国和俄罗斯的交易所进行交易。</p>\n<p> <strong>EIA数据显示库存减少</strong></p>\n<p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USEG\">美国能源</a>情报署(EIA)数据显示,库欣库存已开始下降,上周减少300万桶,这是有助于避免本月危机重演的另一个因素。这应该会为那些持有6月份合约的人腾出一些储油空间。</p>\n<p> 在实物市场(买卖实际原油而非期货合约的场所),交易活动在到期前放缓。实物交易的定价通常以基准价格为基础,交易员希望避免在合约到期前出现任何波动。(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">新浪</a>美股 林克)</p>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/finance/cece9e13/20200514/343233024.png\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n<p>责任编辑:张国帅 </p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国原油WTI6月合约到期临近 油价负值还会再现吗?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国原油WTI6月合约到期临近 油价负值还会再现吗?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-05-18 03:20 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-05-18/doc-iircuyvi3623202.shtml><strong>新浪美股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>一个月前,美国WTI原油2005合约跌到-38美元,但随着下一个油价分水岭----6月合约将在周二(5月19日)到期,尽管目前市场对原油后市普遍感到乐观,但需留意的是目前WTI原油期货7月合约成交量已超过6月合约,多数流动性提供商近期已提前移仓换月成7月合约,投资者仍需警惕在6月合约到期前油价或再度出现如5月期货合约到期因活跃性降低而导致油价崩跌可能。\n 上个月时,由于新冠疫情在全球范围内的流行...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-05-18/doc-iircuyvi3623202.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43f63ef72a7adf3804ec686260591369","relate_stocks":{"DWT":"三倍做空原油ETN","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","USO":"美国原油ETF","DDG":"ProShares做空石油与天然气ETF","DUG":"二倍做空石油与天然气ETF(ProShares)"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2020-05-18/doc-iircuyvi3623202.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2036904695","content_text":"一个月前,美国WTI原油2005合约跌到-38美元,但随着下一个油价分水岭----6月合约将在周二(5月19日)到期,尽管目前市场对原油后市普遍感到乐观,但需留意的是目前WTI原油期货7月合约成交量已超过6月合约,多数流动性提供商近期已提前移仓换月成7月合约,投资者仍需警惕在6月合约到期前油价或再度出现如5月期货合约到期因活跃性降低而导致油价崩跌可能。\n 上个月时,由于新冠疫情在全球范围内的流行,对原油产业造成了不可估量的损害。随着各个国家实施疫情封锁禁令,数十亿人停止旅行造成了燃料需求的巨量崩溃,以至于全球路基油储设施也几近饱和,新生产的原油除了大型油轮和管道几乎没有地方可以储存。\n 因此,在WTI 原油5月合约到期的前一天(4月20日),持有未平仓原油合约的投资者不得不付钱给石油买家。WTI 2005合约一度暴跌至近-40美元....\n 油价有所回收\n 油价出现负值的一个月后,世界各国政府都在慢慢解除旅行限制,有迹象表明,原油需求正从最低点回升。\n 目前,油价出现了一定程度的回升,美国原油价格接近每桶30美元。随着全球原油生产商迅速减产,库存压力正在缓解:美国政府本周公布的数据显示,原油库存下降。\n\n OANDA高级市场分析师克雷格-埃尔拉姆(Craig Erlam)表示:“随着原油合约即将到期,原油市场显然有了不同的感受,全球都在实施减产,无论是通过协议还是单方面的减产。”“但这是否足以避免另一个恐慌性抛售时刻?几率确实降低了……自信和自满之间只有一线之隔,我们只能希望这条线没有被越过,否则下周初它可能很快就会被打破。”\n CFTC发出罕见负价警告\n 不过,美国期货和期权交易的监管机构美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)上周三向交易所运营商和经纪商发出了罕见的负价警告:衍生品经纪商、交易所以及清算所应该为期货合约可能在疫情期间再次以负价进行交易做好准备。考虑到WTI原油5月合约出现负价以及市场存在非同寻常的高度波动性,提醒各大流动性供应商负有评估市场环境变化以及在合约即将到期时采取适当措施应对的义务。\n CME提高6月份合约保证金\n 主办WTI期货交易的芝加哥商品交易所(CME)上周将6月份期货合约的维持保证金提高了20%。这将使一些规模较小的散户投资者在合约到期前持有大量未平仓头寸的会有这较高的成本。当被问及CME的预期时,一位发言人表示,该交易所不会猜测任何产品的价格是否会为负,并让投资者参考有关其系统适应负定价能力的通知。\n 交易商限制6月合约存货\n 自油价暴跌以来,包括巨头TD Ameritrade在内的多家券商或期货经纪上(FCM)已限制客户购买部分原油合约的新仓位。\n 上个月,芝加哥商品交易所命令美国最大的原油交易所交易产品——美国石油基金(USO)将其在6月合约中的头寸限制在不超过1万手。该基金已向投资者提交了相关文件,并通过将于7月、8月和9月到期的合约来分散持股。\n Refinitiv Eikon的数据显示,受这些举措影响,6月未平仓合约数量已经在减少,周四约为75000手。这一价格较周三的近13.5万手有所下降。而在4月17日,也就是5月合约到期前两天,未平仓合约约有108600手。\n 油价暴跌的影响\n WTI原油合约的实际结算意味着到期的持有者必须在俄克拉荷马州库欣提取原油。而只热衷交易期货合约的散户投资者往往对交接原油实物并不感兴趣。上个月,散户投资者发现未平仓的合约即将到期时市场上买家稀缺,而库欣地区的库存实际上已经被订满,这促使他们疯狂抛售合约,以致于价格跌到负值。\n 风险管理顾问公司Winhall risk Analytics的亨利•利希滕斯坦(Henry Lichtenstein)和布雷特•弗里德曼(Brett Friedman)表示:“坦率地说,当时在5月份合约交易中,小散户根本无利可图。”他们表示,这些交易员的FCMs、交易所或CFTC本应介入,禁止他们进行交易。“这本来可以避免至少38亿美元的金融影响。”\n 受影响的投资者包括WTI衍生品合约的投资者,这些合约在远至中国和俄罗斯的交易所进行交易。\n EIA数据显示库存减少\n 美国能源情报署(EIA)数据显示,库欣库存已开始下降,上周减少300万桶,这是有助于避免本月危机重演的另一个因素。这应该会为那些持有6月份合约的人腾出一些储油空间。\n 在实物市场(买卖实际原油而非期货合约的场所),交易活动在到期前放缓。实物交易的定价通常以基准价格为基础,交易员希望避免在合约到期前出现任何波动。(新浪美股 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