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Huan娱

只投资朝阳行业的好公司，并长期持有

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- Huan娱Huan娱
  ·00:43
  你大叔永远是你大叔
  麦当劳三季度营收70.8亿美元，净利润22.8亿美元
  Q3净利润22.8亿美元。
  麦当劳三季度营收70.8亿美元，净利润22.8亿美元
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- Huan娱Huan娱
  ·10-09
  $多邻国(DUOL)$ 及时止盈落袋为安
  298 评论
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- Huan娱Huan娱
  ·06-03
  $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 246成本，361清仓了。先看看有的是机会[流泪]
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- Huan娱Huan娱
  ·03-19
  那么问题来了，特斯拉仅仅是一家汽车公司吗？😂
  1,129 评论
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- Huan娱Huan娱
  ·2022-06-24
  1000亿不是梦
  @Emilyslove：
  $理想汽车(LI)$就是越来越贵了……拿不住😮‍💨
  $理想汽车(LI)$就是越来越贵了……拿不住😮‍💨
  3,538 评论
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- Huan娱Huan娱
  ·2022-04-13
  开什么玩笑人家平均成本90左右。赚钱了已经
  大手笔减持阿里背后，芒格有何隐情？
  芒格此番减持，意欲何为？他究竟在这个月里嗅到了什么？
  大手笔减持阿里背后，芒格有何隐情？
  3,544 评论
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- Huan娱Huan娱
  ·2022-02-22
  $美团-W(03690)$机会抓紧上车了[开心]
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- Huan娱Huan娱
  ·2022-02-21
  $美吉姆(002621)$随时准备割韭菜走人了😁
  5,182 评论
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- Huan娱Huan娱
  ·2022-02-20
  $美团-W(03690)$看到160就可以建仓了👍坐等吃肉
  3,698 评论
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- Huan娱Huan娱
  ·2022-02-02
  $蔚来(NIO)$这么说吧，电动三傻每家都值1000亿刀起+ ，短期赌博心态的确实不适合入。另外，特斯拉2Ｗ亿也快得很
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCD\">麦当劳</a> 2025年Q3营收70.8亿美元，市场预期70.95亿美元，上年同期68.7亿美元。</p><p>Q3净利润22.8亿美元，每股收益3.18美元。</p><p>Q3美国同店销售额增长2.4%；全球同店销售额增长3.6%，高于市场预估的3.55%。</p><p>Q3自营和运营餐厅销售额下降3%，特许经营餐厅收入为43.6亿美元。</p><p>麦当劳：预计2025年营业利润率将在40%中高水平区间，预计本财年资本支出将在30亿至32亿美元之间。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23ec158d5f266d7f9d8fe8912a7ff3cc","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119417345","content_text":"麦当劳 2025年Q3营收70.8亿美元，市场预期70.95亿美元，上年同期68.7亿美元。Q3净利润22.8亿美元，每股收益3.18美元。Q3美国同店销售额增长2.4%；全球同店销售额增长3.6%，高于市场预估的3.55%。Q3自营和运营餐厅销售额下降3%，特许经营餐厅收入为43.6亿美元。麦当劳：预计2025年营业利润率将在40%中高水平区间，预计本财年资本支出将在30亿至32亿美元之间。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MCD":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":487117784973504,"gmtCreate":1759953982451,"gmtModify":1759953994560,"author":{"id":"3561649565466203","authorId":"3561649565466203","name":"Huan娱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1f0e6d86680b202c05ed56a4c11e9bb","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561649565466203","authorIdStr":"3561649565466203"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DUOL\">$多邻国(DUOL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 及时止盈 落袋为安","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DUOL\">$多邻国(DUOL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 及时止盈 落袋为安","text":"$多邻国(DUOL)$ 及时止盈 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。赚钱了已经","listText":"开什么玩笑 人家平均成本90左右 。赚钱了已经","text":"开什么玩笑 人家平均成本90左右 。赚钱了已经","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613689859","repostId":"1171226600","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1171226600","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1649778100,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171226600?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-12 23:41","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大手笔减持阿里背后，芒格有何隐情？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171226600","media":"资事堂","summary":"芒格此番减持，意欲何为？他究竟在这个月里嗅到了什么？","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>作为巴菲特的挚友，伯克希尔哈萨韦的副董事长，查理·芒格在中国有大量的投资者粉丝。</p><p>但这位98岁老人近期的一个做法却让人大感意外。</p><p>据美国证券交易委员会披露的信息，芒格长期担任董事长的每日期刊公司（Daily Journal）日前的最新美股持仓组合中，阿里巴巴的持仓大幅减少了一半。</p><p>但此前的2月份，这家公司的年会上，查理芒格刚刚“夸赞”了一把阿里巴巴。他说阿里巴巴是“合适”的投资标的，投资这个公司让他感到“舒适”。</p><p>但一个月后的最新公告显示，芒格又减持了阿里巴巴的美股，而且直接砍仓一半。</p><p>芒格此番减持，意欲何为？他究竟在这个月里嗅到了什么？</p><p><b>01</b></p><p><b>“不贪多”的芒格</b></p><p>巴菲特曾有个著名的论断，人一生只需要20个优秀上市公司就足以了。</p><p>芒格还要极致，他持有的股票数量通常在5个上下。</p><p>在他担任董事长的每日期刊公司近年的投资组合中，通常只有很少数量的公司，而阿里巴巴就在其中。</p><p>2021年末的公告显示，每日期刊公司持有2.126亿美元的美股（相关法规只要求披露美股持仓）。</p><p>这五家公司是，美洲银行（9480.6万美元）、富国银行（7713.9万美元）、阿里巴巴（3264万美元）、美国合众银行（744.1万美元）、浦项制铁（57.7万美元）。</p><p>此外，每日期刊公司还有自己稳定发展的主业，提供各种广告信息服务，并提供法律相关的案件管理软件系统服务。</p><p>这样屈指数来，芒格近年看上的生意不过六桩。</p><p><b>02</b></p><p><b>让人舒适的“生意”？</b></p><p>芒格是怎么看待阿里巴巴这桩生意，可以从他在公开场合的一些发言中看出。</p><p>在今年2月举行的每日期刊公司年度股东大会上，他曾表示：</p><p>“我觉得阿里巴巴是一个合理的投资，至少目前来看，买入阿里巴巴股票并没有看起来风险那么巨大。”</p><p>他还在该次大会上表示，阿里巴巴竞争力很强，即便在竞争激烈的零售领域也有极佳竞争力。“<b>投资阿里巴巴是让我感到舒适的投资决策。</b>”</p><p>他还为阿里股价的下跌做解释：持有有价证券就会面临风险，可能是亏钱，也可能是股价下降。<b>我们会有一些措施去规避损失，对一些小幅的回撤并不介意。</b></p><p>但资事堂梳理的相关公告却显示，2021年一季度起逐季增仓阿里巴巴（美股ADS）的每日期刊公司，在最新的一季度摸出现减持。</p><p>减持规模达到30.21万股，相比去年末砍仓一半。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfa61cf5ff0517151662321821ac6060\" tg-width=\"742\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>而同期，阿里巴巴在美股和港股的成交价，都一度创下了近几年的新低（见下图）。</p><p><b>所以，无论是言行不一致，还是低位砍仓，这似乎都大大不同于投资大众心目中的查理芒格的形象。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d86446d99222807309114e9aa52dce21\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>这究竟发生了什么？</p><p><b>03</b></p><p><b>3月末辞去董事长</b></p><p>撇开阿里巴巴期间发生了什么情况，每日期刊公司在2022年一季度发生了一件大事。</p><p>就是芒格退休了。</p><p>3月28日，在每日期刊公司提交的一份给当地监管部门的文件中显示，查理·芒格已决定在该公司工作45年后，将卸任董事长一职。</p><p>此前在该公司今年2月的年会上，查理·芒格就透露过 “接任的计划未来不久就会执行”。</p><p>果然短短一个多月后，芒格正式卸任董事长。</p><p>芒格卸任这个事项，<b>给每日期刊公司减持阿里带来了一种解释的可能，即此次操作已不再由芒格主导：</b></p><p>他或许依然看好某家公司，但98岁的他可能已不再做主。</p><p>这个事情同样发生在巴菲特的公司里，过去几年，伯克希尔连续操作了多次科技股和航空股投资，其风格和手法和巴菲特早年的风格有了不小的差异。</p><p>业内多次揣测，巴菲特可能早已分仓给其他基金经理管理资产。甚至，他已逐步退出一线的决策，而只是把关。毕竟巴菲特也已91周岁高龄。</p><p><b>04</b></p><p><b>几个可能的原因</b></p><p>还有几种可能：</p><p>其一、芒格可能确实不看好这家公司，在今年2~3月份的某些时刻，他发现了一些他不能容忍的迹象，导致他不得不在低位斩仓。</p><p>其二、<b>还有可能是另存隐情——比如转换阿里巴巴至港股市场。</b></p><p>阿里巴巴同时也在香港市场挂牌交易，价格和美股表现相当接近。而芒格选择了转换部分持仓到港股市场。</p><p>这类操作在资管界早有先例。</p><p>2020年8月，新加坡主权基金淡马锡、英国百年资管巨头柏基投资（Baillie Gifford）将持有的阿里巴巴美国存托凭证转换为港股，转换量分别占其头寸的50%和20%。</p><p>其三、<b>持有人推动变化：</b></p><p>由于芒格的巨大威望，所以外界几乎忽略每日期刊公司的其他股东。</p><p>但其实，很早以前，就有不少大鳄级别的金融机构投资每日期刊公司。</p><p>根据该公司去年末的披露，有两家大型买方机构是每日期刊公司的大股东，包括Roseman Wagner Wealth Management、资管巨头贝莱德。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/399e368561496d45f24ad567b9fc9ab3\" tg-width=\"865\" tg-height=\"244\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>随着芒格的卸任，部分股东也可能推动投资组合和风格的调整。</p><p>总体上说，本次减持阿里巴巴，并不能推断芒格就出现了“出尔反尔”，相反在更多的信息出现前，各种可能的原因都存在。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1568174316590","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>大手笔减持阿里背后，芒格有何隐情？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大手笔减持阿里背后，芒格有何隐情？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-12 23:41 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/R_8W7bRACU4XW7ukjiq-dQ><strong>资事堂</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作为巴菲特的挚友，伯克希尔哈萨韦的副董事长，查理·芒格在中国有大量的投资者粉丝。但这位98岁老人近期的一个做法却让人大感意外。据美国证券交易委员会披露的信息，芒格长期担任董事长的每日期刊公司（Daily Journal）日前的最新美股持仓组合中，阿里巴巴的持仓大幅减少了一半。但此前的2月份，这家公司的年会上，查理芒格刚刚“夸赞”了一把阿里巴巴。他说阿里巴巴是“合适”的投资标的，投资这个公司让他感到...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/R_8W7bRACU4XW7ukjiq-dQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d30d3e4a8c584dc0c7143999338c880","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/R_8W7bRACU4XW7ukjiq-dQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171226600","content_text":"作为巴菲特的挚友，伯克希尔哈萨韦的副董事长，查理·芒格在中国有大量的投资者粉丝。但这位98岁老人近期的一个做法却让人大感意外。据美国证券交易委员会披露的信息，芒格长期担任董事长的每日期刊公司（Daily Journal）日前的最新美股持仓组合中，阿里巴巴的持仓大幅减少了一半。但此前的2月份，这家公司的年会上，查理芒格刚刚“夸赞”了一把阿里巴巴。他说阿里巴巴是“合适”的投资标的，投资这个公司让他感到“舒适”。但一个月后的最新公告显示，芒格又减持了阿里巴巴的美股，而且直接砍仓一半。芒格此番减持，意欲何为？他究竟在这个月里嗅到了什么？01“不贪多”的芒格巴菲特曾有个著名的论断，人一生只需要20个优秀上市公司就足以了。芒格还要极致，他持有的股票数量通常在5个上下。在他担任董事长的每日期刊公司近年的投资组合中，通常只有很少数量的公司，而阿里巴巴就在其中。2021年末的公告显示，每日期刊公司持有2.126亿美元的美股（相关法规只要求披露美股持仓）。这五家公司是，美洲银行（9480.6万美元）、富国银行（7713.9万美元）、阿里巴巴（3264万美元）、美国合众银行（744.1万美元）、浦项制铁（57.7万美元）。此外，每日期刊公司还有自己稳定发展的主业，提供各种广告信息服务，并提供法律相关的案件管理软件系统服务。这样屈指数来，芒格近年看上的生意不过六桩。02让人舒适的“生意”？芒格是怎么看待阿里巴巴这桩生意，可以从他在公开场合的一些发言中看出。在今年2月举行的每日期刊公司年度股东大会上，他曾表示：“我觉得阿里巴巴是一个合理的投资，至少目前来看，买入阿里巴巴股票并没有看起来风险那么巨大。”他还在该次大会上表示，阿里巴巴竞争力很强，即便在竞争激烈的零售领域也有极佳竞争力。“投资阿里巴巴是让我感到舒适的投资决策。”他还为阿里股价的下跌做解释：持有有价证券就会面临风险，可能是亏钱，也可能是股价下降。我们会有一些措施去规避损失，对一些小幅的回撤并不介意。但资事堂梳理的相关公告却显示，2021年一季度起逐季增仓阿里巴巴（美股ADS）的每日期刊公司，在最新的一季度摸出现减持。减持规模达到30.21万股，相比去年末砍仓一半。而同期，阿里巴巴在美股和港股的成交价，都一度创下了近几年的新低（见下图）。所以，无论是言行不一致，还是低位砍仓，这似乎都大大不同于投资大众心目中的查理芒格的形象。这究竟发生了什么？033月末辞去董事长撇开阿里巴巴期间发生了什么情况，每日期刊公司在2022年一季度发生了一件大事。就是芒格退休了。3月28日，在每日期刊公司提交的一份给当地监管部门的文件中显示，查理·芒格已决定在该公司工作45年后，将卸任董事长一职。此前在该公司今年2月的年会上，查理·芒格就透露过 “接任的计划未来不久就会执行”。果然短短一个多月后，芒格正式卸任董事长。芒格卸任这个事项，给每日期刊公司减持阿里带来了一种解释的可能，即此次操作已不再由芒格主导：他或许依然看好某家公司，但98岁的他可能已不再做主。这个事情同样发生在巴菲特的公司里，过去几年，伯克希尔连续操作了多次科技股和航空股投资，其风格和手法和巴菲特早年的风格有了不小的差异。业内多次揣测，巴菲特可能早已分仓给其他基金经理管理资产。甚至，他已逐步退出一线的决策，而只是把关。毕竟巴菲特也已91周岁高龄。04几个可能的原因还有几种可能：其一、芒格可能确实不看好这家公司，在今年2~3月份的某些时刻，他发现了一些他不能容忍的迹象，导致他不得不在低位斩仓。其二、还有可能是另存隐情——比如转换阿里巴巴至港股市场。阿里巴巴同时也在香港市场挂牌交易，价格和美股表现相当接近。而芒格选择了转换部分持仓到港股市场。这类操作在资管界早有先例。2020年8月，新加坡主权基金淡马锡、英国百年资管巨头柏基投资（Baillie Gifford）将持有的阿里巴巴美国存托凭证转换为港股，转换量分别占其头寸的50%和20%。其三、持有人推动变化：由于芒格的巨大威望，所以外界几乎忽略每日期刊公司的其他股东。但其实，很早以前，就有不少大鳄级别的金融机构投资每日期刊公司。根据该公司去年末的披露，有两家大型买方机构是每日期刊公司的大股东，包括Roseman Wagner Wealth 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