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- FinvestFinvest
  ·2021-06-13
  Nice
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- FinvestFinvest
  ·2021-06-12
  Wow
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- FinvestFinvest
  ·2021-03-02
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- FinvestFinvest
  ·2021-02-28
  $100 by end of year.
  How High Can Oil Really Go?<blockquote>石油到底能涨多高？</blockquote>
  Oil price revisions started cautiously: some banks saw Brent crude averaging $65 a barrel this year,
  How High Can Oil Really Go?<blockquote>石油到底能涨多高？</blockquote>
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- FinvestFinvest
  ·2021-02-28
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- FinvestFinvest
  ·2021-02-28
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by end of year.","listText":"$100 by end of year.","text":"$100 by end of year.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366649687","repostId":"1137629357","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137629357","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614310123,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137629357?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-26 11:28","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"How High Can Oil Really Go?<blockquote>石油到底能涨多高？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137629357","media":"Oilprice","summary":"Oil price revisions started cautiously: some banks saw Brent crude averaging $65 a barrel this year,","content":"<p>Oil price revisions started cautiously: some banks saw Brent crude averaging $65 a barrel this year, and others, of a bolder nature, predicted that the oil benchmark could climb to $65 a barrel.Just a couple of months ago, these forecasts sounded pretty optimistic for the environment, given the slow rollout of Covid-19 vaccines, the continuing excess supply of oil, and reports of coronavirus variants emerging in different parts of the world, threatening new infection waves.</p><p><blockquote>油价修正开始时很谨慎：一些银行预计今年布伦特原油平均价格为每桶 65 美元，而其他银行则更大胆地预测石油基准可能会攀升至每桶 65 美元。就在几个月前，考虑到 Covid-19 疫苗的缓慢推出、石油持续过剩以及世界各地出现冠状病毒变种的报道，这些预测听起来对环境相当乐观，威胁着新的感染浪潮。</blockquote></p><p> Now, banks and traders are talking about Brent at $100 a barrel. Of course, a big reason for this is the slump in U.S. oil production caused by the Texas Freeze earlier this month. It was even greater than the production decline prompted by the pandemic last year, and it will take a while to recover—if it ever does fully.</p><p><blockquote>现在，银行和交易员都在谈论布伦特原油价格为每桶 100 美元。当然，造成这种情况的一个重要原因是本月早些时候德克萨斯州冻结导致美国石油产量下滑。这甚至比去年疫情引发的产量下降还要大，而且需要一段时间才能复苏——如果能完全恢复的话。</blockquote></p><p> Yet demand has also been recovering steadily in some key markets, most notably in China. This recovery has largely offset slow-to-return demand for oil in other large consumers such as the United States and helped push prices higher.</p><p><blockquote>然而，一些主要市场（尤其是中国）的需求也在稳步复苏。这种复苏在很大程度上抵消了美国等其他大型消费国对石油恢复缓慢的需求，并帮助推高了油价。</blockquote></p><p> Then, of course, there has been government stimulus poured into economies around the world in response to the crisis. Trillions of dollars have sunk into businesses and households in hopes this will help set GDP back on the growth path sooner rather than later. Once again, the U.S. has been crucial for the change in oil sentiment: oil price forecast revisions were quick to follow President Joe Biden’s proposal of a $1.9-trillion stimulus package.</p><p><blockquote>当然，为了应对危机，政府向世界各地的经济注入了刺激措施。数万亿美元涌入企业和家庭，希望这将有助于GDP尽快重回增长轨道。美国再次对石油情绪的变化起到了至关重要的作用： 在乔-拜登总统提出 1.9 万亿美元的刺激计划后，油价预测迅速进行了修正。</blockquote></p><p> The package is still being debated, and it might end up smaller than originally proposed. But when it comes to oil, it has done its job. Banks, the Fed, and the Treasury Department all expect a swift economic recovery due to this stimulus, and a swift recovery will invariably include a rebound in oil demand as people start traveling more.</p><p><blockquote>该方案仍在辩论中，最终可能会比最初提议的要小。但说到石油，它已经完成了它的工作。银行、美联储和财政部都预计，由于这一刺激措施，经济将迅速复苏，而随着人们开始更多地旅行，快速复苏必然包括石油需求的反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, global oil stocks are on the decline, even if not all the reasons for that are clear. The<i>Wall Street Journal</i>&nbsp;recently wrote an&nbsp;analysis&nbsp;of the so-called missing barrels, or barrels of oil that somehow slip under the radar of inventory trackers and that last year reached a record high of 68 percent of an estimate global inventory increase totaling 1.39 billion barrels.Outside the mystery of the missing barrels, OPEC+ efforts in production cutting have been fruitful, and U.S. shale producers have this time round been cautious about returning to a growth mode, not least because of oil prices.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，全球石油库存正在下降，尽管并非所有原因都很清楚。这个<i>华尔街日报</i>最近写了一篇关于所谓的缺失桶的分析，即不知何故在库存追踪器的雷达下溜走的石油桶，去年达到了全球库存估计增加13.9亿桶的68%的历史新高。除了失踪桶的谜团之外，欧佩克+的减产努力已经取得了成果，美国页岩油生产商这一次对恢复增长模式持谨慎态度，尤其是因为油价。</blockquote></p><p> In this context, it is not at all surprising that earlier this week that Bank of America,Socar Trading, and&nbsp;Energy Aspects&nbsp;all said Brent could rise to $100 over the next two years. According to Socar Trading—Azerbaijan’s oil marketing company—prices are up on the rebalancing fundamentals, and by the summer, Brent could hit $80 a barrel. As supply remains tight, it could climb further to $100 a barrel, the company’s chief trading officer Hayal Ahmadzada&nbsp;told&nbsp;Bloomberg.</p><p><blockquote>在这种背景下，本周早些时候，美国银行、Socar Trading 和 Energy Aspects 均表示布伦特原油可能在未来两年内升至 100 美元，这一点也不奇怪。据阿塞拜疆石油营销公司 Socar Trading 称，由于重新平衡的基本面，油价正在上涨，到今年夏天，布伦特原油可能会达到每桶 80 美元。该公司首席交易官哈亚尔-艾哈迈德扎达（Hayal Ahmadzada）告诉彭博社，由于供应仍然紧张，油价可能会进一步攀升至每桶 100 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Energy Aspects Amrita Sen, on the other hand, cited economic stimulus as chief reason for the expected price rally.</p><p><blockquote>能源方面 另一方面，阿姆里塔·森 (Amrita Sen) 将经济刺激列为预期价格上涨的主要原因。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s a futures market, we always discount stuff that’s going to happen in the future, now. That’s why prices are rallying right now,” Sen said, speaking on Bloomberg Surveillance. “We’ve always called for $80 plus oil in 2022. Maybe that is $100 now given how much liquidity there is in the system. I wouldn’t rule that out,” she added.</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个期货市场，我们总是对未来、现在将要发生的事情打折。这就是为什么现在价格正在反弹，”森在接受彭博监控采访时说。“我们一直呼吁 2022 年油价为 80 美元。考虑到系统中的流动性，现在可能是 100 美元。我不排除这种可能性，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, the expectations of a demand rebound have yet to materialize outside China, and then there is the question of additional barrels coming soon from Saudi Arabia, maybe Russia, and likely Iran. With U.S. production still depressed, these may not affect prices right away. But a few million barrels daily more will certainly exert some pressure.</p><p><blockquote>当然，在中国以外，需求反弹的预期尚未实现，然后还有沙特阿拉伯、俄罗斯和伊朗很快将增加石油的问题。由于美国产量仍然低迷，这些可能不会立即影响价格。但每天多几百万桶肯定会带来一些压力。</blockquote></p><p> Then there is the latest from OPEC: the cartel is&nbsp;set to discuss&nbsp;a group increase in production in addition to Saudi Arabia removing its voluntary 1-million-bpd cut from March. The increase, however, will be modest, if agreed, at 500,000 bpd. This is the same amount of production OPEC+ brought back online in January, reducing its overall cut by 7.2 million bpd, excluding Saudi Arabia’s unilateral additional cut.</p><p><blockquote>然后是欧佩克的最新消息：除了沙特阿拉伯从 3 月份开始取消自愿减产 100 万桶/日之外，该卡特尔还将讨论集体增产。然而，如果达成一致，增幅将是温和的，为每天 50 万桶。这与 OPEC+ 在 1 月份恢复的产量相同，将其总体减产量减少了 720 万桶/日，不包括沙特阿拉伯单方面的额外减产。</blockquote></p><p> This means that come April, the group could be pumping 1.5 million bpd more than it is pumping now, and this is not including the possible&nbsp;return&nbsp;of Iranian barrels to the market. This may interfere with immediate price expectations, but by next year, the effects of underinvestment in new production will become more obvious, spurring prices higher.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着到 4 月份，该集团的产量可能会比现在多 150 万桶/日，这还不包括伊朗原油可能重返市场。这可能会干扰眼前的价格预期，但到明年，新生产投资不足的影响将变得更加明显，推高价格。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606109400967","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How High Can Oil Really Go?<blockquote>石油到底能涨多高？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow High Can Oil Really Go?<blockquote>石油到底能涨多高？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Oilprice</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-26 11:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Oil price revisions started cautiously: some banks saw Brent crude averaging $65 a barrel this year, and others, of a bolder nature, predicted that the oil benchmark could climb to $65 a barrel.Just a couple of months ago, these forecasts sounded pretty optimistic for the environment, given the slow rollout of Covid-19 vaccines, the continuing excess supply of oil, and reports of coronavirus variants emerging in different parts of the world, threatening new infection waves.</p><p><blockquote>油价修正开始时很谨慎：一些银行预计今年布伦特原油平均价格为每桶 65 美元，而其他银行则更大胆地预测石油基准可能会攀升至每桶 65 美元。就在几个月前，考虑到 Covid-19 疫苗的缓慢推出、石油持续过剩以及世界各地出现冠状病毒变种的报道，这些预测听起来对环境相当乐观，威胁着新的感染浪潮。</blockquote></p><p> Now, banks and traders are talking about Brent at $100 a barrel. Of course, a big reason for this is the slump in U.S. oil production caused by the Texas Freeze earlier this month. It was even greater than the production decline prompted by the pandemic last year, and it will take a while to recover—if it ever does fully.</p><p><blockquote>现在，银行和交易员都在谈论布伦特原油价格为每桶 100 美元。当然，造成这种情况的一个重要原因是本月早些时候德克萨斯州冻结导致美国石油产量下滑。这甚至比去年疫情引发的产量下降还要大，而且需要一段时间才能复苏——如果能完全恢复的话。</blockquote></p><p> Yet demand has also been recovering steadily in some key markets, most notably in China. This recovery has largely offset slow-to-return demand for oil in other large consumers such as the United States and helped push prices higher.</p><p><blockquote>然而，一些主要市场（尤其是中国）的需求也在稳步复苏。这种复苏在很大程度上抵消了美国等其他大型消费国对石油恢复缓慢的需求，并帮助推高了油价。</blockquote></p><p> Then, of course, there has been government stimulus poured into economies around the world in response to the crisis. Trillions of dollars have sunk into businesses and households in hopes this will help set GDP back on the growth path sooner rather than later. Once again, the U.S. has been crucial for the change in oil sentiment: oil price forecast revisions were quick to follow President Joe Biden’s proposal of a $1.9-trillion stimulus package.</p><p><blockquote>当然，为了应对危机，政府向世界各地的经济注入了刺激措施。数万亿美元涌入企业和家庭，希望这将有助于GDP尽快重回增长轨道。美国再次对石油情绪的变化起到了至关重要的作用： 在乔-拜登总统提出 1.9 万亿美元的刺激计划后，油价预测迅速进行了修正。</blockquote></p><p> The package is still being debated, and it might end up smaller than originally proposed. But when it comes to oil, it has done its job. Banks, the Fed, and the Treasury Department all expect a swift economic recovery due to this stimulus, and a swift recovery will invariably include a rebound in oil demand as people start traveling more.</p><p><blockquote>该方案仍在辩论中，最终可能会比最初提议的要小。但说到石油，它已经完成了它的工作。银行、美联储和财政部都预计，由于这一刺激措施，经济将迅速复苏，而随着人们开始更多地旅行，快速复苏必然包括石油需求的反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, global oil stocks are on the decline, even if not all the reasons for that are clear. The<i>Wall Street Journal</i>&nbsp;recently wrote an&nbsp;analysis&nbsp;of the so-called missing barrels, or barrels of oil that somehow slip under the radar of inventory trackers and that last year reached a record high of 68 percent of an estimate global inventory increase totaling 1.39 billion barrels.Outside the mystery of the missing barrels, OPEC+ efforts in production cutting have been fruitful, and U.S. shale producers have this time round been cautious about returning to a growth mode, not least because of oil prices.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，全球石油库存正在下降，尽管并非所有原因都很清楚。这个<i>华尔街日报</i>最近写了一篇关于所谓的缺失桶的分析，即不知何故在库存追踪器的雷达下溜走的石油桶，去年达到了全球库存估计增加13.9亿桶的68%的历史新高。除了失踪桶的谜团之外，欧佩克+的减产努力已经取得了成果，美国页岩油生产商这一次对恢复增长模式持谨慎态度，尤其是因为油价。</blockquote></p><p> In this context, it is not at all surprising that earlier this week that Bank of America,Socar Trading, and&nbsp;Energy Aspects&nbsp;all said Brent could rise to $100 over the next two years. According to Socar Trading—Azerbaijan’s oil marketing company—prices are up on the rebalancing fundamentals, and by the summer, Brent could hit $80 a barrel. As supply remains tight, it could climb further to $100 a barrel, the company’s chief trading officer Hayal Ahmadzada&nbsp;told&nbsp;Bloomberg.</p><p><blockquote>在这种背景下，本周早些时候，美国银行、Socar Trading 和 Energy Aspects 均表示布伦特原油可能在未来两年内升至 100 美元，这一点也不奇怪。据阿塞拜疆石油营销公司 Socar Trading 称，由于重新平衡的基本面，油价正在上涨，到今年夏天，布伦特原油可能会达到每桶 80 美元。该公司首席交易官哈亚尔-艾哈迈德扎达（Hayal Ahmadzada）告诉彭博社，由于供应仍然紧张，油价可能会进一步攀升至每桶 100 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Energy Aspects Amrita Sen, on the other hand, cited economic stimulus as chief reason for the expected price rally.</p><p><blockquote>能源方面 另一方面，阿姆里塔·森 (Amrita Sen) 将经济刺激列为预期价格上涨的主要原因。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s a futures market, we always discount stuff that’s going to happen in the future, now. That’s why prices are rallying right now,” Sen said, speaking on Bloomberg Surveillance. “We’ve always called for $80 plus oil in 2022. Maybe that is $100 now given how much liquidity there is in the system. I wouldn’t rule that out,” she added.</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个期货市场，我们总是对未来、现在将要发生的事情打折。这就是为什么现在价格正在反弹，”森在接受彭博监控采访时说。“我们一直呼吁 2022 年油价为 80 美元。考虑到系统中的流动性，现在可能是 100 美元。我不排除这种可能性，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, the expectations of a demand rebound have yet to materialize outside China, and then there is the question of additional barrels coming soon from Saudi Arabia, maybe Russia, and likely Iran. With U.S. production still depressed, these may not affect prices right away. But a few million barrels daily more will certainly exert some pressure.</p><p><blockquote>当然，在中国以外，需求反弹的预期尚未实现，然后还有沙特阿拉伯、俄罗斯和伊朗很快将增加石油的问题。由于美国产量仍然低迷，这些可能不会立即影响价格。但每天多几百万桶肯定会带来一些压力。</blockquote></p><p> Then there is the latest from OPEC: the cartel is&nbsp;set to discuss&nbsp;a group increase in production in addition to Saudi Arabia removing its voluntary 1-million-bpd cut from March. The increase, however, will be modest, if agreed, at 500,000 bpd. This is the same amount of production OPEC+ brought back online in January, reducing its overall cut by 7.2 million bpd, excluding Saudi Arabia’s unilateral additional cut.</p><p><blockquote>然后是欧佩克的最新消息：除了沙特阿拉伯从 3 月份开始取消自愿减产 100 万桶/日之外，该卡特尔还将讨论集体增产。然而，如果达成一致，增幅将是温和的，为每天 50 万桶。这与 OPEC+ 在 1 月份恢复的产量相同，将其总体减产量减少了 720 万桶/日，不包括沙特阿拉伯单方面的额外减产。</blockquote></p><p> This means that come April, the group could be pumping 1.5 million bpd more than it is pumping now, and this is not including the possible&nbsp;return&nbsp;of Iranian barrels to the market. This may interfere with immediate price expectations, but by next year, the effects of underinvestment in new production will become more obvious, spurring prices higher.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着到 4 月份，该集团的产量可能会比现在多 150 万桶/日，这还不包括伊朗原油可能重返市场。这可能会干扰眼前的价格预期，但到明年，新生产投资不足的影响将变得更加明显，推高价格。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/How-High-Can-Oil-Really-Go.html\">Oilprice</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/How-High-Can-Oil-Really-Go.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137629357","content_text":"Oil price revisions started cautiously: some banks saw Brent crude averaging $65 a barrel this year, and others, of a bolder nature, predicted that the oil benchmark could climb to $65 a barrel.Just a couple of months ago, these forecasts sounded pretty optimistic for the environment, given the slow rollout of Covid-19 vaccines, the continuing excess supply of oil, and reports of coronavirus variants emerging in different parts of the world, threatening new infection waves.\nNow, banks and traders are talking about Brent at $100 a barrel. Of course, a big reason for this is the slump in U.S. oil production caused by the Texas Freeze earlier this month. It was even greater than the production decline prompted by the pandemic last year, and it will take a while to recover—if it ever does fully.\nYet demand has also been recovering steadily in some key markets, most notably in China. This recovery has largely offset slow-to-return demand for oil in other large consumers such as the United States and helped push prices higher.\nThen, of course, there has been government stimulus poured into economies around the world in response to the crisis. Trillions of dollars have sunk into businesses and households in hopes this will help set GDP back on the growth path sooner rather than later. Once again, the U.S. has been crucial for the change in oil sentiment: oil price forecast revisions were quick to follow President Joe Biden’s proposal of a $1.9-trillion stimulus package.\nThe package is still being debated, and it might end up smaller than originally proposed. But when it comes to oil, it has done its job. Banks, the Fed, and the Treasury Department all expect a swift economic recovery due to this stimulus, and a swift recovery will invariably include a rebound in oil demand as people start traveling more.\nMeanwhile, global oil stocks are on the decline, even if not all the reasons for that are clear. TheWall Street Journal recently wrote an analysis of the so-called missing barrels, or barrels of oil that somehow slip under the radar of inventory trackers and that last year reached a record high of 68 percent of an estimate global inventory increase totaling 1.39 billion barrels.Outside the mystery of the missing barrels, OPEC+ efforts in production cutting have been fruitful, and U.S. shale producers have this time round been cautious about returning to a growth mode, not least because of oil prices.\nIn this context, it is not at all surprising that earlier this week that Bank of America,Socar Trading, and Energy Aspects all said Brent could rise to $100 over the next two years. According to Socar Trading—Azerbaijan’s oil marketing company—prices are up on the rebalancing fundamentals, and by the summer, Brent could hit $80 a barrel. As supply remains tight, it could climb further to $100 a barrel, the company’s chief trading officer Hayal Ahmadzada told Bloomberg.\nEnergy Aspects Amrita Sen, on the other hand, cited economic stimulus as chief reason for the expected price rally.\n“It’s a futures market, we always discount stuff that’s going to happen in the future, now. That’s why prices are rallying right now,” Sen said, speaking on Bloomberg Surveillance. “We’ve always called for $80 plus oil in 2022. Maybe that is $100 now given how much liquidity there is in the system. I wouldn’t rule that out,” she added.\nOf course, the expectations of a demand rebound have yet to materialize outside China, and then there is the question of additional barrels coming soon from Saudi Arabia, maybe Russia, and likely Iran. With U.S. production still depressed, these may not affect prices right away. But a few million barrels daily more will certainly exert some pressure.\nThen there is the latest from OPEC: the cartel is set to discuss a group increase in production in addition to Saudi Arabia removing its voluntary 1-million-bpd cut from March. The increase, however, will be modest, if agreed, at 500,000 bpd. This is the same amount of production OPEC+ brought back online in January, reducing its overall cut by 7.2 million bpd, excluding Saudi Arabia’s unilateral additional cut.\nThis means that come April, the group could be pumping 1.5 million bpd more than it is pumping now, and this is not including the possible return of Iranian barrels to the market. This may interfere with immediate price expectations, but by next year, the effects of underinvestment in new production will become more obvious, spurring prices higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BZmain":0.9,"CLmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1725,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366654418,"gmtCreate":1614478886134,"gmtModify":1703477720731,"author":{"id":"3566654636387294","authorId":"3566654636387294","name":"Finvest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e215830b0cd46a3c97d67f6c243b0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566654636387294","authorIdStr":"3566654636387294"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;[OK]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;[OK]&nbsp;","text":"[强] [OK]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366654418","repostId":"1184424577","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1732,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":366654030,"gmtCreate":1614478770920,"gmtModify":1703477719876,"author":{"id":"3566654636387294","authorId":"3566654636387294","name":"Finvest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e215830b0cd46a3c97d67f6c243b0","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566654636387294","authorIdStr":"3566654636387294"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;[OK]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;[OK]&nbsp;","text":"[强] [OK]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366654030","repostId":"1184424577","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}