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- LeJundaryLeJundary
  ·2021-02-22
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- LeJundaryLeJundary
  ·2021-02-18
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  Bitcoin at $1 million? Some analysts are bullish but others warn of risks ahead
  KEY POINTS Bitcoin has surged over the last few months and surpassed $50,000 for the first time thi
  Bitcoin at $1 million? Some analysts are bullish but others warn of risks ahead
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- LeJundaryLeJundary
  ·2021-02-13
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- LeJundaryLeJundary
  ·2021-02-12
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- LeJundaryLeJundary
  ·2021-02-10
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  Investors set for commodities ‘bull run’ as prices rise in tandem
  Broad-based recent gains have not been seen in decades and spur talk of ‘supercycle’ The broad upswi
  Investors set for commodities ‘bull run’ as prices rise in tandem
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- LeJundaryLeJundary
  ·2021-02-09
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- LeJundaryLeJundary
  ·2021-02-08
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- LeJundaryLeJundary
  ·2021-02-06
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- LeJundaryLeJundary
  ·2021-02-05
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- LeJundaryLeJundary
  ·2021-02-03
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10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin at $1 million? Some analysts are bullish but others warn of risks ahead","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135489805","media":"cnbc","summary":"KEY POINTS\n\nBitcoin has surged over the last few months and surpassed $50,000 for the first time thi","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nBitcoin has surged over the last few months and surpassed $50,000 for the first time this week.\nAnthony Pompliano, co-founder and partner at Morgan Creek Digital Assets, said bitcoin could...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/18/bitcoin-btc-gets-1-million-price-call-but-there-are-risks-ahead.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin at $1 million? Some analysts are bullish but others warn of risks ahead</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin at $1 million? Some analysts are bullish but others warn of risks ahead\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-18 10:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/18/bitcoin-btc-gets-1-million-price-call-but-there-are-risks-ahead.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nBitcoin has surged over the last few months and surpassed $50,000 for the first time this week.\nAnthony Pompliano, co-founder and partner at Morgan Creek Digital Assets, said bitcoin could...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/18/bitcoin-btc-gets-1-million-price-call-but-there-are-risks-ahead.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/18/bitcoin-btc-gets-1-million-price-call-but-there-are-risks-ahead.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1135489805","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nBitcoin has surged over the last few months and surpassed $50,000 for the first time this week.\nAnthony Pompliano, co-founder and partner at Morgan Creek Digital Assets, said bitcoin could hit $500,000 by the end of the decade, and eventually go on to reach $1 million per coin.\nOne JPMorgan strategist warned that a major risk could be retail flows into bitcoin drying up as economies reopen.\n\nGUANGZHOU, China —Bitcoincould rise to $1 million over the long term to become a reserve currency for the world, according to one asset manager.\nBut JPMorgan warned of risks ahead as the cryptocurrency continues to rally.\nAnthony Pompliano, co-founder and partner at Morgan Creek Digital Assets, said bitcoin could hit $500,000 by the end of the decade. It could eventually reach $1 million per coin, he added, without giving a timeline.\n“I think that bitcoin will eventually rise to become the global reserve currency. I think bitcoin will eventually be much much larger than the gold market cap,” he said during the latest episode of CNBC’s“Beyond the Valley”podcast.\nBitcoin has surged over the last few months andsurpassed $50,000 for the first time this week.\nWhy is bitcoin rallying?\nA number of factors are behind the rush into bitcoin.\nThere has been largeparticipation from institutional and retail investors. Major companies are also getting more involved with the cryptocurrency.Squarebought some bitcoin last yearandElon Musk’s electric carmakerTeslapurchased around$1.5 billion in bitcoin, according to a filing this month. Musk and Square founderJack Dorseyare both supporters of bitcoin.\nMeanwhile, global central banks have been easing monetary policy — such as lowering interest rates and buying assets through the so-called quantitative easing program —to help cushion the blow to economies hit by thecoronavirus pandemic.\n“There were trillions of dollars that were printed and injected into the economy and everyone from individuals to financial institutions and corporations ran around the world looking for the best way to protect their purchasing power, they ultimately decided it was bitcoin,” Pompliano said as he discussed what was behind bitcoin’s surge.\n\n (Bitcoin) will eventually take that seat at the kingdom of being that global reserve currency of the internet generation. ——Anthony PomplianoMORGAN CREEK DIGITAL ASSETS\n\nThe bitcoin bull’s prediction that bitcoin could hit $1 million is based on a few factors including the scarcity of the cryptocurrency which has a cap of 21 million coins, as well as the decentralized nature of the technology.\nThere is no central authority like a central bank that controls bitcoin.\nInstead, theso-called bitcoin network is made up of miners who process transactions. These miners operate a vast array of specialized computers required to carry out the bitcoin mining process.\nAs there are many different miners, no single entity can control the network. And because the computers they use are often very powerful machines, bitcoin proponents claim the network is one of the strongest computer networks in the world.\n“As more and more people come into the market, there is more liquidity. As there is more liquidity, there is more utility. As there’s more utility, there’s more stability in the price … you get kind of this evolution,” Pompliano said.\n“If you think about that internet economy, there is no native currency … (bitcoin) will eventually take that seat at the kingdom of being that global reserve currency of the internet generation.”\nJPMorgan’s long-term price target for bitcoin\nIn January, JPMorgan released a note to clients putting a “theoretical” long term price target on bitcoin of $146,000 as bitcoin begins to compete with gold.\nGold is broadly accepted as a “safe haven” asset where investors flock to in times of political strife or financial market turmoil. Bitcoin is now beginning to develop such a reputation.\n“Bitcoin is competing with traditional gold, bitcoin is a form of digital gold,” Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, global markets strategist at JPMorgan, told CNBC’s “Beyond the Valley.”\nHe said that the value of gold held by the private sector, solely for the purpose of investment, is around $2.7 trillion. For bitcoin’s market cap to reach that, it would need to hit a price of around $146,000.\nBut there are caveats, the biggest one being the volatility in bitcoin’s price. The digital coin is known for wild swings in price. Panigirtzoglou said bitcoin is “five times more volatility than gold.”\nThe key to bitcoin’s volatility converging with gold is institutional adoption, the JPMorgan strategist said.\n“The faster the pace of institutional adoption, the quicker that convergence in volatility will take place,” he said.\nStill, there are risks ahead for the current rally. While it has been driven by institutional investors, retail participation has also been high.\n“The biggest risk is that the flow impulse we’ve seen over the past months slows materially from here,” Panigirtzoglou said.\n“In particular when the economies reopen, people go back to the office, they have less time to trade at home, and as a result some of that, retail … flow impulse slows from here,” he added.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386251093,"gmtCreate":1613188846112,"gmtModify":1634554202123,"author":{"id":"3567641319219408","authorId":"3567641319219408","name":"LeJundary","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba7e35d007de93d00440f49842014612","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567641319219408","authorIdStr":"3567641319219408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"H","listText":"H","text":"H","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386251093","repostId":"2110200430","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":906,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386042417,"gmtCreate":1613120733039,"gmtModify":1634554457568,"author":{"id":"3567641319219408","authorId":"3567641319219408","name":"LeJundary","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba7e35d007de93d00440f49842014612","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567641319219408","authorIdStr":"3567641319219408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hdfn","listText":"Hdfn","text":"Hdfn","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386042417","repostId":"1179092967","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":381679930,"gmtCreate":1612966351620,"gmtModify":1703767584068,"author":{"id":"3567641319219408","authorId":"3567641319219408","name":"LeJundary","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba7e35d007de93d00440f49842014612","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567641319219408","authorIdStr":"3567641319219408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"!!!","listText":"!!!","text":"!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/381679930","repostId":"1144142338","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144142338","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1612954004,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144142338?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-10 18:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors set for commodities ‘bull run’ as prices rise in tandem","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144142338","media":"Financial Times","summary":"Broad-based recent gains have not been seen in decades and spur talk of ‘supercycle’\nThe broad upswi","content":"<p>Broad-based recent gains have not been seen in decades and spur talk of ‘supercycle’</p>\n<p>The broad upswing in commodity prices since the depths of the coronavirus crisis represents just the first leg of a sector-wide “bull market” fanned by government spending, analysts and investors say.</p>\n<p>Wall Street banks are telling their clients to increase their exposure to raw materials, which are poised to benefit from a vaccine-driven global economic recovery, aided by fiscal stimulus. Some are even predicting a prolonger period of commodity-intensive growth that marks a repeat of the so-called “supercycle” of the 2000s — where oil and metal prices hit record highs as China’s rapid industrialisation caught the industry napping.</p>\n<p>“It’s easy — and largely accurate — to present the 2021 commodity outlook as a V-shaped vaccine trade,” said Goldman Sachs in a recent report. “What we think is key, however, is that this recovery in commodity prices will actually be the beginning of a much longer structural bull market for commodities.”</p>\n<p>Commodities, which have been out favour with investors for the best part of a decade, have enjoyed a strong run in recent months helped by demand from China, the world’s biggest buyer of natural resources. Soyabean prices are up more than 50 per cent over the past year, while copper has risen around 40 per cent. Oil, meanwhile, has rebounded to its highest since the early days of the coronavirus crisis. Brent, the international standard, hit $60 on Monday.</p>\n<p>The rally has been exceptionally wide-ranging. A basket of 27 commodity futures — from coffee to nickel — tracked by specialist asset manager SummerHaven showed that all had positive returns over the six months to mid-January, including any gains from rolling over futures contracts.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27002730a162c7e367ac38b6ffc4ae1\" tg-width=\"1400\" tg-height=\"1000\"></p>\n<p>“This is really unusual. We’ve looked back 50 years and we’ve never seen this basket of commodities all go up at once,” said managing partner Kurt Nelson.</p>\n<p>Still, some investors say the market is not ready to embark on a new supercycle just yet. “What we certainly do have at the moment is a cyclical recovery driven by restocking in Europe, the US and China and boosted by supply disruptions,” said George Cheveley, portfolio manager at asset management company Ninety One. He said a broader shift is “two to three years away”.</p>\n<p>SummerHaven’s Nelson says a key catalyst for the rally has been a concern that the unprecedented monetary and fiscal policies enacted during the crisis will feed inflation, encouraging fund managers to protect themselves by buying commonly used hedges such as oil and metals.</p>\n<p>Given that most commodities are priced in dollars, last year’s slide in the value of the greenback is also making them cheaper in other currencies, adding to demand.</p>\n<p>Eliot&nbsp;Geller, a partner at CoreCommodity Management, thinks this macroeconomic backdrop for commodities is stronger than at any time in the previous decade.</p>\n<p>&nbsp;“Since 2010, we have seen equity markets rally, a strong US dollar, interest rates trend lower and inflation expectations decline,” he said. “Today, we have the threat of rising inflation, a weaker dollar and interest rates that are already zero or negative.”</p>\n<p>Those predicting a new supercycle — often described as prolonged period of surging demand that outstrips supply — point to global recovery programmes that put greater emphasis on job creation and environmental sustainability than on inflation control.</p>\n<p>“The past decade has seen monetary policy, which was more supportive for financial assets, while current fiscal policy should be more supportive for real assets like commodities,” said Don Casturo, the founder of specialist asset manager Quantix Commodities.</p>\n<p>Commodity bulls also see a supply gap coming. Goldman reckons the energy transition has the potential to create $1tn-$2tn a year in infrastructure investment over the next decade as the world reduces its reliance on carbon. That should drive up demand for a variety of raw materials, including copper, which will be need to wire the solar panels and electric cars of the new economy.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/020a07ab14b3198018a17698d2bce3eb\" tg-width=\"1400\" tg-height=\"1000\"></p>\n<p>Years of low prices, meanwhile, have forced producers to curb spending on new projects and expansions, holding back supply. This is not only true of the oil industry, where investment had been slashed, but also mining.</p>\n<p>“There needs to be a price blowout to bring on the new supply,” said James Johnstone, co-head of emerging and frontier markets at&nbsp;RWC Partners, a London-based investment manager that has invested in a number of copper producers.</p>\n<p>Some doubt that this upswing in commodity prices can match the last.</p>\n<p>“Historically a supercycle happens every 30 to 40 years and we are just out of one. So this would be an exception,” said Norbert Rücker, head of economics at Swiss private bank Julius Baer. “And if you look at what triggered the last supercycle it was Chinese urbanisation and the immense spend of it. The energy transition won’t happen as quickly.”</p>\n<p>But others think the stage is set for a broad-based rally can well outlast the pandemic. “The set-up for commodities is really extraordinary. Not just for the next three to six months but for the next decade,” said SummerHaven’s Nelson.</p>","source":"lsy1580170736413","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors set for commodities ‘bull run’ as prices rise in tandem</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors set for commodities ‘bull run’ as prices rise in tandem\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-10 18:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.ft.com/content/27086ad8-bc84-4e2e-9195-91880fa6916f><strong>Financial Times</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Broad-based recent gains have not been seen in decades and spur talk of ‘supercycle’\nThe broad upswing in commodity prices since the depths of the coronavirus crisis represents just the first leg of a...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.ft.com/content/27086ad8-bc84-4e2e-9195-91880fa6916f\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.ft.com/content/27086ad8-bc84-4e2e-9195-91880fa6916f","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144142338","content_text":"Broad-based recent gains have not been seen in decades and spur talk of ‘supercycle’\nThe broad upswing in commodity prices since the depths of the coronavirus crisis represents just the first leg of a sector-wide “bull market” fanned by government spending, analysts and investors say.\nWall Street banks are telling their clients to increase their exposure to raw materials, which are poised to benefit from a vaccine-driven global economic recovery, aided by fiscal stimulus. Some are even predicting a prolonger period of commodity-intensive growth that marks a repeat of the so-called “supercycle” of the 2000s — where oil and metal prices hit record highs as China’s rapid industrialisation caught the industry napping.\n“It’s easy — and largely accurate — to present the 2021 commodity outlook as a V-shaped vaccine trade,” said Goldman Sachs in a recent report. “What we think is key, however, is that this recovery in commodity prices will actually be the beginning of a much longer structural bull market for commodities.”\nCommodities, which have been out favour with investors for the best part of a decade, have enjoyed a strong run in recent months helped by demand from China, the world’s biggest buyer of natural resources. Soyabean prices are up more than 50 per cent over the past year, while copper has risen around 40 per cent. Oil, meanwhile, has rebounded to its highest since the early days of the coronavirus crisis. Brent, the international standard, hit $60 on Monday.\nThe rally has been exceptionally wide-ranging. A basket of 27 commodity futures — from coffee to nickel — tracked by specialist asset manager SummerHaven showed that all had positive returns over the six months to mid-January, including any gains from rolling over futures contracts.\n\n“This is really unusual. We’ve looked back 50 years and we’ve never seen this basket of commodities all go up at once,” said managing partner Kurt Nelson.\nStill, some investors say the market is not ready to embark on a new supercycle just yet. “What we certainly do have at the moment is a cyclical recovery driven by restocking in Europe, the US and China and boosted by supply disruptions,” said George Cheveley, portfolio manager at asset management company Ninety One. He said a broader shift is “two to three years away”.\nSummerHaven’s Nelson says a key catalyst for the rally has been a concern that the unprecedented monetary and fiscal policies enacted during the crisis will feed inflation, encouraging fund managers to protect themselves by buying commonly used hedges such as oil and metals.\nGiven that most commodities are priced in dollars, last year’s slide in the value of the greenback is also making them cheaper in other currencies, adding to demand.\nEliot Geller, a partner at CoreCommodity Management, thinks this macroeconomic backdrop for commodities is stronger than at any time in the previous decade.\n “Since 2010, we have seen equity markets rally, a strong US dollar, interest rates trend lower and inflation expectations decline,” he said. “Today, we have the threat of rising inflation, a weaker dollar and interest rates that are already zero or negative.”\nThose predicting a new supercycle — often described as prolonged period of surging demand that outstrips supply — point to global recovery programmes that put greater emphasis on job creation and environmental sustainability than on inflation control.\n“The past decade has seen monetary policy, which was more supportive for financial assets, while current fiscal policy should be more supportive for real assets like commodities,” said Don Casturo, the founder of specialist asset manager Quantix Commodities.\nCommodity bulls also see a supply gap coming. Goldman reckons the energy transition has the potential to create $1tn-$2tn a year in infrastructure investment over the next decade as the world reduces its reliance on carbon. That should drive up demand for a variety of raw materials, including copper, which will be need to wire the solar panels and electric cars of the new economy.\n\nYears of low prices, meanwhile, have forced producers to curb spending on new projects and expansions, holding back supply. This is not only true of the oil industry, where investment had been slashed, but also mining.\n“There needs to be a price blowout to bring on the new supply,” said James Johnstone, co-head of emerging and frontier markets at RWC Partners, a London-based investment manager that has invested in a number of copper producers.\nSome doubt that this upswing in commodity prices can match the last.\n“Historically a supercycle happens every 30 to 40 years and we are just out of one. So this would be an exception,” said Norbert Rücker, head of economics at Swiss private bank Julius Baer. “And if you look at what triggered the last supercycle it was Chinese urbanisation and the immense spend of it. The energy transition won’t happen as quickly.”\nBut others think the stage is set for a broad-based rally can well outlast the pandemic. “The set-up for commodities is really extraordinary. Not just for the next three to six months but for the next decade,” said SummerHaven’s Nelson.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":697,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":383391754,"gmtCreate":1612835744078,"gmtModify":1703765641278,"author":{"id":"3567641319219408","authorId":"3567641319219408","name":"LeJundary","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba7e35d007de93d00440f49842014612","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567641319219408","authorIdStr":"3567641319219408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Anazeballs","listText":"Anazeballs","text":"Anazeballs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383391754","repostId":"1163750848","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1028,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":389289778,"gmtCreate":1612777653694,"gmtModify":1703764861084,"author":{"id":"3567641319219408","authorId":"3567641319219408","name":"LeJundary","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba7e35d007de93d00440f49842014612","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567641319219408","authorIdStr":"3567641319219408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"!!","listText":"!!","text":"!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/389289778","repostId":"1108268363","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":380447366,"gmtCreate":1612580940955,"gmtModify":1703763816678,"author":{"id":"3567641319219408","authorId":"3567641319219408","name":"LeJundary","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba7e35d007de93d00440f49842014612","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567641319219408","authorIdStr":"3567641319219408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"!!!","listText":"!!!","text":"!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380447366","repostId":"1152247545","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":766,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":317748685,"gmtCreate":1612488881247,"gmtModify":1703762571482,"author":{"id":"3567641319219408","authorId":"3567641319219408","name":"LeJundary","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba7e35d007de93d00440f49842014612","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567641319219408","authorIdStr":"3567641319219408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"D","listText":"D","text":"D","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/317748685","repostId":"2108716497","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":314179184,"gmtCreate":1612325301248,"gmtModify":1703760377347,"author":{"id":"3567641319219408","authorId":"3567641319219408","name":"LeJundary","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba7e35d007de93d00440f49842014612","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567641319219408","authorIdStr":"3567641319219408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"!!","listText":"!!","text":"!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/314179184","repostId":"2108734055","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":735,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}