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哈喽神
IP属地：江西
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哈喽神
哈喽神
·
05-05
伯克希尔新“掌舵者”格雷格·阿贝尔. 背景扎实，深得巴菲特信任。风格稳健，投资理念和巴菲特一致，强调“安全边际”、“现金流确定性”、“长期持有优质企业”，不追逐热点。重视实业。 他虽然不是“第二个巴菲特”，但是是一位合格的继承者——他延续了伯克希尔的核心价值观，同时以更现代化、运营导向的方式应对AI、能源转型等新挑战。期待他的表现！ 巴菲特的投资核心思想：价值投资 + 长期主义 + 护城河理论。在短期主义盛行的今天，反而显得更加珍贵和稀缺。它未必让你暴富，但极大概率让你避免破产、稳步致富。 [你懂的] [爱你]
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哈喽神
哈喽神
·
05-05
伯克希尔新“掌舵者”格雷格·阿贝尔. 背景扎实，深得巴菲特信任。风格稳健，投资理念和巴菲特一致，强调“安全边际”、“现金流确定性”、“长期持有优质企业”，不追逐热点。重视实业。 他虽然不是“第二个巴菲特”，但是是一位合格的继承者——他延续了伯克希尔的核心价值观，同时以更现代化、运营导向的方式应对AI、能源转型等新挑战。期待他的表现！ 巴菲特的投资核心思想：价值投资 + 长期主义 + 护城河理论。在短期主义盛行的今天，反而显得更加珍贵和稀缺。它未必让你暴富，但极大概率让你避免破产、稳步致富。 [你懂的] [爱你]
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哈喽神
哈喽神
·
04-30
这波分化其实核心就在‘变现能力’四个字。谷歌大涨是因为云业务证明了AI能赚钱，市场买账；Meta大跌是因为扎克伯格又要‘烧钱’搞元宇宙/AI基建，但短期看不到回报，华尔街没耐心了。巨头们继续加码资本开支，最直接利好的肯定是上游硬件端。不管是Meta还是谷歌，只要还在买显卡、建数据中心，英伟达、台积电、博通以及光模块、存储版块的业绩就有保障。现在的策略我觉得是：回避软件股（微软、meta），拥抱有业绩的Al硬件股、基建股（Mu、台积电、博通）[你懂的] [思考]
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哈喽神
哈喽神
·
04-29
看好谷歌微涨，不过现在这些科技巨头已经在高位了，市场也担心巨头的资本支出，还有Al发展。 大盘应该会回调一些了，Meta应该会跌不少。
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哈喽神
哈喽神
·
04-27
看好谷歌，谷歌的云业务正在高速增长，广告业务在Al赋能的情况下稳健增长。 资本开支虽然高，但主要用于，主要用于TPU芯片、数据中心和AI算力。谷歌的算力仍供不应求，与Anthropic等客户签订长期算力协议，确保未来收入可见性。 谷歌有自研TPU，还有GeminiAl大模型 ,Gemini月活用户超7.5亿，Enterprise付费席位超800万。可以说谷歌现在是美国科技巨头唯一的全栈Al生态链公司。 [爱你] [你懂的]
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哈喽神
哈喽神
·
04-25
目前来看，没有错杀。持股的话只能继续等待。 传统SaaS公司（软件公司）之所以能获得高估值，本质是因为其“高毛利+高续费率+可预测增长”，但当AI开始降低软件使用门槛、甚至直接替代软件功能时，这种可预测性正在被削弱，估值体系自然面临重构。 在Al不断进化的情况下，软件公司需要证明盈利的持续性，还有不会被Al颠覆 [正经]
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哈喽神
哈喽神
·
2025-09-24
现在要看openai的业绩能不能年年增长，不能的话这泡沫就要炸 [正经]
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哈喽神
哈喽神
·
2025-09-16
430美元，目前看多特斯拉。特斯拉机器人概念很火 [财迷]
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哈喽神
哈喽神
·
2025-09-02
ETF更好，更均衡 [财迷]
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哈喽神
哈喽神
·
2025-08-28
短期看空阿里，外卖补贴大战，是恶性竞争。阿里、美团、京东都损失惨重。
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[爱你]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/560675962409288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":732,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274816571725","authorId":"3479274816571725","name":"PTOL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1ee5d38371a866b70905f14e62d6245","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274816571725","authorIdStr":"3479274816571725"},"content":"理念一致！我也重仓消费股，长期持有","text":"理念一致！我也重仓消费股，长期持有","html":"理念一致！我也重仓消费股，长期持有"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":560675392262432,"gmtCreate":1777915422872,"gmtModify":1777915426449,"author":{"id":"3569643701206332","authorId":"3569643701206332","name":"哈喽神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd7d95e51f52763b03c658192cabacbe","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569643701206332","authorIdStr":"3569643701206332"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"伯克希尔新“掌舵者”格雷格·阿贝尔. 背景扎实，深得巴菲特信任。风格稳健，投资理念和巴菲特一致，强调“安全边际”、“现金流确定性”、“长期持有优质企业”，不追逐热点。重视实业。 他虽然不是“第二个巴菲特”，但是是一位合格的继承者——他延续了伯克希尔的核心价值观，同时以更现代化、运营导向的方式应对AI、能源转型等新挑战。期待他的表现！ 巴菲特的投资核心思想：价值投资 + 长期主义 + 护城河理论。在短期主义盛行的今天，反而显得更加珍贵和稀缺。它未必让你暴富，但极大概率让你避免破产、稳步致富。 [你懂的] [爱你]","listText":"伯克希尔新“掌舵者”格雷格·阿贝尔. 背景扎实，深得巴菲特信任。风格稳健，投资理念和巴菲特一致，强调“安全边际”、“现金流确定性”、“长期持有优质企业”，不追逐热点。重视实业。 他虽然不是“第二个巴菲特”，但是是一位合格的继承者——他延续了伯克希尔的核心价值观，同时以更现代化、运营导向的方式应对AI、能源转型等新挑战。期待他的表现！ 巴菲特的投资核心思想：价值投资 + 长期主义 + 护城河理论。在短期主义盛行的今天，反而显得更加珍贵和稀缺。它未必让你暴富，但极大概率让你避免破产、稳步致富。 [你懂的] [爱你]","text":"伯克希尔新“掌舵者”格雷格·阿贝尔. 背景扎实，深得巴菲特信任。风格稳健，投资理念和巴菲特一致，强调“安全边际”、“现金流确定性”、“长期持有优质企业”，不追逐热点。重视实业。 他虽然不是“第二个巴菲特”，但是是一位合格的继承者——他延续了伯克希尔的核心价值观，同时以更现代化、运营导向的方式应对AI、能源转型等新挑战。期待他的表现！ 巴菲特的投资核心思想：价值投资 + 长期主义 + 护城河理论。在短期主义盛行的今天，反而显得更加珍贵和稀缺。它未必让你暴富，但极大概率让你避免破产、稳步致富。 [你懂的] [爱你]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/560675392262432","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":720,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000200","authorId":"9000000000000200","name":"MMMia","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccc088ef917c5bd74e4acc8af9c89fa5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000200","authorIdStr":"9000000000000200"},"content":"确实，长期主义才是王道。","text":"确实，长期主义才是王道。","html":"确实，长期主义才是王道。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":559066152464824,"gmtCreate":1777522455454,"gmtModify":1777522458977,"author":{"id":"3569643701206332","authorId":"3569643701206332","name":"哈喽神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd7d95e51f52763b03c658192cabacbe","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569643701206332","authorIdStr":"3569643701206332"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这波分化其实核心就在‘变现能力’四个字。谷歌大涨是因为云业务证明了AI能赚钱，市场买账；Meta大跌是因为扎克伯格又要‘烧钱’搞元宇宙/AI基建，但短期看不到回报，华尔街没耐心了。巨头们继续加码资本开支，最直接利好的肯定是上游硬件端。不管是Meta还是谷歌，只要还在买显卡、建数据中心，英伟达、台积电、博通以及光模块、存储版块的业绩就有保障。现在的策略我觉得是：回避软件股（微软、meta），拥抱有业绩的Al硬件股、基建股（Mu、台积电、博通）[你懂的] [思考] ","listText":"这波分化其实核心就在‘变现能力’四个字。谷歌大涨是因为云业务证明了AI能赚钱，市场买账；Meta大跌是因为扎克伯格又要‘烧钱’搞元宇宙/AI基建，但短期看不到回报，华尔街没耐心了。巨头们继续加码资本开支，最直接利好的肯定是上游硬件端。不管是Meta还是谷歌，只要还在买显卡、建数据中心，英伟达、台积电、博通以及光模块、存储版块的业绩就有保障。现在的策略我觉得是：回避软件股（微软、meta），拥抱有业绩的Al硬件股、基建股（Mu、台积电、博通）[你懂的] [思考] ","text":"这波分化其实核心就在‘变现能力’四个字。谷歌大涨是因为云业务证明了AI能赚钱，市场买账；Meta大跌是因为扎克伯格又要‘烧钱’搞元宇宙/AI基建，但短期看不到回报，华尔街没耐心了。巨头们继续加码资本开支，最直接利好的肯定是上游硬件端。不管是Meta还是谷歌，只要还在买显卡、建数据中心，英伟达、台积电、博通以及光模块、存储版块的业绩就有保障。现在的策略我觉得是：回避软件股（微软、meta），拥抱有业绩的Al硬件股、基建股（Mu、台积电、博通）[你懂的] 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