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- 追风的咕咕追风的咕咕
  ·2024-10-04
  逆天从小就要当韭菜[财迷]
  1,516 评论
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- 追风的咕咕追风的咕咕
  ·2023-12-12
  天天最大的乐趣就是a股反攻国家队进场
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,087 评论
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- 追风的咕咕追风的咕咕
  ·2023-03-06
  好文
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,034 评论
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- 追风的咕咕追风的咕咕
  ·2023-03-01
  他就差把所有的都写上了也就这几个你问三个就行了[捂脸]
  I Asked ChatGPT for 10 EV Stocks to Buy. Here’s What It Recommended
  ChatGPT provided a basic rundown of electric vehicle (EV) stocks to buy.It selected some of the indu
  I Asked ChatGPT for 10 EV Stocks to Buy. Here’s What It Recommended
  2,303 评论
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- 追风的咕咕追风的咕咕
  ·2023-01-19
  $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 现在市场是对经济衰退的恐慌大于加息吗
  2,126 评论
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- 追风的咕咕追风的咕咕
  ·2022-10-28
  $老虎证券(TIGR)$不给蛋，就捣糖[龇牙]
  1,981 评论
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- 追风的咕咕追风的咕咕
  ·2022-09-27
  看来机构买了不少put[汗颜]
  11月继续75基点？华尔街加息预期爆棚
  美联储将“鹰无止境”？
  11月继续75基点？华尔街加息预期爆棚
  1,662 评论
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- 追风的咕咕追风的咕咕
  ·2022-09-19
  $哔哩哔哩(BILI)$涨点吧兄弟我买的期权[捂脸]
  2,334 评论
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- 追风的咕咕追风的咕咕
  ·2022-09-14
  加息100基点，可以，但没必要
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,200 评论
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- 追风的咕咕追风的咕咕
  ·2021-05-29
  $特斯拉(TSLA)$给我杀
  1,961 评论
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也就这几个 你问三个就行了[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"他就差把所有的都写上了 也就这几个 你问三个就行了[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"他就差把所有的都写上了 也就这几个 你问三个就行了[捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/624406112","repostId":"2314924625","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2314924625","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1677598182,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2314924625?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-02-28 23:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"I Asked ChatGPT for 10 EV Stocks to Buy. Here’s What It Recommended","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2314924625","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"ChatGPT provided a basic rundown of electric vehicle (EV) stocks to buy.It selected some of the indu","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>ChatGPT provided a basic rundown of electric vehicle (EV) stocks to buy.</li><li>It selected some of the industry’s most well-known names, including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>.</li><li>However, the chatbot did not provide any advanced insights into the sector.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03fd8b712c6c9c56503263886bfa1177\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Source: shutterstock.com/Nixx Photography</p><p>Nearly three months after the launch of <b>OpenAI’s</b> ChatGPT, investors remain hyper-focused on artificial intelligence (<b>AI</b>). There’s plenty of reason to be. Major companies are working around the clock to perfect their own versions of the chatbot. Some are redoubling their own research and development initiatives, while others, such as Amazon, are rushing to acquire prominent AI startups.</p><p>And while this new market frenzy has created a new class of winners among AI stocks, it has also led to questions about the type of financial advice ChatGPT can provide. <i>NerdWallet</i> reports that AI technology is not ready to replace financial advisors. But to take this further, <i>InvestorPlace</i> decided to ask the chatbot for its recommendations for the best EV stocks to buy.</p><p>This isn’t the first time that we’ve tested the power of ChatGPT in financial matters. <i>InvestorPlace</i> Financial News Writer Brenden Rearick has successfully asked the chatbot for its recommendations for a list of cryptos to buy. While he later asked it for a list of cryptos to sell, he concluded that the program is still lacking, as it referenced crypto projects that are long dead.</p><p>And while Markets Analyst Thomas Yeung has successfully managed to “trick” the bot into picking a more general list of stocks to buy, I wanted to see how it would respond to commands regarding a more specific industry. Given its high investor interest, the EV sector made sense. But it is important to note that the chatbot’s data is limited and often not up to date past 2021.</p><h2>The Best EV Stocks to Buy, According to ChatGPT</h2><p>I decided to keep my commands very general at first, posing the following question: What are the top 10 best EV stocks to buy? ChatGPT began with its classic disclaimer:</p><blockquote>“As an AI language model, I do not provide financial or investment advice. However, I can give you some information on electric vehicle (EV) stocks that you may find helpful.”</blockquote><p>From there, the bot declined to rank 10 EV stocks. However, it did provide a list of companies it claims have been making headlines recently:</p><ol><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a></li><li>$Nio (NYSE:NIO)$</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a></li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a></li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a></li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VWAGY\">Volkswagen</a></li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYDDY\">BYD Company</a></li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">Xpeng</a></li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FSR\">Fisker</a></li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">Lucid</a></li></ol><p>These names all make sense. Tesla is the leader of the EV sector, and the other companies consistently receive media coverage. All have given investors reason to be watching them, as ChatGPT claims.</p><p>When asked to provide further context on why it selected these 10 as the top EV stocks to buy, the bot cited Tesla’s head start in the EV race, Nio’s “innovative designs and strong growth potential,” and BYD’s dynamic reach across the industry. It also highlighted Xpeng’s plans for expansion and its investments in autonomous vehicles. Regarding Lucid, it cited the company’s backing from Saudi Arabia, as well as its plans to expand further in the U.S.</p><p>The points made by ChatGPT are generally well-taken. However, the bot doesn’t account for some key things. While it notes that BYD has partnered with several prominent automakers, it doesn’t mention its recent deal with tech innovator Nvidia, which is especially relevant amid the current AI boom.</p><p>ChatGPT also doesn’t mention Nio’s G9, an electric SUV that experts have hailed as a likely sales-driving catalyst. And it only names automakers, neglecting to mention companies that power the EV sector, such as infrastructure leader ChargePoint, which Fisker recently partnered with. CHPT certainly has the growth prospects to put on any list of the best EV stocks to buy.</p><h2>Using Everyman DAN</h2><p>However, different prompts yielded slightly different results. Following Yeung’s example, I decided to create an “’Everyman DAN’ (as one of our editors has termed it), a simple stock picker attempting to please his demanding boss.” These are the five stocks ChatGPT suggested the fictitious high-growth investor James bring back to his boss:</p><ol><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a></li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a></li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a></li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLUG\">Plug Power</a></li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRIV\">Global X Autonomous And Electric Vehicles ETF</a></li></ol><p>Again, we see that ChatGPT is quick to name Tesla, Nio and General Motors as top EV stocks to buy. But it demonstrates discernment in identifying Plug Power, a clean energy innovator that doesn’t operate exclusively within the EV sector. As it notes:</p><blockquote>“James saw potential for hydrogen fuel cell technology to become a major player in the electric vehicle market, and he believed that Plug Power was well positioned to benefit from this trend.”</blockquote><p>On top of that, the DRIV ETF is a good pick for a list of EV stocks to buy, as it offers investors exposure to the sector without the risk that comes with betting on specific stocks. The most logical conclusion is that the prompts used to extract information from ChatGPT made a noticeable difference.</p><p>ChatGPT states that its criteria for selecting stocks centers around company fundamentals, market potential, competitive landscape, innovation, leadership and valuation. These are the standard metrics that most investors use for assessing potential stock picks. Overall, it seems ChatGPT is capable of picking the EV stocks most likely to turn up during an internet search. What it hasn’t done is demonstrated an ability to dig deeper into the sector and find the best EV stocks to buy that may still be undervalued.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>I Asked ChatGPT for 10 EV Stocks to Buy. Here’s What It Recommended</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nI Asked ChatGPT for 10 EV Stocks to Buy. Here’s What It Recommended\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-28 23:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2023/02/i-asked-chatgpt-for-10-ev-stocks-to-buy-heres-what-it-recommended/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>ChatGPT provided a basic rundown of electric vehicle (EV) stocks to buy.It selected some of the industry’s most well-known names, including Tesla.However, the chatbot did not provide any advanced ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2023/02/i-asked-chatgpt-for-10-ev-stocks-to-buy-heres-what-it-recommended/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","NIO":"蔚来","IE00B775SV38.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US MULTICAP OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1267930730.SGD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金AS Acc SGD (CPF)","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","F":"福特汽车","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU0312595415.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Climate Change Equity A Acc SGD","BYDDY":"比亚迪ADR","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU1983260115.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Sustainable Equity A2 SGD-H","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU1803068979.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Technology A (acc) SGD-H1","LU0353189680.USD":"富国美国全盘成长基金Cl A Acc","SG9999000418.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard Global Technology SGD","SG9999002232.USD":"Allianz Global High Payout USD","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","SG9999002224.SGD":"Allianz Global High Payout SGD","BK4531":"中概回港概念","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0648000940.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA SGD","BK4567":"ESG概念","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4509":"腾讯概念","BK4566":"资本集团","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU1951198990.SGD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund H-R/A SGD-H","FSR":"菲斯克","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","LU0354030511.USD":"ALLSPRING  U.S. LARGE CAP GROWTH \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","BK4588":"碎股","LU1201861165.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity PA SGD","LU2125909593.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Meta R/A SGD","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4526":"热门中概股","LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2023/02/i-asked-chatgpt-for-10-ev-stocks-to-buy-heres-what-it-recommended/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2314924625","content_text":"ChatGPT provided a basic rundown of electric vehicle (EV) stocks to buy.It selected some of the industry’s most well-known names, including Tesla.However, the chatbot did not provide any advanced insights into the sector.Source: shutterstock.com/Nixx PhotographyNearly three months after the launch of OpenAI’s ChatGPT, investors remain hyper-focused on artificial intelligence (AI). There’s plenty of reason to be. Major companies are working around the clock to perfect their own versions of the chatbot. Some are redoubling their own research and development initiatives, while others, such as Amazon, are rushing to acquire prominent AI startups.And while this new market frenzy has created a new class of winners among AI stocks, it has also led to questions about the type of financial advice ChatGPT can provide. NerdWallet reports that AI technology is not ready to replace financial advisors. But to take this further, InvestorPlace decided to ask the chatbot for its recommendations for the best EV stocks to buy.This isn’t the first time that we’ve tested the power of ChatGPT in financial matters. InvestorPlace Financial News Writer Brenden Rearick has successfully asked the chatbot for its recommendations for a list of cryptos to buy. While he later asked it for a list of cryptos to sell, he concluded that the program is still lacking, as it referenced crypto projects that are long dead.And while Markets Analyst Thomas Yeung has successfully managed to “trick” the bot into picking a more general list of stocks to buy, I wanted to see how it would respond to commands regarding a more specific industry. Given its high investor interest, the EV sector made sense. But it is important to note that the chatbot’s data is limited and often not up to date past 2021.The Best EV Stocks to Buy, According to ChatGPTI decided to keep my commands very general at first, posing the following question: What are the top 10 best EV stocks to buy? ChatGPT began with its classic disclaimer:“As an AI language model, I do not provide financial or investment advice. However, I can give you some information on electric vehicle (EV) stocks that you may find helpful.”From there, the bot declined to rank 10 EV stocks. However, it did provide a list of companies it claims have been making headlines recently:Tesla$Nio (NYSE:NIO)$General MotorsFordLi AutoVolkswagenBYD CompanyXpengFiskerLucidThese names all make sense. Tesla is the leader of the EV sector, and the other companies consistently receive media coverage. All have given investors reason to be watching them, as ChatGPT claims.When asked to provide further context on why it selected these 10 as the top EV stocks to buy, the bot cited Tesla’s head start in the EV race, Nio’s “innovative designs and strong growth potential,” and BYD’s dynamic reach across the industry. It also highlighted Xpeng’s plans for expansion and its investments in autonomous vehicles. Regarding Lucid, it cited the company’s backing from Saudi Arabia, as well as its plans to expand further in the U.S.The points made by ChatGPT are generally well-taken. However, the bot doesn’t account for some key things. While it notes that BYD has partnered with several prominent automakers, it doesn’t mention its recent deal with tech innovator Nvidia, which is especially relevant amid the current AI boom.ChatGPT also doesn’t mention Nio’s G9, an electric SUV that experts have hailed as a likely sales-driving catalyst. And it only names automakers, neglecting to mention companies that power the EV sector, such as infrastructure leader ChargePoint, which Fisker recently partnered with. CHPT certainly has the growth prospects to put on any list of the best EV stocks to buy.Using Everyman DANHowever, different prompts yielded slightly different results. Following Yeung’s example, I decided to create an “’Everyman DAN’ (as one of our editors has termed it), a simple stock picker attempting to please his demanding boss.” These are the five stocks ChatGPT suggested the fictitious high-growth investor James bring back to his boss:TeslaNioGeneral MotorsPlug PowerGlobal X Autonomous And Electric Vehicles ETFAgain, we see that ChatGPT is quick to name Tesla, Nio and General Motors as top EV stocks to buy. But it demonstrates discernment in identifying Plug Power, a clean energy innovator that doesn’t operate exclusively within the EV sector. As it notes:“James saw potential for hydrogen fuel cell technology to become a major player in the electric vehicle market, and he believed that Plug Power was well positioned to benefit from this trend.”On top of that, the DRIV ETF is a good pick for a list of EV stocks to buy, as it offers investors exposure to the sector without the risk that comes with betting on specific stocks. The most logical conclusion is that the prompts used to extract information from ChatGPT made a noticeable difference.ChatGPT states that its criteria for selecting stocks centers around company fundamentals, market potential, competitive landscape, innovation, leadership and valuation. These are the standard metrics that most investors use for assessing potential stock picks. Overall, it seems ChatGPT is capable of picking the EV stocks most likely to turn up during an internet search. What it hasn’t done is demonstrated an ability to dig deeper into the sector and find the best EV stocks to buy that may still be undervalued.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626640735,"gmtCreate":1674138911527,"gmtModify":1674138912686,"author":{"id":"3570894101421757","authorId":"3570894101421757","name":"追风的咕咕","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/425722afb00b393a2a2d67736e2b9606","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570894101421757","authorIdStr":"3570894101421757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>现在市场是对经济衰退的恐慌大于 加息吗","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>现在市场是对经济衰退的恐慌大于 加息吗","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 现在市场是对经济衰退的恐慌大于 加息吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626640735","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665359192,"gmtCreate":1666958838216,"gmtModify":1666958839506,"author":{"id":"3570894101421757","authorId":"3570894101421757","name":"追风的咕咕","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/425722afb00b393a2a2d67736e2b9606","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570894101421757","authorIdStr":"3570894101421757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>不给蛋 ，就捣糖[龇牙]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>不给蛋 ，就捣糖[龇牙]&nbsp;","text":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$不给蛋 ，就捣糖[龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665359192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1981,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":661745455,"gmtCreate":1664270448777,"gmtModify":1664270452209,"author":{"id":"3570894101421757","authorId":"3570894101421757","name":"追风的咕咕","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/425722afb00b393a2a2d67736e2b9606","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570894101421757","authorIdStr":"3570894101421757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"看来机构买了不少put[汗颜]&nbsp;","listText":"看来机构买了不少put[汗颜]&nbsp;","text":"看来机构买了不少put[汗颜]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/661745455","repostId":"2270299946","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2270299946","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1664255280,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2270299946?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-27 13:08","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"11月继续75基点？华尔街加息预期爆棚","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2270299946","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美联储将“鹰无止境”？","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b>加息之后是降息。野村预计，2023年9月开始，美联储将以每次会议25个基点的初始速度降息；到2024年第二季度，降息速度将加快至每次会议50个基点。</b></blockquote><p><b>华尔街加息预期爆棚：瑞银“11月继续75基点”！野村“12月也加75”，峰值加到5.25-5.50%！</b></p><p>华尔街纷纷开始押注，美联储将“鹰无止境”。根据美联储上周发布的经济预测摘要（SEP），大多数FOMC成员认为第四次75个基点的加息是适当的。</p><p>市场紧随其后，继续上调了对联邦基金利率峰值的预测，现在认为利率峰值将在明年4月升至4.80%左右的水平。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ee131dbe91412912d1a333e9c442ca6\" tg-width=\"786\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>华尔街的预测更为“大胆”。在准确预测（与联储官员一致）利率峰值将在明年达到4.6%的水平后，野村甚至继续加码，押注该利率水平将在明年3月升至5.25%-5.50%。</p><p><b>“让子弹再飞一会儿”</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">瑞银</a>预计，美联储将在11月的会议上连续第四次加息75个基点，随后在12月加息50个基点。到今年年底，联邦基金利率的目标区间将达到4.25%-4.5%。</p><p>然而，到2023年2月的FOMC会议结束时，<b>瑞银认为政策累积调整的效果将更加明显，届时FOMC将暂停加息并评估已实施的紧缩政策。</b></p><p>随着对加息幅度的上调，FOMC对联邦基金利率峰值的预测上调至4.6%。瑞银认为，<b>该利率此后保持在这一限制性区间，将足以使通胀回到2.0%的目标。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a128429c9b0601505c7b562fe2bdce4\" tg-width=\"606\" tg-height=\"529\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>瑞银“大幅加息”的预测与鲍威尔收紧政策的强烈意愿一致：他希望设定的利率能够使整个曲线的实际利率都为正，并有更多的证据表明通货胀正在放缓，劳动力市场正在放缓。如市场预期的那样，鲍威尔和FOMC其他成员基本维持了杰克逊霍尔会议上释放的鹰派信号。</p><p>SEP对经济增长的预期大幅下调，失业率预计将在2023年和2024年达到4.4%的峰值，然后在2025年下降到4.3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c9068e45d0fe7208cdbfb59da32ef98\" tg-width=\"596\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>但瑞银认为，劳动力市场并不一定会有较大程度的放缓。鉴于劳动力市场缓慢的波动趋势，推动失业率上升并不容易，很可能需要完全减少一定数量工作岗位，才能达到美联储所假设的失业率中值水平。</b></p><p>瑞银表示，进一步收紧政策和硬着陆的一个重要风险是，鲍威尔继续将“职位空缺”作为衡量劳动力市场实力的指标。在金融危机之前，由于劳动力市场即将收缩并步入衰退区间，职位空缺率保持在周期峰值附近或达到周期峰值。<b>作为一个后顾性指标（backward looking indicator，追溯历史数据），过度依赖职位空缺率可能会导致美联储错过劳动力市场变动的重要转折点。</b></p><p>野村的押注“加码”了</p><p>上周，野村在FOMC会议前就预测联邦基金利率峰值将在明年上升至4.6%的水平，与联储官员的利率预期中值一致。</p><p>而在上周五晚上，野村美国经济研究团队甚至将其对美联储利率峰值的<b>预测上调至5.25%-5.50%。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa6e85b0eba1ccea0ed81c1576fdc5b9\" tg-width=\"713\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>他们认为，越来越多的证据表明，短期中性利率在以下情况下已经上升：<b>1）比预期更宽松的金融环境；2）有弹性的劳动力市场；3）仍然居高不下的通胀。这表明名义中性利率可能远高于2%-2.5%：</b></p><blockquote><b>因此，我们将利率峰值预测上调75个基点至5.25%-5.50%，现在预计今年11月和12月加息75个基点，随后在明年2月加息50个基点，3月加息25个基点。</b></blockquote><p>较高的中性利率意味着美联储当前的货币政策立场比野村之前预估的更为宽松，经济衰退推迟到2023年第一季度的风险更大。野村预计，<b>2023年9月开始，美联储将以每次会议25个基点的初始速度降息；到2024年第二季度，降息速度将加快至每次会议50个基点。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90d66dffa7ffb5fe3cd97210d2bac273\" tg-width=\"1014\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>届时通胀反弹的风险降低，2024年底的政策利率将为1.125%，失业率峰值在6%左右。</p><p>野村警告称，美国与世界其他地区的利差在不断扩大，美国实际利率和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">美元指数</a>都升至多年来的高点。这种金融条件的收紧，将对风险资产造成严重打击。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>11月继续75基点？华尔街加息预期爆棚</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n11月继续75基点？华尔街加息预期爆棚\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-27 13:08 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671269><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>加息之后是降息。野村预计，2023年9月开始，美联储将以每次会议25个基点的初始速度降息；到2024年第二季度，降息速度将加快至每次会议50个基点。华尔街加息预期爆棚：瑞银“11月继续75基点”！野村“12月也加75”，峰值加到5.25-5.50%！华尔街纷纷开始押注，美联储将“鹰无止境”。根据美联储上周发布的经济预测摘要（SEP），大多数FOMC成员认为第四次75个基点的加息是适当的。市场...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671269\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1919503fa977869f2aed6254242da69d","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671269","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2270299946","content_text":"加息之后是降息。野村预计，2023年9月开始，美联储将以每次会议25个基点的初始速度降息；到2024年第二季度，降息速度将加快至每次会议50个基点。华尔街加息预期爆棚：瑞银“11月继续75基点”！野村“12月也加75”，峰值加到5.25-5.50%！华尔街纷纷开始押注，美联储将“鹰无止境”。根据美联储上周发布的经济预测摘要（SEP），大多数FOMC成员认为第四次75个基点的加息是适当的。市场紧随其后，继续上调了对联邦基金利率峰值的预测，现在认为利率峰值将在明年4月升至4.80%左右的水平。华尔街的预测更为“大胆”。在准确预测（与联储官员一致）利率峰值将在明年达到4.6%的水平后，野村甚至继续加码，押注该利率水平将在明年3月升至5.25%-5.50%。“让子弹再飞一会儿”瑞银预计，美联储将在11月的会议上连续第四次加息75个基点，随后在12月加息50个基点。到今年年底，联邦基金利率的目标区间将达到4.25%-4.5%。然而，到2023年2月的FOMC会议结束时，瑞银认为政策累积调整的效果将更加明显，届时FOMC将暂停加息并评估已实施的紧缩政策。随着对加息幅度的上调，FOMC对联邦基金利率峰值的预测上调至4.6%。瑞银认为，该利率此后保持在这一限制性区间，将足以使通胀回到2.0%的目标。瑞银“大幅加息”的预测与鲍威尔收紧政策的强烈意愿一致：他希望设定的利率能够使整个曲线的实际利率都为正，并有更多的证据表明通货胀正在放缓，劳动力市场正在放缓。如市场预期的那样，鲍威尔和FOMC其他成员基本维持了杰克逊霍尔会议上释放的鹰派信号。SEP对经济增长的预期大幅下调，失业率预计将在2023年和2024年达到4.4%的峰值，然后在2025年下降到4.3%。但瑞银认为，劳动力市场并不一定会有较大程度的放缓。鉴于劳动力市场缓慢的波动趋势，推动失业率上升并不容易，很可能需要完全减少一定数量工作岗位，才能达到美联储所假设的失业率中值水平。瑞银表示，进一步收紧政策和硬着陆的一个重要风险是，鲍威尔继续将“职位空缺”作为衡量劳动力市场实力的指标。在金融危机之前，由于劳动力市场即将收缩并步入衰退区间，职位空缺率保持在周期峰值附近或达到周期峰值。作为一个后顾性指标（backward looking indicator，追溯历史数据），过度依赖职位空缺率可能会导致美联储错过劳动力市场变动的重要转折点。野村的押注“加码”了上周，野村在FOMC会议前就预测联邦基金利率峰值将在明年上升至4.6%的水平，与联储官员的利率预期中值一致。而在上周五晚上，野村美国经济研究团队甚至将其对美联储利率峰值的预测上调至5.25%-5.50%。他们认为，越来越多的证据表明，短期中性利率在以下情况下已经上升：1）比预期更宽松的金融环境；2）有弹性的劳动力市场；3）仍然居高不下的通胀。这表明名义中性利率可能远高于2%-2.5%：因此，我们将利率峰值预测上调75个基点至5.25%-5.50%，现在预计今年11月和12月加息75个基点，随后在明年2月加息50个基点，3月加息25个基点。较高的中性利率意味着美联储当前的货币政策立场比野村之前预估的更为宽松，经济衰退推迟到2023年第一季度的风险更大。野村预计，2023年9月开始，美联储将以每次会议25个基点的初始速度降息；到2024年第二季度，降息速度将加快至每次会议50个基点。届时通胀反弹的风险降低，2024年底的政策利率将为1.125%，失业率峰值在6%左右。野村警告称，美国与世界其他地区的利差在不断扩大，美国实际利率和美元指数都升至多年来的高点。这种金融条件的收紧，将对风险资产造成严重打击。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":661041536,"gmtCreate":1663598437525,"gmtModify":1663598440808,"author":{"id":"3570894101421757","authorId":"3570894101421757","name":"追风的咕咕","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/425722afb00b393a2a2d67736e2b9606","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570894101421757","authorIdStr":"3570894101421757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>涨点吧 兄弟 我买的期权[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>涨点吧 兄弟 我买的期权[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$涨点吧 兄弟 我买的期权[捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/661041536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":663654877,"gmtCreate":1663164860599,"gmtModify":1663164861593,"author":{"id":"3570894101421757","authorId":"3570894101421757","name":"追风的咕咕","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/425722afb00b393a2a2d67736e2b9606","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570894101421757","authorIdStr":"3570894101421757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"加息100基点，可以，但没必要","listText":"加息100基点，可以，但没必要","text":"加息100基点，可以，但没必要","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/663654877","repostId":"2267423552","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":134632580,"gmtCreate":1622220220040,"gmtModify":1622220220040,"author":{"id":"3570894101421757","authorId":"3570894101421757","name":"追风的咕咕","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/425722afb00b393a2a2d67736e2b9606","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570894101421757","authorIdStr":"3570894101421757"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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