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- banebane
  ·2021-08-06
  hmmm
  Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate
  (Aug 6) Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate.
  Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate
  1,161 评论
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- banebane
  ·2021-08-05
  yay
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,215 评论
  1
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- banebane
  ·2021-08-05
  here we go
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,159 评论
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- banebane
  ·2021-08-04
  great
  Lyft Stock: Ride-Hailing Company Narrows Loss on 'Record Hourly Earnings'
  San Francisco based Lyft says revenue more than doubled in latest period. Lyft, Inc., the San Fran
  Lyft Stock: Ride-Hailing Company Narrows Loss on 'Record Hourly Earnings'
  1,486 1
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- banebane
  ·2021-08-04
  yesss
  Lyft Stock: Ride-Hailing Company Narrows Loss on 'Record Hourly Earnings'
  San Francisco based Lyft says revenue more than doubled in latest period. Lyft, Inc., the San Fran
  Lyft Stock: Ride-Hailing Company Narrows Loss on 'Record Hourly Earnings'
  1,557 1
  2
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- banebane
  ·2021-08-04
  could it?
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,453 评论
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- banebane
  ·2021-07-20
  should i buy or should i go ~?
  Goldman Says "Don't Buy This Dip" And Here's Why...
  At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-we
  Goldman Says "Don't Buy This Dip" And Here's Why...
  1,276 评论
  1
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- banebane
  ·2021-06-30
  up up
  Housing Prices Are Going Up. Must They Crash?
  There are many reports of homebuyers getting into bidding wars and many cities where home prices hav
  Housing Prices Are Going Up. Must They Crash?
  1,702 评论
  3
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- banebane
  ·2021-06-30
  ☺️
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,371 评论
  4
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- banebane
  ·2021-06-29
  $Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$[Smile]
  1,267 评论
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class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-06 22:34</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 6)&nbsp;Tencent sued by the Haidian District Procuratorate.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR","00700":"腾讯控股"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110501028","content_text":"(Aug 6) Tencent sued by the Haidian District 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we go","listText":"here we go","text":"here we go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899142176","repostId":"1158295123","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890069188,"gmtCreate":1628067634344,"gmtModify":1633753902170,"author":{"id":"3573625719551490","authorId":"3573625719551490","name":"bane","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8e3f417a294b78c7d27131c858156f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573625719551490","authorIdStr":"3573625719551490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"great","listText":"great","text":"great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890069188","repostId":"1115773909","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115773909","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628066666,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115773909?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-04 16:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Lyft Stock: Ride-Hailing Company Narrows Loss on 'Record Hourly Earnings'","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115773909","media":"The Street\t","summary":"San Francisco based Lyft says  revenue more than doubled in latest period.\n\nLyft, Inc., the San Fran","content":"<blockquote>\n San Francisco based Lyft says&nbsp; revenue more than doubled in latest period.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYFT\">Lyft, Inc.</a>,</b>&nbsp;the San Francisco ride-hailing specialist, reported a narrower second-quarter loss as revenue&nbsp;more than doubled.</p>\n<p>The quarterly net loss narrowed to 76 cents a share from $1.41 a share in the year-earlier quarter. Shares outstanding climbed 7.4% to 332.1 million.</p>\n<p>Revenue reached $765 million from $339.3 million.</p>\n<p>A survey of analysts by FactSet produced consensus estimates of a GAAP loss of 70 cents a share on revenue of $700 million.</p>\n<p>FactSet reported Lyft's adjusted loss for the quarter was 6 cents a share, compared with the consensus analyst estimate of a 23-cent loss.</p>\n<p>The company said that in the quarter it for the first time reached adjusted profitability based on earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.</p>\n<p>At last check Lyft shares were trading up 0.9% at $55.86. They closed regular Tuesday trading down 1.1% at $55.38.</p>\n<p>Adjusted Ebitda for the second quarter was $23.8 million.</p>\n<p>\"We beat our outlook across every metric,\" Logan Green, co-founder and chief executive, said in a statement.</p>\n<p>At June 30 Lyft reported 17.1 million active riders, nearly double the 8.7 million a year earlier.</p>\n<p>The company's chief financial officer, Brian Roberts, said that Lyft drivers took in \"record hourly earnings.\" The company statement didn't specify numbers.</p>\n<p>\"And in July driver earnings remained strong as demand for our platform continued to grow despite increases in reported COVID case counts,\" Roberts said.</p>\n<p>At the end of the quarter Lyft had unrestricted cash, equivalents and short-term investments totaling $2.2 billion.</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Lyft Stock: Ride-Hailing Company Narrows Loss on 'Record Hourly Earnings'</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLyft Stock: Ride-Hailing Company Narrows Loss on 'Record Hourly Earnings'\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-04 16:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/lyft-narrows-loss-posts-profit-based-on-adjusted-ebitda><strong>The Street\t</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>San Francisco based Lyft says  revenue more than doubled in latest period.\n\nLyft, Inc., the San Francisco ride-hailing specialist, reported a narrower second-quarter loss as revenue more than doubled....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/lyft-narrows-loss-posts-profit-based-on-adjusted-ebitda\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LYFT":"Lyft, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/lyft-narrows-loss-posts-profit-based-on-adjusted-ebitda","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115773909","content_text":"San Francisco based Lyft says  revenue more than doubled in latest period.\n\nLyft, Inc., the San Francisco ride-hailing specialist, reported a narrower second-quarter loss as revenue more than doubled.\nThe quarterly net loss narrowed to 76 cents a share from $1.41 a share in the year-earlier quarter. Shares outstanding climbed 7.4% to 332.1 million.\nRevenue reached $765 million from $339.3 million.\nA survey of analysts by FactSet produced consensus estimates of a GAAP loss of 70 cents a share on revenue of $700 million.\nFactSet reported Lyft's adjusted loss for the quarter was 6 cents a share, compared with the consensus analyst estimate of a 23-cent loss.\nThe company said that in the quarter it for the first time reached adjusted profitability based on earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.\nAt last check Lyft shares were trading up 0.9% at $55.86. They closed regular Tuesday trading down 1.1% at $55.38.\nAdjusted Ebitda for the second quarter was $23.8 million.\n\"We beat our outlook across every metric,\" Logan Green, co-founder and chief executive, said in a statement.\nAt June 30 Lyft reported 17.1 million active riders, nearly double the 8.7 million a year earlier.\nThe company's chief financial officer, Brian Roberts, said that Lyft drivers took in \"record hourly earnings.\" The company statement didn't specify numbers.\n\"And in July driver earnings remained strong as demand for our platform continued to grow despite increases in reported COVID case counts,\" Roberts said.\nAt the end of the quarter Lyft had unrestricted cash, equivalents and short-term investments totaling $2.2 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LYFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890060005,"gmtCreate":1628067485407,"gmtModify":1633753902778,"author":{"id":"3573625719551490","authorId":"3573625719551490","name":"bane","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8e3f417a294b78c7d27131c858156f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573625719551490","authorIdStr":"3573625719551490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yesss","listText":"yesss","text":"yesss","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890060005","repostId":"1115773909","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115773909","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628066666,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115773909?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-04 16:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Lyft Stock: Ride-Hailing Company Narrows Loss on 'Record Hourly Earnings'","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115773909","media":"The Street\t","summary":"San Francisco based Lyft says  revenue more than doubled in latest period.\n\nLyft, Inc., the San Fran","content":"<blockquote>\n San Francisco based Lyft says&nbsp; revenue more than doubled in latest period.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYFT\">Lyft, Inc.</a>,</b>&nbsp;the San Francisco ride-hailing specialist, reported a narrower second-quarter loss as revenue&nbsp;more than doubled.</p>\n<p>The quarterly net loss narrowed to 76 cents a share from $1.41 a share in the year-earlier quarter. Shares outstanding climbed 7.4% to 332.1 million.</p>\n<p>Revenue reached $765 million from $339.3 million.</p>\n<p>A survey of analysts by FactSet produced consensus estimates of a GAAP loss of 70 cents a share on revenue of $700 million.</p>\n<p>FactSet reported Lyft's adjusted loss for the quarter was 6 cents a share, compared with the consensus analyst estimate of a 23-cent loss.</p>\n<p>The company said that in the quarter it for the first time reached adjusted profitability based on earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.</p>\n<p>At last check Lyft shares were trading up 0.9% at $55.86. They closed regular Tuesday trading down 1.1% at $55.38.</p>\n<p>Adjusted Ebitda for the second quarter was $23.8 million.</p>\n<p>\"We beat our outlook across every metric,\" Logan Green, co-founder and chief executive, said in a statement.</p>\n<p>At June 30 Lyft reported 17.1 million active riders, nearly double the 8.7 million a year earlier.</p>\n<p>The company's chief financial officer, Brian Roberts, said that Lyft drivers took in \"record hourly earnings.\" The company statement didn't specify numbers.</p>\n<p>\"And in July driver earnings remained strong as demand for our platform continued to grow despite increases in reported COVID case counts,\" Roberts said.</p>\n<p>At the end of the quarter Lyft had unrestricted cash, equivalents and short-term investments totaling $2.2 billion.</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Lyft Stock: Ride-Hailing Company Narrows Loss on 'Record Hourly Earnings'</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLyft Stock: Ride-Hailing Company Narrows Loss on 'Record Hourly Earnings'\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-04 16:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/lyft-narrows-loss-posts-profit-based-on-adjusted-ebitda><strong>The Street\t</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>San Francisco based Lyft says  revenue more than doubled in latest period.\n\nLyft, Inc., the San Francisco ride-hailing specialist, reported a narrower second-quarter loss as revenue more than doubled....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/lyft-narrows-loss-posts-profit-based-on-adjusted-ebitda\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LYFT":"Lyft, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/lyft-narrows-loss-posts-profit-based-on-adjusted-ebitda","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115773909","content_text":"San Francisco based Lyft says  revenue more than doubled in latest period.\n\nLyft, Inc., the San Francisco ride-hailing specialist, reported a narrower second-quarter loss as revenue more than doubled.\nThe quarterly net loss narrowed to 76 cents a share from $1.41 a share in the year-earlier quarter. Shares outstanding climbed 7.4% to 332.1 million.\nRevenue reached $765 million from $339.3 million.\nA survey of analysts by FactSet produced consensus estimates of a GAAP loss of 70 cents a share on revenue of $700 million.\nFactSet reported Lyft's adjusted loss for the quarter was 6 cents a share, compared with the consensus analyst estimate of a 23-cent loss.\nThe company said that in the quarter it for the first time reached adjusted profitability based on earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.\nAt last check Lyft shares were trading up 0.9% at $55.86. They closed regular Tuesday trading down 1.1% at $55.38.\nAdjusted Ebitda for the second quarter was $23.8 million.\n\"We beat our outlook across every metric,\" Logan Green, co-founder and chief executive, said in a statement.\nAt June 30 Lyft reported 17.1 million active riders, nearly double the 8.7 million a year earlier.\nThe company's chief financial officer, Brian Roberts, said that Lyft drivers took in \"record hourly earnings.\" The company statement didn't specify numbers.\n\"And in July driver earnings remained strong as demand for our platform continued to grow despite increases in reported COVID case counts,\" Roberts said.\nAt the end of the quarter Lyft had unrestricted cash, equivalents and short-term investments totaling $2.2 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LYFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890087583,"gmtCreate":1628067447642,"gmtModify":1633753902899,"author":{"id":"3573625719551490","authorId":"3573625719551490","name":"bane","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8e3f417a294b78c7d27131c858156f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573625719551490","authorIdStr":"3573625719551490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"could it?","listText":"could it?","text":"could it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890087583","repostId":"1115159207","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178195312,"gmtCreate":1626790702336,"gmtModify":1633770998946,"author":{"id":"3573625719551490","authorId":"3573625719551490","name":"bane","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8e3f417a294b78c7d27131c858156f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573625719551490","authorIdStr":"3573625719551490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"should i buy or should i go ~?","listText":"should i buy or should i go ~?","text":"should i buy or should i go ~?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178195312","repostId":"1188133258","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188133258","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626787650,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188133258?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 21:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Says \"Don't Buy This Dip\" And Here's Why...","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188133258","media":"zerohedge","summary":"At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-we","content":"<p>At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest period for markets...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7dc88222112e4655f492c56509f9d64\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>... and followed up with apredictionthat shorts will have to cover, which they did during a period in which we saw 13 out of 16 trading days hit new all time highs.</p>\n<p>Of course, it all came crashing down in the last 3 days when the S&amp;P slide accelerated, culminating with a scary rout on Monday when tumbling yields sparked a panic that the US economy is headed straight into a stagflationary crash.</p>\n<p>And yet, with futures rebounding and traders clearly showing a desire to catch what has been the fastest falling knife in months, we were surprised to read that the same John Flood who correctly predicted the market ramp in the first half of July, has now flipped completely and in a note published overnight writes \"<b>don't buy this dip.</b>\" He explains why:</p>\n<blockquote>\n I am a consistent buyer of dips but this wobble feels different and I am bracing for a weaker tape this week. Negative Covid headlines are picking up in velocity. Issuance spigots are fully turned on and this paper is getting harder to place from my seat (after some choppy px action related to issuance last week).\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>99% of S&amp;P500 companies are in buyback blackout period into next week and quant flows remain asymmetric on the supply side (AKA CTA sellers will win this tug of war).</b>Earnings last week were great but were not rewarded (banks)...this week and next are the 2 busiest weeks of the earnings period.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Overall market breadth continues to dissipate with FAAMG complex carrying the weight of the indices on its back. July has not been a fun month for the retail community (underlying retail bid is fading). HF length has recently come in significantly on a 1 year look back but on a 3 year basis is well above 50th percentile for both nets and grosses (still more wood to chop here). Institutional community continues to cut risk in China ADR’s post DIDI development while U.S. / China tensions rise. All eyes remain 10yr yields well below 200dma of 1.26 for first time in 2021. No need to hit the panic button but I plan on being patient with buy tickets over the next several sessions.\n</blockquote>\n<p>And here are the 10 key<i>bearish</i>developments Flood is monitoring:</p>\n<p><b>1) Covid headlines over the weekend were the most negative that I have seen in 2021. Here are the 5 that stood out to me...</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>U.S. infections surged more than 60% last week, topping a 16% global increase. Delta cases may be undercounted, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said. The Dr. warned that the US is “vastly underestimating” the level of COVID delta spread domestically.CNBC</li>\n <li>The CDC warns of a “pandemic of the unvaccinated” as cases, hospitalizations, and fatalities rise in those parts of the country with low inoculation rates.BBG</li>\n <li>CDC says other major US cities will probably follow LA and reimpose mask mandates as COVID statistics continue to deteriorate.FT</li>\n <li>First Olympic athletes in Tokyo test positive for COVID, just days before the games are expected to commence (Coco Gauff the highest profile U.S. athlete to withdraw)</li>\n <li>The UK said travelers from France will need to quarantine for 10 days regardless of vaccination status, an announcement that “leaves holidays in disarray”.London Times</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>2) It has been a paper party and this paper is getting harder to place. Last week we priced 11 registered deals in the U.S. ($3b notional) and this week already working on another 18 ($10b). This is especially noteworthy while in the depths of July.</b></p>\n<p><b>3) Only 1 week into 2Q earnings but banks telling us to expect beats but NOT TO expect these beats to be rewarded. AKA sell sides estimates are still too low and positioning remains crowded. Since JPM kicked of megacap tech bank earnings last Tuesday morning (essentially beats across the board) bank index has shed 355bps.</b></p>\n<p><b>4) We are in depths of corporate buyback blackout period and this will run through 7/23/21....</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aaf1e5d45694a097b50a91dbde1c820\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>5) Systematic flows are asymmetric...(AKA CTAs are sellers in a up and down tape)....</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bba4d70220e9707ea2844810c1a10b2\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>6) Market breadth continues to deteriorate (was at ATH of 100 last month)....</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39de9052680301024db46173d0dce29f\" tg-width=\"507\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>7) AKA without recent stellar price action on FAAMG the market would be in some trouble...</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ae0c7eead73ad8dc2ecc63bcbd9e27e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>8) Tensions with China escalating and we see continued derisking in ADRs: The White House is accusing China of perpetrating a massive hack of Microsoft’s email systems and will form a coalition of NATO members to condemn Beijing’s cyber activities.NYT</b></p>\n<p><b>9) Retail support has been waning MTD....(GS HIGH RETAIL SENTIMENT BASKET)....</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91d1bdeccdbb13bda1edf2982fd29b9c\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"737\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>1</b><b>0) On 1 year look back Fundamental L/S positioning has come in significantly....on a 3yr look back still elevated....</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588f67823e6fabf1df2586491f930477\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"105\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Says \"Don't Buy This Dip\" And Here's Why...</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Says \"Don't Buy This Dip\" And Here's Why...\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-20 21:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-says-dont-buy-dip-and-heres-why?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-says-dont-buy-dip-and-heres-why?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-says-dont-buy-dip-and-heres-why?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188133258","content_text":"At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest period for markets...\n\n... and followed up with apredictionthat shorts will have to cover, which they did during a period in which we saw 13 out of 16 trading days hit new all time highs.\nOf course, it all came crashing down in the last 3 days when the S&P slide accelerated, culminating with a scary rout on Monday when tumbling yields sparked a panic that the US economy is headed straight into a stagflationary crash.\nAnd yet, with futures rebounding and traders clearly showing a desire to catch what has been the fastest falling knife in months, we were surprised to read that the same John Flood who correctly predicted the market ramp in the first half of July, has now flipped completely and in a note published overnight writes \"don't buy this dip.\" He explains why:\n\n I am a consistent buyer of dips but this wobble feels different and I am bracing for a weaker tape this week. Negative Covid headlines are picking up in velocity. Issuance spigots are fully turned on and this paper is getting harder to place from my seat (after some choppy px action related to issuance last week).\n\n\n99% of S&P500 companies are in buyback blackout period into next week and quant flows remain asymmetric on the supply side (AKA CTA sellers will win this tug of war).Earnings last week were great but were not rewarded (banks)...this week and next are the 2 busiest weeks of the earnings period.\n\n\n Overall market breadth continues to dissipate with FAAMG complex carrying the weight of the indices on its back. July has not been a fun month for the retail community (underlying retail bid is fading). HF length has recently come in significantly on a 1 year look back but on a 3 year basis is well above 50th percentile for both nets and grosses (still more wood to chop here). Institutional community continues to cut risk in China ADR’s post DIDI development while U.S. / China tensions rise. All eyes remain 10yr yields well below 200dma of 1.26 for first time in 2021. No need to hit the panic button but I plan on being patient with buy tickets over the next several sessions.\n\nAnd here are the 10 keybearishdevelopments Flood is monitoring:\n1) Covid headlines over the weekend were the most negative that I have seen in 2021. Here are the 5 that stood out to me...\n\nU.S. infections surged more than 60% last week, topping a 16% global increase. Delta cases may be undercounted, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said. The Dr. warned that the US is “vastly underestimating” the level of COVID delta spread domestically.CNBC\nThe CDC warns of a “pandemic of the unvaccinated” as cases, hospitalizations, and fatalities rise in those parts of the country with low inoculation rates.BBG\nCDC says other major US cities will probably follow LA and reimpose mask mandates as COVID statistics continue to deteriorate.FT\nFirst Olympic athletes in Tokyo test positive for COVID, just days before the games are expected to commence (Coco Gauff the highest profile U.S. athlete to withdraw)\nThe UK said travelers from France will need to quarantine for 10 days regardless of vaccination status, an announcement that “leaves holidays in disarray”.London Times\n\n2) It has been a paper party and this paper is getting harder to place. Last week we priced 11 registered deals in the U.S. ($3b notional) and this week already working on another 18 ($10b). This is especially noteworthy while in the depths of July.\n3) Only 1 week into 2Q earnings but banks telling us to expect beats but NOT TO expect these beats to be rewarded. AKA sell sides estimates are still too low and positioning remains crowded. Since JPM kicked of megacap tech bank earnings last Tuesday morning (essentially beats across the board) bank index has shed 355bps.\n4) We are in depths of corporate buyback blackout period and this will run through 7/23/21....\n5) Systematic flows are asymmetric...(AKA CTAs are sellers in a up and down tape)....\n6) Market breadth continues to deteriorate (was at ATH of 100 last month)....\n7) AKA without recent stellar price action on FAAMG the market would be in some trouble...\n\n8) Tensions with China escalating and we see continued derisking in ADRs: The White House is accusing China of perpetrating a massive hack of Microsoft’s email systems and will form a coalition of NATO members to condemn Beijing’s cyber activities.NYT\n9) Retail support has been waning MTD....(GS HIGH RETAIL SENTIMENT BASKET)....\n\n10) On 1 year look back Fundamental L/S positioning has come in significantly....on a 3yr look back still elevated....","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153866645,"gmtCreate":1625017657187,"gmtModify":1633945801056,"author":{"id":"3573625719551490","authorId":"3573625719551490","name":"bane","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8e3f417a294b78c7d27131c858156f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573625719551490","authorIdStr":"3573625719551490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"up up&nbsp;","listText":"up up&nbsp;","text":"up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153866645","repostId":"1187567340","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187567340","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625017360,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187567340?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-30 09:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Housing Prices Are Going Up. Must They Crash?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187567340","media":"Barrons","summary":"There are many reports of homebuyers getting into bidding wars and many cities where home prices hav","content":"<p>There are&nbsp;many&nbsp;reports&nbsp;of homebuyers getting into bidding wars and many cities where home prices have&nbsp;appreciated&nbsp;by well more than 10% over the past year. This naturally leads to a concern about market volatility: Must what goes up comedown? Are werepeatingthe excesses of the early 2000s, when housing prices surged before the market crashed?</p>\n<p>Some&nbsp;analysts&nbsp;argue that this time, it’s even less likely that prices will fall.Inventoriesof new homes for sale are very low, and lending standards are much tighter than in 2005. This is true. In fact, the ground is even firmer than it seems.</p>\n<p>New home inventories were very high before the Great Recession. Today, they are closer to the level that has been common for decades. The portion of&nbsp;inventory&nbsp;built and ready for move-in is especially low because of supply chain interruptions combined with a sudden boost of demand during the coronavirus pandemic. We shouldn’t worry much about a crash when buyers are eagerly snapping up the available homes.</p>\n<p>Yet there’s another reason to believe a housing crash is unlikely: Even the high level of inventory in 2005 wasn’t nearly as speculative as most people think. Understanding why will help us interpret today’s market.</p>\n<p>In&nbsp;2005, homes were being built because sales were high, and sales were high in parts of the country where demand was strong. Builders were conservatively scaling their inventories with rising sales. The same is true today.</p>\n<p>Frequently, analysts&nbsp;cite&nbsp;the sharp rise in months of inventory—the number of months it will take to sell the current supply of homes being constructed for sale, at the current sales rate—as evidence of overzealous building during the last boom. But timing is key here. Decades of experience tell a clear story: Months of inventory is mostly a function of sales rather than builder speculation. When sales are strong, homes are turning over, and months of inventory tend to stay low. When sales quickly decline, builders tend to be left with unexpectedly high inventory.</p>\n<p>From the late 1990s all the way up to the peak of new home sales in mid-2005,inventory&nbsp;was at historic lows, with about four months’ worth remaining. Of course, builders were creating more inventory to match growing sales, but it was barely enough to keep up with demand, so the number held fairly constant. Then, as economic growth started to slow, a deep drop in sales coincided with a sharp rise in months of inventory.</p>\n<p>Today, there are also about four months of inventory, and sales are around the same level as they were in the late 1990s. So, while it’s easy to look at on-the-ground activity and conclude that low inventory could cause bidding wars among buyers, we need to remember that buyers are really driving inventory more than the other way around. In other words, builders decide to create new homes when demand is high from buyers. If demand suddenly dries up, builders can’t suddenly make the inventory of homes under construction disappear.</p>\n<p>Demand for new homes is something over which federal policy&nbsp;makers actually have some control. The Federal Reserve and other federal regulators should aim to avoid sharp declines in sales. The Fed can do this by raising or lowering interest rates, changing the money supply, and targeting changes in prices and nominal economic activity. Federal regulators can make sure that stable lending conditions are maintained, or not.One reasonthe Great Recession was so bad was that Federal Reserve officials and other federal regulators, generally responding to public sentiment, washed their hands of the horrendous collapse in sales and left homebuilders and sellers out to dry.</p>\n<p>But even in that worst-case scenario, the 2000s market was much more resilient than it seemed. In July 2005, when buyers backed off and months of inventory started to surge, the median U.S. home price was $198,000, according toZillow. In July 2008, when months of inventory was near its peak, it was still at $199,000.</p>\n<p>At the&nbsp;June 2006&nbsp;Federal Reserve meeting, Ben Bernanke said, “It is a good thing that housing is cooling. If we could wave a magic wand and reinstate 2005, we wouldn’t want to do that.” It’s notable that Jerome Powell, who today holds Bernanke’s former position as Fed chair, isn’t openly pining for a “cooler” housing market.</p>\n<p>There is a common belief that before the Great Recession, homebuyers were taken in by themyththat home prices never go down, and they became complacent. Those buyers turned out to be wrong. Yet, even when a concerted effort to kill housing markets succeeded, we had to beat them into submission for three full years before prices relented. Home prices can go down, but we have to work very hard, together, for a long time, to make them fall.</p>\n<p>If you are a buyer in a hot market where home prices are 30% higher than they were a year ago, you’re getting a 30% worse deal than you could have had back then. Nothing can be done about that. That said, the main things to be concerned with are the factors federal policymakers are in control of. There is little reason to expect housing demand to collapse. If it does, it will require communal intention—federal monetary and credit policies meant to create or accept a sharp drop in demand. And even if federal officials intend for housing construction to collapse, history suggests that a market contraction would push new sales down deeply for an extended period of time before prices relent.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Housing Prices Are Going Up. Must They Crash?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHousing Prices Are Going Up. Must They Crash?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-30 09:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/housing-prices-market-crash-51624912461?siteid=yhoof2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There are many reports of homebuyers getting into bidding wars and many cities where home prices have appreciated by well more than 10% over the past year. This naturally leads to a concern about ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/housing-prices-market-crash-51624912461?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/housing-prices-market-crash-51624912461?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187567340","content_text":"There are many reports of homebuyers getting into bidding wars and many cities where home prices have appreciated by well more than 10% over the past year. This naturally leads to a concern about market volatility: Must what goes up comedown? Are werepeatingthe excesses of the early 2000s, when housing prices surged before the market crashed?\nSome analysts argue that this time, it’s even less likely that prices will fall.Inventoriesof new homes for sale are very low, and lending standards are much tighter than in 2005. This is true. In fact, the ground is even firmer than it seems.\nNew home inventories were very high before the Great Recession. Today, they are closer to the level that has been common for decades. The portion of inventory built and ready for move-in is especially low because of supply chain interruptions combined with a sudden boost of demand during the coronavirus pandemic. We shouldn’t worry much about a crash when buyers are eagerly snapping up the available homes.\nYet there’s another reason to believe a housing crash is unlikely: Even the high level of inventory in 2005 wasn’t nearly as speculative as most people think. Understanding why will help us interpret today’s market.\nIn 2005, homes were being built because sales were high, and sales were high in parts of the country where demand was strong. Builders were conservatively scaling their inventories with rising sales. The same is true today.\nFrequently, analysts cite the sharp rise in months of inventory—the number of months it will take to sell the current supply of homes being constructed for sale, at the current sales rate—as evidence of overzealous building during the last boom. But timing is key here. Decades of experience tell a clear story: Months of inventory is mostly a function of sales rather than builder speculation. When sales are strong, homes are turning over, and months of inventory tend to stay low. When sales quickly decline, builders tend to be left with unexpectedly high inventory.\nFrom the late 1990s all the way up to the peak of new home sales in mid-2005,inventory was at historic lows, with about four months’ worth remaining. Of course, builders were creating more inventory to match growing sales, but it was barely enough to keep up with demand, so the number held fairly constant. Then, as economic growth started to slow, a deep drop in sales coincided with a sharp rise in months of inventory.\nToday, there are also about four months of inventory, and sales are around the same level as they were in the late 1990s. So, while it’s easy to look at on-the-ground activity and conclude that low inventory could cause bidding wars among buyers, we need to remember that buyers are really driving inventory more than the other way around. In other words, builders decide to create new homes when demand is high from buyers. If demand suddenly dries up, builders can’t suddenly make the inventory of homes under construction disappear.\nDemand for new homes is something over which federal policy makers actually have some control. The Federal Reserve and other federal regulators should aim to avoid sharp declines in sales. The Fed can do this by raising or lowering interest rates, changing the money supply, and targeting changes in prices and nominal economic activity. Federal regulators can make sure that stable lending conditions are maintained, or not.One reasonthe Great Recession was so bad was that Federal Reserve officials and other federal regulators, generally responding to public sentiment, washed their hands of the horrendous collapse in sales and left homebuilders and sellers out to dry.\nBut even in that worst-case scenario, the 2000s market was much more resilient than it seemed. In July 2005, when buyers backed off and months of inventory started to surge, the median U.S. home price was $198,000, according toZillow. In July 2008, when months of inventory was near its peak, it was still at $199,000.\nAt the June 2006 Federal Reserve meeting, Ben Bernanke said, “It is a good thing that housing is cooling. If we could wave a magic wand and reinstate 2005, we wouldn’t want to do that.” It’s notable that Jerome Powell, who today holds Bernanke’s former position as Fed chair, isn’t openly pining for a “cooler” housing market.\nThere is a common belief that before the Great Recession, homebuyers were taken in by themyththat home prices never go down, and they became complacent. Those buyers turned out to be wrong. Yet, even when a concerted effort to kill housing markets succeeded, we had to beat them into submission for three full years before prices relented. Home prices can go down, but we have to work very hard, together, for a long time, to make them fall.\nIf you are a buyer in a hot market where home prices are 30% higher than they were a year ago, you’re getting a 30% worse deal than you could have had back then. Nothing can be done about that. That said, the main things to be concerned with are the factors federal policymakers are in control of. There is little reason to expect housing demand to collapse. If it does, it will require communal intention—federal monetary and credit policies meant to create or accept a sharp drop in demand. And even if federal officials intend for housing construction to collapse, history suggests that a market contraction would push new sales down deeply for an extended period of time before prices relent.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153869791,"gmtCreate":1625017501113,"gmtModify":1633945804180,"author":{"id":"3573625719551490","authorId":"3573625719551490","name":"bane","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8e3f417a294b78c7d27131c858156f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573625719551490","authorIdStr":"3573625719551490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"☺️","listText":"☺️","text":"☺️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153869791","repostId":"1122418477","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1371,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159237131,"gmtCreate":1624969433023,"gmtModify":1633946425470,"author":{"id":"3573625719551490","authorId":"3573625719551490","name":"bane","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8e3f417a294b78c7d27131c858156f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573625719551490","authorIdStr":"3573625719551490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$</a>[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$</a>[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159237131","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}