个人中心 - 老虎社区

KIMSANG

IP属地：未知

帖子 · 3帖子 · 3
关注 · 0关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0粉丝 · 0

- KIMSANGKIMSANG
  ·2021-12-22
  Testing
  1,789 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- KIMSANGKIMSANG
  ·2021-07-01
  OK
  A Crash Is Coming for Meme Stocks, ‘Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Says<blockquote>“大空头”投资者迈克尔·伯里表示，模因股票即将崩盘</blockquote>
  Long before retail investors on Reddit flooded online forums theorizing about GameStop, investor Mic
  A Crash Is Coming for Meme Stocks, ‘Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Says<blockquote>“大空头”投资者迈克尔·伯里表示，模因股票即将崩盘</blockquote>
  1,141 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
- KIMSANGKIMSANG
  ·2021-07-01
  Nice
  The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>
  Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year. The S&P 5
  The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>
  1,131 评论
  3
  分享
  举报
暂无粉丝

热议股票

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3574398341122636","uuid":"3574398341122636","gmtCreate":1611324625071,"gmtModify":1611324625071,"name":"KIMSANG","pinyin":"kimsang","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":8,"tweetSize":3,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.19","exceedPercentage":"80.70%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.06.09","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":691990568,"gmtCreate":1640107860904,"gmtModify":1640107860904,"author":{"id":"3574398341122636","authorId":"3574398341122636","name":"KIMSANG","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574398341122636","idStr":"3574398341122636"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Testing&nbsp;","listText":"Testing&nbsp;","text":"Testing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691990568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1789,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":158361356,"gmtCreate":1625130223875,"gmtModify":1633944470509,"author":{"id":"3574398341122636","authorId":"3574398341122636","name":"KIMSANG","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574398341122636","idStr":"3574398341122636"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"OK&nbsp;","listText":"OK&nbsp;","text":"OK","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158361356","repostId":"1135430392","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135430392","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625129573,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135430392?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 16:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Crash Is Coming for Meme Stocks, ‘Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Says<blockquote>“大空头”投资者迈克尔·伯里表示，模因股票即将崩盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135430392","media":"Barrons","summary":"Long before retail investors on Reddit flooded online forums theorizing about GameStop, investor Mic","content":"<p>Long before retail investors on Reddit flooded online forums theorizing about GameStop, investor Michael Burry spotted an out-of-favor stock that was misunderstood. Now, Burry says he sees shades of 1999 and 2007—periods of other market frothiness.</p><p><blockquote>早在Reddit上的散户投资者涌入在线论坛对游戏驿站进行理论分析之前，投资者Michael Burry就发现了一只被误解的失宠股票。现在，伯里说他看到了1999年和2007年的影子——其他市场泡沫时期。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t know when meme stocks such as this will crash, but we probably do not have to wait too long, as I believe the retail crowd is fully invested in this theme, and Wall Street has jumped on the coattails,” Burry told<i>Barron’s</i>via email. “We’re running out of new money available to jump on the bandwagon.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不知道像这样的模因股票什么时候会崩溃，但我们可能不必等太久，因为我相信散户人群已经完全投资于这个主题，而华尔街已经抓住了这个机会，”伯里告诉<i>巴伦周刊</i>通过电子邮件。“我们已经没有新的资金来跟上潮流了。”</blockquote></p><p> Burry, whose successful bet against the housing market ahead of the subprime mortgage collapse made him a prominent character in the book and movie “The Big Short,” believes that meme stocks are the latest Wall Street trend that could wind up hurting regular investors. He said that in 1999, everyone making money in dot-com stocks believed it would continue. In 2007, those making money “leveraged to the hilt in multiple homes” thought that would continue, too.</p><p><blockquote>伯里在次贷崩溃之前成功做空房地产市场，使他成为书籍和电影《大空头》中的重要人物，他认为模因股票是华尔街的最新趋势，最终可能会伤害普通投资者。他说，1999年，每个在互联网股票上赚钱的人都相信这种情况会持续下去。2007年，那些“在多个家庭中充分利用杠杆”赚钱的人认为这种情况也会继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> “Momentum, social media are now part of the strategy for Wall Street, and they are in a better position than retail to participate, sniff out and start gamma squeezes in the options market,” Burry added,the latter part&nbsp;referring to heightened demand for shares driven by market makers rushing to hedge call options they sold—a phenomenon that likely&nbsp;juiced meme stock trading.</p><p><blockquote>伯里补充道：“动量、社交媒体现在已成为华尔街战略的一部分，它们比零售业更有能力参与、嗅探并启动期权市场的伽马挤压。”后一部分指的是需求增加。做市商急于对冲其出售的看涨期权期权，推动了华尔街的股票交易——这种现象可能会刺激模因股票交易。</blockquote></p><p> Burry became a high-profile GameStop (ticker: GME) bull in the second half of 2019. He told&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;in August of that year&nbsp;that fears about disc-less consoles were overblown. He expected free cash flow to rebound when new consoles from&nbsp;Sony&nbsp;and&nbsp;Microsoft&nbsp;were released in 2020. On the now-viral&nbsp;RoaringKitty YouTube channel&nbsp;that predicted the GameStop squeeze potential,retail investor Keith Gill&nbsp;touted Burry’s bull thesis. Burry couldn’t have foreseen the pandemic and&nbsp;related console shortages, but his thesis was certainly playing out, as shares began to rebound in the second half of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>Burry在2019年下半年成为备受瞩目的游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）多头。他告诉<i>巴伦周刊</i>那年8月，对无盘游戏机的担忧被夸大了。他预计，当Sony和微软的新游戏机在2020年发布时，自由现金流将会反弹。在预测游戏驿站挤压潜力的RoaringKitty YouTube频道上，散户投资者基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)宣扬了伯里的牛市论点。伯里不可能预见到大流行和相关的游戏机短缺，但随着股价在2020年下半年开始反弹，他的论点肯定会发挥作用。</blockquote></p><p> “For me though, if I get within years on a thesis coming true, I’m happy,” he says. “Most people are focused on days, weeks or months.”</p><p><blockquote>“但对我来说，如果我的论文在几年内实现，我就很高兴，”他说。“大多数人专注于几天、几周或几个月。”</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, after&nbsp;Chewy co-founder Ryan Cohen&nbsp;revealed&nbsp;a 9% stake in the company&nbsp;and&nbsp;called for major changes, shares rallied back to double-digit territory. Burry sold what was left of his GameStop stake at a profit at some point during the fourth quarter of last year, according to regulatory filings.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，Chewy联合创始人瑞安·科恩(Ryan Cohen)透露持有该公司9%的股份并呼吁进行重大变革后，股价回升至两位数。根据监管文件，伯里在去年第四季度的某个时候出售了剩余的游戏驿站股份并获利。</blockquote></p><p> Asked about companies like GameStop and&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC) that&nbsp;have sold millions of shares&nbsp;into surging stock prices, Burry points out that is wasn’t that long ago that GameStop was buying back millions of dollars in stock at his suggestion.</p><p><blockquote>当被问及游戏驿站和AMC院线控股公司（AMC）等公司因股价飙升而出售数百万股股票时，伯里指出，不久前，游戏驿站还在他的建议下回购了数百万美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> He thinks companies should be selling stock—as long as they follow the laws.</p><p><blockquote>他认为公司应该出售股票——只要他们遵守法律。</blockquote></p><p> “This is a Godsend for these companies,” Burry added. “But just having cash on hand itself does not warrant high multiples from the market, as many, many listed companies can tell you.”</p><p><blockquote>“这对这些公司来说是天赐之物，”伯里补充道。“但正如很多很多上市公司可以告诉你的那样，仅仅手头有现金本身并不能保证市场的高市盈率。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Crash Is Coming for Meme Stocks, ‘Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Says<blockquote>“大空头”投资者迈克尔·伯里表示，模因股票即将崩盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Crash Is Coming for Meme Stocks, ‘Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Says<blockquote>“大空头”投资者迈克尔·伯里表示，模因股票即将崩盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 16:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Long before retail investors on Reddit flooded online forums theorizing about GameStop, investor Michael Burry spotted an out-of-favor stock that was misunderstood. Now, Burry says he sees shades of 1999 and 2007—periods of other market frothiness.</p><p><blockquote>早在Reddit上的散户投资者涌入在线论坛对游戏驿站进行理论分析之前，投资者Michael Burry就发现了一只被误解的失宠股票。现在，伯里说他看到了1999年和2007年的影子——其他市场泡沫时期。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t know when meme stocks such as this will crash, but we probably do not have to wait too long, as I believe the retail crowd is fully invested in this theme, and Wall Street has jumped on the coattails,” Burry told<i>Barron’s</i>via email. “We’re running out of new money available to jump on the bandwagon.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不知道像这样的模因股票什么时候会崩溃，但我们可能不必等太久，因为我相信散户人群已经完全投资于这个主题，而华尔街已经抓住了这个机会，”伯里告诉<i>巴伦周刊</i>通过电子邮件。“我们已经没有新的资金来跟上潮流了。”</blockquote></p><p> Burry, whose successful bet against the housing market ahead of the subprime mortgage collapse made him a prominent character in the book and movie “The Big Short,” believes that meme stocks are the latest Wall Street trend that could wind up hurting regular investors. He said that in 1999, everyone making money in dot-com stocks believed it would continue. In 2007, those making money “leveraged to the hilt in multiple homes” thought that would continue, too.</p><p><blockquote>伯里在次贷崩溃之前成功做空房地产市场，使他成为书籍和电影《大空头》中的重要人物，他认为模因股票是华尔街的最新趋势，最终可能会伤害普通投资者。他说，1999年，每个在互联网股票上赚钱的人都相信这种情况会持续下去。2007年，那些“在多个家庭中充分利用杠杆”赚钱的人认为这种情况也会继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> “Momentum, social media are now part of the strategy for Wall Street, and they are in a better position than retail to participate, sniff out and start gamma squeezes in the options market,” Burry added,the latter part&nbsp;referring to heightened demand for shares driven by market makers rushing to hedge call options they sold—a phenomenon that likely&nbsp;juiced meme stock trading.</p><p><blockquote>伯里补充道：“动量、社交媒体现在已成为华尔街战略的一部分，它们比零售业更有能力参与、嗅探并启动期权市场的伽马挤压。”后一部分指的是需求增加。做市商急于对冲其出售的看涨期权期权，推动了华尔街的股票交易——这种现象可能会刺激模因股票交易。</blockquote></p><p> Burry became a high-profile GameStop (ticker: GME) bull in the second half of 2019. He told&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;in August of that year&nbsp;that fears about disc-less consoles were overblown. He expected free cash flow to rebound when new consoles from&nbsp;Sony&nbsp;and&nbsp;Microsoft&nbsp;were released in 2020. On the now-viral&nbsp;RoaringKitty YouTube channel&nbsp;that predicted the GameStop squeeze potential,retail investor Keith Gill&nbsp;touted Burry’s bull thesis. Burry couldn’t have foreseen the pandemic and&nbsp;related console shortages, but his thesis was certainly playing out, as shares began to rebound in the second half of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>Burry在2019年下半年成为备受瞩目的游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）多头。他告诉<i>巴伦周刊</i>那年8月，对无盘游戏机的担忧被夸大了。他预计，当Sony和微软的新游戏机在2020年发布时，自由现金流将会反弹。在预测游戏驿站挤压潜力的RoaringKitty YouTube频道上，散户投资者基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)宣扬了伯里的牛市论点。伯里不可能预见到大流行和相关的游戏机短缺，但随着股价在2020年下半年开始反弹，他的论点肯定会发挥作用。</blockquote></p><p> “For me though, if I get within years on a thesis coming true, I’m happy,” he says. “Most people are focused on days, weeks or months.”</p><p><blockquote>“但对我来说，如果我的论文在几年内实现，我就很高兴，”他说。“大多数人专注于几天、几周或几个月。”</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, after&nbsp;Chewy co-founder Ryan Cohen&nbsp;revealed&nbsp;a 9% stake in the company&nbsp;and&nbsp;called for major changes, shares rallied back to double-digit territory. Burry sold what was left of his GameStop stake at a profit at some point during the fourth quarter of last year, according to regulatory filings.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，Chewy联合创始人瑞安·科恩(Ryan Cohen)透露持有该公司9%的股份并呼吁进行重大变革后，股价回升至两位数。根据监管文件，伯里在去年第四季度的某个时候出售了剩余的游戏驿站股份并获利。</blockquote></p><p> Asked about companies like GameStop and&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC) that&nbsp;have sold millions of shares&nbsp;into surging stock prices, Burry points out that is wasn’t that long ago that GameStop was buying back millions of dollars in stock at his suggestion.</p><p><blockquote>当被问及游戏驿站和AMC院线控股公司（AMC）等公司因股价飙升而出售数百万股股票时，伯里指出，不久前，游戏驿站还在他的建议下回购了数百万美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> He thinks companies should be selling stock—as long as they follow the laws.</p><p><blockquote>他认为公司应该出售股票——只要他们遵守法律。</blockquote></p><p> “This is a Godsend for these companies,” Burry added. “But just having cash on hand itself does not warrant high multiples from the market, as many, many listed companies can tell you.”</p><p><blockquote>“这对这些公司来说是天赐之物，”伯里补充道。“但正如很多很多上市公司可以告诉你的那样，仅仅手头有现金本身并不能保证市场的高市盈率。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/meme-stock-crash-coming-michael-burry-51625094355?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMC":"AMC院线",".DJI":"道琼斯","BB":"黑莓","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/meme-stock-crash-coming-michael-burry-51625094355?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135430392","content_text":"Long before retail investors on Reddit flooded online forums theorizing about GameStop, investor Michael Burry spotted an out-of-favor stock that was misunderstood. Now, Burry says he sees shades of 1999 and 2007—periods of other market frothiness.\n“I don’t know when meme stocks such as this will crash, but we probably do not have to wait too long, as I believe the retail crowd is fully invested in this theme, and Wall Street has jumped on the coattails,” Burry toldBarron’svia email. “We’re running out of new money available to jump on the bandwagon.”\nBurry, whose successful bet against the housing market ahead of the subprime mortgage collapse made him a prominent character in the book and movie “The Big Short,” believes that meme stocks are the latest Wall Street trend that could wind up hurting regular investors. He said that in 1999, everyone making money in dot-com stocks believed it would continue. In 2007, those making money “leveraged to the hilt in multiple homes” thought that would continue, too.\n“Momentum, social media are now part of the strategy for Wall Street, and they are in a better position than retail to participate, sniff out and start gamma squeezes in the options market,” Burry added,the latter part referring to heightened demand for shares driven by market makers rushing to hedge call options they sold—a phenomenon that likely juiced meme stock trading.\nBurry became a high-profile GameStop (ticker: GME) bull in the second half of 2019. He told Barron’s in August of that year that fears about disc-less consoles were overblown. He expected free cash flow to rebound when new consoles from Sony and Microsoft were released in 2020. On the now-viral RoaringKitty YouTube channel that predicted the GameStop squeeze potential,retail investor Keith Gill touted Burry’s bull thesis. Burry couldn’t have foreseen the pandemic and related console shortages, but his thesis was certainly playing out, as shares began to rebound in the second half of 2020.\n“For me though, if I get within years on a thesis coming true, I’m happy,” he says. “Most people are focused on days, weeks or months.”\nIn 2020, after Chewy co-founder Ryan Cohen revealed a 9% stake in the company and called for major changes, shares rallied back to double-digit territory. Burry sold what was left of his GameStop stake at a profit at some point during the fourth quarter of last year, according to regulatory filings.\nAsked about companies like GameStop and AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC) that have sold millions of shares into surging stock prices, Burry points out that is wasn’t that long ago that GameStop was buying back millions of dollars in stock at his suggestion.\nHe thinks companies should be selling stock—as long as they follow the laws.\n“This is a Godsend for these companies,” Burry added. “But just having cash on hand itself does not warrant high multiples from the market, as many, many listed companies can tell you.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"BB":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"WKHS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158369438,"gmtCreate":1625130100824,"gmtModify":1633944471469,"author":{"id":"3574398341122636","authorId":"3574398341122636","name":"KIMSANG","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574398341122636","idStr":"3574398341122636"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158369438","repostId":"1106223449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106223449","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625122086,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106223449?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 14:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106223449","media":"Barrons","summary":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 5","content":"<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%已有14次。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的上半年表现是自互联网泡沫以来第二好的。如果股市继续上涨，不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月接近尾声，标普500以14.4%的涨幅结束了2021年上半年。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>Covid-19疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济增长的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和美联储更加鹰派的结合引发了市场过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫以比市场预期更快的速度采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长放缓的速度可能快于投资者的预期，导致经济增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%的有14次，下半年该指数平均涨幅为6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年有11次（即79%的时间）走高。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失，当它们发生时，也没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一个例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，当时标普500在一天内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，在2021年表现温和，最大跌幅不到4%。Instinet首席市场技术员Frank Cappelleri写道：“[标普500]在2021年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点回升，始终保持上升趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年6.3%的平均涨幅将使标普500的全年涨幅达到23%左右。Fundstrat的汤姆·李(Tom Lee)表示，这将代表着经济衰退中的“教科书式[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少就目前而言，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 14:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%已有14次。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的上半年表现是自互联网泡沫以来第二好的。如果股市继续上涨，不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月接近尾声，标普500以14.4%的涨幅结束了2021年上半年。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>Covid-19疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济增长的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和美联储更加鹰派的结合引发了市场过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫以比市场预期更快的速度采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长放缓的速度可能快于投资者的预期，导致经济增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%的有14次，下半年该指数平均涨幅为6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年有11次（即79%的时间）走高。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失，当它们发生时，也没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一个例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，当时标普500在一天内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，在2021年表现温和，最大跌幅不到4%。Instinet首席市场技术员Frank Cappelleri写道：“[标普500]在2021年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点回升，始终保持上升趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年6.3%的平均涨幅将使标普500的全年涨幅达到23%左右。Fundstrat的汤姆·李(Tom Lee)表示，这将代表着经济衰退中的“教科书式[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少就目前而言，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106223449","content_text":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.\nWith June coming to an end, the S&P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.\nThe market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.\nThe combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.\nFor those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.\nSince 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.\nEven the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.\nThe one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called portfolio insurance was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.\nStill, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.\nThat 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.\nFor now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}