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- WinstoneDayzWinstoneDayz
  ·2021-08-13
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- WinstoneDayzWinstoneDayz
  ·2021-07-15
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- WinstoneDayzWinstoneDayz
  ·2021-02-22
  Ofc Buffet is going senile. He abandoned playing during the bull period. He's dieing.
  Warren Buffett’s Letter to Shareholders Is Coming. What Investors Want to See.<blockquote>沃伦-巴菲特致股东的信即将到来。投资者想看到的。</blockquote>
  As Warren Buffett prepares to put the finishing touches on his eagerly awaited annual letter toBerks
  Warren Buffett’s Letter to Shareholders Is Coming. What Investors Want to See.<blockquote>沃伦-巴菲特致股东的信即将到来。投资者想看到的。</blockquote>
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Buffet is going senile. He abandoned playing during the bull period. He's dieing.&nbsp;","listText":"Ofc Buffet is going senile. He abandoned playing during the bull period. He's dieing.&nbsp;","text":"Ofc Buffet is going senile. He abandoned playing during the bull period. He's dieing.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369045697","repostId":"1171414372","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171414372","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613964674,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171414372?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-22 11:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett’s Letter to Shareholders Is Coming. What Investors Want to See.<blockquote>沃伦-巴菲特致股东的信即将到来。投资者想看到的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171414372","media":"Barrons","summary":"As Warren Buffett prepares to put the finishing touches on his eagerly awaited annual letter toBerks","content":"<p>As Warren Buffett prepares to put the finishing touches on his eagerly awaited annual letter toBerkshire Hathawayshare&nbsp;holders, the CEO has much to address.</p><p><blockquote>当沃伦·巴菲特准备对他期待已久的致伯克希尔哈撒韦公司股东的年度信函进行最后的润色时，这位首席执行官有很多事情要解决。</blockquote></p><p>They include the&nbsp;underperformance of Berkshire(ticker: BRK.A and BRK.B) shares over the past one, five, and 10 years, Buffett’s cautious approach to new investments, and the spotty record of Berkshire’s acquisitions over the past decade.</p><p><blockquote>其中包括伯克希尔（股票代码：BRK.A 和 BRK.B）股票在过去一年、五年和十年中的表现不佳，巴菲特对新投资的谨慎态度，以及伯克希尔在过去十年中的收购记录参差不齐。</blockquote></p><p>Yet that letter—due out on Feb. 27, along with the annual report and fourth-quarter earnings—can help write Berkshire’s next chapter. All it would need is an announcement of the initiation of a dividend.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这封信--将于 2 月 27 日与年度报告和第四季度收益一起发出--可以帮助伯克希尔谱写下一个篇章。它所需要的只是宣布开始派息。</blockquote></p><p>A dividend of 2% would be a good start, representing about 40% of projected 2021 earnings. It would probably lift the stock by broadening the base of potential investors to those who want or need dividends.</p><p><blockquote>2% 的股息将是一个良好的开端，约占 2021 年预计收益的 40%。它可能会通过将潜在投资者的基础扩大到那些想要或需要股息的人来提振该股。</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire has stepped up its share repurchases, buying back $15.7 billion of stock in the first three quarters of 2020, or about 3% of the shares outstanding. But with $146 billion in cash and projected earnings this year of $25 billion, it has the ability to pay a dividend as well as to buy back stock.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔加大了股票回购力度，在 2020 年前三个季度回购了 157 亿美元的股票，约占流通股的 3%。但该公司拥有 1,460 亿美元现金，预计今年盈利为 250 亿美元，有能力支付股息并回购股票。</blockquote></p><p>“Berkshire should pay a dividend; this would increase the appeal of the shares to investors who want current income,” says David King, co-manager of the Columbia Flexible Capital Income fund. “Given Berkshire’s size and financial strength, the company is unique in paying no dividend and that should be changed.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚灵活资本收益基金（Columbia Flexible Capital Income fund）联席经理大卫-金（David King）说：”伯克希尔应该支付股息；这将增加股票对想要当前收入的投资者的吸引力。“鉴于伯克希尔的规模和财务实力，该公司在不支付股息方面是独一无二的，这种情况应该改变。”</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/014471f5dbd6554ccdd4f23756e41a51\" tg-width=\"963\" tg-height=\"627\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Berkshire hasn’t paid a dividend for over 50 years. Why? Buffett’s view has been that a dollar in his hands is better than one in the hands of shareholders. That was long the case as Buffett worked his investment and acquisition magic, but it has been less true in recent years. Buffett declined to comment for this article.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔已经 50 多年没有派息了。为什么？巴菲特的观点是，他手中的一美元比股东手中的一美元要好。长期以来，巴菲特一直在施展他的投资和收购魔法，但近年来情况就不那么真实了。巴菲特拒绝对本文发表评论。</blockquote></p><p>In his 2012 annual letter, the CEO addressed the dividend issue, arguing that the better, and more tax-efficient, approach would be for investors who want income to sell a small portion of their Berkshire stock each year.</p><p><blockquote>在 2012 年的年度信中，这位首席执行官谈到了股息问题，认为更好、更节税的方法是针对那些希望获得收入的投资者，每年出售一小部分伯克希尔股票。</blockquote></p><p>“First, dividends impose a specific cash-out policy upon all shareholders. If, say, 40% of earnings is the policy, those who wish 30% or 50% will be thwarted,” Buffett wrote. “Our 600,000 shareholders cover the waterfront in their desires for cash. It is safe to say, however, that a great many of them—perhaps even most of them—are in a net-savings mode and logically should prefer no payment at all.”</p><p><blockquote>“首先，股息对所有股东施加了特定的套现政策。比如说，如果政策是40%的收益，那么那些希望30%或50%的人就会受挫，”巴菲特写道。“我们的 60 万股东对现金的渴望达到了极致。不过，可以肯定地说，他们中的许多人--甚至可能是大多数人--都处于净储蓄模式，从逻辑上讲，他们应该更愿意根本不付款。”</blockquote></p><p>In 2014, Berkshire holder&nbsp;soverwhelmingly rejected a proxy proposalon dividends.</p><p><blockquote>2014 年，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司股东以压倒性多数拒绝了代理股息提议。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d68e1f8f07f62b85a646a858fee9196c\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"571\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Yet Berkshire’s cash has more than doubled since then, notes Edward Jones analyst James Shanahan, who favors a dividend. “A dividend is a good idea if only because the cash balance has grown so much,” he says, adding that significant repurchases at Berkshire are more difficult than at other big companies because there is less liquidity in its stock.</p><p><blockquote>然而，爱德华-琼斯（Edward Jones）分析师詹姆斯-沙纳汉（James Shanahan）指出，自那以后，伯克希尔的现金增加了一倍多，他赞成分红。“他说：”分红是个好主意，如果只是因为现金余额增长了这么多的话。他还补充说，伯克希尔的大幅回购比其他大公司更困难，因为伯克希尔股票的流动性较低。</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire’s class A shares have lagged behind theS&amp;P 500 indexby 40 percentage points since the end of 2018. They now look appealing at around $368,000, less than 1.3 times estimated year-end 2020 book value of around $287,000 and about 23 times projected 2021 earnings. Its class B shares trade around $243.</p><p><blockquote>自 2018 年底以来，伯克希尔的 A 类股落后于标准普尔 500 指数 40 个百分点。它们现在看起来很有吸引力，约为 368,000 美元，不到 2020 年底估计账面价值（约 287,000 美元）的 1.3 倍，约为 2021 年预计收益的 23 倍。其 B 类股交易价格约为 243 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire has traded at closer to 1.4 times book value in the past five years, and earnings are set to climb in 2021, thanks to businesses with exposure to an improving economy, like the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad.</p><p><blockquote>过去五年，伯克希尔的交易价格接近账面价值的 1.4 倍，由于伯灵顿北圣达菲铁路等经济好转的企业，2021 年的盈利将攀升。</blockquote></p><p>Still, the past decade has been one of missed opportunities for Buffett—with the stake inApple(AAPL) the notable exception.While the recently disclosed big purchasesinVerizon Communications(VZ) andChevron(CVX) made waves, Berkshire was likely a net seller of about $9 billion of stocks last year. The company also failed to capitalize on the market turmoil and make any big acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，过去十年对巴菲特来说仍然是错失的机会之一——持有苹果公司 (AAPL) 的股份是一个明显的例外。尽管最近披露的 Inverizon Communications (VZ) 和雪佛龙 (CVX) 的大额收购引起了轩然大波，但伯克希尔去年可能净卖出了约 90 亿美元的股票。该公司也未能利用市场动荡进行任何重大收购。</blockquote></p><p>So what else might Berkshire shareholders hope to see in the annual letter? More disclosure would help. It’s hard to know exactly how well Precision Castparts and other major Berkshire businesses are doing because the company doesn’t break out their results.</p><p><blockquote>那么，伯克希尔股东还希望在年度信中看到什么呢？更多的披露会有所帮助。由于伯克希尔公司没有公布业绩，因此很难确切知道 Precision Castparts 和其他主要业务的表现如何。</blockquote></p><p>There is also the question of succession, with Buffett turning 90 last August. Buffett could give up the CEO job to Berkshire’s vice chairman, Greg Abel, while remaining chairman and continuing to oversee Berkshire’s investment portfolio, including $270 billion of stocks.</p><p><blockquote>还有继承问题，巴菲特去年8月年满90岁。巴菲特可能会将首席执行官一职让给伯克希尔副董事长格雷格-阿贝尔（Greg Abel），同时继续担任董事长，并继续监管伯克希尔的投资组合，包括价值 2700 亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire hasn’t named an heir apparent to Buffett, but it’s widely assumed to be Abel, 58, who oversees Berkshire’s vast noninsurance operations, including Burlington Northern.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔尚未指定巴菲特的法定继承人，但人们普遍认为他是 58 岁的阿贝尔，他负责监管伯克希尔庞大的非保险业务，包括伯灵顿北方保险公司。</blockquote></p><p>That would give Abel important experience while Buffett is still on the scene, allowing Abel to take new steps, like potentially holding Berkshire’s first investor day.</p><p><blockquote>这将在巴菲特还在现场的时候为阿贝尔提供重要的经验，让阿贝尔采取新的措施，比如有可能举办伯克希尔的第一个投资者日。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>And whether it is Abel or someone else, a dividend would take pressure off Buffett’s successor to reinvest Berkshire’s earnings torrent and align the conglomerate with most other giant companies.</p><p><blockquote>无论是阿贝尔还是其他人，分红都将减轻巴菲特的继任者对伯克希尔的盈利进行再投资的压力，并使伯克希尔集团与大多数其他大公司保持一致。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett’s Letter to Shareholders Is Coming. What Investors Want to See.<blockquote>沃伦-巴菲特致股东的信即将到来。投资者想看到的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett’s Letter to Shareholders Is Coming. What Investors Want to See.<blockquote>沃伦-巴菲特致股东的信即将到来。投资者想看到的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-22 11:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As Warren Buffett prepares to put the finishing touches on his eagerly awaited annual letter toBerkshire Hathawayshare&nbsp;holders, the CEO has much to address.</p><p><blockquote>当沃伦·巴菲特准备对他期待已久的致伯克希尔哈撒韦公司股东的年度信函进行最后的润色时，这位首席执行官有很多事情要解决。</blockquote></p><p>They include the&nbsp;underperformance of Berkshire(ticker: BRK.A and BRK.B) shares over the past one, five, and 10 years, Buffett’s cautious approach to new investments, and the spotty record of Berkshire’s acquisitions over the past decade.</p><p><blockquote>其中包括伯克希尔（股票代码：BRK.A 和 BRK.B）股票在过去一年、五年和十年中的表现不佳，巴菲特对新投资的谨慎态度，以及伯克希尔在过去十年中的收购记录参差不齐。</blockquote></p><p>Yet that letter—due out on Feb. 27, along with the annual report and fourth-quarter earnings—can help write Berkshire’s next chapter. All it would need is an announcement of the initiation of a dividend.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这封信--将于 2 月 27 日与年度报告和第四季度收益一起发出--可以帮助伯克希尔谱写下一个篇章。它所需要的只是宣布开始派息。</blockquote></p><p>A dividend of 2% would be a good start, representing about 40% of projected 2021 earnings. It would probably lift the stock by broadening the base of potential investors to those who want or need dividends.</p><p><blockquote>2% 的股息将是一个良好的开端，约占 2021 年预计收益的 40%。它可能会通过将潜在投资者的基础扩大到那些想要或需要股息的人来提振该股。</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire has stepped up its share repurchases, buying back $15.7 billion of stock in the first three quarters of 2020, or about 3% of the shares outstanding. But with $146 billion in cash and projected earnings this year of $25 billion, it has the ability to pay a dividend as well as to buy back stock.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔加大了股票回购力度，在 2020 年前三个季度回购了 157 亿美元的股票，约占流通股的 3%。但该公司拥有 1,460 亿美元现金，预计今年盈利为 250 亿美元，有能力支付股息并回购股票。</blockquote></p><p>“Berkshire should pay a dividend; this would increase the appeal of the shares to investors who want current income,” says David King, co-manager of the Columbia Flexible Capital Income fund. “Given Berkshire’s size and financial strength, the company is unique in paying no dividend and that should be changed.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚灵活资本收益基金（Columbia Flexible Capital Income fund）联席经理大卫-金（David King）说：”伯克希尔应该支付股息；这将增加股票对想要当前收入的投资者的吸引力。“鉴于伯克希尔的规模和财务实力，该公司在不支付股息方面是独一无二的，这种情况应该改变。”</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/014471f5dbd6554ccdd4f23756e41a51\" tg-width=\"963\" tg-height=\"627\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Berkshire hasn’t paid a dividend for over 50 years. Why? Buffett’s view has been that a dollar in his hands is better than one in the hands of shareholders. That was long the case as Buffett worked his investment and acquisition magic, but it has been less true in recent years. Buffett declined to comment for this article.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔已经 50 多年没有派息了。为什么？巴菲特的观点是，他手中的一美元比股东手中的一美元要好。长期以来，巴菲特一直在施展他的投资和收购魔法，但近年来情况就不那么真实了。巴菲特拒绝对本文发表评论。</blockquote></p><p>In his 2012 annual letter, the CEO addressed the dividend issue, arguing that the better, and more tax-efficient, approach would be for investors who want income to sell a small portion of their Berkshire stock each year.</p><p><blockquote>在 2012 年的年度信中，这位首席执行官谈到了股息问题，认为更好、更节税的方法是针对那些希望获得收入的投资者，每年出售一小部分伯克希尔股票。</blockquote></p><p>“First, dividends impose a specific cash-out policy upon all shareholders. If, say, 40% of earnings is the policy, those who wish 30% or 50% will be thwarted,” Buffett wrote. “Our 600,000 shareholders cover the waterfront in their desires for cash. It is safe to say, however, that a great many of them—perhaps even most of them—are in a net-savings mode and logically should prefer no payment at all.”</p><p><blockquote>“首先，股息对所有股东施加了特定的套现政策。比如说，如果政策是40%的收益，那么那些希望30%或50%的人就会受挫，”巴菲特写道。“我们的 60 万股东对现金的渴望达到了极致。不过，可以肯定地说，他们中的许多人--甚至可能是大多数人--都处于净储蓄模式，从逻辑上讲，他们应该更愿意根本不付款。”</blockquote></p><p>In 2014, Berkshire holder&nbsp;soverwhelmingly rejected a proxy proposalon dividends.</p><p><blockquote>2014 年，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司股东以压倒性多数拒绝了代理股息提议。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d68e1f8f07f62b85a646a858fee9196c\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"571\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Yet Berkshire’s cash has more than doubled since then, notes Edward Jones analyst James Shanahan, who favors a dividend. “A dividend is a good idea if only because the cash balance has grown so much,” he says, adding that significant repurchases at Berkshire are more difficult than at other big companies because there is less liquidity in its stock.</p><p><blockquote>然而，爱德华-琼斯（Edward Jones）分析师詹姆斯-沙纳汉（James Shanahan）指出，自那以后，伯克希尔的现金增加了一倍多，他赞成分红。“他说：”分红是个好主意，如果只是因为现金余额增长了这么多的话。他还补充说，伯克希尔的大幅回购比其他大公司更困难，因为伯克希尔股票的流动性较低。</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire’s class A shares have lagged behind theS&amp;P 500 indexby 40 percentage points since the end of 2018. They now look appealing at around $368,000, less than 1.3 times estimated year-end 2020 book value of around $287,000 and about 23 times projected 2021 earnings. Its class B shares trade around $243.</p><p><blockquote>自 2018 年底以来，伯克希尔的 A 类股落后于标准普尔 500 指数 40 个百分点。它们现在看起来很有吸引力，约为 368,000 美元，不到 2020 年底估计账面价值（约 287,000 美元）的 1.3 倍，约为 2021 年预计收益的 23 倍。其 B 类股交易价格约为 243 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire has traded at closer to 1.4 times book value in the past five years, and earnings are set to climb in 2021, thanks to businesses with exposure to an improving economy, like the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad.</p><p><blockquote>过去五年，伯克希尔的交易价格接近账面价值的 1.4 倍，由于伯灵顿北圣达菲铁路等经济好转的企业，2021 年的盈利将攀升。</blockquote></p><p>Still, the past decade has been one of missed opportunities for Buffett—with the stake inApple(AAPL) the notable exception.While the recently disclosed big purchasesinVerizon Communications(VZ) andChevron(CVX) made waves, Berkshire was likely a net seller of about $9 billion of stocks last year. The company also failed to capitalize on the market turmoil and make any big acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，过去十年对巴菲特来说仍然是错失的机会之一——持有苹果公司 (AAPL) 的股份是一个明显的例外。尽管最近披露的 Inverizon Communications (VZ) 和雪佛龙 (CVX) 的大额收购引起了轩然大波，但伯克希尔去年可能净卖出了约 90 亿美元的股票。该公司也未能利用市场动荡进行任何重大收购。</blockquote></p><p>So what else might Berkshire shareholders hope to see in the annual letter? More disclosure would help. It’s hard to know exactly how well Precision Castparts and other major Berkshire businesses are doing because the company doesn’t break out their results.</p><p><blockquote>那么，伯克希尔股东还希望在年度信中看到什么呢？更多的披露会有所帮助。由于伯克希尔公司没有公布业绩，因此很难确切知道 Precision Castparts 和其他主要业务的表现如何。</blockquote></p><p>There is also the question of succession, with Buffett turning 90 last August. Buffett could give up the CEO job to Berkshire’s vice chairman, Greg Abel, while remaining chairman and continuing to oversee Berkshire’s investment portfolio, including $270 billion of stocks.</p><p><blockquote>还有继承问题，巴菲特去年8月年满90岁。巴菲特可能会将首席执行官一职让给伯克希尔副董事长格雷格-阿贝尔（Greg Abel），同时继续担任董事长，并继续监管伯克希尔的投资组合，包括价值 2700 亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p>Berkshire hasn’t named an heir apparent to Buffett, but it’s widely assumed to be Abel, 58, who oversees Berkshire’s vast noninsurance operations, including Burlington Northern.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔尚未指定巴菲特的法定继承人，但人们普遍认为他是 58 岁的阿贝尔，他负责监管伯克希尔庞大的非保险业务，包括伯灵顿北方保险公司。</blockquote></p><p>That would give Abel important experience while Buffett is still on the scene, allowing Abel to take new steps, like potentially holding Berkshire’s first investor day.</p><p><blockquote>这将在巴菲特还在现场的时候为阿贝尔提供重要的经验，让阿贝尔采取新的措施，比如有可能举办伯克希尔的第一个投资者日。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>And whether it is Abel or someone else, a dividend would take pressure off Buffett’s successor to reinvest Berkshire’s earnings torrent and align the conglomerate with most other giant companies.</p><p><blockquote>无论是阿贝尔还是其他人，分红都将减轻巴菲特的继任者对伯克希尔的盈利进行再投资的压力，并使伯克希尔集团与大多数其他大公司保持一致。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/how-warren-buffetts-berkshire-hathaway-shareholder-letter-could-lift-the-companys-stock-51613778470?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/how-warren-buffetts-berkshire-hathaway-shareholder-letter-could-lift-the-companys-stock-51613778470?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171414372","content_text":"As Warren Buffett prepares to put the finishing touches on his eagerly awaited annual letter toBerkshire Hathawayshare holders, the CEO has much to address.They include the underperformance of Berkshire(ticker: BRK.A and BRK.B) shares over the past one, five, and 10 years, Buffett’s cautious approach to new investments, and the spotty record of Berkshire’s acquisitions over the past decade.Yet that letter—due out on Feb. 27, along with the annual report and fourth-quarter earnings—can help write Berkshire’s next chapter. All it would need is an announcement of the initiation of a dividend.A dividend of 2% would be a good start, representing about 40% of projected 2021 earnings. It would probably lift the stock by broadening the base of potential investors to those who want or need dividends.Berkshire has stepped up its share repurchases, buying back $15.7 billion of stock in the first three quarters of 2020, or about 3% of the shares outstanding. But with $146 billion in cash and projected earnings this year of $25 billion, it has the ability to pay a dividend as well as to buy back stock.“Berkshire should pay a dividend; this would increase the appeal of the shares to investors who want current income,” says David King, co-manager of the Columbia Flexible Capital Income fund. “Given Berkshire’s size and financial strength, the company is unique in paying no dividend and that should be changed.”Berkshire hasn’t paid a dividend for over 50 years. Why? Buffett’s view has been that a dollar in his hands is better than one in the hands of shareholders. That was long the case as Buffett worked his investment and acquisition magic, but it has been less true in recent years. Buffett declined to comment for this article.In his 2012 annual letter, the CEO addressed the dividend issue, arguing that the better, and more tax-efficient, approach would be for investors who want income to sell a small portion of their Berkshire stock each year.“First, dividends impose a specific cash-out policy upon all shareholders. If, say, 40% of earnings is the policy, those who wish 30% or 50% will be thwarted,” Buffett wrote. “Our 600,000 shareholders cover the waterfront in their desires for cash. It is safe to say, however, that a great many of them—perhaps even most of them—are in a net-savings mode and logically should prefer no payment at all.”In 2014, Berkshire holder soverwhelmingly rejected a proxy proposalon dividends.Yet Berkshire’s cash has more than doubled since then, notes Edward Jones analyst James Shanahan, who favors a dividend. “A dividend is a good idea if only because the cash balance has grown so much,” he says, adding that significant repurchases at Berkshire are more difficult than at other big companies because there is less liquidity in its stock.Berkshire’s class A shares have lagged behind theS&P 500 indexby 40 percentage points since the end of 2018. They now look appealing at around $368,000, less than 1.3 times estimated year-end 2020 book value of around $287,000 and about 23 times projected 2021 earnings. Its class B shares trade around $243.Berkshire has traded at closer to 1.4 times book value in the past five years, and earnings are set to climb in 2021, thanks to businesses with exposure to an improving economy, like the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad.Still, the past decade has been one of missed opportunities for Buffett—with the stake inApple(AAPL) the notable exception.While the recently disclosed big purchasesinVerizon Communications(VZ) andChevron(CVX) made waves, Berkshire was likely a net seller of about $9 billion of stocks last year. The company also failed to capitalize on the market turmoil and make any big acquisitions.So what else might Berkshire shareholders hope to see in the annual letter? More disclosure would help. It’s hard to know exactly how well Precision Castparts and other major Berkshire businesses are doing because the company doesn’t break out their results.There is also the question of succession, with Buffett turning 90 last August. Buffett could give up the CEO job to Berkshire’s vice chairman, Greg Abel, while remaining chairman and continuing to oversee Berkshire’s investment portfolio, including $270 billion of stocks.Berkshire hasn’t named an heir apparent to Buffett, but it’s widely assumed to be Abel, 58, who oversees Berkshire’s vast noninsurance operations, including Burlington Northern.That would give Abel important experience while Buffett is still on the scene, allowing Abel to take new steps, like potentially holding Berkshire’s first investor day.And whether it is Abel or someone else, a dividend would take pressure off Buffett’s successor to reinvest Berkshire’s earnings torrent and align the conglomerate with most other giant companies.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.A":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}