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- 文氏文氏
  ·2021-05-14
  Stuck
  The Last Two Times This Hit, Stocks Dropped 20% and 50%, Respectively
  In our last article, I outlined how the rise in inflation has slammed Tech stocks lower. By way of a
  The Last Two Times This Hit, Stocks Dropped 20% and 50%, Respectively
  1,400 评论
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- 文氏文氏
  ·2021-05-14
  Informative read
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,233 评论
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- 文氏文氏
  ·2021-05-12
  Red.....
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- 文氏文氏
  ·2021-05-11
  [流泪]
  Should We Fear, Inflation Is Here
  It’s becoming hard to ignore inflationary pressures, whether one is a central banker or not. Tech in
  Should We Fear, Inflation Is Here
  1,700 评论
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- 文氏文氏
  ·2021-05-11
  Oh mannnn..worrying
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,693 评论
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- 文氏文氏
  ·2021-05-05
  Not surprising
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,489 评论
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- 文氏文氏
  ·2021-05-05
  Omg
  "It Could Get Weird": Stocks Puke As "Extreme" Negative Gamma Strikes
  Just like late February when we had the firstinflation scare-cum-Treasury tantrum,Tech is breaking d
  "It Could Get Weird": Stocks Puke As "Extreme" Negative Gamma Strikes
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- 文氏文氏
  ·2021-05-04
  I'm not so sure
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- 文氏文氏
  ·2021-05-04
  Covid was no where near over but people forgot that ..
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- 文氏文氏
  ·2021-05-04
  Ahhh..
  Opinion: Why you should worry about the flood of new cash into U.S. stock funds
  With investments, popular is not better.U.S. stock funds now are riding a river of new cash from inv
  Opinion: Why you should worry about the flood of new cash into U.S. stock funds
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And if bond yields rise as a result of inflation, bonds become more attractive as an investment, taking away from the appeal of Tech.</p>\n<p>As I noted yesterday. as inflation entered the financial system in 2020 and began to accelerate in 2021, Tech stocks have struggled. You can see this in the chart below (red rectangle).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6366a605a86374ef9af9de07ae828fd4\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"606\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">So, we know that Tech is going to struggle going forward as inflation heats up. But what about the broader market like the S&amp;P 500? Will it collapse too?</p>\n<p>To figure that out, let’s take a look at the last two inflationary scares in the U.S.</p>\n<p>The most recent scare occurred in 2010-2011. At that time, the Fed was pretty quick on the uptake and decided to allow its QE 2 program (the cause of the inflationary spike) to end.</p>\n<p>The Fed then waited several months before introducing any new monetary programs. And when it did introduce one, it didn’t involve money printing (instead the Fed used the proceeds from Treasury sales to buy long-date Treasuries through a process called Operation Twist). This was a kind of stealth tightening.</p>\n<p>Stocks didn’t like this, collapsing nearly 20%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fdf95bc30276d330c4bd7a5f62b10d2\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"376\"></p>\n<p>Bear in mind, that was a relatively minor inflationary scare. During the last legitimate inflationary storm in the 1970s-1980s.</p>\n<p>During that mess, the Fed was forced to be MUCH more aggressive with its tightening, embarking on two aggressive tightening schedules. It’s worth noting that this triggered two SEVERE recessions (shaded areas).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f6ed1ada17beb2066d0017b576e64cc\" tg-width=\"1168\" tg-height=\"450\"></p>\n<p>This IMPLODED the stock market, resulting in a roughly 50% decline over the course of 18 months.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b38c35b81a872044b03ce49014d5e46\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"376\"></p>\n<p>So, what will it be this time? Will the Fed engage in a stealth taper as was the case in 2011… or will it tighten monetary policy aggressively as it did in the 1970s and 1980s?</p>\n<p>We’ll address that in our next article.</p>\n<p>in the meantime, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation&nbsp;<b>pay you</b>&nbsp;as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.</p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Last Two Times This Hit, Stocks Dropped 20% and 50%, Respectively</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Last Two Times This Hit, Stocks Dropped 20% and 50%, Respectively\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-13 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2021-05-13/last-two-times-hit-stocks-dropped-20-and-50-respectively><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In our last article, I outlined how the rise in inflation has slammed Tech stocks lower.\nBy way of a quick review, Tech, as represented by the NASDAQ is highly sensitive to inflation on an inverse ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2021-05-13/last-two-times-hit-stocks-dropped-20-and-50-respectively\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2021-05-13/last-two-times-hit-stocks-dropped-20-and-50-respectively","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196862271","content_text":"In our last article, I outlined how the rise in inflation has slammed Tech stocks lower.\nBy way of a quick review, Tech, as represented by the NASDAQ is highly sensitive to inflation on an inverse relationship: when inflation rises, Tech stocks collapse and when inflation falls, Tech stocks erupt higher.\nThe reason for this is that much of Tech investing is based on growth rates. And if bond yields rise as a result of inflation, bonds become more attractive as an investment, taking away from the appeal of Tech.\nAs I noted yesterday. as inflation entered the financial system in 2020 and began to accelerate in 2021, Tech stocks have struggled. You can see this in the chart below (red rectangle).\nSo, we know that Tech is going to struggle going forward as inflation heats up. But what about the broader market like the S&P 500? Will it collapse too?\nTo figure that out, let’s take a look at the last two inflationary scares in the U.S.\nThe most recent scare occurred in 2010-2011. At that time, the Fed was pretty quick on the uptake and decided to allow its QE 2 program (the cause of the inflationary spike) to end.\nThe Fed then waited several months before introducing any new monetary programs. And when it did introduce one, it didn’t involve money printing (instead the Fed used the proceeds from Treasury sales to buy long-date Treasuries through a process called Operation Twist). This was a kind of stealth tightening.\nStocks didn’t like this, collapsing nearly 20%.\n\nBear in mind, that was a relatively minor inflationary scare. During the last legitimate inflationary storm in the 1970s-1980s.\nDuring that mess, the Fed was forced to be MUCH more aggressive with its tightening, embarking on two aggressive tightening schedules. It’s worth noting that this triggered two SEVERE recessions (shaded areas).\n\nThis IMPLODED the stock market, resulting in a roughly 50% decline over the course of 18 months.\nSo, what will it be this time? Will the Fed engage in a stealth taper as was the case in 2011… or will it tighten monetary policy aggressively as it did in the 1970s and 1980s?\nWe’ll address that in our next article.\nin the meantime, we just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1400,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198310782,"gmtCreate":1620925137746,"gmtModify":1634195230283,"author":{"id":"3576837088119232","authorId":"3576837088119232","name":"文氏","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13ab58f27225c31b03dde6b684f98f7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576837088119232","authorIdStr":"3576837088119232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Informative read","listText":"Informative read","text":"Informative read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198310782","repostId":"1116555518","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191915440,"gmtCreate":1620833123680,"gmtModify":1634195961583,"author":{"id":"3576837088119232","authorId":"3576837088119232","name":"文氏","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13ab58f27225c31b03dde6b684f98f7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576837088119232","authorIdStr":"3576837088119232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Red.....","listText":"Red.....","text":"Red.....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191915440","repostId":"1109603661","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193940199,"gmtCreate":1620747860711,"gmtModify":1634196609527,"author":{"id":"3576837088119232","authorId":"3576837088119232","name":"文氏","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13ab58f27225c31b03dde6b684f98f7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576837088119232","authorIdStr":"3576837088119232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193940199","repostId":"1171091038","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171091038","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620745886,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171091038?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-11 23:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should We Fear, Inflation Is Here","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171091038","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It’s becoming hard to ignore inflationary pressures, whether one is a central banker or not. Tech in","content":"<p>It’s becoming hard to ignore inflationary pressures, whether one is a central banker or not. Tech investors are taking notice with Monday’s Nasdaq 100 slump the largest since mid-March, while China’s producer prices&nbsp;accelerated&nbsp;overnight.&nbsp;VIX futures are higher with broad risk aversion setting up for European equities to catch up to the late downbeat U.S. session.</p>\n<p>At least investor jitters that rising inflation could lift bond yields, and sap equities’ appeal could take comfort from real yields. The 10-year U.S. inflation-adjusted benchmark tumbled to three-month lows, keeping nominal yields in check as breakevens&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;to multi-year highs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8047b97c104b947668ce19b34f7fd4a\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"716\"></p>\n<p>Financial conditions reached another&nbsp;record, while evidence of stocks’ rotation remains: S&amp;P 500 energy and financials advanced over the past 5 sessions, value is outperforming growth –- particularly in&nbsp;Europe&nbsp;-- and the RTY/NDX is well, steady –- much like 10-year nominal yields around 1.60%.</p>\n<p>U.S. labor market frictions look to be adding to inflation fears, with JOLTs data, a leading indicator of hiring, likely to signal workers’ growing pricing power. And the NFIB small business optimism will be watched today for supply side constraints –- last month, job openings that were “hard to fill” reached at least a four-decade high. Of course, labor market dislocations remain and a handful of Fed speakers today will no doubt look to assuage inflation fears and discount near-term tapering risks. Not like Bill&nbsp;Dudley.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98df6b5f32251d558127766afc21fad8\" tg-width=\"1257\" tg-height=\"710\"></p>\n<p>Whether the Fed falls too far behind the curve remains up for debate. Markets, on the other hand, aren’t as comfortable looking through transitory inflation as evidence builds and expectations climb -- that could become a self-fulfilling prophecy after all.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should We Fear, Inflation Is Here</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould We Fear, Inflation Is Here\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-11 23:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/should-we-fear-inflation-here><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s becoming hard to ignore inflationary pressures, whether one is a central banker or not. Tech investors are taking notice with Monday’s Nasdaq 100 slump the largest since mid-March, while China’s ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/should-we-fear-inflation-here\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/should-we-fear-inflation-here","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171091038","content_text":"It’s becoming hard to ignore inflationary pressures, whether one is a central banker or not. Tech investors are taking notice with Monday’s Nasdaq 100 slump the largest since mid-March, while China’s producer prices accelerated overnight. VIX futures are higher with broad risk aversion setting up for European equities to catch up to the late downbeat U.S. session.\nAt least investor jitters that rising inflation could lift bond yields, and sap equities’ appeal could take comfort from real yields. The 10-year U.S. inflation-adjusted benchmark tumbled to three-month lows, keeping nominal yields in check as breakevens jumped to multi-year highs.\n\nFinancial conditions reached another record, while evidence of stocks’ rotation remains: S&P 500 energy and financials advanced over the past 5 sessions, value is outperforming growth –- particularly in Europe -- and the RTY/NDX is well, steady –- much like 10-year nominal yields around 1.60%.\nU.S. labor market frictions look to be adding to inflation fears, with JOLTs data, a leading indicator of hiring, likely to signal workers’ growing pricing power. And the NFIB small business optimism will be watched today for supply side constraints –- last month, job openings that were “hard to fill” reached at least a four-decade high. Of course, labor market dislocations remain and a handful of Fed speakers today will no doubt look to assuage inflation fears and discount near-term tapering risks. Not like Bill Dudley.\n\nWhether the Fed falls too far behind the curve remains up for debate. Markets, on the other hand, aren’t as comfortable looking through transitory inflation as evidence builds and expectations climb -- that could become a self-fulfilling prophecy after all.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":193954396,"gmtCreate":1620747711515,"gmtModify":1634196610941,"author":{"id":"3576837088119232","authorId":"3576837088119232","name":"文氏","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13ab58f27225c31b03dde6b684f98f7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576837088119232","authorIdStr":"3576837088119232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh mannnn..worrying&nbsp;","listText":"Oh mannnn..worrying&nbsp;","text":"Oh mannnn..worrying","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193954396","repostId":"1185197052","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106713766,"gmtCreate":1620144803055,"gmtModify":1634207457329,"author":{"id":"3576837088119232","authorId":"3576837088119232","name":"文氏","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13ab58f27225c31b03dde6b684f98f7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576837088119232","authorIdStr":"3576837088119232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Not surprising","listText":"Not surprising","text":"Not surprising","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106713766","repostId":"1174922086","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106713370,"gmtCreate":1620144731590,"gmtModify":1634207457908,"author":{"id":"3576837088119232","authorId":"3576837088119232","name":"文氏","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13ab58f27225c31b03dde6b684f98f7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576837088119232","authorIdStr":"3576837088119232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Omg&nbsp;","listText":"Omg&nbsp;","text":"Omg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106713370","repostId":"1195636027","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195636027","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620137110,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195636027?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 22:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"It Could Get Weird\": Stocks Puke As \"Extreme\" Negative Gamma Strikes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195636027","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Just like late February when we had the firstinflation scare-cum-Treasury tantrum,Tech is breaking d","content":"<p>Just like late February when we had the first<i>inflation scare-cum-Treasury tantrum,</i>Tech is breaking down, and look no further than Amazon for the evidence.</p>\n<p>In just the three days since reporting blowout Q1 earnings which sent its stock to a new all time high, AMZN stock is down over 9% and is on the verge of a correction. Other FAAMGs, most notably Apple which had a just as impressive quarter, are not faring any better.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c89d66b1ced8ac68b5fb3ff40b54f134\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"240\"></p>\n<p>However, unlike late February when tech was monkeyhammered mostly as a result of sharply surging yields, this time there is the double whammy of deeply negative gamma.</p>\n<p>AsSpotGamma wrote overnight, \"both SPY &amp; QQQ remain in negative gamma territory which implies higher relative volatility.\"</p>\n<p>Nomura's resident x-asset expert, Chalie McElligott, picks on this and in a note this morning writes that while \"there is nothing exceedingly bulky or “whale-like” by itself\", there has<b>\"been a pick-up with broad Vol / Gamma selling from clients in recent weeks.\"</b>The details:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>This has show via standard overwriter flows in singles and index, but also to the systematic strangle-selling mentioned in the press last week (which looks like the odd-lottish flows in ratios that trade ~3-4x’s a week, while there too is a separate daily overwriter program in one month straddles for example)…<b>all of which has contributed to what has been a very “long gamma” dynamic for Dealers—and thus the “stuck” S&amp;P for about three weeks, pinging around the gravity of the big strikes at 4150-4200</b></li>\n <li>The %ile rank of the overall $Gamma magnitude across US Equities index has come-off after recent expirations (SPX / SPY consolidated now a middling 56.6%ile $Gamma / IWM 35.9%ile; EEM 37.4%ile); however,<b>Nasdaq / QQQ’s continue to be the epicenter for how broad index movement could get weird, with -$435.8mm $Gamma which is extremely negative at just 3.8%ile</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dbb4e73ce8bc66785a7aa43170b3dc3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"648\">Needless to say, negative QQQ gamma + tech selloff = explosive combination, and as McElligott summarizes, \"with this “extreme” negative $Gamma in QQQ,<b>we see Dealers increasingly moving into “short Gamma vs spot” territory as well</b>(Gamma “neutral line” at 339.36 vs spot 333.55); similarly, we currently see Dealers “short Gamma vs spot” too in both IWM (226.19 “neutral line” vs 224.79 spot) and EEM (54.29 “neutral line” vs spot 53.59)\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7be1b134edacd8fc5831a10f026c1d2\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"311\">Tech's inability to breakout higher has crippled sentiment, and as the Nomura quant concludes, following what had been a strong recovery in April for the Tech sector and “Secular Growth” (aided by the stabilization in USTs and relative “bull-flattening” off the extremes of the March Rates selloff / “bear-steepening”) \"our Nomura Sector Sentiment analysis shows that WoW, we have seen Tech sector sentiment collapse (again)--with an 85.1%ile score a week ago, but today printing down at 53.9%\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/938a77b986fc7fbbd0450254e29b7dce\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"277\">And as the tech revulsion spreads, dragging Nasdaq lower...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35406354f6f369f0aa382d819a26ea4e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"260\">... it is starting to hit broader indexesm such as the S&amp;P and Russell...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d50bd11171fa55adf45caf3cf0ab389\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"285\">... which just dipped below its 50dma.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b8200d703a1c2d305811eadd35af3c3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"227\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"It Could Get Weird\": Stocks Puke As \"Extreme\" Negative Gamma Strikes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"It Could Get Weird\": Stocks Puke As \"Extreme\" Negative Gamma Strikes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-04 22:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/it-could-get-weird-stocks-puke-extreme-negative-gamma-strikes?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Just like late February when we had the firstinflation scare-cum-Treasury tantrum,Tech is breaking down, and look no further than Amazon for the evidence.\nIn just the three days since reporting ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/it-could-get-weird-stocks-puke-extreme-negative-gamma-strikes?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/it-could-get-weird-stocks-puke-extreme-negative-gamma-strikes?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195636027","content_text":"Just like late February when we had the firstinflation scare-cum-Treasury tantrum,Tech is breaking down, and look no further than Amazon for the evidence.\nIn just the three days since reporting blowout Q1 earnings which sent its stock to a new all time high, AMZN stock is down over 9% and is on the verge of a correction. Other FAAMGs, most notably Apple which had a just as impressive quarter, are not faring any better.\n\nHowever, unlike late February when tech was monkeyhammered mostly as a result of sharply surging yields, this time there is the double whammy of deeply negative gamma.\nAsSpotGamma wrote overnight, \"both SPY & QQQ remain in negative gamma territory which implies higher relative volatility.\"\nNomura's resident x-asset expert, Chalie McElligott, picks on this and in a note this morning writes that while \"there is nothing exceedingly bulky or “whale-like” by itself\", there has\"been a pick-up with broad Vol / Gamma selling from clients in recent weeks.\"The details:\n\nThis has show via standard overwriter flows in singles and index, but also to the systematic strangle-selling mentioned in the press last week (which looks like the odd-lottish flows in ratios that trade ~3-4x’s a week, while there too is a separate daily overwriter program in one month straddles for example)…all of which has contributed to what has been a very “long gamma” dynamic for Dealers—and thus the “stuck” S&P for about three weeks, pinging around the gravity of the big strikes at 4150-4200\nThe %ile rank of the overall $Gamma magnitude across US Equities index has come-off after recent expirations (SPX / SPY consolidated now a middling 56.6%ile $Gamma / IWM 35.9%ile; EEM 37.4%ile); however,Nasdaq / QQQ’s continue to be the epicenter for how broad index movement could get weird, with -$435.8mm $Gamma which is extremely negative at just 3.8%ile\n\nNeedless to say, negative QQQ gamma + tech selloff = explosive combination, and as McElligott summarizes, \"with this “extreme” negative $Gamma in QQQ,we see Dealers increasingly moving into “short Gamma vs spot” territory as well(Gamma “neutral line” at 339.36 vs spot 333.55); similarly, we currently see Dealers “short Gamma vs spot” too in both IWM (226.19 “neutral line” vs 224.79 spot) and EEM (54.29 “neutral line” vs spot 53.59)\"\nTech's inability to breakout higher has crippled sentiment, and as the Nomura quant concludes, following what had been a strong recovery in April for the Tech sector and “Secular Growth” (aided by the stabilization in USTs and relative “bull-flattening” off the extremes of the March Rates selloff / “bear-steepening”) \"our Nomura Sector Sentiment analysis shows that WoW, we have seen Tech sector sentiment collapse (again)--with an 85.1%ile score a week ago, but today printing down at 53.9%\"\nAnd as the tech revulsion spreads, dragging Nasdaq lower...\n... it is starting to hit broader indexesm such as the S&P and Russell...\n... which just dipped below its 50dma.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106706972,"gmtCreate":1620142856796,"gmtModify":1634207477613,"author":{"id":"3576837088119232","authorId":"3576837088119232","name":"文氏","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13ab58f27225c31b03dde6b684f98f7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576837088119232","authorIdStr":"3576837088119232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I'm not so sure","listText":"I'm not so sure","text":"I'm not so sure","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106706972","repostId":"2132178325","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106708147,"gmtCreate":1620142797889,"gmtModify":1634207478322,"author":{"id":"3576837088119232","authorId":"3576837088119232","name":"文氏","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13ab58f27225c31b03dde6b684f98f7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576837088119232","authorIdStr":"3576837088119232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Covid was no where near over but people forgot that ..&nbsp;","listText":"Covid was no where near over but people forgot that ..&nbsp;","text":"Covid was no where near over but people forgot that ..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106708147","repostId":"1142616846","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106703402,"gmtCreate":1620142691606,"gmtModify":1634207479528,"author":{"id":"3576837088119232","authorId":"3576837088119232","name":"文氏","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13ab58f27225c31b03dde6b684f98f7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576837088119232","authorIdStr":"3576837088119232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ahhh..","listText":"Ahhh..","text":"Ahhh..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106703402","repostId":"1107772617","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107772617","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620139709,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107772617?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 22:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Why you should worry about the flood of new cash into U.S. stock funds","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107772617","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"With investments, popular is not better.U.S. stock funds now are riding a river of new cash from inv","content":"<blockquote><b>With investments, popular is not better.</b></blockquote><p>U.S. stock funds now are riding a river of new cash from investors — and that is not a bullish sign.</p><p>Many investors might see this differently — that a huge influx of cash is positive. In fact, fund flows are a contrarian indicator: the U.S. stock market in the past has performed better when there is a net outflow of cash.</p><p>The evidence is summarized in the chart below, which plots net inflows of cash to U.S. stock funds (both open-end and exchange-traded funds) by year over the past decade. Notice that in all but two of the years since 2010 there have been net outflows.</p><p><b>Reversal</b></p><p>Net flows into U.S. equity (open-endded funds and ETF), in billions</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c9c4ef1e3533acd3d248af32cdf728f\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"308\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>This 2010-2020 period was extremely strong for U.S. stocks. Yet over this time U.S. stock funds experienced a net outflow of $741 billion. (Data are from TrimTabs, a part of EPFR, a division of Informa Financial Intelligence.)</p><p>This year so far is seeing a major reversal of this longer-term trend. For the first four months of this year, according to TrimTabs, U.S. equity funds have received net inflows of $142.3 billion. If this pace were to continue for the full year, there would be $427 billion of net inflows in 2021 — retracing more than half the total outflow from 2010 through 2020.</p><p>One study that puts this huge year-to-date inflow in a bearish light appeared last December in the Review of Finance. Entitled “ETF Arbitrage, Non-Fundamental Demand, and Return Predictability,” the study was conducted by David Brown of the University of Arizona, Shaun William Davies of the University of Colorado Boulder and Matthew Ringgenberg of the University of Utah. The researchers found that, on average, the ETFs with the biggest outflows outperformed the ETFs with the biggest inflows for up to a year after these extreme flows.</p><p>Another academic study that reached a similar conclusion has been circulating since January. Entitled “Competition for Attention in the ETF Space,” the study was conducted by Itzhak Ben-David and Byungwook Kim of Ohio State University, Francesco Franzoni of the University of Lugano in Switzerland and Rabih Moussawi of Villanova University. The researchers focused on the specialized ETFs that are created to capitalize on investor fads and market trends, and which typically receive a big influx of cash soon after launch. They found that these ETFs over their first five years after launch lag the market on a risk-adjusted basis by 5% per year on average.</p><p>The tenuous relationship between performance and fund flows is evident also in the accompanying tables. The first lists the 10 ETFs with the best year-to-date returns. The second table lists the 10 ETFs with the largest net inflows. (Return data are from FactSet; flow data are from CFRA Research).</p><p>Notice that none of the funds in the first table appears in the second.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2e0354f1f5c9cfd5611c3f6e03c3cee\" tg-width=\"887\" tg-height=\"497\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5cd98cfa89435ba9ae4a0bfdedd3891\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"447\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Why you should worry about the flood of new cash into U.S. stock funds</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Why you should worry about the flood of new cash into U.S. stock funds\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-04 22:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-you-should-worry-about-the-flood-of-new-cash-into-u-s-stock-funds-11620102925?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With investments, popular is not better.U.S. stock funds now are riding a river of new cash from investors — and that is not a bullish sign.Many investors might see this differently — that a huge ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-you-should-worry-about-the-flood-of-new-cash-into-u-s-stock-funds-11620102925?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-you-should-worry-about-the-flood-of-new-cash-into-u-s-stock-funds-11620102925?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107772617","content_text":"With investments, popular is not better.U.S. stock funds now are riding a river of new cash from investors — and that is not a bullish sign.Many investors might see this differently — that a huge influx of cash is positive. In fact, fund flows are a contrarian indicator: the U.S. stock market in the past has performed better when there is a net outflow of cash.The evidence is summarized in the chart below, which plots net inflows of cash to U.S. stock funds (both open-end and exchange-traded funds) by year over the past decade. Notice that in all but two of the years since 2010 there have been net outflows.ReversalNet flows into U.S. equity (open-endded funds and ETF), in billionsThis 2010-2020 period was extremely strong for U.S. stocks. Yet over this time U.S. stock funds experienced a net outflow of $741 billion. (Data are from TrimTabs, a part of EPFR, a division of Informa Financial Intelligence.)This year so far is seeing a major reversal of this longer-term trend. For the first four months of this year, according to TrimTabs, U.S. equity funds have received net inflows of $142.3 billion. If this pace were to continue for the full year, there would be $427 billion of net inflows in 2021 — retracing more than half the total outflow from 2010 through 2020.One study that puts this huge year-to-date inflow in a bearish light appeared last December in the Review of Finance. Entitled “ETF Arbitrage, Non-Fundamental Demand, and Return Predictability,” the study was conducted by David Brown of the University of Arizona, Shaun William Davies of the University of Colorado Boulder and Matthew Ringgenberg of the University of Utah. The researchers found that, on average, the ETFs with the biggest outflows outperformed the ETFs with the biggest inflows for up to a year after these extreme flows.Another academic study that reached a similar conclusion has been circulating since January. Entitled “Competition for Attention in the ETF Space,” the study was conducted by Itzhak Ben-David and Byungwook Kim of Ohio State University, Francesco Franzoni of the University of Lugano in Switzerland and Rabih Moussawi of Villanova University. The researchers focused on the specialized ETFs that are created to capitalize on investor fads and market trends, and which typically receive a big influx of cash soon after launch. They found that these ETFs over their first five years after launch lag the market on a risk-adjusted basis by 5% per year on average.The tenuous relationship between performance and fund flows is evident also in the accompanying tables. The first lists the 10 ETFs with the best year-to-date returns. The second table lists the 10 ETFs with the largest net inflows. (Return data are from FactSet; flow data are from CFRA Research).Notice that none of the funds in the first table appears in the second.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}