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Wallstrat
Wallstrat
·
2021-08-26
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Microsoft Wins Blockchain Patent For Implementing Cross Chain Token Service<blockquote>微软获得实现跨链代币服务的区块链专利</blockquote>
What Happened: Multinational tech giant Microsoft Corporation has been awarded a patent for implemen
Microsoft Wins Blockchain Patent For Implementing Cross Chain Token Service<blockquote>微软获得实现跨链代币服务的区块链专利</blockquote>
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Wallstrat
Wallstrat
·
2021-08-25
wow
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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Wallstrat
Wallstrat
·
2021-08-21
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Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>
The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs. ISTOCKPHOTO In the rolling correcti
Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>
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Wallstrat
Wallstrat
·
2021-08-20
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Wallstrat
Wallstrat
·
2021-08-18
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Inflation Is Higher in the U.S. Than Elsewhere, but Don’t Panic<blockquote>美国的通货膨胀率高于其他地方，但不要惊慌</blockquote>
While prices in the eurozone appear to be rising more slowly, the difference isn’t best explained by
Inflation Is Higher in the U.S. Than Elsewhere, but Don’t Panic<blockquote>美国的通货膨胀率高于其他地方，但不要惊慌</blockquote>
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Wallstrat
Wallstrat
·
2021-08-16
wow
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Wallstrat
Wallstrat
·
2021-08-14
hi
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Wallstrat
Wallstrat
·
2021-08-12
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Wallstrat
Wallstrat
·
2021-08-11
hi
Bitcoin ETF Filing Flood Collides With Cooling Demand for Funds<blockquote>比特币ETF备案潮与资金需求降温相冲突</blockquote>
(Bloomberg) -- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler ignited a fresh wave of op
Bitcoin ETF Filing Flood Collides With Cooling Demand for Funds<blockquote>比特币ETF备案潮与资金需求降温相冲突</blockquote>
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Wallstrat
Wallstrat
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2021-08-10
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Each of these will correspond to a type of physical or digital asset and define a set of one or more attributes and control functions.</p><p><blockquote>计算机系统还可以向用户提供令牌模板。这些中的每一个都将对应于物理或数字资产的类型，并定义一组一个或多个属性和控制功能。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b> Essentially, the ledger independent token service will act as the common interface for transacting with all tokens across all distributed ledger networks and platforms created through the service.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>本质上，分类账独立令牌服务将充当通用接口，用于在通过该服务创建的所有分布式分类账网络和平台上与所有令牌进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> It will also serve as a mechanism for standardizing the tokenization of physical and digital assets.</p><p><blockquote>它还将作为标准化实物和数字资产代币化的机制。</blockquote></p><p> “With the foregoing features, the ledger-independent token service can empower individuals and organizations to build applications and business logic involving tokens more easily and efficiently than before,” stated the filing.</p><p><blockquote>文件称：“凭借上述功能，独立于账本的令牌服务可以使个人和组织能够比以前更轻松、更高效地构建涉及令牌的应用程序和业务逻辑。”</blockquote></p><p> Blockchain interoperability is the need of the hour in the crypto space and a number of crypto projects are actively involved in building solutions on this front.</p><p><blockquote>区块链互操作性是加密领域的当务之急，许多加密项目正在积极参与构建这方面的解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Else:</b> Decentralized oracle network <b>Chainlink</b> (CRYPTO: LINK) recently announced a Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP).</p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么：</b>分散式oracle网络<b>链环</b>（CRYPTO：LINK）最近宣布了一项跨链互操作性协议（CCIP）。</blockquote></p><p> Chainlink Founder Sergey Nazarovdescribedthe protocol as one that solves the security issues of existing bridges through the proper use of cryptographic primitives.</p><p><blockquote>Chainlink创始人Sergey Nazarov将该协议描述为通过正确使用加密原语来解决现有网桥安全问题的协议。</blockquote></p><p> CCIP will also introduce a token bridge that will allow users to move their tokens across any blockchain network in a secure, scalable, and cost-efficient manner.</p><p><blockquote>CCIP还将引入一个令牌桥，允许用户以安全、可扩展和经济高效的方式在任何区块链网络上移动他们的令牌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b> Microsoft shares closed 0.20% lower on Wednesday at a price of $302.01.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>微软股价周三收盘下跌0.20%，报302.01美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft Wins Blockchain Patent For Implementing Cross Chain Token Service<blockquote>微软获得实现跨链代币服务的区块链专利</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-26 22:16</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What Happened:</b> Multinational tech giant <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corporation</b> has been awarded a patent for implementing a “ledger-independent token service.”</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>跨国科技巨头<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司</b>已获得实现“独立于账本的代币服务”的专利。</blockquote></p><p> According to the grant issued by the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO), the patent will allow Microsoft to build a system that facilitates the creation and management of tokens across multiple blockchain networks.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国专利商标局(USPTO)颁发的授权书，该专利将允许微软建立一个系统，方便在多个区块链网络中创建和管理代币。</blockquote></p><p> The computer system can also provide token templates to the user. Each of these will correspond to a type of physical or digital asset and define a set of one or more attributes and control functions.</p><p><blockquote>计算机系统还可以向用户提供令牌模板。这些中的每一个都将对应于物理或数字资产的类型，并定义一组一个或多个属性和控制功能。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b> Essentially, the ledger independent token service will act as the common interface for transacting with all tokens across all distributed ledger networks and platforms created through the service.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>本质上，分类账独立令牌服务将充当通用接口，用于在通过该服务创建的所有分布式分类账网络和平台上与所有令牌进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> It will also serve as a mechanism for standardizing the tokenization of physical and digital assets.</p><p><blockquote>它还将作为标准化实物和数字资产代币化的机制。</blockquote></p><p> “With the foregoing features, the ledger-independent token service can empower individuals and organizations to build applications and business logic involving tokens more easily and efficiently than before,” stated the filing.</p><p><blockquote>文件称：“凭借上述功能，独立于账本的令牌服务可以使个人和组织能够比以前更轻松、更高效地构建涉及令牌的应用程序和业务逻辑。”</blockquote></p><p> Blockchain interoperability is the need of the hour in the crypto space and a number of crypto projects are actively involved in building solutions on this front.</p><p><blockquote>区块链互操作性是加密领域的当务之急，许多加密项目正在积极参与构建这方面的解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Else:</b> Decentralized oracle network <b>Chainlink</b> (CRYPTO: LINK) recently announced a Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP).</p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么：</b>分散式oracle网络<b>链环</b>（CRYPTO：LINK）最近宣布了一项跨链互操作性协议（CCIP）。</blockquote></p><p> Chainlink Founder Sergey Nazarovdescribedthe protocol as one that solves the security issues of existing bridges through the proper use of cryptographic primitives.</p><p><blockquote>Chainlink创始人Sergey Nazarov将该协议描述为通过正确使用加密原语来解决现有网桥安全问题的协议。</blockquote></p><p> CCIP will also introduce a token bridge that will allow users to move their tokens across any blockchain network in a secure, scalable, and cost-efficient manner.</p><p><blockquote>CCIP还将引入一个令牌桥，允许用户以安全、可扩展和经济高效的方式在任何区块链网络上移动他们的令牌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b> Microsoft shares closed 0.20% lower on Wednesday at a price of $302.01.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>微软股价周三收盘下跌0.20%，报302.01美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143651570","content_text":"What Happened: Multinational tech giant Microsoft Corporation has been awarded a patent for implementing a “ledger-independent token service.”\nAccording to the grant issued by the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO), the patent will allow Microsoft to build a system that facilitates the creation and management of tokens across multiple blockchain networks.\nThe computer system can also provide token templates to the user. Each of these will correspond to a type of physical or digital asset and define a set of one or more attributes and control functions.\nWhy It Matters: Essentially, the ledger independent token service will act as the common interface for transacting with all tokens across all distributed ledger networks and platforms created through the service.\nIt will also serve as a mechanism for standardizing the tokenization of physical and digital assets.\n“With the foregoing features, the ledger-independent token service can empower individuals and organizations to build applications and business logic involving tokens more easily and efficiently than before,” stated the filing.\nBlockchain interoperability is the need of the hour in the crypto space and a number of crypto projects are actively involved in building solutions on this front.\nWhat Else: Decentralized oracle network Chainlink (CRYPTO: LINK) recently announced a Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP).\nChainlink Founder Sergey Nazarovdescribedthe protocol as one that solves the security issues of existing bridges through the proper use of cryptographic primitives.\nCCIP will also introduce a token bridge that will allow users to move their tokens across any blockchain network in a secure, scalable, and cost-efficient manner.\nPrice Action: Microsoft shares closed 0.20% lower on Wednesday at a price of $302.01.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837406526,"gmtCreate":1629903046065,"gmtModify":1631889848365,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"Wallstrat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72e278e5cb2ede803b1dff8ad9415a5c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577594477850307","idStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837406526","repostId":"2162087564","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832905880,"gmtCreate":1629553288240,"gmtModify":1631889848451,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"Wallstrat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72e278e5cb2ede803b1dff8ad9415a5c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577594477850307","idStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832905880","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151608193?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更加可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更加可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","NVDA":"英伟达","TSM":"台积电","GOOGL":"谷歌A","ON":"安森美半导体","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","AMZN":"亚马逊","SSNLF":"三星电子","GOOG":"谷歌","ASML":"阿斯麦","QCOM":"高通","CDNS":"铿腾电子","SNPS":"新思科技"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOG":0.9,"SNPS":0.9,"SOXX":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"ON":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"ASML":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836880706,"gmtCreate":1629469560405,"gmtModify":1631889848462,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"Wallstrat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72e278e5cb2ede803b1dff8ad9415a5c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577594477850307","idStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836880706","repostId":"1102192078","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831808514,"gmtCreate":1629297810938,"gmtModify":1631889848474,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"Wallstrat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72e278e5cb2ede803b1dff8ad9415a5c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577594477850307","idStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831808514","repostId":"1181537707","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181537707","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629297265,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1181537707?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-18 22:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation Is Higher in the U.S. Than Elsewhere, but Don’t Panic<blockquote>美国的通货膨胀率高于其他地方，但不要惊慌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181537707","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"While prices in the eurozone appear to be rising more slowly, the difference isn’t best explained by","content":"<p> While prices in the eurozone appear to be rising more slowly, the difference isn’t best explained by any inflationary economic policies in Washington. <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca674d5c6ff01a5f89997288be6364b8\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"517\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">America likes being exceptional, but too much exceptionalism when it comes to inflation is starting to cause concern. A closer look at the data suggests that investors can keep calm.</p><p><blockquote>尽管欧元区的物价上涨速度似乎较慢，但华盛顿的任何通胀经济政策都无法最好地解释这种差异。美国喜欢例外，但在通胀问题上过多的例外主义开始引起担忧。仔细观察数据表明，投资者可以保持冷静。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, official figures confirmed that the harmonized consumer-price index in the eurozone rose 2.2% in July from a year earlier. This marked an acceleration relative to June, when inflation was 1.9%. But stripping out energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices to see what is dubbed “core” inflation, the index only rose 0.7%, down from 0.9% the previous month.</p><p><blockquote>周三，官方数据证实，欧元区7月份统一消费者价格指数同比上涨2.2%。这标志着相对于6月份1.9%的通胀率有所加速。但剔除能源、食品、酒精和烟草价格以了解所谓的“核心”通胀，该指数仅上涨0.7%，低于上个月的0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> What is surprising isn’t inflation being too strong in the eurozone, but rather it being too weakrelative to the U.S., where CPI growth reached 5.4% in July, with core inflation at 4.3%.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的不是欧元区的通胀太强，而是相对于美国来说太弱，美国7月份CPI增长率达到5.4%，核心通胀率为4.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Officials argue that today’s inflation is only temporarily higher as global prices rebound from the troughs of the pandemic and companies work through supply bottlenecks. Yet, if it is so much higher in the U.S., doesn’t this mean that excessive fiscal and monetary policy are driving the economy—since transfers to households have been less generous in Europe—and could trigger a dangerous delayed reaction by the Federal Reserve? Some prominent economists think so.</p><p><blockquote>官员们认为，随着全球价格从疫情的低谷反弹以及企业克服供应瓶颈，今天的通胀只是暂时走高。然而，如果美国的利率如此之高，这难道不意味着过度的财政和货币政策正在推动经济发展——因为欧洲对家庭的转移支付不那么慷慨——并可能引发美联储危险的延迟反应吗？一些著名的经济学家是这样认为的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d76c2a0f13ab39592583dd45f8a3a9d2\" tg-width=\"742\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Once compared with U.S. data, however, Wednesday’s figures show that more than half of the 3.2-percentage-point gap between inflation figures across the Atlantic can be explained away by two factors.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与美国数据相比，周三的数据显示，大西洋两岸通胀数据之间3.2个百分点的差距，一半以上可以通过两个因素来解释。</blockquote></p><p> The first is Americans’ reliance on used cars, which make up 3.5% of their consumption baskets, versus 1.1% for Europeans. Auto makers are having production issues due to a microchip shortage. In Europe, consumers have delayed car purchases. In the U.S., they have bid the price of used cars up 42%.</p><p><blockquote>首先是美国人对二手车的依赖，二手车占他们消费篮子的3.5%，而欧洲人这一比例为1.1%。由于微芯片短缺，汽车制造商面临生产问题。在欧洲，消费者推迟了购车时间。在美国，他们将二手车的价格提高了42%。</blockquote></p><p> The other has to do with the way shelter costs are calculated. U.S. numbers include a theoretical category that factors in the rent that owner-occupiers would pay if they rented, whereas European statistics only count those who are actually renting—an issue that the European Central Bank is seeking to address. This has long made eurozone inflation appear lower, and is key now: While rents in both regions are up by a similar amount, they account for a massive 31% of the U.S. CPI basket, and only 7.5% of the European one.</p><p><blockquote>另一个与住房费用的计算方式有关。美国的数据包括一个理论类别，该类别考虑了自住者如果租房将支付的租金，而欧洲的统计数据只计算了那些实际租房的人——这是欧洲央行正在寻求解决的问题。长期以来，这使得欧元区通胀率显得较低，现在也是关键：虽然这两个地区的租金涨幅相似，但它们占美国CPI篮子的31%，仅占欧洲CPI篮子的7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the differences that remain, most seem related to the U.S. having reopened its economy first, particularly travel. Airfares are up 19%, reflecting the degree of normality U.S. carriers are enjoying in the domestic market. Meanwhile, their European counterparts are still dealing with rafts of travel restrictions and have only increased prices 1%. There are similar stories for restaurants and hotels.</p><p><blockquote>在仍然存在的分歧中，大多数似乎与美国首先重新开放经济有关，特别是旅游业。机票价格上涨了19%，反映了美国航空公司在国内市场的正常程度。与此同时，他们的欧洲同行仍在应对大量的旅行限制，并且仅将价格提高了1%。餐馆和酒店也有类似的故事。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d71c445a20f52dd97521b03eb12d417f\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"415\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">To be sure, the relative surge in some price categories, such as apparel, could be more indicative of demand-led pressure caused by American consumers being awash with cash. But the weakness inthe latest U.S. retail sales datashould be a check on any assumptions that a short-term rebound in spending willnecessarily lead to a sustained boom.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，服装等某些价格类别的相对飙升可能更能表明美国消费者现金泛滥造成的需求主导压力。但最新美国零售销售数据的疲软应该是对任何假设的检验，即支出的短期反弹必然会导致持续繁荣。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, most goods’ prices have remained remarkably stable during the pandemic. A rebound in services will likely help European headline inflation catch up with its U.S. counterpart somewhat in the coming months. With the labor market recovery far from complete, though, signs of economic overheating on either side of the Atlantic are likely a mathematical mirage.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，大多数商品的价格在疫情期间保持非常稳定。服务业的反弹可能会在未来几个月帮助欧洲整体通胀率在一定程度上赶上美国。然而，随着劳动力市场复苏远未完成，大西洋两岸经济过热的迹象很可能是数学上的海市蜃楼。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Is Higher in the U.S. Than Elsewhere, but Don’t Panic<blockquote>美国的通货膨胀率高于其他地方，但不要惊慌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Is Higher in the U.S. Than Elsewhere, but Don’t Panic<blockquote>美国的通货膨胀率高于其他地方，但不要惊慌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-18 22:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> While prices in the eurozone appear to be rising more slowly, the difference isn’t best explained by any inflationary economic policies in Washington. <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca674d5c6ff01a5f89997288be6364b8\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"517\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">America likes being exceptional, but too much exceptionalism when it comes to inflation is starting to cause concern. A closer look at the data suggests that investors can keep calm.</p><p><blockquote>尽管欧元区的物价上涨速度似乎较慢，但华盛顿的任何通胀经济政策都无法最好地解释这种差异。美国喜欢例外，但在通胀问题上过多的例外主义开始引起担忧。仔细观察数据表明，投资者可以保持冷静。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, official figures confirmed that the harmonized consumer-price index in the eurozone rose 2.2% in July from a year earlier. This marked an acceleration relative to June, when inflation was 1.9%. But stripping out energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices to see what is dubbed “core” inflation, the index only rose 0.7%, down from 0.9% the previous month.</p><p><blockquote>周三，官方数据证实，欧元区7月份统一消费者价格指数同比上涨2.2%。这标志着相对于6月份1.9%的通胀率有所加速。但剔除能源、食品、酒精和烟草价格以了解所谓的“核心”通胀，该指数仅上涨0.7%，低于上个月的0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> What is surprising isn’t inflation being too strong in the eurozone, but rather it being too weakrelative to the U.S., where CPI growth reached 5.4% in July, with core inflation at 4.3%.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的不是欧元区的通胀太强，而是相对于美国来说太弱，美国7月份CPI增长率达到5.4%，核心通胀率为4.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Officials argue that today’s inflation is only temporarily higher as global prices rebound from the troughs of the pandemic and companies work through supply bottlenecks. Yet, if it is so much higher in the U.S., doesn’t this mean that excessive fiscal and monetary policy are driving the economy—since transfers to households have been less generous in Europe—and could trigger a dangerous delayed reaction by the Federal Reserve? Some prominent economists think so.</p><p><blockquote>官员们认为，随着全球价格从疫情的低谷反弹以及企业克服供应瓶颈，今天的通胀只是暂时走高。然而，如果美国的利率如此之高，这难道不意味着过度的财政和货币政策正在推动经济发展——因为欧洲对家庭的转移支付不那么慷慨——并可能引发美联储危险的延迟反应吗？一些著名的经济学家是这样认为的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d76c2a0f13ab39592583dd45f8a3a9d2\" tg-width=\"742\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Once compared with U.S. data, however, Wednesday’s figures show that more than half of the 3.2-percentage-point gap between inflation figures across the Atlantic can be explained away by two factors.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与美国数据相比，周三的数据显示，大西洋两岸通胀数据之间3.2个百分点的差距，一半以上可以通过两个因素来解释。</blockquote></p><p> The first is Americans’ reliance on used cars, which make up 3.5% of their consumption baskets, versus 1.1% for Europeans. Auto makers are having production issues due to a microchip shortage. In Europe, consumers have delayed car purchases. In the U.S., they have bid the price of used cars up 42%.</p><p><blockquote>首先是美国人对二手车的依赖，二手车占他们消费篮子的3.5%，而欧洲人这一比例为1.1%。由于微芯片短缺，汽车制造商面临生产问题。在欧洲，消费者推迟了购车时间。在美国，他们将二手车的价格提高了42%。</blockquote></p><p> The other has to do with the way shelter costs are calculated. U.S. numbers include a theoretical category that factors in the rent that owner-occupiers would pay if they rented, whereas European statistics only count those who are actually renting—an issue that the European Central Bank is seeking to address. This has long made eurozone inflation appear lower, and is key now: While rents in both regions are up by a similar amount, they account for a massive 31% of the U.S. CPI basket, and only 7.5% of the European one.</p><p><blockquote>另一个与住房费用的计算方式有关。美国的数据包括一个理论类别，该类别考虑了自住者如果租房将支付的租金，而欧洲的统计数据只计算了那些实际租房的人——这是欧洲央行正在寻求解决的问题。长期以来，这使得欧元区通胀率显得较低，现在也是关键：虽然这两个地区的租金涨幅相似，但它们占美国CPI篮子的31%，仅占欧洲CPI篮子的7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the differences that remain, most seem related to the U.S. having reopened its economy first, particularly travel. Airfares are up 19%, reflecting the degree of normality U.S. carriers are enjoying in the domestic market. Meanwhile, their European counterparts are still dealing with rafts of travel restrictions and have only increased prices 1%. There are similar stories for restaurants and hotels.</p><p><blockquote>在仍然存在的分歧中，大多数似乎与美国首先重新开放经济有关，特别是旅游业。机票价格上涨了19%，反映了美国航空公司在国内市场的正常程度。与此同时，他们的欧洲同行仍在应对大量的旅行限制，并且仅将价格提高了1%。餐馆和酒店也有类似的故事。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d71c445a20f52dd97521b03eb12d417f\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"415\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">To be sure, the relative surge in some price categories, such as apparel, could be more indicative of demand-led pressure caused by American consumers being awash with cash. But the weakness inthe latest U.S. retail sales datashould be a check on any assumptions that a short-term rebound in spending willnecessarily lead to a sustained boom.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，服装等某些价格类别的相对飙升可能更能表明美国消费者现金泛滥造成的需求主导压力。但最新美国零售销售数据的疲软应该是对任何假设的检验，即支出的短期反弹必然会导致持续繁荣。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, most goods’ prices have remained remarkably stable during the pandemic. A rebound in services will likely help European headline inflation catch up with its U.S. counterpart somewhat in the coming months. With the labor market recovery far from complete, though, signs of economic overheating on either side of the Atlantic are likely a mathematical mirage.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，大多数商品的价格在疫情期间保持非常稳定。服务业的反弹可能会在未来几个月帮助欧洲整体通胀率在一定程度上赶上美国。然而，随着劳动力市场复苏远未完成，大西洋两岸经济过热的迹象很可能是数学上的海市蜃楼。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/inflation-is-higher-in-the-u-s-than-elsewhere-but-dont-panic-11629296911?mod=rss_markets_main\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/inflation-is-higher-in-the-u-s-than-elsewhere-but-dont-panic-11629296911?mod=rss_markets_main","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181537707","content_text":"While prices in the eurozone appear to be rising more slowly, the difference isn’t best explained by any inflationary economic policies in Washington.\n\nAmerica likes being exceptional, but too much exceptionalism when it comes to inflation is starting to cause concern. A closer look at the data suggests that investors can keep calm.\nOn Wednesday, official figures confirmed that the harmonized consumer-price index in the eurozone rose 2.2% in July from a year earlier. This marked an acceleration relative to June, when inflation was 1.9%. But stripping out energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices to see what is dubbed “core” inflation, the index only rose 0.7%, down from 0.9% the previous month.\nWhat is surprising isn’t inflation being too strong in the eurozone, but rather it being too weakrelative to the U.S., where CPI growth reached 5.4% in July, with core inflation at 4.3%.\nOfficials argue that today’s inflation is only temporarily higher as global prices rebound from the troughs of the pandemic and companies work through supply bottlenecks. Yet, if it is so much higher in the U.S., doesn’t this mean that excessive fiscal and monetary policy are driving the economy—since transfers to households have been less generous in Europe—and could trigger a dangerous delayed reaction by the Federal Reserve? Some prominent economists think so.\nOnce compared with U.S. data, however, Wednesday’s figures show that more than half of the 3.2-percentage-point gap between inflation figures across the Atlantic can be explained away by two factors.\nThe first is Americans’ reliance on used cars, which make up 3.5% of their consumption baskets, versus 1.1% for Europeans. Auto makers are having production issues due to a microchip shortage. In Europe, consumers have delayed car purchases. In the U.S., they have bid the price of used cars up 42%.\nThe other has to do with the way shelter costs are calculated. U.S. numbers include a theoretical category that factors in the rent that owner-occupiers would pay if they rented, whereas European statistics only count those who are actually renting—an issue that the European Central Bank is seeking to address. This has long made eurozone inflation appear lower, and is key now: While rents in both regions are up by a similar amount, they account for a massive 31% of the U.S. CPI basket, and only 7.5% of the European one.\nOf the differences that remain, most seem related to the U.S. having reopened its economy first, particularly travel. Airfares are up 19%, reflecting the degree of normality U.S. carriers are enjoying in the domestic market. Meanwhile, their European counterparts are still dealing with rafts of travel restrictions and have only increased prices 1%. There are similar stories for restaurants and hotels.\nTo be sure, the relative surge in some price categories, such as apparel, could be more indicative of demand-led pressure caused by American consumers being awash with cash. But the weakness inthe latest U.S. retail sales datashould be a check on any assumptions that a short-term rebound in spending willnecessarily lead to a sustained boom.\nOverall, most goods’ prices have remained remarkably stable during the pandemic. A rebound in services will likely help European headline inflation catch up with its U.S. counterpart somewhat in the coming months. With the labor market recovery far from complete, though, signs of economic overheating on either side of the Atlantic are likely a mathematical mirage.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839156165,"gmtCreate":1629128670657,"gmtModify":1631889848489,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"Wallstrat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72e278e5cb2ede803b1dff8ad9415a5c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577594477850307","idStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839156165","repostId":"2159248377","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2949,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897881867,"gmtCreate":1628905673559,"gmtModify":1631889848503,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"Wallstrat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72e278e5cb2ede803b1dff8ad9415a5c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577594477850307","idStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897881867","repostId":"2159215280","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2926,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895787670,"gmtCreate":1628774111190,"gmtModify":1631889848508,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"Wallstrat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72e278e5cb2ede803b1dff8ad9415a5c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577594477850307","idStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895787670","repostId":"2158579452","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1611,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895024460,"gmtCreate":1628695969150,"gmtModify":1631889848524,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"Wallstrat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72e278e5cb2ede803b1dff8ad9415a5c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577594477850307","idStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895024460","repostId":"1197984437","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197984437","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628695457,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197984437?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-11 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin ETF Filing Flood Collides With Cooling Demand for Funds<blockquote>比特币ETF备案潮与资金需求降温相冲突</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197984437","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler ignited a fresh wave of op","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler ignited a fresh wave of optimism among Bitcoin exchange-traded fund advocates this month -- but it’s unclear whether investors share that enthusiasm.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——美国证券交易委员会主席Gary Gensler本月在比特币交易所交易基金倡导者中点燃了新一波乐观情绪，但尚不清楚投资者是否也有这种热情。</blockquote></p><p> Digital-asset investment products from Grayscale, Bitwise, 21Shares and others saw outflows for the fifth straight week, the longest such streak since January 2018, according to data compiled by CoinShares. The outflows total roughly $93 million over that stretch. Much of it is thanks to money being yanked away from Bitcoin products, according to the digital-asset manager.</p><p><blockquote>根据CoinShares汇编的数据，Grayscale、Bitwise、21Shares和其他公司的数字资产投资产品连续第五周出现资金外流，这是自2018年1月以来最长的连续流出。在此期间，资金外流总额约为9300万美元。这位数字资产管理公司表示，这在很大程度上要归功于比特币产品的资金被抽走。</blockquote></p><p> The cooling appetite stands in contrast to the growing pile of cryptocurrency ETF filings, with at least 18 applications landing with the SEC this year. That tally grew by three in the past two weeks after Gensler signaled that regulators may be more open to a Bitcoin ETF if it was based around futures rather than the cryptocurrency itself. However, even if the SEC finally green-lights the fund structure, it’s not a sure bet that a Bitcoin ETF would be met with huge demand, according to Meltem Demirors of Coinshares.</p><p><blockquote>这种降温的兴趣与越来越多的加密货币ETF申请形成鲜明对比，今年至少有18份申请提交给了SEC。Gensler表示，如果比特币ETF基于期货而不是加密货币本身，监管机构可能会对其更加开放，这一数字在过去两周内增加了三个。然而，Coinshares的Meltem Demirors表示，即使SEC最终批准了该基金结构，也不能肯定比特币ETF会满足巨大的需求。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s so many venues for people to buy and sell Bitcoin, to get exposure to Bitcoin in tax-managed accounts,” said Demirors, chief strategy officer at CoinShares. “We’re not really sure what the demand will look like because is the maturation of crypto in the U.S. is already quite high.”</p><p><blockquote>CoinShares首席战略官Demirors表示：“人们有很多地方可以买卖比特币，通过税务管理账户接触比特币。”“我们并不真正确定需求会是什么样子，因为美国加密货币的成熟度已经相当高。”</blockquote></p><p> After setting an all-time high of nearly $65,000 in April, Bitcoin resumed its volatile price swings. The world’s largest cryptocurrency dropped below $30,000 in June as environmental and regulatory concerns hammered sentiment. Bitcoin has since rebounded to more than $46,000, even as the U.S. Senate passed an infrastructure bill that would allow for broad oversight of virtual currencies.</p><p><blockquote>在4月份创下近65,000美元的历史新高后，比特币恢复了价格波动。由于环境和监管担忧打击了市场情绪，全球最大的加密货币在6月份跌破30,000美元。此后，比特币已反弹至46,000美元以上，尽管美国。参议院通过了一项基础设施法案，允许对虚拟货币进行广泛监管。</blockquote></p><p> However, fund flows have yet to match the rebound. Bitcoin funds and futures are on track for a third straight month of outflows, the longest streak in data going back to 2014, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. The bulk of that decline is due to decreasing open interest in Bitcoin futures, meaning traders let their contracts roll off without renewing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，资金流尚未与反弹相匹配。根据彭博资讯的数据，比特币基金和期货有望连续第三个月出现资金外流，这是自2014年以来最长的数据连续流出。下降的主要原因是比特币期货的未平仓合约减少，这意味着交易员让他们的合约在没有续签的情况下到期。</blockquote></p><p> The outflows might even be bigger, if not for the fact that the $30 billion Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (ticker GBTC) -- the largest crypto fund -- doesn’t allow for share redemptions. That’s after shares of the trust ballooned by the hundreds of millions earlier this year amid the crypto craze. As a result, GBTC has traded at a persistent discount to its underlying Bitcoin since March.</p><p><blockquote>如果不是因为价值300亿美元的灰度比特币信托基金（股票代码GBTC）——最大的加密货币基金——不允许股票赎回，资金流出可能会更大。今年早些时候，在加密货币热潮中，该信托的股价飙升了数亿美元。因此，自3月份以来，GBTC的交易价格一直低于其基础比特币。</blockquote></p><p> But still, in the eyes of Bloomberg Intelligence’s James Seyffart, it’s just a matter of time before investors flood back into crypto funds.</p><p><blockquote>但在彭博资讯的詹姆斯·塞法特看来，投资者重新涌入加密货币基金只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> “I think there’s still demand for Bitcoin products that people can access on the traditional financial system rails, if you will,” Seyffart said. “Flows tend to follow performance in areas and products like this, so with the recent weeks of performance for Bitcoin, I wouldn’t be surprised to see those flow numbers potentially turn around.”</p><p><blockquote>塞法特说：“我认为，如果你愿意的话，人们仍然对比特币产品有需求，人们可以在传统的金融系统轨道上访问这些产品。”“流量往往会跟随此类领域和产品的表现，因此根据比特币最近几周的表现，看到这些流量数字可能出现逆转，我不会感到惊讶。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin ETF Filing Flood Collides With Cooling Demand for Funds<blockquote>比特币ETF备案潮与资金需求降温相冲突</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin ETF Filing Flood Collides With Cooling Demand for Funds<blockquote>比特币ETF备案潮与资金需求降温相冲突</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-11 23:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler ignited a fresh wave of optimism among Bitcoin exchange-traded fund advocates this month -- but it’s unclear whether investors share that enthusiasm.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——美国证券交易委员会主席Gary Gensler本月在比特币交易所交易基金倡导者中点燃了新一波乐观情绪，但尚不清楚投资者是否也有这种热情。</blockquote></p><p> Digital-asset investment products from Grayscale, Bitwise, 21Shares and others saw outflows for the fifth straight week, the longest such streak since January 2018, according to data compiled by CoinShares. The outflows total roughly $93 million over that stretch. Much of it is thanks to money being yanked away from Bitcoin products, according to the digital-asset manager.</p><p><blockquote>根据CoinShares汇编的数据，Grayscale、Bitwise、21Shares和其他公司的数字资产投资产品连续第五周出现资金外流，这是自2018年1月以来最长的连续流出。在此期间，资金外流总额约为9300万美元。这位数字资产管理公司表示，这在很大程度上要归功于比特币产品的资金被抽走。</blockquote></p><p> The cooling appetite stands in contrast to the growing pile of cryptocurrency ETF filings, with at least 18 applications landing with the SEC this year. That tally grew by three in the past two weeks after Gensler signaled that regulators may be more open to a Bitcoin ETF if it was based around futures rather than the cryptocurrency itself. However, even if the SEC finally green-lights the fund structure, it’s not a sure bet that a Bitcoin ETF would be met with huge demand, according to Meltem Demirors of Coinshares.</p><p><blockquote>这种降温的兴趣与越来越多的加密货币ETF申请形成鲜明对比，今年至少有18份申请提交给了SEC。Gensler表示，如果比特币ETF基于期货而不是加密货币本身，监管机构可能会对其更加开放，这一数字在过去两周内增加了三个。然而，Coinshares的Meltem Demirors表示，即使SEC最终批准了该基金结构，也不能肯定比特币ETF会满足巨大的需求。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s so many venues for people to buy and sell Bitcoin, to get exposure to Bitcoin in tax-managed accounts,” said Demirors, chief strategy officer at CoinShares. “We’re not really sure what the demand will look like because is the maturation of crypto in the U.S. is already quite high.”</p><p><blockquote>CoinShares首席战略官Demirors表示：“人们有很多地方可以买卖比特币，通过税务管理账户接触比特币。”“我们并不真正确定需求会是什么样子，因为美国加密货币的成熟度已经相当高。”</blockquote></p><p> After setting an all-time high of nearly $65,000 in April, Bitcoin resumed its volatile price swings. The world’s largest cryptocurrency dropped below $30,000 in June as environmental and regulatory concerns hammered sentiment. Bitcoin has since rebounded to more than $46,000, even as the U.S. Senate passed an infrastructure bill that would allow for broad oversight of virtual currencies.</p><p><blockquote>在4月份创下近65,000美元的历史新高后，比特币恢复了价格波动。由于环境和监管担忧打击了市场情绪，全球最大的加密货币在6月份跌破30,000美元。此后，比特币已反弹至46,000美元以上，尽管美国。参议院通过了一项基础设施法案，允许对虚拟货币进行广泛监管。</blockquote></p><p> However, fund flows have yet to match the rebound. Bitcoin funds and futures are on track for a third straight month of outflows, the longest streak in data going back to 2014, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. The bulk of that decline is due to decreasing open interest in Bitcoin futures, meaning traders let their contracts roll off without renewing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，资金流尚未与反弹相匹配。根据彭博资讯的数据，比特币基金和期货有望连续第三个月出现资金外流，这是自2014年以来最长的数据连续流出。下降的主要原因是比特币期货的未平仓合约减少，这意味着交易员让他们的合约在没有续签的情况下到期。</blockquote></p><p> The outflows might even be bigger, if not for the fact that the $30 billion Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (ticker GBTC) -- the largest crypto fund -- doesn’t allow for share redemptions. That’s after shares of the trust ballooned by the hundreds of millions earlier this year amid the crypto craze. As a result, GBTC has traded at a persistent discount to its underlying Bitcoin since March.</p><p><blockquote>如果不是因为价值300亿美元的灰度比特币信托基金（股票代码GBTC）——最大的加密货币基金——不允许股票赎回，资金流出可能会更大。今年早些时候，在加密货币热潮中，该信托的股价飙升了数亿美元。因此，自3月份以来，GBTC的交易价格一直低于其基础比特币。</blockquote></p><p> But still, in the eyes of Bloomberg Intelligence’s James Seyffart, it’s just a matter of time before investors flood back into crypto funds.</p><p><blockquote>但在彭博资讯的詹姆斯·塞法特看来，投资者重新涌入加密货币基金只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> “I think there’s still demand for Bitcoin products that people can access on the traditional financial system rails, if you will,” Seyffart said. “Flows tend to follow performance in areas and products like this, so with the recent weeks of performance for Bitcoin, I wouldn’t be surprised to see those flow numbers potentially turn around.”</p><p><blockquote>塞法特说：“我认为，如果你愿意的话，人们仍然对比特币产品有需求，人们可以在传统的金融系统轨道上访问这些产品。”“流量往往会跟随此类领域和产品的表现，因此根据比特币最近几周的表现，看到这些流量数字可能出现逆转，我不会感到惊讶。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-etf-filing-flood-collides-150226371.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-etf-filing-flood-collides-150226371.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197984437","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler ignited a fresh wave of optimism among Bitcoin exchange-traded fund advocates this month -- but it’s unclear whether investors share that enthusiasm.\nDigital-asset investment products from Grayscale, Bitwise, 21Shares and others saw outflows for the fifth straight week, the longest such streak since January 2018, according to data compiled by CoinShares. The outflows total roughly $93 million over that stretch. Much of it is thanks to money being yanked away from Bitcoin products, according to the digital-asset manager.\nThe cooling appetite stands in contrast to the growing pile of cryptocurrency ETF filings, with at least 18 applications landing with the SEC this year. That tally grew by three in the past two weeks after Gensler signaled that regulators may be more open to a Bitcoin ETF if it was based around futures rather than the cryptocurrency itself. However, even if the SEC finally green-lights the fund structure, it’s not a sure bet that a Bitcoin ETF would be met with huge demand, according to Meltem Demirors of Coinshares.\n“There’s so many venues for people to buy and sell Bitcoin, to get exposure to Bitcoin in tax-managed accounts,” said Demirors, chief strategy officer at CoinShares. “We’re not really sure what the demand will look like because is the maturation of crypto in the U.S. is already quite high.”\nAfter setting an all-time high of nearly $65,000 in April, Bitcoin resumed its volatile price swings. The world’s largest cryptocurrency dropped below $30,000 in June as environmental and regulatory concerns hammered sentiment. Bitcoin has since rebounded to more than $46,000, even as the U.S. Senate passed an infrastructure bill that would allow for broad oversight of virtual currencies.\nHowever, fund flows have yet to match the rebound. Bitcoin funds and futures are on track for a third straight month of outflows, the longest streak in data going back to 2014, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. The bulk of that decline is due to decreasing open interest in Bitcoin futures, meaning traders let their contracts roll off without renewing.\nThe outflows might even be bigger, if not for the fact that the $30 billion Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (ticker GBTC) -- the largest crypto fund -- doesn’t allow for share redemptions. That’s after shares of the trust ballooned by the hundreds of millions earlier this year amid the crypto craze. As a result, GBTC has traded at a persistent discount to its underlying Bitcoin since March.\nBut still, in the eyes of Bloomberg Intelligence’s James Seyffart, it’s just a matter of time before investors flood back into crypto funds.\n“I think there’s still demand for Bitcoin products that people can access on the traditional financial system rails, if you will,” Seyffart said. “Flows tend to follow performance in areas and products like this, so with the recent weeks of performance for Bitcoin, I wouldn’t be surprised to see those flow numbers potentially turn around.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1085,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896458939,"gmtCreate":1628602772621,"gmtModify":1631889848533,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"Wallstrat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72e278e5cb2ede803b1dff8ad9415a5c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577594477850307","idStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896458939","repostId":"1139214891","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}