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4c358947
4c358947
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2021-08-26
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Microsoft Wins Blockchain Patent For Implementing Cross Chain Token Service<blockquote>微软赢得实施跨链令牌服务的区块链专利</blockquote>
What Happened: Multinational tech giant Microsoft Corporation has been awarded a patent for implemen
Microsoft Wins Blockchain Patent For Implementing Cross Chain Token Service<blockquote>微软赢得实施跨链令牌服务的区块链专利</blockquote>
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4c358947
4c358947
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2021-08-25
wow
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4c358947
4c358947
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2021-08-21
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Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股的回调——长期关注这 6 家公司</blockquote>
The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs. ISTOCKPHOTO In the rolling correcti
Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股的回调——长期关注这 6 家公司</blockquote>
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4c358947
4c358947
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2021-08-20
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4c358947
4c358947
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2021-08-18
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Inflation Is Higher in the U.S. Than Elsewhere, but Don’t Panic<blockquote>美国的通货膨胀率高于其他地方，但不要恐慌</blockquote>
While prices in the eurozone appear to be rising more slowly, the difference isn’t best explained by
Inflation Is Higher in the U.S. Than Elsewhere, but Don’t Panic<blockquote>美国的通货膨胀率高于其他地方，但不要恐慌</blockquote>
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4c358947
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2021-08-16
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4c358947
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2021-08-14
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4c358947
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2021-08-12
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2021-08-11
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Bitcoin ETF Filing Flood Collides With Cooling Demand for Funds<blockquote>比特币 ETF 申请洪水与资金需求降温发生冲突</blockquote>
(Bloomberg) -- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler ignited a fresh wave of op
Bitcoin ETF Filing Flood Collides With Cooling Demand for Funds<blockquote>比特币 ETF 申请洪水与资金需求降温发生冲突</blockquote>
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2021-08-10
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司</b>因实现 “分类账独立令牌服务 ”而获得专利。</blockquote></p><p> According to the grant issued by the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO), the patent will allow Microsoft to build a system that facilitates the creation and management of tokens across multiple blockchain networks.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国专利商标局（USPTO）颁发的授权，该专利将允许微软建立一个系统，促进跨多个区块链网络创建和管理令牌。</blockquote></p><p> The computer system can also provide token templates to the user. 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft Wins Blockchain Patent For Implementing Cross Chain Token Service<blockquote>微软赢得实施跨链令牌服务的区块链专利</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-26 22:16</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What Happened:</b> Multinational tech giant <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corporation</b> has been awarded a patent for implementing a “ledger-independent token service.”</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>跨国科技巨头<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司</b>因实现 “分类账独立令牌服务 ”而获得专利。</blockquote></p><p> According to the grant issued by the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO), the patent will allow Microsoft to build a system that facilitates the creation and management of tokens across multiple blockchain networks.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国专利商标局（USPTO）颁发的授权，该专利将允许微软建立一个系统，促进跨多个区块链网络创建和管理令牌。</blockquote></p><p> The computer system can also provide token templates to the user. Each of these will correspond to a type of physical or digital asset and define a set of one or more attributes and control functions.</p><p><blockquote>计算机系统还可以向用户提供令牌模板。其中的每一个将对应于一种物理或数字资产类型，并定义一组一个或多个属性和控制功能。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b> Essentially, the ledger independent token service will act as the common interface for transacting with all tokens across all distributed ledger networks and platforms created through the service.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>本质上，分类账独立令牌服务将充当通过该服务创建的所有分布式分类账网络和平台上的所有令牌进行交易的公共接口。</blockquote></p><p> It will also serve as a mechanism for standardizing the tokenization of physical and digital assets.</p><p><blockquote>它还将作为物理和数字资产令牌化标准化的机制。</blockquote></p><p> “With the foregoing features, the ledger-independent token service can empower individuals and organizations to build applications and business logic involving tokens more easily and efficiently than before,” stated the filing.</p><p><blockquote>“文件称：”有了上述功能，独立于账本的令牌服务可以使个人和组织比以前更轻松、更高效地构建涉及令牌的应用程序和业务逻辑。</blockquote></p><p> Blockchain interoperability is the need of the hour in the crypto space and a number of crypto projects are actively involved in building solutions on this front.</p><p><blockquote>区块链互操作性是加密领域的当务之急，许多加密项目积极参与在这方面构建解决方案。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Else:</b> Decentralized oracle network <b>Chainlink</b> (CRYPTO: LINK) recently announced a Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP).</p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么：</b>去中心化oracle网络<b>链节</b>（CRYPTO:LINK）最近宣布了一项跨链互操作性协议（CCIP）。</blockquote></p><p> Chainlink Founder Sergey Nazarovdescribedthe protocol as one that solves the security issues of existing bridges through the proper use of cryptographic primitives.</p><p><blockquote>Chainlink 创始人谢尔盖·纳扎罗夫 (Sergey Nazarov) 将该协议描述为通过正确使用加密原语解决现有桥梁安全问题的协议。</blockquote></p><p> CCIP will also introduce a token bridge that will allow users to move their tokens across any blockchain network in a secure, scalable, and cost-efficient manner.</p><p><blockquote>CCIP还将推出令牌桥，允许用户以安全、可扩展和经济高效的方式在任何区块链网络上移动他们的令牌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b> Microsoft shares closed 0.20% lower on Wednesday at a price of $302.01.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为：</b>微软股价周三收盘下跌 0.20%，至 302.01 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143651570","content_text":"What Happened: Multinational tech giant Microsoft Corporation has been awarded a patent for implementing a “ledger-independent token service.”\nAccording to the grant issued by the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO), the patent will allow Microsoft to build a system that facilitates the creation and management of tokens across multiple blockchain networks.\nThe computer system can also provide token templates to the user. Each of these will correspond to a type of physical or digital asset and define a set of one or more attributes and control functions.\nWhy It Matters: Essentially, the ledger independent token service will act as the common interface for transacting with all tokens across all distributed ledger networks and platforms created through the service.\nIt will also serve as a mechanism for standardizing the tokenization of physical and digital assets.\n“With the foregoing features, the ledger-independent token service can empower individuals and organizations to build applications and business logic involving tokens more easily and efficiently than before,” stated the filing.\nBlockchain interoperability is the need of the hour in the crypto space and a number of crypto projects are actively involved in building solutions on this front.\nWhat Else: Decentralized oracle network Chainlink (CRYPTO: LINK) recently announced a Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP).\nChainlink Founder Sergey Nazarovdescribedthe protocol as one that solves the security issues of existing bridges through the proper use of cryptographic primitives.\nCCIP will also introduce a token bridge that will allow users to move their tokens across any blockchain network in a secure, scalable, and cost-efficient manner.\nPrice Action: Microsoft shares closed 0.20% lower on Wednesday at a price of $302.01.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837406526,"gmtCreate":1629903046065,"gmtModify":1631889848365,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"4c358947","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/default-avatar2.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577594477850307","authorIdStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837406526","repostId":"2162087564","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2686,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832905880,"gmtCreate":1629553288240,"gmtModify":1631889848451,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"4c358947","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/default-avatar2.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577594477850307","authorIdStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832905880","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151608193?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股的回调——长期关注这 6 家公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares 半导体 ETF 较近期高点下跌超过 6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要大。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares 半导体 ETF 较近期高点下跌超过 6%，而标准普尔 500 指数、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为 2% 或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股票值得买入？或者，这个历史上具有周期性的行业是否故技重施，陷入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有股票多年，而不是租用几天，那么该集团值得购买。主要原因： “这次不一样”。</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>这些无疑是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了很大的变化，现在确实不同了——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我会回顾一下这些。但首先，以下是该集团现在 “更安全 ”的三个主要原因--以及我在过去几天里与六位行业专家交谈过的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>“Impax Asset Management 的投资组合经理 David Winborne 说：”受产品周期的驱动，芯片行业的需求总是时好时坏。“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长故事更可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益 “数字化 ”，终端市场需求从各个角度都更加多样化。把远程办公服务想象成<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">缩放</a>看好该集团的 Gabelli Funds 投资组合经理兼技术分析师 Hendi Susanto 指出，网上购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G 手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>“Motley Fool 芯片行业分析师 John Rotonti 说：”现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。“这意味着所有东西都有更多的筹码。长期需求是存在的”。</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他没开玩笑。威廉·布莱尔分析师格雷格·斯科拉罗预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着，你听到的大范围供应短缺 “可能要到明年年底的某个时候才能得到解决”。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师 Vivek Arya。“这不仅是我们的观点，而且<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>大多数大客户都证实了这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、玩家巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上下游，从设计到各类设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合成罗通蒂-评级 “赢得 ”的双头垄断或垄断。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，你有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻 (EUV) 等专业领域占据主导地位，例如 ASML。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好，赢得了他们的利基或双寡头地位。这使得投资者对它们感兴趣。Rotonti 表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面的行为更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所改善</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力比历史上高得多。“温伯恩说：”在过去的几年里，芯片制造的经济性有了很大的改善。现金流或 EBITDA 利润率现在通常超过 30%，而十年前则在 20% 左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere & Co. 的投资组合经理拉马尔·维莱尔 (Lamar Villere) 指出，尽管芯片股票的交易市盈率约为市盈率，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们并没有以泡沫倍数进行交易”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近核实的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新管理层玩法</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管 Thrivent 高级股票研究分析师彼得·卡拉泽里斯 (Peter Karazeris) 有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司的业绩可能会因为新管理层而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳定的盈利能力。高通最近受到德克萨斯州恶劣天气等一次性问题的打击，导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">半导体</a>正在将手机以外的领域扩展到汽车、工业和物联网等新领域——联网设备领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris 还特别提到了 Nvidia， 由于其卓越的设计能力， Nvidia 从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得了持续提振。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当高通和英伟达等公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">概要</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool 的 Rotonti 解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具可以帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他特别指出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上增长最快的公司，但他们的利润率很高”。他们也主宰了太空。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图应用到硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向了ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板印在硅片上，这一过程称为极紫外线光刻。“罗通蒂说：”其他人还没有想出怎么做。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应这样做的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供过于求</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多，这样它就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne 表示，希望到 2025 年生产其使用的芯片的 70%，高于目前的 5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>结果是，政府为促进制造业提供了大量支持，因此会有更多支持。风险是未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的采购，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润率趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair 的 Scolaro 指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>干扰信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人 (PMI) 指数在 4 月份达到峰值，然后连续三个月放缓。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。Thrivent 跟踪该指标的 Karazeris 指出，通常两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存积累，而库存积累不如真正的终端市场需求可持续。因此，他认为这种背离是芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“卡拉泽里斯说：”这些通常是在周期的顶部而不是底部看到的东西。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但也有可能全球采购经理人指数的放缓更多的是芯片短缺的反映，而不是短缺并非真实存在的迹象（只是库存积压）。“Leuthold 经济学家兼策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说：”这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会翻盘消亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布不得不减产是因为芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求不足。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及对大件商品被压抑的需求等因素，体面的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支撑对所有使用芯片的产品的需求，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股的回调——长期关注这 6 家公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股的回调——长期关注这 6 家公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares 半导体 ETF 较近期高点下跌超过 6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要大。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares 半导体 ETF 较近期高点下跌超过 6%，而标准普尔 500 指数、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为 2% 或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股票值得买入？或者，这个历史上具有周期性的行业是否故技重施，陷入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有股票多年，而不是租用几天，那么该集团值得购买。主要原因： “这次不一样”。</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>这些无疑是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了很大的变化，现在确实不同了——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我会回顾一下这些。但首先，以下是该集团现在 “更安全 ”的三个主要原因--以及我在过去几天里与六位行业专家交谈过的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>“Impax Asset Management 的投资组合经理 David Winborne 说：”受产品周期的驱动，芯片行业的需求总是时好时坏。“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长故事更可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益 “数字化 ”，终端市场需求从各个角度都更加多样化。把远程办公服务想象成<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">缩放</a>看好该集团的 Gabelli Funds 投资组合经理兼技术分析师 Hendi Susanto 指出，网上购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G 手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>“Motley Fool 芯片行业分析师 John Rotonti 说：”现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。“这意味着所有东西都有更多的筹码。长期需求是存在的”。</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他没开玩笑。威廉·布莱尔分析师格雷格·斯科拉罗预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着，你听到的大范围供应短缺 “可能要到明年年底的某个时候才能得到解决”。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师 Vivek Arya。“这不仅是我们的观点，而且<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>大多数大客户都证实了这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、玩家巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上下游，从设计到各类设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合成罗通蒂-评级 “赢得 ”的双头垄断或垄断。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，你有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻 (EUV) 等专业领域占据主导地位，例如 ASML。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好，赢得了他们的利基或双寡头地位。这使得投资者对它们感兴趣。Rotonti 表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面的行为更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所改善</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力比历史上高得多。“温伯恩说：”在过去的几年里，芯片制造的经济性有了很大的改善。现金流或 EBITDA 利润率现在通常超过 30%，而十年前则在 20% 左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere & Co. 的投资组合经理拉马尔·维莱尔 (Lamar Villere) 指出，尽管芯片股票的交易市盈率约为市盈率，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们并没有以泡沫倍数进行交易”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近核实的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新管理层玩法</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管 Thrivent 高级股票研究分析师彼得·卡拉泽里斯 (Peter Karazeris) 有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司的业绩可能会因为新管理层而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳定的盈利能力。高通最近受到德克萨斯州恶劣天气等一次性问题的打击，导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">半导体</a>正在将手机以外的领域扩展到汽车、工业和物联网等新领域——联网设备领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris 还特别提到了 Nvidia， 由于其卓越的设计能力， Nvidia 从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得了持续提振。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当高通和英伟达等公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">概要</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool 的 Rotonti 解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具可以帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他特别指出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上增长最快的公司，但他们的利润率很高”。他们也主宰了太空。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图应用到硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向了ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板印在硅片上，这一过程称为极紫外线光刻。“罗通蒂说：”其他人还没有想出怎么做。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应这样做的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供过于求</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多，这样它就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne 表示，希望到 2025 年生产其使用的芯片的 70%，高于目前的 5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>结果是，政府为促进制造业提供了大量支持，因此会有更多支持。风险是未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的采购，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润率趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair 的 Scolaro 指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>干扰信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人 (PMI) 指数在 4 月份达到峰值，然后连续三个月放缓。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。Thrivent 跟踪该指标的 Karazeris 指出，通常两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存积累，而库存积累不如真正的终端市场需求可持续。因此，他认为这种背离是芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“卡拉泽里斯说：”这些通常是在周期的顶部而不是底部看到的东西。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但也有可能全球采购经理人指数的放缓更多的是芯片短缺的反映，而不是短缺并非真实存在的迹象（只是库存积压）。“Leuthold 经济学家兼策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说：”这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会翻盘消亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布不得不减产是因为芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求不足。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及对大件商品被压抑的需求等因素，体面的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支撑对所有使用芯片的产品的需求，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNPS":"新思科技","AAPL":"苹果","TSM":"台积电","QCOM":"高通","NVDA":"英伟达","CDNS":"铿腾电子","GOOG":"谷歌","ASML":"阿斯麦","GOOGL":"谷歌A","SSNLF":"三星电子","AMZN":"亚马逊","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","ON":"安森美半导体"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOGL":0.9,"ON":0.9,"SOXX":0.9,"ASML":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"SNPS":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"GOOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2209,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836880706,"gmtCreate":1629469560405,"gmtModify":1631889848462,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"4c358947","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/default-avatar2.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577594477850307","authorIdStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836880706","repostId":"1102192078","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2848,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831808514,"gmtCreate":1629297810938,"gmtModify":1631889848474,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"4c358947","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/default-avatar2.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577594477850307","authorIdStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831808514","repostId":"1181537707","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181537707","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629297265,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1181537707?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-18 22:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation Is Higher in the U.S. Than Elsewhere, but Don’t Panic<blockquote>美国的通货膨胀率高于其他地方，但不要恐慌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181537707","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"While prices in the eurozone appear to be rising more slowly, the difference isn’t best explained by","content":"<p> While prices in the eurozone appear to be rising more slowly, the difference isn’t best explained by any inflationary economic policies in Washington. <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca674d5c6ff01a5f89997288be6364b8\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"517\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">America likes being exceptional, but too much exceptionalism when it comes to inflation is starting to cause concern. A closer look at the data suggests that investors can keep calm.</p><p><blockquote>虽然欧元区的物价上涨速度似乎较慢，但华盛顿的任何通货膨胀经济政策都无法最好地解释这种差异。美国喜欢例外，但在通货膨胀方面过多的例外主义开始引起关注。仔细观察数据表明，投资者可以保持冷静。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, official figures confirmed that the harmonized consumer-price index in the eurozone rose 2.2% in July from a year earlier. This marked an acceleration relative to June, when inflation was 1.9%. But stripping out energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices to see what is dubbed “core” inflation, the index only rose 0.7%, down from 0.9% the previous month.</p><p><blockquote>周三，官方数据证实，欧元区7月份统一消费者价格指数同比上涨2.2%。这标志着与 6 月份相比有所加速，当时通胀率为 1.9%。但如果剔除能源、食品、酒精和烟草价格，看看所谓的 “核心 ”通胀，该指数仅上涨了 0.7%，低于上月的 0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> What is surprising isn’t inflation being too strong in the eurozone, but rather it being too weakrelative to the U.S., where CPI growth reached 5.4% in July, with core inflation at 4.3%.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的不是欧元区的通胀过于强劲，而是与美国相比过于疲软，美国 7 月份 CPI 增长率达到 5.4%，核心通胀率为 4.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Officials argue that today’s inflation is only temporarily higher as global prices rebound from the troughs of the pandemic and companies work through supply bottlenecks. Yet, if it is so much higher in the U.S., doesn’t this mean that excessive fiscal and monetary policy are driving the economy—since transfers to households have been less generous in Europe—and could trigger a dangerous delayed reaction by the Federal Reserve? Some prominent economists think so.</p><p><blockquote>官员们认为，随着全球物价从大流行病的低谷中反弹，以及企业克服供应瓶颈，今天的通货膨胀率只是暂时上升。然而，如果美国的这一数字如此之高，这是否意味着过度的财政和货币政策正在推动经济发展--因为欧洲对家庭的转移支付并不那么慷慨--并可能引发美联储危险的延迟反应？一些著名经济学家是这么认为的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d76c2a0f13ab39592583dd45f8a3a9d2\" tg-width=\"742\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Once compared with U.S. data, however, Wednesday’s figures show that more than half of the 3.2-percentage-point gap between inflation figures across the Atlantic can be explained away by two factors.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与美国的数据相比，周三的数据显示，大西洋两岸通胀数据之间 3.2 个百分点的差距有一半以上可以用两个因素来解释。</blockquote></p><p> The first is Americans’ reliance on used cars, which make up 3.5% of their consumption baskets, versus 1.1% for Europeans. Auto makers are having production issues due to a microchip shortage. In Europe, consumers have delayed car purchases. In the U.S., they have bid the price of used cars up 42%.</p><p><blockquote>首先是美国人对二手车的依赖，二手车占其消费篮子的 3.5%，而欧洲人的这一比例为 1.1%。由于微芯片短缺，汽车制造商面临生产问题。在欧洲，消费者推迟了购车。在美国，他们将二手车的价格提高了42%。</blockquote></p><p> The other has to do with the way shelter costs are calculated. U.S. numbers include a theoretical category that factors in the rent that owner-occupiers would pay if they rented, whereas European statistics only count those who are actually renting—an issue that the European Central Bank is seeking to address. This has long made eurozone inflation appear lower, and is key now: While rents in both regions are up by a similar amount, they account for a massive 31% of the U.S. CPI basket, and only 7.5% of the European one.</p><p><blockquote>另一个与住房成本的计算方式有关。美国的数据包括一个理论类别，该类别考虑了业主兼居住者如果出租将支付的租金，而欧洲的统计数据只计算那些实际出租的人——这是欧洲央行正在寻求解决的问题。长期以来，这使得欧元区通胀率显得较低，现在也是关键：虽然这两个地区的租金上涨幅度相似，但它们占美国 CPI 篮子的 31%，仅占欧洲 CPI 篮子的 7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the differences that remain, most seem related to the U.S. having reopened its economy first, particularly travel. Airfares are up 19%, reflecting the degree of normality U.S. carriers are enjoying in the domestic market. Meanwhile, their European counterparts are still dealing with rafts of travel restrictions and have only increased prices 1%. There are similar stories for restaurants and hotels.</p><p><blockquote>在仍然存在的分歧中，大多数似乎与美国首先重新开放经济有关，尤其是旅游业。机票价格上涨了19%，反映出美国航空公司在国内市场享有的正常程度。与此同时，欧洲同行仍在应对大量旅行限制，价格仅上涨了1%。餐馆和酒店也有类似的故事。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d71c445a20f52dd97521b03eb12d417f\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"415\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">To be sure, the relative surge in some price categories, such as apparel, could be more indicative of demand-led pressure caused by American consumers being awash with cash. But the weakness inthe latest U.S. retail sales datashould be a check on any assumptions that a short-term rebound in spending willnecessarily lead to a sustained boom.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，服装等某些价格类别的相对飙升可能更多地表明美国消费者现金充裕所造成的需求主导压力。但最新美国零售销售数据的疲软应该是对任何假设的验证，即支出的短期反弹必然会导致持续繁荣。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, most goods’ prices have remained remarkably stable during the pandemic. A rebound in services will likely help European headline inflation catch up with its U.S. counterpart somewhat in the coming months. With the labor market recovery far from complete, though, signs of economic overheating on either side of the Atlantic are likely a mathematical mirage.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，在大流行病期间，大多数商品的价格都保持了非常稳定的状态。服务业的反弹可能会帮助欧洲总体通胀在未来几个月内在一定程度上赶上美国。然而，随着劳动力市场的复苏还远未完全，大西洋两岸经济过热的迹象可能只是一个数学海市蜃楼。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Is Higher in the U.S. Than Elsewhere, but Don’t Panic<blockquote>美国的通货膨胀率高于其他地方，但不要恐慌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Is Higher in the U.S. Than Elsewhere, but Don’t Panic<blockquote>美国的通货膨胀率高于其他地方，但不要恐慌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-18 22:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> While prices in the eurozone appear to be rising more slowly, the difference isn’t best explained by any inflationary economic policies in Washington. <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca674d5c6ff01a5f89997288be6364b8\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"517\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">America likes being exceptional, but too much exceptionalism when it comes to inflation is starting to cause concern. A closer look at the data suggests that investors can keep calm.</p><p><blockquote>虽然欧元区的物价上涨速度似乎较慢，但华盛顿的任何通货膨胀经济政策都无法最好地解释这种差异。美国喜欢例外，但在通货膨胀方面过多的例外主义开始引起关注。仔细观察数据表明，投资者可以保持冷静。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, official figures confirmed that the harmonized consumer-price index in the eurozone rose 2.2% in July from a year earlier. This marked an acceleration relative to June, when inflation was 1.9%. But stripping out energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices to see what is dubbed “core” inflation, the index only rose 0.7%, down from 0.9% the previous month.</p><p><blockquote>周三，官方数据证实，欧元区7月份统一消费者价格指数同比上涨2.2%。这标志着与 6 月份相比有所加速，当时通胀率为 1.9%。但如果剔除能源、食品、酒精和烟草价格，看看所谓的 “核心 ”通胀，该指数仅上涨了 0.7%，低于上月的 0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> What is surprising isn’t inflation being too strong in the eurozone, but rather it being too weakrelative to the U.S., where CPI growth reached 5.4% in July, with core inflation at 4.3%.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的不是欧元区的通胀过于强劲，而是与美国相比过于疲软，美国 7 月份 CPI 增长率达到 5.4%，核心通胀率为 4.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Officials argue that today’s inflation is only temporarily higher as global prices rebound from the troughs of the pandemic and companies work through supply bottlenecks. Yet, if it is so much higher in the U.S., doesn’t this mean that excessive fiscal and monetary policy are driving the economy—since transfers to households have been less generous in Europe—and could trigger a dangerous delayed reaction by the Federal Reserve? Some prominent economists think so.</p><p><blockquote>官员们认为，随着全球物价从大流行病的低谷中反弹，以及企业克服供应瓶颈，今天的通货膨胀率只是暂时上升。然而，如果美国的这一数字如此之高，这是否意味着过度的财政和货币政策正在推动经济发展--因为欧洲对家庭的转移支付并不那么慷慨--并可能引发美联储危险的延迟反应？一些著名经济学家是这么认为的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d76c2a0f13ab39592583dd45f8a3a9d2\" tg-width=\"742\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Once compared with U.S. data, however, Wednesday’s figures show that more than half of the 3.2-percentage-point gap between inflation figures across the Atlantic can be explained away by two factors.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与美国的数据相比，周三的数据显示，大西洋两岸通胀数据之间 3.2 个百分点的差距有一半以上可以用两个因素来解释。</blockquote></p><p> The first is Americans’ reliance on used cars, which make up 3.5% of their consumption baskets, versus 1.1% for Europeans. Auto makers are having production issues due to a microchip shortage. In Europe, consumers have delayed car purchases. In the U.S., they have bid the price of used cars up 42%.</p><p><blockquote>首先是美国人对二手车的依赖，二手车占其消费篮子的 3.5%，而欧洲人的这一比例为 1.1%。由于微芯片短缺，汽车制造商面临生产问题。在欧洲，消费者推迟了购车。在美国，他们将二手车的价格提高了42%。</blockquote></p><p> The other has to do with the way shelter costs are calculated. U.S. numbers include a theoretical category that factors in the rent that owner-occupiers would pay if they rented, whereas European statistics only count those who are actually renting—an issue that the European Central Bank is seeking to address. This has long made eurozone inflation appear lower, and is key now: While rents in both regions are up by a similar amount, they account for a massive 31% of the U.S. CPI basket, and only 7.5% of the European one.</p><p><blockquote>另一个与住房成本的计算方式有关。美国的数据包括一个理论类别，该类别考虑了业主兼居住者如果出租将支付的租金，而欧洲的统计数据只计算那些实际出租的人——这是欧洲央行正在寻求解决的问题。长期以来，这使得欧元区通胀率显得较低，现在也是关键：虽然这两个地区的租金上涨幅度相似，但它们占美国 CPI 篮子的 31%，仅占欧洲 CPI 篮子的 7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the differences that remain, most seem related to the U.S. having reopened its economy first, particularly travel. Airfares are up 19%, reflecting the degree of normality U.S. carriers are enjoying in the domestic market. Meanwhile, their European counterparts are still dealing with rafts of travel restrictions and have only increased prices 1%. There are similar stories for restaurants and hotels.</p><p><blockquote>在仍然存在的分歧中，大多数似乎与美国首先重新开放经济有关，尤其是旅游业。机票价格上涨了19%，反映出美国航空公司在国内市场享有的正常程度。与此同时，欧洲同行仍在应对大量旅行限制，价格仅上涨了1%。餐馆和酒店也有类似的故事。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d71c445a20f52dd97521b03eb12d417f\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"415\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">To be sure, the relative surge in some price categories, such as apparel, could be more indicative of demand-led pressure caused by American consumers being awash with cash. But the weakness inthe latest U.S. retail sales datashould be a check on any assumptions that a short-term rebound in spending willnecessarily lead to a sustained boom.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，服装等某些价格类别的相对飙升可能更多地表明美国消费者现金充裕所造成的需求主导压力。但最新美国零售销售数据的疲软应该是对任何假设的验证，即支出的短期反弹必然会导致持续繁荣。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, most goods’ prices have remained remarkably stable during the pandemic. A rebound in services will likely help European headline inflation catch up with its U.S. counterpart somewhat in the coming months. With the labor market recovery far from complete, though, signs of economic overheating on either side of the Atlantic are likely a mathematical mirage.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，在大流行病期间，大多数商品的价格都保持了非常稳定的状态。服务业的反弹可能会帮助欧洲总体通胀在未来几个月内在一定程度上赶上美国。然而，随着劳动力市场的复苏还远未完全，大西洋两岸经济过热的迹象可能只是一个数学海市蜃楼。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/inflation-is-higher-in-the-u-s-than-elsewhere-but-dont-panic-11629296911?mod=rss_markets_main\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/inflation-is-higher-in-the-u-s-than-elsewhere-but-dont-panic-11629296911?mod=rss_markets_main","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181537707","content_text":"While prices in the eurozone appear to be rising more slowly, the difference isn’t best explained by any inflationary economic policies in Washington.\n\nAmerica likes being exceptional, but too much exceptionalism when it comes to inflation is starting to cause concern. A closer look at the data suggests that investors can keep calm.\nOn Wednesday, official figures confirmed that the harmonized consumer-price index in the eurozone rose 2.2% in July from a year earlier. This marked an acceleration relative to June, when inflation was 1.9%. But stripping out energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices to see what is dubbed “core” inflation, the index only rose 0.7%, down from 0.9% the previous month.\nWhat is surprising isn’t inflation being too strong in the eurozone, but rather it being too weakrelative to the U.S., where CPI growth reached 5.4% in July, with core inflation at 4.3%.\nOfficials argue that today’s inflation is only temporarily higher as global prices rebound from the troughs of the pandemic and companies work through supply bottlenecks. Yet, if it is so much higher in the U.S., doesn’t this mean that excessive fiscal and monetary policy are driving the economy—since transfers to households have been less generous in Europe—and could trigger a dangerous delayed reaction by the Federal Reserve? Some prominent economists think so.\nOnce compared with U.S. data, however, Wednesday’s figures show that more than half of the 3.2-percentage-point gap between inflation figures across the Atlantic can be explained away by two factors.\nThe first is Americans’ reliance on used cars, which make up 3.5% of their consumption baskets, versus 1.1% for Europeans. Auto makers are having production issues due to a microchip shortage. In Europe, consumers have delayed car purchases. In the U.S., they have bid the price of used cars up 42%.\nThe other has to do with the way shelter costs are calculated. U.S. numbers include a theoretical category that factors in the rent that owner-occupiers would pay if they rented, whereas European statistics only count those who are actually renting—an issue that the European Central Bank is seeking to address. This has long made eurozone inflation appear lower, and is key now: While rents in both regions are up by a similar amount, they account for a massive 31% of the U.S. CPI basket, and only 7.5% of the European one.\nOf the differences that remain, most seem related to the U.S. having reopened its economy first, particularly travel. Airfares are up 19%, reflecting the degree of normality U.S. carriers are enjoying in the domestic market. Meanwhile, their European counterparts are still dealing with rafts of travel restrictions and have only increased prices 1%. There are similar stories for restaurants and hotels.\nTo be sure, the relative surge in some price categories, such as apparel, could be more indicative of demand-led pressure caused by American consumers being awash with cash. But the weakness inthe latest U.S. retail sales datashould be a check on any assumptions that a short-term rebound in spending willnecessarily lead to a sustained boom.\nOverall, most goods’ prices have remained remarkably stable during the pandemic. A rebound in services will likely help European headline inflation catch up with its U.S. counterpart somewhat in the coming months. With the labor market recovery far from complete, though, signs of economic overheating on either side of the Atlantic are likely a mathematical mirage.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1874,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839156165,"gmtCreate":1629128670657,"gmtModify":1631889848489,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"4c358947","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/default-avatar2.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577594477850307","authorIdStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839156165","repostId":"2159248377","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3864,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897881867,"gmtCreate":1628905673559,"gmtModify":1631889848503,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"4c358947","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/default-avatar2.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577594477850307","authorIdStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897881867","repostId":"2159215280","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3523,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895787670,"gmtCreate":1628774111190,"gmtModify":1631889848508,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"4c358947","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/default-avatar2.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577594477850307","authorIdStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895787670","repostId":"2158579452","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895024460,"gmtCreate":1628695969150,"gmtModify":1631889848524,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"4c358947","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/default-avatar2.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577594477850307","authorIdStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895024460","repostId":"1197984437","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197984437","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628695457,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1197984437?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-11 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin ETF Filing Flood Collides With Cooling Demand for Funds<blockquote>比特币 ETF 申请洪水与资金需求降温发生冲突</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197984437","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler ignited a fresh wave of op","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler ignited a fresh wave of optimism among Bitcoin exchange-traded fund advocates this month -- but it’s unclear whether investors share that enthusiasm.</p><p><blockquote>(彭博社）--美国证券交易委员会主席加里-詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）本月在比特币交易所交易基金的倡导者中点燃了新一轮的乐观情绪--但目前还不清楚投资者是否也有这种热情。</blockquote></p><p> Digital-asset investment products from Grayscale, Bitwise, 21Shares and others saw outflows for the fifth straight week, the longest such streak since January 2018, according to data compiled by CoinShares. The outflows total roughly $93 million over that stretch. Much of it is thanks to money being yanked away from Bitcoin products, according to the digital-asset manager.</p><p><blockquote>根据CoinShares汇编的数据，Grayscale、Bitwise、21Shares和其他公司的数字资产投资产品连续第五周出现资金流出，这是自2018年1月以来最长的连续流出。在此期间，资金外流总额约为 9300 万美元。这家数字资产管理公司表示，这在很大程度上是由于资金从比特币产品中被抽走。</blockquote></p><p> The cooling appetite stands in contrast to the growing pile of cryptocurrency ETF filings, with at least 18 applications landing with the SEC this year. That tally grew by three in the past two weeks after Gensler signaled that regulators may be more open to a Bitcoin ETF if it was based around futures rather than the cryptocurrency itself. However, even if the SEC finally green-lights the fund structure, it’s not a sure bet that a Bitcoin ETF would be met with huge demand, according to Meltem Demirors of Coinshares.</p><p><blockquote>这种降温的胃口与越来越多的加密货币 ETF 申请形成鲜明对比，今年至少有 18 份申请提交给了 SEC。在 Gensler 表示，如果比特币 ETF 以期货而不是加密货币本身为基础，监管机构可能会对其更加开放后，这一数字在过去两周内增长了 3 个。不过，Coinshares 的 Meltem Demirors 表示，即使美国证券交易委员会最终为该基金结构开了绿灯，比特币 ETF 能否满足巨大的需求也不能确定。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s so many venues for people to buy and sell Bitcoin, to get exposure to Bitcoin in tax-managed accounts,” said Demirors, chief strategy officer at CoinShares. “We’re not really sure what the demand will look like because is the maturation of crypto in the U.S. is already quite high.”</p><p><blockquote>“CoinShares 首席战略官 Demirors 说：”人们买卖比特币、在税务管理账户中接触比特币的场所有很多。“我们不太确定需求会是什么样子，因为加密货币在美国的成熟度已经相当高了。”</blockquote></p><p> After setting an all-time high of nearly $65,000 in April, Bitcoin resumed its volatile price swings. The world’s largest cryptocurrency dropped below $30,000 in June as environmental and regulatory concerns hammered sentiment. Bitcoin has since rebounded to more than $46,000, even as the U.S. Senate passed an infrastructure bill that would allow for broad oversight of virtual currencies.</p><p><blockquote>在 4 月份创下近 65,000 美元的历史新高后，比特币恢复了价格波动。由于环境和监管问题打击了市场情绪，全球最大的加密货币在 6 月份跌破 3 万美元。此后，比特币已反弹至 46,000 美元以上，尽管美国参议院通过了一项基础设施法案，允许对虚拟货币进行广泛监管。</blockquote></p><p> However, fund flows have yet to match the rebound. Bitcoin funds and futures are on track for a third straight month of outflows, the longest streak in data going back to 2014, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. The bulk of that decline is due to decreasing open interest in Bitcoin futures, meaning traders let their contracts roll off without renewing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，资金流动尚未赶上反弹。根据彭博资讯（Bloomberg Intelligence）的数据，比特币基金和期货有望连续第三个月资金外流，这是自2014年以来最长的数据连续流出。这一下降的主要原因是对比特币期货的未平仓兴趣下降，这意味着交易员让他们的合约滚动而不续签。</blockquote></p><p> The outflows might even be bigger, if not for the fact that the $30 billion Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (ticker GBTC) -- the largest crypto fund -- doesn’t allow for share redemptions. That’s after shares of the trust ballooned by the hundreds of millions earlier this year amid the crypto craze. As a result, GBTC has traded at a persistent discount to its underlying Bitcoin since March.</p><p><blockquote>如果不是因为最大的加密货币基金--价值 300 亿美元的灰度比特币信托基金（股票代码 GBTC）不允许股票赎回，资金流出可能会更大。在此之前，在今年早些时候的加密货币热潮中，该信托基金的股票暴涨了数亿美元。因此，自 3 月份以来，GBTC 的交易价格一直低于其标的比特币。</blockquote></p><p> But still, in the eyes of Bloomberg Intelligence’s James Seyffart, it’s just a matter of time before investors flood back into crypto funds.</p><p><blockquote>不过，在彭博情报公司（Bloomberg Intelligence）的詹姆斯-塞法特（James Seyffart）看来，投资者重返加密货币基金只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> “I think there’s still demand for Bitcoin products that people can access on the traditional financial system rails, if you will,” Seyffart said. “Flows tend to follow performance in areas and products like this, so with the recent weeks of performance for Bitcoin, I wouldn’t be surprised to see those flow numbers potentially turn around.”</p><p><blockquote>“塞法特说：”我认为，如果愿意，人们可以在传统的金融系统轨道上使用比特币产品，对这些产品的需求仍然存在。“在这样的领域和产品中，流量往往会跟随业绩，因此，随着比特币最近几周的业绩，如果看到这些流量数字有可能好转，我不会感到惊讶。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin ETF Filing Flood Collides With Cooling Demand for Funds<blockquote>比特币 ETF 申请洪水与资金需求降温发生冲突</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin ETF Filing Flood Collides With Cooling Demand for Funds<blockquote>比特币 ETF 申请洪水与资金需求降温发生冲突</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-11 23:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler ignited a fresh wave of optimism among Bitcoin exchange-traded fund advocates this month -- but it’s unclear whether investors share that enthusiasm.</p><p><blockquote>(彭博社）--美国证券交易委员会主席加里-詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）本月在比特币交易所交易基金的倡导者中点燃了新一轮的乐观情绪--但目前还不清楚投资者是否也有这种热情。</blockquote></p><p> Digital-asset investment products from Grayscale, Bitwise, 21Shares and others saw outflows for the fifth straight week, the longest such streak since January 2018, according to data compiled by CoinShares. The outflows total roughly $93 million over that stretch. Much of it is thanks to money being yanked away from Bitcoin products, according to the digital-asset manager.</p><p><blockquote>根据CoinShares汇编的数据，Grayscale、Bitwise、21Shares和其他公司的数字资产投资产品连续第五周出现资金流出，这是自2018年1月以来最长的连续流出。在此期间，资金外流总额约为 9300 万美元。这家数字资产管理公司表示，这在很大程度上是由于资金从比特币产品中被抽走。</blockquote></p><p> The cooling appetite stands in contrast to the growing pile of cryptocurrency ETF filings, with at least 18 applications landing with the SEC this year. That tally grew by three in the past two weeks after Gensler signaled that regulators may be more open to a Bitcoin ETF if it was based around futures rather than the cryptocurrency itself. However, even if the SEC finally green-lights the fund structure, it’s not a sure bet that a Bitcoin ETF would be met with huge demand, according to Meltem Demirors of Coinshares.</p><p><blockquote>这种降温的胃口与越来越多的加密货币 ETF 申请形成鲜明对比，今年至少有 18 份申请提交给了 SEC。在 Gensler 表示，如果比特币 ETF 以期货而不是加密货币本身为基础，监管机构可能会对其更加开放后，这一数字在过去两周内增长了 3 个。不过，Coinshares 的 Meltem Demirors 表示，即使美国证券交易委员会最终为该基金结构开了绿灯，比特币 ETF 能否满足巨大的需求也不能确定。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s so many venues for people to buy and sell Bitcoin, to get exposure to Bitcoin in tax-managed accounts,” said Demirors, chief strategy officer at CoinShares. “We’re not really sure what the demand will look like because is the maturation of crypto in the U.S. is already quite high.”</p><p><blockquote>“CoinShares 首席战略官 Demirors 说：”人们买卖比特币、在税务管理账户中接触比特币的场所有很多。“我们不太确定需求会是什么样子，因为加密货币在美国的成熟度已经相当高了。”</blockquote></p><p> After setting an all-time high of nearly $65,000 in April, Bitcoin resumed its volatile price swings. The world’s largest cryptocurrency dropped below $30,000 in June as environmental and regulatory concerns hammered sentiment. Bitcoin has since rebounded to more than $46,000, even as the U.S. Senate passed an infrastructure bill that would allow for broad oversight of virtual currencies.</p><p><blockquote>在 4 月份创下近 65,000 美元的历史新高后，比特币恢复了价格波动。由于环境和监管问题打击了市场情绪，全球最大的加密货币在 6 月份跌破 3 万美元。此后，比特币已反弹至 46,000 美元以上，尽管美国参议院通过了一项基础设施法案，允许对虚拟货币进行广泛监管。</blockquote></p><p> However, fund flows have yet to match the rebound. Bitcoin funds and futures are on track for a third straight month of outflows, the longest streak in data going back to 2014, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. The bulk of that decline is due to decreasing open interest in Bitcoin futures, meaning traders let their contracts roll off without renewing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，资金流动尚未赶上反弹。根据彭博资讯（Bloomberg Intelligence）的数据，比特币基金和期货有望连续第三个月资金外流，这是自2014年以来最长的数据连续流出。这一下降的主要原因是对比特币期货的未平仓兴趣下降，这意味着交易员让他们的合约滚动而不续签。</blockquote></p><p> The outflows might even be bigger, if not for the fact that the $30 billion Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (ticker GBTC) -- the largest crypto fund -- doesn’t allow for share redemptions. That’s after shares of the trust ballooned by the hundreds of millions earlier this year amid the crypto craze. As a result, GBTC has traded at a persistent discount to its underlying Bitcoin since March.</p><p><blockquote>如果不是因为最大的加密货币基金--价值 300 亿美元的灰度比特币信托基金（股票代码 GBTC）不允许股票赎回，资金流出可能会更大。在此之前，在今年早些时候的加密货币热潮中，该信托基金的股票暴涨了数亿美元。因此，自 3 月份以来，GBTC 的交易价格一直低于其标的比特币。</blockquote></p><p> But still, in the eyes of Bloomberg Intelligence’s James Seyffart, it’s just a matter of time before investors flood back into crypto funds.</p><p><blockquote>不过，在彭博情报公司（Bloomberg Intelligence）的詹姆斯-塞法特（James Seyffart）看来，投资者重返加密货币基金只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> “I think there’s still demand for Bitcoin products that people can access on the traditional financial system rails, if you will,” Seyffart said. “Flows tend to follow performance in areas and products like this, so with the recent weeks of performance for Bitcoin, I wouldn’t be surprised to see those flow numbers potentially turn around.”</p><p><blockquote>“塞法特说：”我认为，如果愿意，人们可以在传统的金融系统轨道上使用比特币产品，对这些产品的需求仍然存在。“在这样的领域和产品中，流量往往会跟随业绩，因此，随着比特币最近几周的业绩，如果看到这些流量数字有可能好转，我不会感到惊讶。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-etf-filing-flood-collides-150226371.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-etf-filing-flood-collides-150226371.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197984437","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler ignited a fresh wave of optimism among Bitcoin exchange-traded fund advocates this month -- but it’s unclear whether investors share that enthusiasm.\nDigital-asset investment products from Grayscale, Bitwise, 21Shares and others saw outflows for the fifth straight week, the longest such streak since January 2018, according to data compiled by CoinShares. The outflows total roughly $93 million over that stretch. Much of it is thanks to money being yanked away from Bitcoin products, according to the digital-asset manager.\nThe cooling appetite stands in contrast to the growing pile of cryptocurrency ETF filings, with at least 18 applications landing with the SEC this year. That tally grew by three in the past two weeks after Gensler signaled that regulators may be more open to a Bitcoin ETF if it was based around futures rather than the cryptocurrency itself. However, even if the SEC finally green-lights the fund structure, it’s not a sure bet that a Bitcoin ETF would be met with huge demand, according to Meltem Demirors of Coinshares.\n“There’s so many venues for people to buy and sell Bitcoin, to get exposure to Bitcoin in tax-managed accounts,” said Demirors, chief strategy officer at CoinShares. “We’re not really sure what the demand will look like because is the maturation of crypto in the U.S. is already quite high.”\nAfter setting an all-time high of nearly $65,000 in April, Bitcoin resumed its volatile price swings. The world’s largest cryptocurrency dropped below $30,000 in June as environmental and regulatory concerns hammered sentiment. Bitcoin has since rebounded to more than $46,000, even as the U.S. Senate passed an infrastructure bill that would allow for broad oversight of virtual currencies.\nHowever, fund flows have yet to match the rebound. Bitcoin funds and futures are on track for a third straight month of outflows, the longest streak in data going back to 2014, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. The bulk of that decline is due to decreasing open interest in Bitcoin futures, meaning traders let their contracts roll off without renewing.\nThe outflows might even be bigger, if not for the fact that the $30 billion Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (ticker GBTC) -- the largest crypto fund -- doesn’t allow for share redemptions. That’s after shares of the trust ballooned by the hundreds of millions earlier this year amid the crypto craze. As a result, GBTC has traded at a persistent discount to its underlying Bitcoin since March.\nBut still, in the eyes of Bloomberg Intelligence’s James Seyffart, it’s just a matter of time before investors flood back into crypto funds.\n“I think there’s still demand for Bitcoin products that people can access on the traditional financial system rails, if you will,” Seyffart said. “Flows tend to follow performance in areas and products like this, so with the recent weeks of performance for Bitcoin, I wouldn’t be surprised to see those flow numbers potentially turn around.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1768,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896458939,"gmtCreate":1628602772621,"gmtModify":1631889848533,"author":{"id":"3577594477850307","authorId":"3577594477850307","name":"4c358947","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/default-avatar2.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577594477850307","authorIdStr":"3577594477850307"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896458939","repostId":"1139214891","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}