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Forces94
Forces94
·
2021-09-05
Match
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Forces94
Forces94
·
2021-09-05
Best of best
@Kentlieu：
$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$ Jumia, the African largest e-commerce company. What is your thinking on this company as the stock price has been consolidate for a long time? Will it be hitting back to usd26 or higher than that?
$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$ Jumia, the African largest e-commerce company. What is your thinking on this company as the stock price has been consolidate for a long time? Will it be hitting back to usd26 or higher than that?
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Forces94
Forces94
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2021-07-31
Ok
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Forces94
Forces94
·
2021-07-30
Ok
This eye-catching divergence in the stock market is a warning against complacency<blockquote>股市这种引人注目的分歧是对自满的警告</blockquote>
S&P 500’s core outlook remains bullish GETTY IMAGES The S&P 500 index is performing at a far differe
This eye-catching divergence in the stock market is a warning against complacency<blockquote>股市这种引人注目的分歧是对自满的警告</blockquote>
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Forces94
Forces94
·
2021-07-27
Top
Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>
Stock Futures Slip With Tech Earnings on Tap Quarterly results are due from Apple, Microsoft and A
Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>
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Forces94
Forces94
·
2021-07-26
top
Starbucks' Q3 Earnings Preview: Will Reopening Momentum Last?<blockquote>星巴克第三季度收益预览：重新开业的势头会持续吗？</blockquote>
The international coffee giant is set to report earnings after the market closes on Tuesday.
Starbucks' Q3 Earnings Preview: Will Reopening Momentum Last?<blockquote>星巴克第三季度收益预览：重新开业的势头会持续吗？</blockquote>
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Forces94
Forces94
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2021-07-23
Go
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Forces94
Forces94
·
2021-07-22
Nice
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Forces94
Forces94
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2021-07-21
Bounce
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Forces94
Forces94
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2021-07-19
Apple
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What is your thinking on this company as the stock price has been consolidate for a long time? Will it be hitting back to usd26 or higher than that? ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JMIA\">$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$</a> Jumia, the African largest e-commerce company. What is your thinking on this company as the stock price has been consolidate for a long time? Will it be hitting back to usd26 or higher than that? ","text":"$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$ Jumia, the African largest e-commerce company. What is your thinking on this company as the stock price has been consolidate for a long time? Will it be hitting back to usd26 or higher than that?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ead6e7896e8bf84a4ad61b05606fb0c7","width":"1080","height":"3873"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814138356","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806455427,"gmtCreate":1627690703669,"gmtModify":1633757148431,"author":{"id":"3580525950436441","authorId":"3580525950436441","name":"Forces94","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580525950436441","authorIdStr":"3580525950436441"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806455427","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806238444,"gmtCreate":1627656872888,"gmtModify":1633757345894,"author":{"id":"3580525950436441","authorId":"3580525950436441","name":"Forces94","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580525950436441","authorIdStr":"3580525950436441"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806238444","repostId":"1198838390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198838390","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627656767,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1198838390?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-30 22:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This eye-catching divergence in the stock market is a warning against complacency<blockquote>股市这种引人注目的分歧是对自满的警告</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198838390","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"S&P 500’s core outlook remains bullish\nGETTY IMAGES\nThe S&P 500 index is performing at a far differe","content":"<p>S&P 500’s core outlook remains bullish</p><p><blockquote>标普500的核心前景仍然看涨</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a9a9d5fb12a2f91c146699e5be54c5c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 index is performing at a far different rate than the “average” stock. This has been going on for a while and is not necessarily a bull market “killer,” but it is certainly not the healthiest of environments.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数的表现与 “平均 ”股票大相径庭。这种情况已经持续了一段时间，不一定是牛市的 “杀手”，但肯定不是最健康的环境。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P,the NASDAQ-100 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are all at or near all-time highs. But the Russell 2000 is lagging behind, reflective of the poor internal strength of the overall market. The internal measurements show fairly heavy put buying, poor breadth on many days, and even more new 52-week lows than new highs.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔、纳斯达克100指数和道琼斯工业平均指数都处于或接近历史高点。但罗素2000指数表现落后，反映出整体市场的内部实力较弱。内部测量显示，看跌期权买入相当多，许多日子的宽度较差，52周新低甚至多于新高。</blockquote></p><p> What is propelling SPX and the narrow-based indexes is a relatively small number of large-cap tech stocks.</p><p><blockquote>推动SPX和窄基指数的是数量相对较少的大型科技股。</blockquote></p><p> Similar stories have unfolded many times in the past – some with dire market results and some not so bad. But it is extremely difficult to keep a bull market going with the majority of stocks lagging behind.</p><p><blockquote>类似的故事在过去已经上演过很多次——有些市场结果很糟糕，有些则没那么糟糕。但在大多数股票落后的情况下，维持牛市是极其困难的。</blockquote></p><p> Two rather notable, but certainly not recent, occurrences were 1) the “Nifty Fifty” stocks of 1973 that seemed to “defy gravity” and kept going up while the rest of the market was stumbling; eventually that situation deteriorated into a raging bear market in 1974, and 2) the “stealth bear market” of 1994, where small-caps went down for most of the year, yet SPX was essentially flat during that time; there never<i>was</i>much of a decline in that index until an unrelated scandal (the Orange County debacle) took it down briefly late in the year.</p><p><blockquote>两个相当引人注目但肯定不是最近发生的事件是：1) 1973 年的“漂亮五十只”股票，它们似乎“无视地心引力”，在市场其他股票跌跌撞撞时继续上涨；最终，这种情况恶化为 1974 年的熊市，以及 2) 1994 年的“隐形熊市”，小盘股在这一年的大部分时间里都在下跌，但 SPX 在此期间基本持平；从来没有<i>什么</i>该指数大幅下降，直到年底一场不相关的丑闻（奥兰治县惨案）使其短暂下跌。</blockquote></p><p> This situation is not irreversible. It could “right” itself if breadth were to improve. That is still a possibility.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况并非不可逆转。如果要提高宽度，它可以 “纠正 ”自己。这仍然是一种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> The SPX chart is still in a bullish mode, as it is rising and above support. There is minor support at this week’s lows, near 4370. Then there is more important support below that at 4233 (the July lows). As long as SPX remains above that level, the chart will still have a bullish appearance. Further support levels at 4160 and 4060 were well-tested, but are so far below current levels as to be of little use.</p><p><blockquote>SPX图表仍处于看涨模式，因为它正在上升并高于支撑位。本周低点 4370 点附近有小幅支撑。然后在4233（7月低点）下方还有更重要的支撑。只要SPX保持在该水平之上，图表仍将呈现看涨态势。4160 和 4060 的进一步支撑位已经过充分测试，但远低于当前水平，用处不大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/033187b97fbfadb4f302aff6d1e0e8c6\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米伦</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As noted on the accompanying SPX chart, a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is place (green “S” on the upper right of the chart). In addition, there is now a realized volatility sell signal in place, too, as the S&P’s 20-day historical volatility has risen above 11%.</p><p><blockquote>如随附的 SPX 图表所示，出现了麦克米伦波动带 (MVB) 卖出信号（图表右上角的绿色“S”）。此外，由于标准普尔指数的 20 天历史波动率已升至 11% 以上，现在也出现了已实现的波动率卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> Equity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals, as they are still rising. This is indicative of relatively heavy put buying over the past month. As one can see from the accompanying charts, the standard ratio is rising faster than the weighted ratio – but both are rising.</p><p><blockquote>纯股票看跌看涨期权比率仍处于卖出信号，因为它们仍在上升。这表明过去一个月的看跌期权买入相对较多。从随附的图表中可以看出，标准比率的上升速度快于加权比率——但两者都在上升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94f1634f122ad3efa266cde27ddd8599\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米伦</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786b9a1f7118e239186772ceb365b513\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米伦</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Breadth has been the most prominent indicator of the internal troubles that the current market is experiencing. It has been negative on many days when SPX was making new all-time highs. As a result, our breadth oscillators are lagging behind the market. Yes, they are on buy signals, but are nowhere near the positive levels that one would expect to see with the NASDAQ-100, S&P 500 and Dow industrials at or near their highs.</p><p><blockquote>广度是当前市场正在经历的内部麻烦的最突出指标。当 SPX 创下历史新高时，它已经连续很多天为负值。因此，我们的宽度振荡器落后于市场。是的，它们发出了买入信号，但远未达到人们预期的纳斯达克 100 指数、标普500指数和陶氏工业指数处于或接近高点的积极水平。</blockquote></p><p> There was one small ray of improvement here on Wednesday, though, when the broad market was flat-to-down on the day, yet breadth was positive. We have not seen that much recently, but if it should continue, that would be bullish for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>不过，周三这里有一丝小小的改善，当时大盘当天持平，但宽度是积极的。我们最近没有看到那么多，但如果这种情况继续下去，这将利好股市。</blockquote></p><p> The cumulative breadth oscillators continue to lag, and that is the “official” measure of a negative divergence. The cumulative breadth indicators made new all-time highs on 10 of 13 trading days leading up to and including June 11. Since then, they have not made a single new all-time high. Meanwhile, SPX has made new all-time highs on 13 separate trading days since that date.<i>That</i>is a negative divergence.</p><p><blockquote>累积宽度振荡指标继续滞后，这是负背离的“官方”衡量标准。在6月11日之前（包括6月11日）的13个交易日中，有10个交易日创下历史新高。从那以后，他们再也没有创下历史新高。与此同时，自该日起，SPX 已连续 13 个交易日创下历史新高。<i>那个</i>是负发散。</blockquote></p><p> It can be overcome by an improvement in the cumulative breadth indicators – something which was accomplished earlier this year. But, for now, this negative divergence remains as a warning sign to stay alert and not become complacent.</p><p><blockquote>这可以通过改善累积宽度指标来克服——这是今年早些时候实现的。但是，就目前而言，这种负面分歧仍然是一个警告信号，提醒我们保持警惕，不要自满。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Over the past week, new 52-weeks lows were more numerous than new 52-week highs in terms of NASDAQ data and in terms of “stocks only” data. However, it is the NYSE that we use for our indicator, and new highs managed to cling to a narrow lead over new lows there. Thus, this indicator – while weakening – is still in a bullish state.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一周里，就纳斯达克数据和 “仅限股票 ”数据而言，52 周新低多于 52 周新高。然而，我们使用的指标是纽约证券交易所，新高设法在新低上保持了微弱领先优势。因此，该指标虽然走弱，但仍处于看涨状态。</blockquote></p><p> The one area of the market that has not shown these negative tendencies is implied volatility – VIX and its trading products. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20 is still in place. In fact, there has been a continuous “spike peak” buy signal in place since May 21, except for two trading days. Moreover, the trend of VIX remains downward as the 200-day moving average is still declining, and it is well above the VIX 20-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>市场中没有表现出这些负面趋势的一个领域是隐含波动率——VIX及其交易产品。7 月 20 日的 VIX “尖峰 ”买入信号仍然有效。事实上，自 5 月 21 日以来，除了两个交易日外，一直存在连续的 “尖峰 ”买入信号。此外，由于200日移动平均线仍在下降，VIX的趋势仍然向下，并且远高于VIX 20日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/647dc26baa4fe92b852e1a1585a5cc18\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米伦</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The construct of volatility derivatives remains positive for stocks. The front-month August VIX futures are trading at a rather large premium to VIX, and the VIX futures term structure slopes upward. Also, the CBOE Volatility Indices term structure slopes upward. These add up to a bullish scenario for stocks. Any danger for the broad market would be signaled by the August VIX futures trading at a higher price than the September VIX futures, but that it is not imminent.</p><p><blockquote>波动性衍生品的结构对股票来说仍然是积极的。近月 8 月 VIX 期货交易价格较 VIX 溢价相当大，VIX 期货期限结构呈上升趋势。此外，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数期限结构向上倾斜。这些都构成了股市的看涨情景。8 月份 VIX 期货价格高于 9 月份 VIX 期货价格，预示着大盘面临的任何危险，但这并不迫在眉睫。</blockquote></p><p> So, the “core” outlook for the market remains bullish due to the trends of SPX and VIX. Yes, the internals are warning against complacency, so we can take sell signals against this “core” bullish position, but as long as SPX remains above support at 4233, the bulls remain in charge.</p><p><blockquote>因此，由于 SPX 和 VIX 的趋势，市场的 “核心 ”前景仍然看涨。是的，内部人士警告不要自满，因此我们可以针对这一 “核心 ”看涨头寸发出卖出信号，但只要 SPX 保持在 4233 的支撑位上方，多头仍然占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New Recommendation: D.R. Horton</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新建议：D.R。霍顿</b></blockquote></p><p> D.R. HortonDHI,+0.50%has a new buy signal from its put-call ratio chart, but we want that to be confirmed by an upside breakout as well. From the chart below, one can see the local maximum at an extremely high level on the put-call ratio chart (the green “B”), and that is an example of extreme pessimism toward this stock, even though its pullback since the beginning of May has not been all that steep.</p><p><blockquote>博士HortonDHI,+0.50% 从其看跌看涨期权比率图表中发出了新的买入信号，但我们也希望上行突破来证实这一点。从下图可以看出，在看跌看涨期权比率图上（绿色 “B”）的极高水平出现了局部最高值，这是对该股极度悲观的一个例子，尽管该股自 5 月初以来的回调幅度并没有那么大。</blockquote></p><p> Put-call ratio signals are contrary in nature, so if the public is extremely pessimistic, we want to be optimistic. That would materialize in the form of a call buy, but only if DHI can close above resistance at 93.</p><p><blockquote>看跌看涨期权比率信号本质上是相反的，因此如果公众极度悲观，我们希望乐观。这将以看涨期权买入的形式实现，但前提是 DHI 能够收于 93 点的阻力位上方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IF DHI closes above 93,</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果DHI收盘高于93，</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>THEN buy 2 DHI Sept (17th) 92.5 calls</b></p><p><blockquote><b>然后购买 2 DHI 9 月 (17) 92.5 评级</b></blockquote></p><p> DHI is currently trading above 93, but we want to see it close there before taking a long call position.</p><p><blockquote>DHI 目前交易价格高于 93，但我们希望在建立多头看涨期权头寸之前看到它收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/006888c3a8db8d4a3ffa406ebfc2b2e1\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米伦</blockquote></p><p> That is the only new recommendation. There has not been a lot of takeover rumor activity recently except for<b>Cerner Corp.</b>CERN,+1.38%However, we only recently exited a position in Cerner, as the takeover rumors had been around so long that they extended beyond the length of the expiration date of our calls.</p><p><blockquote>这是唯一的新建议。最近没有太多的收购传闻活动，除了<b>塞纳公司。</b>CERN,+1.38%然而，我们最近才退出了 Cerner 的头寸，因为收购传闻已经存在了很长时间，已经超过了我们评级的到期日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Follow-up action</b></p><p><blockquote><b>后续行动</b></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>All stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>除非另有说明，所有止损均为精神收盘止损。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 3 DUK Aug (20th) 100 calls:</b>Raise the trailing stop to 102.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙 3 DUK 8 月 (20) 100 评级：</b>将跟踪止损提高到102。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 4 DBX Aug (13th) 30.5 calls:</b>Raise the trailing stop to 30.20.</p><p><blockquote><b>长 4 DBX 8 月（13 日）30.5 评级：</b>将追踪止损提高到30.20。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 1 RAPT Aug (20th) 30 call:</b>The stop yourself remains at 26.</p><p><blockquote><b>长1 RAPT 8月（20日）30日看涨期权：</b>停止你自己仍然是26。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 1 SPY Aug (20th) 431 call:</b>This position was bought in line with the VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20. Continue to hold for 22 days from that date. The position would be stopped out if VIX were to rise 3.00 points or more within any three-day period, using closing prices. If it is stopped out, then re-enter with an at-the-money call on the ensuing buy signal.</p><p><blockquote><b>长 1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8 月 (20) 431 看涨期权：</b>该头寸是根据 7 月 20 日 VIX “尖峰 ”买入信号买入的。自该日起继续持有22天。如果 VIX 在任何三天内（使用收盘价）上涨 3.00 点或以上，则该头寸将被平仓。如果它被阻止，那么在随后的买入信号上用平价看涨期权重新进入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 2 HOLX Sept (17th) 65 calls:</b>Raise the trailing stop yourself to 68. Furthermore, if the stop trades at 75, then roll up to the<b>Sept (17th) 75 calls.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Long 2 HOLX Sept (17) 65 评级：</b>将跟踪停止提升到68。此外，如果止损点在 75 点交易，则向上滚动至<b>9月（17日）75评级。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 1 SPY Aug (20th) 433 put and short 1 SPY Aug (20th) 408 put:</b>This spread was bought in line with the equity-only put-call ratio sell signals. Those sell signals are still in place, so continue to hold this spread. We will update the situation weekly.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头 1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8 月（20 日）433 看跌期权和空头 1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8 月（20 日）408 看跌期权：</b>该价差是根据纯股票看跌看涨期权比率卖出信号购买的。这些卖出信号仍然存在，因此继续持有这个价差。我们将每周更新情况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 0 AVCT Aug (20th) 5 calls:</b>These calls were stopped out when American Virtual Cloud TechnologiesAVCT,-1.30%closed below 5 on July 26. The stock had begun to weaken on news of debt reduction and then fell sharply after the company filed to sell more shares.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头 0 AVCT 8 月 (20) 5 日 评级：</b>当 American Virtual Cloud TechnologiesAVCT,-1.30% 于 7 月 26 日收盘价低于 5 时，这些评级被停止。由于债务削减的消息，该股开始走弱，然后在该公司申请出售更多股票后大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 5 STAR Aug (20th) 22.5 calls:</b>Raise the stop to 22.20.</p><p><blockquote><b>长5星8月（20日）22.5评级：</b>将止损提高到22.20。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 5 MGI Aug (20th) 10 calls:</b>Hold this position without a stop initially to see if a takeover bid can materialize.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头 5 MGI 8 月（20 日）10 日评级：</b>最初不间断地持有此头寸，看看收购要约是否能实现。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This eye-catching divergence in the stock market is a warning against complacency<blockquote>股市这种引人注目的分歧是对自满的警告</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis eye-catching divergence in the stock market is a warning against complacency<blockquote>股市这种引人注目的分歧是对自满的警告</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-30 22:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>S&P 500’s core outlook remains bullish</p><p><blockquote>标普500的核心前景仍然看涨</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a9a9d5fb12a2f91c146699e5be54c5c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 index is performing at a far different rate than the “average” stock. This has been going on for a while and is not necessarily a bull market “killer,” but it is certainly not the healthiest of environments.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数的表现与 “平均 ”股票大相径庭。这种情况已经持续了一段时间，不一定是牛市的 “杀手”，但肯定不是最健康的环境。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P,the NASDAQ-100 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are all at or near all-time highs. But the Russell 2000 is lagging behind, reflective of the poor internal strength of the overall market. The internal measurements show fairly heavy put buying, poor breadth on many days, and even more new 52-week lows than new highs.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔、纳斯达克100指数和道琼斯工业平均指数都处于或接近历史高点。但罗素2000指数表现落后，反映出整体市场的内部实力较弱。内部测量显示，看跌期权买入相当多，许多日子的宽度较差，52周新低甚至多于新高。</blockquote></p><p> What is propelling SPX and the narrow-based indexes is a relatively small number of large-cap tech stocks.</p><p><blockquote>推动SPX和窄基指数的是数量相对较少的大型科技股。</blockquote></p><p> Similar stories have unfolded many times in the past – some with dire market results and some not so bad. But it is extremely difficult to keep a bull market going with the majority of stocks lagging behind.</p><p><blockquote>类似的故事在过去已经上演过很多次——有些市场结果很糟糕，有些则没那么糟糕。但在大多数股票落后的情况下，维持牛市是极其困难的。</blockquote></p><p> Two rather notable, but certainly not recent, occurrences were 1) the “Nifty Fifty” stocks of 1973 that seemed to “defy gravity” and kept going up while the rest of the market was stumbling; eventually that situation deteriorated into a raging bear market in 1974, and 2) the “stealth bear market” of 1994, where small-caps went down for most of the year, yet SPX was essentially flat during that time; there never<i>was</i>much of a decline in that index until an unrelated scandal (the Orange County debacle) took it down briefly late in the year.</p><p><blockquote>两个相当引人注目但肯定不是最近发生的事件是：1) 1973 年的“漂亮五十只”股票，它们似乎“无视地心引力”，在市场其他股票跌跌撞撞时继续上涨；最终，这种情况恶化为 1974 年的熊市，以及 2) 1994 年的“隐形熊市”，小盘股在这一年的大部分时间里都在下跌，但 SPX 在此期间基本持平；从来没有<i>什么</i>该指数大幅下降，直到年底一场不相关的丑闻（奥兰治县惨案）使其短暂下跌。</blockquote></p><p> This situation is not irreversible. It could “right” itself if breadth were to improve. That is still a possibility.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况并非不可逆转。如果要提高宽度，它可以 “纠正 ”自己。这仍然是一种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> The SPX chart is still in a bullish mode, as it is rising and above support. There is minor support at this week’s lows, near 4370. Then there is more important support below that at 4233 (the July lows). As long as SPX remains above that level, the chart will still have a bullish appearance. Further support levels at 4160 and 4060 were well-tested, but are so far below current levels as to be of little use.</p><p><blockquote>SPX图表仍处于看涨模式，因为它正在上升并高于支撑位。本周低点 4370 点附近有小幅支撑。然后在4233（7月低点）下方还有更重要的支撑。只要SPX保持在该水平之上，图表仍将呈现看涨态势。4160 和 4060 的进一步支撑位已经过充分测试，但远低于当前水平，用处不大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/033187b97fbfadb4f302aff6d1e0e8c6\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米伦</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As noted on the accompanying SPX chart, a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is place (green “S” on the upper right of the chart). In addition, there is now a realized volatility sell signal in place, too, as the S&P’s 20-day historical volatility has risen above 11%.</p><p><blockquote>如随附的 SPX 图表所示，出现了麦克米伦波动带 (MVB) 卖出信号（图表右上角的绿色“S”）。此外，由于标准普尔指数的 20 天历史波动率已升至 11% 以上，现在也出现了已实现的波动率卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> Equity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals, as they are still rising. This is indicative of relatively heavy put buying over the past month. As one can see from the accompanying charts, the standard ratio is rising faster than the weighted ratio – but both are rising.</p><p><blockquote>纯股票看跌看涨期权比率仍处于卖出信号，因为它们仍在上升。这表明过去一个月的看跌期权买入相对较多。从随附的图表中可以看出，标准比率的上升速度快于加权比率——但两者都在上升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94f1634f122ad3efa266cde27ddd8599\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米伦</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786b9a1f7118e239186772ceb365b513\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米伦</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Breadth has been the most prominent indicator of the internal troubles that the current market is experiencing. It has been negative on many days when SPX was making new all-time highs. As a result, our breadth oscillators are lagging behind the market. Yes, they are on buy signals, but are nowhere near the positive levels that one would expect to see with the NASDAQ-100, S&P 500 and Dow industrials at or near their highs.</p><p><blockquote>广度是当前市场正在经历的内部麻烦的最突出指标。当 SPX 创下历史新高时，它已经连续很多天为负值。因此，我们的宽度振荡器落后于市场。是的，它们发出了买入信号，但远未达到人们预期的纳斯达克 100 指数、标普500指数和陶氏工业指数处于或接近高点的积极水平。</blockquote></p><p> There was one small ray of improvement here on Wednesday, though, when the broad market was flat-to-down on the day, yet breadth was positive. We have not seen that much recently, but if it should continue, that would be bullish for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>不过，周三这里有一丝小小的改善，当时大盘当天持平，但宽度是积极的。我们最近没有看到那么多，但如果这种情况继续下去，这将利好股市。</blockquote></p><p> The cumulative breadth oscillators continue to lag, and that is the “official” measure of a negative divergence. The cumulative breadth indicators made new all-time highs on 10 of 13 trading days leading up to and including June 11. Since then, they have not made a single new all-time high. Meanwhile, SPX has made new all-time highs on 13 separate trading days since that date.<i>That</i>is a negative divergence.</p><p><blockquote>累积宽度振荡指标继续滞后，这是负背离的“官方”衡量标准。在6月11日之前（包括6月11日）的13个交易日中，有10个交易日创下历史新高。从那以后，他们再也没有创下历史新高。与此同时，自该日起，SPX 已连续 13 个交易日创下历史新高。<i>那个</i>是负发散。</blockquote></p><p> It can be overcome by an improvement in the cumulative breadth indicators – something which was accomplished earlier this year. But, for now, this negative divergence remains as a warning sign to stay alert and not become complacent.</p><p><blockquote>这可以通过改善累积宽度指标来克服——这是今年早些时候实现的。但是，就目前而言，这种负面分歧仍然是一个警告信号，提醒我们保持警惕，不要自满。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Over the past week, new 52-weeks lows were more numerous than new 52-week highs in terms of NASDAQ data and in terms of “stocks only” data. However, it is the NYSE that we use for our indicator, and new highs managed to cling to a narrow lead over new lows there. Thus, this indicator – while weakening – is still in a bullish state.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一周里，就纳斯达克数据和 “仅限股票 ”数据而言，52 周新低多于 52 周新高。然而，我们使用的指标是纽约证券交易所，新高设法在新低上保持了微弱领先优势。因此，该指标虽然走弱，但仍处于看涨状态。</blockquote></p><p> The one area of the market that has not shown these negative tendencies is implied volatility – VIX and its trading products. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20 is still in place. In fact, there has been a continuous “spike peak” buy signal in place since May 21, except for two trading days. Moreover, the trend of VIX remains downward as the 200-day moving average is still declining, and it is well above the VIX 20-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>市场中没有表现出这些负面趋势的一个领域是隐含波动率——VIX及其交易产品。7 月 20 日的 VIX “尖峰 ”买入信号仍然有效。事实上，自 5 月 21 日以来，除了两个交易日外，一直存在连续的 “尖峰 ”买入信号。此外，由于200日移动平均线仍在下降，VIX的趋势仍然向下，并且远高于VIX 20日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/647dc26baa4fe92b852e1a1585a5cc18\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米伦</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The construct of volatility derivatives remains positive for stocks. The front-month August VIX futures are trading at a rather large premium to VIX, and the VIX futures term structure slopes upward. Also, the CBOE Volatility Indices term structure slopes upward. These add up to a bullish scenario for stocks. Any danger for the broad market would be signaled by the August VIX futures trading at a higher price than the September VIX futures, but that it is not imminent.</p><p><blockquote>波动性衍生品的结构对股票来说仍然是积极的。近月 8 月 VIX 期货交易价格较 VIX 溢价相当大，VIX 期货期限结构呈上升趋势。此外，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数期限结构向上倾斜。这些都构成了股市的看涨情景。8 月份 VIX 期货价格高于 9 月份 VIX 期货价格，预示着大盘面临的任何危险，但这并不迫在眉睫。</blockquote></p><p> So, the “core” outlook for the market remains bullish due to the trends of SPX and VIX. Yes, the internals are warning against complacency, so we can take sell signals against this “core” bullish position, but as long as SPX remains above support at 4233, the bulls remain in charge.</p><p><blockquote>因此，由于 SPX 和 VIX 的趋势，市场的 “核心 ”前景仍然看涨。是的，内部人士警告不要自满，因此我们可以针对这一 “核心 ”看涨头寸发出卖出信号，但只要 SPX 保持在 4233 的支撑位上方，多头仍然占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New Recommendation: D.R. Horton</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新建议：D.R。霍顿</b></blockquote></p><p> D.R. HortonDHI,+0.50%has a new buy signal from its put-call ratio chart, but we want that to be confirmed by an upside breakout as well. From the chart below, one can see the local maximum at an extremely high level on the put-call ratio chart (the green “B”), and that is an example of extreme pessimism toward this stock, even though its pullback since the beginning of May has not been all that steep.</p><p><blockquote>博士HortonDHI,+0.50% 从其看跌看涨期权比率图表中发出了新的买入信号，但我们也希望上行突破来证实这一点。从下图可以看出，在看跌看涨期权比率图上（绿色 “B”）的极高水平出现了局部最高值，这是对该股极度悲观的一个例子，尽管该股自 5 月初以来的回调幅度并没有那么大。</blockquote></p><p> Put-call ratio signals are contrary in nature, so if the public is extremely pessimistic, we want to be optimistic. That would materialize in the form of a call buy, but only if DHI can close above resistance at 93.</p><p><blockquote>看跌看涨期权比率信号本质上是相反的，因此如果公众极度悲观，我们希望乐观。这将以看涨期权买入的形式实现，但前提是 DHI 能够收于 93 点的阻力位上方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IF DHI closes above 93,</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果DHI收盘高于93，</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>THEN buy 2 DHI Sept (17th) 92.5 calls</b></p><p><blockquote><b>然后购买 2 DHI 9 月 (17) 92.5 评级</b></blockquote></p><p> DHI is currently trading above 93, but we want to see it close there before taking a long call position.</p><p><blockquote>DHI 目前交易价格高于 93，但我们希望在建立多头看涨期权头寸之前看到它收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/006888c3a8db8d4a3ffa406ebfc2b2e1\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米伦</blockquote></p><p> That is the only new recommendation. There has not been a lot of takeover rumor activity recently except for<b>Cerner Corp.</b>CERN,+1.38%However, we only recently exited a position in Cerner, as the takeover rumors had been around so long that they extended beyond the length of the expiration date of our calls.</p><p><blockquote>这是唯一的新建议。最近没有太多的收购传闻活动，除了<b>塞纳公司。</b>CERN,+1.38%然而，我们最近才退出了 Cerner 的头寸，因为收购传闻已经存在了很长时间，已经超过了我们评级的到期日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Follow-up action</b></p><p><blockquote><b>后续行动</b></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>All stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>除非另有说明，所有止损均为精神收盘止损。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 3 DUK Aug (20th) 100 calls:</b>Raise the trailing stop to 102.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙 3 DUK 8 月 (20) 100 评级：</b>将跟踪止损提高到102。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 4 DBX Aug (13th) 30.5 calls:</b>Raise the trailing stop to 30.20.</p><p><blockquote><b>长 4 DBX 8 月（13 日）30.5 评级：</b>将追踪止损提高到30.20。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 1 RAPT Aug (20th) 30 call:</b>The stop yourself remains at 26.</p><p><blockquote><b>长1 RAPT 8月（20日）30日看涨期权：</b>停止你自己仍然是26。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 1 SPY Aug (20th) 431 call:</b>This position was bought in line with the VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20. Continue to hold for 22 days from that date. The position would be stopped out if VIX were to rise 3.00 points or more within any three-day period, using closing prices. If it is stopped out, then re-enter with an at-the-money call on the ensuing buy signal.</p><p><blockquote><b>长 1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8 月 (20) 431 看涨期权：</b>该头寸是根据 7 月 20 日 VIX “尖峰 ”买入信号买入的。自该日起继续持有22天。如果 VIX 在任何三天内（使用收盘价）上涨 3.00 点或以上，则该头寸将被平仓。如果它被阻止，那么在随后的买入信号上用平价看涨期权重新进入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 2 HOLX Sept (17th) 65 calls:</b>Raise the trailing stop yourself to 68. Furthermore, if the stop trades at 75, then roll up to the<b>Sept (17th) 75 calls.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Long 2 HOLX Sept (17) 65 评级：</b>将跟踪停止提升到68。此外，如果止损点在 75 点交易，则向上滚动至<b>9月（17日）75评级。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 1 SPY Aug (20th) 433 put and short 1 SPY Aug (20th) 408 put:</b>This spread was bought in line with the equity-only put-call ratio sell signals. Those sell signals are still in place, so continue to hold this spread. We will update the situation weekly.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头 1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8 月（20 日）433 看跌期权和空头 1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8 月（20 日）408 看跌期权：</b>该价差是根据纯股票看跌看涨期权比率卖出信号购买的。这些卖出信号仍然存在，因此继续持有这个价差。我们将每周更新情况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 0 AVCT Aug (20th) 5 calls:</b>These calls were stopped out when American Virtual Cloud TechnologiesAVCT,-1.30%closed below 5 on July 26. The stock had begun to weaken on news of debt reduction and then fell sharply after the company filed to sell more shares.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头 0 AVCT 8 月 (20) 5 日 评级：</b>当 American Virtual Cloud TechnologiesAVCT,-1.30% 于 7 月 26 日收盘价低于 5 时，这些评级被停止。由于债务削减的消息，该股开始走弱，然后在该公司申请出售更多股票后大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 5 STAR Aug (20th) 22.5 calls:</b>Raise the stop to 22.20.</p><p><blockquote><b>长5星8月（20日）22.5评级：</b>将止损提高到22.20。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 5 MGI Aug (20th) 10 calls:</b>Hold this position without a stop initially to see if a takeover bid can materialize.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头 5 MGI 8 月（20 日）10 日评级：</b>最初不间断地持有此头寸，看看收购要约是否能实现。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-eye-catching-divergence-in-the-stock-market-is-a-warning-against-complacency-01627570780?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-eye-catching-divergence-in-the-stock-market-is-a-warning-against-complacency-01627570780?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198838390","content_text":"S&P 500’s core outlook remains bullish\nGETTY IMAGES\nThe S&P 500 index is performing at a far different rate than the “average” stock. This has been going on for a while and is not necessarily a bull market “killer,” but it is certainly not the healthiest of environments.\nThe S&P,the NASDAQ-100 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are all at or near all-time highs. But the Russell 2000 is lagging behind, reflective of the poor internal strength of the overall market. The internal measurements show fairly heavy put buying, poor breadth on many days, and even more new 52-week lows than new highs.\nWhat is propelling SPX and the narrow-based indexes is a relatively small number of large-cap tech stocks.\nSimilar stories have unfolded many times in the past – some with dire market results and some not so bad. But it is extremely difficult to keep a bull market going with the majority of stocks lagging behind.\nTwo rather notable, but certainly not recent, occurrences were 1) the “Nifty Fifty” stocks of 1973 that seemed to “defy gravity” and kept going up while the rest of the market was stumbling; eventually that situation deteriorated into a raging bear market in 1974, and 2) the “stealth bear market” of 1994, where small-caps went down for most of the year, yet SPX was essentially flat during that time; there neverwasmuch of a decline in that index until an unrelated scandal (the Orange County debacle) took it down briefly late in the year.\nThis situation is not irreversible. It could “right” itself if breadth were to improve. That is still a possibility.\nThe SPX chart is still in a bullish mode, as it is rising and above support. There is minor support at this week’s lows, near 4370. Then there is more important support below that at 4233 (the July lows). As long as SPX remains above that level, the chart will still have a bullish appearance. Further support levels at 4160 and 4060 were well-tested, but are so far below current levels as to be of little use.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nAs noted on the accompanying SPX chart, a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is place (green “S” on the upper right of the chart). In addition, there is now a realized volatility sell signal in place, too, as the S&P’s 20-day historical volatility has risen above 11%.\nEquity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals, as they are still rising. This is indicative of relatively heavy put buying over the past month. As one can see from the accompanying charts, the standard ratio is rising faster than the weighted ratio – but both are rising.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nBreadth has been the most prominent indicator of the internal troubles that the current market is experiencing. It has been negative on many days when SPX was making new all-time highs. As a result, our breadth oscillators are lagging behind the market. Yes, they are on buy signals, but are nowhere near the positive levels that one would expect to see with the NASDAQ-100, S&P 500 and Dow industrials at or near their highs.\nThere was one small ray of improvement here on Wednesday, though, when the broad market was flat-to-down on the day, yet breadth was positive. We have not seen that much recently, but if it should continue, that would be bullish for stocks.\nThe cumulative breadth oscillators continue to lag, and that is the “official” measure of a negative divergence. The cumulative breadth indicators made new all-time highs on 10 of 13 trading days leading up to and including June 11. Since then, they have not made a single new all-time high. Meanwhile, SPX has made new all-time highs on 13 separate trading days since that date.Thatis a negative divergence.\nIt can be overcome by an improvement in the cumulative breadth indicators – something which was accomplished earlier this year. But, for now, this negative divergence remains as a warning sign to stay alert and not become complacent.\nOver the past week, new 52-weeks lows were more numerous than new 52-week highs in terms of NASDAQ data and in terms of “stocks only” data. However, it is the NYSE that we use for our indicator, and new highs managed to cling to a narrow lead over new lows there. Thus, this indicator – while weakening – is still in a bullish state.\nThe one area of the market that has not shown these negative tendencies is implied volatility – VIX and its trading products. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20 is still in place. In fact, there has been a continuous “spike peak” buy signal in place since May 21, except for two trading days. Moreover, the trend of VIX remains downward as the 200-day moving average is still declining, and it is well above the VIX 20-day moving average.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nThe construct of volatility derivatives remains positive for stocks. The front-month August VIX futures are trading at a rather large premium to VIX, and the VIX futures term structure slopes upward. Also, the CBOE Volatility Indices term structure slopes upward. These add up to a bullish scenario for stocks. Any danger for the broad market would be signaled by the August VIX futures trading at a higher price than the September VIX futures, but that it is not imminent.\nSo, the “core” outlook for the market remains bullish due to the trends of SPX and VIX. Yes, the internals are warning against complacency, so we can take sell signals against this “core” bullish position, but as long as SPX remains above support at 4233, the bulls remain in charge.\nNew Recommendation: D.R. Horton\nD.R. HortonDHI,+0.50%has a new buy signal from its put-call ratio chart, but we want that to be confirmed by an upside breakout as well. From the chart below, one can see the local maximum at an extremely high level on the put-call ratio chart (the green “B”), and that is an example of extreme pessimism toward this stock, even though its pullback since the beginning of May has not been all that steep.\nPut-call ratio signals are contrary in nature, so if the public is extremely pessimistic, we want to be optimistic. That would materialize in the form of a call buy, but only if DHI can close above resistance at 93.\nIF DHI closes above 93,\nTHEN buy 2 DHI Sept (17th) 92.5 calls\nDHI is currently trading above 93, but we want to see it close there before taking a long call position.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nThat is the only new recommendation. There has not been a lot of takeover rumor activity recently except forCerner Corp.CERN,+1.38%However, we only recently exited a position in Cerner, as the takeover rumors had been around so long that they extended beyond the length of the expiration date of our calls.\nFollow-up action\nAll stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.\nLong 3 DUK Aug (20th) 100 calls:Raise the trailing stop to 102.\nLong 4 DBX Aug (13th) 30.5 calls:Raise the trailing stop to 30.20.\nLong 1 RAPT Aug (20th) 30 call:The stop yourself remains at 26.\nLong 1 SPY Aug (20th) 431 call:This position was bought in line with the VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20. Continue to hold for 22 days from that date. The position would be stopped out if VIX were to rise 3.00 points or more within any three-day period, using closing prices. If it is stopped out, then re-enter with an at-the-money call on the ensuing buy signal.\nLong 2 HOLX Sept (17th) 65 calls:Raise the trailing stop yourself to 68. Furthermore, if the stop trades at 75, then roll up to theSept (17th) 75 calls.\nLong 1 SPY Aug (20th) 433 put and short 1 SPY Aug (20th) 408 put:This spread was bought in line with the equity-only put-call ratio sell signals. Those sell signals are still in place, so continue to hold this spread. We will update the situation weekly.\nLong 0 AVCT Aug (20th) 5 calls:These calls were stopped out when American Virtual Cloud TechnologiesAVCT,-1.30%closed below 5 on July 26. The stock had begun to weaken on news of debt reduction and then fell sharply after the company filed to sell more shares.\nLong 5 STAR Aug (20th) 22.5 calls:Raise the stop to 22.20.\nLong 5 MGI Aug (20th) 10 calls:Hold this position without a stop initially to see if a takeover bid can materialize.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2998,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809428118,"gmtCreate":1627388599934,"gmtModify":1633765499369,"author":{"id":"3580525950436441","authorId":"3580525950436441","name":"Forces94","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580525950436441","authorIdStr":"3580525950436441"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Top","listText":"Top","text":"Top","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809428118","repostId":"1190390540","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190390540","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627388124,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1190390540?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 20:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190390540","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock Futures Slip With Tech Earnings on Tap\n\n\nQuarterly results are due from Apple, Microsoft and A","content":"<p><ul> <li>Stock Futures Slip With Tech Earnings on Tap</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Quarterly results are due from Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet after markets close</li> </ul> U.S. stock index futures fell on Tuesday ahead of earnings reports from the most valuable companies on Wall Street and in the run-up to the two-day Federal Reserve meeting.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着科技股盈利的临近，股票期货下跌</li></ul><ul><li>苹果、微软和Alphabet将在收盘后公布季度业绩</li></ul>在华尔街最有价值的公司发布财报之前以及为期两天的美联储会议前夕，美国股指期货周二下跌。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. S&P 500 E-minis were down 8.25 points, or 0.19%, at 08:05 am ET. Dow E-minis were down 93 points, or 0.27%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 3 points, or 0.02%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 08:05，美国标普500 E-mini 下跌 8.25 点，跌幅 0.19%。道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌 93 点，跌幅 0.27%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 3 点，跌幅 0.02%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fb54b80cfb78268a87bd4a378ca296e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Crypto Stocks tumbled in premarket trading on Amazon denimg report of accepting bitcoin as payment.Bit Digital,The9,SOS Ltd,Canaan,Ebang international,Marathon Digital Holdings,Riot Blockchain,Coinbase Global and Square plunged between 2% and 17%.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊denimg报告接受比特币作为支付， 加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌.Bit Digital, The9, SOS Ltd, 迦南, 亿邦国际, 马拉松数字控股公司, Riot Blockchain, 比特币基地全球和Square暴跌2%至17%。</blockquote></p><p> More than one third of the S&P 500 is set to report quarterly results this week, led by Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Google-parent Alphabet, the four largest U.S. companies by market value.</p><p><blockquote>超过三分之一的标普500将于本周公布季度业绩，其中苹果、微软、亚马逊和谷歌母公司Alphabet是美国市值最大的四家公司。</blockquote></p><p> Apple, Alphabet and Microsoft, which were largely flat in premarket trade, are set to report earnings after the market closes, while Amazon will report results on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>苹果、Alphabet和微软在盘前交易中基本持平，将在收盘后公布财报，而亚马逊将于周四公布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Investors remained on edge, awaiting more signals from the central bank on when it intends to begin reining in its massive stimulus program. The two-day Fed meeting will begin later in the day.</p><p><blockquote>投资者仍然紧张，等待央行发出更多信号，说明何时开始控制其大规模刺激计划。为期两天的美联储会议将于当天晚些时候开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Teslaearned $1.45 per sharefor the second quarter, compared to a 98 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also beat forecasts. The automaker said its success during the second half of the year would center around its ability to navigate supply chain issues. Tesla rose 1.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉（TSLA）</b>– 特斯拉第二季度每股收益为 1.45 美元，而市场普遍预期为每股 98 美分。收入也超出预期。该汽车制造商表示，下半年的成功将取决于其解决供应链问题的能力。特斯拉在盘前交易中上涨 1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>F5 Networks(FFIV) </b>– F5 beat estimates by 30 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $2.76 per share. The enterprise software maker’s revenue topped analysts’ forecasts as well. F5 saw strong demand amid a continued pandemic-induced growth in digital business applications. F5 rallied 6.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>F5网络(FFIV)</b>– F5 每股收益超出预期 30 美分，季度收益为每股 2.76 美元。这家企业软件制造商的收入也超出了分析师的预期。在疫情引发的数字商业应用持续增长中，F5 的需求强劲。F5 在盘前交易中上涨 6.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>United Parcel Service(UPS)</b> – UPS shares fell 2.4% in the premarket, as domestic revenue came up shy of estimates. UPS beat overall on the top and bottom lines, however, as a surge in shipping of e-commerce orders continued. UPS earned $3.06 per share for the second quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of $2.82.</p><p><blockquote><b>联合包裹服务(UPS)</b>– 由于国内收入低于预期，UPS 股价在盘前下跌 2.4%。然而，随着电子商务订单出货量持续激增，UPS 在营收和利润方面总体表现优异。UPS 第二季度每股收益为 3.06 美元，而市场普遍预期为 2.82 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Stanley Black & Decker(SWK) – The tool maker beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $3.08 per share. Revenue topped Street forecasts and the company raised its full-year outlook, expecting growth and stronger pricing to offset higher costs.</p><p><blockquote>Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) – 这家工具制造商每股收益超出预期 18 美分，季度收益为每股 3.08 美元。收入超出华尔街预期，该公司上调了全年展望，预计增长和更强劲的定价将抵消更高的成本。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3M(MMM)</b> – 3M rose 1.2% in premarket trading, after beating the $2.28 a share consensus estimate with quarterly earnings of $2.59 per share. Revenue beat forecasts as well, and 3M raised its full-year outlook as its various businesses recover from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><b>3M（3M）</b>– 3M 在盘前交易中上涨 1.2%，季度收益为每股 2.59 美元，超出了每股 2.28 美元的市场普遍预期。收入也超出预期，随着各项业务从疫情中复苏，3M 上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>General Electric(GE) </b>– GE shares rose 3.9% in premarket action, as it beat forecasts and surprised analysts with positive cash flow for the quarter. GE earned 5 cents per share for the second quarter, 2 cents a share above estimates. Revenue beat estimates as well on strong performances by its aviation and power divisions.</p><p><blockquote><b>通用电气(GE)</b>– GE 股价在盘前交易中上涨 3.9%，超出预期，并以本季度正现金流令分析师感到惊讶。GE第二季度每股收益为5美分，比预期高出2美分。由于航空和动力部门的强劲表现，收入也超出了预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Raytheon Technologies(RTX) </b>– Raytheon came in 10 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.03 per share. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. The aerospace manufacturer raised its full-year forecast, as a recovery in commercial air travel boosted demand for its products and services. Raytheon shares rose 1.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>雷神技术公司(RTX)</b>– 雷神公司每股收益比预期高出 10 美分，季度收益为每股 1.03 美元。收入也超出了分析师的预期。由于商业航空旅行的复苏提振了对其产品和服务的需求，这家航空航天制造商上调了全年预测。雷神公司股价盘前上涨 1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sirius XM(SIRI)</b> – The satellite radio operator beat estimates by 3 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of 10 cents per share. The company also reported better-than-expected revenue. Its profit nearly doubled from a year earlier as it benefited from subscriber additions. The stock gained 3.1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>天狼星XM（系列）</b>– 这家卫星广播运营商每股收益超出预期 3 美分，季度收益为每股 10 美分。该公司还公布了好于预期的收入。由于受益于用户的增加，其利润几乎比去年同期翻了一番。该股在盘前交易中上涨 3.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Waste Management(WM)</b> – The waste collection company came in 8 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.27 per share. Revenue also exceeded estimates. Waste Management said it benefited from a rebound in volume and a focus on cost controls.</p><p><blockquote><b>废物管理（WM）</b>– 这家垃圾收集公司的每股收益比预期高出 8 美分，季度收益为每股 1.27 美元。收入也超出预期。废物管理公司表示，它受益于数量的反弹和对成本控制的关注。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sherwin-Williams(SHW) </b>– The paint maker fell 3 cents a share shy of consensus estimates, with quarterly earnings of $2.65 per share. Revenue was in line with estimates. Results were impacted by a return in do-it-yourself volumes to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>舍温-威廉姆斯(SHW)</b>– 这家涂料制造商每股股价下跌 3 美分，低于市场普遍预期，季度收益为每股 2.65 美元。收入符合预期。结果受到DIY数量恢复到大流行前水平的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel(INTC) </b>– Intel set out a multi-year plan to regain its dominance in the semiconductor market, aiming to release a new chip each year between now and 2025 and seeking to regain lost market share from competitors like Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel fell 1.9% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔(INTC)</b>– 英特尔制定了一项多年计划，以重新获得其在半导体市场的主导地位，目标是从现在到 2025 年每年发布一款新芯片，并寻求从三星和台积电等竞争对手手中夺回失去的市场份额。英特尔盘前下跌 1.9%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Starbucks(SBUX)</b> – Starbucks expanded its partnership with Swiss food giant Nestle, with plans to introduce ready-to-drink coffee beverages in Southeasts Asia and Latin America. Separately, Starbucks sold its stake in its South Korea joint venture to local partner E-Mart and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund.</p><p><blockquote><b>星巴克(SBUX)</b>– 星巴克扩大了与瑞士食品巨头雀巢的合作，计划在东南亚和拉丁美洲推出即饮咖啡饮料。另外，星巴克将其在韩国合资企业的股份出售给了当地合作伙伴易买得和新加坡主权财富基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Polaris Industries(PII)</b> – Polaris reported quarterly profit of $2.70 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $2.21 a share. The recreational vehicle maker’s revenue matched Wall Street projections. Polaris was helped by lower promotional costs and stronger pricing, although it also experienced higher costs for commodities and labor.</p><p><blockquote><b>北极星工业(PII)</b>– Polaris 公布季度利润为每股 2.70 美元，超出市场普遍预期的每股 2.21 美元。这家休闲车制造商的收入符合华尔街的预测。北极星得益于较低的促销成本和较强的定价，尽管它也经历了较高的商品和劳动力成本。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-27 20:15</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul> <li>Stock Futures Slip With Tech Earnings on Tap</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Quarterly results are due from Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet after markets close</li> </ul> U.S. stock index futures fell on Tuesday ahead of earnings reports from the most valuable companies on Wall Street and in the run-up to the two-day Federal Reserve meeting.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着科技股盈利的临近，股票期货下跌</li></ul><ul><li>苹果、微软和Alphabet将在收盘后公布季度业绩</li></ul>在华尔街最有价值的公司发布财报之前以及为期两天的美联储会议前夕，美国股指期货周二下跌。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. S&P 500 E-minis were down 8.25 points, or 0.19%, at 08:05 am ET. Dow E-minis were down 93 points, or 0.27%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 3 points, or 0.02%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 08:05，美国标普500 E-mini 下跌 8.25 点，跌幅 0.19%。道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌 93 点，跌幅 0.27%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 3 点，跌幅 0.02%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fb54b80cfb78268a87bd4a378ca296e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Crypto Stocks tumbled in premarket trading on Amazon denimg report of accepting bitcoin as payment.Bit Digital,The9,SOS Ltd,Canaan,Ebang international,Marathon Digital Holdings,Riot Blockchain,Coinbase Global and Square plunged between 2% and 17%.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊denimg报告接受比特币作为支付， 加密货币股票在盘前交易中暴跌.Bit Digital, The9, SOS Ltd, 迦南, 亿邦国际, 马拉松数字控股公司, Riot Blockchain, 比特币基地全球和Square暴跌2%至17%。</blockquote></p><p> More than one third of the S&P 500 is set to report quarterly results this week, led by Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Google-parent Alphabet, the four largest U.S. companies by market value.</p><p><blockquote>超过三分之一的标普500将于本周公布季度业绩，其中苹果、微软、亚马逊和谷歌母公司Alphabet是美国市值最大的四家公司。</blockquote></p><p> Apple, Alphabet and Microsoft, which were largely flat in premarket trade, are set to report earnings after the market closes, while Amazon will report results on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>苹果、Alphabet和微软在盘前交易中基本持平，将在收盘后公布财报，而亚马逊将于周四公布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Investors remained on edge, awaiting more signals from the central bank on when it intends to begin reining in its massive stimulus program. The two-day Fed meeting will begin later in the day.</p><p><blockquote>投资者仍然紧张，等待央行发出更多信号，说明何时开始控制其大规模刺激计划。为期两天的美联储会议将于当天晚些时候开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Teslaearned $1.45 per sharefor the second quarter, compared to a 98 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also beat forecasts. The automaker said its success during the second half of the year would center around its ability to navigate supply chain issues. Tesla rose 1.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉（TSLA）</b>– 特斯拉第二季度每股收益为 1.45 美元，而市场普遍预期为每股 98 美分。收入也超出预期。该汽车制造商表示，下半年的成功将取决于其解决供应链问题的能力。特斯拉在盘前交易中上涨 1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>F5 Networks(FFIV) </b>– F5 beat estimates by 30 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $2.76 per share. The enterprise software maker’s revenue topped analysts’ forecasts as well. F5 saw strong demand amid a continued pandemic-induced growth in digital business applications. F5 rallied 6.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>F5网络(FFIV)</b>– F5 每股收益超出预期 30 美分，季度收益为每股 2.76 美元。这家企业软件制造商的收入也超出了分析师的预期。在疫情引发的数字商业应用持续增长中，F5 的需求强劲。F5 在盘前交易中上涨 6.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>United Parcel Service(UPS)</b> – UPS shares fell 2.4% in the premarket, as domestic revenue came up shy of estimates. UPS beat overall on the top and bottom lines, however, as a surge in shipping of e-commerce orders continued. UPS earned $3.06 per share for the second quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of $2.82.</p><p><blockquote><b>联合包裹服务(UPS)</b>– 由于国内收入低于预期，UPS 股价在盘前下跌 2.4%。然而，随着电子商务订单出货量持续激增，UPS 在营收和利润方面总体表现优异。UPS 第二季度每股收益为 3.06 美元，而市场普遍预期为 2.82 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Stanley Black & Decker(SWK) – The tool maker beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $3.08 per share. Revenue topped Street forecasts and the company raised its full-year outlook, expecting growth and stronger pricing to offset higher costs.</p><p><blockquote>Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) – 这家工具制造商每股收益超出预期 18 美分，季度收益为每股 3.08 美元。收入超出华尔街预期，该公司上调了全年展望，预计增长和更强劲的定价将抵消更高的成本。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3M(MMM)</b> – 3M rose 1.2% in premarket trading, after beating the $2.28 a share consensus estimate with quarterly earnings of $2.59 per share. Revenue beat forecasts as well, and 3M raised its full-year outlook as its various businesses recover from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><b>3M（3M）</b>– 3M 在盘前交易中上涨 1.2%，季度收益为每股 2.59 美元，超出了每股 2.28 美元的市场普遍预期。收入也超出预期，随着各项业务从疫情中复苏，3M 上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>General Electric(GE) </b>– GE shares rose 3.9% in premarket action, as it beat forecasts and surprised analysts with positive cash flow for the quarter. GE earned 5 cents per share for the second quarter, 2 cents a share above estimates. Revenue beat estimates as well on strong performances by its aviation and power divisions.</p><p><blockquote><b>通用电气(GE)</b>– GE 股价在盘前交易中上涨 3.9%，超出预期，并以本季度正现金流令分析师感到惊讶。GE第二季度每股收益为5美分，比预期高出2美分。由于航空和动力部门的强劲表现，收入也超出了预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Raytheon Technologies(RTX) </b>– Raytheon came in 10 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.03 per share. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. The aerospace manufacturer raised its full-year forecast, as a recovery in commercial air travel boosted demand for its products and services. Raytheon shares rose 1.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>雷神技术公司(RTX)</b>– 雷神公司每股收益比预期高出 10 美分，季度收益为每股 1.03 美元。收入也超出了分析师的预期。由于商业航空旅行的复苏提振了对其产品和服务的需求，这家航空航天制造商上调了全年预测。雷神公司股价盘前上涨 1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sirius XM(SIRI)</b> – The satellite radio operator beat estimates by 3 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of 10 cents per share. The company also reported better-than-expected revenue. Its profit nearly doubled from a year earlier as it benefited from subscriber additions. The stock gained 3.1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>天狼星XM（系列）</b>– 这家卫星广播运营商每股收益超出预期 3 美分，季度收益为每股 10 美分。该公司还公布了好于预期的收入。由于受益于用户的增加，其利润几乎比去年同期翻了一番。该股在盘前交易中上涨 3.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Waste Management(WM)</b> – The waste collection company came in 8 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.27 per share. Revenue also exceeded estimates. Waste Management said it benefited from a rebound in volume and a focus on cost controls.</p><p><blockquote><b>废物管理（WM）</b>– 这家垃圾收集公司的每股收益比预期高出 8 美分，季度收益为每股 1.27 美元。收入也超出预期。废物管理公司表示，它受益于数量的反弹和对成本控制的关注。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sherwin-Williams(SHW) </b>– The paint maker fell 3 cents a share shy of consensus estimates, with quarterly earnings of $2.65 per share. Revenue was in line with estimates. Results were impacted by a return in do-it-yourself volumes to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>舍温-威廉姆斯(SHW)</b>– 这家涂料制造商每股股价下跌 3 美分，低于市场普遍预期，季度收益为每股 2.65 美元。收入符合预期。结果受到DIY数量恢复到大流行前水平的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel(INTC) </b>– Intel set out a multi-year plan to regain its dominance in the semiconductor market, aiming to release a new chip each year between now and 2025 and seeking to regain lost market share from competitors like Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel fell 1.9% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔(INTC)</b>– 英特尔制定了一项多年计划，以重新获得其在半导体市场的主导地位，目标是从现在到 2025 年每年发布一款新芯片，并寻求从三星和台积电等竞争对手手中夺回失去的市场份额。英特尔盘前下跌 1.9%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Starbucks(SBUX)</b> – Starbucks expanded its partnership with Swiss food giant Nestle, with plans to introduce ready-to-drink coffee beverages in Southeasts Asia and Latin America. Separately, Starbucks sold its stake in its South Korea joint venture to local partner E-Mart and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund.</p><p><blockquote><b>星巴克(SBUX)</b>– 星巴克扩大了与瑞士食品巨头雀巢的合作，计划在东南亚和拉丁美洲推出即饮咖啡饮料。另外，星巴克将其在韩国合资企业的股份出售给了当地合作伙伴易买得和新加坡主权财富基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Polaris Industries(PII)</b> – Polaris reported quarterly profit of $2.70 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $2.21 a share. The recreational vehicle maker’s revenue matched Wall Street projections. Polaris was helped by lower promotional costs and stronger pricing, although it also experienced higher costs for commodities and labor.</p><p><blockquote><b>北极星工业(PII)</b>– Polaris 公布季度利润为每股 2.70 美元，超出市场普遍预期的每股 2.21 美元。这家休闲车制造商的收入符合华尔街的预测。北极星得益于较低的促销成本和较强的定价，尽管它也经历了较高的商品和劳动力成本。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPS":"联合包裹","SBUX":"星巴克","INTC":"英特尔","WM":"美国废物管理","AAPL":"苹果","MSFT":"微软","RTX":"雷神技术公司",".DJI":"道琼斯","GE":"GE航空航天","GOOG":"谷歌","MMM":"3M",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GOOGL":"谷歌A","TSLA":"特斯拉",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","FFIV":"F5 Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190390540","content_text":"Stock Futures Slip With Tech Earnings on Tap\n\n\nQuarterly results are due from Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet after markets close\n\nU.S. stock index futures fell on Tuesday ahead of earnings reports from the most valuable companies on Wall Street and in the run-up to the two-day Federal Reserve meeting.\nU.S. S&P 500 E-minis were down 8.25 points, or 0.19%, at 08:05 am ET. Dow E-minis were down 93 points, or 0.27%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 3 points, or 0.02%.\n\nCrypto Stocks tumbled in premarket trading on Amazon denimg report of accepting bitcoin as payment.Bit Digital,The9,SOS Ltd,Canaan,Ebang international,Marathon Digital Holdings,Riot Blockchain,Coinbase Global and Square plunged between 2% and 17%.\nMore than one third of the S&P 500 is set to report quarterly results this week, led by Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Google-parent Alphabet, the four largest U.S. companies by market value.\nApple, Alphabet and Microsoft, which were largely flat in premarket trade, are set to report earnings after the market closes, while Amazon will report results on Thursday.\nInvestors remained on edge, awaiting more signals from the central bank on when it intends to begin reining in its massive stimulus program. The two-day Fed meeting will begin later in the day.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nTesla(TSLA) – Teslaearned $1.45 per sharefor the second quarter, compared to a 98 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also beat forecasts. The automaker said its success during the second half of the year would center around its ability to navigate supply chain issues. Tesla rose 1.6% in premarket trading.\nF5 Networks(FFIV) – F5 beat estimates by 30 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $2.76 per share. The enterprise software maker’s revenue topped analysts’ forecasts as well. F5 saw strong demand amid a continued pandemic-induced growth in digital business applications. F5 rallied 6.1% in premarket trading.\nUnited Parcel Service(UPS) – UPS shares fell 2.4% in the premarket, as domestic revenue came up shy of estimates. UPS beat overall on the top and bottom lines, however, as a surge in shipping of e-commerce orders continued. UPS earned $3.06 per share for the second quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of $2.82.\nStanley Black & Decker(SWK) – The tool maker beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $3.08 per share. Revenue topped Street forecasts and the company raised its full-year outlook, expecting growth and stronger pricing to offset higher costs.\n3M(MMM) – 3M rose 1.2% in premarket trading, after beating the $2.28 a share consensus estimate with quarterly earnings of $2.59 per share. Revenue beat forecasts as well, and 3M raised its full-year outlook as its various businesses recover from the pandemic.\nGeneral Electric(GE) – GE shares rose 3.9% in premarket action, as it beat forecasts and surprised analysts with positive cash flow for the quarter. GE earned 5 cents per share for the second quarter, 2 cents a share above estimates. Revenue beat estimates as well on strong performances by its aviation and power divisions.\nRaytheon Technologies(RTX) – Raytheon came in 10 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.03 per share. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. The aerospace manufacturer raised its full-year forecast, as a recovery in commercial air travel boosted demand for its products and services. Raytheon shares rose 1.7% in the premarket.\nSirius XM(SIRI) – The satellite radio operator beat estimates by 3 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of 10 cents per share. The company also reported better-than-expected revenue. Its profit nearly doubled from a year earlier as it benefited from subscriber additions. The stock gained 3.1% in premarket action.\nWaste Management(WM) – The waste collection company came in 8 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.27 per share. Revenue also exceeded estimates. Waste Management said it benefited from a rebound in volume and a focus on cost controls.\nSherwin-Williams(SHW) – The paint maker fell 3 cents a share shy of consensus estimates, with quarterly earnings of $2.65 per share. Revenue was in line with estimates. Results were impacted by a return in do-it-yourself volumes to pre-pandemic levels.\nIntel(INTC) – Intel set out a multi-year plan to regain its dominance in the semiconductor market, aiming to release a new chip each year between now and 2025 and seeking to regain lost market share from competitors like Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel fell 1.9% in the premarket.\nStarbucks(SBUX) – Starbucks expanded its partnership with Swiss food giant Nestle, with plans to introduce ready-to-drink coffee beverages in Southeasts Asia and Latin America. Separately, Starbucks sold its stake in its South Korea joint venture to local partner E-Mart and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund.\nPolaris Industries(PII) – Polaris reported quarterly profit of $2.70 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $2.21 a share. The recreational vehicle maker’s revenue matched Wall Street projections. Polaris was helped by lower promotional costs and stronger pricing, although it also experienced higher costs for commodities and labor.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MMM":0.9,"SBUX":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"RTX":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,"FFIV":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"WM":0.9,"UPS":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"INTC":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"GE":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2563,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800463027,"gmtCreate":1627312707469,"gmtModify":1633766211175,"author":{"id":"3580525950436441","authorId":"3580525950436441","name":"Forces94","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580525950436441","authorIdStr":"3580525950436441"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"top","listText":"top","text":"top","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800463027","repostId":"1177576068","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177576068","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627312035,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1177576068?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 23:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Starbucks' Q3 Earnings Preview: Will Reopening Momentum Last?<blockquote>星巴克第三季度收益预览：重新开业的势头会持续吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177576068","media":"Motley Fool ","summary":"The international coffee giant is set to report earnings after the market closes on Tuesday.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The delta variant might slow reopening momentum for many companies, including Starbucks.</li> <li>Starbucks' stock is up by double-digit percentages in the last month.</li> <li>Starbucks' investors might be too optimistic heading into earnings.</li> </ul> <b>Starbucks</b> (NASDAQ:SBUX)was hit hard at the onset of the pandemic as it had to close most of its stores to in-restaurant dining to help slow the spread of the coronavirus. Slowly, it has been recovering lost ground as economies are going through stages of reopening.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>德尔塔变异毒株可能会减缓包括星巴克在内的许多公司重新开业的势头。</li><li>星巴克的股价上个月上涨了两位数百分比。</li><li>星巴克的投资者可能对盈利过于乐观。</li></ul><b>星巴克</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：SBUX）在大流行爆发时遭受重创，因为它不得不关闭大部分商店，只允许在餐厅内用餐，以帮助减缓冠状病毒的传播。随着经济经历重新开放阶段，它正在慢慢收复失地。</blockquote></p><p> The company will report third-quarter earnings on Tuesday, July 27, and investors expect a continuation of that reopening momentum. But emerging trends -- mainly the surge in coronavirus infections caused by the delta variant -- could derail the recovery.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将于 7 月 27 日星期二公布第三季度收益，投资者预计重新开业的势头将继续下去。但新出现的趋势——主要是德尔塔变异毒株导致的冠状病毒感染激增——可能会破坏复苏。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e0875ca620cdb84140a34cc2ca270bd\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The delta variant risks slowing down reopening momentum</b></p><p><blockquote><b>德尔塔变异毒株面临重新开放势头放缓的风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Starbucks has 20,261 locations in the U.S. and China, which represent 62% of its locations worldwide. The two countries are also furthest along in vaccinating their populations. As of this writing, China has administered over 1.54 billion doses, and the U.S. has administered 342 million -- enough to fully vaccinate 55% and 53.4% of their populations, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克在美国和中国拥有20,261家门店，占其全球门店总数的62%。这两个国家在为其人口接种疫苗方面也走在最前沿。截至撰写本文时，中国已接种超过15.4亿剂疫苗，美国已接种3.42亿剂疫苗，分别足以为其55%和53.4%的人口全面接种疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> The higher vaccination rates are allowing for faster reopening of economies in the two markets. In its most recent quarter, Starbucks reported U.S. sales eclipsed levels from before the pandemic. Meanwhile, sales in China were 90% recovered. Therefore, a resurgence in COVID-19 cases caused by the delta variant is less likely to cause economic lockdowns in those two countries.</p><p><blockquote>更高的疫苗接种率使得两个市场的经济能够更快地重新开放。在最近一个季度，星巴克报告称美国销售额超过了大流行前的水平。与此同时，中国的销售额恢复了90%。因此，德尔塔变异毒株导致的新冠肺炎病例死灰复燃不太可能导致这两个国家的经济封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Even if a renewal of lockdowns is far less likely, the resurgence in cases could slow down reopening. Millions of students are expected to return to campus in the fall semester. And businesses are preparing to bring back employees to offices at least part-time in the second half of the year. The increase in infections could delay both.</p><p><blockquote>即使重新封锁的可能性要小得多，病例的死灰复燃可能会减缓重新开放的速度。预计秋季学期将有数百万学生重返校园。企业正准备在下半年让员工至少兼职回到办公室。感染的增加可能会推迟这两者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What this could mean for investors</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这对投资者意味着什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Analysts on Wall Street expect Starbucks to report revenue of $7.24 billion and earnings per share of $0.77 in its third quarter. If it meets those expectations, it would lift year-to-date revenue to $20.64 billion after the company reported revenue of $6.7 billion each in the first and second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师预计星巴克第三季度营收为 72.4 亿美元，每股收益为 0.77 美元。如果达到这些预期，在该公司公布第一季度和第二季度收入分别为 67 亿美元后，今年迄今为止的收入将达到 206.4 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, management has informed investors to expect overall revenue in the range of $28.5 billion to $29.3 billion for fiscal 2021. And considering that historically, Starbucks generates more revenue in the final quarter of the year compared to the first three, it would be on pace for reaching the yearly target.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，管理层已告知投资者，预计 2021 财年总收入将在 285 亿美元至 293 亿美元之间。考虑到从历史上看，星巴克在今年最后一个季度产生的收入比前三个季度更多，它将有望实现年度目标。</blockquote></p><p> Still, management might provide an update on the fourth quarter. The delta variant is at least slowing the pace of economic reopenings. For instance, several major corporations have delayed a return to offices, and some countries have extended or instituted travel restrictions. Those developments could have hampered Starbucks' expectations for the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，管理层可能会提供第四季度的最新情况。德尔塔变异毒株至少正在放缓经济重新开放的步伐。例如，一些大公司推迟了返回办公室的时间，一些国家延长或实施了旅行限制。这些事态发展可能会阻碍星巴克对第四季度的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The stock price is up 16.9% in 2021 and 11.5% in the last month alone. It does not appear that investors are pricing in any possibility of negative news coming out of Starbucks' earnings report. That raises the potential for a sharper sell-off if there is one.Investors looking to start a position in the company are better served waiting until after the earnings release to buy. That way, it will remove some of the downside risks of bad news coming out of the earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>2021年股价上涨16.9%，仅上个月就上涨11.5%。投资者似乎并没有对星巴克收益报告中出现负面消息的任何可能性进行定价。如果有的话，这增加了更大幅度抛售的可能性。希望在该公司建仓的投资者最好等到财报发布后再买入。这样，它将消除收益报告中传出坏消息的一些下行风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Starbucks' Q3 Earnings Preview: Will Reopening Momentum Last?<blockquote>星巴克第三季度收益预览：重新开业的势头会持续吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStarbucks' Q3 Earnings Preview: Will Reopening Momentum Last?<blockquote>星巴克第三季度收益预览：重新开业的势头会持续吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool </strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-26 23:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The delta variant might slow reopening momentum for many companies, including Starbucks.</li> <li>Starbucks' stock is up by double-digit percentages in the last month.</li> <li>Starbucks' investors might be too optimistic heading into earnings.</li> </ul> <b>Starbucks</b> (NASDAQ:SBUX)was hit hard at the onset of the pandemic as it had to close most of its stores to in-restaurant dining to help slow the spread of the coronavirus. Slowly, it has been recovering lost ground as economies are going through stages of reopening.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>德尔塔变异毒株可能会减缓包括星巴克在内的许多公司重新开业的势头。</li><li>星巴克的股价上个月上涨了两位数百分比。</li><li>星巴克的投资者可能对盈利过于乐观。</li></ul><b>星巴克</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：SBUX）在大流行爆发时遭受重创，因为它不得不关闭大部分商店，只允许在餐厅内用餐，以帮助减缓冠状病毒的传播。随着经济经历重新开放阶段，它正在慢慢收复失地。</blockquote></p><p> The company will report third-quarter earnings on Tuesday, July 27, and investors expect a continuation of that reopening momentum. But emerging trends -- mainly the surge in coronavirus infections caused by the delta variant -- could derail the recovery.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将于 7 月 27 日星期二公布第三季度收益，投资者预计重新开业的势头将继续下去。但新出现的趋势——主要是德尔塔变异毒株导致的冠状病毒感染激增——可能会破坏复苏。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e0875ca620cdb84140a34cc2ca270bd\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The delta variant risks slowing down reopening momentum</b></p><p><blockquote><b>德尔塔变异毒株面临重新开放势头放缓的风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Starbucks has 20,261 locations in the U.S. and China, which represent 62% of its locations worldwide. The two countries are also furthest along in vaccinating their populations. As of this writing, China has administered over 1.54 billion doses, and the U.S. has administered 342 million -- enough to fully vaccinate 55% and 53.4% of their populations, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克在美国和中国拥有20,261家门店，占其全球门店总数的62%。这两个国家在为其人口接种疫苗方面也走在最前沿。截至撰写本文时，中国已接种超过15.4亿剂疫苗，美国已接种3.42亿剂疫苗，分别足以为其55%和53.4%的人口全面接种疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> The higher vaccination rates are allowing for faster reopening of economies in the two markets. In its most recent quarter, Starbucks reported U.S. sales eclipsed levels from before the pandemic. Meanwhile, sales in China were 90% recovered. Therefore, a resurgence in COVID-19 cases caused by the delta variant is less likely to cause economic lockdowns in those two countries.</p><p><blockquote>更高的疫苗接种率使得两个市场的经济能够更快地重新开放。在最近一个季度，星巴克报告称美国销售额超过了大流行前的水平。与此同时，中国的销售额恢复了90%。因此，德尔塔变异毒株导致的新冠肺炎病例死灰复燃不太可能导致这两个国家的经济封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Even if a renewal of lockdowns is far less likely, the resurgence in cases could slow down reopening. Millions of students are expected to return to campus in the fall semester. And businesses are preparing to bring back employees to offices at least part-time in the second half of the year. The increase in infections could delay both.</p><p><blockquote>即使重新封锁的可能性要小得多，病例的死灰复燃可能会减缓重新开放的速度。预计秋季学期将有数百万学生重返校园。企业正准备在下半年让员工至少兼职回到办公室。感染的增加可能会推迟这两者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What this could mean for investors</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这对投资者意味着什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Analysts on Wall Street expect Starbucks to report revenue of $7.24 billion and earnings per share of $0.77 in its third quarter. If it meets those expectations, it would lift year-to-date revenue to $20.64 billion after the company reported revenue of $6.7 billion each in the first and second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师预计星巴克第三季度营收为 72.4 亿美元，每股收益为 0.77 美元。如果达到这些预期，在该公司公布第一季度和第二季度收入分别为 67 亿美元后，今年迄今为止的收入将达到 206.4 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, management has informed investors to expect overall revenue in the range of $28.5 billion to $29.3 billion for fiscal 2021. And considering that historically, Starbucks generates more revenue in the final quarter of the year compared to the first three, it would be on pace for reaching the yearly target.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，管理层已告知投资者，预计 2021 财年总收入将在 285 亿美元至 293 亿美元之间。考虑到从历史上看，星巴克在今年最后一个季度产生的收入比前三个季度更多，它将有望实现年度目标。</blockquote></p><p> Still, management might provide an update on the fourth quarter. The delta variant is at least slowing the pace of economic reopenings. For instance, several major corporations have delayed a return to offices, and some countries have extended or instituted travel restrictions. Those developments could have hampered Starbucks' expectations for the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，管理层可能会提供第四季度的最新情况。德尔塔变异毒株至少正在放缓经济重新开放的步伐。例如，一些大公司推迟了返回办公室的时间，一些国家延长或实施了旅行限制。这些事态发展可能会阻碍星巴克对第四季度的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The stock price is up 16.9% in 2021 and 11.5% in the last month alone. It does not appear that investors are pricing in any possibility of negative news coming out of Starbucks' earnings report. That raises the potential for a sharper sell-off if there is one.Investors looking to start a position in the company are better served waiting until after the earnings release to buy. That way, it will remove some of the downside risks of bad news coming out of the earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>2021年股价上涨16.9%，仅上个月就上涨11.5%。投资者似乎并没有对星巴克收益报告中出现负面消息的任何可能性进行定价。如果有的话，这增加了更大幅度抛售的可能性。希望在该公司建仓的投资者最好等到财报发布后再买入。这样，它将消除收益报告中传出坏消息的一些下行风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/26/starbucks-q3-earnings-will-reopening-momentum-last/\">Motley Fool </a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/26/starbucks-q3-earnings-will-reopening-momentum-last/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177576068","content_text":"Key Points\n\nThe delta variant might slow reopening momentum for many companies, including Starbucks.\nStarbucks' stock is up by double-digit percentages in the last month.\nStarbucks' investors might be too optimistic heading into earnings.\n\nStarbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX)was hit hard at the onset of the pandemic as it had to close most of its stores to in-restaurant dining to help slow the spread of the coronavirus. Slowly, it has been recovering lost ground as economies are going through stages of reopening.\nThe company will report third-quarter earnings on Tuesday, July 27, and investors expect a continuation of that reopening momentum. But emerging trends -- mainly the surge in coronavirus infections caused by the delta variant -- could derail the recovery.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nThe delta variant risks slowing down reopening momentum\nStarbucks has 20,261 locations in the U.S. and China, which represent 62% of its locations worldwide. The two countries are also furthest along in vaccinating their populations. As of this writing, China has administered over 1.54 billion doses, and the U.S. has administered 342 million -- enough to fully vaccinate 55% and 53.4% of their populations, respectively.\nThe higher vaccination rates are allowing for faster reopening of economies in the two markets. In its most recent quarter, Starbucks reported U.S. sales eclipsed levels from before the pandemic. Meanwhile, sales in China were 90% recovered. Therefore, a resurgence in COVID-19 cases caused by the delta variant is less likely to cause economic lockdowns in those two countries.\nEven if a renewal of lockdowns is far less likely, the resurgence in cases could slow down reopening. Millions of students are expected to return to campus in the fall semester. And businesses are preparing to bring back employees to offices at least part-time in the second half of the year. The increase in infections could delay both.\nWhat this could mean for investors\nAnalysts on Wall Street expect Starbucks to report revenue of $7.24 billion and earnings per share of $0.77 in its third quarter. If it meets those expectations, it would lift year-to-date revenue to $20.64 billion after the company reported revenue of $6.7 billion each in the first and second quarter.\nInterestingly, management has informed investors to expect overall revenue in the range of $28.5 billion to $29.3 billion for fiscal 2021. And considering that historically, Starbucks generates more revenue in the final quarter of the year compared to the first three, it would be on pace for reaching the yearly target.\nStill, management might provide an update on the fourth quarter. The delta variant is at least slowing the pace of economic reopenings. For instance, several major corporations have delayed a return to offices, and some countries have extended or instituted travel restrictions. Those developments could have hampered Starbucks' expectations for the fourth quarter.\nThe stock price is up 16.9% in 2021 and 11.5% in the last month alone. It does not appear that investors are pricing in any possibility of negative news coming out of Starbucks' earnings report. That raises the potential for a sharper sell-off if there is one.Investors looking to start a position in the company are better served waiting until after the earnings release to buy. That way, it will remove some of the downside risks of bad news coming out of the earnings report.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SBUX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3016,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175508952,"gmtCreate":1627039167676,"gmtModify":1633768569078,"author":{"id":"3580525950436441","authorId":"3580525950436441","name":"Forces94","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580525950436441","authorIdStr":"3580525950436441"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175508952","repostId":"1164478982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172828142,"gmtCreate":1626953121886,"gmtModify":1633769446692,"author":{"id":"3580525950436441","authorId":"3580525950436441","name":"Forces94","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580525950436441","authorIdStr":"3580525950436441"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172828142","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178456597,"gmtCreate":1626833508319,"gmtModify":1633770560392,"author":{"id":"3580525950436441","authorId":"3580525950436441","name":"Forces94","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580525950436441","authorIdStr":"3580525950436441"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Bounce ","listText":"Bounce ","text":"Bounce","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178456597","repostId":"2153924256","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171020495,"gmtCreate":1626697495217,"gmtModify":1633924868844,"author":{"id":"3580525950436441","authorId":"3580525950436441","name":"Forces94","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580525950436441","authorIdStr":"3580525950436441"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Apple","listText":"Apple","text":"Apple","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171020495","repostId":"1159486759","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}