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- Grit100Grit100
  ·2022-01-06
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,628 评论
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- Grit100Grit100
  ·2022-01-05
  Ok
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- Grit100Grit100
  ·2022-01-04
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- Grit100Grit100
  ·2022-01-03
  Ok
  71 years of stock market data reveals investors may be happy in the New Year
  After a nearly 29% total return for the S&P 500 this year, history suggests 2022 may see more gains
  71 years of stock market data reveals investors may be happy in the New Year
  1,776 评论
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- Grit100Grit100
  ·2022-01-02
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- Grit100Grit100
  ·2022-01-01
  Ok
  EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading
  EV stocks climbed in morning trading. Lucid, Nio, Rivian, Xpeng Motors, Li Auto, Fisker, Nikola, Canoo, and Tusimple climbed between 1% and 3%.
  EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading
  2,181 评论
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- Grit100Grit100
  ·2021-12-30
  Ok
  AMD: My Top Stock Pick For 2022 And The Next Decade
  SummaryAMD has been a top performer in 2021, and 2022 should be another great year.The company has c
  AMD: My Top Stock Pick For 2022 And The Next Decade
  2,099 评论
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- Grit100Grit100
  ·2021-12-29
  Ok
  Here’s What Apple Stock Needs To Hit To Be Worth $3 Trillion
  Apple (AAPL) stock is again back in the spotlight on Tuesday. Not that it’s hard for the tech giant
  Here’s What Apple Stock Needs To Hit To Be Worth $3 Trillion
  2,263 评论
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- Grit100Grit100
  ·2021-12-28
  Ok
  Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Understand The Recent Selloff
  Summary Sea Limited is a highly diversified business firing on all cylinders in some of the fastest
  Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Understand The Recent Selloff
  2,034 评论
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- Grit100Grit100
  ·2021-12-27
  Ok
  Moderna faces shareholder pressure over cost of vaccine
  Moderna explains why the price is so high given the amount of government-supported pharmaceutical gr
  Moderna faces shareholder pressure over cost of vaccine
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10:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"71 years of stock market data reveals investors may be happy in the New Year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2200443162","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"After a nearly 29% total return for the S&P 500 this year, history suggests 2022 may see more gains ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>After a nearly 29% total return for the S&amp;P 500 this year, history suggests 2022 may see more gains for investors.</p><p>Truist Advisory Services co-chief investment officer Keith Lerner found that going back to 1950, when the S&amp;P 500 had a total return of at least 25% in a year, stocks usually rose in the following year. The outcome during that 71 year stretch: stocks advanced 82% of the time, or 14 out of 17 instances.</p><p>As the data shows, however, it&#39;s not always sunshine and rainbows after a big year for stocks.</p><p>Two of the three years where stocks failed to rise after 25%+ annual gains were 1981 and 1990. Lerner points out both of those periods commenced with recessions. The other down year was 1962, which Lerner says was challenged by a &#34;flash crash&#34; and &#34;deteriorating investor confidence.&#34;</p><p>Lerner doesn&#39;t see a recession in the cards for 2022, but acknowledges that it&#39;s likely stocks have more modest gains after a banner 2021.</p><p>&#34;History is only a guide and should be used alongside other factors, such as the business cycle and fundamentals. Still, the studies reviewed on performance following years with robust market gains, strong price momentum, and shallow pullbacks lend further support to our base case outlook for 2022. That is, we still favor stocks and expect the bull market to extend, though at a much more modest pace relative to 2021. The data also suggest investors should anticipate more normal and deeper corrections relative to the unusually shallow pullbacks seen over the past year. Thus, we remain positive yet realistic entering the new year,&#34; Lerner explains.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2a393125c83e9e71035b9c23133616c\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Another up year for stocks on tap?Truist</span></p><p>To be sure, the market enters 2022 with considerable momentum that go a long way to nailing down a positive year ahead.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 notched its 70th record close of the year on Wednesday. As Yahoo Finance&#39;s Alexandra Semenova points out, the S&amp;P 500 recorded a new all-time high every month this year. That makes 2021 among the best years ever for investors.</p><p>Meanwhile, well-known companies such as Apple, Home Depot, McDonald&#39;s, Coca-Cola and Procter &amp; Gamble continue to hover around record highs.</p><p>&#34;We encourage our clients not to get out, to stay in the market. When the recoveries hit, when the sentiment changes, it happens so quickly that often by the time you&#39;re able to get back into the market, you have already missed out,&#34; said Erin Gibbs, Main Street Asset Management chief investment officer, on Yahoo Finance Live.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>71 years of stock market data reveals investors may be happy in the New Year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n71 years of stock market data reveals investors may be happy in the New Year\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-03 10:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/71-years-of-stock-market-data-reveals-investors-may-be-happy-in-the-new-year-173229105.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After a nearly 29% total return for the S&P 500 this year, history suggests 2022 may see more gains for investors.Truist Advisory Services co-chief investment officer Keith Lerner found that going ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/71-years-of-stock-market-data-reveals-investors-may-be-happy-in-the-new-year-173229105.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PG":"宝洁","BK4017":"黄金","NGD":"New Gold",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","AAPL":"苹果",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","MCD":"麦当劳","KO":"可口可乐","HD":"家得宝",".DJI":"道琼斯","MRCC":"Monroe Capital Corporation"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/71-years-of-stock-market-data-reveals-investors-may-be-happy-in-the-new-year-173229105.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2200443162","content_text":"After a nearly 29% total return for the S&P 500 this year, history suggests 2022 may see more gains for investors.Truist Advisory Services co-chief investment officer Keith Lerner found that going back to 1950, when the S&P 500 had a total return of at least 25% in a year, stocks usually rose in the following year. The outcome during that 71 year stretch: stocks advanced 82% of the time, or 14 out of 17 instances.As the data shows, however, it's not always sunshine and rainbows after a big year for stocks.Two of the three years where stocks failed to rise after 25%+ annual gains were 1981 and 1990. Lerner points out both of those periods commenced with recessions. The other down year was 1962, which Lerner says was challenged by a \"flash crash\" and \"deteriorating investor confidence.\"Lerner doesn't see a recession in the cards for 2022, but acknowledges that it's likely stocks have more modest gains after a banner 2021.\"History is only a guide and should be used alongside other factors, such as the business cycle and fundamentals. Still, the studies reviewed on performance following years with robust market gains, strong price momentum, and shallow pullbacks lend further support to our base case outlook for 2022. That is, we still favor stocks and expect the bull market to extend, though at a much more modest pace relative to 2021. The data also suggest investors should anticipate more normal and deeper corrections relative to the unusually shallow pullbacks seen over the past year. Thus, we remain positive yet realistic entering the new year,\" Lerner explains.Another up year for stocks on tap?TruistTo be sure, the market enters 2022 with considerable momentum that go a long way to nailing down a positive year ahead.The S&P 500 notched its 70th record close of the year on Wednesday. As Yahoo Finance's Alexandra Semenova points out, the S&P 500 recorded a new all-time high every month this year. That makes 2021 among the best years ever for investors.Meanwhile, well-known companies such as Apple, Home Depot, McDonald's, Coca-Cola and Procter & Gamble continue to hover around record highs.\"We encourage our clients not to get out, to stay in the market. When the recoveries hit, when the sentiment changes, it happens so quickly that often by the time you're able to get back into the market, you have already missed out,\" said Erin Gibbs, Main Street Asset Management chief investment officer, on Yahoo Finance Live.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"AAPL":0.6,"HD":0.6,"KO":0.6,"MCD":0.6,"MRCC":0.9,"NGD":1,"PG":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692555842,"gmtCreate":1641093026709,"gmtModify":1641093027033,"author":{"id":"3581502897038686","authorId":"3581502897038686","name":"Grit100","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3c65cb20cfcce91cc07fddb27bc3ccd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581502897038686","authorIdStr":"3581502897038686"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692555842","repostId":"2200412074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692507978,"gmtCreate":1641021630851,"gmtModify":1641021631219,"author":{"id":"3581502897038686","authorId":"3581502897038686","name":"Grit100","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3c65cb20cfcce91cc07fddb27bc3ccd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581502897038686","authorIdStr":"3581502897038686"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692507978","repostId":"1139922858","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139922858","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640963323,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139922858?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-31 23:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139922858","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks climbed in morning trading. Lucid, Nio, Rivian, Xpeng Motors, Li Auto, Fisker, Nikola, Canoo, and Tusimple climbed between 1% and 3%.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>EV stocks climbed in morning trading. Lucid, Nio, Rivian, Xpeng Motors, Li Auto, Fisker, Nikola, Canoo, and Tusimple climbed between 1% and 3%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52a8a5b51cea78b126f429bba375c881\" tg-width=\"360\" tg-height=\"520\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks Climbed in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-31 23:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>EV stocks climbed in morning trading. Lucid, Nio, Rivian, Xpeng Motors, Li Auto, Fisker, Nikola, Canoo, and Tusimple climbed between 1% and 3%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52a8a5b51cea78b126f429bba375c881\" tg-width=\"360\" tg-height=\"520\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139922858","content_text":"EV stocks climbed in morning trading. Lucid, Nio, Rivian, Xpeng Motors, Li Auto, Fisker, Nikola, Canoo, and Tusimple climbed between 1% and 3%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LI":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"XPEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692328272,"gmtCreate":1640855304434,"gmtModify":1640855304812,"author":{"id":"3581502897038686","authorId":"3581502897038686","name":"Grit100","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3c65cb20cfcce91cc07fddb27bc3ccd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581502897038686","authorIdStr":"3581502897038686"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692328272","repostId":"1187913769","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187913769","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640853199,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187913769?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-30 16:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD: My Top Stock Pick For 2022 And The Next Decade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187913769","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAMD has been a top performer in 2021, and 2022 should be another great year.The company has c","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>AMD has been a top performer in 2021, and 2022 should be another great year.</li><li>The company has captured substantial market share in the CPU segment, and it&#39;s not likely to give up gains.</li><li>AMD should continue to deliver significant revenue growth in future years, and the company is becoming increasingly more profitable with scale.</li><li>While AMD&#39;s stock could consolidate in the near term, shares are likely to appreciate considerably in the long run.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad09afc88b98d84d101279ec2e71adec\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"896\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>vchal/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>With a 70% gain over the last year, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock has been a top performer in the All-Weather Portfolio. The company has tremendous momentum, and it should continue to increase its market share in the CPU segment moving forward. Therefore, we will likely continue seeing substantial revenue growth from the chipmaker in future quarters. Moreover, AMD is growing more profitable and should continue expanding EPS in the coming years. The company&#39;s stock price should have another solid year in 2022. Moreover, AMD&#39;s perpetual growth and increasing profitability should enable the company&#39;s stock to advance notably higher in future years.</p><p><b>AMD 3-Year Chart</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd855019964cf634f5c9c7817fb458b5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: StockCharts.com</span></p><p>We see that AMD has been on a steady march higher for several years now. The stock has made about a 750% move in just the last three years, making it one of the top-performing large-cap tech stocks on Wall Street in recent years. While shares became technically overbought during the recent run-up, we should see more upside from AMD after a consolidation phase early next year. I also believe that any substantial pullbacks in AMD should be regarded as buying opportunities if they occur in the next few months.</p><p><b>Why AMD Continues To Surge</b></p><p>AMD&#39;s CPU market share hit a 15-year high recently, as the company&#39;s market share continues to climb in the ultra-competitive x86 market. Now, every AMD gain is essentially an Intel (INTC) loss here, and it has been all about AMD lately.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6026105f7bf4779407e601f570ccedd6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"401\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: cpubenchmark.net</span></p><p>We&#39;ve seen AMD&#39;s total CPU market share increase substantially in recent years. The company&#39;s market share has surged from a low of about 20% in 2015-2018 to roughly 40% recently. While we saw a higher market share in the mid-2000s, I don&#39;t believe that AMD&#39;s recent rise will be transitory like 15 years ago. AMD is much more established and far better capitalized now. Moreover, the company&#39;s execution, performance, and chip technology have topped Intel&#39;s in recent years. Therefore, it&#39;s not surprising to see market share gains and extreme stock outperformance over Intel lately.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76d30db882342612fa2b942da319232d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: cpubenchmark.net</span></p><p>If we look at the desktop market where a lot of the gaming occurs, AMD briefly overtook Intel this year, crossing the 50% market share line for the first time since 2006. AMD has seen a rapid rise in this segment from the company&#39;s 20%-25% share about five years ago. Due to AMD&#39;s strong momentum and solid product line, the chipmaker could continue to capture more share in the desktop market in future years. Given the company&#39;s trajectory, AMD has a substantial probability of becoming the leader in the desktop CPU segment, in my view.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82437416408bf193bb7e638a750c90f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"402\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: cpubenchmark.net</span></p><p>The critical battleground remains the laptop market, where AMD&#39;s market share was down to only around 8% in recent years. However, the company has recently made significant advances capturing nearly 25% of this lucrative market. The move away from cheaper, low-performance devices has helped AMD in this segment. Moreover, the trend toward higher-end performance laptops should enable AMD to retain a larger share of the laptop market in future years. Furthermore, AMD&#39;s robust momentum should allow the company to continue innovating, allowing it to grow its market share from here.</p><p><b>AMD vs. Intel</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc483b40eae241e17cc4061f03271595\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>In recent years, we see AMD&#39;s dramatic outperformance over Intel, and the stock&#39;s trajectory correlates closely with AMD&#39;s continued market share gains in the CPU market. However, even if the company&#39;s market share gain slows down or stagnates in the future, I don&#39;t believe that AMD&#39;s stock will crash. AMD has an established place in the market now. The company&#39;s growth should continue, and even if the stock moves sideways or slightly lower in the near-term, intermediate and longer-term gains should follow.</p><p><b>Valuation May Seem High But The Growth Is Worth It</b></p><p>AMD&#39;s consensus EPS forecasts are $3.13 in its next four quarters. This figure puts AMD&#39;s forward P/E ratio at approximately 49. While 49 times forward EPS estimates may seem high, AMD has the growth to support such a multiple.</p><p><b>EPS Estimates</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ecee7246de09d54f8431a28932f5ca7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: SeekingAlpha.com</span></p><p>Most analysts anticipate AMD will deliver robust double-digit EPS growth for at least several more years moving forward. Consensus EPS estimates are $3.99 in 2023, roughly a 50% rise over this year&#39;s anticipated $2.64 result. Moreover, AMD has illustrated a tenacity for surpassing analysts&#39; expectations.</p><p><b>EPS Surprises</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfbefd1757816f8103ba2609c1148c8a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"251\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: SeekingAlpha.com</span></p><p>AMD has surpassed consensus estimates in seven of its last eight quarters. The company has beat forecasts by an average of 14% in its previous four quarters. Therefore, I anticipate that we will see more outperformance moving forward. Even if AMD beats consensus EPS estimates by an average of only 10% in 2023, the company will deliver about $4.40. This EPS figure implies that AMD is trading at around 35 times 2023 EPS estimates right now. However, due to the company&#39;s powerful momentum, robust growth should continue well beyond 2023.</p><p><b>Revenue Estimates</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94249d68f94c71b809df65a4d17238cb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"343\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: SeekingAlpha.com</span></p><p>We see that double-digit revenue growth should continue at AMD, and this trend of solid revenue growth is likely to persist well beyond 2023. While consensus estimates are $22 billion in 2023, higher-end forecasts imply that the company can deliver north of $24 billion. These are explosive figures provided that AMD reported Q3 2020 revenues of $2.8 billion.</p><p><b>Q3 2021 Financial Information</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b112287e77c3985b0453387ea223cc3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: AMD.com</span></p><p>We see that AMD&#39;s revenues surged by a whopping 54% YoY in the company&#39;s latest earnings report. While next year&#39;s Q3 consensus estimates are for an 18% YoY increase, I suspect that AMD can surprise higher, delivering revenue growth north of 20%. In addition to the company&#39;s substantial sales growth, AMD is becoming increasingly more profitable. Last quarter we saw gross profit explode to more than $2 billion, a 70% YoY increase. Moreover, gross profit margin increased substantially from 44% in Q3 2020 to 48% last quarter. Net income skyrocketed by 137% from $390 million to $923 million for the same time frame. We can see that AMD is becoming increasingly more profitable with scale, and we will likely continue to see high profitability growth from AMD as the company advances.</p><p><b>Here is what AMD&#39;s financials could look like in future years:</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbd1ed829c5e52bdad466de22b5e8969\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"407\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Author&#39;s Material</span></p><p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p><p>I expect AMD will continue to expand sales at 15%-20% annually through 2025, after which the company&#39;s revenue growth should slow into the 8%-10% range toward the end of the decade. However, AMD&#39;s EPS should be considerably higher by this time, roughly $15-$20. Therefore, even a substantially lower P/E multiple should provide us with a stock price much higher than we see today. If AMD continues to execute well in the coming years, I expect the company&#39;s share price to appreciate to about $500 by 2030.</p><p><b>Risks To AMD</b></p><p>Despite my bullish outlook for the company, investors must remain aware that risks exist. AMD has a relatively high multiple, and some consider the stock overvalued right now. Therefore, market volatility and further deflation of high multiple stocks could impact AMD&#39;s stock price. Moreover, Intel could bounce back, and the company could begin taking back some of its lost market share. In such a scenario, we could see AMD&#39;s share of the CPU market decline along with the company&#39;s share price. AMD remains an elevated risk/reward investment and may not be suitable for conservative investors.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD: My Top Stock Pick For 2022 And The Next Decade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD: My Top Stock Pick For 2022 And The Next Decade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-30 16:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4477197-amd-my-top-pick-for-2022-and-the-next-decade><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAMD has been a top performer in 2021, and 2022 should be another great year.The company has captured substantial market share in the CPU segment, and it's not likely to give up gains.AMD should...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4477197-amd-my-top-pick-for-2022-and-the-next-decade\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4477197-amd-my-top-pick-for-2022-and-the-next-decade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187913769","content_text":"SummaryAMD has been a top performer in 2021, and 2022 should be another great year.The company has captured substantial market share in the CPU segment, and it's not likely to give up gains.AMD should continue to deliver significant revenue growth in future years, and the company is becoming increasingly more profitable with scale.While AMD's stock could consolidate in the near term, shares are likely to appreciate considerably in the long run.vchal/iStock via Getty ImagesWith a 70% gain over the last year, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock has been a top performer in the All-Weather Portfolio. The company has tremendous momentum, and it should continue to increase its market share in the CPU segment moving forward. Therefore, we will likely continue seeing substantial revenue growth from the chipmaker in future quarters. Moreover, AMD is growing more profitable and should continue expanding EPS in the coming years. The company's stock price should have another solid year in 2022. Moreover, AMD's perpetual growth and increasing profitability should enable the company's stock to advance notably higher in future years.AMD 3-Year ChartSource: StockCharts.comWe see that AMD has been on a steady march higher for several years now. The stock has made about a 750% move in just the last three years, making it one of the top-performing large-cap tech stocks on Wall Street in recent years. While shares became technically overbought during the recent run-up, we should see more upside from AMD after a consolidation phase early next year. I also believe that any substantial pullbacks in AMD should be regarded as buying opportunities if they occur in the next few months.Why AMD Continues To SurgeAMD's CPU market share hit a 15-year high recently, as the company's market share continues to climb in the ultra-competitive x86 market. Now, every AMD gain is essentially an Intel (INTC) loss here, and it has been all about AMD lately.Source: cpubenchmark.netWe've seen AMD's total CPU market share increase substantially in recent years. The company's market share has surged from a low of about 20% in 2015-2018 to roughly 40% recently. While we saw a higher market share in the mid-2000s, I don't believe that AMD's recent rise will be transitory like 15 years ago. AMD is much more established and far better capitalized now. Moreover, the company's execution, performance, and chip technology have topped Intel's in recent years. Therefore, it's not surprising to see market share gains and extreme stock outperformance over Intel lately.Source: cpubenchmark.netIf we look at the desktop market where a lot of the gaming occurs, AMD briefly overtook Intel this year, crossing the 50% market share line for the first time since 2006. AMD has seen a rapid rise in this segment from the company's 20%-25% share about five years ago. Due to AMD's strong momentum and solid product line, the chipmaker could continue to capture more share in the desktop market in future years. Given the company's trajectory, AMD has a substantial probability of becoming the leader in the desktop CPU segment, in my view.Source: cpubenchmark.netThe critical battleground remains the laptop market, where AMD's market share was down to only around 8% in recent years. However, the company has recently made significant advances capturing nearly 25% of this lucrative market. The move away from cheaper, low-performance devices has helped AMD in this segment. Moreover, the trend toward higher-end performance laptops should enable AMD to retain a larger share of the laptop market in future years. Furthermore, AMD's robust momentum should allow the company to continue innovating, allowing it to grow its market share from here.AMD vs. IntelData by YChartsIn recent years, we see AMD's dramatic outperformance over Intel, and the stock's trajectory correlates closely with AMD's continued market share gains in the CPU market. However, even if the company's market share gain slows down or stagnates in the future, I don't believe that AMD's stock will crash. AMD has an established place in the market now. The company's growth should continue, and even if the stock moves sideways or slightly lower in the near-term, intermediate and longer-term gains should follow.Valuation May Seem High But The Growth Is Worth ItAMD's consensus EPS forecasts are $3.13 in its next four quarters. This figure puts AMD's forward P/E ratio at approximately 49. While 49 times forward EPS estimates may seem high, AMD has the growth to support such a multiple.EPS EstimatesSource: SeekingAlpha.comMost analysts anticipate AMD will deliver robust double-digit EPS growth for at least several more years moving forward. Consensus EPS estimates are $3.99 in 2023, roughly a 50% rise over this year's anticipated $2.64 result. Moreover, AMD has illustrated a tenacity for surpassing analysts' expectations.EPS SurprisesSource: SeekingAlpha.comAMD has surpassed consensus estimates in seven of its last eight quarters. The company has beat forecasts by an average of 14% in its previous four quarters. Therefore, I anticipate that we will see more outperformance moving forward. Even if AMD beats consensus EPS estimates by an average of only 10% in 2023, the company will deliver about $4.40. This EPS figure implies that AMD is trading at around 35 times 2023 EPS estimates right now. However, due to the company's powerful momentum, robust growth should continue well beyond 2023.Revenue EstimatesSource: SeekingAlpha.comWe see that double-digit revenue growth should continue at AMD, and this trend of solid revenue growth is likely to persist well beyond 2023. While consensus estimates are $22 billion in 2023, higher-end forecasts imply that the company can deliver north of $24 billion. These are explosive figures provided that AMD reported Q3 2020 revenues of $2.8 billion.Q3 2021 Financial InformationSource: AMD.comWe see that AMD's revenues surged by a whopping 54% YoY in the company's latest earnings report. While next year's Q3 consensus estimates are for an 18% YoY increase, I suspect that AMD can surprise higher, delivering revenue growth north of 20%. In addition to the company's substantial sales growth, AMD is becoming increasingly more profitable. Last quarter we saw gross profit explode to more than $2 billion, a 70% YoY increase. Moreover, gross profit margin increased substantially from 44% in Q3 2020 to 48% last quarter. Net income skyrocketed by 137% from $390 million to $923 million for the same time frame. We can see that AMD is becoming increasingly more profitable with scale, and we will likely continue to see high profitability growth from AMD as the company advances.Here is what AMD's financials could look like in future years:Source: Author's MaterialThe Bottom LineI expect AMD will continue to expand sales at 15%-20% annually through 2025, after which the company's revenue growth should slow into the 8%-10% range toward the end of the decade. However, AMD's EPS should be considerably higher by this time, roughly $15-$20. Therefore, even a substantially lower P/E multiple should provide us with a stock price much higher than we see today. If AMD continues to execute well in the coming years, I expect the company's share price to appreciate to about $500 by 2030.Risks To AMDDespite my bullish outlook for the company, investors must remain aware that risks exist. AMD has a relatively high multiple, and some consider the stock overvalued right now. Therefore, market volatility and further deflation of high multiple stocks could impact AMD's stock price. Moreover, Intel could bounce back, and the company could begin taking back some of its lost market share. In such a scenario, we could see AMD's share of the CPU market decline along with the company's share price. AMD remains an elevated risk/reward investment and may not be suitable for conservative investors.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2099,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696443164,"gmtCreate":1640755506156,"gmtModify":1640755539346,"author":{"id":"3581502897038686","authorId":"3581502897038686","name":"Grit100","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3c65cb20cfcce91cc07fddb27bc3ccd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581502897038686","authorIdStr":"3581502897038686"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696443164","repostId":"1169856412","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169856412","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640748590,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169856412?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-29 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s What Apple Stock Needs To Hit To Be Worth $3 Trillion","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169856412","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple (AAPL) stock is again back in the spotlight on Tuesday.\nNot that it’s hard for the tech giant ","content":"<p>Apple&nbsp;(<b>AAPL</b>)&nbsp;stock is again back in the spotlight on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Not that it’s hard for the tech giant to find itself there, but it comes as the stock makes another push back to&nbsp;the $3 trillion market cap level.</p>\n<p>To get there, Apple stock needs to climb to roughly $182.85 — let’s just call it $183.</p>\n<p>What’s been difficult is that the $180 area has become an area of resistance.</p>\n<p>We have actually been pretty fortunate when it comes to trading Apple stock.</p>\n<p>On its first push to the $3 trillion level, we were selling the news and&nbsp;looking for a bearish reversal.</p>\n<p>That worked out as Apple corrected lower. However, that set up a&nbsp;pretty sweet bounce play&nbsp;that has been paying traders pretty well over the past few days.</p>\n<p>At the risk of over-saturating our Apple discussion, how do the charts look now as it makes another push back up toward this key zone?</p>\n<p>Trading Apple Stock</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29cb7696d6e38eacaddae770a857ff3d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"741\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Daily chart of Apple stock.Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com</span></p>\n<p>Apple’s powerful bounce off the 21-day moving average and rotation up through the 10-day has given the stock new life.</p>\n<p>However, this $180 zone has been tricky thus far. One will notice how the stock tested up into this area on Tuesday and then struggled.</p>\n<p>It’s not unlike what we’re seeing&nbsp;with Meta&nbsp;(<b>MVRS</b>), although admittedly, the stock is not trading at all-time highs.</p>\n<p>From here, bulls want to see a push up through the all-time high, at $182.13. That opens the door directly to the $3 trillion market cap level — at $182.85-ish — and more new highs.</p>\n<p>The flip side of that scenario is that the $180 area holds as resistance.</p>\n<p>In that case, I want to see the 10-day moving average hold as support on the pullback. A break of this level puts the 21-day moving average back in play again, but it would be much healthier for the former to hold as support and for the latter to not be tested.</p>\n<p>In either scenario — the breakout or the pullback — investors will ultimately be looking for $3 trillion and new all-time highs eventually.</p>\n<p><i>When</i>&nbsp;Apple gets there — not if — it will have longer-term bulls sniffing for the $188 to $194 area, where the stock finds multiple upside extension levels.</p>\n<p>Above $195 and the obvious is in play: $200.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s What Apple Stock Needs To Hit To Be Worth $3 Trillion</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s What Apple Stock Needs To Hit To Be Worth $3 Trillion\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-29 11:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/trading-apple-aapl-stock-3-trillion-market-cap-end-of-year><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple (AAPL) stock is again back in the spotlight on Tuesday.\nNot that it’s hard for the tech giant to find itself there, but it comes as the stock makes another push back to the $3 trillion market ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/trading-apple-aapl-stock-3-trillion-market-cap-end-of-year\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/trading-apple-aapl-stock-3-trillion-market-cap-end-of-year","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169856412","content_text":"Apple (AAPL) stock is again back in the spotlight on Tuesday.\nNot that it’s hard for the tech giant to find itself there, but it comes as the stock makes another push back to the $3 trillion market cap level.\nTo get there, Apple stock needs to climb to roughly $182.85 — let’s just call it $183.\nWhat’s been difficult is that the $180 area has become an area of resistance.\nWe have actually been pretty fortunate when it comes to trading Apple stock.\nOn its first push to the $3 trillion level, we were selling the news and looking for a bearish reversal.\nThat worked out as Apple corrected lower. However, that set up a pretty sweet bounce play that has been paying traders pretty well over the past few days.\nAt the risk of over-saturating our Apple discussion, how do the charts look now as it makes another push back up toward this key zone?\nTrading Apple Stock\nDaily chart of Apple stock.Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com\nApple’s powerful bounce off the 21-day moving average and rotation up through the 10-day has given the stock new life.\nHowever, this $180 zone has been tricky thus far. One will notice how the stock tested up into this area on Tuesday and then struggled.\nIt’s not unlike what we’re seeing with Meta (MVRS), although admittedly, the stock is not trading at all-time highs.\nFrom here, bulls want to see a push up through the all-time high, at $182.13. That opens the door directly to the $3 trillion market cap level — at $182.85-ish — and more new highs.\nThe flip side of that scenario is that the $180 area holds as resistance.\nIn that case, I want to see the 10-day moving average hold as support on the pullback. A break of this level puts the 21-day moving average back in play again, but it would be much healthier for the former to hold as support and for the latter to not be tested.\nIn either scenario — the breakout or the pullback — investors will ultimately be looking for $3 trillion and new all-time highs eventually.\nWhen Apple gets there — not if — it will have longer-term bulls sniffing for the $188 to $194 area, where the stock finds multiple upside extension levels.\nAbove $195 and the obvious is in play: $200.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696874085,"gmtCreate":1640673096652,"gmtModify":1640673100311,"author":{"id":"3581502897038686","authorId":"3581502897038686","name":"Grit100","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3c65cb20cfcce91cc07fddb27bc3ccd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581502897038686","authorIdStr":"3581502897038686"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696874085","repostId":"1102262158","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102262158","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640670598,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102262158?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-28 13:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Understand The Recent Selloff","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102262158","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a highly diversified business firing on all cylinders in some of the fastest","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Sea Limited is a highly diversified business firing on all cylinders in some of the fastest-growing economies in the world.</li>\n <li>I dive into each of its segments to understand the recent selloff and justify the current valuation.</li>\n <li>I consider Sea one of my ten highest conviction investments.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5cbe0a30acc723a2c6f62300024002\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>kokkai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Thesis</b></p>\n<p>A by-parts analysis of Sea Limited's (NYSE:SE) segments shows that its current valuation is roughly fair, but there are many long-term growth drivers that could surprise to the upside and drive very strong returns for years to come.</p>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>I recently wrote an&nbsp;article&nbsp;highlighting my top 10 stock picks for 2022. I'd already done an in-depth analysis of my other nine picks in other Seeking Alpha articles, so I thought it would be good to close out the year with an article about Sea.</p>\n<p>Furthermore, with shares down significantly over the past couple of months (but still slightly up for the year), I believe this article may prove timely. I don't speculate on short-term market movements, but I personally added to my Sea shares recently. It's one of my only losing positions that I didn't sell out of temporarily for tax-loss harvesting, and in this article, I will explain why Sea is such a high conviction holding for me.</p>\n<p>It's also worth noting that many professional investors seem to share this opinion. Sea is the 121st largest company in the world, but it's the16thmost popular holding among hedge funds. This implies that big money is overweight Sea, with 71% of shares held by institutions.</p>\n<p>Because Sea operates in many different areas, I will do a separate analysis of each of its operating segments to justify its current valuation and explain how that valuation could drive unexpectedly strong returns for years.</p>\n<p><b>Gaming</b></p>\n<p>Sea Limited's gaming segment Garena is best known for Free Fire, a mobile battle royale game that was developed in-house.</p>\n<p>The game was released in 2017 and has been very popular ever since. It currently has the second most monthly active users among all Android games globally. The game is available worldwide, but it's particularly popular in emerging markets like SEA, LATAM, and India, where it's been the highest-grossing mobile game for over two years.</p>\n<p>With the game having been popular for a long time already, there's some concern that gamers will move on to the next big thing. Although there are some mobile games that are older than Free Fire and still very popular - like Roblox, Clash of Clans, and Pokemon Go - there are many more that have been forgotten. Until Garena releases more games and proves that it can be successful with them too, there will always be questions about whether its studio is a one-hit wonder.</p>\n<p>Regardless, Garena is a critical part of Sea because it's the only profitable segment and it doubles a social platform that provides free advertising for Sea's non-gaming products. Cross-promotion is a huge competitive advantage for Sea.</p>\n<p>Thus, one reason for Sea's recent selloff could be the Q4 guidance implied for Garena.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e299727cc28a887a36d88831aec8f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Earnings Call Presentation</span></p>\n<p>In Q2 this year, Garena raised its guidance to $4.5B-$4.7B for 2021 bookings (up from $4.3B-$4.5B). With the first three quarters already totaling $3.5B, this implies that Q4 bookings will come in at $1.0B-$1.2B, up between 0% and 20% year over year, and likely down sequentially. This is compared to 29% growth in the most recent quarter and 44% projected growth for the full year.</p>\n<p>While 20% isn't a terrible deceleration, 0% certainly is. Even 20% growth isn't spectacular compared to the historic levels. At the 10% midpoint, Garena's growth looks more similar to that of a mature company like Activision (NASDAQ:ATVI) or Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA) than a fast-growing company like Roblox (NYSE:RBLX).</p>\n<p>Garena's implied valuation should - and did - suffer as a result. While a fast-growing company like Roblox can command a high double-digit P/S multiple, Activision and Zynga trade at an average P/S multiple of just 4. Garena is slightly more profitable than them and probably has more risk to the upside, so I'll use a P/S multiple of 5 for my implied valuation. This implies a P/E of about 10 for a business growing at around 10%, which is very reasonable in today's market.</p>\n<p>This means Garena is worth $23.5B based on the high end of management's guidance.</p>\n<p>I believe this valuation is actually conservative for a few reasons:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Next year has tough comps and growth could re-accelerate in the following years or even next year, especially if Garena releases a new hit game. The growth rate past next quarter is not based on explicit guidance from the company, only industry forecasts.</li>\n <li>The peer valuations I used are from companies also trading at the lower end of their valuation range for the past year.</li>\n <li>Garena has a good track record and is continuing to invest in Free Fire. One example of this is the recently released Free Fire MAX, which improves the experience for users with higher-end phones and even adds a metaverse-like customizable map called Craftland. To me, this implies that Garena believes Free Fire is still in the earlier part of its lifecycle.</li>\n <li>Although I'd obviously prefer that Garena develops more games in house, in the meantime it's still not a one-trick pony. In addition to Free Fire, Garena distributes games from third-party developers like Tencent (OTCMKTS:OTCPK:TCEHY). These are popular titles like League of Legends and Call of Duty, which meaningfully diversify Garena's revenue.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>E-Commerce</b></p>\n<p>Sea's e-commerce platform Shopee is currently its big growth driver. This platform is often considered the Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) of Southeast Asia, and it recently expanded into more markets including Brazil.</p>\n<p>There's always some debate about who is really the Amazon of a region. Shopee certainly has competition, including from Alibaba's (NYSE:BABA) Lazada, Tokopedia in Indonesia, MercadoLibre (MELI) in Brazil, and even Amazon itself. With most of the competition being private or tucked away into a larger company, many of the competitors don't publish exact revenue numbers, which makes it difficult to measure the competition. Even Sea hasn't published explicit revenue numbers for some countries like Brazil.</p>\n<p>One neutral source that can be assessed is the Alexa site rank, which as its name suggests ranks sites by their popularity. Keep in mind that these are ranks, so a lower score is better.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/180367a2b64bccebf243c5b6d8fb776a\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: The Author, compiled from Alexa</span></p>\n<p>Shopee is very mobile-focused, but the above table only considers the website. To check App Store app ranks for the shopping category, we can use App Annie.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6544f014a5d70d13ee14dab0ac8b6782\" tg-width=\"422\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: The Author, compiled from AppAnnie</span></p>\n<p>On the mobile side, there's no need to look at the competition because Shopee is consistently the number one shopping app in every country listed. In a mobile-first world, this bodes very well. Even on the web side, Shopee wins out except in a few specific regions like LATAM and (barely) Indonesia, which have more local competitors.</p>\n<p>Of course, traffic doesn't always translate to GMV. But for a shopping app where most people will use the app to buy something, it's a decent proxy. A third party estimates that Shopee accounts for57%of all e-commerce in Southeast Asia. It's Shopee's dominance in the mobile app ranks and market share that make me consider it the Amazon of Southeast Asia.</p>\n<p>So why would a company with so much potential sell off?</p>\n<p>After the recent earnings report, some analysts expressed concern that Shopee is branching out into other countries like Poland and Mexico before validating its business model in the current markets. In these countries, Shopee has less of a presence; it's bounced between the 3-5 spots on the Mexico App Store for shopping apps, and between spots 1 and 3 in Poland. Although analysts hate uncertainty - and the CEO's comments that they don't have a concrete measure of success in these earlier stage countries won't help with that - Shopee has a history of entering new countries successfully and I am willing to give management some time to try expanding more. After all, if they're successful, then it could drive even more unexpected growth in the future.</p>\n<p>Another complaint from analysts was that the basket size (average purchase size) is trending down. While that could also have contributed to the recent selloff, it's hard to complain when the overall sales increased a lot despite a decrease in basket size.</p>\n<p>The company raised its guidance for e-commerce again in Q3, now guiding for $5.0B-$5.2B in 2021 e-commerce revenue. That's 75%-100% growth in Q4 and about 135% growth for the year. These are much more exciting numbers than the gaming side, although the guidance still implies a slight deceleration in Q4. But compared to Amazon's $340B in 2020 e-commerce sales, Shopee looks like it's just scratched the surface. E-commerce is at only11%penetration in Southeast Asia compared to18.7%in the USA, and Southeast Asia economies are generally growing faster than the USA's.</p>\n<p>Despite being in a blue skies industry, it's more difficult to value the e-commerce segment because it operates at a loss (whereas the gaming segment is highly profitable). Shopee's success is not guaranteed because it's not clear at this point whether the platform can become profitable while retaining its market share. Stocks like this tend to experience more volatility, which could partially explain the recent selloff.</p>\n<p>For unprofitable software companies, I like to use the Rule of 40 to assess the business. But it's difficult to apply this rule to a more cyclical e-commerce company with naturally lower margins. Even so, it's worth noting that despite being unprofitable, Sea's Rule of 40 score of 104 is better than most SaaS companies', and also better than e-commerce peers Amazon (21), MercadoLibre (73), and Alibaba (43).</p>\n<p>To understand Shopee's terminal valuation once it becomes profitable, we can look at industry peers. Amazon is one profitable and slower-growing peer, and it trades at 4x P/S. AWS pushes this number up, but Amazon's high exposure to first-party sales offsets that. Other e-commerce marketplace peers trade at similar valuations: Alibaba at 3x P/S, MercadoLibre at 9x P/S. All of these valuations are basically all-time lows.</p>\n<p>If Shopee keeps doubling revenue over the next couple of years (which it's easily done every year since 2016), becomes profitable (which scaling up tends to help with), and will have Amazon's P/S multiple in two years, then at 16 P/S today it would trade flat for two years. But if it keeps growing much faster than Amazon over a longer period like a decade, and/or if the overall industry multiples expand to more normal historical levels, then even at 16x P/S this segment has potential upside. On the other hand, if it stops growing or never becomes profitable then investors will be very disappointed at any P/S.</p>\n<p>Given this wide range of outcomes, each person is going to have their own way of valuing this segment. For me, when I look at Shopee's mobile dominance, relatively small current size, the funding coming in from Garena, and the precedent set by Amazon, Alibaba, and MercadoLibre for the sustainable long-term success of this business model, I am optimistic about this segment's future. I recognize that it's currently an unprofitable and thus risky segment, but I also see the massive potential.</p>\n<p>So I am happy paying a 16x P/S multiple, which values the e-commerce segment at $83.2B. Some people will call that way too high, and those people will probably never get a chance to invest in this company, for better or for worse.</p>\n<p>Thus, with just Garena and Shopee, I have Sea being worth $106.7B. Its current market cap is $123.1B. To account for the difference, let's look at the other parts of Sea.</p>\n<p><b>FinTech &amp; Investments</b></p>\n<p>The easiest addition to my computed valuation is Sea's $12B cash pile, partially offset by $4B in debt. This adds some nice optionality to the company and ensures that it won't be bankrupt any time soon despite losing money with Shopee. Adding in the $8B cash difference puts my computed valuation at $114.7B, just $8.4B short of the actual valuation.</p>\n<p>Then there is Sea's FinTech arm, SeaMoney. The main product here is a mobile wallet, which was responsible for $4.6B in payment volume in the last quarter (~$20B over a year). This segment accounted for $132 million in Q3 revenue, up a whopping 818% year over year. This implies a \"take rate\" of 2.9%, which is even better than established FinTech companies like Visa (V). Because of this high take rate, I'm not worried about SeaMoney losing money while it scales.</p>\n<p>Despite SeaMoney being a small segment, it's now reaching a point where it can be factored into the valuation. Maybe it's only worth a couple of billion, but this is just the start. Five years ago, nobody would have expected that an e-commerce platform accounting for 5% of Sea's sales would today be worth more than the gaming segment. But Sea's management - combined with Garena's ability to fund new segments and drive their viral adoption - made it happen. It's certainly not guaranteed that Sea will have the same success with FinTech, but there is precedent for it.</p>\n<p>If one day this segment is worth a third or more of Sea (in 2020, FinTech accounted for 36% of MercadoLibre's revenue) then getting it for just 7% of the business today will be well worth it, even if that implies a somewhat high 16x P/S multiple for the segment today. Actually, this multiple is already lower than Visa's,&nbsp;Mastercard's (NYSE:MA), and Affirm's (NASDAQ:AFRM). Realistically, a segment growing at 818% year over year should probably get a higher multiple than these slower-growing companies', but we don't even need to speculate about what a fair multiple is, since we can reach Sea's current valuation by using 16x P/S in my model valuation.</p>\n<p>One way this segment could grow even more is through the introduction of more products besides the mobile wallet. Sea noted in their recent earnings that they have started \"early initiatives in other digital financial services such as buy now pay later, digital bank, and insurtech.\" These guys sure know how to hop on the latest high growth trend.</p>\n<p>Finally, there's the investments arm. Sea is investing in early-stage tech companies, especially in Southeast Asia. There's strong precedent for companies like Tencent (which is itself an investor in Sea) and Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) managing successful investment portfolios that ultimately factor meaningfully into their valuation. Right now Sea's investment arm is very early stage, so I don't include it in my valuation model. But it doesn't have to be factored in to justify the current share price. It's just one more area that might be worth a large part of Sea one day.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>Looking at each of Sea's segments, my valuation model indicates that Sea is fairly valued today. However, my model doesn't account for the significant optionality of the newer segments. Just like e-commerce did over the last five years, FinTech (and/or investments) could grow to become a very large part of Sea's business. With the FinTech segment currently growing at 818% year over year, it doesn't take much imagination to see how this happens. Just another year or two of growth at something close to that rate will make the FinTech arm impossible for investors to ignore.</p>\n<p>This optionality combined general strength in each business has allowed Sea to post an average revenue beat of 7% over the past year. Earnings haven't been as strong, and I expect that to be the main point of contention with my valuation model, as is the case for most unprofitable companies. In particular, I expect some readers will disagree with my valuation of the e-commerce segment. But even if you drop e-commerce all the way down to 5x P/S (a multiple seen today by much slower growing e-commerce companies) that implies 54% downside from today's prices. It's a steep drop for sure, but most companies in today's market would be looking at such a decline if one were to use the most conservative valuation standards possible.</p>\n<p>Only fast-growing companies like Sea can quickly offset such a decline with revenue growth. As a result, the businesses with the most long-term potential will hardly ever trade at the most conservative valuation possible. And Sea certainly has long-term potential. It's one of the few high-growth companies I own that I could see reaching a trillion-dollar market cap this decade.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Understand The Recent Selloff</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: A Deep Dive To Understand The Recent Selloff\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-28 13:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476940-sea-limited-understand-the-recent-selloff><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nSea Limited is a highly diversified business firing on all cylinders in some of the fastest-growing economies in the world.\nI dive into each of its segments to understand the recent selloff ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476940-sea-limited-understand-the-recent-selloff\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476940-sea-limited-understand-the-recent-selloff","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102262158","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a highly diversified business firing on all cylinders in some of the fastest-growing economies in the world.\nI dive into each of its segments to understand the recent selloff and justify the current valuation.\nI consider Sea one of my ten highest conviction investments.\n\nkokkai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThesis\nA by-parts analysis of Sea Limited's (NYSE:SE) segments shows that its current valuation is roughly fair, but there are many long-term growth drivers that could surprise to the upside and drive very strong returns for years to come.\nIntroduction\nI recently wrote an article highlighting my top 10 stock picks for 2022. I'd already done an in-depth analysis of my other nine picks in other Seeking Alpha articles, so I thought it would be good to close out the year with an article about Sea.\nFurthermore, with shares down significantly over the past couple of months (but still slightly up for the year), I believe this article may prove timely. I don't speculate on short-term market movements, but I personally added to my Sea shares recently. It's one of my only losing positions that I didn't sell out of temporarily for tax-loss harvesting, and in this article, I will explain why Sea is such a high conviction holding for me.\nIt's also worth noting that many professional investors seem to share this opinion. Sea is the 121st largest company in the world, but it's the16thmost popular holding among hedge funds. This implies that big money is overweight Sea, with 71% of shares held by institutions.\nBecause Sea operates in many different areas, I will do a separate analysis of each of its operating segments to justify its current valuation and explain how that valuation could drive unexpectedly strong returns for years.\nGaming\nSea Limited's gaming segment Garena is best known for Free Fire, a mobile battle royale game that was developed in-house.\nThe game was released in 2017 and has been very popular ever since. It currently has the second most monthly active users among all Android games globally. The game is available worldwide, but it's particularly popular in emerging markets like SEA, LATAM, and India, where it's been the highest-grossing mobile game for over two years.\nWith the game having been popular for a long time already, there's some concern that gamers will move on to the next big thing. Although there are some mobile games that are older than Free Fire and still very popular - like Roblox, Clash of Clans, and Pokemon Go - there are many more that have been forgotten. Until Garena releases more games and proves that it can be successful with them too, there will always be questions about whether its studio is a one-hit wonder.\nRegardless, Garena is a critical part of Sea because it's the only profitable segment and it doubles a social platform that provides free advertising for Sea's non-gaming products. Cross-promotion is a huge competitive advantage for Sea.\nThus, one reason for Sea's recent selloff could be the Q4 guidance implied for Garena.\nSource: Earnings Call Presentation\nIn Q2 this year, Garena raised its guidance to $4.5B-$4.7B for 2021 bookings (up from $4.3B-$4.5B). With the first three quarters already totaling $3.5B, this implies that Q4 bookings will come in at $1.0B-$1.2B, up between 0% and 20% year over year, and likely down sequentially. This is compared to 29% growth in the most recent quarter and 44% projected growth for the full year.\nWhile 20% isn't a terrible deceleration, 0% certainly is. Even 20% growth isn't spectacular compared to the historic levels. At the 10% midpoint, Garena's growth looks more similar to that of a mature company like Activision (NASDAQ:ATVI) or Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA) than a fast-growing company like Roblox (NYSE:RBLX).\nGarena's implied valuation should - and did - suffer as a result. While a fast-growing company like Roblox can command a high double-digit P/S multiple, Activision and Zynga trade at an average P/S multiple of just 4. Garena is slightly more profitable than them and probably has more risk to the upside, so I'll use a P/S multiple of 5 for my implied valuation. This implies a P/E of about 10 for a business growing at around 10%, which is very reasonable in today's market.\nThis means Garena is worth $23.5B based on the high end of management's guidance.\nI believe this valuation is actually conservative for a few reasons:\n\nNext year has tough comps and growth could re-accelerate in the following years or even next year, especially if Garena releases a new hit game. The growth rate past next quarter is not based on explicit guidance from the company, only industry forecasts.\nThe peer valuations I used are from companies also trading at the lower end of their valuation range for the past year.\nGarena has a good track record and is continuing to invest in Free Fire. One example of this is the recently released Free Fire MAX, which improves the experience for users with higher-end phones and even adds a metaverse-like customizable map called Craftland. To me, this implies that Garena believes Free Fire is still in the earlier part of its lifecycle.\nAlthough I'd obviously prefer that Garena develops more games in house, in the meantime it's still not a one-trick pony. In addition to Free Fire, Garena distributes games from third-party developers like Tencent (OTCMKTS:OTCPK:TCEHY). These are popular titles like League of Legends and Call of Duty, which meaningfully diversify Garena's revenue.\n\nE-Commerce\nSea's e-commerce platform Shopee is currently its big growth driver. This platform is often considered the Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) of Southeast Asia, and it recently expanded into more markets including Brazil.\nThere's always some debate about who is really the Amazon of a region. Shopee certainly has competition, including from Alibaba's (NYSE:BABA) Lazada, Tokopedia in Indonesia, MercadoLibre (MELI) in Brazil, and even Amazon itself. With most of the competition being private or tucked away into a larger company, many of the competitors don't publish exact revenue numbers, which makes it difficult to measure the competition. Even Sea hasn't published explicit revenue numbers for some countries like Brazil.\nOne neutral source that can be assessed is the Alexa site rank, which as its name suggests ranks sites by their popularity. Keep in mind that these are ranks, so a lower score is better.\nSource: The Author, compiled from Alexa\nShopee is very mobile-focused, but the above table only considers the website. To check App Store app ranks for the shopping category, we can use App Annie.\nSource: The Author, compiled from AppAnnie\nOn the mobile side, there's no need to look at the competition because Shopee is consistently the number one shopping app in every country listed. In a mobile-first world, this bodes very well. Even on the web side, Shopee wins out except in a few specific regions like LATAM and (barely) Indonesia, which have more local competitors.\nOf course, traffic doesn't always translate to GMV. But for a shopping app where most people will use the app to buy something, it's a decent proxy. A third party estimates that Shopee accounts for57%of all e-commerce in Southeast Asia. It's Shopee's dominance in the mobile app ranks and market share that make me consider it the Amazon of Southeast Asia.\nSo why would a company with so much potential sell off?\nAfter the recent earnings report, some analysts expressed concern that Shopee is branching out into other countries like Poland and Mexico before validating its business model in the current markets. In these countries, Shopee has less of a presence; it's bounced between the 3-5 spots on the Mexico App Store for shopping apps, and between spots 1 and 3 in Poland. Although analysts hate uncertainty - and the CEO's comments that they don't have a concrete measure of success in these earlier stage countries won't help with that - Shopee has a history of entering new countries successfully and I am willing to give management some time to try expanding more. After all, if they're successful, then it could drive even more unexpected growth in the future.\nAnother complaint from analysts was that the basket size (average purchase size) is trending down. While that could also have contributed to the recent selloff, it's hard to complain when the overall sales increased a lot despite a decrease in basket size.\nThe company raised its guidance for e-commerce again in Q3, now guiding for $5.0B-$5.2B in 2021 e-commerce revenue. That's 75%-100% growth in Q4 and about 135% growth for the year. These are much more exciting numbers than the gaming side, although the guidance still implies a slight deceleration in Q4. But compared to Amazon's $340B in 2020 e-commerce sales, Shopee looks like it's just scratched the surface. E-commerce is at only11%penetration in Southeast Asia compared to18.7%in the USA, and Southeast Asia economies are generally growing faster than the USA's.\nDespite being in a blue skies industry, it's more difficult to value the e-commerce segment because it operates at a loss (whereas the gaming segment is highly profitable). Shopee's success is not guaranteed because it's not clear at this point whether the platform can become profitable while retaining its market share. Stocks like this tend to experience more volatility, which could partially explain the recent selloff.\nFor unprofitable software companies, I like to use the Rule of 40 to assess the business. But it's difficult to apply this rule to a more cyclical e-commerce company with naturally lower margins. Even so, it's worth noting that despite being unprofitable, Sea's Rule of 40 score of 104 is better than most SaaS companies', and also better than e-commerce peers Amazon (21), MercadoLibre (73), and Alibaba (43).\nTo understand Shopee's terminal valuation once it becomes profitable, we can look at industry peers. Amazon is one profitable and slower-growing peer, and it trades at 4x P/S. AWS pushes this number up, but Amazon's high exposure to first-party sales offsets that. Other e-commerce marketplace peers trade at similar valuations: Alibaba at 3x P/S, MercadoLibre at 9x P/S. All of these valuations are basically all-time lows.\nIf Shopee keeps doubling revenue over the next couple of years (which it's easily done every year since 2016), becomes profitable (which scaling up tends to help with), and will have Amazon's P/S multiple in two years, then at 16 P/S today it would trade flat for two years. But if it keeps growing much faster than Amazon over a longer period like a decade, and/or if the overall industry multiples expand to more normal historical levels, then even at 16x P/S this segment has potential upside. On the other hand, if it stops growing or never becomes profitable then investors will be very disappointed at any P/S.\nGiven this wide range of outcomes, each person is going to have their own way of valuing this segment. For me, when I look at Shopee's mobile dominance, relatively small current size, the funding coming in from Garena, and the precedent set by Amazon, Alibaba, and MercadoLibre for the sustainable long-term success of this business model, I am optimistic about this segment's future. I recognize that it's currently an unprofitable and thus risky segment, but I also see the massive potential.\nSo I am happy paying a 16x P/S multiple, which values the e-commerce segment at $83.2B. Some people will call that way too high, and those people will probably never get a chance to invest in this company, for better or for worse.\nThus, with just Garena and Shopee, I have Sea being worth $106.7B. Its current market cap is $123.1B. To account for the difference, let's look at the other parts of Sea.\nFinTech & Investments\nThe easiest addition to my computed valuation is Sea's $12B cash pile, partially offset by $4B in debt. This adds some nice optionality to the company and ensures that it won't be bankrupt any time soon despite losing money with Shopee. Adding in the $8B cash difference puts my computed valuation at $114.7B, just $8.4B short of the actual valuation.\nThen there is Sea's FinTech arm, SeaMoney. The main product here is a mobile wallet, which was responsible for $4.6B in payment volume in the last quarter (~$20B over a year). This segment accounted for $132 million in Q3 revenue, up a whopping 818% year over year. This implies a \"take rate\" of 2.9%, which is even better than established FinTech companies like Visa (V). Because of this high take rate, I'm not worried about SeaMoney losing money while it scales.\nDespite SeaMoney being a small segment, it's now reaching a point where it can be factored into the valuation. Maybe it's only worth a couple of billion, but this is just the start. Five years ago, nobody would have expected that an e-commerce platform accounting for 5% of Sea's sales would today be worth more than the gaming segment. But Sea's management - combined with Garena's ability to fund new segments and drive their viral adoption - made it happen. It's certainly not guaranteed that Sea will have the same success with FinTech, but there is precedent for it.\nIf one day this segment is worth a third or more of Sea (in 2020, FinTech accounted for 36% of MercadoLibre's revenue) then getting it for just 7% of the business today will be well worth it, even if that implies a somewhat high 16x P/S multiple for the segment today. Actually, this multiple is already lower than Visa's, Mastercard's (NYSE:MA), and Affirm's (NASDAQ:AFRM). Realistically, a segment growing at 818% year over year should probably get a higher multiple than these slower-growing companies', but we don't even need to speculate about what a fair multiple is, since we can reach Sea's current valuation by using 16x P/S in my model valuation.\nOne way this segment could grow even more is through the introduction of more products besides the mobile wallet. Sea noted in their recent earnings that they have started \"early initiatives in other digital financial services such as buy now pay later, digital bank, and insurtech.\" These guys sure know how to hop on the latest high growth trend.\nFinally, there's the investments arm. Sea is investing in early-stage tech companies, especially in Southeast Asia. There's strong precedent for companies like Tencent (which is itself an investor in Sea) and Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) managing successful investment portfolios that ultimately factor meaningfully into their valuation. Right now Sea's investment arm is very early stage, so I don't include it in my valuation model. But it doesn't have to be factored in to justify the current share price. It's just one more area that might be worth a large part of Sea one day.\nConclusion\nLooking at each of Sea's segments, my valuation model indicates that Sea is fairly valued today. However, my model doesn't account for the significant optionality of the newer segments. Just like e-commerce did over the last five years, FinTech (and/or investments) could grow to become a very large part of Sea's business. With the FinTech segment currently growing at 818% year over year, it doesn't take much imagination to see how this happens. Just another year or two of growth at something close to that rate will make the FinTech arm impossible for investors to ignore.\nThis optionality combined general strength in each business has allowed Sea to post an average revenue beat of 7% over the past year. Earnings haven't been as strong, and I expect that to be the main point of contention with my valuation model, as is the case for most unprofitable companies. In particular, I expect some readers will disagree with my valuation of the e-commerce segment. But even if you drop e-commerce all the way down to 5x P/S (a multiple seen today by much slower growing e-commerce companies) that implies 54% downside from today's prices. It's a steep drop for sure, but most companies in today's market would be looking at such a decline if one were to use the most conservative valuation standards possible.\nOnly fast-growing companies like Sea can quickly offset such a decline with revenue growth. As a result, the businesses with the most long-term potential will hardly ever trade at the most conservative valuation possible. And Sea certainly has long-term potential. It's one of the few high-growth companies I own that I could see reaching a trillion-dollar market cap this decade.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2034,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696935794,"gmtCreate":1640595282526,"gmtModify":1640595291819,"author":{"id":"3581502897038686","authorId":"3581502897038686","name":"Grit100","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3c65cb20cfcce91cc07fddb27bc3ccd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581502897038686","authorIdStr":"3581502897038686"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696935794","repostId":"1114341247","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114341247","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640594800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114341247?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 16:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna faces shareholder pressure over cost of vaccine","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114341247","media":"Financial Times","summary":"Moderna explains why the price is so high given the amount of government-supported pharmaceutical gr","content":"<div>\n<p>Moderna explains why the price is so high given the amount of government-supported pharmaceutical groups fighting shareholder proposals calling for the release of Covid-19 vaccine technology to poor ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.ft.com/content/f3747fed-ce48-48f5-b564-7c0a21aa378e\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1580170736413","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna faces shareholder pressure over cost of vaccine</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna faces shareholder pressure over cost of vaccine\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-27 16:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.ft.com/content/f3747fed-ce48-48f5-b564-7c0a21aa378e><strong>Financial Times</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Moderna explains why the price is so high given the amount of government-supported pharmaceutical groups fighting shareholder proposals calling for the release of Covid-19 vaccine technology to poor ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.ft.com/content/f3747fed-ce48-48f5-b564-7c0a21aa378e\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.ft.com/content/f3747fed-ce48-48f5-b564-7c0a21aa378e","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114341247","content_text":"Moderna explains why the price is so high given the amount of government-supported pharmaceutical groups fighting shareholder proposals calling for the release of Covid-19 vaccine technology to poor countries. ..\nLegal & General Investment Management, a London-based asset management company, states that Moderna shareholders will see how U.S. government funding for Covid vaccines affects “access to such products, such as pricing.” Said it was worth knowing.\nAccording to LGIM, Moderna, which received at least $ 2.5 billion from the US government, has shipped vaccines to most wealthy countries and has not transferred its technology to manufacturers in low- or middle-income countries.\nModerna is fighting suggestion At the Securities and Exchange Commission. Companies regularly challenge shareholder proposals at the SEC and often win.\nApart from this, Oxfam worked with other investors to petition Moderna and Pfizer, demanding more from companies to share vaccine technology. For Moderna, both shareholder proposals represent the first investor petitions the company has faced since it was published in 2018.\nMassachusetts-based Moderna did not immediately respond to requests for comment.\nModerna has been pressured to lower prices and increase production in poor countries.Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts Democratic Senator told the Financial Times last month, both Moderna and Pfizer need to “further work to address unacceptable disparities in global access to the Covid-19 vaccine, including dramatically expanding vaccine production worldwide.” there was.\nThe two are projected to reach more than $ 93 billion in Covid vaccine sales next year alone.\nRecommended\nModerna is in a particularly unusual position because it developed the vaccine in collaboration with the National Institutes of Health.Bernie Graham, one of the NIH scientists involved in the development process, told FT earlier this year about the government’s role in vaccine production.Give it “leverage” when it comes to pricing, it’s better than Moderna.\nHowever, Moderna strongly opposed the proposal and recently issued an official statement rejecting the idea that Graham and two other government scientists co-invented the vaccine.\nModerna said in a SEC’s request to block LGIM’s shareholder proposal, it plans to release additional information on vaccine pricing by February 15. “The company is virtually [LGIM] Suggestions before submitting an agent [voting] Material “.\nLGIM has previously jointly submitted a shareholder proposal at Eli Lilly and Gilead Sciences to split the roles of chairman and chief executive officer of both companies. In 2019, LGIM co-submitted a proposal for carbon emissions to BP.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}