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0inky
0inky
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2021-05-12
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非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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2021-05-08
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0inky
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2021-05-06
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非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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2021-04-26
Ok
What Peaking Growth Means for the Stock Market<blockquote>增长见顶对股市意味着什么</blockquote>
On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will release data showing how strong the U.S. economy w
What Peaking Growth Means for the Stock Market<blockquote>增长见顶对股市意味着什么</blockquote>
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0inky
0inky
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2021-04-22
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Should You Trade Netflix Stock After Earnings?<blockquote>盈利后您应该交易 Netflix 股票吗？</blockquote>
Co-hosts Joel Elconin and Dennis Dick discussed trading Netflix Inc Wednesday on Benzinga's YouTube
Should You Trade Netflix Stock After Earnings?<blockquote>盈利后您应该交易 Netflix 股票吗？</blockquote>
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0inky
·
2021-04-18
Up
$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>
While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire
$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>
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0inky
·
2021-04-18
Cool
$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>
While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire
$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>
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12:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Peaking Growth Means for the Stock Market<blockquote>增长见顶对股市意味着什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152535643","media":"Barrons","summary":"On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will release data showing how strong the U.S. economy w","content":"<p>On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will release data showing how strong the U.S. economy was during the first quarter. 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If the ISM really is peaking, it could set the stock market up for a short, but painful, decline, warns Deutsche Bank’s Binky Chadha.</p><p><blockquote>这种强度带来了对增长峰值的担忧。就在两周前，我们在这个版块重点介绍了美国供应管理协会（Institute for Supply Management）制造业调查的激增情况，该调查在 3 月份达到了 64.7。这是一个很大的数字，但也是一个很难走高的数字。德意志银行（Deutsche Bank）的宾基-查达（Binky Chadha）警告说，如果 ISM 真的见顶，可能会导致股市短暂而痛苦的下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Now Goldman Sachs strategist Ben Snider has a similar warning. He notes that the S&P 500 typically has returned 0.6% a month when growth was positive but slowing, half the monthly gain of 1.2% when it was positive and accelerating. And buying the market when the ISM is above 60—a level that usually coincides with peak growth—has led to a 1% decline during the month immediately following the peak and a gain of just 3% over the next 12 months. “[Equities] often struggle in the short term when a strong rate of economic growth first begins to slow,” Snider writes.</p><p><blockquote>现在高盛策略师本·斯奈德也发出了类似的警告。他指出，当增长为正但放缓时，标普500通常每月回报率为 0.6%，是增长为正且加速时每月 1.2% 涨幅的一半。当 ISM 高于 60 时买入市场（该水平通常与增长峰值相吻合），导致峰值后的一个月内下跌 1%，而在接下来的 12 个月内仅上涨 3%。“斯奈德写道：”当强劲的经济增长率首次开始放缓时，[股票]往往会在短期内陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> Not everyone agrees with that assessment. The market’s big worry, at the moment, is over when the Fed will raise interest rates. So a deceleration in the ISM, particularly in the prices-paid component, could be met with relief because it would mean the Fed wouldn’t have to raise rates to cool an overheating economy, says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth Management. “This environment is somewhat unique,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>不是每个人都同意这种评估。目前，市场最大的担忧是美联储何时加息。CIBC私人财富管理公司（CIBC Private Wealth Management）首席投资官戴夫-多纳贝迪安（Dave Donabedian）说，因此，ISM，尤其是价格支付部分的放缓可能会让人松一口气，因为这意味着美联储不必加息来给过热的经济降温。“他说：”这种环境有些独特。</blockquote></p><p> Still, if the U.S. is starting to decelerate, Europe, Japan, and emerging markets are likely to accelerate, particularly as they start to get Covid-19 under control. That means investors should consider buying economically sensitive stocks with international exposure. Goldman’s picks include gold miner Newmont (ticker: NEM), auto-parts maker BorgWarner (BWA), lithium provider Albemarle (ALB), and a basket of European stocks, including Ryanair Holdings (RYA.Ireland), Restaurant Group (RTN.UK), and H&M Hennes & Mauritz (HM.B.Sweden).</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，如果美国开始减速，欧洲、日本和新兴市场可能会加速，特别是当它们开始控制 Covid-19 时。这意味着投资者应该考虑购买具有国际风险的经济敏感股票。高盛的精选股票包括金矿商纽蒙特（股票代码：NEM）、汽车零部件制造商博格华纳（BWA）、锂供应商雅宝（ALB），以及一篮子欧洲股票，包括瑞安航空控股公司（RYA.Ireland）、餐饮集团（RTN.UK）和 H&M Hennes & Mauritz (HM.B.Sweden)。</blockquote></p><p> A little diversification never hurts.</p><p><blockquote>一点多样化总有坏处。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Peaking Growth Means for the Stock Market<blockquote>增长见顶对股市意味着什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Peaking Growth Means for the Stock Market<blockquote>增长见顶对股市意味着什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-26 12:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will release data showing how strong the U.S. economy was during the first quarter. It’s expected to be good—very good—with real gross domestic product growing at an annualized 5.6% clip. The real number is likely to be even higher, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDP Now tool forecasting an 8.3% rise based on incoming data.</p><p><blockquote>周四，经济分析局将发布数据，显示美国经济第一季度的强劲程度。预计情况会很好--非常好--实际国内生产总值年增长率为 5.6%。亚特兰大联储的 GDP Now 工具根据收到的数据预测，实际数字可能会更高。</blockquote></p><p> Such strength brings concerns about peaking growth. Just two weeks ago in this space, we highlighted the surge in the Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing survey, which hit 64.7 in March. It was a great number, but also one that will have a hard time going higher. If the ISM really is peaking, it could set the stock market up for a short, but painful, decline, warns Deutsche Bank’s Binky Chadha.</p><p><blockquote>这种强度带来了对增长峰值的担忧。就在两周前，我们在这个版块重点介绍了美国供应管理协会（Institute for Supply Management）制造业调查的激增情况，该调查在 3 月份达到了 64.7。这是一个很大的数字，但也是一个很难走高的数字。德意志银行（Deutsche Bank）的宾基-查达（Binky Chadha）警告说，如果 ISM 真的见顶，可能会导致股市短暂而痛苦的下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Now Goldman Sachs strategist Ben Snider has a similar warning. He notes that the S&P 500 typically has returned 0.6% a month when growth was positive but slowing, half the monthly gain of 1.2% when it was positive and accelerating. And buying the market when the ISM is above 60—a level that usually coincides with peak growth—has led to a 1% decline during the month immediately following the peak and a gain of just 3% over the next 12 months. “[Equities] often struggle in the short term when a strong rate of economic growth first begins to slow,” Snider writes.</p><p><blockquote>现在高盛策略师本·斯奈德也发出了类似的警告。他指出，当增长为正但放缓时，标普500通常每月回报率为 0.6%，是增长为正且加速时每月 1.2% 涨幅的一半。当 ISM 高于 60 时买入市场（该水平通常与增长峰值相吻合），导致峰值后的一个月内下跌 1%，而在接下来的 12 个月内仅上涨 3%。“斯奈德写道：”当强劲的经济增长率首次开始放缓时，[股票]往往会在短期内陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> Not everyone agrees with that assessment. The market’s big worry, at the moment, is over when the Fed will raise interest rates. So a deceleration in the ISM, particularly in the prices-paid component, could be met with relief because it would mean the Fed wouldn’t have to raise rates to cool an overheating economy, says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth Management. “This environment is somewhat unique,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>不是每个人都同意这种评估。目前，市场最大的担忧是美联储何时加息。CIBC私人财富管理公司（CIBC Private Wealth Management）首席投资官戴夫-多纳贝迪安（Dave Donabedian）说，因此，ISM，尤其是价格支付部分的放缓可能会让人松一口气，因为这意味着美联储不必加息来给过热的经济降温。“他说：”这种环境有些独特。</blockquote></p><p> Still, if the U.S. is starting to decelerate, Europe, Japan, and emerging markets are likely to accelerate, particularly as they start to get Covid-19 under control. That means investors should consider buying economically sensitive stocks with international exposure. Goldman’s picks include gold miner Newmont (ticker: NEM), auto-parts maker BorgWarner (BWA), lithium provider Albemarle (ALB), and a basket of European stocks, including Ryanair Holdings (RYA.Ireland), Restaurant Group (RTN.UK), and H&M Hennes & Mauritz (HM.B.Sweden).</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，如果美国开始减速，欧洲、日本和新兴市场可能会加速，特别是当它们开始控制 Covid-19 时。这意味着投资者应该考虑购买具有国际风险的经济敏感股票。高盛的精选股票包括金矿商纽蒙特（股票代码：NEM）、汽车零部件制造商博格华纳（BWA）、锂供应商雅宝（ALB），以及一篮子欧洲股票，包括瑞安航空控股公司（RYA.Ireland）、餐饮集团（RTN.UK）和 H&M Hennes & Mauritz (HM.B.Sweden)。</blockquote></p><p> A little diversification never hurts.</p><p><blockquote>一点多样化总有坏处。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-peaking-growth-means-for-the-stock-market-51619221496?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","NEM":"纽曼矿业","ALB":"美国雅保",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BWA":"博格华纳",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-peaking-growth-means-for-the-stock-market-51619221496?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152535643","content_text":"On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will release data showing how strong the U.S. economy was during the first quarter. It’s expected to be good—very good—with real gross domestic product growing at an annualized 5.6% clip. The real number is likely to be even higher, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDP Now tool forecasting an 8.3% rise based on incoming data.\nSuch strength brings concerns about peaking growth. Just two weeks ago in this space, we highlighted the surge in the Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing survey, which hit 64.7 in March. It was a great number, but also one that will have a hard time going higher. If the ISM really is peaking, it could set the stock market up for a short, but painful, decline, warns Deutsche Bank’s Binky Chadha.\nNow Goldman Sachs strategist Ben Snider has a similar warning. He notes that the S&P 500 typically has returned 0.6% a month when growth was positive but slowing, half the monthly gain of 1.2% when it was positive and accelerating. And buying the market when the ISM is above 60—a level that usually coincides with peak growth—has led to a 1% decline during the month immediately following the peak and a gain of just 3% over the next 12 months. “[Equities] often struggle in the short term when a strong rate of economic growth first begins to slow,” Snider writes.\nNot everyone agrees with that assessment. The market’s big worry, at the moment, is over when the Fed will raise interest rates. So a deceleration in the ISM, particularly in the prices-paid component, could be met with relief because it would mean the Fed wouldn’t have to raise rates to cool an overheating economy, says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth Management. “This environment is somewhat unique,” he says.\nStill, if the U.S. is starting to decelerate, Europe, Japan, and emerging markets are likely to accelerate, particularly as they start to get Covid-19 under control. That means investors should consider buying economically sensitive stocks with international exposure. Goldman’s picks include gold miner Newmont (ticker: NEM), auto-parts maker BorgWarner (BWA), lithium provider Albemarle (ALB), and a basket of European stocks, including Ryanair Holdings (RYA.Ireland), Restaurant Group (RTN.UK), and H&M Hennes & Mauritz (HM.B.Sweden).\n A little diversification never hurts.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"NEM":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"ALB":0.9,"RTN.UK":0.9,"BWA":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"RYA.UK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":378620930,"gmtCreate":1619024622420,"gmtModify":1634289123872,"author":{"id":"3581684017768302","authorId":"3581684017768302","name":"0inky","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581684017768302","authorIdStr":"3581684017768302"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"No","listText":"No","text":"No","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378620930","repostId":"1187363124","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187363124","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1619019011,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1187363124?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-21 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should You Trade Netflix Stock After Earnings?<blockquote>盈利后您应该交易 Netflix 股票吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187363124","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"Co-hosts Joel Elconin and Dennis Dick discussed trading Netflix Inc Wednesday on Benzinga's YouTube ","content":"<p>Co-hosts Joel Elconin and Dennis Dick discussed trading <b>Netflix Inc</b> Wednesday on Benzinga's YouTube show \"PreMarket Prep.\"</p><p><blockquote>共同主持人乔尔·埃尔科宁和丹尼斯·迪克讨论了交易<b>网飞公司</b>周三，Benzinga 的 YouTube 节目“上市前准备”。</blockquote></p><p><b>What Happened:</b>Netflix reported first-quarter earnings after the close Tuesday. The stock fell more than 10% as the company issued lower-than-expected second-quarter sales guidance.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>周二收盘后，Netflix 公布了第一季度收益。由于该公司发布的第二季度销售指引低于预期，该股下跌超过 10%。</blockquote></p><p>If Netflix gets above its Wednesday premarket high at $505.10, \"you can look for more upside,\" Elconin said.</p><p><blockquote>埃尔科宁表示，如果 Netflix 的股价突破周三盘前高点 505.10 美元，“你可以寻找更多上涨空间”。</blockquote></p><p>Netflix has a long way to go to fill the gap back to $546.30, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，Netflix 要填补 546.30 美元的缺口还有很长的路要走。</blockquote></p><p>In regard to the stock's potential to fill the gap Wednesday, \"just forget about it,\" Elconin said.</p><p><blockquote>关于该股周三填补缺口的潜力，“忘掉它吧，”埃尔科宁表示。</blockquote></p><p>$500 is a big psychological level, the \"PreMarket Prep\" co-host said.</p><p><blockquote>“盘前准备”联合主持人表示，500 美元是一个很大的心理水平。</blockquote></p><p>Elconin said he wants to see if Netflix can hold that level over the next few days.</p><p><blockquote>埃尔科宁表示，他想看看 Netflix 能否在未来几天保持这一水平。</blockquote></p><p>If it does, he said it's possible the stock could work its way higher, but added he has \"no interest in buying\" Netflix right now.</p><p><blockquote>如果确实如此，他表示该股有可能走高，但补充说他目前“没有兴趣购买”Netflix。</blockquote></p><p>Co-host Dennis Dick compared Netflix to <b>Tesla Inc</b>.</p><p><blockquote>联合主持人丹尼斯·迪克将 Netflix 与<b>特斯拉公司</b>.</blockquote></p><p>In the same way that Tesla was the only electric vehicle play for awhile, Netflix was the only play for streaming, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，就像特斯拉在一段时间内是唯一的电动汽车游戏一样，Netflix 也是唯一的流媒体游戏。</blockquote></p><p>Netflix now has major competition, Dick said.</p><p><blockquote>迪克说，Netflix 现在面临着激烈的竞争。</blockquote></p><p><b>NFLX Price Action:</b>Netflix was down 7.25% at $509.70 at last check Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>NFLX 价格走势：</b>周三最后一次检查时，Netflix 下跌 7.25%，至 509.70 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should You Trade Netflix Stock After Earnings?<blockquote>盈利后您应该交易 Netflix 股票吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould You Trade Netflix Stock After Earnings?<blockquote>盈利后您应该交易 Netflix 股票吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-21 23:30</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Co-hosts Joel Elconin and Dennis Dick discussed trading <b>Netflix Inc</b> Wednesday on Benzinga's YouTube show \"PreMarket Prep.\"</p><p><blockquote>共同主持人乔尔·埃尔科宁和丹尼斯·迪克讨论了交易<b>网飞公司</b>周三，Benzinga 的 YouTube 节目“上市前准备”。</blockquote></p><p><b>What Happened:</b>Netflix reported first-quarter earnings after the close Tuesday. The stock fell more than 10% as the company issued lower-than-expected second-quarter sales guidance.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>周二收盘后，Netflix 公布了第一季度收益。由于该公司发布的第二季度销售指引低于预期，该股下跌超过 10%。</blockquote></p><p>If Netflix gets above its Wednesday premarket high at $505.10, \"you can look for more upside,\" Elconin said.</p><p><blockquote>埃尔科宁表示，如果 Netflix 的股价突破周三盘前高点 505.10 美元，“你可以寻找更多上涨空间”。</blockquote></p><p>Netflix has a long way to go to fill the gap back to $546.30, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，Netflix 要填补 546.30 美元的缺口还有很长的路要走。</blockquote></p><p>In regard to the stock's potential to fill the gap Wednesday, \"just forget about it,\" Elconin said.</p><p><blockquote>关于该股周三填补缺口的潜力，“忘掉它吧，”埃尔科宁表示。</blockquote></p><p>$500 is a big psychological level, the \"PreMarket Prep\" co-host said.</p><p><blockquote>“盘前准备”联合主持人表示，500 美元是一个很大的心理水平。</blockquote></p><p>Elconin said he wants to see if Netflix can hold that level over the next few days.</p><p><blockquote>埃尔科宁表示，他想看看 Netflix 能否在未来几天保持这一水平。</blockquote></p><p>If it does, he said it's possible the stock could work its way higher, but added he has \"no interest in buying\" Netflix right now.</p><p><blockquote>如果确实如此，他表示该股有可能走高，但补充说他目前“没有兴趣购买”Netflix。</blockquote></p><p>Co-host Dennis Dick compared Netflix to <b>Tesla Inc</b>.</p><p><blockquote>联合主持人丹尼斯·迪克将 Netflix 与<b>特斯拉公司</b>.</blockquote></p><p>In the same way that Tesla was the only electric vehicle play for awhile, Netflix was the only play for streaming, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，就像特斯拉在一段时间内是唯一的电动汽车游戏一样，Netflix 也是唯一的流媒体游戏。</blockquote></p><p>Netflix now has major competition, Dick said.</p><p><blockquote>迪克说，Netflix 现在面临着激烈的竞争。</blockquote></p><p><b>NFLX Price Action:</b>Netflix was down 7.25% at $509.70 at last check Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>NFLX 价格走势：</b>周三最后一次检查时，Netflix 下跌 7.25%，至 509.70 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187363124","content_text":"Co-hosts Joel Elconin and Dennis Dick discussed trading Netflix Inc Wednesday on Benzinga's YouTube show \"PreMarket Prep.\"What Happened:Netflix reported first-quarter earnings after the close Tuesday. The stock fell more than 10% as the company issued lower-than-expected second-quarter sales guidance.If Netflix gets above its Wednesday premarket high at $505.10, \"you can look for more upside,\" Elconin said.Netflix has a long way to go to fill the gap back to $546.30, he said.In regard to the stock's potential to fill the gap Wednesday, \"just forget about it,\" Elconin said.$500 is a big psychological level, the \"PreMarket Prep\" co-host said.Elconin said he wants to see if Netflix can hold that level over the next few days.If it does, he said it's possible the stock could work its way higher, but added he has \"no interest in buying\" Netflix right now.Co-host Dennis Dick compared Netflix to Tesla Inc.In the same way that Tesla was the only electric vehicle play for awhile, Netflix was the only play for streaming, he said.Netflix now has major competition, Dick said.NFLX Price Action:Netflix was down 7.25% at $509.70 at last check Wednesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379265180,"gmtCreate":1618748257640,"gmtModify":1634291124819,"author":{"id":"3581684017768302","authorId":"3581684017768302","name":"0inky","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581684017768302","authorIdStr":"3581684017768302"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379265180","repostId":"1175692875","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175692875","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618582708,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175692875?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175692875","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire","content":"<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然今天不是四倍（甚至三倍）魔法日，但今天有很多每周期权将到期，其中五个将毫无价值，而其他期权将为基础价格提供支撑“大头针”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，但高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4 月份每日期权交易量较 3 月 30 日年初以来 24 亿美元的低点增长了 70%。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总共有 5,440 亿美元的单只股票期权将于今天到期，其中包括 3,050 亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期日对于持有大量现值（ATM）期权未平仓合约的股票来说可能非常重要，因为做市商将积极对冲其异常庞大的期权投资组合。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动性，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的 Vishal Vivek 所写，在重大到期日，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约将到期。</b>在平价行权（行权价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中有大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，三角洲对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对冲其头寸的期权交易者是净多头 ATM 期权，则与到期相关的流动可能会产生抑制股价变动的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约结算在罢工点附近。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大投资者来说，这是一种理想的情况。或者，如果delta-hedgers是净空头ATM期权（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致拥有大量 ATM 未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助希望抓住日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，确定了今天到期的大量 ATM 未平仓合约的可能重点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约在股票成交量中占很大比例，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在 SpotGamma 的朋友们写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的、近乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙像这样 “突破 ”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，比如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，并将在一篇较长的文章中发布”。</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动性现在已经被压缩（即VIX在新低），现在有更大的潜力出现“长期”波动性。回想一下，最近市场的任何急剧、剧烈下跌是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些突破下跌与创纪录的 VIX 峰值同时发生，但反思性的snap回购将带来与 VIX（即隐含波动率）逆转同等强度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma 的另一个奇怪观察结果：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower. Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism. Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动性非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或触及支撑位，隐含的波动性就会迅速回落。<b>我们经常想到这个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确!）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含的波动性就会下降。</b>因此，正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购推动反弹的空头对冲。SG 的结论： 目前较低的隐含波动率水平为市场提供了更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始，“减缓”了这种反应灵敏的 “snap回调 ”买入机制。此外，当 IV 较低时，伽马值较高，因此伽马翻转可能会有更多的作用。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-16 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然今天不是四倍（甚至三倍）魔法日，但今天有很多每周期权将到期，其中五个将毫无价值，而其他期权将为基础价格提供支撑“大头针”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，但高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4 月份每日期权交易量较 3 月 30 日年初以来 24 亿美元的低点增长了 70%。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总共有 5,440 亿美元的单只股票期权将于今天到期，其中包括 3,050 亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期日对于持有大量现值（ATM）期权未平仓合约的股票来说可能非常重要，因为做市商将积极对冲其异常庞大的期权投资组合。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动性，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的 Vishal Vivek 所写，在重大到期日，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约将到期。</b>在平价行权（行权价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中有大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，三角洲对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对冲其头寸的期权交易者是净多头 ATM 期权，则与到期相关的流动可能会产生抑制股价变动的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约结算在罢工点附近。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大投资者来说，这是一种理想的情况。或者，如果delta-hedgers是净空头ATM期权（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致拥有大量 ATM 未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助希望抓住日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，确定了今天到期的大量 ATM 未平仓合约的可能重点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约在股票成交量中占很大比例，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在 SpotGamma 的朋友们写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的、近乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙像这样 “突破 ”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，比如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，并将在一篇较长的文章中发布”。</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动性现在已经被压缩（即VIX在新低），现在有更大的潜力出现“长期”波动性。回想一下，最近市场的任何急剧、剧烈下跌是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些突破下跌与创纪录的 VIX 峰值同时发生，但反思性的snap回购将带来与 VIX（即隐含波动率）逆转同等强度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma 的另一个奇怪观察结果：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower. Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism. Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动性非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或触及支撑位，隐含的波动性就会迅速回落。<b>我们经常想到这个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确!）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含的波动性就会下降。</b>因此，正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购推动反弹的空头对冲。SG 的结论： 目前较低的隐含波动率水平为市场提供了更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始，“减缓”了这种反应灵敏的 “snap回调 ”买入机制。此外，当 IV 较低时，伽马值较高，因此伽马翻转可能会有更多的作用。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175692875","content_text":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.How to trade this?As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations wherea large amount of open interest is set to expire.In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower. Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism. Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379265980,"gmtCreate":1618748214940,"gmtModify":1634291125061,"author":{"id":"3581684017768302","authorId":"3581684017768302","name":"0inky","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581684017768302","authorIdStr":"3581684017768302"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379265980","repostId":"1175692875","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175692875","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618582708,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175692875?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175692875","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire","content":"<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然今天不是四倍（甚至三倍）魔法日，但今天有很多每周期权将到期，其中五个将毫无价值，而其他期权将为基础价格提供支撑“大头针”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，但高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4 月份每日期权交易量较 3 月 30 日年初以来 24 亿美元的低点增长了 70%。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总共有 5,440 亿美元的单只股票期权将于今天到期，其中包括 3,050 亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期日对于持有大量现值（ATM）期权未平仓合约的股票来说可能非常重要，因为做市商将积极对冲其异常庞大的期权投资组合。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动性，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的 Vishal Vivek 所写，在重大到期日，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约将到期。</b>在平价行权（行权价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中有大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，三角洲对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对冲其头寸的期权交易者是净多头 ATM 期权，则与到期相关的流动可能会产生抑制股价变动的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约结算在罢工点附近。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大投资者来说，这是一种理想的情况。或者，如果delta-hedgers是净空头ATM期权（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致拥有大量 ATM 未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助希望抓住日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，确定了今天到期的大量 ATM 未平仓合约的可能重点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约在股票成交量中占很大比例，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在 SpotGamma 的朋友们写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的、近乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙像这样 “突破 ”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，比如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，并将在一篇较长的文章中发布”。</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动性现在已经被压缩（即VIX在新低），现在有更大的潜力出现“长期”波动性。回想一下，最近市场的任何急剧、剧烈下跌是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些突破下跌与创纪录的 VIX 峰值同时发生，但反思性的snap回购将带来与 VIX（即隐含波动率）逆转同等强度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma 的另一个奇怪观察结果：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower. Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism. Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动性非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或触及支撑位，隐含的波动性就会迅速回落。<b>我们经常想到这个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确!）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含的波动性就会下降。</b>因此，正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购推动反弹的空头对冲。SG 的结论： 目前较低的隐含波动率水平为市场提供了更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始，“减缓”了这种反应灵敏的 “snap回调 ”买入机制。此外，当 IV 较低时，伽马值较高，因此伽马翻转可能会有更多的作用。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-16 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然今天不是四倍（甚至三倍）魔法日，但今天有很多每周期权将到期，其中五个将毫无价值，而其他期权将为基础价格提供支撑“大头针”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，但高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4 月份每日期权交易量较 3 月 30 日年初以来 24 亿美元的低点增长了 70%。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总共有 5,440 亿美元的单只股票期权将于今天到期，其中包括 3,050 亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期日对于持有大量现值（ATM）期权未平仓合约的股票来说可能非常重要，因为做市商将积极对冲其异常庞大的期权投资组合。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动性，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的 Vishal Vivek 所写，在重大到期日，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约将到期。</b>在平价行权（行权价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中有大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，三角洲对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对冲其头寸的期权交易者是净多头 ATM 期权，则与到期相关的流动可能会产生抑制股价变动的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约结算在罢工点附近。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大投资者来说，这是一种理想的情况。或者，如果delta-hedgers是净空头ATM期权（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致拥有大量 ATM 未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助希望抓住日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，确定了今天到期的大量 ATM 未平仓合约的可能重点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约在股票成交量中占很大比例，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在 SpotGamma 的朋友们写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的、近乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙像这样 “突破 ”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，比如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，并将在一篇较长的文章中发布”。</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动性现在已经被压缩（即VIX在新低），现在有更大的潜力出现“长期”波动性。回想一下，最近市场的任何急剧、剧烈下跌是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些突破下跌与创纪录的 VIX 峰值同时发生，但反思性的snap回购将带来与 VIX（即隐含波动率）逆转同等强度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma 的另一个奇怪观察结果：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower. Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism. Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动性非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或触及支撑位，隐含的波动性就会迅速回落。<b>我们经常想到这个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确!）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含的波动性就会下降。</b>因此，正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购推动反弹的空头对冲。SG 的结论： 目前较低的隐含波动率水平为市场提供了更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始，“减缓”了这种反应灵敏的 “snap回调 ”买入机制。此外，当 IV 较低时，伽马值较高，因此伽马翻转可能会有更多的作用。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175692875","content_text":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.How to trade this?As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations wherea large amount of open interest is set to expire.In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower. Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism. Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":999,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}