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- sprinklessprinkles
  ·2021-08-24
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  What Jackson Hole Could Mean For Apple Stock
  In late August, the markets could be rocked by monetary policy news coming from Jackson Hole, Wyomin
  What Jackson Hole Could Mean For Apple Stock
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- sprinklessprinkles
  ·2021-08-23
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- sprinklessprinkles
  ·2021-08-23
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- sprinklessprinkles
  ·2021-08-22
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- sprinklessprinkles
  ·2021-08-21
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- sprinklessprinkles
  ·2021-08-20
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- sprinklessprinkles
  ·2021-08-20
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- sprinklessprinkles
  ·2021-07-26
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- sprinklessprinkles
  ·2021-07-14
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  Can the Fed avoid negative interest rates in the next downturn?
  The Federal Reserve managed to avoid turning to negative interest rates through the pandemic-induced
  Can the Fed avoid negative interest rates in the next downturn?
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- sprinklessprinkles
  ·2021-07-09
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  As market sells off, these are the strategies Goldman gives clients to play defense
  U.S. stocks tumbled on Thursday and Goldman Sachs has two plunge-proof portfolios that should held i
  As market sells off, these are the strategies Goldman gives clients to play defense
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Here is what Apple stock investors should expect.</p>\n<p>The week of August 23 will likely prove to be an important one in the markets. Starting on Thursday, central bank leaders from around the world will meet virtually to talk about monetary policy during a traditional&nbsp;event&nbsp;often referred to simply as “Jackson Hole”.</p>\n<p>Today, the Apple Maven discusses how the upcoming meeting of central bankers could impact Apple stock’s&nbsp;performance in the last few trading sessions of August.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb09ec199963ac68c7742982748bf7a0\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"800\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in a screen display at NYSE.</span></p>\n<p><b>The interest rate risk</b></p>\n<p>There seems to be a consensus that Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell will do little to “rock the boat” this week. Easing off on monetary stimulus is widely expected to occur over the next several months, but few seem confident that Mr. Powell will announce a change in policy as early as August.</p>\n<p>Still, the risk that the Fed will start to scale back its asset purchases later this year is real. Analysts will probably dissect Jerome Powell’s keynote speech, on Friday, in search for clues on the exact timing. Comments perceived to be hawkish could send yields higher – the 10-year treasury rate is only 1.3%.</p>\n<p>If recent history can serve as a guide,climbing yields tend to be bad news&nbsp;for growth stocks. Below are the main reasons why this is the case, as previously discussed on this channel:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “First, monetary tightening is a negative for consumption, everything else held constant. Second, a higher discount rate makes Apple’s far-out financial results less valuable in present value terms.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>For instance, the 10-year rate shot up from around 1% to nearly 1.5% in February alone. Probably not a coincidence, AAPL sank 8% that same month, while the value-rich Dow index managed to reach higher.</p>\n<p><b>Brace for possible volatility</b></p>\n<p>Regardless of which way the stock market may head following the Jackson Hole symposium, volatility could rise as August comes to a close. This is the case because speculation, both on the bullish and bearish sides of the argument, tends to increase around important events like this.</p>\n<p>Volatility is both good and bad news for Apple stock. Market jitters can be uncomfortable for many investors, and some might be tempted to sell or trim their positions after a selloff. On the other hand, a possible pullback that is unrelated to the company’s fundamentals could open an opportunity to buy AAPL on weakness.</p>\n<p>This is precisely what happened in mid-June, following an important Federal Reserve meeting that the market perceived as hawkish. Those&nbsp;who bought AAPL at those levels, a move defended by the Apple Maven, saw the value of their investment rise by 14% in a matter of only about 10 weeks.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Jackson Hole Could Mean For Apple Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Jackson Hole Could Mean For Apple Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-24 20:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/what-jackson-hole-could-mean-for-apple-stock><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In late August, the markets could be rocked by monetary policy news coming from Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Here is what Apple stock investors should expect.\nThe week of August 23 will likely prove to be ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/what-jackson-hole-could-mean-for-apple-stock\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/what-jackson-hole-could-mean-for-apple-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192610173","content_text":"In late August, the markets could be rocked by monetary policy news coming from Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Here is what Apple stock investors should expect.\nThe week of August 23 will likely prove to be an important one in the markets. Starting on Thursday, central bank leaders from around the world will meet virtually to talk about monetary policy during a traditional event often referred to simply as “Jackson Hole”.\nToday, the Apple Maven discusses how the upcoming meeting of central bankers could impact Apple stock’s performance in the last few trading sessions of August.\nFigure 1: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in a screen display at NYSE.\nThe interest rate risk\nThere seems to be a consensus that Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell will do little to “rock the boat” this week. Easing off on monetary stimulus is widely expected to occur over the next several months, but few seem confident that Mr. Powell will announce a change in policy as early as August.\nStill, the risk that the Fed will start to scale back its asset purchases later this year is real. Analysts will probably dissect Jerome Powell’s keynote speech, on Friday, in search for clues on the exact timing. Comments perceived to be hawkish could send yields higher – the 10-year treasury rate is only 1.3%.\nIf recent history can serve as a guide,climbing yields tend to be bad news for growth stocks. Below are the main reasons why this is the case, as previously discussed on this channel:\n\n “First, monetary tightening is a negative for consumption, everything else held constant. Second, a higher discount rate makes Apple’s far-out financial results less valuable in present value terms.”\n\nFor instance, the 10-year rate shot up from around 1% to nearly 1.5% in February alone. Probably not a coincidence, AAPL sank 8% that same month, while the value-rich Dow index managed to reach higher.\nBrace for possible volatility\nRegardless of which way the stock market may head following the Jackson Hole symposium, volatility could rise as August comes to a close. This is the case because speculation, both on the bullish and bearish sides of the argument, tends to increase around important events like this.\nVolatility is both good and bad news for Apple stock. Market jitters can be uncomfortable for many investors, and some might be tempted to sell or trim their positions after a selloff. On the other hand, a possible pullback that is unrelated to the company’s fundamentals could open an opportunity to buy AAPL on weakness.\nThis is precisely what happened in mid-June, following an important Federal Reserve meeting that the market perceived as hawkish. Those who bought AAPL at those levels, a move defended by the Apple Maven, saw the value of their investment rise by 14% in a matter of only about 10 weeks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835248496,"gmtCreate":1629724181215,"gmtModify":1631890975994,"author":{"id":"3581987519336484","authorId":"3581987519336484","name":"sprinkles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82855bcc54246f7126a7a8e2ad39fe79","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581987519336484","authorIdStr":"3581987519336484"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835248496","repostId":"1108129184","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835248271,"gmtCreate":1629724143993,"gmtModify":1631890975996,"author":{"id":"3581987519336484","authorId":"3581987519336484","name":"sprinkles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82855bcc54246f7126a7a8e2ad39fe79","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581987519336484","authorIdStr":"3581987519336484"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835248271","repostId":"1132832038","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832814212,"gmtCreate":1629605897536,"gmtModify":1631890975998,"author":{"id":"3581987519336484","authorId":"3581987519336484","name":"sprinkles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82855bcc54246f7126a7a8e2ad39fe79","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581987519336484","authorIdStr":"3581987519336484"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832814212","repostId":"1128033677","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836788291,"gmtCreate":1629524328913,"gmtModify":1631890975998,"author":{"id":"3581987519336484","authorId":"3581987519336484","name":"sprinkles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82855bcc54246f7126a7a8e2ad39fe79","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581987519336484","authorIdStr":"3581987519336484"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836788291","repostId":"2161745179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836115611,"gmtCreate":1629464527333,"gmtModify":1631890975999,"author":{"id":"3581987519336484","authorId":"3581987519336484","name":"sprinkles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82855bcc54246f7126a7a8e2ad39fe79","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581987519336484","authorIdStr":"3581987519336484"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836115611","repostId":"1139624692","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836112225,"gmtCreate":1629464471667,"gmtModify":1631890976001,"author":{"id":"3581987519336484","authorId":"3581987519336484","name":"sprinkles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82855bcc54246f7126a7a8e2ad39fe79","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581987519336484","authorIdStr":"3581987519336484"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836112225","repostId":"2160142537","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177242440,"gmtCreate":1627228842680,"gmtModify":1631890976002,"author":{"id":"3581987519336484","authorId":"3581987519336484","name":"sprinkles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82855bcc54246f7126a7a8e2ad39fe79","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581987519336484","authorIdStr":"3581987519336484"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highl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08:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can the Fed avoid negative interest rates in the next downturn?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171237961","media":"yahoo","summary":"The Federal Reserve managed to avoid turning to negative interest rates through the pandemic-induced","content":"<p>The Federal Reserve managed to avoid turning to negative interest rates through the pandemic-induced recession of 2020. But if the economy faces another downturn, will the central bank be backed into short-term borrowing rates below zero?</p>\n<p>In aUBS surveyof almost 30 central banks around the world, 21% of respondents said they could see the Fed turning to negative interest rates if needed.</p>\n<p>The concern: With U.S. short-term rates yet again backed up at near-zero, a Fed that may beslower to raise interest rateswill not have the room to again cut rates in the next crisis.</p>\n<p>But Fed officials, who managed to avoid the tool through an economic shutdown of unprecedented scale, have made it clear that negative interest rates are low on their lists of preferred policy tools.</p>\n<p>“Negative rates I think have a worse cost-benefit relationship than the other tools that we have,” New York Fed President John Williams told reporters on Monday morning.</p>\n<p>AnOctober 2019 discussionof negative rates noted that all of the Fed’s policy-setting members disliked the idea of implementing the policy in the U.S.</p>\n<p>“The committee’s view on negative rates really has not changed. This is not something we’re looking at,” Powell said in May 2020.</p>\n<p>Still, the central bank hasn’t explicitly ruled out its possible use in the future.</p>\n<p><b>‘Rather stay out of that game’</b></p>\n<p>Negative interest rate policies, such as those deployed by the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan, attempt to stimulate the economy by penalizing banks for parking money at the central bank. The idea is to push banks to lend into the economy by further discouraging saving.</p>\n<p>But Fed officials have worried about the distortions that could come with negative short-term rates in the U.S., where the importance of U.S. government debt markets and the U.S. dollar could have wide-reaching and international financial stability consequences.</p>\n<p>“You’ve got Japan and Europe mired in negative interest rates,” St. Louis Fed President James Bullardtold Yahoo Finance on May 24. “We’d rather stay out of that game.”</p>\n<p>UBS noted that the $4.5 trillion money market, which is heavily reliant on short-term rates, is too large — and too interconnected to public and private sectors — to be toyed around with.</p>\n<p>“Implementing a negative interest rate policy in the U.S. would be too much of a disruptor (not the same issue overseas),” UBS Chief Investment Officer Solita Marcelli wrote.</p>\n<p>The playbook in the next crisis might therefore look similar to the one used last year: near-zero rates, aggressive asset purchases, and an armada of liquidity facilities to backstop various financial markets.</p>\n<p>Williams specifically said the Fed's purchases of U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities have been \"critically important.\" The Fed has only recently begun conversations about slowing the pace of those purchases, as the central bank's balance sheet soars past the $8 trillion mark.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7accbdd2071471c525d7cd6ecce430ae\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"272\"></p>\n<p>“These tools, they’re not really as unconventional as they used to be,” Williams said Monday.</p>\n<p>The UBS survey notes that the Fed could still get creative if it needed to. About 45% of respondents said they could see the Fed buying stocks and about 65% said they could see the Fed targeting medium- to longer-dated bond yields (through a tool calledyield curve control) in the next crisis.</p>","source":"lsy1584348713084","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can the Fed avoid negative interest rates in the next downturn?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan the Fed avoid negative interest rates in the next downturn?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-14 08:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/can-the-fed-avoid-negative-interest-rates-in-the-next-downturn-133021653.html><strong>yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Federal Reserve managed to avoid turning to negative interest rates through the pandemic-induced recession of 2020. But if the economy faces another downturn, will the central bank be backed into ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/can-the-fed-avoid-negative-interest-rates-in-the-next-downturn-133021653.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/can-the-fed-avoid-negative-interest-rates-in-the-next-downturn-133021653.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171237961","content_text":"The Federal Reserve managed to avoid turning to negative interest rates through the pandemic-induced recession of 2020. But if the economy faces another downturn, will the central bank be backed into short-term borrowing rates below zero?\nIn aUBS surveyof almost 30 central banks around the world, 21% of respondents said they could see the Fed turning to negative interest rates if needed.\nThe concern: With U.S. short-term rates yet again backed up at near-zero, a Fed that may beslower to raise interest rateswill not have the room to again cut rates in the next crisis.\nBut Fed officials, who managed to avoid the tool through an economic shutdown of unprecedented scale, have made it clear that negative interest rates are low on their lists of preferred policy tools.\n“Negative rates I think have a worse cost-benefit relationship than the other tools that we have,” New York Fed President John Williams told reporters on Monday morning.\nAnOctober 2019 discussionof negative rates noted that all of the Fed’s policy-setting members disliked the idea of implementing the policy in the U.S.\n“The committee’s view on negative rates really has not changed. This is not something we’re looking at,” Powell said in May 2020.\nStill, the central bank hasn’t explicitly ruled out its possible use in the future.\n‘Rather stay out of that game’\nNegative interest rate policies, such as those deployed by the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan, attempt to stimulate the economy by penalizing banks for parking money at the central bank. The idea is to push banks to lend into the economy by further discouraging saving.\nBut Fed officials have worried about the distortions that could come with negative short-term rates in the U.S., where the importance of U.S. government debt markets and the U.S. dollar could have wide-reaching and international financial stability consequences.\n“You’ve got Japan and Europe mired in negative interest rates,” St. Louis Fed President James Bullardtold Yahoo Finance on May 24. “We’d rather stay out of that game.”\nUBS noted that the $4.5 trillion money market, which is heavily reliant on short-term rates, is too large — and too interconnected to public and private sectors — to be toyed around with.\n“Implementing a negative interest rate policy in the U.S. would be too much of a disruptor (not the same issue overseas),” UBS Chief Investment Officer Solita Marcelli wrote.\nThe playbook in the next crisis might therefore look similar to the one used last year: near-zero rates, aggressive asset purchases, and an armada of liquidity facilities to backstop various financial markets.\nWilliams specifically said the Fed's purchases of U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities have been \"critically important.\" The Fed has only recently begun conversations about slowing the pace of those purchases, as the central bank's balance sheet soars past the $8 trillion mark.\n\n“These tools, they’re not really as unconventional as they used to be,” Williams said Monday.\nThe UBS survey notes that the Fed could still get creative if it needed to. About 45% of respondents said they could see the Fed buying stocks and about 65% said they could see the Fed targeting medium- to longer-dated bond yields (through a tool calledyield curve control) in the next crisis.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1041,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143574398,"gmtCreate":1625805745414,"gmtModify":1631890976016,"author":{"id":"3581987519336484","authorId":"3581987519336484","name":"sprinkles","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82855bcc54246f7126a7a8e2ad39fe79","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581987519336484","authorIdStr":"3581987519336484"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like me","listText":"Like me","text":"Like me","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143574398","repostId":"1144495076","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144495076","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625753985,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144495076?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 22:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"As market sells off, these are the strategies Goldman gives clients to play defense","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144495076","media":"CNBC","summary":"U.S. stocks tumbled on Thursday and Goldman Sachs has two plunge-proof portfolios that should held i","content":"<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks tumbled on Thursday and Goldman Sachs has two plunge-proof portfolios that should held investors navigate the volatility.\nThe first is a basket of high-quality names, while the second ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/as-market-sells-off-these-are-the-strategies-goldman-gives-clients-to-play-defense.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>As market sells off, these are the strategies Goldman gives clients to play defense</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAs market sells off, these are the strategies Goldman gives clients to play defense\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-08 22:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/as-market-sells-off-these-are-the-strategies-goldman-gives-clients-to-play-defense.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks tumbled on Thursday and Goldman Sachs has two plunge-proof portfolios that should held investors navigate the volatility.\nThe first is a basket of high-quality names, while the second ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/as-market-sells-off-these-are-the-strategies-goldman-gives-clients-to-play-defense.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HD":"家得宝","T":"At&T","BGC":"BGC GROUP","GOOG":"谷歌","DLTR":"美元树公司","TFC":"Truist Financial Corp","AAPL":"苹果","MSFT":"微软","CHD":"丘奇＆德怀特","AMZN":"亚马逊","MKC":"味好美"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/as-market-sells-off-these-are-the-strategies-goldman-gives-clients-to-play-defense.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1144495076","content_text":"U.S. stocks tumbled on Thursday and Goldman Sachs has two plunge-proof portfolios that should held investors navigate the volatility.\nThe first is a basket of high-quality names, while the second focuses on defensive plays that can outperform regardless of global growth prospects.\nThe high-quality stock basket is a sector-neutral portfolio of large-cap stocks that’s equal weighted. The firm screens for companies that have strong balance sheets, stable earnings and revenue and above-average return on equity. The included names also have low historical drawdown risk.\n“In weak or uncertain macroeconomic environments investors should place a premium on the stability and safety of these companies,” the firm said in a note to clients.\nWithin the communication services sector Alphabet and T-Mobile are among the names that make the list.Home Depot,Dollar General and Dollar Tree are included within Discretionary, while Church & Dwight and Mc Cormick are picks from Staples. Goldman selected The rmo Fisher and Regeneron in Health Care, while First Republic and Truist are solid bets in the Financials sector.\nGOLDMAN’S HIGH-QUALITY STOCK BASKET\n\n\n\nTICKER\nCOMPANY\nPRICE\nCHANGE\n%CHANGE\nYIELD\n\n\n\n\nGOOGL\nAlphabet Class A\n2493.51\n-35.97\n-1.422\n2493.51\n\n\nTMUS\nT-Mobile US Inc\n146.74\n-1.30\n-0.8781\n146.74\n\n\nHD\nHome Depot Inc\n316.715\n-6.765\n-2.0913\n316.715\n\n\nDG\nDollar General Corp\n220.145\n-1.355\n-0.6117\n220.145\n\n\nDLTR\nDollar Tree Inc\n98.29\n-1.08\n-1.0868\n98.29\n\n\nCHD\nChurch & Dwight Co Inc\n86.51\n-0.12\n-0.1385\n86.51\n\n\nMKC\nMcCormick & Company Inc\n87.745\n-0.435\n-0.4933\n87.745\n\n\nTMO\nThermo Fisher Scientific Inc\n511.69\n-11.03\n-2.1101\n511.69\n\n\nREGN\nRegeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc\n573.76\n-12.14\n-2.072\n573.76\n\n\nFRC\nFirst Republic Bank\n185.05\n-4.53\n-2.3895\n185.05\n\n\nTFC\nTruist Financial Corp\n52.64\n-1.04\n-1.9374\n52.64\n\n\n\nPart of Thursday’s premarket sell-off stems from fears around the global economic comeback as cases of the Delta Covid variant surge. Goldman also has a basket of stocks that are attractive bets for investors even if growth does slow.\nThe firm’s defensive stock basket includes companies across eight S&P 500 sectors with a lower beta than the S&P 500 to Goldman’s U.S. MAP index. The proprietary index assembles key indicators for each country, looking at factors including GDP growth and purchasing managers’ indices. It seeks to “summarize the importance and strength (relative to consensus expectations) of economic indicators worldwide.”\nThe firm’s defensive basket has a weighted-average beta of 0.1 to the U.S. MAP index, while the S&P 500′s beta to the index is 0.5. Essentially this means the stocks are less dependent on the overall economy for growth.\nUnlike the high-quality portfolio, the defensive list is market-cap weighted.Apple,Microsoft,Amazon,Johnson & Johnson and Visa round out the top five holdings. Also in the top 20 holdings, which comprise about 50% of the total basket, are United Health,Procter & Gamble,Cisco Systems,Salesforce,Coca-Cola and Merck.\nGOLDMAN’S DEFENSIVE BASKET OF STOCK\n\n\n\nTICKER\nCOMPANY\nPRICE\nCHANGE\n%CHANGE\nYIELD\n\n\n\n\nAAPL\nApple Inc\n141.98\n-2.59\n-1.7915\n141.98\n\n\nMSFT\nMicrosoft Corp\n276.54\n-3.39\n-1.211\n276.54\n\n\nAMZN\nAmazon.com Inc\n3660.7434\n-35.8366\n-0.9695\n3660.7434\n\n\nJNJ\nJohnson & Johnson\n167.63\n-1.78\n-1.0507\n167.63\n\n\nV\nVisa Inc\n235.74\n-4.26\n-1.775\n235.74\n\n\nUNH\nUnitedHealth Group Inc\n405.33\n-6.33\n-1.5377\n405.33\n\n\nPG\nProcter & Gamble Co\n136.09\n-0.91\n-0.6642\n136.09\n\n\nCSCO\nCisco Systems Inc\n53.05\n-0.21\n-0.3943\n53.05\n\n\nCRM\nSalesforce.Com Inc\n243.4799\n-4.9601\n-1.9965\n243.4799\n\n\nKO\nCoca-Cola Co\n53.775\n-0.545\n-1.0033\n53.775\n\n\nMRK\nMerck & Co Inc\n77.32\n-1.24\n-1.5784\n77.32","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"BGC":0.9,"CHD":0.9,"DLTR":0.9,"FRC":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"HD":0.9,"MKC":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,"T":0.9,"TFC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}