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- 1c171c17
  ·2021-09-14
  Okay
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- 1c171c17
  ·2021-08-11
  Like and reply pls 🙏
  What stocks and sectors will benefit from the infrastructure bill?
  What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?Thebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion
  What stocks and sectors will benefit from the infrastructure bill?
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- 1c171c17
  ·2021-07-01
  nice
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- 1c171c17
  ·2021-06-30
  Okay noted
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- 1c171c17
  ·2021-06-29
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- 1c171c17
  ·2021-06-24
  Ahhh okay
  The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer
  5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over. One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pan
  The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer
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- 1c171c17
  ·2021-06-22
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- 1c171c17
  ·2021-06-22
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and reply pls 🙏","listText":"Like and reply pls 🙏","text":"Like and reply pls 🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892503368","repostId":"1147144306","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147144306","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628651652,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147144306?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-11 11:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What stocks and sectors will benefit from the infrastructure bill?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147144306","media":"Market Wacth","summary":"What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?Thebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion","content":"<p>What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?</p>\n<p>Thebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion for rail, $65 billion for broadband internet and $55 billion for water systems.</p>\n<p>Some analysts say that much of the bill’s positive impact on the economy have already been priced into financial markets but it is possible that a further fillip for stocks could be enjoyed, especially as worries linger about the potential for the delta variant of COVID-19 to stymie aspects of the economic recovery from the deadly pandemic.</p>\n<p>“The passage of the&nbsp;infrastructure&nbsp;bill is a nice headline but unlikely to be a big market mover at this point,” wrote Brian Price, head of investment management at Commonwealth Financial Network in emailed remarks.</p>\n<p>“I think a lot of the enthusiasm has been priced in over the past few weeks and investors are focused on other factors at this point,” he said, perhaps, referring to investors’ current fixation over the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will taper its monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities, which had helped to stabilize the market during the height the pandemic back in March and April of 2020.</p>\n<p>Still, the stock market was headed higher on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.46%and S&amp;P 500SPX,+0.10%at or near all-time closing highs, after the bill’s passage in the Upper chamber, with a 69-to-30 vote, with 19 Republicans also joining the Democratic yeas, The Wall Street Journal reported.</p>\n<p>A popular exchange-traded fund that offers exposure to stocks that would benefit from an infrastructure bill, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFFE\">Global X</a> U.S. Infrastructure Development ETFPAVE,+2.19%,was up 2.2% on Tuesday and has climbed 4.7% within the past 30 days, FactSet data show.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d21f2ed025a84fdc2840732cbf4dff62\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Pave the way higher?The 'PAVE' ETF has been rising over the past 30 daysGlobal X US Infrastructure Development ETFSource: FactSetAs of Aug. 10, 4 p.m. ETJune 2021Aug.24.525.025.526.026.527.0$27.5</p>\n<p>PAVE, referring to the infrastructure ETFs ticker symbol is up 28% so far in 2021, compared with year-to-date gains of around 15% for the S&amp;P 500 and the Dow.</p>\n<p>PAVE holds 100 stocks, from small-cap to large-cap companies, that derive at least 50% of revenue from infrastructure construction, materials and equipment supply and related services in the U.S.</p>\n<p>Similarly, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IFRA\">iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF</a>IFRA,+1.45%,another way to play infrastructure, rose 1.3% on Tuesday and is up nearly 22% in the first eight months of the year. The iShares ETF also includes 20 electric utilities and four water utilities, and for that reason isn’t always viewed as a pure-play infrastructure fund.</p>\n<p>The Industrial <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLCT\">Select</a> Sector SPDR ETFXLI,+1.02%,which tracks the S&amp;P 500’s industrial sector, was up 1% on Tuesday and has gained nearly 18% in the year so far.</p>\n<p>Back in the spring MarketWatch’s Philip van Doorn wrote that there are about 20 companies that are included in PAVE that might have the most upsidepotential for investors. Those include <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TISI\">Team</a> Inc., which was up 4.4% on Tuesday but has declined 56% in the year to date and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRIM\">Primoris</a>, which was up 2.9% on the day but down 3.6% so far this year.</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Company names</b></td>\n   <td><b>YTD % return</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Team Inc.TISI,+4.37%</td>\n   <td>-56.83</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Primoris Services Corp.PRIM,+2.90%</td>\n   <td>-3.6%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCO\">Columbus McKinnon</a> Corp.CMCO,+2.03%</td>\n   <td>17.6%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLDR\">Builders FirstSource</a> Inc.BLDR,+2.72%</td>\n   <td>19.6%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMS\">Advanced Drainage</a> Systems Inc.WMS,+1.89%</td>\n   <td>40%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIMCV\">Altra Industrial Motion Corp.</a>AIMC,+3.15%</td>\n   <td>10.5%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DY\">Dycom</a> IndustriesDY,-0.96%</td>\n   <td>-5.7%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.CLF,+5.05%</td>\n   <td>78.7%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RXN\">Rexnord</a> Corp.RXN,+1.91%</td>\n   <td>51%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRI\">Herc</a> Holdings Inc.HRI,+2.28%</td>\n   <td>90%</td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Overall, the investment in infrastructure is the biggest investment in roads, bridges and tunnels and other areas of America’s inner workings in a generation.</p>\n<p>Edward Moya, analyst at Oanda, said that the infrastructure package, should it get quickly passed by the House, is very constructive in “driving the cyclical trade,” particularly as there have been concerns about the delta variant of COVID.</p>\n<p>“Spending will take a few years to ramp up and will in any case be spread over the rest of the decade,” said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a recent note.</p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat stocks and sectors will benefit from the infrastructure bill?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-11 11:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-stocks-and-sectors-will-benefit-from-the-infrastructure-bill-11628628331?mod=home-page><strong>Market Wacth</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-stocks-and-sectors-will-benefit-from-the-infrastructure-bill-11628628331?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BLDR":"Builders FirstSource","PRIM":"Primoris Services Corporation","DY":"戴康工业","XLI":"工业指数ETF-SPDR","TISI":"Team Inc","CLF":"克利夫兰克里夫","HRI":"Herc Holdings Inc.","CMCO":"哥伦布-麦金农","IFRA":"iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF","WMS":"Advanced Drainage"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-stocks-and-sectors-will-benefit-from-the-infrastructure-bill-11628628331?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147144306","content_text":"What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?\nThebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion for rail, $65 billion for broadband internet and $55 billion for water systems.\nSome analysts say that much of the bill’s positive impact on the economy have already been priced into financial markets but it is possible that a further fillip for stocks could be enjoyed, especially as worries linger about the potential for the delta variant of COVID-19 to stymie aspects of the economic recovery from the deadly pandemic.\n“The passage of the infrastructure bill is a nice headline but unlikely to be a big market mover at this point,” wrote Brian Price, head of investment management at Commonwealth Financial Network in emailed remarks.\n“I think a lot of the enthusiasm has been priced in over the past few weeks and investors are focused on other factors at this point,” he said, perhaps, referring to investors’ current fixation over the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will taper its monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities, which had helped to stabilize the market during the height the pandemic back in March and April of 2020.\nStill, the stock market was headed higher on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.46%and S&P 500SPX,+0.10%at or near all-time closing highs, after the bill’s passage in the Upper chamber, with a 69-to-30 vote, with 19 Republicans also joining the Democratic yeas, The Wall Street Journal reported.\nA popular exchange-traded fund that offers exposure to stocks that would benefit from an infrastructure bill, the Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETFPAVE,+2.19%,was up 2.2% on Tuesday and has climbed 4.7% within the past 30 days, FactSet data show.Pave the way higher?The 'PAVE' ETF has been rising over the past 30 daysGlobal X US Infrastructure Development ETFSource: FactSetAs of Aug. 10, 4 p.m. ETJune 2021Aug.24.525.025.526.026.527.0$27.5\nPAVE, referring to the infrastructure ETFs ticker symbol is up 28% so far in 2021, compared with year-to-date gains of around 15% for the S&P 500 and the Dow.\nPAVE holds 100 stocks, from small-cap to large-cap companies, that derive at least 50% of revenue from infrastructure construction, materials and equipment supply and related services in the U.S.\nSimilarly, the iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETFIFRA,+1.45%,another way to play infrastructure, rose 1.3% on Tuesday and is up nearly 22% in the first eight months of the year. The iShares ETF also includes 20 electric utilities and four water utilities, and for that reason isn’t always viewed as a pure-play infrastructure fund.\nThe Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETFXLI,+1.02%,which tracks the S&P 500’s industrial sector, was up 1% on Tuesday and has gained nearly 18% in the year so far.\nBack in the spring MarketWatch’s Philip van Doorn wrote that there are about 20 companies that are included in PAVE that might have the most upsidepotential for investors. Those include Team Inc., which was up 4.4% on Tuesday but has declined 56% in the year to date and Primoris, which was up 2.9% on the day but down 3.6% so far this year.\n\n\n\nCompany names\nYTD % return\n\n\nTeam Inc.TISI,+4.37%\n-56.83\n\n\nPrimoris Services Corp.PRIM,+2.90%\n-3.6%\n\n\nColumbus McKinnon Corp.CMCO,+2.03%\n17.6%\n\n\nBuilders FirstSource Inc.BLDR,+2.72%\n19.6%\n\n\nAdvanced Drainage Systems Inc.WMS,+1.89%\n40%\n\n\nAltra Industrial Motion Corp.AIMC,+3.15%\n10.5%\n\n\nDycom IndustriesDY,-0.96%\n-5.7%\n\n\nCleveland-Cliffs Inc.CLF,+5.05%\n78.7%\n\n\nRexnord Corp.RXN,+1.91%\n51%\n\n\nHerc Holdings Inc.HRI,+2.28%\n90%\n\n\n\nOverall, the investment in infrastructure is the biggest investment in roads, bridges and tunnels and other areas of America’s inner workings in a generation.\nEdward Moya, analyst at Oanda, said that the infrastructure package, should it get quickly passed by the House, is very constructive in “driving the cyclical trade,” particularly as there have been concerns about the delta variant of COVID.\n“Spending will take a few years to ramp up and will in any case be spread over the rest of the decade,” said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a recent note.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AIMC":0.9,"BLDR":0.9,"CLF":0.9,"CMCO":0.9,"DY":0.9,"HRI":0.9,"IFRA":0.9,"PRIM":0.9,"RXN":0.9,"TISI":0.9,"WMS":0.9,"XLI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1080,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158819787,"gmtCreate":1625143079049,"gmtModify":1633944340915,"author":{"id":"3583011855831334","authorId":"3583011855831334","name":"1c17","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583011855831334","authorIdStr":"3583011855831334"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158819787","repostId":"1131385251","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153265691,"gmtCreate":1625028356013,"gmtModify":1633945653350,"author":{"id":"3583011855831334","authorId":"3583011855831334","name":"1c17","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583011855831334","authorIdStr":"3583011855831334"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay noted&nbsp;","listText":"Okay noted&nbsp;","text":"Okay noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153265691","repostId":"1153621389","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159382750,"gmtCreate":1624941736770,"gmtModify":1633946689066,"author":{"id":"3583011855831334","authorId":"3583011855831334","name":"1c17","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583011855831334","authorIdStr":"3583011855831334"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🙏","listText":"🙏","text":"🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159382750","repostId":"2147837316","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":635,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126913810,"gmtCreate":1624541930230,"gmtModify":1634004668985,"author":{"id":"3583011855831334","authorId":"3583011855831334","name":"1c17","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583011855831334","authorIdStr":"3583011855831334"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ahhh okay","listText":"Ahhh okay","text":"Ahhh okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126913810","repostId":"1187819280","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187819280","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624529642,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187819280?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 18:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187819280","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pan","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p>\n<p>Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p>\n<p>Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p>\n<p>And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p>\n<p>While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p>\n<p><b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p>\n<p><b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p>\n<p>Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p>\n<p>Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p>\n<p>The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p>\n<p><b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p>\n<p>Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p>\n<p>Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p>\n<p>What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p>\n<p><b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p>\n<p>Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p>\n<p>Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p>\n<p>Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p>\n<p><b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p>\n<p>For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p>\n<p>The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p>\n<p>Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p>\n<p><b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p>\n<p>Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p>\n<p>Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p>\n<p>But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p>\n<p>Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-24 18:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187819280","content_text":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.\nTake the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.\nLately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.\nAnd some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.\nWhile some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.\nHere are five big reasons why:\n1. The upgrade cycle is over\nLast summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.\nConsider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.\nThe same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.\n2. Valuations are stretched\nSpeaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.\nTake TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.\nWhat’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.\n3. Delays and shortages\nFuture growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.\nHome improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.\nEven if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.\n4. Inflationary pressures\nFor the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.\nThe cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.\nInflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.\n5. Home-equity hubris\nSpeaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.\nSome of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.\nBut here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.\nAnyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129603796,"gmtCreate":1624370040415,"gmtModify":1634007148212,"author":{"id":"3583011855831334","authorId":"3583011855831334","name":"1c17","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583011855831334","authorIdStr":"3583011855831334"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🙏","listText":"🙏","text":"🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129603796","repostId":"2145056554","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":952,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129600197,"gmtCreate":1624369990519,"gmtModify":1634007149852,"author":{"id":"3583011855831334","authorId":"3583011855831334","name":"1c17","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583011855831334","authorIdStr":"3583011855831334"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🙏","listText":"🙏","text":"🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129600197","repostId":"1186919064","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":848,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}