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- Yusoff87Yusoff87
  ·2021-09-01
  All hail phizer!
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- Yusoff87Yusoff87
  ·2021-08-31
  Interestunf read
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- Yusoff87Yusoff87
  ·2021-08-31
  Ouh no bad times ahead
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- Yusoff87Yusoff87
  ·2021-08-27
  Wow 4 Billion
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- Yusoff87Yusoff87
  ·2021-08-21
  Nvr
  Why This Virgin Galactic Analyst Just Cut Their Price Target By Nearly 40%<blockquote>为什么这位维珍银河分析师刚刚将目标价下调了近 40%</blockquote>
  Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc shares have come crashing back to Earth since the company successfully
  Why This Virgin Galactic Analyst Just Cut Their Price Target By Nearly 40%<blockquote>为什么这位维珍银河分析师刚刚将目标价下调了近 40%</blockquote>
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- Yusoff87Yusoff87
  ·2021-08-21
  Nice reas
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- Yusoff87Yusoff87
  ·2021-08-07
  Good read
  "Enough For Tapering To Start": Wall Street Reacts To A Blockbuster Jobs Report<blockquote>“足以开始缩减规模”：华尔街对重磅就业报告的反应</blockquote>
  With the jobs report coming in at just shy of 1 million jobs on the establishment survey (and just o
  "Enough For Tapering To Start": Wall Street Reacts To A Blockbuster Jobs Report<blockquote>“足以开始缩减规模”：华尔街对重磅就业报告的反应</blockquote>
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- Yusoff87Yusoff87
  ·2021-07-31
  Nice
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- Yusoff87Yusoff87
  ·2021-07-30
  Nice read
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- Yusoff87Yusoff87
  ·2021-07-28
  Interesting read
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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Billion","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819098227","repostId":"2162531016","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836249527,"gmtCreate":1629503505569,"gmtModify":1631890680366,"author":{"id":"3583197698797131","authorId":"3583197698797131","name":"Yusoff87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46c64583963a2679f1f1b105c26b02fc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583197698797131","authorIdStr":"3583197698797131"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nvr","listText":"Nvr","text":"Nvr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836249527","repostId":"1107004225","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107004225","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1629473431,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107004225?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-20 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why This Virgin Galactic Analyst Just Cut Their Price Target By Nearly 40%<blockquote>为什么这位维珍银河分析师刚刚将目标价下调了近 40%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107004225","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc shares have come crashing back to Earth since the company successfully ","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">Virgin Galactic</a> </b><b>Holdings</b><b> Inc</b>&nbsp;shares have come crashing back to Earth since the company successfully completed a Unity 22 space flight back in July, and one analyst said Friday&nbsp;the stock will likely continue to struggle in the near-term.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">维珍银河</a></b><b>控股</b><b>公司</b>自该公司 7 月份成功完成 Unity 22 太空飞行以来，股价已重返地球，一位分析师周五表示，该股短期内可能会继续陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Virgin Galactic Analyst:</b>&nbsp;Bank of America analyst Ronald Epstein reiterated an Underperform rating on&nbsp;Virgin Galactic and cut the&nbsp;price target from $41 to $25.</p><p><blockquote><b>维珍银河分析师：</b>美国银行分析师罗纳德·爱泼斯坦重申了维珍银河表现不佳的评级，并将目标价从 41 美元下调至 25 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Virgin Galactic Takeaways:</b>&nbsp;In his new note, Epstein said he was surprised and somewhat confused by Virgin’s recent announcement that it will begin planned maintenance plus enhancement for Mothership Eve in September after receiving a recommendation for the enhancements in July.</p><p><blockquote><b>维珍银河要点：</b>爱泼斯坦在新的说明中说，维珍最近宣布将在 7 月份收到对母舰 Eve 的改进建议后，于 9 月份开始对其进行计划中的维护和改进，这让他感到惊讶和有些困惑。</blockquote></p><p> The planned improvements, which Virgin did not detail, will bump back the timeline for the company’s first commercial passenger flight from early 2022 to late in the third quarter of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>维珍航空没有详细说明计划中的改进措施，这些改进措施将把公司首趟商业客运航班的时间表从 2022 年初推迟到 2022 年第三季度末。</blockquote></p><p> Epstein said it was particularly surprising that Virgin didn’t provide any technical details about the planned improvements and said the enhancements are still in the design phase.</p><p><blockquote>爱泼斯坦说，尤其令人惊讶的是，维珍航空没有提供任何有关计划改进的技术细节，并表示这些改进仍处于设计阶段。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Epstein said he expects Virgin to focus on sub-orbital travel, which will bump back orbital travel further into the future. Epstein has pushed back his target date for Virgin orbital travel from 2028 to 2035 and is removing his 2035 target for high speed point-to-point travel.</p><p><blockquote>爱泼斯坦表示，目前，他预计维珍航空将专注于亚轨道旅行，这将在未来进一步推迟轨道旅行。爱泼斯坦将维珍轨道旅行的目标日期从 2028 年推迟到 2035 年，并取消了 2035 年高速点对点旅行的目标。</blockquote></p><p> In terms of upcoming stock catalysts, Epstein said the October 2021 lock-up expirations could pressure Virgin’s stock.</p><p><blockquote>就即将到来的股票催化剂而言，爱泼斯坦说，2021 年 10 月的锁定期可能会给维珍的股票带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> “We see short term downside pressure to the stock price as a) delayed commercialization results in lack of catalysts, b) the market stays attentive to the next equity raise, and c) the next lock-up period expires,” Epstein said.</p><p><blockquote>“爱泼斯坦说：”我们认为股价将面临短期下行压力，原因是：a) 商业化延迟导致缺乏催化剂；b) 市场对下一次股权融资保持关注；c) 下一次锁定期到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>&nbsp;With Virgin generating a $644-million net loss on less than $300,000 in revenue in 2020, any delays in the path to a commercial launch are understandably concerning for investors.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga 的观点：</b>由于维珍在 2020 年的收入不到 30 万美元，净亏损 6.44 亿美元，商业上市道路上的任何延迟都会引起投资者的担忧，这是可以理解的。</blockquote></p><p> If Epstein’s new targets are correct, it also appears that at least the next 14 years will be all about sub-orbital travel for Virgin.</p><p><blockquote>如果爱泼斯坦的新目标是正确的，那么至少在未来 14 年里，维珍航空似乎将全部用于亚轨道旅行。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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}\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy This Virgin Galactic Analyst Just Cut Their Price Target By Nearly 40%<blockquote>为什么这位维珍银河分析师刚刚将目标价下调了近 40%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-20 23:30</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">Virgin Galactic</a> </b><b>Holdings</b><b> Inc</b>&nbsp;shares have come crashing back to Earth since the company successfully completed a Unity 22 space flight back in July, and one analyst said Friday&nbsp;the stock will likely continue to struggle in the near-term.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">维珍银河</a></b><b>控股</b><b>公司</b>自该公司 7 月份成功完成 Unity 22 太空飞行以来，股价已重返地球，一位分析师周五表示，该股短期内可能会继续陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Virgin Galactic Analyst:</b>&nbsp;Bank of America analyst Ronald Epstein reiterated an Underperform rating on&nbsp;Virgin Galactic and cut the&nbsp;price target from $41 to $25.</p><p><blockquote><b>维珍银河分析师：</b>美国银行分析师罗纳德·爱泼斯坦重申了维珍银河表现不佳的评级，并将目标价从 41 美元下调至 25 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Virgin Galactic Takeaways:</b>&nbsp;In his new note, Epstein said he was surprised and somewhat confused by Virgin’s recent announcement that it will begin planned maintenance plus enhancement for Mothership Eve in September after receiving a recommendation for the enhancements in July.</p><p><blockquote><b>维珍银河要点：</b>爱泼斯坦在新的说明中说，维珍最近宣布将在 7 月份收到对母舰 Eve 的改进建议后，于 9 月份开始对其进行计划中的维护和改进，这让他感到惊讶和有些困惑。</blockquote></p><p> The planned improvements, which Virgin did not detail, will bump back the timeline for the company’s first commercial passenger flight from early 2022 to late in the third quarter of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>维珍航空没有详细说明计划中的改进措施，这些改进措施将把公司首趟商业客运航班的时间表从 2022 年初推迟到 2022 年第三季度末。</blockquote></p><p> Epstein said it was particularly surprising that Virgin didn’t provide any technical details about the planned improvements and said the enhancements are still in the design phase.</p><p><blockquote>爱泼斯坦说，尤其令人惊讶的是，维珍航空没有提供任何有关计划改进的技术细节，并表示这些改进仍处于设计阶段。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Epstein said he expects Virgin to focus on sub-orbital travel, which will bump back orbital travel further into the future. Epstein has pushed back his target date for Virgin orbital travel from 2028 to 2035 and is removing his 2035 target for high speed point-to-point travel.</p><p><blockquote>爱泼斯坦表示，目前，他预计维珍航空将专注于亚轨道旅行，这将在未来进一步推迟轨道旅行。爱泼斯坦将维珍轨道旅行的目标日期从 2028 年推迟到 2035 年，并取消了 2035 年高速点对点旅行的目标。</blockquote></p><p> In terms of upcoming stock catalysts, Epstein said the October 2021 lock-up expirations could pressure Virgin’s stock.</p><p><blockquote>就即将到来的股票催化剂而言，爱泼斯坦说，2021 年 10 月的锁定期可能会给维珍的股票带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> “We see short term downside pressure to the stock price as a) delayed commercialization results in lack of catalysts, b) the market stays attentive to the next equity raise, and c) the next lock-up period expires,” Epstein said.</p><p><blockquote>“爱泼斯坦说：”我们认为股价将面临短期下行压力，原因是：a) 商业化延迟导致缺乏催化剂；b) 市场对下一次股权融资保持关注；c) 下一次锁定期到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>&nbsp;With Virgin generating a $644-million net loss on less than $300,000 in revenue in 2020, any delays in the path to a commercial launch are understandably concerning for investors.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga 的观点：</b>由于维珍在 2020 年的收入不到 30 万美元，净亏损 6.44 亿美元，商业上市道路上的任何延迟都会引起投资者的担忧，这是可以理解的。</blockquote></p><p> If Epstein’s new targets are correct, it also appears that at least the next 14 years will be all about sub-orbital travel for Virgin.</p><p><blockquote>如果爱泼斯坦的新目标是正确的，那么至少在未来 14 年里，维珍航空似乎将全部用于亚轨道旅行。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"维珍银河"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107004225","content_text":"Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc shares have come crashing back to Earth since the company successfully completed a Unity 22 space flight back in July, and one analyst said Friday the stock will likely continue to struggle in the near-term.\nThe Virgin Galactic Analyst: Bank of America analyst Ronald Epstein reiterated an Underperform rating on Virgin Galactic and cut the price target from $41 to $25.\nThe Virgin Galactic Takeaways: In his new note, Epstein said he was surprised and somewhat confused by Virgin’s recent announcement that it will begin planned maintenance plus enhancement for Mothership Eve in September after receiving a recommendation for the enhancements in July.\nThe planned improvements, which Virgin did not detail, will bump back the timeline for the company’s first commercial passenger flight from early 2022 to late in the third quarter of 2022.\nEpstein said it was particularly surprising that Virgin didn’t provide any technical details about the planned improvements and said the enhancements are still in the design phase.\nFor now, Epstein said he expects Virgin to focus on sub-orbital travel, which will bump back orbital travel further into the future. Epstein has pushed back his target date for Virgin orbital travel from 2028 to 2035 and is removing his 2035 target for high speed point-to-point travel.\nIn terms of upcoming stock catalysts, Epstein said the October 2021 lock-up expirations could pressure Virgin’s stock.\n“We see short term downside pressure to the stock price as a) delayed commercialization results in lack of catalysts, b) the market stays attentive to the next equity raise, and c) the next lock-up period expires,” Epstein said.\nBenzinga’s Take: With Virgin generating a $644-million net loss on less than $300,000 in revenue in 2020, any delays in the path to a commercial launch are understandably concerning for investors.\nIf Epstein’s new targets are correct, it also appears that at least the next 14 years will be all about sub-orbital travel for Virgin.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPCE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1851,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836249384,"gmtCreate":1629503473648,"gmtModify":1631890680369,"author":{"id":"3583197698797131","authorId":"3583197698797131","name":"Yusoff87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46c64583963a2679f1f1b105c26b02fc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583197698797131","authorIdStr":"3583197698797131"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice reas","listText":"Nice reas","text":"Nice reas","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836249384","repostId":"2160710721","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2738,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893437595,"gmtCreate":1628294902317,"gmtModify":1631890680373,"author":{"id":"3583197698797131","authorId":"3583197698797131","name":"Yusoff87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46c64583963a2679f1f1b105c26b02fc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583197698797131","authorIdStr":"3583197698797131"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good read","listText":"Good read","text":"Good read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893437595","repostId":"1145298738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145298738","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628259150,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1145298738?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 22:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"Enough For Tapering To Start\": Wall Street Reacts To A Blockbuster Jobs Report<blockquote>“足以开始缩减规模”：华尔街对重磅就业报告的反应</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145298738","media":"zerohedge","summary":"With the jobs report coming in at just shy of 1 million jobs on the establishment survey (and just o","content":"<p>With the jobs report coming in at just shy of 1 million jobs on the establishment survey (and just over 1 million on the Household survey), with strong job creation, a big drop in unemployment rate, higher employment-to-population, rising wages and hours worked, and favorable revisions, consensus - at least judging by the market reaction - is that we have entered the \"substantial progress\" phase, greenlighting a tapering signal by the Fed at the end of the month during the Jackson Hole symposium.</p><p><blockquote>就业报告显示，企业调查中的就业岗位略低于 100 万个（家庭调查中的就业岗位略高于 100 万个），就业创造强劲，失业率大幅下降，就业人口比率上升，工资和工作时间上涨，以及有利的修正，至少从市场反应来看，共识是我们已经进入了“实质性进展”阶段，为美联储在本月底杰克逊霍尔研讨会期间发出的缩减规模信号开了绿灯。</blockquote></p><p> And yet there is one potential hurdle: the Delta surge and ensuing restrictions and/or lockdowns: as TD Ameritrade's JJ Kinahan says, \"because of the delta variant, until we know a little bit more about that, I think it throws a different wrench in there, where we’re like, OK, now we’re in wait-and-see mode there. Great to see that the jobs are progressing and the economy is progressing -- hopefully by the next jobs report we’ll know if the economy can keep progressing at this pace. Right now it looks like it will.”</p><p><blockquote>然而，还有一个潜在的障碍：三角洲的激增以及随之而来的限制和/或封锁： 正如德美利证券（TD Ameritrade）的 JJ Kinahan 所说：“由于德尔塔变异毒株，在我们对此有更多了解之前，我认为它会给我们带来不同的压力，我们会说，好吧，现在我们处于观望模式。很高兴看到就业岗位和经济都在增长--希望在下一份就业报告中，我们就能知道经济能否继续以这样的速度增长。现在看来会的。”</blockquote></p><p> Do others agree? Below we have excerpted some analyst and strategist reactions to today's report.</p><p><blockquote>其他人同意吗？下面我们摘录了一些分析师和策略师对今天报告的反应。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Katherine Judge, CIBC Capital Markets:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>CIBC 资本市场 Katherine Judge：</b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“With many states set to see the unemployment benefit top-ups expire in early September, healthy job gains should continue ahead, in line with elevated job openings. This print should be enough to allow the Fed to announce an early 2022 tapering of QE at the September meeting.”</i>  <b>Chris Turner, head of foreign exchange strategy at ING Bank:</b></p><p><blockquote><i>“由于许多州的失业救济金补贴将于 9 月初到期，健康的就业增长应与职位空缺的增加保持一致。这一数字应足以让美联储在 9 月份的会议上宣布在 2022 年初缩减量化宽松政策。”</i><b>荷兰国际集团银行外汇策略主管克里斯·特纳：</b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>The stronger-than-expected jobs report makes it more likely that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell may “drop heavy hints” at the Jackson Hole Symposium later this month, that the central bank may prepare to start tapering over subsequent months. The data is positive for the dollar versus the low-yielders such as the yen and euro. Still, the outlook for the greenback “should not necessarily damage the risk environment....Unless U.S. 10 year yields spike aggressively, high yield EM currencies should see demand on dips”</i>  <b>Carl Riccadonna, Bloomberg Intelligence economist:</b></p><p><blockquote><i>强于预期的就业报告使得美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）更有可能在本月晚些时候的杰克逊霍尔研讨会上 “暗示”美联储可能准备在未来几个月开始缩减规模。该数据对美元兑日元和欧元等低收益货币有利。尽管如此，美元的前景“不一定会损害风险环境……除非美国 10 年期国债收益率大幅飙升，否则高收益新兴市场货币应该会在下跌时看到需求”。</i><b>彭博情报经济学家卡尔·里卡多纳：</b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>The jobs report is “sturdy, but not as strong as it looks.” In addition to the modest fade in the pace of private-sector hiring (703,000 in July vs. 769,000 in June), much of the July gain occurred in the tenuous leisure and hospitality sector -- and that could easily reverse due to Covid-19, he said. This already appears to be evident in metrics such as OpenTable bookings. “So if we look at private-sector hiring outside of leisure and hospitality, today’s reported gain was 323,000, a bit slower than the prior month’s 375,000.</i>  <i><b>This tells us that underlying economic momentum is steady-state, not accelerating.”</b></i>  <b><i>Neil Dutta, economist at Renaissance Macro</i></b>:</p><p><blockquote><i>就业报告 “稳健，但并不像看起来那么强劲”。他说，除了私营部门招聘速度略有放缓（7 月份为 703,000 人，6 月份为 769,000 人）之外，7 月份的大部分增长都发生在脆弱的休闲和酒店业，而且由于 Covid-19，这种情况很容易逆转。这在OpenTable预订等指标中似乎已经很明显了。“因此，如果我们看看休闲和酒店业以外的私营部门招聘情况，今天报告的增幅为 32.3 万人，略低于上月的 37.5 万人。</i><i><b>这告诉我们，潜在的经济动能是稳定的，而不是加速的。”</b></i><b><i>Neil Dutta，Renaissance Macro 经济学家</i></b>:</blockquote></p><p>   <i>The FOMC could upgrade its language in the September statement to say that the economy is “on track for substantial further progress,” which would lead to a declaration of achievement of substantial further progress in “November at the earliest.”&nbsp; Tapering, in that event, could begin as early as December.</i>  <b>JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade:</b></p><p><blockquote><i>联邦公开市场委员会可能会在 9 月份的声明中升级措辞，称经济 “有望取得实质性进一步进展”，这将导致 “最早在 11 月 ”宣布取得实质性进一步进展。在这种情况下，缩减规模最早可能在 12 月开始。</i><b>德美利证券首席市场策略师 JJ Kinahan：</b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“It’s a great number, there’s no way around that, it really is an impressive number. But I think if we didn’t have this new delta variant coming up, the conversation we’d be having is, is this inflationary, does this mean we’ll go into a taper, etc. But because of the delta variant, until we know a little bit more about that, I think it throws a different wrench in there, where we’re like, OK, now we’re in wait-and-see mode there. Great to see that the jobs are progressing and the economy is progressing -- hopefully by the next jobs report we’ll know if the economy can keep progressing at this pace. Right now it looks like it will.”</i>  <b>Roberto Perli, head of global policy research at Cornerstone Macro:</b></p><p><blockquote><i>“这是一个很棒的数字，这是无法回避的，这真的是一个令人印象深刻的数字。但我认为，如果我们没有新的德尔塔变异毒株，我们会讨论的话题是，这是否会导致通货膨胀，这是否意味着我们将进入缩减通货膨胀等等。但由于德尔塔变异毒株，在我们对此有更多了解之前，我认为它会给我们带来不同的压力，我们会说，好吧，现在我们处于观望模式。很高兴看到就业和经济都在发展--希望在下一份就业报告中，我们就能知道经济能否继续以这样的速度发展。现在看来会的。”</i><b>Cornerstone Macro 全球政策研究主管 Roberto Perli：</b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“The Fed will have one more employment report before the September meeting. Assuming it will be good as well, a plausible base case is for the FOMC to say at the September meeting that the labor market continued to make good progress, and if the progress continues at the recent pace the committee will be in a position to start tapering its asset purchases over the next few months.&nbsp; That would put the onset of tapering in late December or early January.“So bottom line I think the timeline remains the same.&nbsp; It would be hard to start tapering in September because it would go against both the ‘coming meetings’ (plural) language in the July statement and the notion that the FOMC would provide ample notice before actually starting tapering.”</i> </p><p><blockquote><i>“美联储将在9月会议前再发布一份就业报告。假设情况也不错，那么一个合理的基本情况是，联邦公开市场委员会在 9 月份的会议上表示，劳动力市场继续取得良好进展，如果进展继续以最近的速度进行，委员会将能够在未来几个月内开始缩减资产购买规模。这将使缩减资产购买规模的开始时间在 12 月底或 1 月初。“因此，我认为时间表保持不变。9 月份开始缩减资产规模很难，因为这既违背了 7 月份声明中'即将召开会议'（复数）的措辞，也违背了联邦公开市场委员会在实际开始缩减资产规模之前会提供充分通知的理念。”</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Enough For Tapering To Start\": Wall Street Reacts To A Blockbuster Jobs Report<blockquote>“足以开始缩减规模”：华尔街对重磅就业报告的反应</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-06 22:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>With the jobs report coming in at just shy of 1 million jobs on the establishment survey (and just over 1 million on the Household survey), with strong job creation, a big drop in unemployment rate, higher employment-to-population, rising wages and hours worked, and favorable revisions, consensus - at least judging by the market reaction - is that we have entered the \"substantial progress\" phase, greenlighting a tapering signal by the Fed at the end of the month during the Jackson Hole symposium.</p><p><blockquote>就业报告显示，企业调查中的就业岗位略低于 100 万个（家庭调查中的就业岗位略高于 100 万个），就业创造强劲，失业率大幅下降，就业人口比率上升，工资和工作时间上涨，以及有利的修正，至少从市场反应来看，共识是我们已经进入了“实质性进展”阶段，为美联储在本月底杰克逊霍尔研讨会期间发出的缩减规模信号开了绿灯。</blockquote></p><p> And yet there is one potential hurdle: the Delta surge and ensuing restrictions and/or lockdowns: as TD Ameritrade's JJ Kinahan says, \"because of the delta variant, until we know a little bit more about that, I think it throws a different wrench in there, where we’re like, OK, now we’re in wait-and-see mode there. Great to see that the jobs are progressing and the economy is progressing -- hopefully by the next jobs report we’ll know if the economy can keep progressing at this pace. Right now it looks like it will.”</p><p><blockquote>然而，还有一个潜在的障碍：三角洲的激增以及随之而来的限制和/或封锁： 正如德美利证券（TD Ameritrade）的 JJ Kinahan 所说：“由于德尔塔变异毒株，在我们对此有更多了解之前，我认为它会给我们带来不同的压力，我们会说，好吧，现在我们处于观望模式。很高兴看到就业岗位和经济都在增长--希望在下一份就业报告中，我们就能知道经济能否继续以这样的速度增长。现在看来会的。”</blockquote></p><p> Do others agree? Below we have excerpted some analyst and strategist reactions to today's report.</p><p><blockquote>其他人同意吗？下面我们摘录了一些分析师和策略师对今天报告的反应。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Katherine Judge, CIBC Capital Markets:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>CIBC 资本市场 Katherine Judge：</b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“With many states set to see the unemployment benefit top-ups expire in early September, healthy job gains should continue ahead, in line with elevated job openings. This print should be enough to allow the Fed to announce an early 2022 tapering of QE at the September meeting.”</i>  <b>Chris Turner, head of foreign exchange strategy at ING Bank:</b></p><p><blockquote><i>“由于许多州的失业救济金补贴将于 9 月初到期，健康的就业增长应与职位空缺的增加保持一致。这一数字应足以让美联储在 9 月份的会议上宣布在 2022 年初缩减量化宽松政策。”</i><b>荷兰国际集团银行外汇策略主管克里斯·特纳：</b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>The stronger-than-expected jobs report makes it more likely that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell may “drop heavy hints” at the Jackson Hole Symposium later this month, that the central bank may prepare to start tapering over subsequent months. The data is positive for the dollar versus the low-yielders such as the yen and euro. Still, the outlook for the greenback “should not necessarily damage the risk environment....Unless U.S. 10 year yields spike aggressively, high yield EM currencies should see demand on dips”</i>  <b>Carl Riccadonna, Bloomberg Intelligence economist:</b></p><p><blockquote><i>强于预期的就业报告使得美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）更有可能在本月晚些时候的杰克逊霍尔研讨会上 “暗示”美联储可能准备在未来几个月开始缩减规模。该数据对美元兑日元和欧元等低收益货币有利。尽管如此，美元的前景“不一定会损害风险环境……除非美国 10 年期国债收益率大幅飙升，否则高收益新兴市场货币应该会在下跌时看到需求”。</i><b>彭博情报经济学家卡尔·里卡多纳：</b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>The jobs report is “sturdy, but not as strong as it looks.” In addition to the modest fade in the pace of private-sector hiring (703,000 in July vs. 769,000 in June), much of the July gain occurred in the tenuous leisure and hospitality sector -- and that could easily reverse due to Covid-19, he said. This already appears to be evident in metrics such as OpenTable bookings. “So if we look at private-sector hiring outside of leisure and hospitality, today’s reported gain was 323,000, a bit slower than the prior month’s 375,000.</i>  <i><b>This tells us that underlying economic momentum is steady-state, not accelerating.”</b></i>  <b><i>Neil Dutta, economist at Renaissance Macro</i></b>:</p><p><blockquote><i>就业报告 “稳健，但并不像看起来那么强劲”。他说，除了私营部门招聘速度略有放缓（7 月份为 703,000 人，6 月份为 769,000 人）之外，7 月份的大部分增长都发生在脆弱的休闲和酒店业，而且由于 Covid-19，这种情况很容易逆转。这在OpenTable预订等指标中似乎已经很明显了。“因此，如果我们看看休闲和酒店业以外的私营部门招聘情况，今天报告的增幅为 32.3 万人，略低于上月的 37.5 万人。</i><i><b>这告诉我们，潜在的经济动能是稳定的，而不是加速的。”</b></i><b><i>Neil Dutta，Renaissance Macro 经济学家</i></b>:</blockquote></p><p>   <i>The FOMC could upgrade its language in the September statement to say that the economy is “on track for substantial further progress,” which would lead to a declaration of achievement of substantial further progress in “November at the earliest.”&nbsp; Tapering, in that event, could begin as early as December.</i>  <b>JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade:</b></p><p><blockquote><i>联邦公开市场委员会可能会在 9 月份的声明中升级措辞，称经济 “有望取得实质性进一步进展”，这将导致 “最早在 11 月 ”宣布取得实质性进一步进展。在这种情况下，缩减规模最早可能在 12 月开始。</i><b>德美利证券首席市场策略师 JJ Kinahan：</b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“It’s a great number, there’s no way around that, it really is an impressive number. But I think if we didn’t have this new delta variant coming up, the conversation we’d be having is, is this inflationary, does this mean we’ll go into a taper, etc. But because of the delta variant, until we know a little bit more about that, I think it throws a different wrench in there, where we’re like, OK, now we’re in wait-and-see mode there. Great to see that the jobs are progressing and the economy is progressing -- hopefully by the next jobs report we’ll know if the economy can keep progressing at this pace. Right now it looks like it will.”</i>  <b>Roberto Perli, head of global policy research at Cornerstone Macro:</b></p><p><blockquote><i>“这是一个很棒的数字，这是无法回避的，这真的是一个令人印象深刻的数字。但我认为，如果我们没有新的德尔塔变异毒株，我们会讨论的话题是，这是否会导致通货膨胀，这是否意味着我们将进入缩减通货膨胀等等。但由于德尔塔变异毒株，在我们对此有更多了解之前，我认为它会给我们带来不同的压力，我们会说，好吧，现在我们处于观望模式。很高兴看到就业和经济都在发展--希望在下一份就业报告中，我们就能知道经济能否继续以这样的速度发展。现在看来会的。”</i><b>Cornerstone Macro 全球政策研究主管 Roberto Perli：</b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“The Fed will have one more employment report before the September meeting. Assuming it will be good as well, a plausible base case is for the FOMC to say at the September meeting that the labor market continued to make good progress, and if the progress continues at the recent pace the committee will be in a position to start tapering its asset purchases over the next few months.&nbsp; That would put the onset of tapering in late December or early January.“So bottom line I think the timeline remains the same.&nbsp; It would be hard to start tapering in September because it would go against both the ‘coming meetings’ (plural) language in the July statement and the notion that the FOMC would provide ample notice before actually starting tapering.”</i> </p><p><blockquote><i>“美联储将在9月会议前再发布一份就业报告。假设情况也不错，那么一个合理的基本情况是，联邦公开市场委员会在 9 月份的会议上表示，劳动力市场继续取得良好进展，如果进展继续以最近的速度进行，委员会将能够在未来几个月内开始缩减资产购买规模。这将使缩减资产购买规模的开始时间在 12 月底或 1 月初。“因此，我认为时间表保持不变。9 月份开始缩减资产规模很难，因为这既违背了 7 月份声明中'即将召开会议'（复数）的措辞，也违背了联邦公开市场委员会在实际开始缩减资产规模之前会提供充分通知的理念。”</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/enough-tapering-start-wall-street-reacts-blockbuster-jobs-report\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/enough-tapering-start-wall-street-reacts-blockbuster-jobs-report","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145298738","content_text":"With the jobs report coming in at just shy of 1 million jobs on the establishment survey (and just over 1 million on the Household survey), with strong job creation, a big drop in unemployment rate, higher employment-to-population, rising wages and hours worked, and favorable revisions, consensus - at least judging by the market reaction - is that we have entered the \"substantial progress\" phase, greenlighting a tapering signal by the Fed at the end of the month during the Jackson Hole symposium.\nAnd yet there is one potential hurdle: the Delta surge and ensuing restrictions and/or lockdowns: as TD Ameritrade's JJ Kinahan says, \"because of the delta variant, until we know a little bit more about that, I think it throws a different wrench in there, where we’re like, OK, now we’re in wait-and-see mode there. Great to see that the jobs are progressing and the economy is progressing -- hopefully by the next jobs report we’ll know if the economy can keep progressing at this pace. Right now it looks like it will.”\nDo others agree? Below we have excerpted some analyst and strategist reactions to today's report.\nKatherine Judge, CIBC Capital Markets:\n\n“With many states set to see the unemployment benefit top-ups expire in early September, healthy job gains should continue ahead, in line with elevated job openings. This print should be enough to allow the Fed to announce an early 2022 tapering of QE at the September meeting.”\n\nChris Turner, head of foreign exchange strategy at ING Bank:\n\nThe stronger-than-expected jobs report makes it more likely that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell may “drop heavy hints” at the Jackson Hole Symposium later this month, that the central bank may prepare to start tapering over subsequent months. The data is positive for the dollar versus the low-yielders such as the yen and euro. Still, the outlook for the greenback “should not necessarily damage the risk environment....Unless U.S. 10 year yields spike aggressively, high yield EM currencies should see demand on dips”\n\nCarl Riccadonna, Bloomberg Intelligence economist:\n\nThe jobs report is “sturdy, but not as strong as it looks.” In addition to the modest fade in the pace of private-sector hiring (703,000 in July vs. 769,000 in June), much of the July gain occurred in the tenuous leisure and hospitality sector -- and that could easily reverse due to Covid-19, he said. This already appears to be evident in metrics such as OpenTable bookings. “So if we look at private-sector hiring outside of leisure and hospitality, today’s reported gain was 323,000, a bit slower than the prior month’s 375,000.\nThis tells us that underlying economic momentum is steady-state, not accelerating.”\n\nNeil Dutta, economist at Renaissance Macro:\n\nThe FOMC could upgrade its language in the September statement to say that the economy is “on track for substantial further progress,” which would lead to a declaration of achievement of substantial further progress in “November at the earliest.”  Tapering, in that event, could begin as early as December.\n\nJJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade:\n\n“It’s a great number, there’s no way around that, it really is an impressive number. But I think if we didn’t have this new delta variant coming up, the conversation we’d be having is, is this inflationary, does this mean we’ll go into a taper, etc. But because of the delta variant, until we know a little bit more about that, I think it throws a different wrench in there, where we’re like, OK, now we’re in wait-and-see mode there. Great to see that the jobs are progressing and the economy is progressing -- hopefully by the next jobs report we’ll know if the economy can keep progressing at this pace. Right now it looks like it will.”\n\nRoberto Perli, head of global policy research at Cornerstone Macro:\n\n“The Fed will have one more employment report before the September meeting. Assuming it will be good as well, a plausible base case is for the FOMC to say at the September meeting that the labor market continued to make good progress, and if the progress continues at the recent pace the committee will be in a position to start tapering its asset purchases over the next few months.  That would put the onset of tapering in late December or early January.“So bottom line I think the timeline remains the same.  It would be hard to start tapering in September because it would go against both the ‘coming meetings’ (plural) language in the July statement and the notion that the FOMC would provide ample notice before actually starting tapering.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806723691,"gmtCreate":1627695192013,"gmtModify":1631890680381,"author":{"id":"3583197698797131","authorId":"3583197698797131","name":"Yusoff87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46c64583963a2679f1f1b105c26b02fc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583197698797131","authorIdStr":"3583197698797131"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806723691","repostId":"1106964638","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808500402,"gmtCreate":1627599709706,"gmtModify":1631890680381,"author":{"id":"3583197698797131","authorId":"3583197698797131","name":"Yusoff87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46c64583963a2679f1f1b105c26b02fc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583197698797131","authorIdStr":"3583197698797131"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice read","listText":"Nice read","text":"Nice read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808500402","repostId":"2155188411","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3072,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803111692,"gmtCreate":1627427745216,"gmtModify":1631890680387,"author":{"id":"3583197698797131","authorId":"3583197698797131","name":"Yusoff87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46c64583963a2679f1f1b105c26b02fc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583197698797131","authorIdStr":"3583197698797131"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Interesting read","listText":"Interesting read","text":"Interesting read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803111692","repostId":"2154146679","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}