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Athenwyk

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  ·2021-09-02
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  ·2021-08-25
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  ·2021-08-13
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  ·2021-08-12
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  ·2021-08-12
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  ·2021-08-11
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  What stocks and sectors will benefit from the infrastructure bill?
  What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?Thebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion
  What stocks and sectors will benefit from the infrastructure bill?
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  ·2021-08-10
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  ·2021-08-09
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  ·2021-08-08
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  ·2021-08-07
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  "Enough For Tapering To Start": Wall Street Reacts To A Blockbuster Jobs Report
  With the jobs report coming in at just shy of 1 million jobs on the establishment survey (and just o
  "Enough For Tapering To Start": Wall Street Reacts To A Blockbuster Jobs Report
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It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion","content":"<p>What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?</p>\n<p>Thebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion for rail, $65 billion for broadband internet and $55 billion for water systems.</p>\n<p>Some analysts say that much of the bill’s positive impact on the economy have already been priced into financial markets but it is possible that a further fillip for stocks could be enjoyed, especially as worries linger about the potential for the delta variant of COVID-19 to stymie aspects of the economic recovery from the deadly pandemic.</p>\n<p>“The passage of the&nbsp;infrastructure&nbsp;bill is a nice headline but unlikely to be a big market mover at this point,” wrote Brian Price, head of investment management at Commonwealth Financial Network in emailed remarks.</p>\n<p>“I think a lot of the enthusiasm has been priced in over the past few weeks and investors are focused on other factors at this point,” he said, perhaps, referring to investors’ current fixation over the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will taper its monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities, which had helped to stabilize the market during the height the pandemic back in March and April of 2020.</p>\n<p>Still, the stock market was headed higher on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.46%and S&amp;P 500SPX,+0.10%at or near all-time closing highs, after the bill’s passage in the Upper chamber, with a 69-to-30 vote, with 19 Republicans also joining the Democratic yeas, The Wall Street Journal reported.</p>\n<p>A popular exchange-traded fund that offers exposure to stocks that would benefit from an infrastructure bill, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFFE\">Global X</a> U.S. Infrastructure Development ETFPAVE,+2.19%,was up 2.2% on Tuesday and has climbed 4.7% within the past 30 days, FactSet data show.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d21f2ed025a84fdc2840732cbf4dff62\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Pave the way higher?The 'PAVE' ETF has been rising over the past 30 daysGlobal X US Infrastructure Development ETFSource: FactSetAs of Aug. 10, 4 p.m. ETJune 2021Aug.24.525.025.526.026.527.0$27.5</p>\n<p>PAVE, referring to the infrastructure ETFs ticker symbol is up 28% so far in 2021, compared with year-to-date gains of around 15% for the S&amp;P 500 and the Dow.</p>\n<p>PAVE holds 100 stocks, from small-cap to large-cap companies, that derive at least 50% of revenue from infrastructure construction, materials and equipment supply and related services in the U.S.</p>\n<p>Similarly, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IFRA\">iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF</a>IFRA,+1.45%,another way to play infrastructure, rose 1.3% on Tuesday and is up nearly 22% in the first eight months of the year. The iShares ETF also includes 20 electric utilities and four water utilities, and for that reason isn’t always viewed as a pure-play infrastructure fund.</p>\n<p>The Industrial <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLCT\">Select</a> Sector SPDR ETFXLI,+1.02%,which tracks the S&amp;P 500’s industrial sector, was up 1% on Tuesday and has gained nearly 18% in the year so far.</p>\n<p>Back in the spring MarketWatch’s Philip van Doorn wrote that there are about 20 companies that are included in PAVE that might have the most upsidepotential for investors. Those include <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TISI\">Team</a> Inc., which was up 4.4% on Tuesday but has declined 56% in the year to date and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRIM\">Primoris</a>, which was up 2.9% on the day but down 3.6% so far this year.</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Company names</b></td>\n   <td><b>YTD % return</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Team Inc.TISI,+4.37%</td>\n   <td>-56.83</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Primoris Services Corp.PRIM,+2.90%</td>\n   <td>-3.6%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCO\">Columbus McKinnon</a> Corp.CMCO,+2.03%</td>\n   <td>17.6%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLDR\">Builders FirstSource</a> Inc.BLDR,+2.72%</td>\n   <td>19.6%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMS\">Advanced Drainage</a> Systems Inc.WMS,+1.89%</td>\n   <td>40%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIMCV\">Altra Industrial Motion Corp.</a>AIMC,+3.15%</td>\n   <td>10.5%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DY\">Dycom</a> IndustriesDY,-0.96%</td>\n   <td>-5.7%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.CLF,+5.05%</td>\n   <td>78.7%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RXN\">Rexnord</a> Corp.RXN,+1.91%</td>\n   <td>51%</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRI\">Herc</a> Holdings Inc.HRI,+2.28%</td>\n   <td>90%</td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Overall, the investment in infrastructure is the biggest investment in roads, bridges and tunnels and other areas of America’s inner workings in a generation.</p>\n<p>Edward Moya, analyst at Oanda, said that the infrastructure package, should it get quickly passed by the House, is very constructive in “driving the cyclical trade,” particularly as there have been concerns about the delta variant of COVID.</p>\n<p>“Spending will take a few years to ramp up and will in any case be spread over the rest of the decade,” said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a recent note.</p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat stocks and sectors will benefit from the infrastructure bill?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-11 11:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-stocks-and-sectors-will-benefit-from-the-infrastructure-bill-11628628331?mod=home-page><strong>Market Wacth</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-stocks-and-sectors-will-benefit-from-the-infrastructure-bill-11628628331?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CMCO":"哥伦布-麦金农","HRI":"Herc Holdings Inc.","IFRA":"iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF","DY":"戴康工业","XLI":"工业指数ETF-SPDR","TISI":"Team Inc","PRIM":"Primoris Services Corporation","WMS":"Advanced Drainage","BLDR":"Builders FirstSource","CLF":"克利夫兰克里夫"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-stocks-and-sectors-will-benefit-from-the-infrastructure-bill-11628628331?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147144306","content_text":"What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?\nThebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion for rail, $65 billion for broadband internet and $55 billion for water systems.\nSome analysts say that much of the bill’s positive impact on the economy have already been priced into financial markets but it is possible that a further fillip for stocks could be enjoyed, especially as worries linger about the potential for the delta variant of COVID-19 to stymie aspects of the economic recovery from the deadly pandemic.\n“The passage of the infrastructure bill is a nice headline but unlikely to be a big market mover at this point,” wrote Brian Price, head of investment management at Commonwealth Financial Network in emailed remarks.\n“I think a lot of the enthusiasm has been priced in over the past few weeks and investors are focused on other factors at this point,” he said, perhaps, referring to investors’ current fixation over the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will taper its monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities, which had helped to stabilize the market during the height the pandemic back in March and April of 2020.\nStill, the stock market was headed higher on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.46%and S&P 500SPX,+0.10%at or near all-time closing highs, after the bill’s passage in the Upper chamber, with a 69-to-30 vote, with 19 Republicans also joining the Democratic yeas, The Wall Street Journal reported.\nA popular exchange-traded fund that offers exposure to stocks that would benefit from an infrastructure bill, the Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETFPAVE,+2.19%,was up 2.2% on Tuesday and has climbed 4.7% within the past 30 days, FactSet data show.Pave the way higher?The 'PAVE' ETF has been rising over the past 30 daysGlobal X US Infrastructure Development ETFSource: FactSetAs of Aug. 10, 4 p.m. ETJune 2021Aug.24.525.025.526.026.527.0$27.5\nPAVE, referring to the infrastructure ETFs ticker symbol is up 28% so far in 2021, compared with year-to-date gains of around 15% for the S&P 500 and the Dow.\nPAVE holds 100 stocks, from small-cap to large-cap companies, that derive at least 50% of revenue from infrastructure construction, materials and equipment supply and related services in the U.S.\nSimilarly, the iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETFIFRA,+1.45%,another way to play infrastructure, rose 1.3% on Tuesday and is up nearly 22% in the first eight months of the year. The iShares ETF also includes 20 electric utilities and four water utilities, and for that reason isn’t always viewed as a pure-play infrastructure fund.\nThe Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETFXLI,+1.02%,which tracks the S&P 500’s industrial sector, was up 1% on Tuesday and has gained nearly 18% in the year so far.\nBack in the spring MarketWatch’s Philip van Doorn wrote that there are about 20 companies that are included in PAVE that might have the most upsidepotential for investors. Those include Team Inc., which was up 4.4% on Tuesday but has declined 56% in the year to date and Primoris, which was up 2.9% on the day but down 3.6% so far this year.\n\n\n\nCompany names\nYTD % return\n\n\nTeam Inc.TISI,+4.37%\n-56.83\n\n\nPrimoris Services Corp.PRIM,+2.90%\n-3.6%\n\n\nColumbus McKinnon Corp.CMCO,+2.03%\n17.6%\n\n\nBuilders FirstSource Inc.BLDR,+2.72%\n19.6%\n\n\nAdvanced Drainage Systems Inc.WMS,+1.89%\n40%\n\n\nAltra Industrial Motion Corp.AIMC,+3.15%\n10.5%\n\n\nDycom IndustriesDY,-0.96%\n-5.7%\n\n\nCleveland-Cliffs Inc.CLF,+5.05%\n78.7%\n\n\nRexnord Corp.RXN,+1.91%\n51%\n\n\nHerc Holdings Inc.HRI,+2.28%\n90%\n\n\n\nOverall, the investment in infrastructure is the biggest investment in roads, bridges and tunnels and other areas of America’s inner workings in a generation.\nEdward Moya, analyst at Oanda, said that the infrastructure package, should it get quickly passed by the House, is very constructive in “driving the cyclical trade,” particularly as there have been concerns about the delta variant of COVID.\n“Spending will take a few years to ramp up and will in any case be spread over the rest of the decade,” said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a recent note.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AIMC":0.9,"BLDR":0.9,"CLF":0.9,"CMCO":0.9,"DY":0.9,"HRI":0.9,"IFRA":0.9,"PRIM":0.9,"RXN":0.9,"TISI":0.9,"WMS":0.9,"XLI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1083,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896604569,"gmtCreate":1628574121551,"gmtModify":1633746027057,"author":{"id":"3583636949773464","authorId":"3583636949773464","name":" . 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","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":0,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583636949773464","authorIdStr":"3583636949773464"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893797163","repostId":"1145298738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145298738","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628259150,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145298738?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 22:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"Enough For Tapering To Start\": Wall Street Reacts To A Blockbuster Jobs Report","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145298738","media":"zerohedge","summary":"With the jobs report coming in at just shy of 1 million jobs on the establishment survey (and just o","content":"<p>With the jobs report coming in at just shy of 1 million jobs on the establishment survey (and just over 1 million on the Household survey), with strong job creation, a big drop in unemployment rate, higher employment-to-population, rising wages and hours worked, and favorable revisions, consensus - at least judging by the market reaction - is that we have entered the \"substantial progress\" phase, greenlighting a tapering signal by the Fed at the end of the month during the Jackson Hole symposium.</p>\n<p>And yet there is one potential hurdle: the Delta surge and ensuing restrictions and/or lockdowns: as TD Ameritrade's JJ Kinahan says, \"because of the delta variant, until we know a little bit more about that, I think it throws a different wrench in there, where we’re like, OK, now we’re in wait-and-see mode there. Great to see that the jobs are progressing and the economy is progressing -- hopefully by the next jobs report we’ll know if the economy can keep progressing at this pace. Right now it looks like it will.”</p>\n<p>Do others agree? Below we have excerpted some analyst and strategist reactions to today's report.</p>\n<p><b>Katherine Judge, CIBC Capital Markets:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>“With many states set to see the unemployment benefit top-ups expire in early September, healthy job gains should continue ahead, in line with elevated job openings. This print should be enough to allow the Fed to announce an early 2022 tapering of QE at the September meeting.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Chris Turner, head of foreign exchange strategy at ING Bank:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>The stronger-than-expected jobs report makes it more likely that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell may “drop heavy hints” at the Jackson Hole Symposium later this month, that the central bank may prepare to start tapering over subsequent months. The data is positive for the dollar versus the low-yielders such as the yen and euro. Still, the outlook for the greenback “should not necessarily damage the risk environment....Unless U.S. 10 year yields spike aggressively, high yield EM currencies should see demand on dips”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Carl Riccadonna, Bloomberg Intelligence economist:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>The jobs report is “sturdy, but not as strong as it looks.” In addition to the modest fade in the pace of private-sector hiring (703,000 in July vs. 769,000 in June), much of the July gain occurred in the tenuous leisure and hospitality sector -- and that could easily reverse due to Covid-19, he said. This already appears to be evident in metrics such as OpenTable bookings. “So if we look at private-sector hiring outside of leisure and hospitality, today’s reported gain was 323,000, a bit slower than the prior month’s 375,000.</i>\n <i><b>This tells us that underlying economic momentum is steady-state, not accelerating.”</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b><i>Neil Dutta, economist at Renaissance Macro</i></b>:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>The FOMC could upgrade its language in the September statement to say that the economy is “on track for substantial further progress,” which would lead to a declaration of achievement of substantial further progress in “November at the earliest.”&nbsp; Tapering, in that event, could begin as early as December.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>“It’s a great number, there’s no way around that, it really is an impressive number. But I think if we didn’t have this new delta variant coming up, the conversation we’d be having is, is this inflationary, does this mean we’ll go into a taper, etc. But because of the delta variant, until we know a little bit more about that, I think it throws a different wrench in there, where we’re like, OK, now we’re in wait-and-see mode there. Great to see that the jobs are progressing and the economy is progressing -- hopefully by the next jobs report we’ll know if the economy can keep progressing at this pace. Right now it looks like it will.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Roberto Perli, head of global policy research at Cornerstone Macro:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>“The Fed will have one more employment report before the September meeting. Assuming it will be good as well, a plausible base case is for the FOMC to say at the September meeting that the labor market continued to make good progress, and if the progress continues at the recent pace the committee will be in a position to start tapering its asset purchases over the next few months.&nbsp; That would put the onset of tapering in late December or early January.“So bottom line I think the timeline remains the same.&nbsp; It would be hard to start tapering in September because it would go against both the ‘coming meetings’ (plural) language in the July statement and the notion that the FOMC would provide ample notice before actually starting tapering.”</i>\n</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Enough For Tapering To Start\": Wall Street Reacts To A Blockbuster Jobs Report</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Enough For Tapering To Start\": Wall Street Reacts To A Blockbuster Jobs Report\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-06 22:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/enough-tapering-start-wall-street-reacts-blockbuster-jobs-report><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With the jobs report coming in at just shy of 1 million jobs on the establishment survey (and just over 1 million on the Household survey), with strong job creation, a big drop in unemployment rate, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/enough-tapering-start-wall-street-reacts-blockbuster-jobs-report\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/enough-tapering-start-wall-street-reacts-blockbuster-jobs-report","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145298738","content_text":"With the jobs report coming in at just shy of 1 million jobs on the establishment survey (and just over 1 million on the Household survey), with strong job creation, a big drop in unemployment rate, higher employment-to-population, rising wages and hours worked, and favorable revisions, consensus - at least judging by the market reaction - is that we have entered the \"substantial progress\" phase, greenlighting a tapering signal by the Fed at the end of the month during the Jackson Hole symposium.\nAnd yet there is one potential hurdle: the Delta surge and ensuing restrictions and/or lockdowns: as TD Ameritrade's JJ Kinahan says, \"because of the delta variant, until we know a little bit more about that, I think it throws a different wrench in there, where we’re like, OK, now we’re in wait-and-see mode there. Great to see that the jobs are progressing and the economy is progressing -- hopefully by the next jobs report we’ll know if the economy can keep progressing at this pace. Right now it looks like it will.”\nDo others agree? Below we have excerpted some analyst and strategist reactions to today's report.\nKatherine Judge, CIBC Capital Markets:\n\n“With many states set to see the unemployment benefit top-ups expire in early September, healthy job gains should continue ahead, in line with elevated job openings. This print should be enough to allow the Fed to announce an early 2022 tapering of QE at the September meeting.”\n\nChris Turner, head of foreign exchange strategy at ING Bank:\n\nThe stronger-than-expected jobs report makes it more likely that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell may “drop heavy hints” at the Jackson Hole Symposium later this month, that the central bank may prepare to start tapering over subsequent months. The data is positive for the dollar versus the low-yielders such as the yen and euro. Still, the outlook for the greenback “should not necessarily damage the risk environment....Unless U.S. 10 year yields spike aggressively, high yield EM currencies should see demand on dips”\n\nCarl Riccadonna, Bloomberg Intelligence economist:\n\nThe jobs report is “sturdy, but not as strong as it looks.” In addition to the modest fade in the pace of private-sector hiring (703,000 in July vs. 769,000 in June), much of the July gain occurred in the tenuous leisure and hospitality sector -- and that could easily reverse due to Covid-19, he said. This already appears to be evident in metrics such as OpenTable bookings. “So if we look at private-sector hiring outside of leisure and hospitality, today’s reported gain was 323,000, a bit slower than the prior month’s 375,000.\nThis tells us that underlying economic momentum is steady-state, not accelerating.”\n\nNeil Dutta, economist at Renaissance Macro:\n\nThe FOMC could upgrade its language in the September statement to say that the economy is “on track for substantial further progress,” which would lead to a declaration of achievement of substantial further progress in “November at the earliest.”  Tapering, in that event, could begin as early as December.\n\nJJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade:\n\n“It’s a great number, there’s no way around that, it really is an impressive number. But I think if we didn’t have this new delta variant coming up, the conversation we’d be having is, is this inflationary, does this mean we’ll go into a taper, etc. But because of the delta variant, until we know a little bit more about that, I think it throws a different wrench in there, where we’re like, OK, now we’re in wait-and-see mode there. Great to see that the jobs are progressing and the economy is progressing -- hopefully by the next jobs report we’ll know if the economy can keep progressing at this pace. Right now it looks like it will.”\n\nRoberto Perli, head of global policy research at Cornerstone Macro:\n\n“The Fed will have one more employment report before the September meeting. Assuming it will be good as well, a plausible base case is for the FOMC to say at the September meeting that the labor market continued to make good progress, and if the progress continues at the recent pace the committee will be in a position to start tapering its asset purchases over the next few months.  That would put the onset of tapering in late December or early January.“So bottom line I think the timeline remains the same.  It would be hard to start tapering in September because it would go against both the ‘coming meetings’ (plural) language in the July statement and the notion that the FOMC would provide ample notice before actually starting tapering.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}