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jcjfxh
jcjfxh
·
2021-06-16
我心里我是
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jcjfxh
jcjfxh
·
2021-06-16
你是谁呀
如果美联储真的缩减QE,投资者该配置哪些股票?
本周是“超级央行周”,美联储等多家央行要公布利率决议。美国5月份通胀高达5%,创出13年新高,美联储议息会议会不会宣布缩减QE?这成为市场关注焦点。 美联储可能开始讨论缩减购债 会议纪要显示,在上次会
如果美联储真的缩减QE,投资者该配置哪些股票?
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jcjfxh
jcjfxh
·
2021-06-15
I think nio is the strongest
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jcjfxh
jcjfxh
·
2021-06-15
Ex game
Back to the future: 2020s to echo roaring 20s or inflationary 70s?
LONDON, June 14 (Reuters) - The 2020s have only just begun but there is already a rush to draw paral
Back to the future: 2020s to echo roaring 20s or inflationary 70s?
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jcjfxh
jcjfxh
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2021-06-15
Ex apple
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jcjfxh
jcjfxh
·
2021-06-15
Can we do it:
Asian shares rise in early trade, investors eye Fed meeting
HONG KONG, June 15 (Reuters) - Asian shares rose early on Tuesday, tracking Wall Street higher, thou
Asian shares rise in early trade, investors eye Fed meeting
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jcjfxh
jcjfxh
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2021-06-15
Best of the best
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jcjfxh
jcjfxh
·
2021-06-15
For the vest
What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting
As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again a
What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting
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jcjfxh
jcjfxh
·
2021-06-15
Can we do ig
3 Stocks to Avoid This Week
These investments seem pretty vulnerable right now.
3 Stocks to Avoid This Week
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src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7973ab073d39d8f41a6836cd3a8c18c6\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"469\"><span>Paul Tudor Jones</span></p>\n<p>CNBC盘点了2013年5月到年底最后一次缩减QE引发市场恐慌期间,市场表现最佳的股票。至少 75%的分析师表示,可以考虑今天买入这些股票,因为他们预计这些股票未来12个月将大幅上涨。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06d0e9e5ac58908b4b65795e2ad00c27\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"889\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>虽然缩减QE会令市场失望,但利率上升通常是因为经济正在复苏。这也是为什么我们在上述股票中看到了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>等公司。随着经济逐渐走出疫情阴霾,这些公司可能再次成为今年的赢家。</p>\n<p>需要注意的是,我们只考虑了单一数据,因此,这些股票在2013年缩减恐慌期间的强劲表现可能是独有的,不可复制。尽管如此,这些股票也是今天华尔街的最爱。</p>\n<p>分析师一致预期显示,这些股票未来12个月内的平均收益率超过15%。</p>\n<p><b>是否调整短期利率,市场存在分歧</b></p>\n<p>对于美联储是否会对部分短期利率进行技术性调整,观察人士也存在分歧。</p>\n<p>作为美国银行美国短期利率策略主管,Cabana预计,由于短期贷款市场的压力不断增加,美联储将略微提高超额准备金的利率。</p>\n<p>财政刺激导致大量资金进入财政部一般账户,基本上是财政部的支票账户。由于这些资金一直在退出财政部,为各种计划买单,已经找到了进入货币市场和银行系统的途径,创造了对短期票据的巨大需求。这在隔夜借贷市场上刺激了大量异常活跃的活动,并压低了国库券的利率。</p>\n<p>Cabana表示:“在超额准备金利率和隔夜逆回购工具方面,我们认为美联储将对这些利率的设定进行适度调整,上调2或3个基点。这样做是为了确保(美联储的)零利率下限的弹性,并防止货币市场资金流出。”</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>如果美联储真的缩减QE,投资者该配置哪些股票?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n如果美联储真的缩减QE,投资者该配置哪些股票?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-16 11:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>本周是“超级央行周”,美联储等多家央行要公布利率决议。美国5月份通胀高达5%,创出13年新高,美联储议息会议会不会宣布缩减QE?这成为市场关注焦点。</p>\n<p><b>美联储可能开始讨论缩减购债</b></p>\n<p>会议纪要显示,在上次会议上,一些美联储官员指出,如果美国经济继续取得进展,开始讨论调整债券购买步伐的计划可能是合适的。</p>\n<p><b>北京时间6月17日02:00,美联储将公布利率决议。市场预计美联储这次不会采取任何政策举措,但可能会向市场发出信号,表明正在考虑改变购债政策。</b> 美联储随后还会发布新的预测,可能会在2023年首次加息。 分析师预计有关缩减购债计划的细节不会太多,但预计有人会提及该计划,而美联储更可能在夏季晚些时候进行更明确的讨论。</p>\n<p>据CNBC报道,有分析师预计,美联储有可能引发新的“缩减恐慌”。对此,CNBC研究了2013年利率飙升期间大放异彩的股票,CNBC认为,若利率再次飙升,这些股票有望复制2013年的走势。</p>\n<p>2013年,美联储表示,将通过放慢购买国债的步伐来逐步减少大衰退时期的经济刺激措施。随后来的投资者恐慌导致债券抛售和国债收益率飙升。</p>\n<p>亿万富翁对冲基金经理保罗·都铎·琼斯(Paul Tudor Jones)周一对 CNBC表示,如果美联储本周发出信号,随着CPI上涨,计划开始放缓资产购买,琼斯预计市场将再次出现缩减恐慌。</p>\n<p>琼斯称,投资者将会抛售固收类产品,股票也会得到修正。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7973ab073d39d8f41a6836cd3a8c18c6\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"469\"><span>Paul Tudor Jones</span></p>\n<p>CNBC盘点了2013年5月到年底最后一次缩减QE引发市场恐慌期间,市场表现最佳的股票。至少 75%的分析师表示,可以考虑今天买入这些股票,因为他们预计这些股票未来12个月将大幅上涨。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06d0e9e5ac58908b4b65795e2ad00c27\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"889\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>虽然缩减QE会令市场失望,但利率上升通常是因为经济正在复苏。这也是为什么我们在上述股票中看到了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>等公司。随着经济逐渐走出疫情阴霾,这些公司可能再次成为今年的赢家。</p>\n<p>需要注意的是,我们只考虑了单一数据,因此,这些股票在2013年缩减恐慌期间的强劲表现可能是独有的,不可复制。尽管如此,这些股票也是今天华尔街的最爱。</p>\n<p>分析师一致预期显示,这些股票未来12个月内的平均收益率超过15%。</p>\n<p><b>是否调整短期利率,市场存在分歧</b></p>\n<p>对于美联储是否会对部分短期利率进行技术性调整,观察人士也存在分歧。</p>\n<p>作为美国银行美国短期利率策略主管,Cabana预计,由于短期贷款市场的压力不断增加,美联储将略微提高超额准备金的利率。</p>\n<p>财政刺激导致大量资金进入财政部一般账户,基本上是财政部的支票账户。由于这些资金一直在退出财政部,为各种计划买单,已经找到了进入货币市场和银行系统的途径,创造了对短期票据的巨大需求。这在隔夜借贷市场上刺激了大量异常活跃的活动,并压低了国库券的利率。</p>\n<p>Cabana表示:“在超额准备金利率和隔夜逆回购工具方面,我们认为美联储将对这些利率的设定进行适度调整,上调2或3个基点。这样做是为了确保(美联储的)零利率下限的弹性,并防止货币市场资金流出。”</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b366582fef27ac8db7ca3296d50b015","relate_stocks":{"TFX":"泰利福","NOW":"ServiceNow","FANG":"Diamondback Energy","AMZN":"亚马逊",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","CI":"信诺保险","GM":"通用汽车","SPY":"标普500ETF","NKE":"耐克","ALK":"阿拉斯加航空集团有限公司","DHR":"丹纳赫",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AIZ":"安信龙保险","MU":"美光科技",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152483519","content_text":"本周是“超级央行周”,美联储等多家央行要公布利率决议。美国5月份通胀高达5%,创出13年新高,美联储议息会议会不会宣布缩减QE?这成为市场关注焦点。\n美联储可能开始讨论缩减购债\n会议纪要显示,在上次会议上,一些美联储官员指出,如果美国经济继续取得进展,开始讨论调整债券购买步伐的计划可能是合适的。\n北京时间6月17日02:00,美联储将公布利率决议。市场预计美联储这次不会采取任何政策举措,但可能会向市场发出信号,表明正在考虑改变购债政策。 美联储随后还会发布新的预测,可能会在2023年首次加息。 分析师预计有关缩减购债计划的细节不会太多,但预计有人会提及该计划,而美联储更可能在夏季晚些时候进行更明确的讨论。\n据CNBC报道,有分析师预计,美联储有可能引发新的“缩减恐慌”。对此,CNBC研究了2013年利率飙升期间大放异彩的股票,CNBC认为,若利率再次飙升,这些股票有望复制2013年的走势。\n2013年,美联储表示,将通过放慢购买国债的步伐来逐步减少大衰退时期的经济刺激措施。随后来的投资者恐慌导致债券抛售和国债收益率飙升。\n亿万富翁对冲基金经理保罗·都铎·琼斯(Paul Tudor Jones)周一对 CNBC表示,如果美联储本周发出信号,随着CPI上涨,计划开始放缓资产购买,琼斯预计市场将再次出现缩减恐慌。\n琼斯称,投资者将会抛售固收类产品,股票也会得到修正。\nPaul Tudor Jones\nCNBC盘点了2013年5月到年底最后一次缩减QE引发市场恐慌期间,市场表现最佳的股票。至少 75%的分析师表示,可以考虑今天买入这些股票,因为他们预计这些股票未来12个月将大幅上涨。\n\n虽然缩减QE会令市场失望,但利率上升通常是因为经济正在复苏。这也是为什么我们在上述股票中看到了通用汽车、耐克等公司。随着经济逐渐走出疫情阴霾,这些公司可能再次成为今年的赢家。\n需要注意的是,我们只考虑了单一数据,因此,这些股票在2013年缩减恐慌期间的强劲表现可能是独有的,不可复制。尽管如此,这些股票也是今天华尔街的最爱。\n分析师一致预期显示,这些股票未来12个月内的平均收益率超过15%。\n是否调整短期利率,市场存在分歧\n对于美联储是否会对部分短期利率进行技术性调整,观察人士也存在分歧。\n作为美国银行美国短期利率策略主管,Cabana预计,由于短期贷款市场的压力不断增加,美联储将略微提高超额准备金的利率。\n财政刺激导致大量资金进入财政部一般账户,基本上是财政部的支票账户。由于这些资金一直在退出财政部,为各种计划买单,已经找到了进入货币市场和银行系统的途径,创造了对短期票据的巨大需求。这在隔夜借贷市场上刺激了大量异常活跃的活动,并压低了国库券的利率。\nCabana表示:“在超额准备金利率和隔夜逆回购工具方面,我们认为美联储将对这些利率的设定进行适度调整,上调2或3个基点。这样做是为了确保(美联储的)零利率下限的弹性,并防止货币市场资金流出。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"AIZ":0.9,"ALK":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"CI":0.9,"DHR":0.9,"FANG":0.9,"GM":0.9,"MU":0.9,"NKE":0.9,"NOW":0.9,"RE":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"TFX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":187907589,"gmtCreate":1623733199741,"gmtModify":1634029380692,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I think nio is the strongest","listText":"I think nio is the strongest","text":"I think nio is the strongest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187907589","repostId":"1140305126","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1023,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187907974,"gmtCreate":1623733176898,"gmtModify":1634029381281,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ex game","listText":"Ex game","text":"Ex game","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187907974","repostId":"2143898782","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143898782","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1623721807,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2143898782?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 09:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Back to the future: 2020s to echo roaring 20s or inflationary 70s?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143898782","media":"Reuters","summary":"LONDON, June 14 (Reuters) - The 2020s have only just begun but there is already a rush to draw paral","content":"<p>LONDON, June 14 (Reuters) - The 2020s have only just begun but there is already a rush to draw parallels with the past, prompted by a belief that COVID-19 will mark a turning point for the world economy and financial markets.</p>\n<p>For some, a post-pandemic economic boom accompanied with optimism about the future echoes the 1920s. Others reckon this decade is beginning to feel like the 1970s, as dormant inflation awakens.</p>\n<p>Whatever path the decade takes will of course matter for the trajectory of stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities.</p>\n<p>\"Changes, shifts and dynamics of narratives matter in the formation of long-term expectations and ultimately (market)prices,\" said Amundi CIO Pascal Blanque.</p>\n<p>Here's a look at which decade the 2020s could resemble.</p>\n<p><b>1. 1920s</b></p>\n<p>In the 1920s, technological and scientific advances led to mass production of goods and the electrification of America, alongside booming stock markets and wealth.</p>\n<p>Fast forward to the 2020s and the global economy is expected to grow 6% this year, a rate not seen since the 1970s. Stocks are near record highs, and tech valuations at their highest since the late 1990s dotcom peak. COVID-19 appears to be a catalyst for technological change, spurring digital adoption.</p>\n<p>No wonder parallels are drawn with the \"Roaring Twenties\".</p>\n<p>The 1920s ended with a stock market slump and economic depression, but economists believe policymakers have heeded lessons from the past and are unlikely to turn off the money taps too fast.</p>\n<p>\"A lot will come down to the extent to which monetary and fiscal stimulus translates into real productivity and improvement in structural growth rates,\" said Kiran Ganesh, head of multi asset, UBS Global Wealth Management.</p>\n<p>\"Then we are in a roaring 20s scenario, but if the investment ends up wasted we are going back to the 2010s ...when it proved very hard to generate growth.\"</p>\n<p><b>2. 1930s</b></p>\n<p>The chances that the 2020s revisit the 1930s -- when households struggled to recover from a downturn, birth rates fell and inequality fuelled populism -- is a possibility but is not considered the most likely.</p>\n<p>Figures quoted by Oxfam show the world's billionaires became $3.9 trillion richer between March and December 2020 even as economies shrank and tens of millions of workers lost jobs.</p>\n<p>There are signs governments are trying to narrow yawning disparities.</p>\n<p>The world's richest economies back a minimum global corporate tax rate of at least 15%. A $1.8 trillion American Families Plan is expected to lift more than 5 million children out of poverty.</p>\n<p>But birth rates are low. The U.S. fertility rate fell and remained below 2.5 in the 1930s. Today, that rate is at record lows around 1.6, below the roughly 2.1 replacement level.</p>\n<p>China had a fertility rate of 1.3 children per woman in 2020, on par with ageing societies Japan and Italy. A COVID-led baby bust could further pressure public finances.</p>\n<p><b>3. 1970s</b></p>\n<p>If inflation returns after a long absence, surely the 1970s -- when oil prices soared and U.S. inflation hit double digits -- is a better fit?</p>\n<p>Fans of this scenario argue that hefty fiscal stimulus will give inflation in major economies a long-needed boost. BofA estimates, for example, that the U.S. government will spend $879 million every hour in 2021.</p>\n<p>Low wage pressure from Asia is also receding as ageing populations squeeze the supply of workers, boosting wages in developed economies.</p>\n<p>Bond investors need to be wary if inflation roars back, as do central banks which have not experienced inflationary pressures for decades.</p>\n<p>\"Many people think we are in the 1930s but I think we will wake up somewhere in the 70s,\" said Amundi's Blanque.</p>\n<p><b>4. 1980s or even 2010s</b></p>\n<p>Many economists agree the 2020s will mark a break with the \"small government\" 1980s as public spending increases are sustained to aid the post-virus recovery.</p>\n<p>They also think a rerun of the last decade, the 2010s, is unlikely, as governments ditch austerity and embrace a bigger role for the state in the economy.</p>\n<p>This all suggests a departure from the 1980s-style neo-liberal policies pursued by Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher, an ideology that has dominated market thinking ever since and shaped the decade after the 2008-2009 financial crisis.</p>\n<p>Agreement on a minimum global tax rate is evidence of a possible shift, although it is still early days.</p>\n<p>UniCredit chief economist Erik Nielsen said greater state involvement in the economy, whether via direct ownership, regulation or taxation, was a risk to growth but the details of any intervention mattered.</p>\n<p>\"One thing is clear, however: It'll lead to massive changes in relative growth between sectors and hence in investment opportunities,\" he said.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBack to the future: 2020s to echo roaring 20s or inflationary 70s?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-15 09:50</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>LONDON, June 14 (Reuters) - The 2020s have only just begun but there is already a rush to draw parallels with the past, prompted by a belief that COVID-19 will mark a turning point for the world economy and financial markets.</p>\n<p>For some, a post-pandemic economic boom accompanied with optimism about the future echoes the 1920s. Others reckon this decade is beginning to feel like the 1970s, as dormant inflation awakens.</p>\n<p>Whatever path the decade takes will of course matter for the trajectory of stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities.</p>\n<p>\"Changes, shifts and dynamics of narratives matter in the formation of long-term expectations and ultimately (market)prices,\" said Amundi CIO Pascal Blanque.</p>\n<p>Here's a look at which decade the 2020s could resemble.</p>\n<p><b>1. 1920s</b></p>\n<p>In the 1920s, technological and scientific advances led to mass production of goods and the electrification of America, alongside booming stock markets and wealth.</p>\n<p>Fast forward to the 2020s and the global economy is expected to grow 6% this year, a rate not seen since the 1970s. Stocks are near record highs, and tech valuations at their highest since the late 1990s dotcom peak. COVID-19 appears to be a catalyst for technological change, spurring digital adoption.</p>\n<p>No wonder parallels are drawn with the \"Roaring Twenties\".</p>\n<p>The 1920s ended with a stock market slump and economic depression, but economists believe policymakers have heeded lessons from the past and are unlikely to turn off the money taps too fast.</p>\n<p>\"A lot will come down to the extent to which monetary and fiscal stimulus translates into real productivity and improvement in structural growth rates,\" said Kiran Ganesh, head of multi asset, UBS Global Wealth Management.</p>\n<p>\"Then we are in a roaring 20s scenario, but if the investment ends up wasted we are going back to the 2010s ...when it proved very hard to generate growth.\"</p>\n<p><b>2. 1930s</b></p>\n<p>The chances that the 2020s revisit the 1930s -- when households struggled to recover from a downturn, birth rates fell and inequality fuelled populism -- is a possibility but is not considered the most likely.</p>\n<p>Figures quoted by Oxfam show the world's billionaires became $3.9 trillion richer between March and December 2020 even as economies shrank and tens of millions of workers lost jobs.</p>\n<p>There are signs governments are trying to narrow yawning disparities.</p>\n<p>The world's richest economies back a minimum global corporate tax rate of at least 15%. A $1.8 trillion American Families Plan is expected to lift more than 5 million children out of poverty.</p>\n<p>But birth rates are low. The U.S. fertility rate fell and remained below 2.5 in the 1930s. Today, that rate is at record lows around 1.6, below the roughly 2.1 replacement level.</p>\n<p>China had a fertility rate of 1.3 children per woman in 2020, on par with ageing societies Japan and Italy. A COVID-led baby bust could further pressure public finances.</p>\n<p><b>3. 1970s</b></p>\n<p>If inflation returns after a long absence, surely the 1970s -- when oil prices soared and U.S. inflation hit double digits -- is a better fit?</p>\n<p>Fans of this scenario argue that hefty fiscal stimulus will give inflation in major economies a long-needed boost. BofA estimates, for example, that the U.S. government will spend $879 million every hour in 2021.</p>\n<p>Low wage pressure from Asia is also receding as ageing populations squeeze the supply of workers, boosting wages in developed economies.</p>\n<p>Bond investors need to be wary if inflation roars back, as do central banks which have not experienced inflationary pressures for decades.</p>\n<p>\"Many people think we are in the 1930s but I think we will wake up somewhere in the 70s,\" said Amundi's Blanque.</p>\n<p><b>4. 1980s or even 2010s</b></p>\n<p>Many economists agree the 2020s will mark a break with the \"small government\" 1980s as public spending increases are sustained to aid the post-virus recovery.</p>\n<p>They also think a rerun of the last decade, the 2010s, is unlikely, as governments ditch austerity and embrace a bigger role for the state in the economy.</p>\n<p>This all suggests a departure from the 1980s-style neo-liberal policies pursued by Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher, an ideology that has dominated market thinking ever since and shaped the decade after the 2008-2009 financial crisis.</p>\n<p>Agreement on a minimum global tax rate is evidence of a possible shift, although it is still early days.</p>\n<p>UniCredit chief economist Erik Nielsen said greater state involvement in the economy, whether via direct ownership, regulation or taxation, was a risk to growth but the details of any intervention mattered.</p>\n<p>\"One thing is clear, however: It'll lead to massive changes in relative growth between sectors and hence in investment opportunities,\" he said.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143898782","content_text":"LONDON, June 14 (Reuters) - The 2020s have only just begun but there is already a rush to draw parallels with the past, prompted by a belief that COVID-19 will mark a turning point for the world economy and financial markets.\nFor some, a post-pandemic economic boom accompanied with optimism about the future echoes the 1920s. Others reckon this decade is beginning to feel like the 1970s, as dormant inflation awakens.\nWhatever path the decade takes will of course matter for the trajectory of stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities.\n\"Changes, shifts and dynamics of narratives matter in the formation of long-term expectations and ultimately (market)prices,\" said Amundi CIO Pascal Blanque.\nHere's a look at which decade the 2020s could resemble.\n1. 1920s\nIn the 1920s, technological and scientific advances led to mass production of goods and the electrification of America, alongside booming stock markets and wealth.\nFast forward to the 2020s and the global economy is expected to grow 6% this year, a rate not seen since the 1970s. Stocks are near record highs, and tech valuations at their highest since the late 1990s dotcom peak. COVID-19 appears to be a catalyst for technological change, spurring digital adoption.\nNo wonder parallels are drawn with the \"Roaring Twenties\".\nThe 1920s ended with a stock market slump and economic depression, but economists believe policymakers have heeded lessons from the past and are unlikely to turn off the money taps too fast.\n\"A lot will come down to the extent to which monetary and fiscal stimulus translates into real productivity and improvement in structural growth rates,\" said Kiran Ganesh, head of multi asset, UBS Global Wealth Management.\n\"Then we are in a roaring 20s scenario, but if the investment ends up wasted we are going back to the 2010s ...when it proved very hard to generate growth.\"\n2. 1930s\nThe chances that the 2020s revisit the 1930s -- when households struggled to recover from a downturn, birth rates fell and inequality fuelled populism -- is a possibility but is not considered the most likely.\nFigures quoted by Oxfam show the world's billionaires became $3.9 trillion richer between March and December 2020 even as economies shrank and tens of millions of workers lost jobs.\nThere are signs governments are trying to narrow yawning disparities.\nThe world's richest economies back a minimum global corporate tax rate of at least 15%. A $1.8 trillion American Families Plan is expected to lift more than 5 million children out of poverty.\nBut birth rates are low. The U.S. fertility rate fell and remained below 2.5 in the 1930s. Today, that rate is at record lows around 1.6, below the roughly 2.1 replacement level.\nChina had a fertility rate of 1.3 children per woman in 2020, on par with ageing societies Japan and Italy. A COVID-led baby bust could further pressure public finances.\n3. 1970s\nIf inflation returns after a long absence, surely the 1970s -- when oil prices soared and U.S. inflation hit double digits -- is a better fit?\nFans of this scenario argue that hefty fiscal stimulus will give inflation in major economies a long-needed boost. BofA estimates, for example, that the U.S. government will spend $879 million every hour in 2021.\nLow wage pressure from Asia is also receding as ageing populations squeeze the supply of workers, boosting wages in developed economies.\nBond investors need to be wary if inflation roars back, as do central banks which have not experienced inflationary pressures for decades.\n\"Many people think we are in the 1930s but I think we will wake up somewhere in the 70s,\" said Amundi's Blanque.\n4. 1980s or even 2010s\nMany economists agree the 2020s will mark a break with the \"small government\" 1980s as public spending increases are sustained to aid the post-virus recovery.\nThey also think a rerun of the last decade, the 2010s, is unlikely, as governments ditch austerity and embrace a bigger role for the state in the economy.\nThis all suggests a departure from the 1980s-style neo-liberal policies pursued by Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher, an ideology that has dominated market thinking ever since and shaped the decade after the 2008-2009 financial crisis.\nAgreement on a minimum global tax rate is evidence of a possible shift, although it is still early days.\nUniCredit chief economist Erik Nielsen said greater state involvement in the economy, whether via direct ownership, regulation or taxation, was a risk to growth but the details of any intervention mattered.\n\"One thing is clear, however: It'll lead to massive changes in relative growth between sectors and hence in investment opportunities,\" he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187904321,"gmtCreate":1623733156863,"gmtModify":1634029382113,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ex apple","listText":"Ex apple","text":"Ex apple","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187904321","repostId":"1167720481","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187905103,"gmtCreate":1623733133302,"gmtModify":1634029383168,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can we do it:","listText":"Can we do it:","text":"Can we do it:","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187905103","repostId":"2143314917","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143314917","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1623723786,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2143314917?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 10:23","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Asian shares rise in early trade, investors eye Fed meeting","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143314917","media":"Reuters","summary":"HONG KONG, June 15 (Reuters) - Asian shares rose early on Tuesday, tracking Wall Street higher, thou","content":"<p>HONG KONG, June 15 (Reuters) - Asian shares rose early on Tuesday, tracking Wall Street higher, though investors looked to a much-anticipated Federal Reserve policy meeting to see if the central bank would signal any change to the U.S. monetary policy outlook.</p>\n<p>Japan's Nikkei rose 0.89% in early trading and MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.23%.</p>\n<p>An early driver was Australian shares, which rose 1.03%, though Chinese blue chips dropped 0.16% and Hong Kong fell 0.21%. All three resumed trading after being shut on Monday for a public holiday.</p>\n<p>Overnight the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs, helped by tech names, though the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.25%.</p>\n<p>U.S. stock futures, the S&P 500 e-minis, were also up 0.11%.</p>\n<p>\"We are still getting markets responding positively to the lower volatility in the bond markets and lower yields, and a sense that inflation will be reasonably temporary and the Fed won't have to slam the breaks on,\" said Kyle Rodda, market analyst at brokerage IG.</p>\n<p>\"I suspect in the next 24-48 hours we'll see a lot of chop, first on the upside, then a little correction as the market positions itself, and then we're off to the races if we get the green light from the Fed Thursday morning,\" said Rodda.</p>\n<p>Traders will look closely at any hints from the meeting's final statement about whether and when the Fed plans to taper its bond buying programme, amid concerns from some quarters about inflation as the U.S. economy bounces back from the pandemic fallout. The two-day meeting starts on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Nearly 60% of economists in a Reuters poll expect a taper announcement will come in the next quarter, despite a patchy recovery in the job market.</p>\n<p>\"Whilst no immediate changes in monetary policy are anticipated, an increase in the share of FOMC members who think rates will need to increase in 2023 is expected,\" analysts at ANZ wrote in a note to clients.</p>\n<p>\"If three more members pencil in rate rises for 2023, that would tip the majority in favour of moving rates relatively soon,\" they said</p>\n<p>Currency markets were quiet ahead of the meeting, with the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, broadly flat at 90.502 in early Asia trading.</p>\n<p>Benchmark 10-year yields were 1.4872%, little changed from Monday, when they rebounded from Friday's three-month low.</p>\n<p>As for commodities, U.S. crude ticked up 0.55% to $71.27 a barrel, and Brent crude was at $73.24 per barrel, having touched on Monday $73.64 a barrel, its highest since April 2019.</p>\n<p>Spot gold was down slightly at $1862.21 per ounce.</p>\n<p>Even bitcoin was fairly quiet, fluctuating a little above $40 000. It rose on Sunday and Monday after Elon Musk said Tesla could resume accepting payment in the world's largest cryptocurrency at some point in the future.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Asian shares rise in early trade, investors eye Fed meeting</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAsian shares rise in early trade, investors eye Fed meeting\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-15 10:23</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>HONG KONG, June 15 (Reuters) - Asian shares rose early on Tuesday, tracking Wall Street higher, though investors looked to a much-anticipated Federal Reserve policy meeting to see if the central bank would signal any change to the U.S. monetary policy outlook.</p>\n<p>Japan's Nikkei rose 0.89% in early trading and MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.23%.</p>\n<p>An early driver was Australian shares, which rose 1.03%, though Chinese blue chips dropped 0.16% and Hong Kong fell 0.21%. All three resumed trading after being shut on Monday for a public holiday.</p>\n<p>Overnight the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs, helped by tech names, though the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.25%.</p>\n<p>U.S. stock futures, the S&P 500 e-minis, were also up 0.11%.</p>\n<p>\"We are still getting markets responding positively to the lower volatility in the bond markets and lower yields, and a sense that inflation will be reasonably temporary and the Fed won't have to slam the breaks on,\" said Kyle Rodda, market analyst at brokerage IG.</p>\n<p>\"I suspect in the next 24-48 hours we'll see a lot of chop, first on the upside, then a little correction as the market positions itself, and then we're off to the races if we get the green light from the Fed Thursday morning,\" said Rodda.</p>\n<p>Traders will look closely at any hints from the meeting's final statement about whether and when the Fed plans to taper its bond buying programme, amid concerns from some quarters about inflation as the U.S. economy bounces back from the pandemic fallout. The two-day meeting starts on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>Nearly 60% of economists in a Reuters poll expect a taper announcement will come in the next quarter, despite a patchy recovery in the job market.</p>\n<p>\"Whilst no immediate changes in monetary policy are anticipated, an increase in the share of FOMC members who think rates will need to increase in 2023 is expected,\" analysts at ANZ wrote in a note to clients.</p>\n<p>\"If three more members pencil in rate rises for 2023, that would tip the majority in favour of moving rates relatively soon,\" they said</p>\n<p>Currency markets were quiet ahead of the meeting, with the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, broadly flat at 90.502 in early Asia trading.</p>\n<p>Benchmark 10-year yields were 1.4872%, little changed from Monday, when they rebounded from Friday's three-month low.</p>\n<p>As for commodities, U.S. crude ticked up 0.55% to $71.27 a barrel, and Brent crude was at $73.24 per barrel, having touched on Monday $73.64 a barrel, its highest since April 2019.</p>\n<p>Spot gold was down slightly at $1862.21 per ounce.</p>\n<p>Even bitcoin was fairly quiet, fluctuating a little above $40 000. It rose on Sunday and Monday after Elon Musk said Tesla could resume accepting payment in the world's largest cryptocurrency at some point in the future.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143314917","content_text":"HONG KONG, June 15 (Reuters) - Asian shares rose early on Tuesday, tracking Wall Street higher, though investors looked to a much-anticipated Federal Reserve policy meeting to see if the central bank would signal any change to the U.S. monetary policy outlook.\nJapan's Nikkei rose 0.89% in early trading and MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.23%.\nAn early driver was Australian shares, which rose 1.03%, though Chinese blue chips dropped 0.16% and Hong Kong fell 0.21%. All three resumed trading after being shut on Monday for a public holiday.\nOvernight the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs, helped by tech names, though the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.25%.\nU.S. stock futures, the S&P 500 e-minis, were also up 0.11%.\n\"We are still getting markets responding positively to the lower volatility in the bond markets and lower yields, and a sense that inflation will be reasonably temporary and the Fed won't have to slam the breaks on,\" said Kyle Rodda, market analyst at brokerage IG.\n\"I suspect in the next 24-48 hours we'll see a lot of chop, first on the upside, then a little correction as the market positions itself, and then we're off to the races if we get the green light from the Fed Thursday morning,\" said Rodda.\nTraders will look closely at any hints from the meeting's final statement about whether and when the Fed plans to taper its bond buying programme, amid concerns from some quarters about inflation as the U.S. economy bounces back from the pandemic fallout. The two-day meeting starts on Tuesday.\nNearly 60% of economists in a Reuters poll expect a taper announcement will come in the next quarter, despite a patchy recovery in the job market.\n\"Whilst no immediate changes in monetary policy are anticipated, an increase in the share of FOMC members who think rates will need to increase in 2023 is expected,\" analysts at ANZ wrote in a note to clients.\n\"If three more members pencil in rate rises for 2023, that would tip the majority in favour of moving rates relatively soon,\" they said\nCurrency markets were quiet ahead of the meeting, with the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, broadly flat at 90.502 in early Asia trading.\nBenchmark 10-year yields were 1.4872%, little changed from Monday, when they rebounded from Friday's three-month low.\nAs for commodities, U.S. crude ticked up 0.55% to $71.27 a barrel, and Brent crude was at $73.24 per barrel, having touched on Monday $73.64 a barrel, its highest since April 2019.\nSpot gold was down slightly at $1862.21 per ounce.\nEven bitcoin was fairly quiet, fluctuating a little above $40 000. It rose on Sunday and Monday after Elon Musk said Tesla could resume accepting payment in the world's largest cryptocurrency at some point in the future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.9,"518880":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"DDG":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"DUG":0.9,"DUST":0.9,"DWT":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"EUO":0.9,"BZmain":0.9,"CLmain":0.9,"EURmain":0.9,"GBPmain":0.9,"GCmain":0.9,"JPYmain":0.9,"MEURmain":0.9,"MGBPmain":0.9,"MGCmain":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"QMmain":0.9,"SGCmain":0.9,"SGUmain":0.9,"FXB":0.9,"FXE":0.9,"FXY":0.9,"GDX":0.9,"GLD":0.9,"IAU":0.9,"NUGT":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"QID":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SCO":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"UCO":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"USO":0.9,"YCS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187908742,"gmtCreate":1623733033086,"gmtModify":1631883954460,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Best of the best","listText":"Best of the best","text":"Best of the best","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187908742","repostId":"2143733619","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1058,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187900398,"gmtCreate":1623732749614,"gmtModify":1634029390036,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"For the vest","listText":"For the vest","text":"For the vest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187900398","repostId":"1138219989","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138219989","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623650085,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138219989?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 13:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138219989","media":"Barrons","summary":"As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again a","content":"<p>As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.</p>\n<p>We all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).</p>\n<p>We’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted on the Fed’s website at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.</p>\n<p>The “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.</p>\n<p>The markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for Natixis.</p>\n<p>Long before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.</p>\n<p>The key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.</p>\n<p>But the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed a record 9.3 million unfilled openings in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.</p>\n<p>Anecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.</p>\n<p>Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.</p>\n<p>At that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-14 13:54 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138219989","content_text":"As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.\nWe all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).\nWe’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted on the Fed’s website at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.\nThe “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.\nThe markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for Natixis.\nLong before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.\nThe key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.\nBut the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed a record 9.3 million unfilled openings in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.\nAnecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.\nJefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.\nAt that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1018,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187074709,"gmtCreate":1623732706301,"gmtModify":1634029390871,"author":{"id":"3586078798795720","authorId":"3586078798795720","name":"jcjfxh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586078798795720","authorIdStr":"3586078798795720"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can we do ig","listText":"Can we do ig","text":"Can we do ig","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187074709","repostId":"2143178756","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143178756","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1623719401,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2143178756?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 09:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Avoid This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143178756","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These investments seem pretty vulnerable right now.","content":"<p>In last week's article on three stocks to avoid, I predicted that <b>GameStop</b> (NYSE:GME), <b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b> (NYSE:AMC), and <b>Carnival</b> (NYSE:CCL) would have a rough few days.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>GameStop lived up to my prediction on tumbling the day after reporting quarterly results, something that has now happened in 10 of the past 11 reports. The video game retailer plummeted 27% on Thursday, but it moved nicely higher the other four days of the week -- trimming its weeklong decline to just 6%.</li>\n <li>AMC closed out the week with a 3% gain, following the 83% burst higher the week before. The multiplex operator is benefiting from a surge in box office receipts, but they continue to track at less than half of where the industry was two years ago.</li>\n <li>Finally we have Carnival sinking 2% for the week. Cruise stocks have been buoyant ahead of a return to sailing this month, but we're already seeing COVID-19 cases pop up in the limited number of voyages taking place so far.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Those three stocks averaged a 1.7% decline for the week. The <b>S&P 500</b> rose by 0.4% in that time, so I won. Right now, I see <b>Royal Caribbean</b> (NYSE:RCL), AMC Entertainment Holdings, and <b>Osprey Bitcoin Trust</b> (OTC:OBTC) as vulnerable investments in the near term. Here's why I think these are three stocks to avoid this week.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/844fa22418b0d6398103c6917b0d7eb3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"459\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>1. Royal Caribbean</h2>\n<p>This was supposed to be the summer that the cruise industry finally roars back into being, but we're already seeing some choppy waters. Royal Caribbean's <i>Celebrity Millennium</i> became the first major cruise ship available to North American seafarers earlier this month since the industry shut down last March. A few days into the maiden voyage, a pair of passengers contracted the COVID-19 virus.</p>\n<p>There's also an operational standoff in Royal Caribbean's home state of Florida, where the governor is threatening to fine cruise lines for requiring vaccinations of its passengers. It's a Catch-22 for the industry, as the CDC requires at least 95% of a ship's passengers to be fully vaccinated to resume sailings without having to go through a series of costly test cruises.</p>\n<p>Royal Caribbean is my favorite of the three cruise lines as an investment, but it's also held up the best during the lull. With the reopening off to a bumpy start it also makes the stock vulnerable here.</p>\n<h2><b>2. AMC Entertainment</b></h2>\n<p>I'm a fan of a lot that AMC Entertainment has done to get bet better at a time when many of its smaller rivals have been merely walking in place. The country's largest multiplex operator has upped its seat reservations and mobile order tech and carved out a new revenue stream with actively promoted private rentals. The new Investor Connect program is sheer genius, monetizing its newborn attention as a meme stock with millions of retail investors by trying to convert them into customers.</p>\n<p>However, after ballooning its share count north of 500 million -- and the stock still moving higher -- there will eventually be a price to be paid in terms of valuation. AMC Entertainment enters this week with an enterprise value above $35 billion, and sooner or later someone is going to have to pay the tab at the end of the party.</p>\n<p>AMC is doing the right things to stay on top of a declining industry, but it's not enough to justify today's sticker price. This has historically been a low-margin business -- in the low single digits for net margin most years -- despite the markup on concessions. You'll see a year-over-year bounce this year, but we may never return to 2019 as a baseline. Theatrical release windows are being shattered by streaming initiatives. AMC has bloated its debt levels and share count to stay alive, but all of this comes at a price that right now seems too dear to pay.</p>\n<h2>3. Osprey Bitcoin Trust</h2>\n<p>I believe in keeping a small percent of your risk-tolerant portfolio in crypto, but not every vehicle is in the same boat. Osprey Bitcoin Trust offers investors a low-cost way to play the popularity of <b>Bitcoin</b> (CRYPTO:BTC) in a stock exchange-listed vehicle.</p>\n<p>Osprey Bitcoin Trust is a lot smaller than the market's original Bitcoin-owning trust, and it's also trading at an unsustainable premium. Osprey's mark-up to its stake of Bitcoin tokens has been contracting since hitting the market earlier this year, and I was starting to get interested when the premium narrowed to 12% a week ago.</p>\n<p>The mark-up is going the wrong way again. Osprey Bitcoin Trust owns what is currently $12.68 in Bitcoin, but it closed last week at $14.95. Is an 18% premium worth it when the much larger -- but admittedly more high-cost -- <b>Grayscale Bitcoin Trust</b> (OTC:GBTC) is fetching an 11% discount to its net asset value?</p>\n<p>If you're looking for safe stocks, you aren't likely to find them in Royal Caribbean, AMC Entertainment, and Osprey Bitcoin Trust this week.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Avoid This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Avoid This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 09:10 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/14/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In last week's article on three stocks to avoid, I predicted that GameStop (NYSE:GME), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC), and Carnival (NYSE:CCL) would have a rough few days.\n\nGameStop lived up to...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/14/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/14/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143178756","content_text":"In last week's article on three stocks to avoid, I predicted that GameStop (NYSE:GME), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC), and Carnival (NYSE:CCL) would have a rough few days.\n\nGameStop lived up to my prediction on tumbling the day after reporting quarterly results, something that has now happened in 10 of the past 11 reports. The video game retailer plummeted 27% on Thursday, but it moved nicely higher the other four days of the week -- trimming its weeklong decline to just 6%.\nAMC closed out the week with a 3% gain, following the 83% burst higher the week before. The multiplex operator is benefiting from a surge in box office receipts, but they continue to track at less than half of where the industry was two years ago.\nFinally we have Carnival sinking 2% for the week. Cruise stocks have been buoyant ahead of a return to sailing this month, but we're already seeing COVID-19 cases pop up in the limited number of voyages taking place so far.\n\nThose three stocks averaged a 1.7% decline for the week. The S&P 500 rose by 0.4% in that time, so I won. Right now, I see Royal Caribbean (NYSE:RCL), AMC Entertainment Holdings, and Osprey Bitcoin Trust (OTC:OBTC) as vulnerable investments in the near term. Here's why I think these are three stocks to avoid this week.\nImage source: Getty Images.\n1. Royal Caribbean\nThis was supposed to be the summer that the cruise industry finally roars back into being, but we're already seeing some choppy waters. Royal Caribbean's Celebrity Millennium became the first major cruise ship available to North American seafarers earlier this month since the industry shut down last March. A few days into the maiden voyage, a pair of passengers contracted the COVID-19 virus.\nThere's also an operational standoff in Royal Caribbean's home state of Florida, where the governor is threatening to fine cruise lines for requiring vaccinations of its passengers. It's a Catch-22 for the industry, as the CDC requires at least 95% of a ship's passengers to be fully vaccinated to resume sailings without having to go through a series of costly test cruises.\nRoyal Caribbean is my favorite of the three cruise lines as an investment, but it's also held up the best during the lull. With the reopening off to a bumpy start it also makes the stock vulnerable here.\n2. AMC Entertainment\nI'm a fan of a lot that AMC Entertainment has done to get bet better at a time when many of its smaller rivals have been merely walking in place. The country's largest multiplex operator has upped its seat reservations and mobile order tech and carved out a new revenue stream with actively promoted private rentals. The new Investor Connect program is sheer genius, monetizing its newborn attention as a meme stock with millions of retail investors by trying to convert them into customers.\nHowever, after ballooning its share count north of 500 million -- and the stock still moving higher -- there will eventually be a price to be paid in terms of valuation. AMC Entertainment enters this week with an enterprise value above $35 billion, and sooner or later someone is going to have to pay the tab at the end of the party.\nAMC is doing the right things to stay on top of a declining industry, but it's not enough to justify today's sticker price. This has historically been a low-margin business -- in the low single digits for net margin most years -- despite the markup on concessions. You'll see a year-over-year bounce this year, but we may never return to 2019 as a baseline. Theatrical release windows are being shattered by streaming initiatives. AMC has bloated its debt levels and share count to stay alive, but all of this comes at a price that right now seems too dear to pay.\n3. Osprey Bitcoin Trust\nI believe in keeping a small percent of your risk-tolerant portfolio in crypto, but not every vehicle is in the same boat. Osprey Bitcoin Trust offers investors a low-cost way to play the popularity of Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) in a stock exchange-listed vehicle.\nOsprey Bitcoin Trust is a lot smaller than the market's original Bitcoin-owning trust, and it's also trading at an unsustainable premium. Osprey's mark-up to its stake of Bitcoin tokens has been contracting since hitting the market earlier this year, and I was starting to get interested when the premium narrowed to 12% a week ago.\nThe mark-up is going the wrong way again. Osprey Bitcoin Trust owns what is currently $12.68 in Bitcoin, but it closed last week at $14.95. Is an 18% premium worth it when the much larger -- but admittedly more high-cost -- Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (OTC:GBTC) is fetching an 11% discount to its net asset value?\nIf you're looking for safe stocks, you aren't likely to find them in Royal Caribbean, AMC Entertainment, and Osprey Bitcoin Trust this week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"CCL":0.9,"GME":0.9,"OBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1074,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}