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- mikessssmikessss
  ·2021-12-02
  💩 company
  Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading
  Singapore ride-hailing firm Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading.Grab had
  Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading
  1,617 评论
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- mikessssmikessss
  ·2021-10-21
  $Canaan Inc.(CAN)$take your profits and run while you can
  628 评论
  2
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- mikessssmikessss
  ·2021-10-15
  $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Be greedy when others are fearful 😊
  872 评论
  3
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- mikessssmikessss
  ·2021-07-27
  🍎
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,521 评论
  6
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- mikessssmikessss
  ·2021-07-24
  Yup
  3 Stocks to Buy Whether or Not a Market Crash Is Near
  Maybe the market is about to crash, and maybe it isn't. These stocks look like good picks either way.
  3 Stocks to Buy Whether or Not a Market Crash Is Near
  650 4
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- mikessssmikessss
  ·2021-07-19
  Ok can
  Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be "Hotter But Shorter" Than Usual
  This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.
  Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be "Hotter But Shorter" Than Usual
  809 评论
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- mikessssmikessss
  ·2021-07-19
  ,xiaochongmeng
  Bill Ackman Was Too Clever for His Own Good
  Pershing Square wanted to reinvent how SPACs operate. Now it’s back to the drawing board after the c
  Bill Ackman Was Too Clever for His Own Good
  1,870 评论
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- mikessssmikessss
  ·2021-07-18
  Oi
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  748 2
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- mikessssmikessss
  ·2021-07-18
  Like
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,392 评论
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- mikessssmikessss
  ·2021-07-08
  Hi
  10-year Treasury yield dips to 1.28% ahead of jobless claims data
  The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 1.28%, its lowest point since February, ahead of the release
  10-year Treasury yield dips to 1.28% ahead of jobless claims data
  750 1
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"themes":[],"htmlText":"💩 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firm&nbsp;Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading.Grab had previously risen more than 18%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26b2390eadbdda9e5198852be72c65d5\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">Grab</a>, Southeast Asia's biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm,lists&nbsp;on Nasdaq on Thursday following its $40 billion merger with special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">Altimeter Growth Corp</a>.</p>\n<p>The deal is the world's biggest ever by a blank-check company and the biggest U.S. listing by a Southeast Asian firm.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-02 23:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Singapore ride-hailing firm&nbsp;Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading.Grab had previously risen more than 18%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26b2390eadbdda9e5198852be72c65d5\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">Grab</a>, Southeast Asia's biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm,lists&nbsp;on Nasdaq on Thursday following its $40 billion merger with special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">Altimeter Growth Corp</a>.</p>\n<p>The deal is the world's biggest ever by a blank-check company and the biggest U.S. listing by a Southeast Asian firm.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189056654","content_text":"Singapore ride-hailing firm Grab shares changed from up to down on its first day of trading.Grab had previously risen more than 18%.\n\nGrab, Southeast Asia's biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm,lists on Nasdaq on Thursday following its $40 billion merger with special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Altimeter Growth Corp.\nThe deal is the world's biggest ever by a blank-check company and the biggest U.S. listing by a Southeast Asian firm.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1617,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853524335,"gmtCreate":1634825714279,"gmtModify":1634825896019,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">$Canaan Inc.(CAN)$</a>take your profits and run while you can&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">$Canaan Inc.(CAN)$</a>take your profits and run while you can&nbsp;","text":"$Canaan Inc.(CAN)$take your profits and run while you can","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65288bb5f7e066a6354c20193cac4202","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853524335","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":628,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824294066,"gmtCreate":1634313113126,"gmtModify":1634314410372,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Be greedy when others are fearful 😊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Be greedy when others are fearful 😊","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Be greedy when others are fearful 😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824294066","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":809723056,"gmtCreate":1627393762375,"gmtModify":1631890961933,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🍎","listText":"🍎","text":"🍎","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809723056","repostId":"2154168569","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174985410,"gmtCreate":1627058268030,"gmtModify":1631890961944,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yup","listText":"Yup","text":"Yup","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174985410","repostId":"2153983997","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153983997","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627045860,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2153983997?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 21:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Buy Whether or Not a Market Crash Is Near","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153983997","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Maybe the market is about to crash, and maybe it isn't. These stocks look like good picks either way.","content":"<p>Rising COVID-19 cases. Concerns about the highly contagious delta variant. The possibility of another housing bubble bursting. These are some of the reasons why worries are increasing among investors that a stock market crash could be on the way.</p>\n<p>One of the biggest stock market bears, Harry Dent Jr., who predicted the dot.com bubble collapsing, even thinks that a market meltdown is likely within the next three months. Is all of the pessimism warranted? Maybe, maybe not.</p>\n<p>If you're leery about what's around the corner, here are three stocks to buy if a market crash is coming soon. And the great news about these stocks is that they're solid picks even if it doesn't happen.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3105d12ec8b203883b5e91a709172e8b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"514\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTY\">Getty</a> Images.</p>\n<h3>BioNTech</h3>\n<p>I personally don't think a stock market crash is just around the corner. If <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> is, though, I suspect the cause will be the combination of the COVID-19 pandemic and sky-high market valuations. Assuming I'm right,&nbsp;<b>BioNTech</b> (NASDAQ:BNTX) should soar if the market crashes.</p>\n<p>A massive market sell-off due to COVID-19 worries would almost certainly light a fire beneath the stocks of the leading vaccine makers. My view is that BioNTech would be <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the biggest winners in the group.</p>\n<p>BioNTech and its partner <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a></b> (NYSE:PFE) are already moving forward with plans to test a vaccine that specifically targets the delta variant. That gives the companies a head start. BioNTech is by far the smallest of the companies with COVID-19 vaccines already on the market, which makes its shares more likely to jump higher on a positive catalyst. It's also easily the cheapest of these vaccine stocks, based on forward earnings multiples.</p>\n<p>What if there isn't an imminent market crash? BioNTech is still set to rake in billions of dollars with sales of its COVID-19 vaccine. The company will almost certainly use its growing cash stockpile to invest in expanding its pipeline. I think that BioNTech will be a winner over the long term, regardless of what happens over the short term.</p>\n<h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DG\">Dollar General</a></h3>\n<p>I've maintained for a long time that&nbsp;<b>Dollar <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">General</a></b> (NYSE:DG) is one of the best stocks to own during a market downturn. That view seemed to be confirmed during the big market meltdown last year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0e75aa27d2d22b4296c80687da5be97\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>DG data by YCharts.</p>\n<p>Shares of Dollar General fell at first, but not nearly as much as most stocks did. Dollar General stock also rebounded much more quickly and trounced the overall market's return throughout the rest of the year.</p>\n<p>During uncertain times, consumers tighten their purse strings. That makes discount retailers such as Dollar General more attractive than ever.</p>\n<p>Even when the overall market performs well, though, Dollar General should still be able to grow. As a case in point, the company's shares delivered more than double the gain that the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> index did in the five years leading up to 2020 when the market was roaring.</p>\n<p>I think that Dollar General will be able to continue to beat the market. It's moving forward with an aggressive expansion strategy. The company is also undertaking a major initiative to \"establish itself as a health destination.\" While Dollar General didn't provide many details on exactly what its plans are, moving more into healthcare sounds like a smart move to me.</p>\n<h3>Viatris</h3>\n<p>There are at least two reasons why a given stock might hold up well during a big market sell-off. One is that its underlying business isn't impacted much by the reason behind the broader plunge. Another is that the stock is so cheap that investors scoop up shares if it falls much below its existing price. My take is that&nbsp;<b>Viatris</b> (NASDAQ:VTRS) qualifies on both of these criteria.</p>\n<p>Viatris specializes in biosimilars and generic drugs. Patients need these drugs, regardless of what the stock market does. The drugs are also less expensive than branded prescription drugs.</p>\n<p>The stock is irrefutably dirt cheap. Viatris' shares trade at a little over four times expected earnings. It's unlikely that the stock is going to move much lower because it would simply be too much of a steal for investors to ignore.</p>\n<p>Granted, Viatris probably won't keep up with the overall stock market's performance if the current uptrend continues. However, the company's dividend is attractive. And over the next several years, Viatris should achieve synergies resulting from the merger of Pfizer's Upjohn unit and Mylan, as well as launch new products that should drive growth.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Buy Whether or Not a Market Crash Is Near</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Buy Whether or Not a Market Crash Is Near\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-23 21:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/23/3-stocks-to-buy-whether-or-not-a-market-crash-is-n/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Rising COVID-19 cases. Concerns about the highly contagious delta variant. The possibility of another housing bubble bursting. These are some of the reasons why worries are increasing among investors ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/23/3-stocks-to-buy-whether-or-not-a-market-crash-is-n/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DG":"美国达乐公司","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","VTRS":"Viatris Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/23/3-stocks-to-buy-whether-or-not-a-market-crash-is-n/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153983997","content_text":"Rising COVID-19 cases. Concerns about the highly contagious delta variant. The possibility of another housing bubble bursting. These are some of the reasons why worries are increasing among investors that a stock market crash could be on the way.\nOne of the biggest stock market bears, Harry Dent Jr., who predicted the dot.com bubble collapsing, even thinks that a market meltdown is likely within the next three months. Is all of the pessimism warranted? Maybe, maybe not.\nIf you're leery about what's around the corner, here are three stocks to buy if a market crash is coming soon. And the great news about these stocks is that they're solid picks even if it doesn't happen.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nBioNTech\nI personally don't think a stock market crash is just around the corner. If one is, though, I suspect the cause will be the combination of the COVID-19 pandemic and sky-high market valuations. Assuming I'm right, BioNTech (NASDAQ:BNTX) should soar if the market crashes.\nA massive market sell-off due to COVID-19 worries would almost certainly light a fire beneath the stocks of the leading vaccine makers. My view is that BioNTech would be one of the biggest winners in the group.\nBioNTech and its partner Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) are already moving forward with plans to test a vaccine that specifically targets the delta variant. That gives the companies a head start. BioNTech is by far the smallest of the companies with COVID-19 vaccines already on the market, which makes its shares more likely to jump higher on a positive catalyst. It's also easily the cheapest of these vaccine stocks, based on forward earnings multiples.\nWhat if there isn't an imminent market crash? BioNTech is still set to rake in billions of dollars with sales of its COVID-19 vaccine. The company will almost certainly use its growing cash stockpile to invest in expanding its pipeline. I think that BioNTech will be a winner over the long term, regardless of what happens over the short term.\nDollar General\nI've maintained for a long time that Dollar General (NYSE:DG) is one of the best stocks to own during a market downturn. That view seemed to be confirmed during the big market meltdown last year.\n\nDG data by YCharts.\nShares of Dollar General fell at first, but not nearly as much as most stocks did. Dollar General stock also rebounded much more quickly and trounced the overall market's return throughout the rest of the year.\nDuring uncertain times, consumers tighten their purse strings. That makes discount retailers such as Dollar General more attractive than ever.\nEven when the overall market performs well, though, Dollar General should still be able to grow. As a case in point, the company's shares delivered more than double the gain that the S&P 500 index did in the five years leading up to 2020 when the market was roaring.\nI think that Dollar General will be able to continue to beat the market. It's moving forward with an aggressive expansion strategy. The company is also undertaking a major initiative to \"establish itself as a health destination.\" While Dollar General didn't provide many details on exactly what its plans are, moving more into healthcare sounds like a smart move to me.\nViatris\nThere are at least two reasons why a given stock might hold up well during a big market sell-off. One is that its underlying business isn't impacted much by the reason behind the broader plunge. Another is that the stock is so cheap that investors scoop up shares if it falls much below its existing price. My take is that Viatris (NASDAQ:VTRS) qualifies on both of these criteria.\nViatris specializes in biosimilars and generic drugs. Patients need these drugs, regardless of what the stock market does. The drugs are also less expensive than branded prescription drugs.\nThe stock is irrefutably dirt cheap. Viatris' shares trade at a little over four times expected earnings. It's unlikely that the stock is going to move much lower because it would simply be too much of a steal for investors to ignore.\nGranted, Viatris probably won't keep up with the overall stock market's performance if the current uptrend continues. However, the company's dividend is attractive. And over the next several years, Viatris should achieve synergies resulting from the merger of Pfizer's Upjohn unit and Mylan, as well as launch new products that should drive growth.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BNTX":0.9,"DG":0.9,"VTRS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171939119,"gmtCreate":1626701659931,"gmtModify":1631890961957,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok can","listText":"Ok can","text":"Ok can","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171939119","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146536243?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p>\n<p>The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p>\n<p>But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p>\n<p>Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p>\n<p>Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p>\n<p>If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p>\n<p>Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p>\n<p>Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p>\n<p>All this has a number of implications:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>\n <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>\n <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>\n <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-19 16:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle '...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.\nThisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":809,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171930631,"gmtCreate":1626701645523,"gmtModify":1631890961969,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":",xiaochongmeng","listText":",xiaochongmeng","text":",xiaochongmeng","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171930631","repostId":"1107082783","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107082783","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626700621,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1107082783?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 21:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bill Ackman Was Too Clever for His Own Good","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107082783","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Pershing Square wanted to reinvent how SPACs operate. Now it’s back to the drawing board after the c","content":"<blockquote>\n Pershing Square wanted to reinvent how SPACs operate. Now it’s back to the drawing board&nbsp;after the complex Universal Music Group deal met opposition.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Bill Ackman wasn’t content just to raise the largest SPAC ever —&nbsp;the $4 billion Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd. He wanted to reinvent how blank-check firms&nbsp;operate.&nbsp;The deal he proposedin June to purchase a stake in Universal Music Group was also one of the most complex the&nbsp;world of special purpose acquisition vehicles had&nbsp;ever known. Aslide deckoutlining its various contortions ran to 130&nbsp;pages.</p>\n<p>Ackman may now have to ponder whether there’s perhaps a thing as too much complexity. On Monday $PSTH, as it’s referred to by its retail investor devotees,&nbsp;announcedit will no longer&nbsp;proceed with the Universal transaction. The U.S.&nbsp;Securities and Exchange Commission raised objections and shareholders also gave the deal&nbsp;the thumbs down by pummeling the stock. So that Universal’s owner, Vivendi SE, isn’t left hanging, Ackman’s investment firm, Pershing Square Holdings Ltd., and affiliates will buy a Universal stake and assume the transaction costs. Universal will still become a public company, it’s just that Ackman’s SPAC won’t be involved.</p>\n<p>Ackman’s determination to innovate and reform SPACs remains admirable. They’re often ridden with conflicts, excessive fees and potential shareholder dilution. But confidence he can pull off a top-caliber&nbsp;deal has&nbsp;taken a hit here. In short: He was too clever for his own good.</p>\n<p>The SEC apparently had several issues with the way the Universal deal was structured. Pershing Square didn’t spell out precisely what these were but said the primary sticking point was whether the structure of the Universal&nbsp;deal qualified under New York Stock Exchange rules.</p>\n<p>It was certainly unique and complex undertaking. For starters, Universal wasn’t intending to take over PSTH’s stock market listing on the NYSE via a merger as is usually the case.&nbsp;Universal is being listed in Amsterdam and Ackman’s SPAC planned just to acquire a 10% stake and then distribute shares of the world’s largest music company to its&nbsp;shareholders. Instead of offering them&nbsp;a vote on the transaction, Ackman proposed a speedier redemption tender offer, whereby anyone who didn’t like the deal&nbsp;could&nbsp;get their money back (as they&nbsp;can in regular SPAC transactions).</p>\n<p>With the $1.6 billion cash left over after buying the Universal stake, Ackman’s SPAC&nbsp;planned to pursue another deal. And the final twist, shareholders would also get a right to put cash into another future Pershing Square transaction. He&nbsp;dubbed that a&nbsp;“SPARC,” a&nbsp;special purpose acquisition rights company. Instead of asking for money upfront, as most SPACs do, Ackman would find a target first and then shareholders could decide&nbsp;if they wanted to put money in. This would avoid expensive underwriting fees and investors parking money in the SPAC for a long period for little return. Unlike a regular blank-check firm, it wouldn’t be under time pressure to find a deal.</p>\n<p>Elements of this were&nbsp;quite attractive and Ackman was adamant the SPAC shareholders were getting a lot of value. However, it appears that the novel approach was a stretch too far for the SEC. PSTH decided the regulator’s&nbsp;objections couldn’t be overcome.</p>\n<p>It wasn’t just the SEC that had&nbsp;doubts though: Trading&nbsp;at a large premium to the value of its cash holdings prior to the Universal deal being announced,&nbsp;the stock has since declined 18% to $20.63, not far from&nbsp;the $20&nbsp;price at which shareholders could tender to get their money back. Surprisingly, the company said it hadn’t anticipated the potential impact on investors who couldn’t hold foreign securities, who margin their shares or who own call options on the stock.</p>\n<p>PSTH has a large cohort of retail investor followers and many of them were convinced Ackman would serve up a&nbsp;juicy transaction. Instead, they’ve received an unpleasant lesson that paying more for a blank-check firm share than the value of the cash it&nbsp;holds is risky when you don’t yet know what it will buy.</p>\n<p>When outlining the deal to shareholders last month, Ackman allowed himself a little boast: “I think I’ll put out a little advertisement —&nbsp;we’re pretty good at this stuff. And so if you’re a counterparty that has got some complex legal, tax, cross-border or other issues, we’re here to solve your problems.”</p>\n<p>Unfortunately, the plan brought on headaches instead. Ackman has 18 months to find an attractive target and restore the retail crowd’s faith in him. He’s promised that next time the deal will be structured as a “conventional SPAC merger.”&nbsp;After this searing experience, the simpler the better.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bill Ackman Was Too Clever for His Own Good</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBill Ackman Was Too Clever for His Own Good\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-19 21:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-07-19/-psth-pulls-universal-music-deal-bill-ackman-was-too-clever-for-his-own-good?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Pershing Square wanted to reinvent how SPACs operate. Now it’s back to the drawing board after the complex Universal Music Group deal met opposition.\n\nBill Ackman wasn’t content just to raise the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-07-19/-psth-pulls-universal-music-deal-bill-ackman-was-too-clever-for-his-own-good?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PSHZF":"Pershing Square Holdings Ltd."},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-07-19/-psth-pulls-universal-music-deal-bill-ackman-was-too-clever-for-his-own-good?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107082783","content_text":"Pershing Square wanted to reinvent how SPACs operate. Now it’s back to the drawing board after the complex Universal Music Group deal met opposition.\n\nBill Ackman wasn’t content just to raise the largest SPAC ever — the $4 billion Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd. He wanted to reinvent how blank-check firms operate. The deal he proposedin June to purchase a stake in Universal Music Group was also one of the most complex the world of special purpose acquisition vehicles had ever known. Aslide deckoutlining its various contortions ran to 130 pages.\nAckman may now have to ponder whether there’s perhaps a thing as too much complexity. On Monday $PSTH, as it’s referred to by its retail investor devotees, announcedit will no longer proceed with the Universal transaction. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission raised objections and shareholders also gave the deal the thumbs down by pummeling the stock. So that Universal’s owner, Vivendi SE, isn’t left hanging, Ackman’s investment firm, Pershing Square Holdings Ltd., and affiliates will buy a Universal stake and assume the transaction costs. Universal will still become a public company, it’s just that Ackman’s SPAC won’t be involved.\nAckman’s determination to innovate and reform SPACs remains admirable. They’re often ridden with conflicts, excessive fees and potential shareholder dilution. But confidence he can pull off a top-caliber deal has taken a hit here. In short: He was too clever for his own good.\nThe SEC apparently had several issues with the way the Universal deal was structured. Pershing Square didn’t spell out precisely what these were but said the primary sticking point was whether the structure of the Universal deal qualified under New York Stock Exchange rules.\nIt was certainly unique and complex undertaking. For starters, Universal wasn’t intending to take over PSTH’s stock market listing on the NYSE via a merger as is usually the case. Universal is being listed in Amsterdam and Ackman’s SPAC planned just to acquire a 10% stake and then distribute shares of the world’s largest music company to its shareholders. Instead of offering them a vote on the transaction, Ackman proposed a speedier redemption tender offer, whereby anyone who didn’t like the deal could get their money back (as they can in regular SPAC transactions).\nWith the $1.6 billion cash left over after buying the Universal stake, Ackman’s SPAC planned to pursue another deal. And the final twist, shareholders would also get a right to put cash into another future Pershing Square transaction. He dubbed that a “SPARC,” a special purpose acquisition rights company. Instead of asking for money upfront, as most SPACs do, Ackman would find a target first and then shareholders could decide if they wanted to put money in. This would avoid expensive underwriting fees and investors parking money in the SPAC for a long period for little return. Unlike a regular blank-check firm, it wouldn’t be under time pressure to find a deal.\nElements of this were quite attractive and Ackman was adamant the SPAC shareholders were getting a lot of value. However, it appears that the novel approach was a stretch too far for the SEC. PSTH decided the regulator’s objections couldn’t be overcome.\nIt wasn’t just the SEC that had doubts though: Trading at a large premium to the value of its cash holdings prior to the Universal deal being announced, the stock has since declined 18% to $20.63, not far from the $20 price at which shareholders could tender to get their money back. Surprisingly, the company said it hadn’t anticipated the potential impact on investors who couldn’t hold foreign securities, who margin their shares or who own call options on the stock.\nPSTH has a large cohort of retail investor followers and many of them were convinced Ackman would serve up a juicy transaction. Instead, they’ve received an unpleasant lesson that paying more for a blank-check firm share than the value of the cash it holds is risky when you don’t yet know what it will buy.\nWhen outlining the deal to shareholders last month, Ackman allowed himself a little boast: “I think I’ll put out a little advertisement — we’re pretty good at this stuff. And so if you’re a counterparty that has got some complex legal, tax, cross-border or other issues, we’re here to solve your problems.”\nUnfortunately, the plan brought on headaches instead. Ackman has 18 months to find an attractive target and restore the retail crowd’s faith in him. He’s promised that next time the deal will be structured as a “conventional SPAC merger.” After this searing experience, the simpler the better.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PSHZF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1870,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173304671,"gmtCreate":1626611627593,"gmtModify":1631890961980,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oi","listText":"Oi","text":"Oi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173304671","repostId":"1123523681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":748,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173304182,"gmtCreate":1626611605746,"gmtModify":1631890961994,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173304182","repostId":"1123523681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149525322,"gmtCreate":1625737233366,"gmtModify":1631890962006,"author":{"id":"3587032407188232","authorId":"3587032407188232","name":"mikessss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd283800f35de16bf73d4a02b9c0484c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587032407188232","authorIdStr":"3587032407188232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149525322","repostId":"1169350772","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169350772","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625733397,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1169350772?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 16:36","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"10-year Treasury yield dips to 1.28% ahead of jobless claims data","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169350772","media":"CNBC","summary":"The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 1.28%, its lowest point since February, ahead of the release","content":"<div>\n<p>The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 1.28%, its lowest point since February, ahead of the release of weekly jobless claims data.\nThe yield on the benchmark10-year Treasury notefell less than a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/us-bonds-treasury-yields-fall-ahead-of-jobless-claims-data.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>10-year Treasury yield dips to 1.28% ahead of jobless claims data</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n10-year Treasury yield dips to 1.28% ahead of jobless claims data\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-08 16:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/us-bonds-treasury-yields-fall-ahead-of-jobless-claims-data.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 1.28%, its lowest point since February, ahead of the release of weekly jobless claims data.\nThe yield on the benchmark10-year Treasury notefell less than a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/us-bonds-treasury-yields-fall-ahead-of-jobless-claims-data.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/us-bonds-treasury-yields-fall-ahead-of-jobless-claims-data.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1169350772","content_text":"The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 1.28%, its lowest point since February, ahead of the release of weekly jobless claims data.\nThe yield on the benchmark10-year Treasury notefell less than a basis point to 1.285% at 3:50 a.m. ET. The yield on the30-year Treasury bonddipped to 1.899%. Yields move inversely to prices.\nTREASURYS\n\n\n\nTICKER\nCOMPANY\nYIELD\nCHANGE\n%CHANGE\n\n\n\n\nUS3M\nU.S. 3 Month Treasury\n0.058\n0.005\n0.00\n\n\nUS1Y\nU.S. 1 Year Treasury\n0.076\n0.008\n0.00\n\n\nUS2Y\nU.S. 2 Year Treasury\n0.206\n-0.01\n0.00\n\n\nUS5Y\nU.S. 5 Year Treasury\n0.745\n-0.035\n0.00\n\n\nUS10Y\nU.S. 10 Year Treasury\n1.263\n-0.058\n0.00\n\n\nUS30Y\nU.S. 30 Year Treasury\n1.884\n-0.06\n0.00\n\n\n\nThe U.S. Labor Department is due to release the number of weekly jobless claims for the week ended July 3 at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists expect to see 350,000 first-time applicants for unemployment benefits for the week ended July 3, according to Dow Jones.\nThis comes after the Federal Reserve on Wednesdayreleased the minutes from its latest meetingon June 15-16.\nSome members indicated that the economic recovery was proceeding faster than expected and was being accompanied by an outsized rise in inflation, both making the case for taking the Fed's foot off the policy pedal.\nHowever, the prevailing mindset was that there should be no rush and markets must be well prepared for any shifts.\nAuctions will be held on Thursday for $40 billion of 4-week bills and $40 billion of 8-week bills.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}