社区
首页
集团介绍
社区
资讯
行情
学堂
TigerAI
登录
注册
24627d80
IP属地:未知
+关注
帖子 · 36
帖子 · 36
关注 · 0
关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0
粉丝 · 0
24627d80
24627d80
·
2021-10-27
......................... 🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤😜😜😜😜
看
2,219
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
24627d80
24627d80
·
2021-10-12
Hi
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
2,014
回复
评论
点赞
3
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
24627d80
24627d80
·
2021-10-12
Hi
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
1,889
回复
评论
点赞
4
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
24627d80
24627d80
·
2021-09-20
Huhih
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
2,198
回复
评论
点赞
4
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
24627d80
24627d80
·
2021-09-20
Hhhhhhhhh
美股恐进一步回落!“财政版”减码真正让美国经济痛苦
9月19日,市场分析师Rich Miller撰文称,美联储“减码年”即将到来,但真正让经济痛楚的却会是财政支持的收缩。美联储尚未公布的减码计划一直是美国金融市场热议话题,这掩盖了一件重要的事情:联邦政
美股恐进一步回落!“财政版”减码真正让美国经济痛苦
看
2,416
回复
评论
点赞
2
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
24627d80
24627d80
·
2021-09-20
Hi
提醒:中秋节休市安排来了!港股22日休市
2021年中秋节假期即将来临!各主要市场休市安排如下:港股: 9月22日(周三)休市。9月23日(周四)起照常开市。 A股: 9月20日(周一)至9月21日(周二)休市。9月22日(周三)起照常开市。 美股、英股、澳股、新加坡股市照常交易。 沪股通和深股通: 9月17日(周五)至9月22日(周三)关闭。9月23日(周四)起照常开通。 港股通: 9月16日(周四)至9月22日(周三)关闭。9月23日(周四)起照常开通。
提醒:中秋节休市安排来了!港股22日休市
看
2,108
回复
1
点赞
2
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
24627d80
24627d80
·
2021-09-14
Hi
非常抱歉,此主贴已删除
看
2,531
回复
1
点赞
8
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
24627d80
24627d80
·
2021-09-06
Hhhhhh
看
2,092
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
24627d80
24627d80
·
2021-09-05
hello
Hhhhhhhhhhhhhbhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
看
1,911
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
hello
24627d80
24627d80
·
2021-09-05
Hello there nice to be here
看
2,553
回复
评论
点赞
点赞
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
加载更多
暂无关注
热议股票
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"4089869254726910","uuid":"4089869254726910","gmtCreate":1626767216660,"gmtModify":1627796075746,"name":"24627d80","pinyin":"24627d80","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":42,"headSize":171,"tweetSize":36,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.08.29","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-1","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资经理虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到10万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8dfc27c1ee0e25db1c93e9d0b641101","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f43908c142f8a33c78f5bdf0e2897488","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82165ff19cb8a786e8919f92acee5213","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"60.97%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.04%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":852451322,"gmtCreate":1635298708305,"gmtModify":1635299001799,"author":{"id":"4089869254726910","authorId":"4089869254726910","name":"24627d80","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089869254726910","idStr":"4089869254726910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"......................... 🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤😜😜😜😜","listText":"......................... 🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤😜😜😜😜","text":"......................... 🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤🐤😜😜😜😜","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852451322","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826441251,"gmtCreate":1634049302541,"gmtModify":1634049303065,"author":{"id":"4089869254726910","authorId":"4089869254726910","name":"24627d80","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089869254726910","idStr":"4089869254726910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826441251","repostId":"1125833702","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2014,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826441883,"gmtCreate":1634049294078,"gmtModify":1634049294396,"author":{"id":"4089869254726910","authorId":"4089869254726910","name":"24627d80","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089869254726910","idStr":"4089869254726910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826441883","repostId":"1125833702","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860920221,"gmtCreate":1632124381563,"gmtModify":1632802691571,"author":{"id":"4089869254726910","authorId":"4089869254726910","name":"24627d80","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089869254726910","idStr":"4089869254726910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huhih","listText":"Huhih","text":"Huhih","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860920221","repostId":"1156524086","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860920634,"gmtCreate":1632124296928,"gmtModify":1632802691690,"author":{"id":"4089869254726910","authorId":"4089869254726910","name":"24627d80","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089869254726910","idStr":"4089869254726910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hhhhhhhhh","listText":"Hhhhhhhhh","text":"Hhhhhhhhh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860920634","repostId":"1126176538","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126176538","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632123201,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126176538?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-20 15:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股恐进一步回落!“财政版”减码真正让美国经济痛苦","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126176538","media":"汇通网","summary":"9月19日,市场分析师Rich Miller撰文称,美联储“减码年”即将到来,但真正让经济痛楚的却会是财政支持的收缩。美联储尚未公布的减码计划一直是美国金融市场热议话题,这掩盖了一件重要的事情:联邦政","content":"<p>9月19日,市场分析师Rich Miller撰文称,美联储“减码年”即将到来,但真正让经济痛楚的却会是财政支持的收缩。美联储尚未公布的减码计划一直是美国金融市场热议话题,这掩盖了一件重要的事情:联邦政府已经在削减预算支持,而这对明年经济增长的影响恐怕会大得多。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/584572a2c309b1fb840f8edea36aeea2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>财政支持的收缩打击美国经济</p>\n<p>美国经济增速势将在2022年下半年大幅放缓,因为政府在疫情期间实施的经济支持措施--从发放给家庭现金支票,到提供给小公司无成本融资,正在渐渐撤出。</p>\n<p>即使美国总统拜登设法赢得了国会对3.5万亿美元经济重建计划的批准,情况也不会得到改变。因为这是一项长期支出计划,对2022年影响是有限的。另外,该计划至少部分资金来源是加税,会拖累而非推动美国的经济增长。</p>\n<p>美国政府花费创纪录的资金支撑疫情期间的美国经济,撤销的话将导致巨大的财政悬崖。图中蓝色柱代表财政政策对美国GDP的贡献,而红色柱代表预测2022年将对经济造成拖累</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84c3a2042aa56ba3b9e392928449bd93\" tg-width=\"526\" tg-height=\"314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>“美国经济不见增长”</p>\n<p>布鲁金斯学会(Brookings Institution)汉密尔顿项目主任Wendy Edelberg称,预计2022年末和进入2023年,美国的经济增长率会非常低。即便有些季度经济基本上不见增长,她也不会惊讶。</p>\n<p>预测美国经济急剧放缓的不只有她一个。<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>首席经济学家Jan Hatzius预测,到2022年年底美国经济将以1.5%的速度增长,低于2021年5.7%的增速。</b></p>\n<p>经济减速对将美股推上纪录高位的投资者而言可谓噩耗。</p>\n<p>美国经济减速也可能给拜登和国会民主党议员带来麻烦,特别是同时失业率还上升的话,因为他们寻求在2022年11月中期选举中保住微弱多数席位。不过,多数经济学家预计美国的失业率不会上升。</p>\n<p>经济减速有一个潜在好处:降低通胀。今年以来受供应链瓶颈和消费需求回暖影响,价格水平大幅上升。Edelberg称:“我们需要降降温,因为美国的快速反弹到明年年中将把劳动力市场和经济推向极限。”</p>\n<p>财政政策逆风</p>\n<p>美联储主席鲍威尔曾表示,美联储可能今年开始收缩购债规模。整个购债计划可能到2022年某个时候才会结束,在此之前美联储将继续支持经济和金融市场。</p>\n<p>财政政策不然,它已经开始对美国经济构成拖累。<b>据布鲁金斯学会Hutchins中心估算,联邦、州和地方政府税收支出政策的经济影响已经在第二季度变为负值,这种情况将持续到2023年。</b></p>\n<p>如下图所示,接下来的财政减码程度将是美国历史上最大的</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3044289cfd275999b160e8323f67340f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"313\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCO\">穆迪</a>首席经济学家Mark Zandi表示:“财政政策已经开始从顺风变成逆风,到明年春这股逆风会变得非常严重。如果没有任何额外的财政支持,2022年选举日前经济会感觉有些脆弱。”</p>\n<p><b>投资者开始担心经济即将放缓。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>最新的全球基金经理调查显示,他们对美国经济前景看法的乐观程度明显下降。</b></p>\n<p>汇通网提醒, 市场预期美联储本周将释放削减购债的信号,11月或者12月采取行动,但综合以上信息可以看到,美国政府缩减财政支持将真正打击美国的经济,特别是在疫情持续的情况下,这可能打击创纪录的美股,未来面临大幅回调的风险,投资者需保持警惕。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52aadd728673a22a44349727b9b3cca2\" tg-width=\"1250\" tg-height=\"594\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>(标普500指数日线图)</p>","source":"HTW","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股恐进一步回落!“财政版”减码真正让美国经济痛苦</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股恐进一步回落!“财政版”减码真正让美国经济痛苦\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-20 15:33 北京时间 <a href=https://www.fx678.com/C/20210920/202109201343162079.html><strong>汇通网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>9月19日,市场分析师Rich Miller撰文称,美联储“减码年”即将到来,但真正让经济痛楚的却会是财政支持的收缩。美联储尚未公布的减码计划一直是美国金融市场热议话题,这掩盖了一件重要的事情:联邦政府已经在削减预算支持,而这对明年经济增长的影响恐怕会大得多。\n\n财政支持的收缩打击美国经济\n美国经济增速势将在2022年下半年大幅放缓,因为政府在疫情期间实施的经济支持措施--从发放给家庭现金支票,到...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fx678.com/C/20210920/202109201343162079.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.fx678.com/C/20210920/202109201343162079.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126176538","content_text":"9月19日,市场分析师Rich Miller撰文称,美联储“减码年”即将到来,但真正让经济痛楚的却会是财政支持的收缩。美联储尚未公布的减码计划一直是美国金融市场热议话题,这掩盖了一件重要的事情:联邦政府已经在削减预算支持,而这对明年经济增长的影响恐怕会大得多。\n\n财政支持的收缩打击美国经济\n美国经济增速势将在2022年下半年大幅放缓,因为政府在疫情期间实施的经济支持措施--从发放给家庭现金支票,到提供给小公司无成本融资,正在渐渐撤出。\n即使美国总统拜登设法赢得了国会对3.5万亿美元经济重建计划的批准,情况也不会得到改变。因为这是一项长期支出计划,对2022年影响是有限的。另外,该计划至少部分资金来源是加税,会拖累而非推动美国的经济增长。\n美国政府花费创纪录的资金支撑疫情期间的美国经济,撤销的话将导致巨大的财政悬崖。图中蓝色柱代表财政政策对美国GDP的贡献,而红色柱代表预测2022年将对经济造成拖累\n\n“美国经济不见增长”\n布鲁金斯学会(Brookings Institution)汉密尔顿项目主任Wendy Edelberg称,预计2022年末和进入2023年,美国的经济增长率会非常低。即便有些季度经济基本上不见增长,她也不会惊讶。\n预测美国经济急剧放缓的不只有她一个。高盛首席经济学家Jan Hatzius预测,到2022年年底美国经济将以1.5%的速度增长,低于2021年5.7%的增速。\n经济减速对将美股推上纪录高位的投资者而言可谓噩耗。\n美国经济减速也可能给拜登和国会民主党议员带来麻烦,特别是同时失业率还上升的话,因为他们寻求在2022年11月中期选举中保住微弱多数席位。不过,多数经济学家预计美国的失业率不会上升。\n经济减速有一个潜在好处:降低通胀。今年以来受供应链瓶颈和消费需求回暖影响,价格水平大幅上升。Edelberg称:“我们需要降降温,因为美国的快速反弹到明年年中将把劳动力市场和经济推向极限。”\n财政政策逆风\n美联储主席鲍威尔曾表示,美联储可能今年开始收缩购债规模。整个购债计划可能到2022年某个时候才会结束,在此之前美联储将继续支持经济和金融市场。\n财政政策不然,它已经开始对美国经济构成拖累。据布鲁金斯学会Hutchins中心估算,联邦、州和地方政府税收支出政策的经济影响已经在第二季度变为负值,这种情况将持续到2023年。\n如下图所示,接下来的财政减码程度将是美国历史上最大的\n\n穆迪首席经济学家Mark Zandi表示:“财政政策已经开始从顺风变成逆风,到明年春这股逆风会变得非常严重。如果没有任何额外的财政支持,2022年选举日前经济会感觉有些脆弱。”\n投资者开始担心经济即将放缓。美国银行最新的全球基金经理调查显示,他们对美国经济前景看法的乐观程度明显下降。\n汇通网提醒, 市场预期美联储本周将释放削减购债的信号,11月或者12月采取行动,但综合以上信息可以看到,美国政府缩减财政支持将真正打击美国的经济,特别是在疫情持续的情况下,这可能打击创纪录的美股,未来面临大幅回调的风险,投资者需保持警惕。\n\n(标普500指数日线图)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860920153,"gmtCreate":1632124274772,"gmtModify":1632802691932,"author":{"id":"4089869254726910","authorId":"4089869254726910","name":"24627d80","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089869254726910","idStr":"4089869254726910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860920153","repostId":"1100031374","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100031374","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631587259,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100031374?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 10:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"提醒:中秋节休市安排来了!港股22日休市","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100031374","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"2021年中秋节假期即将来临!各主要市场休市安排如下:港股:\n\n\n9月22日(周三)休市。9月23日(周四)起照常开市。\n\n\nA股:\n\n\n9月20日(周一)至9月21日(周二)休市。9月22日(周三)起照常开市。\n\n\n美股、英股、澳股、新加坡股市照常交易。\n\n\n沪股通和深股通:\n\n\n9月17日(周五)至9月22日(周三)关闭。9月23日(周四)起照常开通。\n\n\n港股通:\n\n\n9月16日(周四)至9月22日(周三)关闭。9月23日(周四)起照常开通。","content":"<p>2021年中秋节假期即将来临!各主要市场休市安排如下:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a514042f0cc485274181ed3db4bcf541\" tg-width=\"1103\" tg-height=\"746\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>港股:</b></p>\n<p>9月22日(周三)休市。9月23日(周四)起照常开市。</p>\n<p><b>A股:</b></p>\n<p>9月20日(周一)至9月21日(周二)休市。9月22日(周三)起照常开市。</p>\n<p><b>美股、英股、澳股、新加坡股市照常交易。</b></p>\n<p><b>沪股通和深股通:</b></p>\n<p>9月17日(周五)至9月22日(周三)关闭。9月23日(周四)起照常开通。</p>\n<p><b>港股通:</b></p>\n<p>9月16日(周四)至9月22日(周三)关闭。9月23日(周四)起照常开通。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75ca986d45037f1a0b113e295b82f3f9\" tg-width=\"2048\" tg-height=\"1311\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>提醒:中秋节休市安排来了!港股22日休市</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n提醒:中秋节休市安排来了!港股22日休市\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-14 10:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>2021年中秋节假期即将来临!各主要市场休市安排如下:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a514042f0cc485274181ed3db4bcf541\" tg-width=\"1103\" tg-height=\"746\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>港股:</b></p>\n<p>9月22日(周三)休市。9月23日(周四)起照常开市。</p>\n<p><b>A股:</b></p>\n<p>9月20日(周一)至9月21日(周二)休市。9月22日(周三)起照常开市。</p>\n<p><b>美股、英股、澳股、新加坡股市照常交易。</b></p>\n<p><b>沪股通和深股通:</b></p>\n<p>9月17日(周五)至9月22日(周三)关闭。9月23日(周四)起照常开通。</p>\n<p><b>港股通:</b></p>\n<p>9月16日(周四)至9月22日(周三)关闭。9月23日(周四)起照常开通。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75ca986d45037f1a0b113e295b82f3f9\" tg-width=\"2048\" tg-height=\"1311\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75ca986d45037f1a0b113e295b82f3f9","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100031374","content_text":"2021年中秋节假期即将来临!各主要市场休市安排如下:港股:\n9月22日(周三)休市。9月23日(周四)起照常开市。\nA股:\n9月20日(周一)至9月21日(周二)休市。9月22日(周三)起照常开市。\n美股、英股、澳股、新加坡股市照常交易。\n沪股通和深股通:\n9月17日(周五)至9月22日(周三)关闭。9月23日(周四)起照常开通。\n港股通:\n9月16日(周四)至9月22日(周三)关闭。9月23日(周四)起照常开通。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":886370186,"gmtCreate":1631571411845,"gmtModify":1631889258343,"author":{"id":"4089869254726910","authorId":"4089869254726910","name":"24627d80","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089869254726910","idStr":"4089869254726910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886370186","repostId":"1146713993","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817093796,"gmtCreate":1630889100815,"gmtModify":1631889258347,"author":{"id":"4089869254726910","authorId":"4089869254726910","name":"24627d80","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089869254726910","idStr":"4089869254726910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hhhhhh","listText":"Hhhhhh","text":"Hhhhhh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817093796","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2092,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":814526350,"gmtCreate":1630848068670,"gmtModify":1631889258352,"author":{"id":"4089869254726910","authorId":"4089869254726910","name":"24627d80","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089869254726910","idStr":"4089869254726910"},"themes":[],"title":"hello","htmlText":"Hhhhhhhhhhhhhbhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh","listText":"Hhhhhhhhhhhhhbhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh","text":"Hhhhhhhhhhhhhbhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814526350","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1911,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":814528520,"gmtCreate":1630848022860,"gmtModify":1631889258358,"author":{"id":"4089869254726910","authorId":"4089869254726910","name":"24627d80","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089869254726910","idStr":"4089869254726910"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hello there nice to be here ","listText":"Hello there nice to be here ","text":"Hello there nice to be here","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/078451b13df93a88e29ee23e6e2c3ca4","width":"486","height":"1080"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814528520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}