个人中心 - 老虎社区

3033H

IP属地：未知

帖子 · 38帖子 · 38
关注 · 0关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0粉丝 · 0

- 3033H3033H
  ·2021-12-21
  More to come
  Micron Stock Rallies as Outlook Tops Street Estimates<blockquote>前景超出华尔街预期，美光科技股市上涨</blockquote>
  Micron Technology shares headed higher after the memory-chip company posted strong results, while pr
  Micron Stock Rallies as Outlook Tops Street Estimates<blockquote>前景超出华尔街预期，美光科技股市上涨</blockquote>
  2,974 评论
  2
  分享
  举报
- 3033H3033H
  ·2021-12-16
  Sell sell sell
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  3,478 1
  4
  分享
  举报
- 3033H3033H
  ·2021-11-26
  Not sure
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  3,292 1
  4
  分享
  举报
- 3033H3033H
  ·2021-10-05
  Opportunity to invest in some great companies
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  3,520 1
  5
  分享
  举报
- 3033H3033H
  ·2021-09-14
  Not only to avoid this week but until they can demonstrate that they can grow and generate cash.
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  3,845 1
  6
  分享
  举报
- 3033H3033H
  ·2021-08-28
  Is still back to fundamental. Companies must be able to grow the revenue, profit and cash.
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,913 评论
  3
  分享
  举报
- 3033H3033H
  ·2021-08-26
  Skyworks is in very good shape. Net cash, high ROE & good FCF
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,571 评论
  2
  分享
  举报
- 3033H3033H
  ·2021-08-24
  On
  Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股的回调——长期关注这 6 家公司</blockquote>
  The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs. ISTOCKPHOTO In the rolling correcti
  Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股的回调——长期关注这 6 家公司</blockquote>
  2,277 评论
  5
  分享
  举报
- 3033H3033H
  ·2021-08-22
  Cheap rubbish is still rubbish
  Penny Stocks: Why You Should Always Stay Away<blockquote>细价股：为什么你应该始终远离</blockquote>
  Penny stocks – those stocks that trade for low prices, often with share prices of less than a dollar
  Penny Stocks: Why You Should Always Stay Away<blockquote>细价股：为什么你应该始终远离</blockquote>
  1,981 1
  8
  分享
  举报
- 3033H3033H
  ·2021-08-21
  Singapore has plenty of good dividend stock
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,787 评论
  4
  分享
  举报

热议股票

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"4090101535801240","uuid":"4090101535801240","gmtCreate":1626998499161,"gmtModify":1627796080588,"name":"3033H","pinyin":"3033h","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/559d1bfb615380702af770ef9d5d4e74","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":18,"headSize":114,"tweetSize":38,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.04.22","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.01.30","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":3,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":693501341,"gmtCreate":1640046301804,"gmtModify":1640046302017,"author":{"id":"4090101535801240","authorId":"4090101535801240","name":"3033H","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/559d1bfb615380702af770ef9d5d4e74","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090101535801240","authorIdStr":"4090101535801240"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"More to come&nbsp;","listText":"More to come&nbsp;","text":"More to come","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693501341","repostId":"1154367089","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154367089","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640041733,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1154367089?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-21 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Micron Stock Rallies as Outlook Tops Street Estimates<blockquote>前景超出华尔街预期，美光科技股市上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154367089","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Micron Technology shares headed higher after the memory-chip company posted strong results, while pr","content":"<p>Micron Technology&nbsp;shares headed higher after the memory-chip company posted strong results, while providing better-than-expected forecasts for the current quarter.</p><p><blockquote>存储芯片公司美光科技公布强劲业绩后，其股价走高，同时对本季度的预测好于预期。</blockquote></p><p> For the fiscal first quarter, ended Dec. 2, Micron&nbsp;reported revenue of $7.69 billion, up 33% from a year ago, and marginally ahead of the company’s target of $7.65 billion, though down 7% sequentially. Non-GAAP profits were $2.16, above the company’s target of $2.10 a share.</p><p><blockquote>在截至 12 月 2 日的第一财季，美光公司公布的收入为 76.9 亿美元，比去年同期增长 33%，略高于公司 76.5 亿美元的目标，但环比下降了 7%。非美国通用会计准则利润为 2.16 美元，高于公司每股 2.10 美元的目标。</blockquote></p><p> In&nbsp;extended trading, the stock was up 6.2% to $87.14.</p><p><blockquote>在盘后交易中，该股上涨 6.2%，至 87.14 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b8e920f4d2951731af2a972df72f89e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The company said revenue from dynamic random access memory, or DRAM, was up 38% from a year ago, and accounted for 73% of total revenue in the quarter. NAND chips were up 19% from a year ago, and accounted for 24% of total revenue. The company said average selling prices were down in the low single digits on a sequential basis for DRAM, while dropping in the mid-single digits for NAND.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）的收入比去年同期增长了38%，占本季度总收入的73%。NAND芯片同比增长19%，占总收入的24%。该公司表示，DRAM 的平均销售价格连续下降至低个位数，而 NAND 的平均销售价格则下降至中个位数。</blockquote></p><p> For the fiscal second quarter, Micron projects revenue of $7.5 billion, give or take $200 million, with non-GAAP profits of $1.95 a share, plus or minus 10 cents. The Wall Street consensus had been for revenue of $7.27 billion and $1.86 in per-share profits. The company expects gross margin for the quarter of 46%, give or take a percentage point, down from 47% in the latest quarter.</p><p><blockquote>美光预计第二财季营收为 75 亿美元，误差为 2 亿美元，非 GAAP 每股利润为 1.95 美元，上下浮动 10 美分。华尔街的共识是营收为 72.7 亿美元，每股收益为 1.86 美元。该公司预计本季度毛利率为 46%，低于上一季度的 47%。</blockquote></p><p> The company also said it bought back $259 million of its shares in the latest quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还表示，最近一个季度回购了 2.59 亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> “Micron delivered solid fiscal first quarter results led by strong product portfolio momentum,” Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said in a statement. “We are now shipping our industry-leading DRAM and NAND technologies across major end markets, and we delivered new solutions to data center, client, mobile, graphics and automotive customers.”</p><p><blockquote>“美光首席执行官桑杰-梅赫罗特拉（Sanjay Mehrotra）在一份声明中说：”在强劲的产品组合势头的带动下，美光第一财季业绩稳健。“我们现在正在向主要终端市场提供行业领先的 DRAM 和 NAND 技术，并为数据中心、客户端、移动、图形和汽车客户提供新的解决方案。”</blockquote></p><p> In a presentation prepared for a call with investors scheduled for late Monday with investors, Micron said it expects “record revenue with solid profitability” for the August 2022 fiscal year, with stronger shipment growth in the second half. The company expects capital spending for the year in the $11 billion to $12 billion range, up from $9.7 billion in fiscal 2021.</p><p><blockquote>美光在为定于周一晚些时候举行的投资者看涨期权准备的演示文稿中表示，预计 2022 年 8 月财年 “创纪录的收入和稳健的盈利能力”，下半年的出货量增长将更加强劲。该公司预计今年的资本支出在 110 亿至 120 亿美元之间，高于 2021 财年的 97 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Micron expects demand for DRAM storage capacity, or bit demand, will grow in the low 20% range in 2021, with mid-to-high teens growth in 2022. For NAND, the company sees growth in the high 30% range for this year, and about 30% for next year.</p><p><blockquote>美光预计 2021 年 DRAM 存储容量需求（或 bit 需求）将在 20% 的低范围内增长，2022 年将以中高水平增长。对于 NAND，该公司预计今年的增长率将在 30% 左右，明年将达到 30% 左右。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Micron Stock Rallies as Outlook Tops Street Estimates<blockquote>前景超出华尔街预期，美光科技股市上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicron Stock Rallies as Outlook Tops Street Estimates<blockquote>前景超出华尔街预期，美光科技股市上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-21 07:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Micron Technology&nbsp;shares headed higher after the memory-chip company posted strong results, while providing better-than-expected forecasts for the current quarter.</p><p><blockquote>存储芯片公司美光科技公布强劲业绩后，其股价走高，同时对本季度的预测好于预期。</blockquote></p><p> For the fiscal first quarter, ended Dec. 2, Micron&nbsp;reported revenue of $7.69 billion, up 33% from a year ago, and marginally ahead of the company’s target of $7.65 billion, though down 7% sequentially. Non-GAAP profits were $2.16, above the company’s target of $2.10 a share.</p><p><blockquote>在截至 12 月 2 日的第一财季，美光公司公布的收入为 76.9 亿美元，比去年同期增长 33%，略高于公司 76.5 亿美元的目标，但环比下降了 7%。非美国通用会计准则利润为 2.16 美元，高于公司每股 2.10 美元的目标。</blockquote></p><p> In&nbsp;extended trading, the stock was up 6.2% to $87.14.</p><p><blockquote>在盘后交易中，该股上涨 6.2%，至 87.14 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b8e920f4d2951731af2a972df72f89e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The company said revenue from dynamic random access memory, or DRAM, was up 38% from a year ago, and accounted for 73% of total revenue in the quarter. NAND chips were up 19% from a year ago, and accounted for 24% of total revenue. The company said average selling prices were down in the low single digits on a sequential basis for DRAM, while dropping in the mid-single digits for NAND.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）的收入比去年同期增长了38%，占本季度总收入的73%。NAND芯片同比增长19%，占总收入的24%。该公司表示，DRAM 的平均销售价格连续下降至低个位数，而 NAND 的平均销售价格则下降至中个位数。</blockquote></p><p> For the fiscal second quarter, Micron projects revenue of $7.5 billion, give or take $200 million, with non-GAAP profits of $1.95 a share, plus or minus 10 cents. The Wall Street consensus had been for revenue of $7.27 billion and $1.86 in per-share profits. The company expects gross margin for the quarter of 46%, give or take a percentage point, down from 47% in the latest quarter.</p><p><blockquote>美光预计第二财季营收为 75 亿美元，误差为 2 亿美元，非 GAAP 每股利润为 1.95 美元，上下浮动 10 美分。华尔街的共识是营收为 72.7 亿美元，每股收益为 1.86 美元。该公司预计本季度毛利率为 46%，低于上一季度的 47%。</blockquote></p><p> The company also said it bought back $259 million of its shares in the latest quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还表示，最近一个季度回购了 2.59 亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> “Micron delivered solid fiscal first quarter results led by strong product portfolio momentum,” Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said in a statement. “We are now shipping our industry-leading DRAM and NAND technologies across major end markets, and we delivered new solutions to data center, client, mobile, graphics and automotive customers.”</p><p><blockquote>“美光首席执行官桑杰-梅赫罗特拉（Sanjay Mehrotra）在一份声明中说：”在强劲的产品组合势头的带动下，美光第一财季业绩稳健。“我们现在正在向主要终端市场提供行业领先的 DRAM 和 NAND 技术，并为数据中心、客户端、移动、图形和汽车客户提供新的解决方案。”</blockquote></p><p> In a presentation prepared for a call with investors scheduled for late Monday with investors, Micron said it expects “record revenue with solid profitability” for the August 2022 fiscal year, with stronger shipment growth in the second half. The company expects capital spending for the year in the $11 billion to $12 billion range, up from $9.7 billion in fiscal 2021.</p><p><blockquote>美光在为定于周一晚些时候举行的投资者看涨期权准备的演示文稿中表示，预计 2022 年 8 月财年 “创纪录的收入和稳健的盈利能力”，下半年的出货量增长将更加强劲。该公司预计今年的资本支出在 110 亿至 120 亿美元之间，高于 2021 财年的 97 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Micron expects demand for DRAM storage capacity, or bit demand, will grow in the low 20% range in 2021, with mid-to-high teens growth in 2022. For NAND, the company sees growth in the high 30% range for this year, and about 30% for next year.</p><p><blockquote>美光预计 2021 年 DRAM 存储容量需求（或 bit 需求）将在 20% 的低范围内增长，2022 年将以中高水平增长。对于 NAND，该公司预计今年的增长率将在 30% 左右，明年将达到 30% 左右。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154367089","content_text":"Micron Technology shares headed higher after the memory-chip company posted strong results, while providing better-than-expected forecasts for the current quarter.\nFor the fiscal first quarter, ended Dec. 2, Micron reported revenue of $7.69 billion, up 33% from a year ago, and marginally ahead of the company’s target of $7.65 billion, though down 7% sequentially. Non-GAAP profits were $2.16, above the company’s target of $2.10 a share.\nIn extended trading, the stock was up 6.2% to $87.14.\n\nThe company said revenue from dynamic random access memory, or DRAM, was up 38% from a year ago, and accounted for 73% of total revenue in the quarter. NAND chips were up 19% from a year ago, and accounted for 24% of total revenue. The company said average selling prices were down in the low single digits on a sequential basis for DRAM, while dropping in the mid-single digits for NAND.\nFor the fiscal second quarter, Micron projects revenue of $7.5 billion, give or take $200 million, with non-GAAP profits of $1.95 a share, plus or minus 10 cents. The Wall Street consensus had been for revenue of $7.27 billion and $1.86 in per-share profits. The company expects gross margin for the quarter of 46%, give or take a percentage point, down from 47% in the latest quarter.\nThe company also said it bought back $259 million of its shares in the latest quarter.\n“Micron delivered solid fiscal first quarter results led by strong product portfolio momentum,” Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said in a statement. “We are now shipping our industry-leading DRAM and NAND technologies across major end markets, and we delivered new solutions to data center, client, mobile, graphics and automotive customers.”\nIn a presentation prepared for a call with investors scheduled for late Monday with investors, Micron said it expects “record revenue with solid profitability” for the August 2022 fiscal year, with stronger shipment growth in the second half. The company expects capital spending for the year in the $11 billion to $12 billion range, up from $9.7 billion in fiscal 2021.\nMicron expects demand for DRAM storage capacity, or bit demand, will grow in the low 20% range in 2021, with mid-to-high teens growth in 2022. For NAND, the company sees growth in the high 30% range for this year, and about 30% for next year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2974,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690042502,"gmtCreate":1639617109146,"gmtModify":1639617109350,"author":{"id":"4090101535801240","authorId":"4090101535801240","name":"3033H","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/559d1bfb615380702af770ef9d5d4e74","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090101535801240","authorIdStr":"4090101535801240"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Sell sell sell","listText":"Sell sell sell","text":"Sell sell sell","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690042502","repostId":"1143795954","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3478,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877322034,"gmtCreate":1637890316766,"gmtModify":1637890316953,"author":{"id":"4090101535801240","authorId":"4090101535801240","name":"3033H","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/559d1bfb615380702af770ef9d5d4e74","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090101535801240","authorIdStr":"4090101535801240"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Not sure&nbsp;","listText":"Not sure&nbsp;","text":"Not sure","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877322034","repostId":"2186916023","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820205832,"gmtCreate":1633393444812,"gmtModify":1633393445127,"author":{"id":"4090101535801240","authorId":"4090101535801240","name":"3033H","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/559d1bfb615380702af770ef9d5d4e74","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090101535801240","authorIdStr":"4090101535801240"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Opportunity to invest in some great companies&nbsp;","listText":"Opportunity to invest in some great companies&nbsp;","text":"Opportunity to invest in some great companies","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820205832","repostId":"1196509629","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":886205776,"gmtCreate":1631591152095,"gmtModify":1631889063834,"author":{"id":"4090101535801240","authorId":"4090101535801240","name":"3033H","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/559d1bfb615380702af770ef9d5d4e74","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090101535801240","authorIdStr":"4090101535801240"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Not only to avoid this week but until they can demonstrate that they can grow and generate cash.","listText":"Not only to avoid this week but until they can demonstrate that they can grow and generate cash.","text":"Not only to avoid this week but until they can demonstrate that they can grow and generate cash.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886205776","repostId":"2167813525","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3845,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819788709,"gmtCreate":1630108039401,"gmtModify":1704955980099,"author":{"id":"4090101535801240","authorId":"4090101535801240","name":"3033H","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/559d1bfb615380702af770ef9d5d4e74","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090101535801240","authorIdStr":"4090101535801240"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Is still back to fundamental. Companies must be able to grow the revenue, profit and cash.","listText":"Is still back to fundamental. Companies must be able to grow the revenue, profit and cash.","text":"Is still back to fundamental. Companies must be able to grow the revenue, profit and cash.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819788709","repostId":"1184815007","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2913,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810938979,"gmtCreate":1629938321391,"gmtModify":1631889063883,"author":{"id":"4090101535801240","authorId":"4090101535801240","name":"3033H","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/559d1bfb615380702af770ef9d5d4e74","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090101535801240","authorIdStr":"4090101535801240"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Skyworks is in very good shape. Net cash, high ROE &amp; good FCF","listText":"Skyworks is in very good shape. Net cash, high ROE &amp; good FCF","text":"Skyworks is in very good shape. Net cash, high ROE & good FCF","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810938979","repostId":"1169751382","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2571,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834090678,"gmtCreate":1629760671994,"gmtModify":1631889063891,"author":{"id":"4090101535801240","authorId":"4090101535801240","name":"3033H","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/559d1bfb615380702af770ef9d5d4e74","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090101535801240","authorIdStr":"4090101535801240"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"On","listText":"On","text":"On","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834090678","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151608193?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股的回调——长期关注这 6 家公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares 半导体 ETF 较近期高点下跌超过 6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要大。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares 半导体 ETF 较近期高点下跌超过 6%，而标准普尔 500 指数、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为 2% 或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股票值得买入？或者，这个历史上具有周期性的行业是否故技重施，陷入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有股票多年，而不是租用几天，那么该集团值得购买。主要原因： “这次不一样”。</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>这些无疑是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了很大的变化，现在确实不同了——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我会回顾一下这些。但首先，以下是该集团现在 “更安全 ”的三个主要原因--以及我在过去几天里与六位行业专家交谈过的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>“Impax Asset Management 的投资组合经理 David Winborne 说：”受产品周期的驱动，芯片行业的需求总是时好时坏。“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长故事更可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益 “数字化 ”，终端市场需求从各个角度都更加多样化。把远程办公服务想象成<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">缩放</a>看好该集团的 Gabelli Funds 投资组合经理兼技术分析师 Hendi Susanto 指出，网上购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G 手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>“Motley Fool 芯片行业分析师 John Rotonti 说：”现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。“这意味着所有东西都有更多的筹码。长期需求是存在的”。</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他没开玩笑。威廉·布莱尔分析师格雷格·斯科拉罗预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着，你听到的大范围供应短缺 “可能要到明年年底的某个时候才能得到解决”。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师 Vivek Arya。“这不仅是我们的观点，而且<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>大多数大客户都证实了这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、玩家巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上下游，从设计到各类设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合成罗通蒂-评级 “赢得 ”的双头垄断或垄断。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，你有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻 (EUV) 等专业领域占据主导地位，例如 ASML。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好，赢得了他们的利基或双寡头地位。这使得投资者对它们感兴趣。Rotonti 表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面的行为更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所改善</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力比历史上高得多。“温伯恩说：”在过去的几年里，芯片制造的经济性有了很大的改善。现金流或 EBITDA 利润率现在通常超过 30%，而十年前则在 20% 左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere &amp; Co. 的投资组合经理拉马尔·维莱尔 (Lamar Villere) 指出，尽管芯片股票的交易市盈率约为市盈率，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们并没有以泡沫倍数进行交易”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近核实的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新管理层玩法</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管 Thrivent 高级股票研究分析师彼得·卡拉泽里斯 (Peter Karazeris) 有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司的业绩可能会因为新管理层而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳定的盈利能力。高通最近受到德克萨斯州恶劣天气等一次性问题的打击，导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">半导体</a>正在将手机以外的领域扩展到汽车、工业和物联网等新领域——联网设备领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris 还特别提到了 Nvidia， 由于其卓越的设计能力， Nvidia 从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得了持续提振。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当高通和英伟达等公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">概要</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool 的 Rotonti 解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具可以帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他特别指出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上增长最快的公司，但他们的利润率很高”。他们也主宰了太空。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图应用到硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向了ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板印在硅片上，这一过程称为极紫外线光刻。“罗通蒂说：”其他人还没有想出怎么做。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应这样做的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供过于求</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多，这样它就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne 表示，希望到 2025 年生产其使用的芯片的 70%，高于目前的 5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>结果是，政府为促进制造业提供了大量支持，因此会有更多支持。风险是未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的采购，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润率趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair 的 Scolaro 指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>干扰信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人 (PMI) 指数在 4 月份达到峰值，然后连续三个月放缓。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。Thrivent 跟踪该指标的 Karazeris 指出，通常两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存积累，而库存积累不如真正的终端市场需求可持续。因此，他认为这种背离是芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“卡拉泽里斯说：”这些通常是在周期的顶部而不是底部看到的东西。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但也有可能全球采购经理人指数的放缓更多的是芯片短缺的反映，而不是短缺并非真实存在的迹象（只是库存积压）。“Leuthold 经济学家兼策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说：”这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会翻盘消亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布不得不减产是因为芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求不足。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及对大件商品被压抑的需求等因素，体面的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支撑对所有使用芯片的产品的需求，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股的回调——长期关注这 6 家公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股的回调——长期关注这 6 家公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares 半导体 ETF 较近期高点下跌超过 6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要大。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares 半导体 ETF 较近期高点下跌超过 6%，而标准普尔 500 指数、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为 2% 或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股票值得买入？或者，这个历史上具有周期性的行业是否故技重施，陷入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有股票多年，而不是租用几天，那么该集团值得购买。主要原因： “这次不一样”。</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>这些无疑是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了很大的变化，现在确实不同了——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我会回顾一下这些。但首先，以下是该集团现在 “更安全 ”的三个主要原因--以及我在过去几天里与六位行业专家交谈过的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>“Impax Asset Management 的投资组合经理 David Winborne 说：”受产品周期的驱动，芯片行业的需求总是时好时坏。“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长故事更可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益 “数字化 ”，终端市场需求从各个角度都更加多样化。把远程办公服务想象成<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">缩放</a>看好该集团的 Gabelli Funds 投资组合经理兼技术分析师 Hendi Susanto 指出，网上购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G 手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>“Motley Fool 芯片行业分析师 John Rotonti 说：”现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。“这意味着所有东西都有更多的筹码。长期需求是存在的”。</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他没开玩笑。威廉·布莱尔分析师格雷格·斯科拉罗预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着，你听到的大范围供应短缺 “可能要到明年年底的某个时候才能得到解决”。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师 Vivek Arya。“这不仅是我们的观点，而且<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>大多数大客户都证实了这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、玩家巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上下游，从设计到各类设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合成罗通蒂-评级 “赢得 ”的双头垄断或垄断。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，你有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻 (EUV) 等专业领域占据主导地位，例如 ASML。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好，赢得了他们的利基或双寡头地位。这使得投资者对它们感兴趣。Rotonti 表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面的行为更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所改善</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力比历史上高得多。“温伯恩说：”在过去的几年里，芯片制造的经济性有了很大的改善。现金流或 EBITDA 利润率现在通常超过 30%，而十年前则在 20% 左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere &amp; Co. 的投资组合经理拉马尔·维莱尔 (Lamar Villere) 指出，尽管芯片股票的交易市盈率约为市盈率，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们并没有以泡沫倍数进行交易”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近核实的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新管理层玩法</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管 Thrivent 高级股票研究分析师彼得·卡拉泽里斯 (Peter Karazeris) 有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司的业绩可能会因为新管理层而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳定的盈利能力。高通最近受到德克萨斯州恶劣天气等一次性问题的打击，导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">半导体</a>正在将手机以外的领域扩展到汽车、工业和物联网等新领域——联网设备领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris 还特别提到了 Nvidia， 由于其卓越的设计能力， Nvidia 从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得了持续提振。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当高通和英伟达等公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">概要</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool 的 Rotonti 解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具可以帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他特别指出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上增长最快的公司，但他们的利润率很高”。他们也主宰了太空。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图应用到硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向了ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板印在硅片上，这一过程称为极紫外线光刻。“罗通蒂说：”其他人还没有想出怎么做。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应这样做的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供过于求</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多，这样它就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne 表示，希望到 2025 年生产其使用的芯片的 70%，高于目前的 5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>结果是，政府为促进制造业提供了大量支持，因此会有更多支持。风险是未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的采购，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润率趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair 的 Scolaro 指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>干扰信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人 (PMI) 指数在 4 月份达到峰值，然后连续三个月放缓。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。Thrivent 跟踪该指标的 Karazeris 指出，通常两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存积累，而库存积累不如真正的终端市场需求可持续。因此，他认为这种背离是芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“卡拉泽里斯说：”这些通常是在周期的顶部而不是底部看到的东西。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但也有可能全球采购经理人指数的放缓更多的是芯片短缺的反映，而不是短缺并非真实存在的迹象（只是库存积压）。“Leuthold 经济学家兼策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说：”这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会翻盘消亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布不得不减产是因为芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求不足。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及对大件商品被压抑的需求等因素，体面的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支撑对所有使用芯片的产品的需求，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","SNPS":"新思科技","NVDA":"英伟达","ON":"安森美半导体","GOOG":"谷歌","TSM":"台积电","ASML":"阿斯麦","AMZN":"亚马逊","SSNLF":"三星电子","CDNS":"铿腾电子","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","GOOGL":"谷歌A","QCOM":"高通"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SSNLF":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"ON":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"SOXX":0.9,"SNPS":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"ASML":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832899516,"gmtCreate":1629603228535,"gmtModify":1631889063895,"author":{"id":"4090101535801240","authorId":"4090101535801240","name":"3033H","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/559d1bfb615380702af770ef9d5d4e74","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090101535801240","authorIdStr":"4090101535801240"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cheap rubbish is still rubbish","listText":"Cheap rubbish is still rubbish","text":"Cheap rubbish is still rubbish","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832899516","repostId":"1172699620","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172699620","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629450202,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1172699620?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-20 17:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Penny Stocks: Why You Should Always Stay Away<blockquote>细价股：为什么你应该始终远离</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172699620","media":"Kiplinger","summary":"Penny stocks – those stocks that trade for low prices, often with share prices of less than a dollar","content":"<p>Penny stocks – those stocks that trade for low prices, often with share prices of less than a dollar per share – are dangerous. Period. Indeed, with a few exceptions, investors should steer clear of these uber-cheap stocks, which typically trade over-the-counter and not on a major exchange.</p><p><blockquote>细价股——那些低价交易的股票，通常股价不到每股一美元——是危险的。周期。事实上，除了少数例外，投资者应该避开这些超便宜的股票，这些股票通常在场外交易，而不是在主要交易所交易。</blockquote></p><p> Call them penny stocks, microcaps or OTC stocks; by any name, they’re bad news. Promises of quick and easy riches are easier to fall for when an investment can be made with so little money up front. An investor might think, \"How risky could it be?\"</p><p><blockquote>看涨期权它们是细价股、微型股或场外股票；不管怎么说，他们都是坏消息。当一项投资可以用这么少的前期资金进行时，快速轻松致富的承诺更容易落空。投资者可能会想，“风险有多大？”</blockquote></p><p> Plenty. Per the Securities and Exchange Commission: “Academic studies find that OTC stocks tend to be highly illiquid; are frequent targets of alleged market manipulation; generate negative and volatile investment returns on average; and rarely grow into a large company or transition to listing on a stock exchange.”</p><p><blockquote>大量。根据美国证券交易委员会的说法： “学术研究发现，场外交易股票往往流动性极差；经常成为涉嫌市场操纵的目标；平均投资回报为负且不稳定；很少成长为大公司或过渡到证券交易所上市”。</blockquote></p><p> We’ll break down what all that means below, but suffice to say, the SEC is not a fan.</p><p><blockquote>我们将在下面分析这一切的含义，但可以说，美国证券交易委员会并不喜欢它。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Why Penny Stocks Are So Dangerous</b></h3> To be clear, this is not to say that every penny stock or OTC company is a scam. The danger is that the over-the-counter market is where the scam stocks live. Think of it as a bad neighborhood. Being there can make you a mark for a con.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>为什么细价股如此危险</b></h3>需要明确的是，这并不是说每一个细价股或场外交易公司都是骗局。危险在于，场外市场是诈骗股票生存的地方。就当是个糟糕的社区吧。在那里会让你成为骗子的标记。</blockquote></p><p> For some background, the OTC market is different from exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange or Nasdaq, where trading is centralized. There is no one OTC exchange. Instead, the OTC connects buyers and sellers over a computer- and telephone-based system. Any stock that does not trade on the NYSE, Nasdaq or other established U.S. exchange can trade over-the-counter. These securities also are known as “unlisted stocks.”</p><p><blockquote>在某些背景下，场外交易市场不同于纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克等集中交易的交易所。没有场外交易所。相反，场外交易通过基于计算机和电话的系统连接买家和卖家。任何不在纽约证券交易所、纳斯达克或其他美国成熟交易所交易的股票都可以在场外交易。这些证券也被称为 “非上市股票”。</blockquote></p><p> Typically, OTC stocks tend to be highly risky microcap stocks (the shares of small companies with market capitalizations of under $300 million), which include nanocap stocks (those with market values of under $50 million).</p><p><blockquote>通常，场外股票往往是高风险的微型股（市值低于 3 亿美元的小公司的股票），其中包括纳米股（市值低于 5000 万美元的股票）。</blockquote></p><p> The SEC has long warned investors about the high risks associated with such stocks. The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), the industry’s self-regulatory agency, likewise waves a red flag over the buying and trading of OTC securities.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会长期以来一直警告投资者此类股票存在高风险。金融业监管局（FINRA）是金融业的自律机构，也对场外证券的购买和交易亮起了红旗。</blockquote></p><p> That’s because companies that list on the OTC aren’t required to file periodic or audited financial reports as they must do if they are listed on a major exchange, such as the NYSE or the Nasdaq. In other words, there’s no way to know if they’re telling the truth when they claim to have sales and profits. The major exchanges also have listing requirements; OTC stocks don’t. For example, a company must have at least 400 shareholders and a market value of at least $40 million to get a listing on the New York Stock Exchange. The OTC makes no such requirements.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为在场外交易所上市的公司无需像在纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克等主要交易所上市那样提交定期或经审计的财务报告。换句话说，当他们声称有销售额和利润时，根本无法知道他们说的是不是实话。各大交易所也有上市要求；场外股票则不然。例如，一家公司必须拥有至少400名股东，市值至少4000万美元才能在纽约证券交易所上市。OTC没有这样的要求。</blockquote></p><p> Put it all together, and it makes it easier for unscrupulous managers to lie about their business prospects or commit securities fraud.</p><p><blockquote>把所有这些放在一起，这使得不道德的经理更容易对他们的商业前景撒谎或进行证券欺诈。</blockquote></p><p> But that’s not all. The shares that exchange hands on the OTC tend to be “illiquid,” meaning they often trade in low volumes and have a limited number of buyers and sellers. That can make it difficult or impossible for investors to buy or sell shares at the prices they want.</p><p><blockquote>但这还不是全部。在场外交易所交易的股票往往 “流动性差”，这意味着它们的交易量往往较低，买卖双方数量有限。这可能会使投资者难以或不可能以他们想要的价格买卖股票。</blockquote></p><p> That lack of liquidity also makes many OTC stocks the perfect vehicle for “pump-and-dump” schemes where stock promoters lure investors to buy shares, increasing the stock price. Then, when the price gets high enough, the pumper sells his shares, causing the stock to fall and leaving investors with poor returns, or even losses. Anyone here see&nbsp;<i>The Wolf of Wall Street</i>?</p><p><blockquote>流动性的缺乏也使得许多场外股票成为 “拉高抛售 ”计划的完美工具，在这种计划中，股票发起人引诱投资者购买股票，从而推高股价。然后，当价格变得足够高时，泵商出售他的股票，导致股票下跌，给投资者留下糟糕的回报，甚至损失。这里有人看到了吗<i>华尔街之狼</i>?</blockquote></p><p> To protect investors from falling for these schemes, the SEC suspended trading of more than 800 microcap stocks – more than 8% of the OTC market – between 2012 and 2015. Once a stock has been suspended from trading, it cannot be relisted unless the company provides updated financial information to prove it’s actually operational. Since that rarely happens, trading suspensions essentially render the shares useless to scam artists.</p><p><blockquote>为了保护投资者免受这些计划的影响，SEC 在 2012 年至 2015 年间暂停了 800 多只微型股（占场外交易市场的 8% 以上）的交易。股票一旦被暂停交易，就不能重新上市，除非公司提供最新的财务信息来证明其实际运营。由于这种情况很少发生，暂停交易本质上使股票对诈骗艺术家毫无用处。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Legitimate OTCs</b></h3> Be that as it may, there is one segment of the OTC market that investors need not fear.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>合法场外交易</b></h3>尽管如此，场外交易市场有一个部分投资者不必担心。</blockquote></p><p> Amidst the riff-raff, some of the biggest, most respected foreign companies in the world list their U.S. shares over-the-counter instead of on the major U.S. exchanges. Here, you’ll find shares of&nbsp;<b>The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IDCBY\">Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd.</a></b>&nbsp;(IDCBY), which happens to be the biggest bank in the world. You also can buy shares of Switzerland’s<b>Nestlé</b>(NSRGY), the largest food company in the world; China’s&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCEHY\">Tencent Holding Ltd.</a></b>&nbsp;(TCEHY), one of the country’s largest internet service providers; and Japanese gaming giant&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTDOY\">Nintendo Co., Ltd.</a> </b>(NTDOY).</p><p><blockquote>在一片哗然之中，一些世界上最大、最受尊敬的外国公司在场外上市，而不是在美国主要交易所上市。在这里，您可以找到以下股票<b>这个<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IDCBY\">中国工商银行股份有限公司</a></b>（IDCBY），恰好是世界上最大的银行。您还可以购买瑞士<b>雀巢</b>（NSRGY），全球最大的食品公司；中国的<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCEHY\">腾讯控股控股有限公司</a></b>(TCEHY)，该国最大的互联网服务提供商之一；和日本游戏巨头<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTDOY\">任天堂有限公司</a></b>（NTDOY）。</blockquote></p><p> Why would major, international publicly traded companies rub shoulders with firms that issue highly speculative penny stocks?</p><p><blockquote>为什么大型国际上市公司会与发行高度投机性细价股的公司擦肩而过？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The reason has to do with cost and convenience. For example, a foreign firm listing on the NYSE or Nasdaq must prepare two sets of audited financial statements for everything it does – one to conform with international accounting standards, and another that adheres to the generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) used in the U.S. That isn’t a requirement over-the-counter.</p><p><blockquote>原因与成本和便利性有关。例如，在纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克上市的外国公司必须为其所做的一切准备两套经审计的财务报表--一套符合国际会计准则，另一套遵守美国使用的公认会计准则（GAAP），这不是场外交易的要求。</blockquote></p><p> With an OTC listing, a foreign company gains access to the vast pool of U.S. equity investors at a fraction of the cost and effort.</p><p><blockquote>通过场外上市，外国公司可以以很小的成本和精力接触到大量的美国股票投资者。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line is that with the exception of large, established foreign firms, OTC stocks come with too many risks. It’s not possible for the average investor to know if the company is on the up and up. And even legitimate tiny companies can fail virtually overnight. The pitfalls of trading OTC stocks just aren’t worth it.</p><p><blockquote>底线是，除了大型、成熟的外国公司之外，场外股票存在太多风险。普通投资者不可能知道公司是否蒸蒸日上。即使是合法的小公司也可能在一夜之间倒闭。交易场外股票交易的陷阱根本不值得。</blockquote></p><p> It’s easy enough to lose money investing in stocks. Why make it easier?</p><p><blockquote>投资股票很容易赔钱。为什么要让它变得更容易？</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1629449927514","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Penny Stocks: Why You Should Always Stay Away<blockquote>细价股：为什么你应该始终远离</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPenny Stocks: Why You Should Always Stay Away<blockquote>细价股：为什么你应该始终远离</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Kiplinger</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-20 17:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Penny stocks – those stocks that trade for low prices, often with share prices of less than a dollar per share – are dangerous. Period. Indeed, with a few exceptions, investors should steer clear of these uber-cheap stocks, which typically trade over-the-counter and not on a major exchange.</p><p><blockquote>细价股——那些低价交易的股票，通常股价不到每股一美元——是危险的。周期。事实上，除了少数例外，投资者应该避开这些超便宜的股票，这些股票通常在场外交易，而不是在主要交易所交易。</blockquote></p><p> Call them penny stocks, microcaps or OTC stocks; by any name, they’re bad news. Promises of quick and easy riches are easier to fall for when an investment can be made with so little money up front. An investor might think, \"How risky could it be?\"</p><p><blockquote>看涨期权它们是细价股、微型股或场外股票；不管怎么说，他们都是坏消息。当一项投资可以用这么少的前期资金进行时，快速轻松致富的承诺更容易落空。投资者可能会想，“风险有多大？”</blockquote></p><p> Plenty. Per the Securities and Exchange Commission: “Academic studies find that OTC stocks tend to be highly illiquid; are frequent targets of alleged market manipulation; generate negative and volatile investment returns on average; and rarely grow into a large company or transition to listing on a stock exchange.”</p><p><blockquote>大量。根据美国证券交易委员会的说法： “学术研究发现，场外交易股票往往流动性极差；经常成为涉嫌市场操纵的目标；平均投资回报为负且不稳定；很少成长为大公司或过渡到证券交易所上市”。</blockquote></p><p> We’ll break down what all that means below, but suffice to say, the SEC is not a fan.</p><p><blockquote>我们将在下面分析这一切的含义，但可以说，美国证券交易委员会并不喜欢它。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Why Penny Stocks Are So Dangerous</b></h3> To be clear, this is not to say that every penny stock or OTC company is a scam. The danger is that the over-the-counter market is where the scam stocks live. Think of it as a bad neighborhood. Being there can make you a mark for a con.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>为什么细价股如此危险</b></h3>需要明确的是，这并不是说每一个细价股或场外交易公司都是骗局。危险在于，场外市场是诈骗股票生存的地方。就当是个糟糕的社区吧。在那里会让你成为骗子的标记。</blockquote></p><p> For some background, the OTC market is different from exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange or Nasdaq, where trading is centralized. There is no one OTC exchange. Instead, the OTC connects buyers and sellers over a computer- and telephone-based system. Any stock that does not trade on the NYSE, Nasdaq or other established U.S. exchange can trade over-the-counter. These securities also are known as “unlisted stocks.”</p><p><blockquote>在某些背景下，场外交易市场不同于纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克等集中交易的交易所。没有场外交易所。相反，场外交易通过基于计算机和电话的系统连接买家和卖家。任何不在纽约证券交易所、纳斯达克或其他美国成熟交易所交易的股票都可以在场外交易。这些证券也被称为 “非上市股票”。</blockquote></p><p> Typically, OTC stocks tend to be highly risky microcap stocks (the shares of small companies with market capitalizations of under $300 million), which include nanocap stocks (those with market values of under $50 million).</p><p><blockquote>通常，场外股票往往是高风险的微型股（市值低于 3 亿美元的小公司的股票），其中包括纳米股（市值低于 5000 万美元的股票）。</blockquote></p><p> The SEC has long warned investors about the high risks associated with such stocks. The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), the industry’s self-regulatory agency, likewise waves a red flag over the buying and trading of OTC securities.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会长期以来一直警告投资者此类股票存在高风险。金融业监管局（FINRA）是金融业的自律机构，也对场外证券的购买和交易亮起了红旗。</blockquote></p><p> That’s because companies that list on the OTC aren’t required to file periodic or audited financial reports as they must do if they are listed on a major exchange, such as the NYSE or the Nasdaq. In other words, there’s no way to know if they’re telling the truth when they claim to have sales and profits. The major exchanges also have listing requirements; OTC stocks don’t. For example, a company must have at least 400 shareholders and a market value of at least $40 million to get a listing on the New York Stock Exchange. The OTC makes no such requirements.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为在场外交易所上市的公司无需像在纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克等主要交易所上市那样提交定期或经审计的财务报告。换句话说，当他们声称有销售额和利润时，根本无法知道他们说的是不是实话。各大交易所也有上市要求；场外股票则不然。例如，一家公司必须拥有至少400名股东，市值至少4000万美元才能在纽约证券交易所上市。OTC没有这样的要求。</blockquote></p><p> Put it all together, and it makes it easier for unscrupulous managers to lie about their business prospects or commit securities fraud.</p><p><blockquote>把所有这些放在一起，这使得不道德的经理更容易对他们的商业前景撒谎或进行证券欺诈。</blockquote></p><p> But that’s not all. The shares that exchange hands on the OTC tend to be “illiquid,” meaning they often trade in low volumes and have a limited number of buyers and sellers. That can make it difficult or impossible for investors to buy or sell shares at the prices they want.</p><p><blockquote>但这还不是全部。在场外交易所交易的股票往往 “流动性差”，这意味着它们的交易量往往较低，买卖双方数量有限。这可能会使投资者难以或不可能以他们想要的价格买卖股票。</blockquote></p><p> That lack of liquidity also makes many OTC stocks the perfect vehicle for “pump-and-dump” schemes where stock promoters lure investors to buy shares, increasing the stock price. Then, when the price gets high enough, the pumper sells his shares, causing the stock to fall and leaving investors with poor returns, or even losses. Anyone here see&nbsp;<i>The Wolf of Wall Street</i>?</p><p><blockquote>流动性的缺乏也使得许多场外股票成为 “拉高抛售 ”计划的完美工具，在这种计划中，股票发起人引诱投资者购买股票，从而推高股价。然后，当价格变得足够高时，泵商出售他的股票，导致股票下跌，给投资者留下糟糕的回报，甚至损失。这里有人看到了吗<i>华尔街之狼</i>?</blockquote></p><p> To protect investors from falling for these schemes, the SEC suspended trading of more than 800 microcap stocks – more than 8% of the OTC market – between 2012 and 2015. Once a stock has been suspended from trading, it cannot be relisted unless the company provides updated financial information to prove it’s actually operational. Since that rarely happens, trading suspensions essentially render the shares useless to scam artists.</p><p><blockquote>为了保护投资者免受这些计划的影响，SEC 在 2012 年至 2015 年间暂停了 800 多只微型股（占场外交易市场的 8% 以上）的交易。股票一旦被暂停交易，就不能重新上市，除非公司提供最新的财务信息来证明其实际运营。由于这种情况很少发生，暂停交易本质上使股票对诈骗艺术家毫无用处。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Legitimate OTCs</b></h3> Be that as it may, there is one segment of the OTC market that investors need not fear.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>合法场外交易</b></h3>尽管如此，场外交易市场有一个部分投资者不必担心。</blockquote></p><p> Amidst the riff-raff, some of the biggest, most respected foreign companies in the world list their U.S. shares over-the-counter instead of on the major U.S. exchanges. Here, you’ll find shares of&nbsp;<b>The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IDCBY\">Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd.</a></b>&nbsp;(IDCBY), which happens to be the biggest bank in the world. You also can buy shares of Switzerland’s<b>Nestlé</b>(NSRGY), the largest food company in the world; China’s&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCEHY\">Tencent Holding Ltd.</a></b>&nbsp;(TCEHY), one of the country’s largest internet service providers; and Japanese gaming giant&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTDOY\">Nintendo Co., Ltd.</a> </b>(NTDOY).</p><p><blockquote>在一片哗然之中，一些世界上最大、最受尊敬的外国公司在场外上市，而不是在美国主要交易所上市。在这里，您可以找到以下股票<b>这个<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IDCBY\">中国工商银行股份有限公司</a></b>（IDCBY），恰好是世界上最大的银行。您还可以购买瑞士<b>雀巢</b>（NSRGY），全球最大的食品公司；中国的<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCEHY\">腾讯控股控股有限公司</a></b>(TCEHY)，该国最大的互联网服务提供商之一；和日本游戏巨头<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTDOY\">任天堂有限公司</a></b>（NTDOY）。</blockquote></p><p> Why would major, international publicly traded companies rub shoulders with firms that issue highly speculative penny stocks?</p><p><blockquote>为什么大型国际上市公司会与发行高度投机性细价股的公司擦肩而过？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The reason has to do with cost and convenience. For example, a foreign firm listing on the NYSE or Nasdaq must prepare two sets of audited financial statements for everything it does – one to conform with international accounting standards, and another that adheres to the generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) used in the U.S. That isn’t a requirement over-the-counter.</p><p><blockquote>原因与成本和便利性有关。例如，在纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克上市的外国公司必须为其所做的一切准备两套经审计的财务报表--一套符合国际会计准则，另一套遵守美国使用的公认会计准则（GAAP），这不是场外交易的要求。</blockquote></p><p> With an OTC listing, a foreign company gains access to the vast pool of U.S. equity investors at a fraction of the cost and effort.</p><p><blockquote>通过场外上市，外国公司可以以很小的成本和精力接触到大量的美国股票投资者。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line is that with the exception of large, established foreign firms, OTC stocks come with too many risks. It’s not possible for the average investor to know if the company is on the up and up. And even legitimate tiny companies can fail virtually overnight. The pitfalls of trading OTC stocks just aren’t worth it.</p><p><blockquote>底线是，除了大型、成熟的外国公司之外，场外股票存在太多风险。普通投资者不可能知道公司是否蒸蒸日上。即使是合法的小公司也可能在一夜之间倒闭。交易场外股票交易的陷阱根本不值得。</blockquote></p><p> It’s easy enough to lose money investing in stocks. Why make it easier?</p><p><blockquote>投资股票很容易赔钱。为什么要让它变得更容易？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/603303/penny-stocks-always-stay-away\">Kiplinger</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NTDOY":"任天堂","TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR","IDCBY":"工商银行ADR"},"source_url":"https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/603303/penny-stocks-always-stay-away","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172699620","content_text":"Penny stocks – those stocks that trade for low prices, often with share prices of less than a dollar per share – are dangerous. Period. Indeed, with a few exceptions, investors should steer clear of these uber-cheap stocks, which typically trade over-the-counter and not on a major exchange.\nCall them penny stocks, microcaps or OTC stocks; by any name, they’re bad news. Promises of quick and easy riches are easier to fall for when an investment can be made with so little money up front. An investor might think, \"How risky could it be?\"\nPlenty. Per the Securities and Exchange Commission: “Academic studies find that OTC stocks tend to be highly illiquid; are frequent targets of alleged market manipulation; generate negative and volatile investment returns on average; and rarely grow into a large company or transition to listing on a stock exchange.”\nWe’ll break down what all that means below, but suffice to say, the SEC is not a fan.\nWhy Penny Stocks Are So Dangerous\nTo be clear, this is not to say that every penny stock or OTC company is a scam. The danger is that the over-the-counter market is where the scam stocks live. Think of it as a bad neighborhood. Being there can make you a mark for a con.\nFor some background, the OTC market is different from exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange or Nasdaq, where trading is centralized. There is no one OTC exchange. Instead, the OTC connects buyers and sellers over a computer- and telephone-based system. Any stock that does not trade on the NYSE, Nasdaq or other established U.S. exchange can trade over-the-counter. These securities also are known as “unlisted stocks.”\nTypically, OTC stocks tend to be highly risky microcap stocks (the shares of small companies with market capitalizations of under $300 million), which include nanocap stocks (those with market values of under $50 million).\nThe SEC has long warned investors about the high risks associated with such stocks. The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), the industry’s self-regulatory agency, likewise waves a red flag over the buying and trading of OTC securities.\nThat’s because companies that list on the OTC aren’t required to file periodic or audited financial reports as they must do if they are listed on a major exchange, such as the NYSE or the Nasdaq. In other words, there’s no way to know if they’re telling the truth when they claim to have sales and profits. The major exchanges also have listing requirements; OTC stocks don’t. For example, a company must have at least 400 shareholders and a market value of at least $40 million to get a listing on the New York Stock Exchange. The OTC makes no such requirements.\nPut it all together, and it makes it easier for unscrupulous managers to lie about their business prospects or commit securities fraud.\nBut that’s not all. The shares that exchange hands on the OTC tend to be “illiquid,” meaning they often trade in low volumes and have a limited number of buyers and sellers. That can make it difficult or impossible for investors to buy or sell shares at the prices they want.\nThat lack of liquidity also makes many OTC stocks the perfect vehicle for “pump-and-dump” schemes where stock promoters lure investors to buy shares, increasing the stock price. Then, when the price gets high enough, the pumper sells his shares, causing the stock to fall and leaving investors with poor returns, or even losses. Anyone here see The Wolf of Wall Street?\nTo protect investors from falling for these schemes, the SEC suspended trading of more than 800 microcap stocks – more than 8% of the OTC market – between 2012 and 2015. Once a stock has been suspended from trading, it cannot be relisted unless the company provides updated financial information to prove it’s actually operational. Since that rarely happens, trading suspensions essentially render the shares useless to scam artists.\nLegitimate OTCs\nBe that as it may, there is one segment of the OTC market that investors need not fear.\nAmidst the riff-raff, some of the biggest, most respected foreign companies in the world list their U.S. shares over-the-counter instead of on the major U.S. exchanges. Here, you’ll find shares of The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd. (IDCBY), which happens to be the biggest bank in the world. You also can buy shares of Switzerland’sNestlé(NSRGY), the largest food company in the world; China’s Tencent Holding Ltd. (TCEHY), one of the country’s largest internet service providers; and Japanese gaming giant Nintendo Co., Ltd. (NTDOY).\nWhy would major, international publicly traded companies rub shoulders with firms that issue highly speculative penny stocks?\nThe reason has to do with cost and convenience. For example, a foreign firm listing on the NYSE or Nasdaq must prepare two sets of audited financial statements for everything it does – one to conform with international accounting standards, and another that adheres to the generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) used in the U.S. That isn’t a requirement over-the-counter.\nWith an OTC listing, a foreign company gains access to the vast pool of U.S. equity investors at a fraction of the cost and effort.\nThe bottom line is that with the exception of large, established foreign firms, OTC stocks come with too many risks. It’s not possible for the average investor to know if the company is on the up and up. And even legitimate tiny companies can fail virtually overnight. The pitfalls of trading OTC stocks just aren’t worth it.\nIt’s easy enough to lose money investing in stocks. Why make it easier?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TCEHY":0.9,"NTDOY":0.9,"IDCBY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1981,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836410323,"gmtCreate":1629513572062,"gmtModify":1631889063894,"author":{"id":"4090101535801240","authorId":"4090101535801240","name":"3033H","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/559d1bfb615380702af770ef9d5d4e74","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090101535801240","authorIdStr":"4090101535801240"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Singapore has plenty of good&nbsp;dividend stock&nbsp;","listText":"Singapore has plenty of good&nbsp;dividend stock&nbsp;","text":"Singapore has plenty of good dividend stock","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836410323","repostId":"1104380958","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}