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The Fed Has Created the Monster Market: What's in Store for 2022?
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pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698635825","repostId":"1168664020","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168664020","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640339173,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168664020?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 17:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Has Created the Monster Market: What's in Store for 2022?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168664020","media":"Realmoney","summary":"The year 2021 should be labeled as the one that confounded even the most experienced of investors. T","content":"<p>The year 2021 should be labeled as the one that confounded even the most experienced of investors. Two years after the pandemic where the global central banks flushed the market with unimaginable liquidity in a short period of time to boost an economy that came to a grinding halt, one wonders why the U.S. central bank is still adding net liquidity to the market today, albeit at a slower pace. The Fed's mantra all throughout 2021 has been that \"inflation is transitory.\" But up until recently, when inflation is seen in everything from milk, coffee, rents, lumber, gas, construction, steel... to anything consumer related, even the Fed cannot use this word with a straight face. Using the word transitory loosely can still work if the horizon is anywhere from three months to two years. It seems the bond and rates markets have now forced the hand of the Fed to realize that inflation is certainly not transitory and they need to do something about it.</p>\n<p>The last two years has seen an \"everything bubble.\" Whether we like to believe it or not, all asset classes have risen with the same tide that the Fed created via its liquidity injection, some just a bit more based on beta and leverage. Many fund managers can use the word \"alpha\" to justify their returns, but in short, this Fed liquidity has distorted a host of asset prices and taking some of the larger ones way beyond their own fundamental value given what real yields and rates had done. A good example is the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) and racy tech growth stocks, after rallying in excess of 100%+, they have all now fallen over 50%+ the past few months, when the fundamental picture has not changed.</p>\n<p>And the simple reason is that liquidity is getting less and less in the market as the Fed is slowing down its asset purchases. Most emerging markets central banks and some developed ones have started raising rates, yet the Fed is still buying up to $90B-$100B of assets each month, two years after the pandemic. This at a time when jobless claims are at lows and the economy has recovered close to pre-pandemic levels from the demand side, if not from the employment side. The Fed's target for QE was to get employment back to pre Covid levels, but that goal post is much further now as participation rate has lagged. A lot of people have permanently retired from the workforce and this is something that the Fed is realizing just now.</p>\n<p>The latest FOMC meeting presided by the Fed announced that they would reduce their asset purchases even more aggressively by $30B per month instead of $15B. At this rate, the Fed will end its QE around March 2022. The bigger question now is how soon and how fast will the Fed start to raise rates? The market is pricing in about three rate hikes just in 2022 alone. If supply chain shortages persist, inflation is not expected to come down any time soon. As we enter 2022, we are entering an economy that is robust but at risk of plateauing post the liquidity induced demand surge, and with heightened inflation not seen since the 1980s! The year over year CPI rate is averaging between 6%-7% now, and it is at an alarmingly uncomfortable level. We are entering 2022 in a slight stagflationary environment, one that has not been seen or traded by the majority of traders that now exist in the market.</p>\n<p>At the moment, there is still net liquidity being added to the market, and that could be one of the main reasons why the S&P 500 will hold up well here, but one wonders whether it can hold these levels in Q1 when fed balance sheet stops increasing altogether. Perhaps it is time for investors to stop focusing on Meme stocks or bankrupt stocks trying \"to make a quick buck\", squeezing out shorts via buying upside calls. Perhaps the market will return to some sort of rational behavior and display some economics 101 characteristics. One thing is for sure, asset allocation will need to shift into assets that are more inflation protected, hard assets like precious metals. Will 2022 finally be the year for gold?</p>","source":"lsy1619508253632","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Has Created the Monster Market: What's in Store for 2022?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Has Created the Monster Market: What's in Store for 2022?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-24 17:46 GMT+8 <a href=https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/the-fed-has-created-the-monster-market-what-s-in-store-for-2022--15869560><strong>Realmoney</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The year 2021 should be labeled as the one that confounded even the most experienced of investors. Two years after the pandemic where the global central banks flushed the market with unimaginable ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/the-fed-has-created-the-monster-market-what-s-in-store-for-2022--15869560\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/the-fed-has-created-the-monster-market-what-s-in-store-for-2022--15869560","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168664020","content_text":"The year 2021 should be labeled as the one that confounded even the most experienced of investors. Two years after the pandemic where the global central banks flushed the market with unimaginable liquidity in a short period of time to boost an economy that came to a grinding halt, one wonders why the U.S. central bank is still adding net liquidity to the market today, albeit at a slower pace. The Fed's mantra all throughout 2021 has been that \"inflation is transitory.\" But up until recently, when inflation is seen in everything from milk, coffee, rents, lumber, gas, construction, steel... to anything consumer related, even the Fed cannot use this word with a straight face. Using the word transitory loosely can still work if the horizon is anywhere from three months to two years. It seems the bond and rates markets have now forced the hand of the Fed to realize that inflation is certainly not transitory and they need to do something about it.\nThe last two years has seen an \"everything bubble.\" Whether we like to believe it or not, all asset classes have risen with the same tide that the Fed created via its liquidity injection, some just a bit more based on beta and leverage. Many fund managers can use the word \"alpha\" to justify their returns, but in short, this Fed liquidity has distorted a host of asset prices and taking some of the larger ones way beyond their own fundamental value given what real yields and rates had done. A good example is the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) and racy tech growth stocks, after rallying in excess of 100%+, they have all now fallen over 50%+ the past few months, when the fundamental picture has not changed.\nAnd the simple reason is that liquidity is getting less and less in the market as the Fed is slowing down its asset purchases. Most emerging markets central banks and some developed ones have started raising rates, yet the Fed is still buying up to $90B-$100B of assets each month, two years after the pandemic. This at a time when jobless claims are at lows and the economy has recovered close to pre-pandemic levels from the demand side, if not from the employment side. The Fed's target for QE was to get employment back to pre Covid levels, but that goal post is much further now as participation rate has lagged. A lot of people have permanently retired from the workforce and this is something that the Fed is realizing just now.\nThe latest FOMC meeting presided by the Fed announced that they would reduce their asset purchases even more aggressively by $30B per month instead of $15B. At this rate, the Fed will end its QE around March 2022. The bigger question now is how soon and how fast will the Fed start to raise rates? The market is pricing in about three rate hikes just in 2022 alone. If supply chain shortages persist, inflation is not expected to come down any time soon. As we enter 2022, we are entering an economy that is robust but at risk of plateauing post the liquidity induced demand surge, and with heightened inflation not seen since the 1980s! The year over year CPI rate is averaging between 6%-7% now, and it is at an alarmingly uncomfortable level. We are entering 2022 in a slight stagflationary environment, one that has not been seen or traded by the majority of traders that now exist in the market.\nAt the moment, there is still net liquidity being added to the market, and that could be one of the main reasons why the S&P 500 will hold up well here, but one wonders whether it can hold these levels in Q1 when fed balance sheet stops increasing altogether. Perhaps it is time for investors to stop focusing on Meme stocks or bankrupt stocks trying \"to make a quick buck\", squeezing out shorts via buying upside calls. Perhaps the market will return to some sort of rational behavior and display some economics 101 characteristics. One thing is for sure, asset allocation will need to shift into assets that are more inflation protected, hard assets like precious metals. Will 2022 finally be the year for gold?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2287,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691247446,"gmtCreate":1640216227489,"gmtModify":1640216227815,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090500580946240","authorIdStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691247446","repostId":"2193211354","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691961771,"gmtCreate":1640127206590,"gmtModify":1640127206867,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090500580946240","authorIdStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691961771","repostId":"2193154031","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693461263,"gmtCreate":1640064547390,"gmtModify":1640064547706,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090500580946240","authorIdStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693461263","repostId":"1181908837","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181908837","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640063718,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1181908837?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-21 13:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: Beware The Illusions Of Growth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181908837","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - ","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Sea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures.</li>\n <li>The uniqueness of SE, the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to it. But these dynamics have changed.</li>\n <li>The e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter amid a shrinking GMV per order trend.</li>\n <li>The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to \"subsidize\" the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further.</li>\n <li>Analysts are projecting a persistent revenue growth slowdown in the coming quarters and years.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Investment thesis</p>\n<p>Sea Limited(NYSE:SE)has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures such as study/work-from-home. SE stock was already a solid performer pre-COVID, with gains surpassing that of its Chinese peer, Tencent Holdings (OTCPK:TCEHY) (OTCPK:TCTZF), and Latin American peer, MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI).</p>\n<p>Over the past three years, Sea Ltd. has seen its share price soar more than 3000 percent. After recent declines, SE stock is still up over 17 times from late December 2018. In the same period MELI stock is up 2.8 times while TCEHY stock is up only 47 percent.</p>\n<p>Strictly speaking, Sea Limited doesn't have an equivalent among the large internet companies. Its gaming business is highly profitable, enabling it to fund its heavily loss-making e-commerce and fintech units. MercadoLibre hosts the largest online commerce and payments ecosystem in Latin America and it doesn't count gaming as a core business.</p>\n<p>Tencent is big in gaming and fintech but its e-commerce ambitions are mostly manifested through its investments in related companies. Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) is huge in e-commerce and fintech but gaming is not a meaningful division on its own.</p>\n<p>Sea Limited's peers in Southeast Asia are also having different backgrounds. Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) started as a ride-hailing platform and subsequently branched into fintech and on-demand delivery including groceries. Indonesia's GoTo Group (GOTO) is formed from the merger of the two largest startups in the country - ride-hailing giant Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p>\n<p>Thus, the uniqueness of Sea Limited, particularly the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to this tech firm halfway around the globe from the U.S. However, the growth at its gaming unit, Garena, which the company categorizes as Digital Entertainment, registered a dramatic slowdown in the third quarter of 2021.</p>\n<p>Although the gross orders and GMV metrics are still showing healthy growth, the e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter. The total adjusted EBITDA for Sea Limited has flipped to negative this year. In other words, the profitable gaming business is no longer able to offset the escalating losses from the e-commerce and digital financial services divisions.</p>\n<p>At the same time, share-based compensation continues to rise steadily. Competition in the region is also heating up, with GRAB coming to public view following its merger with a SPAC, and GoTo Group eager to show solid growth figures in the prelude to its IPO.</p>\n<p>Hence, while I'm late to the warning party, with the SE stock down 42 percent from its recent peak, the steepest fall since it became publicly traded, I believe there could be further downside over the months ahead.</p>\n<p>Thus, the motivation of this article is to delve deeper into the seemingly incomplete picture provided by the results presentations to understand the health of Sea Limited's e-commerce business. I will also highlight the ballooning losses as the divisions named E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services scale up.</p>\n<p>GMV growth tells only a partial (and possibly erroneous) story</p>\n<p>Sea Limited's e-commerce arm, Shopee, has successfully increased its gross orders from 0.6 billion in 2Q 2020 to 1.7 billion in 3Q 2021, nearly tripling during the interval. Shopee's gross merchandise value (GMV) more than doubled from US$8.0 billion in 2Q 2020 to US$16.8 billion in 3Q 2021.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c762afa3d2ab4131c56afe6ee34fdb07\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"328\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">While the growth figures look all fantastic, we need to understand the gross order numbers have been increasing at a faster pace than the GMV. In other words, the value per transaction has been declining steadily. The GMV per gross order has fallen from $13.3 in Q3 2020 to $9.9 in Q3 2021. I estimated this to reduce further to around $9.3 for the final quarter of 2021 if the trend continues.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aac28723c01b836c9673b49744926e09\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"391\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">A smaller value per order may help Shopee gain from transaction-based fees. However, it's hard to see how the rising prevalence of lower value items helps with monetizing value-added services and advertising revenue over the long run.</p>\n<p>For now, Shopee is still reporting healthy monetization, with GAAP revenue as a percentage of total GMV rising to 8.6 percent from 6.7 percent in the third quarter of 2020. GAAP e-commerce revenue grew 134 percent from last year to reach $1.5 billion.</p>\n<p>To reverse the shrinking GMV per order trend, Shopee would need to sell larger ticket items like luxury products. Shopee recognizes this and it launched Shopee Premium, a delicate section on Shopee for select brand partners in the luxury segment, a year ago.</p>\n<p>It remains to be seen if Shopee can improve the user experience sufficiently to entice users to shop luxury items on its app. In its present form, based on my experience and the feedback I gathered from friends, navigation on the Shopee app can be frustrating at times and the product information page leaves much to be desired.</p>\n<p>Nonetheless, we are flocking to Shopee for the great bargains offered on the platform. There are plenty of deeply discounted items during \"flash sales\" periods, which have become increasingly prevalent. Would users return to Shopee when it stops being aggressive on promotions and if competing platforms turn on their respective campaigns?</p>\n<p>Unless the luxury products are heavily discounted, I question why users would buy on Shopee otherwise, at least based on the current interface. Then again, luxury brands wouldn't want to sully their image with steep offers on Shopee, or Shopee Premium, for that matter.</p>\n<p>A lower GMV per transaction would also imply that Shopee's operating cost could be rising, considering the larger bandwidth and processing efforts required in handling the growing orders.</p>\n<p>Losses keep ballooning, share-based compensation keeps rising</p>\n<p>GAAP e-commerce revenue growth is healthy and even outpacing the GMV growth. That means Sea Limited's Shopee is increasing its monetization. However, is all well and good?</p>\n<p>Sea Limited's total revenues have risen rapidly over the past years, but so have its losses. Just looking at the cost of revenues and total operating expenses, these have soared, growing exponentially in recent years. If we just obsess with growing sales at all costs, then we can ignore the escalating losses.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef17a9a9a279c55673ba39f1dd74577\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"418\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">However, can shareholders be comfortable with the skyrocketing losses over another few years? Sea Limited looks set to end 2021 with a larger loss than last year, which already saw a substantially higher loss than 2019. One major driver of this is the inability of the Digital Entertainment division to offset the losses from the other two core business units - E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services. This resulted in the total adjusted EBITDA sinking to a negative $165.5 million in the third quarter of 2021 compared to a $120.4 billion gain in the same period last year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7613c5f9692fd8549e9da2f931ab3a68\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"509\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">We often hear the bear case saying that if these pandemic beneficiaries cannot turn their economies of scale into profitability with this massive tailwind, when will they ever? Despite ever-rising revenues, Sea Ltd. has been posting a downtrend in its operating income and net income. Sea Ltd.'s net income reached a staggering $1.95 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis as of the third quarter of 2021.</p>\n<p>The bull camp can defend Sea Limited saying it is still investing in user growth and new businesses. That's fair. However, are shareholders aware that Wall Street analysts have projected a significant slowdown in Sea Ltd.'s revenue growth? On a consensus basis, its Q4 2021 revenue would slow further to 93.5 percent and the subsequent quarters will continue the deceleration to post 16.1 percent year-on-year growth by the fourth quarter of 2023.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/547ca89e5de6c8d087dfbd50dd92c0d7\" tg-width=\"593\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Looking further out, Sea Limited's revenue growth on a year-on-year basis is estimated to shrink from 114.6 percent in 2021 to 50.1 percent next year and a mere 8.8 percent by the end of 2025.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d4ffb56269c34a8a17dfcd097375cc\" tg-width=\"612\" tg-height=\"249\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The bulls could argue that Sea Limited has a strong track record of surpassing the consensus revenue estimates. In the 16 quarters of posting earnings as a public company, it has only one miss (Q1 2021) and that was a very minor one. This suggests that analysts have been conservative in their forecasts on Sea Limited and there is room for upward adjustments in the coming quarters.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77fd8b53015b510bb1e02139cd50a625\" tg-width=\"615\" tg-height=\"325\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">However, if Sea Limited maintains its breakneck revenue growth while its profitability doesn't improve to a positive in the coming years, analysts and shareholders would be hard-pressed to find a convincing reason to keep their faith in the company. According to the consensus estimates, Sea Limited wouldn't see a positive profit before 2024.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f88fc46a02603196127dcef0701f4529\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"186\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The projection showing an improving EPS trend is comforting. However, in contrast with its revenue beats, Sea Limited has long been challenged in meeting analysts' expectations of its earnings. Except for one lone quarter, Sea Limited has delivered negative surprises for all its reported quarterly EPS. In the last reported quarter, Sea Limited missed by a whopping 37.4 percent.</p>\n<p>The largest-ever miss was in March 2020 where the reported EPS was 78.9 percent lower than the consensus. This meant that the above analyst estimates for its EPS could be optimistic and Sea Limited may not see a positive profit even in 2024 or 2025.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/373d1efa57c3058f0cb2d6628368087f\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"322\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Hedgeye recently named Sea Limited as its best idea short. The research firm called Sea Limited's flagship game Garena Free Fire a \"one-hit wonder whose performance has peaked.\" The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to 'subsidize' the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further. Constraining the freewheeling 'spending' for the latter two units may result in slower growth that reverses the bull camp's thesis.</p>\n<p>Never mind the widening losses, shareholders can wait, the management might have reasoned. Meanwhile, Sea Limited remains generous with its share-based compensation [SBC]. The SBC is projected to rise to $133.4 million for the final quarter of 2021. This is a sharp rise from the mere $34.9 million given out in 2019 4Q.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de99388fbd2c5d34db0aa558e6665dbe\" tg-width=\"633\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It may be worthwhile to note that the outstanding shares count of Sea Limited has doubled from 2017. In September, the company made a direct public offering of 11 million American Depositary Shares and 0.25 percent convertible senior unsecured notes with an aggregate principal of US$2.5 billion.</p>\n<p>Sea Limited said then that it planned \"to use the net proceeds from the Offerings for business expansion and other general corporate purposes, including potential strategic investments and acquisitions.\" Could its international expansion endeavors support Sea Limited in perpetuating its high-growth story? At the expense of escalating costs amid a reckoning of pandemic stocks?</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: Beware The Illusions Of Growth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: Beware The Illusions Of Growth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-21 13:15 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475916-sea-limited-se-stock-beware-growth-illusions><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nSea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures.\nThe uniqueness of SE, the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475916-sea-limited-se-stock-beware-growth-illusions\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475916-sea-limited-se-stock-beware-growth-illusions","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181908837","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures.\nThe uniqueness of SE, the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to it. But these dynamics have changed.\nThe e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter amid a shrinking GMV per order trend.\nThe profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to \"subsidize\" the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further.\nAnalysts are projecting a persistent revenue growth slowdown in the coming quarters and years.\n\nInvestment thesis\nSea Limited(NYSE:SE)has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures such as study/work-from-home. SE stock was already a solid performer pre-COVID, with gains surpassing that of its Chinese peer, Tencent Holdings (OTCPK:TCEHY) (OTCPK:TCTZF), and Latin American peer, MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI).\nOver the past three years, Sea Ltd. has seen its share price soar more than 3000 percent. After recent declines, SE stock is still up over 17 times from late December 2018. In the same period MELI stock is up 2.8 times while TCEHY stock is up only 47 percent.\nStrictly speaking, Sea Limited doesn't have an equivalent among the large internet companies. Its gaming business is highly profitable, enabling it to fund its heavily loss-making e-commerce and fintech units. MercadoLibre hosts the largest online commerce and payments ecosystem in Latin America and it doesn't count gaming as a core business.\nTencent is big in gaming and fintech but its e-commerce ambitions are mostly manifested through its investments in related companies. Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) is huge in e-commerce and fintech but gaming is not a meaningful division on its own.\nSea Limited's peers in Southeast Asia are also having different backgrounds. Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) started as a ride-hailing platform and subsequently branched into fintech and on-demand delivery including groceries. Indonesia's GoTo Group (GOTO) is formed from the merger of the two largest startups in the country - ride-hailing giant Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.\nThus, the uniqueness of Sea Limited, particularly the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to this tech firm halfway around the globe from the U.S. However, the growth at its gaming unit, Garena, which the company categorizes as Digital Entertainment, registered a dramatic slowdown in the third quarter of 2021.\nAlthough the gross orders and GMV metrics are still showing healthy growth, the e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter. The total adjusted EBITDA for Sea Limited has flipped to negative this year. In other words, the profitable gaming business is no longer able to offset the escalating losses from the e-commerce and digital financial services divisions.\nAt the same time, share-based compensation continues to rise steadily. Competition in the region is also heating up, with GRAB coming to public view following its merger with a SPAC, and GoTo Group eager to show solid growth figures in the prelude to its IPO.\nHence, while I'm late to the warning party, with the SE stock down 42 percent from its recent peak, the steepest fall since it became publicly traded, I believe there could be further downside over the months ahead.\nThus, the motivation of this article is to delve deeper into the seemingly incomplete picture provided by the results presentations to understand the health of Sea Limited's e-commerce business. I will also highlight the ballooning losses as the divisions named E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services scale up.\nGMV growth tells only a partial (and possibly erroneous) story\nSea Limited's e-commerce arm, Shopee, has successfully increased its gross orders from 0.6 billion in 2Q 2020 to 1.7 billion in 3Q 2021, nearly tripling during the interval. Shopee's gross merchandise value (GMV) more than doubled from US$8.0 billion in 2Q 2020 to US$16.8 billion in 3Q 2021.While the growth figures look all fantastic, we need to understand the gross order numbers have been increasing at a faster pace than the GMV. In other words, the value per transaction has been declining steadily. The GMV per gross order has fallen from $13.3 in Q3 2020 to $9.9 in Q3 2021. I estimated this to reduce further to around $9.3 for the final quarter of 2021 if the trend continues.A smaller value per order may help Shopee gain from transaction-based fees. However, it's hard to see how the rising prevalence of lower value items helps with monetizing value-added services and advertising revenue over the long run.\nFor now, Shopee is still reporting healthy monetization, with GAAP revenue as a percentage of total GMV rising to 8.6 percent from 6.7 percent in the third quarter of 2020. GAAP e-commerce revenue grew 134 percent from last year to reach $1.5 billion.\nTo reverse the shrinking GMV per order trend, Shopee would need to sell larger ticket items like luxury products. Shopee recognizes this and it launched Shopee Premium, a delicate section on Shopee for select brand partners in the luxury segment, a year ago.\nIt remains to be seen if Shopee can improve the user experience sufficiently to entice users to shop luxury items on its app. In its present form, based on my experience and the feedback I gathered from friends, navigation on the Shopee app can be frustrating at times and the product information page leaves much to be desired.\nNonetheless, we are flocking to Shopee for the great bargains offered on the platform. There are plenty of deeply discounted items during \"flash sales\" periods, which have become increasingly prevalent. Would users return to Shopee when it stops being aggressive on promotions and if competing platforms turn on their respective campaigns?\nUnless the luxury products are heavily discounted, I question why users would buy on Shopee otherwise, at least based on the current interface. Then again, luxury brands wouldn't want to sully their image with steep offers on Shopee, or Shopee Premium, for that matter.\nA lower GMV per transaction would also imply that Shopee's operating cost could be rising, considering the larger bandwidth and processing efforts required in handling the growing orders.\nLosses keep ballooning, share-based compensation keeps rising\nGAAP e-commerce revenue growth is healthy and even outpacing the GMV growth. That means Sea Limited's Shopee is increasing its monetization. However, is all well and good?\nSea Limited's total revenues have risen rapidly over the past years, but so have its losses. Just looking at the cost of revenues and total operating expenses, these have soared, growing exponentially in recent years. If we just obsess with growing sales at all costs, then we can ignore the escalating losses.\nHowever, can shareholders be comfortable with the skyrocketing losses over another few years? Sea Limited looks set to end 2021 with a larger loss than last year, which already saw a substantially higher loss than 2019. One major driver of this is the inability of the Digital Entertainment division to offset the losses from the other two core business units - E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services. This resulted in the total adjusted EBITDA sinking to a negative $165.5 million in the third quarter of 2021 compared to a $120.4 billion gain in the same period last year.\nWe often hear the bear case saying that if these pandemic beneficiaries cannot turn their economies of scale into profitability with this massive tailwind, when will they ever? Despite ever-rising revenues, Sea Ltd. has been posting a downtrend in its operating income and net income. Sea Ltd.'s net income reached a staggering $1.95 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis as of the third quarter of 2021.\nThe bull camp can defend Sea Limited saying it is still investing in user growth and new businesses. That's fair. However, are shareholders aware that Wall Street analysts have projected a significant slowdown in Sea Ltd.'s revenue growth? On a consensus basis, its Q4 2021 revenue would slow further to 93.5 percent and the subsequent quarters will continue the deceleration to post 16.1 percent year-on-year growth by the fourth quarter of 2023.\nLooking further out, Sea Limited's revenue growth on a year-on-year basis is estimated to shrink from 114.6 percent in 2021 to 50.1 percent next year and a mere 8.8 percent by the end of 2025.The bulls could argue that Sea Limited has a strong track record of surpassing the consensus revenue estimates. In the 16 quarters of posting earnings as a public company, it has only one miss (Q1 2021) and that was a very minor one. This suggests that analysts have been conservative in their forecasts on Sea Limited and there is room for upward adjustments in the coming quarters.However, if Sea Limited maintains its breakneck revenue growth while its profitability doesn't improve to a positive in the coming years, analysts and shareholders would be hard-pressed to find a convincing reason to keep their faith in the company. According to the consensus estimates, Sea Limited wouldn't see a positive profit before 2024.The projection showing an improving EPS trend is comforting. However, in contrast with its revenue beats, Sea Limited has long been challenged in meeting analysts' expectations of its earnings. Except for one lone quarter, Sea Limited has delivered negative surprises for all its reported quarterly EPS. In the last reported quarter, Sea Limited missed by a whopping 37.4 percent.\nThe largest-ever miss was in March 2020 where the reported EPS was 78.9 percent lower than the consensus. This meant that the above analyst estimates for its EPS could be optimistic and Sea Limited may not see a positive profit even in 2024 or 2025.\nHedgeye recently named Sea Limited as its best idea short. The research firm called Sea Limited's flagship game Garena Free Fire a \"one-hit wonder whose performance has peaked.\" The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to 'subsidize' the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further. Constraining the freewheeling 'spending' for the latter two units may result in slower growth that reverses the bull camp's thesis.\nNever mind the widening losses, shareholders can wait, the management might have reasoned. Meanwhile, Sea Limited remains generous with its share-based compensation [SBC]. The SBC is projected to rise to $133.4 million for the final quarter of 2021. This is a sharp rise from the mere $34.9 million given out in 2019 4Q.\nIt may be worthwhile to note that the outstanding shares count of Sea Limited has doubled from 2017. In September, the company made a direct public offering of 11 million American Depositary Shares and 0.25 percent convertible senior unsecured notes with an aggregate principal of US$2.5 billion.\nSea Limited said then that it planned \"to use the net proceeds from the Offerings for business expansion and other general corporate purposes, including potential strategic investments and acquisitions.\" Could its international expansion endeavors support Sea Limited in perpetuating its high-growth story? At the expense of escalating costs amid a reckoning of pandemic stocks?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693912607,"gmtCreate":1639960296705,"gmtModify":1639960297026,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090500580946240","authorIdStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693912607","repostId":"1154958924","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1154958924","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639958978,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154958924?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 08:09","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Stock Market May Give Up Support At 3,100 Points","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154958924","media":"RTTNews","summary":"The Singapore stock market has alternated between positive and negative finishes through the last fo","content":"<p>The Singapore stock market has alternated between positive and negative finishes through the last four trading days since the end of the two-day slide in which it had fallen more than 20 points or 0.7 percent. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,110-point plateau and it may take further damage again on Monday.</p>\n<p>The global forecast for the Asian markets is soft on omicron coronavirus concerns and sinking oil prices. The European markets were mixed and the U.S. bourses were down and the Asian markets figure to split the difference.</p>\n<p>The STI finished modestly lower on Friday following losses from the industrials and properties, while the financials came in mixed.</p>\n<p>For the day, the index lost 17.17 points or 0.55 percent to finish at the daily low of 3,111.63 after peaking at 3,134.99. Volume was 1.2 billion shares worth 1.5 billion Singapore dollars. There were 280 decliners and 188 gainers.</p>\n<p>Among the actives, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Mapletree Commercial Trust both slumped 0.50 percent, while City Developments tanked 1.45 percent, Comfort DelGro lost 0.72 percent, Dairy Farm International slid 0.36 percent, DBS Group collected 0.34 percent, Genting Singapore fell 0.65 percent, Hongkong Land plummeted 2.07 percent, Keppel Corp and Venture Corporation both sank 0.97 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust weakened 0.53 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation eased 0.09 percent, SATS skidded 1.03 percent, SembCorp Industries plunged 1.49 percent, Singapore Airlines dropped 0.81 percent, Singapore Exchange tumbled 1.39 percent, Singapore Press Holdings added 0.43 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering retreated 1.06 percent, SingTel stumbled 0.63 percent, Thai Beverage shed 0.75 percent, United Overseas Bank dipped 0.30 percent, Wilmar International declined 1.21 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding and Ascendas REIT were unchanged.</p>\n<p>The lead from Wall Street is negative as the major averages opened lower on a volatile Friday. The NASDAQ peeked briefly into the green but the markets all still finished in the red.</p>\n<p>The Dow plunged 532.16 points or 1.48 percent to finish at 35,365.44, while the NASDAQ dipped 10.72 points or 0.07 percent to close at 15,169.68 and the S&P 500 sank 48.03 points or 1.03 percent to end at 4,620.64. For the week, the NASDAQ plunged 2.9 percent, the Dow lost 1.7 percent and the S&P was down 1.9 percent.</p>\n<p>The volatility on Wall Street came on a quadruple witching day, with stock options, index options, stock futures and index futures all expiring.</p>\n<p>Concerns about the impact of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus also weighed on the markets along with worries about ongoing supply chain issues.</p>\n<p>Crude oil prices tumbled Friday on concerns for energy demand due to a rapid surge in Omicron variant of the coronavirus and reimposition of restrictions. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January sank $1.52 or 2.1 percent at $70.86 a barrel. WTI crude futures shed 1.1 percent in the week.</p>","source":"lsy1626938412129","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Stock Market May Give Up Support At 3,100 Points</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Stock Market May Give Up Support At 3,100 Points\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-20 08:09 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.rttnews.com/3250329/singapore-stock-market-may-give-up-support-at-3100-points.aspx><strong>RTTNews</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Singapore stock market has alternated between positive and negative finishes through the last four trading days since the end of the two-day slide in which it had fallen more than 20 points or 0.7...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3250329/singapore-stock-market-may-give-up-support-at-3100-points.aspx\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3250329/singapore-stock-market-may-give-up-support-at-3100-points.aspx","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154958924","content_text":"The Singapore stock market has alternated between positive and negative finishes through the last four trading days since the end of the two-day slide in which it had fallen more than 20 points or 0.7 percent. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,110-point plateau and it may take further damage again on Monday.\nThe global forecast for the Asian markets is soft on omicron coronavirus concerns and sinking oil prices. The European markets were mixed and the U.S. bourses were down and the Asian markets figure to split the difference.\nThe STI finished modestly lower on Friday following losses from the industrials and properties, while the financials came in mixed.\nFor the day, the index lost 17.17 points or 0.55 percent to finish at the daily low of 3,111.63 after peaking at 3,134.99. Volume was 1.2 billion shares worth 1.5 billion Singapore dollars. There were 280 decliners and 188 gainers.\nAmong the actives, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Mapletree Commercial Trust both slumped 0.50 percent, while City Developments tanked 1.45 percent, Comfort DelGro lost 0.72 percent, Dairy Farm International slid 0.36 percent, DBS Group collected 0.34 percent, Genting Singapore fell 0.65 percent, Hongkong Land plummeted 2.07 percent, Keppel Corp and Venture Corporation both sank 0.97 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust weakened 0.53 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation eased 0.09 percent, SATS skidded 1.03 percent, SembCorp Industries plunged 1.49 percent, Singapore Airlines dropped 0.81 percent, Singapore Exchange tumbled 1.39 percent, Singapore Press Holdings added 0.43 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering retreated 1.06 percent, SingTel stumbled 0.63 percent, Thai Beverage shed 0.75 percent, United Overseas Bank dipped 0.30 percent, Wilmar International declined 1.21 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding and Ascendas REIT were unchanged.\nThe lead from Wall Street is negative as the major averages opened lower on a volatile Friday. The NASDAQ peeked briefly into the green but the markets all still finished in the red.\nThe Dow plunged 532.16 points or 1.48 percent to finish at 35,365.44, while the NASDAQ dipped 10.72 points or 0.07 percent to close at 15,169.68 and the S&P 500 sank 48.03 points or 1.03 percent to end at 4,620.64. For the week, the NASDAQ plunged 2.9 percent, the Dow lost 1.7 percent and the S&P was down 1.9 percent.\nThe volatility on Wall Street came on a quadruple witching day, with stock options, index options, stock futures and index futures all expiring.\nConcerns about the impact of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus also weighed on the markets along with worries about ongoing supply chain issues.\nCrude oil prices tumbled Friday on concerns for energy demand due to a rapid surge in Omicron variant of the coronavirus and reimposition of restrictions. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January sank $1.52 or 2.1 percent at $70.86 a barrel. WTI crude futures shed 1.1 percent in the week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1886,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699454353,"gmtCreate":1639881566992,"gmtModify":1639881567268,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090500580946240","authorIdStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls ","listText":"Like pls ","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699454353","repostId":"2192903795","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1983,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699284295,"gmtCreate":1639811617248,"gmtModify":1639811620211,"author":{"id":"4090500580946240","authorId":"4090500580946240","name":"sQzC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ce8b4966fa803f0c04a59852fded4a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090500580946240","authorIdStr":"4090500580946240"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699284295","repostId":"2192754259","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1987,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}