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Alex_168
IP属地：广东
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Alex_168
Alex_168
·
04-12
$3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion(TMF)$
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Alex_168
Alex_168
·
01-12
你说的崩是什么意思？是说特朗普马斯克身体健康状况崩吗？
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Alex_168
Alex_168
·
2024-12-18
说一堆屁话什么结论都没有
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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Alex_168
Alex_168
·
2024-11-26
$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$
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Alex_168
Alex_168
·
2023-12-17
人多的地方，利润不会多，最终都是陷阱
目前华尔街最拥挤的交易：明年经济软着陆
美联储周三放出鸽派预期后，市场欢腾一片。分析认为，目前美国经济软着陆已经成为华尔街最为拥挤的交易，但这也有可能是一厢情愿，因为过去三年来投资者笃定的预期，后来都被打脸。
目前华尔街最拥挤的交易：明年经济软着陆
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Alex_168
Alex_168
·
2023-09-22
欧美正式转熊，千万不要做多，还止损的止损
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Alex_168
Alex_168
·
2023-09-08
9.08大盘短线反弹在即，狼亡又将被打脸
颈线支撑，跌破崩盘，不跌破则有反弹 狼亡在节目中给听众打包票短线美股还会大跌，那我们就来分析分析，狼亡被打脸的概率有多大。首先看欧洲股市，欧洲股市刚好走到了颈线支撑，如果继续跌欧洲市场就会崩盘！所以这个时候抢反弹的盈亏比是最好的，跌破反手做空就行。而美股也刚好走到了布林中轨支撑 美股在布林线支撑附近 综上所述，现在做多抢反弹的盈亏比是最好的，跌破就止损反手做空。而狼亡却在这个时候狂言美股还会跌到4350，如果真的跌，那么主跌浪就来了，他所谓的4850高点就更不可能达到了，[开心] [开心]
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9.08大盘短线反弹在即，狼亡又将被打脸
Alex_168
Alex_168
·
2023-09-06
欧洲做顶，随时可能大跌，大家千万不要轻信无良博主做多
欧洲已做顶，全球大跌随时可能发生 那个叫狼王的无良博主现在又在给大家打包票，说大盘99%涨到4850，就像他年初打包票大盘会跌到3400一样不可信，大家千万别被煽动了，此人煽动性特别强，郑重提醒，能救一个是一个
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欧洲做顶，随时可能大跌，大家千万不要轻信无良博主做多
Alex_168
Alex_168
·
2023-09-02
美国失业率即将大幅上升，衰退随时来临
我们看到职位空缺数已经大幅下降，而失业率还没有大幅上升，未来几个月内失业率即将快速上升，美国衰退很快就会到来，然而有的无良博主让人在这个时候做多
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美国失业率即将大幅上升，衰退随时来临
Alex_168
Alex_168
·
2023-08-28
狼亡GMMA指标的荒谬之处：回踩次数之谜
用5分钟的K线图看70分钟的回踩 如图：狼王用5分钟级别的K线图，来看70分钟的GMMA回踩次数，他居然把第一个框框算做一次回踩！[开心] 如果我把K线图换成1分钟级别，那么图中岂不是出现上十次的回踩了？这种不入流的看图技术也能拿出来秀？
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狼亡GMMA指标的荒谬之处：回踩次数之谜
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","text":"$3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion(TMF)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/423671403782776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":391798934319376,"gmtCreate":1736659869258,"gmtModify":1736660330784,"author":{"id":"4121094350684710","authorId":"4121094350684710","name":"Alex_168","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8f435f162ea22605d050594b0b7fcc9","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4121094350684710","authorIdStr":"4121094350684710"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"你说的崩是什么意思？是说特朗普马斯克身体健康状况崩吗？","listText":"你说的崩是什么意思？是说特朗普马斯克身体健康状况崩吗？","text":"你说的崩是什么意思？是说特朗普马斯克身体健康状况崩吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391798934319376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1072,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":383004006736064,"gmtCreate":1734535959729,"gmtModify":1734536222598,"author":{"id":"4121094350684710","authorId":"4121094350684710","name":"Alex_168","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8f435f162ea22605d050594b0b7fcc9","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4121094350684710","authorIdStr":"4121094350684710"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"说一堆屁话什么结论都没有","listText":"说一堆屁话什么结论都没有","text":"说一堆屁话什么结论都没有","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383004006736064","repostId":"2492018265","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375174502752640,"gmtCreate":1732599099625,"gmtModify":1732599100457,"author":{"id":"4121094350684710","authorId":"4121094350684710","name":"Alex_168","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8f435f162ea22605d050594b0b7fcc9","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4121094350684710","authorIdStr":"4121094350684710"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> ","text":"$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375174502752640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":252886949249280,"gmtCreate":1702748210938,"gmtModify":1702748212502,"author":{"id":"4121094350684710","authorId":"4121094350684710","name":"Alex_168","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8f435f162ea22605d050594b0b7fcc9","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4121094350684710","authorIdStr":"4121094350684710"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"人多的地方，利润不会多，最终都是陷阱","listText":"人多的地方，利润不会多，最终都是陷阱","text":"人多的地方，利润不会多，最终都是陷阱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/252886949249280","repostId":"2391189396","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2391189396","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1702685467,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2391189396?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-12-16 08:11","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"目前华尔街最拥挤的交易：明年经济软着陆","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2391189396","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美联储周三放出鸽派预期后，市场欢腾一片。分析认为，目前美国经济软着陆已经成为华尔街最为拥挤的交易，但这也有可能是一厢情愿，因为过去三年来投资者笃定的预期，后来都被打脸。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>美联储周三放出鸽派预期后，市场欢腾一片。分析认为，目前美国经济软着陆已经成为华尔街最为拥挤的交易，但这也有可能是一厢情愿，因为过去三年来投资者笃定的预期，后来都被打脸。</p></blockquote><p>美联储周三放出鸽派预期后，市场欢腾一片。外媒分析称，目前美国经济软着陆已经成为华尔街最为拥挤的交易，但这也有可能是一厢情愿，因为过去三年来投资者笃定的预期，后来都被打脸。</p><p>即使在美联储周三发布鸽派预测之前，市场对明年美联储能够在不陷入经济衰退的情况下大幅降息的共识就已经很强烈了，而美联储新的点阵图让这种共识更加坚定。投资者认为，美联储的预测以及鲍威尔在记者会上的回答，是他们认定美联储将在经济平稳转入罕见的“软着陆”时启动降息的证据。</p><p>分析认为，过去三年中，投资者出现过多次共识，但最终都被证明是错误的。去年年底，投资者认为经济衰退已成定局，前一年他们认为大型科技企业将不受利率上涨的影响，再往前还认为投资热门股将获利颇丰。而到现在，市场再次带着绝对的信念相信经济将实现软着陆，利率将降低。</p><p>虽然投资者这一次或许会对，但也可能并非如此。而如果事实证明是错误的，市场会给予惩罚，就像在过去的三年里一样。<strong>如果软着陆之外的情况发生，市场将出现问题，但现在对于软着陆的押注已经太多，不仅仅是定价，这种预期已经被充分甚至过分消化。</strong></p><p>在完全不担忧的情况下，投资者重新大举买入了之前在今年初抛售的那些对利率敏感的股票，投机性科技股和生物科技股大涨，而银行和房地产也表现不错。Ark Innovation ETF（ARKK）自十月底以来上涨了48%，银行板块上涨了26%，房地产板块上涨了22%。</p><p>股市涨势也已经扩大到人工智能热潮中少数几家大科技赢家之外，同样在这段时间内，同权重的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数涨幅超过了普通市值加权。而由于小型企业需要大量债务再融资，一直处于困境中的罗素2000指数自十月底以来上涨了20%。</p><p>投资者在期权市场也已经由恐惧转为贪婪。本周，VIX指数降至自2020年疫情之前的最低水平，用于保护投资组合的看跌期权与看涨期权的比例回落至疫情前异常低的水平。</p><p><strong>分析认为，投资者似乎很少担忧经济增长放缓可能进一步恶化，或者通胀可能比预期更为顽固的问题。</strong>利率对实体经济造成负面影响的迹象被视为异常值，而投资者愿意大赌最近的通胀放缓将会持续下去，尽管在前两个月通胀率仍是过去两年的两倍多。</p><p>然而，过去的三年每一年都出现了类似强烈的共识，最终都被证明是完全错误的。而<strong>即便明年出现软着陆，想从几乎所有人都押注的事情上获利，收益可能也不会很大。</strong></p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>目前华尔街最拥挤的交易：明年经济软着陆</title>\n<style 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Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1fcddc33b8b53f8e598b2f2dcdaadd","relate_stocks":{"OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4544":"ARK ETF合集","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4588":"碎股","BK4581":"高盛持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 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