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Monkey D luffy
IP属地:陕西
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Monkey D luffy
Monkey D luffy
·
02-05
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
还下杀啊?疯了吧
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Monkey D luffy
Monkey D luffy
·
02-04
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
昨天财报那么好,今天跌 7%,你真是吊
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Monkey D luffy
Monkey D luffy
·
02-04
人才
大行评级丨高盛:下调Palantir目标价至182美元,长期仍面临生态系统风险
高盛发表研报指,Palantir第四季营收超出市场预期5%,EBIT利润率高出约500个基点。2026年营收指引高于市场预期14%,EBIT利润率高出约700个基点。Palantir是少数几间因人工智
大行评级丨高盛:下调Palantir目标价至182美元,长期仍面临生态系统风险
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Monkey D luffy
Monkey D luffy
·
02-03
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
加仓了,上 200 不是问题
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Monkey D luffy
Monkey D luffy
·
01-30
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
洗盘
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Monkey D luffy
Monkey D luffy
·
01-22
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
老子被你戏弄几次了,操你马
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Monkey D luffy
Monkey D luffy
·
2025-11-20
上次听分析师的把我💩都亏出来了
分析师:英伟达业绩惊人,但利好消息都已充分反映在当前股价中
有分析师表示,英伟达第三季度业绩显示,其增长和盈利能力依旧惊人,但并未能揭示这种势头能持续多久。虽然人工智能或许终将证明自己与以往的狂热时期不同,但英伟达近期投资节奏高涨的旋律依然带来熟悉的警示。CFRA Research 首席投资策略师 Sam Stovall 表示:“英伟达刚刚打出了一记全垒打。这将让投资者松一口气,因为当前及预期的持续增长表明,其估值或许没有此前担忧的那般虚高。”
分析师:英伟达业绩惊人,但利好消息都已充分反映在当前股价中
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Monkey D luffy
Monkey D luffy
·
2025-11-17
我也买过小米的路由器,体重秤,音响,都是一年坏,确实垃圾
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Monkey D luffy
Monkey D luffy
·
2025-11-13
空头完蛋了
大空头伯里与Palantir在人工智能交易上对立
著名大空头迈克尔·伯里(Michael Burry)披露了对Palantir的看跌期权并批评了大型科技公司的折旧操作。而Palantir的CEO则在公司今年营收强劲增长和股价飙升的情况下驳斥了这一做空论点。 海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP 责任编辑:张俊 SF065
大空头伯里与Palantir在人工智能交易上对立
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Monkey D luffy
Monkey D luffy
·
2025-10-27
看控英伟达,人才
给出100美元目标价!英伟达“唯一的空头”:这不是我第一次看到泡沫
Seaport Global分析师Jay Goldberg认为,当前英伟达的惊人增长,主要依赖于少数几家科技巨头的巨额资本支出。但巨额投入迄今为止所产生的实际回报非常有限。他认为,这种模式与科网泡沫时期的电信基础设施建设非常相似,当时思科等公司的股价因预期中的互联网流量而飙升,但当预期未能立即兑现时,股价便遭受重创。二十多年后,思科的股价仍未回到2000年的高点。
给出100美元目标价!英伟达“唯一的空头”:这不是我第一次看到泡沫
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href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/rss/live/live.xml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","BK4543":"AI","PLTY":"PLTR期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","IE00B19Z9Z06.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc USD","PLTZ":"2倍做空PLTR ETF-Defiance","PLOO":"2倍上限加速PLTR ETF-Leverage Shares","PLT":"Defiance Leveraged Long Plus Income PLTR ETF","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4613":"AI应用软件","PLTA":"ProShares Ultra PLTR ETF","IE00B19Z9P08.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","PLYY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST PLTR ETF","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","IE00B894F039.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc SGD-H","PLTD":"1倍做空PLTR ETF-Direxion","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","PLTG":"2倍做多PLTR ETF-Leverage Shares","BK4588":"碎股","PTIR":"2倍做多PLTR ETF-GraniteShares","IE00BZ9MQY76.HKD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (HKD) 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09:12","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"分析师:英伟达业绩惊人,但利好消息都已充分反映在当前股价中","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154056305","media":"老虎資訊","summary":"有分析师表示,英伟达第三季度业绩显示,其增长和盈利能力依旧惊人,但并未能揭示这种势头能持续多久。虽然人工智能或许终将证明自己与以往的狂热时期不同,但英伟达近期投资节奏高涨的旋律依然带来熟悉的警示。CFRA Research 首席投资策略师 Sam Stovall 表示:“英伟达刚刚打出了一记全垒打。这将让投资者松一口气,因为当前及预期的持续增长表明,其估值或许没有此前担忧的那般虚高。”","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>有分析师表示,英伟达第三季度业绩显示,其增长和盈利能力依旧惊人,但并未能揭示这种势头能持续多久。据 2026 财年第三季度报告,公司营收达 570 亿美元,同比增长 62%,其毛利率达到 74%。与此同时,公司正在对众多小型互补型企业进行分大量投资,以争夺更大市场份额并保持投资循环不息。总体而言,企业通常在利润滚滚而来时进行风险投资,但谨慎依然必要的。由于 AI 仍属萌芽阶段,其长期需求本质上难以预测。正如同互联网和电信泡沫所证明的那样,设备兜售商并非不会犯过度乐观的错误。虽然人工智能或许终将证明自己与以往的狂热时期不同,但英伟达近期投资节奏高涨的旋律依然带来熟悉的警示。</p><p>CFRA Research 首席投资策略师 Sam Stovall 表示:“英伟达刚刚打出了一记全垒打。这将让投资者松一口气,因为当前及预期的持续增长表明,其估值或许没有此前担忧的那般虚高。” 投资研究公司 New Constructs 的首席执行官 David Trainer 则表示:“这正是市场需要的强心剂。不过我提醒大家注意的是,所有利好消息都已充分反映在当前股价中。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>分析师:英伟达业绩惊人,但利好消息都已充分反映在当前股价中</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎資訊 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-11-20 09:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>有分析师表示,英伟达第三季度业绩显示,其增长和盈利能力依旧惊人,但并未能揭示这种势头能持续多久。据 2026 财年第三季度报告,公司营收达 570 亿美元,同比增长 62%,其毛利率达到 74%。与此同时,公司正在对众多小型互补型企业进行分大量投资,以争夺更大市场份额并保持投资循环不息。总体而言,企业通常在利润滚滚而来时进行风险投资,但谨慎依然必要的。由于 AI 仍属萌芽阶段,其长期需求本质上难以预测。正如同互联网和电信泡沫所证明的那样,设备兜售商并非不会犯过度乐观的错误。虽然人工智能或许终将证明自己与以往的狂热时期不同,但英伟达近期投资节奏高涨的旋律依然带来熟悉的警示。</p><p>CFRA Research 首席投资策略师 Sam Stovall 表示:“英伟达刚刚打出了一记全垒打。这将让投资者松一口气,因为当前及预期的持续增长表明,其估值或许没有此前担忧的那般虚高。” 投资研究公司 New Constructs 的首席执行官 David Trainer 则表示:“这正是市场需要的强心剂。不过我提醒大家注意的是,所有利好消息都已充分反映在当前股价中。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92a41d20711c9fa4b2aa3cc62ea62948","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154056305","content_text":"有分析师表示,英伟达第三季度业绩显示,其增长和盈利能力依旧惊人,但并未能揭示这种势头能持续多久。据 2026 财年第三季度报告,公司营收达 570 亿美元,同比增长 62%,其毛利率达到 74%。与此同时,公司正在对众多小型互补型企业进行分大量投资,以争夺更大市场份额并保持投资循环不息。总体而言,企业通常在利润滚滚而来时进行风险投资,但谨慎依然必要的。由于 AI 仍属萌芽阶段,其长期需求本质上难以预测。正如同互联网和电信泡沫所证明的那样,设备兜售商并非不会犯过度乐观的错误。虽然人工智能或许终将证明自己与以往的狂热时期不同,但英伟达近期投资节奏高涨的旋律依然带来熟悉的警示。CFRA Research 首席投资策略师 Sam Stovall 表示:“英伟达刚刚打出了一记全垒打。这将让投资者松一口气,因为当前及预期的持续增长表明,其估值或许没有此前担忧的那般虚高。” 投资研究公司 New Constructs 的首席执行官 David Trainer 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D luffy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/031a1e6e44c82b59d1b23f1834926953","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4121237239794890","idStr":"4121237239794890"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"空头完蛋了","listText":"空头完蛋了","text":"空头完蛋了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/499579258602032","repostId":"2582239396","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2582239396","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1762877700,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2582239396?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-11-12 00:15","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"大空头伯里与Palantir在人工智能交易上对立","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2582239396","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"著名大空头迈克尔·伯里(Michael Burry)披露了对Palantir的看跌期权并批评了大型科技公司的折旧操作。而Palantir的CEO则在公司今年营收强劲增长和股价飙升的情况下驳斥了这一做空论点。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑:张俊 SF065","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p> 著名大空头迈克尔·伯里(Michael Burry)披露了对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir</a>的看跌期权并批评了大型科技公司的折旧操作。而Palantir的CEO则在公司今年营收强劲增<span>长和</span><span></span>股价飙升的情况下驳斥了这一做空论点。</p>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n<p>责任编辑:张俊 SF065</p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>大空头伯里与Palantir在人工智能交易上对立</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大空头伯里与Palantir在人工智能交易上对立\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-11-12 00:15 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2025-11-12/doc-infxahpp1659477.shtml><strong>环球市场播报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>著名大空头迈克尔·伯里(Michael Burry)披露了对Palantir的看跌期权并批评了大型科技公司的折旧操作。而Palantir的CEO则在公司今年营收强劲增长和股价飙升的情况下驳斥了这一做空论点。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑:张俊 SF065</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2025-11-12/doc-infxahpp1659477.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161631":"人工智能","IE00B19Z9Z06.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc USD","BK4588":"碎股","BK4613":"AI应用软件","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","IE00B19Z9P08.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00B894F039.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc SGD-H","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","IE00BZ9MQY76.HKD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4543":"AI","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2025-11-12/doc-infxahpp1659477.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2582239396","content_text":"著名大空头迈克尔·伯里(Michael Burry)披露了对Palantir的看跌期权并批评了大型科技公司的折旧操作。而Palantir的CEO则在公司今年营收强劲增长和股价飙升的情况下驳斥了这一做空论点。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑:张俊 SF065","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161631":1.5,"PLTR":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":493605732094768,"gmtCreate":1761530519979,"gmtModify":1761530522214,"author":{"id":"4121237239794890","authorId":"4121237239794890","name":"Monkey D 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07:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"给出100美元目标价!英伟达“唯一的空头”:这不是我第一次看到泡沫","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2578682591","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"Seaport Global分析师Jay Goldberg认为,当前英伟达的惊人增长,主要依赖于少数几家科技巨头的巨额资本支出。但巨额投入迄今为止所产生的实际回报非常有限。他认为,这种模式与科网泡沫时期的电信基础设施建设非常相似,当时思科等公司的股价因预期中的互联网流量而飙升,但当预期未能立即兑现时,股价便遭受重创。二十多年后,思科的股价仍未回到2000年的高点。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>Seaport Global分析师Jay Goldberg认为,当前英伟达的惊人增长,主要依赖于少数几家科技巨头的巨额资本支出。但巨额投入迄今为止所产生的实际回报非常有限。这种模式与科网泡沫时期的电信基础设施建设非常相似,“出于很大程度上的心理原因,我们将建起所有这些AI设施。在某个时候,支出将会停止,然后整个体系都会崩溃,我们将迎来一次重置。”</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在华尔街对英伟达的狂热追捧中,一位分析师正在逆流而行。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在覆盖英伟达的80名分析师中,Seaport Global Securities分析师Jay Goldberg给出了唯一的“卖出”评级,并将目标价定在100美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“围绕AI的所有炒作,我都持怀疑态度,” Goldberg在接受彭博采访时表示,“这不是我第一次看到泡沫。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">他将当前的局面类比为2000年前后的科网泡沫,并警告称,一旦支撑高估值的巨额支出放缓,市场格局可能会迅速逆转。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这一立场与市场的普遍乐观情绪形成鲜明对比,目前华尔街分析师的平均目标价约为220美元,预示着还有18%的上涨空间。</p><h2 id=\"72ae193f\">历史重演?剑指科网泡沫</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在Goldberg看来,当前英伟达的惊人增长,主要依赖于少数几家科技巨头的巨额资本支出。微软、Alphabet、亚马逊、Meta、甲骨文以及OpenAI这六家公司正在争相建设AI基础设施,它们的采购需求造就了英伟达高达4.5万亿美元的市值。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2025年,这五家上市公司预计资本开支将接近4000亿美元,OpenAI也承诺投入逾1万亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">然而,Goldberg提醒投资者关注这些巨额投入迄今为止所产生的实际回报有多么有限。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">他认为,<strong>这种模式与科网泡沫时期的电信基础设施建设非常相似,当时思科等公司的股价因预期中的互联网流量而飙升,但当预期未能立即兑现时,股价便遭受重创。二十多年后,思科的股价仍未回到2000年的高点。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23e999d84c827d5663b03bb140b93dff\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Goldberg警告:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">我们现在看到的模式与当时的感觉非常相似。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>出于很大程度上的心理原因,我们将建起所有这些AI设施。在某个时候,支出将会停止,然后整个体系都会崩溃,我们将迎来一次重置。</strong></p></blockquote><h2 id=\"1d136c37\">电力、杠杆与有限的上行空间</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">除了历史对比,Goldberg还表示,既然市场观点认为英伟达的AI芯片已基本售罄,那么股价进一步上涨的空间来自哪里,这是一个疑问。“上行的驱动因素并不多”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Goldberg同时质疑为所有新建数据中心提供增量电力的来源尚未明确。此外,围绕数据中心开发的杠杆正在不断累积:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当你追溯所有这些GPU的去向时,你会深入到“新云”(neoclouds)以及所有正在发生的电力和房地产交易的细节中。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">很容易想见,某个不起眼的公司倒下,就可能引发整个供应链的连锁反应。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是,Goldberg的“卖出”评级并非建议投资者做空该股。<strong>他明确表示自己钦佩英伟达及其首席执行官黄仁勋的领导力。在他看来,“卖出”意味着他预计该股的表现将逊于博通、高通和AMD等同行。</strong></p><h2 id=\"ai\">华尔街对AI泡沫的担忧渐增</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">尽管Jay Goldberg是唯一给出“卖出”评级的分析师,但他对AI泡沫的担忧情绪在华尔街并非个例。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">高盛首席执行官David Solomon最近就将当前的AI热潮与科网泡沫时期的狂热进行了比较。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据美国银行最新的全球基金经理调查显示,认为AI股票存在泡沫的受访者比例创下历史新高。甚至OpenAI的首席执行官Sam Altman在被问及是否存在AI泡沫时,也给出了肯定的回答。这些声音都为Goldberg的逆向思维提供了一定程度的佐证。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"> Goldberg谈到他的看空评级时也表示:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>我没有收到任何一个人反驳我的论点。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>有人说我太早了……但没有人说我是个疯子。</strong>我想我们都看到了,AI领域存在一些过度繁荣的迹象,虽然英伟达是一家好公司,但它并非不朽。</p></blockquote><h2 id=\"b07d6e0a\">压倒性看涨:“现在仍是早期阶段”</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">尽管Goldberg发出了泡沫警告,但华尔街的主流观点仍然坚定看涨。在80名覆盖英伟达的分析师中,有73人给予了相当于“买入”的评级,另有6人持“持有”看法。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Clearstead Advisors的高级董事总经理Jim Awad表示:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">AI是一个持续多年的代际周期,我们还处于早期阶段,甚至还没到中期。英伟达是其中的重要参与者,它正在为经济和股市提供动力。”该公司持有英伟达股票。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Harding Loevner LP的投资组合经理Moon Surana也表达了类似看法,他认为现在仍处于投资阶段的早期,</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">目前还没有出现产能过剩的迹象,没有任何GPU处于闲置状态。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场上最乐观的分析师是汇丰银行的Frank Lee,他最近将英伟达的评级上调至“买入”,目标价高达320美元,理由是AI加速器的市场需求将超越目前最大的几家客户。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n给出100美元目标价!英伟达“唯一的空头”:这不是我第一次看到泡沫\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-10-27 07:00 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3757915><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Seaport Global分析师Jay Goldberg认为,当前英伟达的惊人增长,主要依赖于少数几家科技巨头的巨额资本支出。但巨额投入迄今为止所产生的实际回报非常有限。这种模式与科网泡沫时期的电信基础设施建设非常相似,“出于很大程度上的心理原因,我们将建起所有这些AI设施。在某个时候,支出将会停止,然后整个体系都会崩溃,我们将迎来一次重置。”在华尔街对英伟达的狂热追捧中,一位分析师正在逆流而行...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3757915\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1c866c487eb9e101f73a62d4495ce9","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3757915","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2578682591","content_text":"Seaport Global分析师Jay Goldberg认为,当前英伟达的惊人增长,主要依赖于少数几家科技巨头的巨额资本支出。但巨额投入迄今为止所产生的实际回报非常有限。这种模式与科网泡沫时期的电信基础设施建设非常相似,“出于很大程度上的心理原因,我们将建起所有这些AI设施。在某个时候,支出将会停止,然后整个体系都会崩溃,我们将迎来一次重置。”在华尔街对英伟达的狂热追捧中,一位分析师正在逆流而行。在覆盖英伟达的80名分析师中,Seaport Global Securities分析师Jay Goldberg给出了唯一的“卖出”评级,并将目标价定在100美元。“围绕AI的所有炒作,我都持怀疑态度,” Goldberg在接受彭博采访时表示,“这不是我第一次看到泡沫。”他将当前的局面类比为2000年前后的科网泡沫,并警告称,一旦支撑高估值的巨额支出放缓,市场格局可能会迅速逆转。这一立场与市场的普遍乐观情绪形成鲜明对比,目前华尔街分析师的平均目标价约为220美元,预示着还有18%的上涨空间。历史重演?剑指科网泡沫在Goldberg看来,当前英伟达的惊人增长,主要依赖于少数几家科技巨头的巨额资本支出。微软、Alphabet、亚马逊、Meta、甲骨文以及OpenAI这六家公司正在争相建设AI基础设施,它们的采购需求造就了英伟达高达4.5万亿美元的市值。2025年,这五家上市公司预计资本开支将接近4000亿美元,OpenAI也承诺投入逾1万亿美元。然而,Goldberg提醒投资者关注这些巨额投入迄今为止所产生的实际回报有多么有限。他认为,这种模式与科网泡沫时期的电信基础设施建设非常相似,当时思科等公司的股价因预期中的互联网流量而飙升,但当预期未能立即兑现时,股价便遭受重创。二十多年后,思科的股价仍未回到2000年的高点。Goldberg警告:我们现在看到的模式与当时的感觉非常相似。出于很大程度上的心理原因,我们将建起所有这些AI设施。在某个时候,支出将会停止,然后整个体系都会崩溃,我们将迎来一次重置。电力、杠杆与有限的上行空间除了历史对比,Goldberg还表示,既然市场观点认为英伟达的AI芯片已基本售罄,那么股价进一步上涨的空间来自哪里,这是一个疑问。“上行的驱动因素并不多”。Goldberg同时质疑为所有新建数据中心提供增量电力的来源尚未明确。此外,围绕数据中心开发的杠杆正在不断累积:当你追溯所有这些GPU的去向时,你会深入到“新云”(neoclouds)以及所有正在发生的电力和房地产交易的细节中。很容易想见,某个不起眼的公司倒下,就可能引发整个供应链的连锁反应。值得注意的是,Goldberg的“卖出”评级并非建议投资者做空该股。他明确表示自己钦佩英伟达及其首席执行官黄仁勋的领导力。在他看来,“卖出”意味着他预计该股的表现将逊于博通、高通和AMD等同行。华尔街对AI泡沫的担忧渐增尽管Jay Goldberg是唯一给出“卖出”评级的分析师,但他对AI泡沫的担忧情绪在华尔街并非个例。高盛首席执行官David Solomon最近就将当前的AI热潮与科网泡沫时期的狂热进行了比较。据美国银行最新的全球基金经理调查显示,认为AI股票存在泡沫的受访者比例创下历史新高。甚至OpenAI的首席执行官Sam Altman在被问及是否存在AI泡沫时,也给出了肯定的回答。这些声音都为Goldberg的逆向思维提供了一定程度的佐证。 Goldberg谈到他的看空评级时也表示:我没有收到任何一个人反驳我的论点。有人说我太早了……但没有人说我是个疯子。我想我们都看到了,AI领域存在一些过度繁荣的迹象,虽然英伟达是一家好公司,但它并非不朽。压倒性看涨:“现在仍是早期阶段”尽管Goldberg发出了泡沫警告,但华尔街的主流观点仍然坚定看涨。在80名覆盖英伟达的分析师中,有73人给予了相当于“买入”的评级,另有6人持“持有”看法。Clearstead Advisors的高级董事总经理Jim Awad表示:AI是一个持续多年的代际周期,我们还处于早期阶段,甚至还没到中期。英伟达是其中的重要参与者,它正在为经济和股市提供动力。”该公司持有英伟达股票。Harding Loevner LP的投资组合经理Moon Surana也表达了类似看法,他认为现在仍处于投资阶段的早期,目前还没有出现产能过剩的迹象,没有任何GPU处于闲置状态。市场上最乐观的分析师是汇丰银行的Frank Lee,他最近将英伟达的评级上调至“买入”,目标价高达320美元,理由是AI加速器的市场需求将超越目前最大的几家客户。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":false}