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- ZibozhangZibozhang
  ·10-23
  说说你对这篇新闻的看法...
  敏感时刻，明晚美国CPI“姗姗来迟”
  周五美国劳工统计局即将公布延期的9月CPI数据。据高盛此前研究报告，预计9月核心CPI环比上涨0.25%，同比涨幅3.05%。DWS集团固定收益主管George Catrambone警告称，若CPI数据超预期走高，长期利率可能面临上行压力。
  敏感时刻，明晚美国CPI“姗姗来迟”
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- ZibozhangZibozhang
  ·2023-07-14
  $英伟达(NVDA)$ 周末倪敏
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id=\"id_160260357\">数据真空中的市场焦虑</h2><p>自10月1日以来持续的美国政府停摆令投资者陷入数据荒。</p><p>Catrambone在周三的电话采访中表示：</p><blockquote><p>在缺乏市场习惯参考的硬数据情况下，市场处于紧张状态，这些数据原本能提供美国经济方向的一些图景。</p></blockquote><p>美国劳工统计局原计划在10月初发布涵盖9月的美国就业报告，但因政府停摆而未能发布。<strong>持续的停摆还意味着美国政府工作人员无法收集下月涵盖10月的就业报告所需的新信息。</strong></p><p>Catrambone说：</p><blockquote><p>我们没有像往常那样获得定期的数据发布，周五的CPI数据会有所帮助，但它实际上只是拼图的一部分。</p></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_887911580\">通胀数据或引发收益率波动</h2><p>Catrambone警告称，如果CPI数据表现强劲，可能导致债市长端收益率小幅回升。</p><p>10年期美债收益率今年迄今已经下跌，近期的下降反映了&#34;避险情绪&#34;，部分与地区银行出现的信贷担忧有关。</p><p><strong>Catrambone认为，如果10年期美债收益率跌破3.75%，将表明投资者开始质疑美国经济能否实现&#34;软着陆&#34;。</strong></p><p>BMO美国利率策略主管Ian Lyngen在周三的报告中指出，<strong>10年期和30年期国债收益率在第四季度有进一步下行空间</strong>。Lyngen表示：</p><blockquote><p>美国利率市场继续维持近期债券看涨走势，显示出强劲的潜在买盘。<strong>不断增加的经济不确定性强化了在当前水平增加久期敞口的理由。</strong></p></blockquote><p>高盛经济学家在10月18日的研报中预计，周五CPI报告将显示9月通胀环比上涨0.33%，同比增速为3.02%。他们<strong>预测核心通胀环比上涨0.25%，同比增长3.05%</strong>。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>敏感时刻，明晚美国CPI“姗姗来迟”</title>\n<style 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Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dae2f34df9deb67b10fcf0854116e9a9","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3757689","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2577341510","content_text":"周五美国劳工统计局即将公布延期的9月CPI数据。据高盛此前研究报告，预计9月核心CPI环比上涨0.25%，同比涨幅3.05%。DWS集团固定收益主管George Catrambone警告称，若CPI数据超预期走高，长期利率可能面临上行压力。投资者在数据真空期中焦虑等待本周五迟到的9月CPI通胀报告，这将是当前唯一可获得的关键经济数据。周五，美国劳工统计局即将公布延期的9月CPI数据。据高盛此前研究报告，预计9月CPI环比上涨0.33%，同比涨幅达3.02%，核心CPI环比上涨0.25%，同比涨幅3.05%。此前华尔街见闻提及，美国劳工部原本根据关门应急计划暂停了CPI报告的相关工作，但美国社会保障局需要第三季度的CPI数据，用于在11月1日之前计算并公布年度生活成本调整（COLA）。在常规经济数据真空期，美国国债收益率本月持续下跌。DWS集团固定收益主管George Catrambone警告称，若CPI数据超预期走高，长期利率可能面临上行压力。数据真空中的市场焦虑自10月1日以来持续的美国政府停摆令投资者陷入数据荒。Catrambone在周三的电话采访中表示：在缺乏市场习惯参考的硬数据情况下，市场处于紧张状态，这些数据原本能提供美国经济方向的一些图景。美国劳工统计局原计划在10月初发布涵盖9月的美国就业报告，但因政府停摆而未能发布。持续的停摆还意味着美国政府工作人员无法收集下月涵盖10月的就业报告所需的新信息。Catrambone说：我们没有像往常那样获得定期的数据发布，周五的CPI数据会有所帮助，但它实际上只是拼图的一部分。通胀数据或引发收益率波动Catrambone警告称，如果CPI数据表现强劲，可能导致债市长端收益率小幅回升。10年期美债收益率今年迄今已经下跌，近期的下降反映了\"避险情绪\"，部分与地区银行出现的信贷担忧有关。Catrambone认为，如果10年期美债收益率跌破3.75%，将表明投资者开始质疑美国经济能否实现\"软着陆\"。BMO美国利率策略主管Ian 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